9. Universal Kriking 11 Dan 13 Nov 2013

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    Others exerc ises for Ordinary K r ig ing

    Field Example 4.4Ordinary

    Kriging Cross Validation

    Field Example 4.5Ordinary Kriging To Generate

    Gross Thickness Maps.

    Field Example 4.6Ordinary Kriging To

    Estimates Original Oil in Place

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    Cokriging

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    Cokriging

    21

    1

    2

    1

    10

    ZZ Nj

    jj

    Ni

    iicok xZxZxZ

    000

    2 xZxZVarxcokcok

    0

    2

    0

    20 xx kcok

    Two variables Z1(x) and Z2(x) (such as porosity & acoustic impedance)

    Use of Z1and Z2data to get a better interpolation of Z1

    Thanks to the extra information coming from Z2(x):

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    Cross Variograms

    Estimation of cross variograms

    LuYuYLuXuXELc

    2

    1

    LuyuyLuxuxLn

    L ii

    Ln

    i

    iic

    12

    1

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    LuYEuXELuYuXELCc

    Cross covariance

    Ln

    i

    i

    Ln

    i

    iic uxLn

    LuyuxLn

    Lc11

    11

    Ln

    i

    i LuyLn 1

    .1

    LCCL ccc

    0

    n

    i

    i

    n

    i

    i

    n

    i

    iic uynux

    nuyux

    nc

    111

    1110

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    Numerical Example 3.7. Table 3.8

    TABLE 3.8PERMEABILITY AND POROSITY DATA FORNUMERICAL EXAMPLE 3.7

    Depth (ft) k(md)2,040 8.25 352,041 9.0 502,042

    6.25

    21

    2,043 5.0 162,044 5.3 202,045 4.75 82,046 5.0 14

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    Cross variogram and cross covariance for data in

    Numerical Example 3.7

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    Cokriging (Doyen, 1988)

    Kriged porosity

    Porosity by regression from

    1/(acoustic impedance)

    Porosity by

    cokriging

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    Universal Kriging

    Conventional Estimation Techniques

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    Stationarity

    The residual should have a constant variance

    A variable with

    no trend and

    a residual with varying dispersion

    A variable with

    a trend and

    a residual with varying dispersion

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    Stationarity

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    Example Of Stationary And Nonstationary

    Surfaces

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    Beware: Stationarity Is A Matter Of Scale!!!

    Porosity log of well M-10x in the Dan Field (Almeida and Frykman, 1994)

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    The Basic Assumption Of Geostatistics

    A geological variable z(x) is composed of a systematictrend and a random component.

    z(x) is the realization of a random function Z(x)

    equal to the sum of a trend m(x) and of a random

    stationary residual R(x) of mean 0:

    Z (x) = R(x) + m(x)

    But how can we calculate statistics from just

    one outcome?

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    The Stationarity Assumption

    Mean and variance are independent

    of location:

    Covariance between values at two

    locations only depends on distance:

    mhxZExZE

    2 hxZVarxZVar

    hChxZxZCov ,

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    Universal Kriging

    uRumuX

    odneighborho

    iuXum

    umuXuR

    L

    i

    ll ufaum0

    uaaum 10

    f0(u) =1 so that for a linear trend

    2210 uauaaum

    And for a quadratic trend

    We define drift

    Local mean is

    Subtract local mean from individual samples, we obtain

    Samples value

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    n

    i

    ii uXuX1

    0

    *

    Begin with the ordinary Kriging

    Application of the unbiased condition requares that

    n

    i

    lili ufuf

    1

    0

    for l= 0, , L

    This imposes L+1 constraints

    Applying the minimum variance,

    0

    00

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    01

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    1

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    010

    01

    110111

    ,

    ,

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    ,,

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    uf

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    ufuf

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    ufufuuCuuC

    L

    n

    L

    n

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    n

    nLnnnn

    Ln

    n+L+1 Matrix

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    001

    000

    2,, ufuuCuuC

    L

    l

    ll

    n

    i

    iiE

    The error variance is estimated by

    010 uYaaum o

    Another alternative uses the method of external drift. The trend in the data isProvided by the secondary variable Y.

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    Location of reservoir top well data

    Field Example 4.8 Universal Kriging To Estimate Top of Reservoir

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    Reservoir top running east/west Reservoir top running north/south.

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    Cross-validation estimates for reservoir top using universal,

    simple, and ordinary kriging

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    Map of reservoir top generated with universal kriging