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9TH AFRICA OIL & GAS, TRADE & FINANCE CONFERENCE
AN UPDATE ON THE KUDU GAS FIELD
MAPUTO3 JUNE 2005
KEVIN STALLBOMBUSINESS UNIT MANAGER: KUDU
NOT AN OFFICIAL UNCTAD RECORD
Kudu history – key milestones
• Discovered 1974 by Chevron/Regent/Soekor
• Two wells drilled by Swakor 1987-88
• Licence awarded 1993 – Shell (75%), Energy Africa (25%)
• Energy Africa farm-out 15% to Texaco
• Petroleum field declared 1997
• Drilled four wells
• Shell relinquished 2002 - ChevronTexaco (60% + operatorship), Energy Africa (40%)
• ChevronTexaco relinquished Nov 2003 – Energy Africa 100%
• Dec 2003 - Energy Africa 90%, Namcor 10%
• Tullow Oil acquires Energy Africa May 2004
Kudu Licence Area: Block 2814A
• 170 km to Oranjemund
• 800 km to Windhoek
• 800km to Cape Town
• Logistically remote area
• Development overlaps Namdeb diamond mining area
Kudu Upstream JV
Energy Africa Kudu Limited (90%)
Namcor (10%)
+ PartnersKudu Power Station Company
Nampower (100%)
+ Partners (?)
Gas Sales Agreement
Nampower
Power Purchase Agreement
Domestic sales in Namibia
Power Purchase Agreement
Eskom - export sales to RSA
Kudu Project Scheme
What have we done differently……
• Initiated a “fresh” look at the broader development options
• Recognized current window of opportunity in power market
• Focused development on proven GIIP only : de-linked Phase 1 gas-to-power project from upside development opportunities
• Established “open book” co-operative approach with downstream parties
Kudu Steering Group
Co-ordination, consultation, guidance, consensus (as per MOU/LOI)
Upstream
Petroleum Agreement
License 005, Area 2814A
JOA
Energy Africa
Namcor
+ Partners
Relationship defined
Downstream
Kudu Power Station Company
Nampower
Eskom
+ Partners (?)
Relationship still to be defined
Joint Development Agreement
Final Investment Decision
First power
Distinct but integrated elements of same project
milestones
Co-operative “management” structure
The Southern Africa Power Pool (SAPP) experiencing diminishing generation surplus capacity in the region caused by:
• increasing power demand at a rate of three percent per year (1200MW) in the last six years
• If no new generation project then in 2007, the SAPP will run out of generation surplus capacity.
• There has been no significant investment in generation in the last 10-years, despite the rise in power demand.
Power demand growth in SADC
SAPP Generation Vs SAPP Load Forecast
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013
Year
Capa
city
[MW
}
Net Capacity Peak Demand
Courtesy
Power stations in Namibia
Ruacana
Hydro, Run-of-the-river
Van Eck
Coal fired,Standby
Paratus
Diesel & HFOStandby
Katima
Diesel, not connected to rest of Grid
ANGOLAZAMBIA
BOTSWANA
REPUBLIC OFSOUTH AFRICA
Atlan
tic Ocean
Walvisbay
Ruacana 240 MW
Van Eck 128 MW
Rundu
Windhoek
Lüderitz
Paratus 24 MW
Katima 3 MW
Oranjemund
Kudu 800 MW
Courtesy
Namibian transmission backbone
Otjikoto
Omburu
Kokerboom
2
2
2
2
Ruacana
Aries
Otjikoto
Obi
b
Gerus
Rössing
Walmund
Hardap
van Eck
ANGOLAZAMBIA
BOTSWANA
REPUBLIC OFSOUTH AFRICA
Atlan
tic Ocean
AggeneisTo Hydra
To Koeberg
Otjikoto
Kokerboom
Auas
Red – 400KV
Blue – 330 KV
Yellow - 220 KV
Courtesy
Kudu Power Station: impact on region
• Timing, availability of new generation in 2009
• Strengthening of regional grid
• Reduction in transmission losses
• Diversification of energy mix portfolio, especially to encourage the introduction of natural gas and to increase the role of renewable energy sources
• Socio-economic injection
• Development of Namibia’s gas resources
Progress made on Kudu project – (1)
Joint Development Agreement
• July 2004 - Energy Africa, Namcor, Nampower & MOU with Eskom
Commercial Agreements
• Draft Heads of Agreement tabled and negotiation process begun
Power station site & pipeline route
• Pipeline route dependent on power station site
• Conclusion on discussions with Namdeb expected soon
Kudu Power Station Configuration
• 2 x 400 MW (nominal) Single Shaft Combine Cycle Gas and Steam Turbines
• Mechanical draft evaporative cooling towers with sea water make-up
Courtesy
Progress made on Kudu project - (2)
FEED study – confirmation of project feasibility
• Development concept selected - protects schedule and budget
• FEED study contract awarded to John Wood Group, results due July 2005
• EIA approved
Reprocessing 1993/96 3-D seismic survey
• Contract awarded to CGG
• Completion October 2005
• WATER DEPTH : 170m
• RESERVOIR DEPTH 4400mbmsl
• HIGH PRESSURE – 536 bar
• HIGH TEMPERATURE – 158°C
• DRY/SWEET GAS – 96% CH4
• 2-3 bbls/MMscf CONDENSATE
• DETERMINISTIC GIIP (Tscf)
EA
GCA
PROVED1.38 1.45
PROBABLE 3.28 2.72
POSSIBLE 9.92 7.12
Kudu field area
Kudu development plan
• Robust and simple
• Proven technology
• Realistic schedule
• Potential to realise the upside
• Commercially viable
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034
YEARS
GA
S R
ATE
: MM
scf/d
Matched production profile
Total well capacity
Production profile
Katabatic winds &aerosol sand plumes
• Further technical challenge for onshore facilities
• Avoided offshore by subsea development
Kudu
Gas
-to-P
ower
pro
ject
pla
n
1st half 2006: Final Investment Decision & Financial Close
2006 : Upstream Construction
2007 : Downstream Construction
5 July 2004: Signing of JDA & MOU,Full Feasibility Phase Starts
1st Quarter 2009: Gas on-shore
2nd Quarter 2009: 1st 400MW
3rd Quarter 2009: 2nd 400 MW
Beyond Phase1 Kudu Gas-to-Power……..
Phase 1: 800MW gas-to-power project
• 2004 – 2005
– seismic reprocessing
– FEED study
– GSA & PPA
– Financing
– Partners
• 2006 – 2008
– Construction
• 2009
– production
Post - Phase 1:options
• Additional gas-to-power
• Liquefied Natural Gas, Gas-To-Liquids, or Compressed Natural Gas
• Gas export to South Africa
Current post-Phase 1 activities
• Complete planning for drilling two wells in 2006 to confirm the upside potential in greater Kudu field area. Drilling timing dependent on:
– Rig and materials availability
– Partners (?)
• High level techno-economic evaluation of the earlier work on the three post-Phase1 options and prepare work program for further investigation
• Preparing to bring in new partners - probably during second half 2005
In summary:-
• Phase1 - 800MW gas-to-power project progressing well with final investment decision expected early 2006
• Post - Phase1 activities for evaluation of +/- 8 Tscf GIIP upside:
– Preparation to drill two wells in 2006
– Evaluating development options for three scenarios
Additional gas-to-power
LNG / GTL / CNG
Gas export to South Africa
• Preparing to bring in additional partners during second half 2005