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1 Document of The World Bank FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Report No: -ID PROJECT APPRAISAL DOCUMENT FOR A PROPOSED GRANT FROM THE OZONE PROJECTS TRUST FUND FOR THE HYDROCHLOROFLUOROCARBON (HCFC) PHASE-OUT IN THE POLYURETHANE FOAM SECTOR PROJECT IN THE AMOUNT OF US$ 2.71 MILLION TO THE REPUBLIC OF INDONESIA July 2, 2013 Indonesia Sustainable Development Unit Sustainable Development Department East Asia and Pacific Region This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorization. 94207 Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized

94207 Public Disclosure Authorized€¦ · CPS Country Partnership Strategy DA Designated Account ExCom Executive Committee of the MLF ... B. Overall Risk Rating Explanation

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Page 1: 94207 Public Disclosure Authorized€¦ · CPS Country Partnership Strategy DA Designated Account ExCom Executive Committee of the MLF ... B. Overall Risk Rating Explanation

1

Document of

The World Bank

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

Report No: -ID

PROJECT APPRAISAL DOCUMENT

FOR A

PROPOSED GRANT FROM THE OZONE PROJECTS TRUST FUND

FOR THE

HYDROCHLOROFLUOROCARBON (HCFC) PHASE-OUT

IN THE POLYURETHANE FOAM SECTOR PROJECT

IN THE AMOUNT OF US$ 2.71 MILLION

TO THE

REPUBLIC OF INDONESIA

July 2, 2013

Indonesia Sustainable Development Unit

Sustainable Development Department

East Asia and Pacific Region

This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their

official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorization.

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2

CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS

(Exchange Rate Effective April 30, 2013)

Currency Unit = Indonesia Rupiah

Rp 9723 = US$1

FISCAL YEAR

January 1 – December 31

ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS

Acronyms

CFC Chlorofluorocarbons

CO2 Carbon dioxide

CO2e Carbon dioxide equivalent

CPS Country Partnership Strategy

DA Designated Account

ExCom Executive Committee of the MLF

EMF Environmental Management

Framework

EMP Environmental Management Plan

FM Financial Management

FTRA Foam Technology Replacement

Agreement

FTRP Foam Technology Replacement

Proposal

GA Grant Agreement (between Indonesia

and the World Bank)

GHG Greenhouse Gas

GOI Government of Indonesia

GWP Global Warming Potential

HC Hydrocarbon

HCFC Hyrdochlorofluorocarbons

HFC Hydrofluorocarbon

HPMP HCFC Phase-out Management Plan

IA Implementing Agency

MDI Methylene Diphenyl Isocyanate

MLF Multilateral Fund for the

Implementation of the Montreal

Protocol

MOE Ministry of Environment

MOF Ministry of Finance

MP Montreal Protocol on Substances that

Deplete the Ozone Layer

MT Metric Tons (of ODS)

NOU National Ozone Unit

NPV Net Present Value

ODP Ozone Depleting Potential

ODP tons ODS measured in ODP equivalent tons

ODS Ozone Depleting Substance

ORAF Operational Risk Assessment

Framework

OP/BP Operational / Business Policy

ORAF Operational Risk Assessment

Framework

PAD Project Appraisal Document

PDO Project Development Objective

PMA Project Management Assistant

PMU Project Management Unit

POM Project Operations Manual

PU Polyurethane

TA Technical Assistance

TOR Terms of Reference

UNDP United Nations Development Program

UNIDO United Nations Industrial Development

Organization

Regional Vice President: Axel von Trotsenburg, EAPVP

Country Director: Stefan G. Koeberle, EACIF

Sector Director: John A. Roome, EASSD

Sector Managers: George Soraya (acting) (EASIS)

Task Team Leader: Johannes Heister, EASER

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INDONESIA

HCFC Phase-out in the PU Foam Sector Project

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Page

I. INTRODUCTION AND STRATEGIC CONTEXT ...........................................................7 A. Country Context ............................................................................................................ 7

B. Sector and Institutional Context.................................................................................. 10 C. Higher Level Objectives to which the Project Contributes ........................................ 14

II. PROJECT DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVES....................................................................14 A. Project Development Objective (PDO) ...................................................................... 14 B. Project Beneficiaries ................................................................................................... 15 C. PDO Level Results Indicators ..................................................................................... 15

III. PROJECT DESCRIPTION ................................................................................................15 A. Project Components .................................................................................................... 15

B. Project Financing ........................................................................................................ 17

IV. IMPLEMENTATION ........................................................................................................17 A. Institutional and Implementation Arrangements ........................................................ 17

B. Results Monitoring and Reporting .............................................................................. 18

C. Sustainability............................................................................................................... 19

V. Key Risks and Mitigation Measures ..................................................................................20 A. Risk Ratings Summary Table ..................................................................................... 20

B. Overall Risk Rating Explanation ................................................................................ 20

VI. APPRAISAL SUMMARY ................................................................................................20

A. Economic and Financial Analyses .............................................................................. 20 B. Technical Analysis ...................................................................................................... 22

C. Financial Management ................................................................................................ 23 D. Procurement ................................................................................................................ 24 E. Social (including safeguards) ...................................................................................... 24 F. Environment (including safeguards) ........................................................................... 25

Annex 1: Results Framework and Monitoring...............................................................................26

Annex 2: Detailed Project Description ..........................................................................................27

Annex 3: Implementation Arrangements .......................................................................................34

Annex 4: Operational Risk Assessment Framework (ORAF) .......................................................41

Annex 5: Implementation Support Plan .........................................................................................47

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PAD DATA SHEET

INDONESIA

HCFC Phase-Out in the PU Foam Sector Project

PROJECT APPRAISAL DOCUMENT

EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC

EASIS

Basic Information

Date: July 2, 2013 Sectors: Other industry (90%); Central government administration (10%)

Country Director: Stefan G. Koeberle Themes: Pollution management and environmental health (50%);

Environment policies and institutions (50%)

Sector Manager/Director: George Soraya (acting) (EASIS) EA Category: B

Project ID: P115763

Lending Instrument: Specific Investment Loan (SIL) Team Leader(s): Johannes Heister

Does the project include any CDD component? No

Joint IFC: No .

Borrower: Republic of Indonesia

Responsible Agency: Ministry of Environment

Contact: Ms. Ir. Emma Rachmawaty MSc Title: Assistant Deputy Minister for Mitigation and Atmospheric

Function Preservation, Ministry of Environment

Telephone No.: 62-21-8517164 Email: .

Project Implementation Period: Start Date: June 1, 2013 End Date: December 31, 2015

Expected Effectiveness Date: July 15, 2013

Expected Closing Date: June 30, 2016 .

Project Financing Data(US$M)

[ ] Loan [ X ] Grant [ ] Other

[ ] Credit [ ] Guarantee

For Loans/Credits/Others

Total Project Cost : US$ 3.63 million Total Bank Financing: US$ 2.71 million (MLF grant)

Total Co-financing: US$ 0.92 million Financing Gap : .

Financing Source Amount(US$M)

BORROWER / BENEFICIARIES 0.92

IBRD 0.00

IDA: New 0.00

IDA: Recommitted 0.00

Others: Montreal Protocol Investment Fund 2.71

Financing Gap

Total 3.63 .

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Expected Disbursements (in USD Million)

World Bank Fiscal Year

FY 13 FY14 FY15

Annual 1.38 1.00 0.33

Cumulative 1.38 2.38 2.71 .1

Project Development Objective(s)

The Project Development Objective is to reduce the consumption of HCFC-141b in the foam sector in Indonesia in order to contribute to the government’s

effort to comply with Indonesia’s HCFC phase-out obligations under the Montreal Protocol. .

Components

Component Name Cost (USD Millions)

Component 1: Investment in HCFC-141b Consumption Reductions in the PU Foam Sector

Component 2: Technical Assistance and Policy Support

Component 3: Project Management

3.37

0.13

0.13

3.63 .

Compliance

Policy

Does the project depart from the CAS in content or in other significant respects? Yes [ ] No [X] .

Does the project require any exceptions from Bank policies? Yes [ ] No [X]

Have these been approved by Bank management? Yes [ ] No [X]

Is approval for any policy exception sought from the Board? Yes [ ] No [X]

Does the project meet the Regional criteria for readiness for implementation? Yes [X] No [ ] .

Safeguard Policies Triggered by the Project Yes No

Environmental Assessment OP/BP 4.01 X

Natural Habitats OP/BP 4.04 X

Forests OP/BP 4.36 X

Pest Management OP 4.09 X

Physical Cultural Resources OP/BP 4.11 X

Indigenous Peoples OP/BP 4.10 X

Involuntary Resettlement OP/BP 4.12 X

Safety of Dams OP/BP 4.37 X

Projects on International Waters OP/BP 7.50 X

Projects in Disputed Areas OP/BP 7.60 X .

Legal Covenants

Name Recurrent Due Date Frequency

(1) Technical consultant no 4 months after date of grant

agreement

once

Description of Covenant: The grant Recipient shall appoint a technical consultant with qualifications, experience, and terms of reference satisfactory to the

Recipient and the World Bank.

(2) Project Implementation Plan no Dec. 31, 2014 once

Description of Covenant: The Recipient shall prepare a Project implementation plan for year 2015 and 2016 and obtain World Bank approval. (Note: the

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plan for the period until Dec. 31, 2014 was prepared and approved during project preparation.)

Team Composition

Bank Staff

Name Title Specialization Unit UPI

Benardita Ledesma Operations Analyst Operations Analyst EASER 18902

Erik Pedersen Consultant Consultant EASER 71706

Viraj Vithoontien Sr. Environmental Specialist Team Member EASER 86438

Isono Sadoko Consultant Social Safeguard Specialist EASID 91783

Ahsan Ali Lead Procurement Specialist Lead Procurement Specialist EASR1 150763

Daniel Sebayang Consultant Consultant EASIS 158540

Johannes Heister Sr. Environmental Specialist Task Team Leader EASER 86438

Retno Anna Widiana Team Assistant Team Assistant EASIF 193418

Seble Berhanu Legal Analyst Legal Analyst LEGES 202916

Ina Pranoto Sr. Environmental Specialist Co-TTL (Jakarta) EASIS 238172

Fnu Hanny Program Assistant Program Assistant EASER 282386

Marjorie Mpundu Senior Counsel Senior Counsel LEGES 289323

Enggar Prasetyaningsih Procurement Analyst Procurement Analyst EASR1 357939

I Gusti Ngurah Wijaya Kusuma Financial Management Analyst Financial Management Analyst EASFM 346649

Kian Siong E T Consultant Env. Safeguard Specialist EASIS 349095

Name Title Office Phone City .

Locations

Country First Administrative

Division

Location Planned Actual Comments

Indonesia National Ozone Unit of

Ministry of Environment

Jakarta X X A tentative list of foam

companies that are eligible for

financing have been identified

in the project document.

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I. INTRODUCTION AND STRATEGIC CONTEXT

1. Hydrochlorofluorocarbons (HCFCs) are Ozone Depleting Substances (ODS), subject to

consumption and production control measures of the Montreal Protocol on Substances that

Deplete the Ozone Layer (MP). The MP requires gradual phase-out of HCFCs starting from

2013 and leading to a complete phase-out of HCFC consumption and production by 2030 for

developing countries known as “Article 5” countries. The HCFC Phase-out Project for the Foam

Sector (the Project) will contribute to Indonesia’s effort to meet its 2013 and 2015 MP

obligations by addressing HCFC-141b consumption in the PU foam sector.

2. HCFCs were introduced as transitional substances to replace the wide use of

chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) that were phased out globally as of January 1, 2010 as required by

the MP. HCFCs are used primarily as refrigerants in refrigeration and air-conditioning

equipment and as blowing agents for producing PU foam.

3. In 2007, the Parties to the Protocol adopted Decision XIX/6, accelerating the HCFC

consumption and production phase-out schedule for both developed and developing countries,

with the latter being subject to a freeze on HCFC consumption and production as early as 2013

and complete phase-out by 2030. A major driver for the adjustment to the Protocol is that

HCFCs are not only ODS with an ozone depleting potential (ODP), but also greenhouse gases

(GHG) with a global warming potential (GWP) ranging from several hundred to several

thousand times that of carbon dioxide (CO2). As per Decision XIX/6 of the Parties to the MP,

Parties are encouraged to promote the selection of alternatives to HCFCs that minimize

environmental impact, in particular impact on climate, as well as meeting other safety, health

standards and economical consideration.

Table 1: ODP and GWP of CFCs and HCFCs

HCFC ODP*) GWP**) Atmospheric life

HCFC-141b 0.11 725 9.3 year

HCFC-22 0.055 1,810 12 year

HCFC-123 0.02 77 1.3 year

HCFC-124 0.02 609 5.8 year

HCFC-142b 0.065 2,310 17.9 year

Alternatives

HFC-245fa 0 950 7.2 year

HFC-365mfc 0 890 9.9 year

Cyclo-pentane 0 25 days *) ODP values from the 2006 MP Handbook

**) GWP values from IPCC’s Fourth Assessment Report: Climate Change 2007

A. Country Context

4. Indonesia is the largest economy in Southeast Asia and is one of the emerging market

economies of the world. The country is also a member of the G-20. Indonesia has a market

economy, but the government plays a significant role, owning more than 164 enterprises and

regulating prices on several basic goods, including fuel, rice, and electricity. In the aftermath of

the financial and economic crisis that began in mid-1997, the government took drastic actions,

restructuring its economy and banking system. The national economy has since recovered and

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Indonesia has experienced rapid economic growth at a rate of 6.5 per cent of GDP in 2011 and

6.2 per cent in 2012 (World Bank data).

5. The Government of Indonesia (GOI) is committed to protecting and preserving both the

local and the global environment. In keeping with its commitments, Indonesia is a Party to the

MP and operates under MP Article 5. As such, GOI is eligible for financial and technical

assistance (TA) from the Multilateral Fund for the Implementation of the MP (MLF) for meeting

its MP obligations. Since 1993, the government has undertaken a number of ODS Phase-out

projects under the MP, including the sector plans for the phase-out of CFC-11 in the PU foam

sector and CFC-12 in the mobile air conditioning sector. By 1 January 2008, Indonesia had

completed its phase-out of CFC-11 consumption in the foam sector, two years ahead of its MP

obligations, and phase-out of CFC-12 consumption in the mobile air conditioning sector was

completed by January 2010.

6. Indonesia is also a Party to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change

and the Kyoto Protocol and has agreed to limit the impact of climate change, save energy,

promote green growth and move towards a low-carbon economy. In line with this initiative,

Indonesia has set a voluntary target to reduce CO2 emission by 26% in 2020.1 Replacing the use

GHGs with a high GWP such as HCFCs with lower GWP alternatives provides an excellent

opportunity for synergies between the MP and climate related initiatives as per Decision XIX/6

of the MP Parties.

7. GOI is now poised to embark on the first stage of its HCFC phase-out. As per the Decision

of the Parties to the MP, the MLF will finance the cost of phasing out HCFCs in Article 5

countries. And the Executive Committee of the MLF (ExCom) requested Article 5 countries to

prepare an overall HCFC Phase-out Management Plan (HPMP) to be submitted with the first

request for funding for HCFC phase-out. The proposed Project is part of GOI’s efforts to

implement the HPMP.

8. ExCom also decided to adopt a staged approach to the HCFC phase-out. Stage 1 (2013-

2015) will assist countries in reducing their consumption to the baseline freeze level in 2013 and

further reduce their consumption to 90% of the baseline in 2015. Subsequent funding for Stage 2

of the HPMP will assist countries in meeting the reduction target of 65% of the baseline in 2020.

Stage 2 will address the remaining consumption of HCFC-141b in the foam sector. It is expected

that HCFC used for manufacturing of products will be phased out completely by 2020. The

residual HCFC consumption after 2020 is expected to be for servicing of refrigeration equipment

only.

9. As per MLF guidelines, Indonesia can request financial assistance as early as 2014 for

meeting its 2020 reduction target, and GOI plans to submit this request to ExCom in 2014. When

Stage 2 is approved, the MLF funding presently scheduled for release in 2018 (final tranche of

Stage 1) will be rolled into a revised Agreement with ExCom and requested in 2015 instead. The

proposed Project is currently limited to Stage 1, but is expected to be extended through

“additional financing” to include funding for Stage 2 as early as 2015.

1 Presidential Regulation of the Republic of Indonesia Number 61 Year 2011 on the National Action Plan for Greenhouse Gas

Emissions Reduction.

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10. An overall HPMP to meet the consumption freeze and reduction to 90% of baseline

consumption was developed with support from UNDP and the World Bank. UNDP was the Lead

Implementing Agency (IA) for the HPMP Stage 1 preparation, while the World Bank, in close

collaboration with GOI, developed the HCFC Phase-out in the Foam Sector Plan.

11. ODS consumption is defined by the MP as ODS production plus ODS import minus ODS

export. As Indonesia does not produce any of the ODS substances, its HCFC consumption is

calculated on the basis of the net import of HCFCs. Using 2007 to 2010 import data, which is

based on information from different sources (Customs Office; Central Bureau of Statistics;

mandatory reporting by registered importers to the Ministry of Trade; data from Ministry of

Environment), the national HCFC consumption was established. The HCFC consumption data

reported to the Ozone Secretariat of the MP (Article 7 data) is shown in Table 2 below. From

2007 to 2010, the overall growth in HCFC consumption in ODP terms was 14.73%, a significant

growth mainly due to the overall economic growth.

Table 2: HCFC Consumption (Article 7 data) by type of HCFC

HCFCs 2007 2008 2009 2010

MT*) ODP tons*) MT ODP tons MT ODP tons MT ODP tons

HCFC-22 3,094.0 170.2 3,668.4 201.8 4327.0 237.9 5396.8 296.8

HCFC-141b 1007.5 110.8 874.2 127.7 1186.0 130.5 1225.2 134.8

HCFC-123 288.4 5.8 91.5 1.8 318.0 6.4 66.4 1.3

HCFC-124 0.1 0 0 0 0.1 0 0.1 0

HCFC-225 0.5 0 1.4 0 0.6 0 0 0

Total (MT) 4,390.43 286.78 4635.45 331.3 5,831.73 374.82 6689.21 433.00

*) MT indicates metric tons of ODS, ODP tons measures ODS in ODP equivalent tons.

12. The baseline level of HCFC consumption for Indonesia, based on the average of the

reported HCFC import in 2009 and 2010 Article 7 data, is 403.91 ODP tons. As seen from Table

2, the consumption and control targets are the aggregate consumption for all HCFCs combined.

Table 3 shows the HCFC phase-out schedule for Indonesia and the phase-out plan for Stage 1 of

the HPMP.

Table 3: HCFC Phase-out Schedule for Indonesia (ODP tons)

Year of

reduction

Allowed level of HCFC

consumption

MP HCFC

consumption limit*)

Allowed HCFC consumption as

per ExCom agreement*)

Reported baseline (2009 and 2010 average) 403.91

2013 Freeze at baseline level 403.91 402.2

2015 90% of the baseline 363.52 362.0

2018 321.8

2020 65% of the baseline 262.54 Not decided

2025 32.5 % of the baseline 131.27 Not decided

2030 2.5% of the baseline 10.10 Not decided

2040 No consumption of HCFCs 0 0 *) Note that the phase-out schedule agreed with ExCom was based on preliminary consumption data for 2010. This resulted in

a difference between the MP HCFC consumption limits (column 3) and the allowed ODP consumption as per ExCom

Agreement (column 4).

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13. Indonesia submitted its HPMP together with a request for funding for Stage 1 in 2011.

Stage 1 of the HPMP will phase-out 134.97 ODP tons by 2015 in order to reduce HCFC

consumption to 362.0 ODP tons (based on estimated HCFC consumption in 2012 of 496.97 ODP

tons, see footnote in Table 7). During Stage 1, the majority of the planned reduction, namely

131.3 tons, will come from the manufacturing sub-sectors and only 3.67 tons from servicing sub-

sectors.

B. Sector and Institutional Context

14. Indonesia’s continued economic growth and improved living standards has resulted in an

increased demand for products containing HCFCs, such as refrigerators, air-conditioning and PU

foam for insulation, at a time when the country sets out to reduce its consumption of HCFCs.

Hence, the phase-out of HCFCs will be a challenge and will require introduction of alternatives

to HCFCs and a strict control of imports of HCFCs.

15. The consumption of CFCs in Indonesia peaked in 1996 at the level of 9,012 ODP tons. The

CFCs used in Indonesia were mainly CFC-11 and CFC-12. Both of these chemicals were widely

used as refrigerants in refrigeration equipment and as blowing agents in the PU foam sectors.

GOI completed its phase-out of CFC consumption by January 1, 2008.

16. The World Bank, as IA, assisted GOI in phasing out 6,892 ODP tons of CFCs in six ODS

consuming sectors. The PU foam sector was the largest CFCs consuming sector, followed by the

refrigeration sector and the fire protection sector (halons). Table 4 shows the number of

participating enterprises and ODS consumption phased out with World Bank assistance as IA.2

Table 4: CFC and Halon Phased-out by Sectors

17. The sectorial distribution of HCFC consumption is shown in Table 5. The Table gives a

breakdown of consumption used for manufacturing and servicing of refrigeration equipment in

sectors, i.e. refrigeration equipment manufacturing and servicing and PU foam production. The

growth in the PU foam sector over the past years has been around 7%. The projected baseline for

the HCFC consumption sectors are shown in Table 6.

2 The Technical Completion Report for Ozone Depleting Substance Phase-out (Trust Fund 021928)-IND, 20 December 2010,

Ministry of Environment Indonesia.

No. Sector No. of sub-

project

No. of

participating

enterprises

Planned

phase-out

(MT)

%

Actually

phased-out

(MT)

%

1 Foam 28 180 3,591.70 50% 3,087.60 45%

2 Refrigeration 14 920 1,527.67 21% 1,527.67 22%

3 Halon 2 4 1,437 20% 1,654 24%

4 Solvent 4 4 24 0.33% 22 0.32%

5 Aerosol & MDI 4 34 546 8% 546 8%

6 Tobacco 1 2 90 1% 54 1%

7 TA 2 2

- -

TOTAL 55 1,146 7,217 100% 6,892 100%

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Table 5: Distribution by Sector of HCFCs Used in 2009 (MT and ODP tons)

HCFC using sector HCFC-22 HCFC-141b HCFC-123 HCFC-124 HFC-225 Total (ODP)

MANUFACTURING

Air conditioning 587.27 32.30

Refrigeration sector 165.09 413.00 54.51

Foam sector 773.00 85.03

Fire fighting 152.00 0.14 3.04

Solvent 0.58 0.01

SERVICING

Refrigeration 3574.72 166.00 0 0 199.93

Total (MT) 4,327.01 1,186.00 318.00 0.14 0.58 5,831.73

Total (ODP tons) 237.99 130.46 6.36 0 0.01 374.82

Table 6: Projected Baseline per Sector (ODP tons)

Sector HCFC consumption Projected baseline

2009 2010 Manufacturing Servicing Total

Air-conditioning 168.96 196.16 34.90 147.66 182.56

Refrigeration 114.46 137.18 55.61 70.21 125.82

Firefighting 3.04 3.26 2.15 1.00 3.15

Foams 85.03 96.19 90.61 0 90.61

Solvent 0.03 0.01 0.02 0 0.02

Total 371.52 432.80 183.29 218.87 402.16

18. Reduction for Stage 1 compliance: Baseline consumption data has been calculated for

each sector based on 2009 and 2010 HCFC consumption data. Taking consumption growth into

account, the HCFC consumption in 2012 is estimated to be 496.97 ODP tons. Table 7 shows the

reduction target for each of the HCFC consuming sectors.

19. HCFC-141b is used in the PU foam manufacturing sector for insulation in refrigerators,

thermo wares, buildings etc. and in integral skin and as insulation in the commercial refrigeration

sector. As per the Article 7 data, the baseline consumption of HCFC-141b is 132.6 ODP tons

(1205.6 MT) with 90.61 ODP tons (823.73 MT) used in the PU foam sector and 42.42 ODP tons

(385.64 MT) used in the commercial refrigeration sector. The phase-out of HCFC-141b

consumption for commercial refrigeration will be addressed through the Commercial

Refrigeration Sector Plan.

20. As per ExCom agreement, Indonesia will reduce its HCFC-141b consumption in the PU

foam sector to 90.61 ODP tons (823.73 MT) in 2013 and to 81.55 ODP tons (741.36 MT) from

in 2015. Table 8 shows a comparison between the estimated baseline consumption until 2016

without any reduction efforts and the agreed phase-out targets.

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Table 7: Agreed ODP Consumption Reduction by 2015 as per HPMP (ODP tons)

Component IA

Sector

baseline

consumption

Estimated

consumption

in 2012

HCFC consumption reduction

targets in 2015 per sector*)

HCFC-22 HCFC-141b Total

Air conditioning sector UNDP 34.90 34.87 32.27 0 32.27

Refrigeration sector UNDP 54.51 54.51 9.08 45.43 54.51

Foam sector World

Bank 80.21

101.52

0 34.12 34.12

Group project for four

foam companies UNIDO 10.4 0 10.4 10.4

Fire Protection

(HCFC-123) UNDP 3.15 3.15 0 0 0

Solvent (HCFC-225) UNDP 0.02 0.02 0 0 0

Subtotal Manufacturing

183.29 194.07 41.35 89.95 131.3

Servicing air

conditioners sector**) UNDP 147.66 172.08 0 0 0

Servicing commercial

refrigeration sector**) 70.21 82.55 0 0 0

Fire protection 1.0

TA for refrigerant

management Australia na na 3.67 0 3.67

Total

402.16 448.7***) 45.02 89.95 134.97 *) The columns under “consumption reduction targets” show the 2015 targets agreed with ExCom.

**) HCFC-22 service demand in the air conditioning and refrigeration sector is estimated to grow by 5% p.a. in 2011 and 2012.

***) The total estimated HCFC consumption in 2012 is 496.97 ODP tons. The respective number reported in Table 7 (448.7) is

based on an error in the HPMP related to the air conditioning and refrigeration sectors, but this does not affect the Project.

Table 8: Consumption of HCFC-141b in the PU Foam Sector: Baseline and Phase-out Targets (ODP tons)

PU foam sector Baseline 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

HCFC-141b consumption*) 90.61 102 112 123 135 149

With the proposed HCFC-141b phase-out plan 90.61 102 90.61 90.61 81.55 81.55 *) Calculated at an estimated business-as-usual growth rate of 10%.

21. Foam manufacturing companies in Indonesia using HCFC-141b can be divided into two

main groups: rigid PU foam and integral skin foam. In 2009, 55 foam companies were producing

rigid PU foam, 18 companies integral skin foam and three companies both rigid PU foam and

integral skin foam. The majority of the PU foam companies are small to medium-size, with only

15 companies considered as larger HCFC-141b users. The sector can be divided into eight sub-

sectors based on the use of the foam:

PU foam for insulation in appliances (domestic refrigerators and freezers),

thermo wares,

water heaters,

sandwich panels,

PU foam for insulation in refrigerated trucks,

spray foam,

block foam for insulation, and

integral skin foams for the automotive and furniture industry.

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22. Collection of HCFC consumption data for the foam sector was undertaken by the

Technical Working Group mandated by the Ministry of Environment (MOE) and supported by

review and analysis of data by a foam technical expert contracted by the World Bank on behalf

of MOE.

23. Based on a review of over 100 foam companies identified, it was concluded that the most

effective and sustainable way forward is to phase-out HCFC-141b by sub-sectors, selecting sub-

sectors first where alternatives are known and available in Indonesia. The sub-sectors selected

are insulation foam for refrigeration appliances (domestic refrigerators and freezers), insulation

foam refrigerated trucks and integral skin foam.

24. As shown in Table 9, there are about 26 companies in these three sub-sectors eligible for

MLF funding with a total consumption of 304.8 MT of HCFC-141b in 2009 (or 33.53 ODP

tons)3 and an estimated consumption of 360 MT in 2012.

Table 9: Number of Foam Companies and Consumption by Sub-sectors (2008-12)

Sub-sectors Number of

companies

2008

consumption

2009

consumption

Estimated

consumption

in 2012

Domestic refrigerators and freezers 5 168.7 164.5 194.3

Refrigerated trucks 3 5.9 6.7 7.9

Integral skin foam 18 83.6 133.6 157.8

Sum 26 258.2 304.8 360.0

25. Due to the limited funding available from the MLF and the fact that the conversion at most

companies will only be partially funded, the MLF guidelines for funding of capital cost only

were used to determine the funding level for participating companies as shown in Table 10.

Table 10: Proposed Funding for PU Foam Companies Based on their HCFC-141b Consumption

Annual

HCFC-141b

consumption

Number of

companies Aggregate

HCFC-141b

consumption

(MT)

Proposed

technology

Maximum

funding per

company

Total MLF

funding

Average cost

effectiveness

(US$/kg) Rigid

foam

Integral

skin

0-5 MT 5 10 29.206 HFC-245fa 35,000*) 525,000 17.98

5.01-10 MT 5 36.785 HFC-245fa 70,000*) 350,000 9.51

10.01-20 MT 3 52.364 HFC-245fa 70,000*) 210,000 4.01

20.01-50 MT 2 43.51 HC TBD 500,000 11.49

>50.01 MT 1 115.055 HC TBD 700,000 6.08 *) Additional funding of US$10,000 to seven companies with 2 foaming units.

26. Rationale for Bank Involvement. Since 2004, World Bank support for Indonesia has

moved towards supporting a country-led and owned policy agenda, consistent with Indonesia’s

emerging status as a middle-income country. As per the 2009 to 2012 Country Partnership

Strategy (CPS) for Indonesia, World Bank assistance is focused on five core areas: (i) private

sector development, (ii) infrastructure, (iii) community development and social protection, (iv)

education, and (v) environmental sustainability and disaster mitigation. The CPS for 2013-2014

was discussed in December 2012, confirming the Bank Group’s role in sharing development

3 One MT of HCFC-141b is equivalent to 0.11 ODP tons.

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solutions for an emerging Indonesia with a focus on private sector and sustainable development.

The proposed Project falls within the area of private sector development and environmental

sustainability; it also supports sustainable development through the strengthening of institutions

and their technical and management capacity.

27. The Bank has been engaged in ODS phase-out activities in Indonesia since the early 1990s.

The Bank served as Indonesia’s partner in the implementation of the earlier ODS program,

eliminating an annual use of 6,892 ODS tons of CFCs and halons (Table 4). As both CFCs and

halons are high GWP gases (Table 1), the use of alternatives with lower GWP resulted in an

annual reduction equivalent to 43 million tons of CO2. For Indonesia, in particular the Bank’s

assistance was strategically important and effective in bringing down the demand of CFC during

the period 1995 to 2004 and to achieve a complete phase-out of ODS consumption by 2008, two

years ahead of the MP requirements. The proposed Project is a continuation of the successful

partnership with Indonesia on ozone protection.

C. Higher Level Objectives to which the Project Contributes

28. The Project will assist Indonesia to meets its obligations as a Party to the MP. In addition,

the Project will benefit the global climate as the replacement of HCFCs by chemicals with lower

GWP will lead to a permanent reduction in CO2 equivalent (CO2e) emissions of at least 290,267

tons by the end of 2015, if the Project is implemented as planned. The Project is consistent with

the CPS by making non-ODS and low carbon technologies available to the PU foam industry

through technology transfer. The Project will therefore improve the competitiveness of the foam

industry and benefit it in both the domestic and export markets. The Project will contribute to

institutional capacity building and enhance the management capacity of the institutions engaged

in implementing the MP in Indonesia. The Project is consistent with Indonesia’s national policy

as it focuses on industrialization and modernization to meet the overall objective of continued

economic growth and sustainable development.

II. PROJECT DEVELOPMENT OBJECTIVES

A. Project Development Objective (PDO)

29. The Project Development Objective is to reduce the consumption of HCFC-141b in the

foam sector in Indonesia in order to contribute to the government’s effort to comply with

Indonesia’s HCFC phase-out obligations under the Montreal Protocol.

30. Indonesia’s MP obligation within the Project period is: (i) to return the consumption of

HCFC to the average consumption level of 2009 and 2010 (baseline) in 2013 and (ii) to further

reduce HCFC consumption to 90% of the baseline in 2015. These obligations are to be achieved

through the reduction of consumption from all sub-sectors covered by the HPMP (i.e. not only

the foam sector covered by the Project). The HCFC-141b reductions supported by this Project

will be carried out in a manner that maximizes the climate co-benefits through the introduction

of low GWP alternatives where possible.

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B. Project Beneficiaries

31. The Project will benefit Project participants and other stakeholders in the following ways:

- About 26 PU foam companies (direct beneficiaries) – through a financial incentive for

the replacement of their HCFC-141b production technology.

- Polyol system houses and foam equipment suppliers – through introduction of zero ODP

and lower carbon technologies.

- New foam companies entering the foam market – through availability of new foam

production technologies in Indonesia.

- The Government of Indonesia – through financial and technical assistance to meet its

obligation under the MP.

- The local community – through public awareness and information about the MP and the

HCFC phase-out program.

- The global community – through preservation of the ozone layer and reduced emissions

of GHGs.

C. PDO Level Results Indicators

32. The following results indicators have been established, which are further detailed in the

Results Framework in Annex 1:

- Limit HCFC-141b imports for the PU foam sector to 90.61 ODP tons in 2013 and 2014.

- Limit HCFC-141b imports for the PU foam sector to 81.55 ODP tons in 2015 and 2016.

III. PROJECT DESCRIPTION

33. Reduction of HCFC-141b consumption in the PU foam sector is part of Stage 1 of the

Indonesian HPMP. The Project proposes a combination of policies, TA activities and financial

incentives to the PU foam industry. The Project will lead to global environmental benefits while

permitting the country to meet its development objectives of sustained economic growth and

industrial modernization.

A. Project Components

Component 1: Investment in HCFC-141b Consumption Reductions in the PU Foam Sector

(US$ 2,453,000)

34. The Project will provide investment support in the form of financial incentives to about 26

foam producing companies in the refrigeration appliances, refrigerated trucks and integral skin

foam sub-sectors, to phase out at least 360 MT of HCFC-141b and introduce alternative, non-

HCFC consuming production technologies. The investment support is planned to reduce demand

for HCFC-141b sufficiently to support the government’s import quota policy and meet the

Project’s phase-down results indicators in 2013 and 2015.

35. The three sub-sectors were selected by the HPMP to ensure Indonesia’s compliance with its

MP obligations, while facilitating implementation and sustainability of phase-out and using the

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MLF grant effectively and efficiently. The eligibility of these companies for MLF financial

support was confirmed through a survey and will be reconfirmed before Foam Technology

Replacement Agreements (FTRA) can be signed with them.

36. A financial incentive will be provided to each company based on their HCFC-141b

consumption in 2009 and 2010 and the costs of the technical alternative selected. The funding

can be used to modify existing or procure new foaming equipment and accessories including

storage facilities and safety equipment, chemicals, training and technology fees. Three larger

companies in the refrigeration appliance sub-sector plan to convert their foaming process to

cyclo-pentane – a flammable hydrocarbon (HC) – and the remaining 23 companies plan to use a

reduced HFC-245fa formulation as alternative foam blowing agent. It was confirmed that the

main foam system houses in Indonesia can supply the new chemicals.

Component 2: Technical Assistance and Policy Support (US$ 133,200)

37. The Project will provide TA to help GOI develop and implement (i) policies preventing

establishment of new and expansion of existing PU foam manufacturing facilities using HCFC-

141b to ensure that HCFC consumption levels for each HCFC stay below the agreed

consumption limits, and (ii) guidelines, policies and regulations to support the introduction of

new technologies that replace the use of HCFC-141b, for instance safety standards for HC use in

foam production, transport and storage of HC as a hazardous substance, and disposal of

redundant equipment.

38. The Project will provide TA, including training and workshops for the benefit of selected

foam producing companies, (i) to inform them about the objective of the Project and the

implementation arrangements, including, inter alia, Project cycle steps, application criteria for

financial incentives, Project supervision, commissioning and reporting requirements, and

procurement, financial management and environmental and social safeguards provisions, as

necessary; and (ii) to assist them with the preparation of conversion plans and proposals,

equipment specifications, Project implementation and preparation of completion reports.

39. The Project will provide TA to support the Project Management Unit (PMU) in (i)

evaluating alternative technologies, sub-project designs, review, supervision, verification and

other technical activities and overall Project management, and (ii) in delivering awareness

campaigns to target groups on the need to phase out HCFCs and on current and future regulatory

measures, including training for government authorities to allow them to become more effective

in controlling HCFC imports and in assisting foam companies with required safety audits and

permitting procedures.

Component 3: Project Management (US$ 127,987)

40. The Project will support the establishment of a PMU, which will be fully responsible for

the implementation of the Project, including Project management and monitoring and evaluation,

and verification of implementation of the sub-projects under Component 1. The PMU will be

responsible for the implementation of the HPMP in all sectors under Stage 1 regardless of the

supporting IA. To maintain expertise, project management capacity and continuity, staff and

experts who served the PMU for CFC phase-out will be assigned to this new unit.

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41. The main tasks of the PMU with regard to the Project will be to:

- Promote awareness of the HCFC-141b phase-out policy and projects,

- Review Foam Technology Replacement Proposals (FTRP) and funding requests,

- Prepare FTRAs to be signed by MOE and each beneficiary,

- Review requests for payment from beneficiaries and arrange disbursements,

- Prepare Project implementation plans and progress reports,

- Monitor sub-project implementation and results at company level,

- Prepare reports on sub-project activities, and

- Collect information on annual imports of HCFC-141b.

B. Project Financing

42. Lending Instrument. The Project will be supported through an MLF grant, for which a

total of US$ 2,714,187 was approved by ExCom in April 2011 for Stage 1 of the HPMP.

43. Project Cost and Financing. Table 11 shows the Project costs by components. The total

funding will be released by the MLF to the Bank in four tranches as per the Agreement between

GOI and ExCom. The first tranche of US$1,500,000 was released to the World Bank upon

approval by ExCom in 2011. In addition, participating foam enterprises will provide counterpart

funding for expenditures exceeding the funding provided by the MLF. This counterpart funding

is estimated at US$0.92 million.

Table 11: Total Project Cost (US$)

Project component Total Project

cost

Counterparty

funding Grant funding

Grant funding

(%)

1 Investment in HCFC-141b

consumption reduction 3,373,000 920,000 2,453,000 72.7

2 TA and policy support 133,200 0 133,200 100

3 Project management 127,987 0 127,987 100

Total 3,634,187 920,000 2,714,187

IV. IMPLEMENTATION

A. Institutional and Implementation Arrangements

44. The implementation of the proposed Project is inherently embedded in the organization and

implementation of the overall HPMP. At the 64th

ExCom Meeting in July 2011, GOI entered into

an agreement with ExCom on the reduction in consumption of HCFCs with the structure shown

in Figure 1. Accordingly, GOI has the overall responsibility for the management and

implementation of the Agreement – and of the HPMP and all activities undertaken by it or on its

behalf to fulfill its obligations, while UNDP functions as the Lead IA and UNIDO, the World

Bank and the Government of Australia as Cooperating IAs.

45. UNDP as Lead IA is responsible for annual verification of HCFC consumption and co-

ordination with the Cooperating IAs to ensure appropriate timing and sequencing of activities

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and reporting to the MLF. The Cooperating IAs will assist GOI in the implementation and

assessment of the activities funded by each Cooperating IA and report to the MLF through the

Lead IA.

46. MOE will establish the PMU under the National Ozone Unit (NOU). The PMU will be

tasked with the day-to-day management and implementation of the overall HPMP, including the

Foam Sector Plan. The PMU will be similar to the one set up for the earlier CFC phase-out

project. MOE will hire a Project Manager to lead the PMU. The Project will contribute the

following staff to the PMU: (i) a Project Management Assistant, (ii) a Financial Management

and Administrative Assistant, (iii) a foam sector Technical Consultant. Further details on the

organization of the PMU are included in Annex 3, in the Project Implementation Plan and in the

Project Operations Manual (POM).

Figure 1 – Organizational Structure of the HPMP for Indonesia

47. MOE will, through the PMU and the NOU, collaborate and coordinate with the Ministry of

Industry, Ministry of Trade and Customs Bureau to implement the import quota system for

HCFCs, review annual HCFC import license applications to ensure that licenses are provided

only to registered importers, and establish and publish the annual import quotas for the period

2013 through 2015.

B. Results Monitoring and Reporting

48. Monitoring and reporting will be carried out on three levels: (i) compliance with the MP

and ExCom agreement, (ii) implementation of the Foam Sector Plan, and (iii) results of sub-

project activities. The World Bank will monitor the success of the Project using the Results

Framework in Annex 1. More details on monitoring and reporting requirements are contained in

the POM.

WB

UNIDO

ExCom of the

Mulilateral Fund

Government of Indonesia represented by

Ministry of Environment

UNDP

Aust. Gov’t

A/C

Refrigeration

Foam

Foam

Tech Assistance

UNDP

(Lead

Implementing

Agency)

Agreement

UNIDO, WB,

Gov’t of

Australia

(Cooperating

Agencies)

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49. MOE, assisted by the PMU, will monitor and report on Indonesia’s compliance with the

MP and the Agreement with ExCom. In particular the consumption of HCFC will be monitored,

verified and reported to the Bank annually. The PMU will monitor Project implementation and

prepare the following reports for submission to the World Bank:

- Tranche Implementation Reports and Plans provide an overview of all Project

activities carried out in the reporting period and include the subsequent tranche

implementation plan. These reports and plans will be aggregated for all HPMP sub-

sectors and submitted by UNDP as Lead IA to ExCom.

- Financial Reports. Interim financial reports will be prepared semi-annually. The

Project’s annual financial statements will be prepared and independently audited and

submitted to the Bank along with an audit report.

- Sub-Project Verification Reports will record that the PMU has verified implemen-

tation and completion of each sub-project in compliance with the FTRA signed by each

participating foam company.

- Progress Reports will be prepared semi-annually to track the implementation of the

Project and the achievement of Project results milestones.

- A Project Completion Report will be prepared to account for the use of the MLF grant

and draw lessons from the Project’s implementation.

50. Project beneficiaries will monitor the implementation of their sub-projects and (i)

document and report to the PMU on achieved milestones as a prerequisite for the release of

incentive payments, and (ii) prepare a Sub-project Completion Report in the format required

by MLF for project completion reports to confirm the successful execution of each sub-project.

C. Sustainability

51. The Government of Indonesia is obligated, as a Party to the MP, to meet HCFC phase-out

obligations starting in 2013. This and the following design features of the HPMP and the chosen

sector phase-out strategy will ensure that any resurgence of HCFC use in the foam sector after

completion of the Project will be highly unlikely.

(i) Through policies and regulations GOI will establish an import quota and licensing

system for HCFC – similar to the one established for the phase-out of CFCs – to ensure

that imports of HCFC-141b will stay within the limits given by the MP and agreed with

ExCom. In addition, Indonesia will, through its environmental regulatory system, prevent

the use of HCFC in new companies entering the market.

(ii) The sectoral phase-out strategy allows GOI to address all enterprises in the targeted

sub-sectors at the same time, thereby preventing unfair competition between companies

serving the same market segment. This will avoid competitive pressures that could

otherwise build up, undermine the phase-out effort, and lead to a resurgence of HCFC use

and (illegal) HCFC imports.

52. The sectoral approach will also (i) facilitate carrying out TA activities for beneficiaries,

government agencies and other stakeholders at the sector level, (ii) help establish verifiable

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HCFC phase-out performance indicators and targets, (iii) provide opportunities to promote and

introduce zero-ODP and a low-GWP alternative technologies in a large number of companies,

and (iv) allow to introduce an Environmental Management Framework (EMF) with occupational

health and safety requirements for the entire sub-sector requiring certain companies (that

switching to HC) to prepare an Environmental Management Plan (EMP) that will avoid or

minimizes any potential environmental and health/safety risks.

V. KEY RISKS AND MITIGATION MEASURES

A. Risk Ratings Summary Table

Table 12: Risk Summary

Risk Description Risk Rating

Stakeholder Risks Moderate

Implementing Agency Risks

Capacity Moderate

Governance Low

Project Risks

Design Moderate

Social and Environment Moderate

Program and Donor Low

Delivery Monitoring and Sustainability Moderate

Overall Implementation Risks Moderate

B. Overall Risk Rating Explanation

53. As indicated in Table 12 and detailed in the Operational Risk Assessment Framework

(ORAF) in Annex 4, the overall implementation risk of the Project is rated “Moderate”.

Contributing to this rating is the relative safety of HC and HFC-245fa technology in foam

blowing applications and the experience of the NOU with the earlier CFC phase-out project,

which this Project emulates and which are further mitigated by Project design and

implementation arrangements. But residual risks nevertheless remain related to the technical

handling of flammable HCs and the availability of low-cost alternative blowing agents in

Indonesia, which could lead to slow Project implementation.

54. The earlier identified risk related to the financial capacity of small foam producing

companies in Indonesia to co-finance the Project has been addressed through a higher cost

effectiveness for funding of the conversion measures for small companies and the above

mentioned regulatory measures. And foam system houses and polyol suppliers have indicated

that they will be able to deliver the needed chemicals; however, the PMU will follow the

availability of alternatives closely and, if needed, will support chemical suppliers with TA.

VI. APPRAISAL SUMMARY

A. Economic and Financial Analyses

55. An economic analysis captures the Project’s impact on the entire economy, which, in this

case, would include, besides the foam sector, other sectors, consumers, and the government. The

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Indonesian and global society as a whole will benefit from reduced health risks due to lower

ozone layer depletion and use of chemicals with lower climate impact. In the absence of data on

ozone depletion and climate change impacts on direct health and other aspects of life in

Indonesia, it is impossible to carry out a quantitative analysis of these aspects; however, it is

expected that these impacts will be positive.

56. A financial analysis was carried out to assess the financial impact of the proposed Project

on the Indonesian PU foam industry. The financial analysis estimated the net incremental costs

in terms of investments in foaming equipment based on the selected foaming technologies. The

analysis also estimated the additional cost of raw materials for foam production, especially the

higher cost of HFCs compared to HCFC-141b. The analysis was carried out by comparing the

cost with and without the Project over a 20 year time frame.

57. Cyclo-pentane, HFC-245fa and water-based foaming technologies are well established and

investment and operating costs associated with these technologies are well known from a large

number of projects. The experience from the earlier CFC phase-out suggests that prices of

alternative technologies will go down over time. This is especially the case for HFCs that are

relatively new to developing countries and presently more costly than HCFC-141b as HFC

producers are recovering their investments. Since HFC patents are expiring, new HFC producers

are likely to enter the market, resulting in lower prices. As example, when HCFC-141b was

introduced in Article 5 countries, prices initially ranged from US$5 to US$8, but dropped to

US$2.5 to US$4 in the following year. It is expected that HFC-245fa prices will drop in a similar

way with the phase-out of HCFC-141b.

58. The Net Present Value (NPV) of the net incremental cost is about US$4.39 million higher

with the Project compared to a scenario without the Project, taking into account the financial

support provided by the MLF. This result is driven mainly by investments in plant modifications

needed for storage and use of cyclo-pentane, storage for HFC-245fa and the higher cost of HFC-

245fa supply over the analysis period of 20 years. The net impact will be smaller if the cost of

HFC-245fa decreases as a result of increased global supply of HFC-245fa and decreasing supply

of HCFC-141b. A drop of 33% in the price of HFCs over the coming years would reduce the net

incremental costs of the Project to close to zero. In addition, foam producers can be expected to

pass their net incremental costs on to their customers through increased prices for foam products.

The net incremental cost can be regarded as the co-financing that Indonesia provides for

achieving benefits associated with HCFC phase-out.

Table 13: Incremental Investment Cost by Cost Item

Cost items Blowing agent Estimated Cost*)

(US$/kg HCFC-141b)

HFC-245fa storage and retrofitting of foaming equipment HFC-245fa 10

HC storage, premix and foaming equipment HC 8

HC safety cost HC 4 *) The HFC-245fa cost effectiveness is based on average consumption by companies of 2,500 kg/year. The HC cost effectiveness

is based on average consumption by companies of 25,000 kg/year.

59. Table 13 shows the incremental cost for conversion to HFC-245fa and HC technologies.

The costs for HFC-245fa use include: storage room, retrofitting of foaming units, technology

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22

transfer and training. For HC use, the additional costs include: replacement of foaming

equipment and safety measures. The Table also lists the associated cost effectiveness indicator

defined as the incremental cost per kg of consumption of blowing agent (US$/kg). It should be

noted that the introduction of HC technology requires substantial initial investments, but that the

per unit cost decreases quickly with increasing production volumes, making this technology

attractive for the larger producers compared to HFC-245fa, which is preferred by small volume

foam producers despite the significantly higher cost of the blowing agent.

60. Table 14 summarizes the financial impact of the Project based on a net present value

analysis for the 26 foam enterprises over a 20-year time horizon. The main impact is associated

with the higher annual foam production cost with HFC-245fa compared to HCFC-141b and the

upfront investments for companies converting to cyclo-pentane. In contrast, the US$0.92 million

co-financing by the beneficiaries only takes into account the investment needed for conversion

measures and one year of incremental operating costs for foam production, while the financial

impact takes into account the investments and the foam production cost over 20 year.

Table 14: Financial Impact of the Project

Scenario NPV (US$)

NPV without HCFC Phase-out 11,906,263

NPV with HCFC phase-out 19,008,003

Impact of Project without MP support, NPV 7,101,740

MLF support 2,714,187

Impact of Project with MP support, NPV 4,387,553

B. Technical Analysis

61. The technical options for HCFC replacement in foam production were reviewed and have

been confirmed by the reports of the Foams Technical Options Committee at UNEP. The main

HCFC replacements cited are HCs, HFCs, and CO2 (water-blown). The use of HCFC-141b in

foam production has been phased out completely in non-Article 5 countries (developed

countries). Below are the technical options:

(i) Cyclo-pentane. The main alternative foam-blowing agent for PU rigid foams are HCs,

principally cyclo-pentanes. Technologies have been well established to accommodate

the flammability of cyclo-pentanes and to allow their safe use. However, this results in

a significant cost burden for enterprises, which must incorporate a series of safety

measures in their production facilities.

(ii) HFC-245fa and HFC-365mfc (HFC-365mfc mixed with HFC-227ea to eliminate

flammability of HFC-365mfc) have been developed to replace HCFC-141b in PU rigid

insulating foams. The requirement was to develop a non-flammable “liquid” blowing

agent. These HFCs are being used and the technology around them is being optimized.

There is comparatively little use of HFC-134a in PU insulating foams, but it is widely

used in XPS foams. However, all these alternatives have a relatively high GWP.

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(iii) CO2 (water) has often been cited as an alternative to HCFCs (and CFCs in the past),

but the foams based on this option have significantly reduced insulating properties. For

applications where insulation properties are not critical, the use of CO2 (water) as a co-

blowing agent with fluorocarbons is a viable route to reduce cost and improve flow, as

well as for reducing the GWP impact.

62. For integral skin-based components, the end-product manufacturers (automobile and

furniture producers) normally set the requirements for the foams in their products. Some of these

requirements specify the use of zero-ODS and low-GWP technologies such as CO2 (water). In

addition, HFC-134a is also used for some applications due to specific requirements. For both of

these technologies, an in-mold coating is often used to improved skin properties. For large

production volumes and particularly for parts for heavy-duty applications such as trucks, HC

technology is used to give a more robust skin. HFC-245fa is available but not widely used

among foam manufacturers, and the price is still much higher than HCFC-141b. HFC-245fa is

considered favorable compared to HFC-134a as it has lower GWP, lower cost, and a higher

boiling point. The higher boiling point makes it also easier to blend HFC-245fa with polyol.

63. Several new blowing agents (Methyl Formate, Methylal, HFO-1234ze, HBA-2, FEA-1100,

AFA-LI) are emerging and their evaluation is in progress. These evaluations include foaming

and flammability characteristics, foam properties, toxicological properties (in some cases) and

commercial costs and availability. Their ultimate use can only be recommended following

satisfactory results in these evaluations.

64. In conclusion, the Project anticipates that larger HCFC-141b consuming enterprises will

adopt the HC technology, except in the manufacturing of integral skin, where water blown (CO2)

systems are the most cost-effective conversion method, which also yield maximum climate

benefits. Smaller foam producers are expected to switch to HFC245fa as alternative technology,

which has cost advantages for lower production volumes due to much lower conversion costs.

The availability of HC and HFC technologies in the Indonesian market has been confirmed

through meetings with the main polyol system houses in Indonesia.

C. Financial Management

65. A Financial Management (FM) Assessment has been carried out to determine whether

the FM system of MOE has the capacity to produce timely, relevant and reliable financial

information on Project activities and whether the accounting systems for Project expenditures

and underlying internal controls are adequate to meet fiduciary requirements and allow the Bank

to monitor compliance with agreed implementation procedures and progress towards Project

objectives. Overall, the Project’s FM risk is assessed as being “Moderate”. The assessment noted

that MOE is experienced in managing World Bank-funded projects. Project management is

centralized in the NOU, which will simplify the day-to-day management of the Project.

(i) The main FM risk noted by the assessment is related to technical verification prior to

payments to Project beneficiaries. Several measures will be taken to minimize this risk.

A POM has been developed providing guidance on the technical verification to be

carried out prior to the disbursement of the incentive payment to beneficiaries. The

POM must be approved by the Bank before disbursement of any incentive payments.

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(ii) Interim Financial Reports will be requested on a semi-annual basis to facilitate

monitoring. The Project’s financial report will be subject to a financial audit by an

auditor accepted by the Bank.

(iii) A Designated Account (DA) in US dollars will be opened in the Bank of Indonesia

(central bank) under the name of Ministry of Finance (MOF) with a ceiling specified in

the World Bank grant disbursement letter. The DA will be solely used to finance

eligible Project expenditures. Payment processing from the DA will follow the

government system.

D. Procurement

66. Procurement under the Project will be carried out in accordance with the Bank’s

Procurement Guidelines and Consultant Guidelines, January 2011.

67. Under Project Component 1, any procurement for the HCFC conversion investments will

be carried out by the participating foam companies in accordance with established private sector

methods or commercial practices as per paragraph 3.13 of the Bank’s Procurement Guidelines.

The procurement risk inherent in this arrangement is considered minimal, because only a part of

the total investment cost will be reimbursed from the grant proceeds while the remaining cost

will be borne by the private foam companies, a fixed amount based on HCFC consumption rates

will be pre-established and included in the FTRA with recipient companies, and payments will

only be made after verification of compliance with pre-established performance targets and other

contractual requirements. This financing arrangement inherently takes into account the need of

the private foam companies to give due attention to economy and efficiency in their procurement

processes while following established private sector methods or commercial practices.

68. Procurement under Project Component 2 and 3 will comprise small value office equipment

and consultant services for which individual consultants will be hired. This procurement will be

carried out by the PMU following simple procurement methods such as Shopping and

comparison of CVs of at least three qualified candidates. The procurement risks associated with

the administration of the grant funds is consider low, since the Project is not procurement

intensive, and the PMU will draw on the experience with World Bank procurement procedures

that already exists in the NOU.

E. Social (including safeguards)

69. The Project will have positive social benefits as it will reduce the negative health impacts

associated with the destruction of the ozone layer and climate change. During Project preparation

it was confirmed that none of the targeted foam enterprises will have to close down and relocate

their production facilities as a consequence of or concomitant with the implementation of the

Project. The Project does therefore not involve any resettlement or land-use issues and the

related safeguard policies are not triggered. Consequently, the inclusion in the Project of any

company that plans to relocate its foam production to a new site requires special approval by the

World Bank. Of the identified 26 companies, the three converting to cyclo-pentane are situated

in industrial areas and can implement their technology conversion projects at their current

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locations. For the remaining companies, there is no health or safety issue associated with the

conversion from HCFC-141b to the use of HFC-245fa as foam blowing agent.

F. Environment (including safeguards)

70. The Project will have a positive impact on the global environment by reducing the use of

HCFC-141b, which is both an ODS with an ODP of 0.11 and a GHG with a global warming

potential of 780. HFC-245fa, too, has an impact on the global environment due to its GWP, but it

has no adverse local impacts as these chemicals are stable and not considered toxic or otherwise

dangerous for people’s health and the environment.

71. The Project will have multiple sub-projects; and the details of the situation and plans of

each company for their conversion to alternative foam blowing technologies are not known at the

time of appraisal. An EMF was therefore prepared by MOE and locally disclosed on 27 March

2013. The EMF provides guidance for both beneficiary enterprises and for MOE and the PMU

on the environmental management process to be followed in evaluating individual sub-projects

applying for funding. The EMF defines content, procedures and institutional responsibilities for

environmental management of the technology conversion sub-projects in each participating

company and ensures compliance with Indonesian Environmental and Safety Laws and

Regulations as well as with the World Bank’s Environmental Assessment policies and guidelines

as specified in OP/BP 4.01.

72. The EMF requires of each participating foam enterprise converting to HC technology to

prepare an EMP, which addresses site-specific impacts, flammability and explosion risks as well

as occupational health and safety risks related to the use of HCs as foam blowing agents. The

companies converting to HFCs will not need to prepare EMPs, because there is no environmental

or safety issue related to the use of HFC-245fa instead of HCFC-141b. But these companies will

have to update their Standard Operating Procedures, which will be verified by the PMU.

73. Project participants converting to HC must submit the EMP as part of their sub-project

proposal. The PMU will assess conformance of the EMP with the EMF’s requirements and

ensure that the EMP is acceptable to the Bank; after approval by the Bank, the EMP becomes a

part of the sub-grant agreement, compliance with which will be verified by the PMU.

74. The EMP must introduce appropriate OHS measures as well as emergency preparedness

and response measures for: (i) spill prevention, control, and countermeasures, (ii) prevention of

direct contact with and inhalation of MDI vapors (which can cause irritation), and (iii) fire

protection and countermeasures. In addition, the EMP must contain provisions for: (i) training of

enterprises’ managers and operational staff on environmental, health and safety requirements

during the conversion process and in the handling of HC (cyclo-pentane) in the foam production

process, and (ii) require at least one safety inspection and audit before the start-up of normal

foam production using cyclo-pentane.

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ANNEX 1: RESULTS FRAMEWORK AND MONITORING

The Project Development Objective is to reduce the consumption of HCFC-141b in the foam sector in Indonesia in order to contribute to the government’s effort to comply with Indonesia’s HCFC

phase-out obligations under the Montreal Protocol.

PDO Level Results

Indicators* Co

re

Unit of

Measure Baseline

Cumulative Target

Values** Reporting

Frequency

Data Source/

Methodology

Responsibility

for Data

Collection

Description

(indicator definition etc.) YR 1

(2013)

YR 2

(2014)

YR 3

(2015)

2013 and 2015 targets

for imports of HCFC-

141b met

ODP

tons 90.61 90.61 90.61 81.55 Annual

Customs records of

HCFC-141b

imports

PMU

The indicator measures HCFC-141b consumption (defined as imports) in

ODP tons. The baseline is the historic

average of 2009-2010.

Avoided CO2e

emissions as a result of

the conversion to low

GWP technology for the

PU foam sector

tCO2e 0 290,000 Once Production records of participating

enterprises

PMU

The indicator measures net avoided CO2-equivalent emissions based on the

quantity of alternative foam blowing agents used in lieu of HCFC-141b due

to the Project and their respective global

warming potential (GWP).

INTERMEDIATE RESULTS

Component 1: HCFC-141b phase-out

Agreements with

beneficiaries signed # 0 12 23 26 Annual

PMU progress

reports PMU Number of signed agreements

Component 2: Policies/regulations and TA

Issuance of annual

import quota Yes/No No Yes Yes Yes Annual

PMU progress

reports PMU Quota issued (yes) or not issued (no)

TA activities # 0 4 10 15 Annual PMU progress

reports PMU

Number of technical workshops,

training events and awareness activities

Component 3: Project management

Compliance with

reporting requirements % 0 100 100 100 Annual

PMU progress reports

PMU

Compliance measured as number of

delivered reports over number of

required reports times 100

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ANNEX 2: DETAILED PROJECT DESCRIPTION

1. The objective of the Project is to assist GOI with the implementation of the HPMP in the

foam sector, thereby contributing to the government’s endeavor to comply with Indonesia’s MP

obligations. The Project plans to achieve this through an MLF grant. The grant will finance part

of the cost of converting the production technology in about 26 foam producing companies,

which will replace HCFC-141b in foam blowing with cyclo-pentane or HFC245fa as blowing

agent (Component 1). In addition, the Project will assist GOI with formulation and

implementation of supporting policies and regulations and provide TA to foam blowing

enterprises, government agencies and other stakeholders (Component 2). The Project will also

finance Project management costs (Component 3).

2. The HPMP in the foam sector will be implemented in two stages. For Stage 1 (2013-15)

ExCom has made available US$2.71 million in MLF funding. Funding for Stage 2 (2016-20) is

expected to be decided in 2014/15 and would be used to support the technology conversion of

additional companies in the foam sector. The proposed Project is currently limited to Stage 1 but

is expected to be extended through “additional financing” to include funding for Stage 2 as early

as 2015. Consequently, the Project design, its components and implementation arrangements

have been set up in a manner suitable for seamless continuation after 2015, which is the current

end date for the proposed Project.

Component 1: Investment in HCFC-141b Consumption Reductions in the PU Foam Sector

(US$ 2,453,000)

Phase-out Strategy

3. The HCFC Foam Sector Plan that was prepared for MLF approval identified around 73 PU

foam companies using HCFC-141b in Indonesia with a total consumption of 874 MT in 2010.

HCFC-141b is imported in bulk by some of the larger foam producing companies and by polyol

suppliers. The polyol suppliers have in-house capacity for polyol formulations with HCFC-141b

and most of the foam companies in Indonesia are buying pre-blended polyols.

4. Of these 73 companies, 26 were identified as potential participants in Stage 1. All 26 were

established before September 2007, are 100% Indonesian owned and sell their products mainly

in the domestic market. 18 of the 26 companies received assistance from the MLF for CFC-11

phase-out and converted to HCFC-141b. Eight of these companies with a combined 2009

consumption of 157.8 MT produce rigid foam for domestic refrigerators, freezers and

refrigerated transportation and 18 companies with a combined 2009 consumption of 100 MT

produce integral skin for furniture and the automotive sectors. Of the 257.8 MT, 149.6 MT of

HCFC-141b will be replaced by HC and 108.2 MT by HFC-245fa / water formulations.

5. The methodology for the survey of HCFC-141b consumption in the foam sector applied a

top-down and a bottom-up approach. The data collected through the bottom-up approach was

eventually used as the primary source of information.

(i) The top-down survey collected HCFC-141b import data from the Customs Office, the

Ministry of Trade, the National Statistics Report, and from polyol suppliers importing

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HCFC-141b. The data was collected from 2006-08 and was verified against the

reported Article 7 Data.

(ii) The bottom-up survey was conducted by obtaining HCFC-141b data directly from PU

foam manufacturers. A survey list of 100 companies in rigid and integral skin foam

production was prepared and resulted in the collection of production data and

production baseline information from 70 foam companies. The information was

collected through workshops with PU foam enterprises and through a survey

questionnaire. The collected data was then corroborated through on-site visits.

6. The survey revealed that there was no substantial increase in the number of PU foam

producing companies in the last decade and up to the completion of the CFC phase-out in early

2009. The majority of the foam manufacturing companies are located in DKI Jaya, West Java

and East Java. Table 15 shows the location of the 26 companies and their HCFC-141b

consumption in 2006-08.

Table 15: HCFC-141b Consumption Trends in PU Foam Companies by Province

Province Number of

companies

HCFC 141B consumption record Average

2006-08 2006 2007 2008

DKI Jaya 13 78,360 72,892 88,685 6,822

Banten 6 38,579 52,923 62,470 10,412

West Java 24 202,817 339,023 317,378 13,224

Central Java 7 25,188 30,271 26,394 3,771

East Java 19 59,965 77,785 94,983 4,999

Sumatra 2 4,354 5,159 5,301 1,325

Other provinces 2 Not available Not available Not available Not available

TOTAL 73 409,263 578,053 595,211 40,553

Incremental Cost and Grant Funding

7. MLF approved funding of US$2,453,000 will be made available to eligible foam

enterprises in the three sub-sectors to partially finance their conversion investments. The foam

sub-sectors and the participating enterprises have been identified to ensure that HCFC phase-out

in their production facilities will meet the 2015 reduction target for the foam sector. The Stage 1

strategy for the foam sector is planned to reduce HCFC-141b consumption by 360 MT annually

with an average cost effectiveness of US$ 6.99/kg. The Project will aim to first convert those

companies that consume larger amounts of HCFC-141b: at least six foam enterprises with annual

consumption exceeding 10 MT HCFC-141b and using 60% of the sector-wide consumption will

be offered to sign phase-out agreements in 2013; the remaining companies are expected to sign

agreements in 2014.

8. MLF funding was approved to support the adoption of HC (cyclo-pentane) technology in

three large companies, which produce rigid foam (manufacturing refrigeration appliances). The

remaining 23 companies with annual HCFC-141b consumption of less than 20 MT plan to

convert to a reduced HFC-245fa formulation technology. Experience gained during the earlier

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CFC phase-out in the foam sector suggests that it will take 24 to 36 months to complete HC

conversion projects and 12 month for HFC-245fa conversion projects. Therefore, grant funds

will be committed to all conversion projects in 2013 and 2014 in order to ensure physical

completion of all conversions by 2015.

9. The selection of alternative technologies takes into account production capacity and – for

HC technology – physical location to satisfy the safety requirements. It also takes into account

the availability of blowing agents in the Indonesian market at a reasonable cost and the potential

climate impact of the alternatives. The two alternatives considered – cyclo-pentane and HFC-

245fa – are mature and well proven technologies, which are available in Indonesia at a price that

makes the PU foam production cost equal to that of HCFC-141b-blown foam.

10. While the investment cost of converting production lines to HFC-245fa technology is low,

the higher cost of HFC-245fa will result in higher operating and foam production costs compared

to HCFC-141b. The calculation of the incremental cost of conversion is based on those two

technologies. The proposed funding level as shown in Table 10 is based on estimated capital

cost, level of HCFC-141b consumption and available MLF funds. Table 16 shows the

incremental cost of conversion to HC technology, which has been calculated consistent with the

incremental cost guidelines of the MLF.

Table 16: HC Conversion Cost (in 1000 US$)

Consumption (MT HCFC-141b, annual): > 50 MT ≥ 25-49 MT ≥ 15-24 MT

Cost items HC with

storage tank

HC supplied

in drums

HC pre-blended

in drums

HC storage facility, pumps, piping to transfer

HC from storage to pre-mixing unit 70 – 90

5

(storage room)

5

(storage room)

HC pre-mixing unit 100 – 120 80 – 100 0

Room for pre-mixer and storage of HC drums 0 15 15

Replacement / retrofitting of foaming

equipment, conveyors, jigs etc.

50/units

(2 or more)

50/unit

(1-2 units)

50/unit

(1-2 units)

Firefighting equipment, HC detection,

grounding of production equipment, electrical

installations meeting explosion area

classification, ventilation

100 – 120 60 – 90 60 – 90

Technical transfer assistance and fees, trial

production, staff training, safety certification 40 – 50 30 20

Safety audit 10 10 5

Total ≥ 420 250 - 350 155 - 235

US$ / MT*) 9.8 11.6 9.7 *) The average cost (US$/MT) is derived from the minimum conversion cost.

11. Table 17 shows the incremental costs of converting to HFC-245fa, the handling of which is

in principle similar to HCFC-141b except for its lower boiling point, which requires cold storage

at 20-25oC. In addition, low pressure foaming equipment may have to be replaced depending on

the products produced, product quality and performance requirements. Only minor adjustments

and retrofits may be needed for high pressure equipment. It should be noted that most companies

converting to HCF-245fa operate only one foaming unit.

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Table 17: HFC-245fa Conversion Cost (in 1000 US$)

Cost items Low pressure

equipment

High pressure

equipment

Storage tank for HFC-245fa pre-blended with polyols, pre-

mixer, cooling equipment, transfer pumps 15 – 25 20 – 25

Retrofitting of foaming equipment (no hand mixing possible)*) 10 – 15/unit 10 – 20/unit

Technology transfer and fee, trial production, training 10 – 25 15 – 30

Total 35 – 65 45 – 75 *) The cost for new foaming equipment is in the order of $60-120k depending on the type of the foaming unit and its capacity.

12. The funding provided to each company will be based on their HCFC-141b consumption,

foaming equipment currently in use in the company and the technical alternative selected. The

funding can be used by beneficiary companies to cover the cost of modifying existing foaming

equipment and/or procuring new foaming equipment and related accessories, retrofit molds and

fixtures, safety equipment, chemicals for trial production, training and technology transfer fees.

Project Cycle Steps

13. The project cycle for foam enterprises consists of the following steps:

(i) Proposal: Foam companies seeking support must submit a FTRP and funding request

to MOE. Companies converting to cyclo-pentane must submit an EMP for approval.

Companies converting to HFC245fa do no need an EMP.

(ii) Approval: The foam sector Project Management Assistant (PMA), with assistance

from the Technical Consultant, will appraise the FTRPs, may request revisions and/or

inform the applicant of the final approval.

(iii) Contract: The PMU will prepare a FTRA, which is a performance contract that will

include the approved FTRP and the EMP (if needed) and stipulate other obligations of

the beneficiary company. The FTRA will set the pre-determined funding level for each

foam company and provide details on payment conditions and schedules.

(iv) Implementation: Each foam company will proceed with the technology conversion

sub-project promptly after the FTRA is signed and in compliance with approved plans

and schedules. Companies will report on implementation progress, which will also be

monitored and supervised by the PMU.

(v) Verification: The PMU will verify the completion of each sub-project, which will

comprise: (i) commissioning of new foam production lines, (ii) environmental and

safety measures and permits, (iii) production start-up using the HCFC-free technology,

and (iv) disposal of obsolete foaming equipment. The foam company must produce for

inspection all required documents and permits and their Standard Operating Procedures

for the new foaming technology.

(vi) Payments: Companies receiving US$100,000 or less may submit a payment request

after start of production with the non-HCFC technology. The PMU will review the

request and verify that, consistent with the FTRA: (i) the new non-HCFC-based foam

production equipment has been installed and commissioned, and (ii) the old redundant

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equipment has been disposed of as required. Companies receiving US$100,000 or more

may request a portion of the payment after milestones defined in the POM and the

FTRA with each company have been reached. In both cases, the final payment will

only be made after verification that the production has been converted to non-HCFC

use. All payments will be made as stipulated in the FTRA.

Component 2: Technical Assistance and Policy Support (US$ 133,200)

Policy Support

14. Especially smaller foam companies face challenges that may limit their willingness to

phase out HCFC-141b despite the financial support. The reasons are: lack of low-cost alternative

technologies, limited capital resources, and the higher production cost after conversion. Even

though they will receive financial assistance, many enterprises may still be reluctant to phase out

HCFC-141b, because they prefer the existing technology and are averse to the uncertainties and

perceived disadvantages of converting their production to another blowing agent and process

with potentially higher operating costs, lower product quality, safety and health concerns.

15. To overcome company reluctance and inertia, GOI will establish a policy structure that will

bolster the effectiveness of MLF funding and ensure timely phase-out of HCFCs. The key policy

entry point is the supply side (control and monitoring of imports of HCFCs); but to be effective,

a reduced supply must be matched by policies that discourage demand for HCFC. In addition,

the policy must be balanced with Indonesia’s development priorities (of fostering growth and

pre-empting economic disruptions). Therefore, the phase-out policy must: (1) ensure that the

consumption of HCFCs is reduced as scheduled, (2) provide incentives for enterprises to adopt

alternative technologies, (3) encourage the propagation of low cost, technically suitable

alternatives to HCFCs, and (4) ensure that growth and competitiveness are not unduly affected

by meeting the phase-out targets.

16. To this end, MOE, in collaboration with the Ministry of Industry, the Ministry of Trade and

the Custom Bureau, will operate a Licensing and Quota System to regulate the import of HCFC-

141b and ban its use in new production facilities. Under the regulation, an annual HCFC quota

will be issued from 2013 to 2019, which will allow Indonesia to respect the 2013 and 2015

limits. Table 18 summarizes the policies and regulations that will be issued.

Table 18: Policies and Regulations to be issued from 2011 to 2015

Type Policy Year of

issuance Estimated date

of effectiveness

Import

control

Issue quotas for annual imports of HCFC-141b based

on the share of the average imports during the past

three years.

2013 and

onwards 1 January 2013

Consumption

control Ban on new foam production facilities using HCFC-

141b and premixed HCFC-141b polyol. 2013 1 June 2013

17. The Project will support the government’s policy and regulatory activities through analysis,

coordination, data collection, facilitation of decision making and capacity building for central

and local government entities. In particular, the PMU will facilitate decision making on the

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annual import quota of HCFC-141b and related enforcement measures and inform central

government officers, local officials and safety authorities on the issues arising from the use of

cyclo-pentane in foam production facilities.

Technical Assistance

18. The Project will provide TA to foam companies and other stakeholders as needed through

workshops, technical training, information material, site visits and direct consultations where

necessary.4 For this purpose, the Project will hire a foam sector Technical Consultant, who will

contribute to the following activities.

(i) Workshops and training events will inform foam enterprises of the objectives of the

HPMP and the implementation arrangements for Stage 1 of the foam sector plan.

Participants will be briefed on the Project cycle steps, application formalities,

implementation arrangements and schedules, Project supervision, commissioning and

reporting requirements. The training may also cover procurement, FM and environ-

mental safeguard provision, where and if needed.

(ii) Technical consultant services will be provided to foam companies to assist them with

preparation of conversion plans and proposals, help with equipment specifications,

provide technical support throughout the Project implementation period, and help

companies prepare completion reports. In addition, the Technical Consultant will

support the PMU in evaluating alternative technologies and Project designs and assist

with Project review, supervision, verification and other technical activities.

19. Since the availability in Indonesia of cyclo-pentane and HFC-245fa at acceptable cost is

critical for the success of the conversion process, it was confirmed during Project preparation

that the international polyol system houses present in Indonesia will be able to supply the

necessary chemicals. If needed, local system houses can be supported through Component 2, but

there is no need to provide funding to them.

20. The Project will provide information to national and local government officials in order to

ensure effective control of the import of HCFCs and products containing HCFCs. Training may

be conducted to allow local authorities to become more effective in assisting foam companies

with required safety audits and permitting procedures.

21. The PMU will commission the development of guidelines on the safe handling of cyclo-

pentane in foam production with the aim to (i) help stakeholders and government agencies to

better understand the safety issues and required safety measures and (ii) work towards the

development of standardized safety procedures for foam production.

22. The Project plans to support the transfer of knowledge and practical experience with cylo-

pentane use in the foam producing industries. For this purpose, an international study tour will

4 It should be noted that many foam companies are already well prepared to phase out their HCFC-141b consumption, since

many were involved in the earlier CFC phase-out project and because discussions with them on HCFC phase-out have been

ongoing through the Foam Sector Technical Working Group and through the surveys conducted as part of Project preparation.

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be organized, which will allow MOE and PMU staff, foam producers, representatives of

relevant government agencies and national technical experts to learn about new foam production

technologies (in particular cyclo-pentane) that are being developed or employed in other

countries. In addition, the study tour will allow Indonesia to share experience from its phase-out

activities and achievements with other developing countries.

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ANNEX 3: IMPLEMENTATION ARRANGEMENTS

1. The proposed Project will be financed by a MLF grant. The terms and conditions for the

use of the grant along with specific performance targets, i.e. reductions of HCFC-141b

consumption in the PU foam sector, are contained in the agreement between ExCom and

Indonesia.

Institutional Arrangements

2. MOF is the designated focal point for World Bank projects in Indonesia. All grant

agreements between Indonesia and the World Bank are signed by MOF on behalf of Indonesia.

3. MOE is the executing agency for the implementation of the MP. It is also in charge of

development and implementation of national environmental policies and regulations. The

Assistant Deputy Minister for Mitigation and Atmospheric Function Preservation within MOE is

responsible for the overall management and coordination of Indonesia’s ODS phase-out

program, including all phase-out activities and measures controlling HCFCs (Annex C, Group I

substances).

4. The NOU is established under the office of the Assistant Deputy Minister for Mitigation

and Atmospheric Function Preservation. The NOU’s work program includes annual reporting of

Article 7 data to the Ozone Secretariat, awareness raising and other activities related to the

promotion of ozone layer protection in Indonesia.

5. MOE will collaborate with the Ministry of Trade, the Ministry of Industry, and the

Customs Bureau to implement the HCFC import quota system, establish the annual import

quota and review annual applications for HCFC import licenses, which will only be available to

companies that imported HCFC-141b during 2009 and 2010.

6. Indonesia has appointed UNDP as Lead IA for the HPMP, and UNDP will be responsible

for the overall reporting to the MLF on behalf of Indonesia. The Bank will coordinate with

UNDP and report to UNDP on the results of the foam sector Project.

Project Management

7. A PMU has been established by MOE for the implementation of the HPMP. The PMU is

responsible for the implementation of all activities in all sub-sectors addressed by the HPMP.

The PMU will be shared with UNDP and UNIDO. The foam sector Project contributes three

staff to the PMU with the following responsibilities:

(i) A Project Management Assistant (PMA) will be hired to facilitate implementation of

the HPMP in the foam sector. The PMA will work in close coordination with, and

under guidance of, the Project Manager to carry out sector activities under supervision

of the NOU. The PMA’s overall responsibilities are to ensure that: (i) planning and

implementation of all Project activities are carried out in a timely manner and in line

with the Grant Agreement (GA) for the Project, the POM, Project implementation

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plans, and other guidance documents, and (ii) all processes and activities are carried out

with efficiency and effectiveness and according to Project schedules.

(ii) A Financial Management and Administrative Specialist will be hired to manage and

control the Project’s financial and administration matters. The overall responsibilities

of the FM Specialist are to ensure that: (i) Project accounts and financial statements

accurately reflect the financial position and transactions relating to Project expendi-

tures, (ii) financial reports and audits are prepared in a timely manner and in line with

applicable reporting requirements, and (iii) payments to Project beneficiaries and other

recipients are accurate and made in a timely manner.

(iii) A Technical Consultant will be employed to assist Project beneficiaries and stake-

holders with the conversion process and to provide advice to the NOU and the PMA on

technical matters. The Consultant’s overall responsibility is to ensure that: (i) Project

participants and stakeholders get accurate technical information and assistance to

convert their production facilities, and (ii) decisions by the NOU, MOE and the PMU

are based on correct and best available technical inputs and assessments.

8. The following implementation documents have been prepared by MOE with assistance

from the Banks Project team. These documents and any amendments thereof, which may be

introduced during the Project implementation period, require prior approval by the World Bank.

(i) The POM includes chapters on Project implementation arrangements, the project cycle,

FM, procurement, grievances, implementation schedule and monitoring and reporting.

In addition, the POM contains FTRP and FTRA templates, the Project’s EMF, a list of

foam companies and other materials.

(ii) A first Project Implementation Plan has been prepared for the period 2013 through

2014 and includes in its Annexes a procurement plan, consultant Terms of Reference

(TOR) and the Project budget. A second implementation plan will be prepared for the

period 2015 and 2016. The implementation plan presents all activities and related

responsibilities and resources needed for a successful execution of the Project in the

planned period.

Project Costs and Financing

9. Project costs are of two types: (i) financial incentive payments to foam companies and (ii)

the costs of TA and Project management. Both are funded by an MLF grant of US$2.71 million.

In addition, foam companies will provide an estimated US$0.92 in co-financing. Table 19 shows

the costs of the three Project components to be funded by the MLF. The budget allocations are

estimates and can be readjusted within the MLF grant envelop and with World Bank approval.

The contingency shown in Table 19 under Component 1 has been set aside in consideration of

the 4th

allocation for Stage 1, which is scheduled for 2018. However, if the Stage 2 funding

request is submitted in a timely manner (see paragraph 9 in Section A.I.), the contingency may

also be used to finance additional phase-out efforts or to cover additional financial needs

including for technical assistance and policy support, should this become necessary.

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Table 19: Project Cost by Component (US$ estimates)

Project Components 2013 2014 2015 Total

Component 1 – Investment for Conversion to

Cyclo-pentane: 3 companies – appliance sub-sector 240,400 721,200 240,400 1,202,000

HFC-245fa: 2 companies – appliance sub-sector 35,000

35,000 70,000

HFC-245fa: 3 companies – transport sub-sector

70,000 35,000 105,000

HFC-245fa: 18 companies – integral skin sub-sector 335,000 500,000 105,000 940,000

Contingency

136,000 136,000

Sub-total 610,400 1,291,200 551,400 2,453,000

Component 2 – TA and Policy Support 39,100 58,500 35,600 133,200

Component 3 – Project Management 42,665 42,748 42,574 127,987

GRANT TOTAL 692,165 1,392,448 629,574 2,714,187

Financial Management

10. MOE is responsible for implementation, management and coordination of the Project’s FM

system. The Bank conducted an FM capacity assessment, which found that the overall FM risk is

“Moderate”. The assessment concluded that the proposed FM arrangements will – with the

implementation of the action plan below – satisfy the Bank’s minimum requirements under

OP/BP10.02 and are adequate to provide, with reasonable assurance, accurate and timely

information on the status of the grant as required by the Bank. The following actions to

strengthen the FM capacity were agreed:

(i) And interim financial report will be requested semi-annually to facilitate monitoring.

(ii) The Project’s financial report will be subject to financial audits by an auditor under

TORs accepted by the World Bank. A copy of the Project’s audited financial statements

and the auditor’s management letters will be submitted to the Bank not later than 6

months after the end of the fiscal year. The audit reports and audited financial

statements will be made available to the public.

(iii) A Designated Account (in US dollars) will be opened in the Bank of Indonesia (central

bank) by MOF to finance eligible Project expenditures. Payments from the DA will

follow the government system.

(iv) Supervision of the Project’s FM by a World Bank FM specialist will be conducted

once a year to review the Project’s FM system, accounting, reporting and internal

control.

Disbursement

11. Disbursement of the grant to Indonesia will follow standard World Bank and government

practice. MOF will open a US$-denominated DA for the MLF funds in the Bank of Indonesia

(central bank) with a ceiling set in the disbursement letter. The methods applied by the Bank for

disbursements into the DA will be Advance and Reimbursement. After singing and effectiveness

of the GA between the World Bank and Indonesia, the World Bank will provide an initial

Advance to the DA of an amount authorized in the GA and disbursement letter. Table 20 shows

the planned disbursements to GOI for each calendar year and expenditure category.

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Table 20: Projected Disbursements by Category and Calendar Year (US$)

Disbursement category 2013 2014 2015 Total

Financial incentive 610,400 1,291,200 551,400 2,453,000

Consulting services 32,416 26,698 29,570 88,683

Workshops and training 25,000 51,400 27,000 103,400

Management & operating costs 24,350 23,150 21,604 69,104

SUM 692,166 1,392,448 629,574 2,714,187

12. Applications for replenishment of the DA may be submitted monthly, together with a

report on the use of the DA funds, supported by the usual documentation of the expenditures.

MOF will manage the funds following the government system as part of the national budget

process and has mandated the disbursement of the funds by MOE within applicable budget lines

and disbursement procedures. Details of the disbursement arrangements, required documentation

of expenditures etc. are described in the POM and GA.

13. Funds from the DA will be disbursed to foam companies consistent with the FTRA signed

with each company. Disbursements to foam companies will following standard government

procedures. The PMU will document all payments, keep records and report to MOE and the

World Bank on these disbursements using the established reporting procedures. Measures to

mitigate the risk of wrongful disbursement to foam companies include the following: (i) the

exact payment amount to each foam company will be fixed in the FTRA and (ii) payments to

foam companies will be made after verification by the PMU of achieved milestones. Companies

converting to HFC-245fa will be paid after completion of the conversion process, companies

converting to cyclo-pentane with a total incentive payment in excess of US$100,000 will be

reimbursed by the PMU in installments following an established schedule, with the final

installment payable after completion of conversion. Figure 2 depicts the payment process.

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Figure 2 – Disbursement of Grant Funds

(1) GOI represented by MOE and ExCom signed HPMP agreement for reduction of HCFCs.

(2) MLF transfers the grant funds for Indonesia through World Bank.

(3) MOF representing GOI signs the Grant Agreement (GA) with the World Bank as IA.

(4) The GA will be forwarded to MOE as the Executing Agency.

(5) Upon request by MOE, MOF opens DA and prepares the disbursement procedures.

(6) MOE requests MOF to apply for advance payment from World Bank

(7) MOF requests World Bank to transfer advance payment to the DA.

(8) World Bank transfers advance payment from the grant fund to the DA.

(9) Foam enterprise submits payment request and supporting documents to the PMU.

(10) PMU (through MOE) requests payment for self-managed activities or activities contracted to

third parties (Foam Enterprise).

(11) MOE (assisted by PMU) submits required documents for grant disbursement to MOF Treasury

Office Jakarta (KPPN).

(12) The Treasury Office disburses the grant funds to MOE work unit treasurer (PMU) or to the

third party account (Foam Enterprise).

GOI (MOE)

MLF

MLF Agreement

World Bank Directorate General of

Debt Management (MOF)

Grant Agreement

(1) (2)

(3)

(4) (7)

MOE

Treasury Office

Jakarta (MOF)

Designated

Account at

Bank of

Indonesia

PMU

Directorate of Cash

Management (MOF)

(5) (6)

(8)

(10)

(11)

(12)

Foam Enterprise (9)

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Procurement

14. Procurement will be carried out in accordance with the Bank’s Procurement Guidelines and

Consultant Guidelines, January 2011. Equipment and services under Project Component 1 will

be directly procured by the participating foam companies in accordance with established private

sector methods or commercial practices as per paragraph 3.13 of the Bank’s Procurement

Guidelines. The procurement risk is small since foam companies will be reimbursed for only a

part of their total conversion costs in the form of a pre-established amount, which will be fixed in

the FTRA. This procurement arrangement builds on the need of private companies to give due

attention to economy and efficiency in their procurement processes.

15. Goods to be procured under Components 2 and 3 will be small value office equipment, for

which the PMU will follow the Shopping method; no Works will be procured by the PMU.

Individual consultants will be hired as detailed in the Procurement Plan and following the

selection method for individual consultants (i.e. comparison of curriculum vitae (CVs) of at

least three qualified candidates). Consultants may also be hired on a single-source selection basis

subject to the conditions set out in the Consultant Guidelines and with the Bank’s prior approval.

Although not expected under the Project, hiring of a consulting firm would require a Selection

Based on Consultants’ Qualifications.

16. A Procurement Plan has been prepared and may be updated to better reflect the Project’s

implementation needs. The Procurement Plan and any amendments thereof are subject to the

Bank’s prior approval and publication on the World Bank’s and the government’s public

procurement website. A procurement assessment of the NOU was carried out by the Bank in

2012 and found no major issues. Procurement for this Project is considered low-risk mainly

because the Project is not procurement intensive and the procurement methods to be used are not

complex. Contracts signed by MOE in execution of the Project are subject to World Bank post

review on a sample basis of initially at least 20 percent; this rate may be adjusted based on

performance of the PMU.

Environmental and Social (including Safeguards)

17. The Project will have a positive impact on the global environment by reducing the use of

HCFC-141b and the release of ODS and GHGs to the atmosphere. The Project will include

investment activities by an estimated 26 foam producers, but these do not trigger any relocation

of production facilities, nor are such relocations planned by the companies that have been

identified as potential Project beneficiaries. The resettlement safeguard policy is therefore not

triggered. In addition, since all participating foam companies will continue business as usual

after their conversion, the Project will have no negative social impacts.

18. Cyclo-pentane has been selected as the blowing agent to replace the use of HCFC-141b in

three companies. Cyclo-pentane is a flammable gas with a GWP of 25 and is classified as a

volatile organic compound. But the use of cyclo-pentane as foam blowing agent will result in

very low levels of emission (about 2-3% of the blowing agent) and will therefore not have a

significant environmental impact.

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19. HFC-245fa has been selected as suitable alternative for foam companies with smaller

production volumes. HFC-245fa is not flammable and has no recorded health and environmental

impacts aside from its GWP of 1040. With the reduced polyol formulation as proposed for this

Project, the amount of HFC-245fa used would be 50% to 60% compared with HCFC-141b.

Hence, HFC-245fa can be used to achieve a net reduction in GHG emissions.

20. Other chemicals involved in foam production are MDI (isocyanates), amine catalysts and

fire retardants. Foam enterprises purchase pre-formulated polyol (blended with or without

HCFC-141b) and polymeric MDI for their rigid foam production. The probability that a spill of

polymeric MDI – a liquid at room temperature – contaminates the soil and water is very low,

because foam production areas typically have a cement floor. And if MDI leaks into the soil, it

will react with moisture or water, which will results in CO2 and insoluble polyurea compounds,

which are not biodegradable and chemically inert.

21. A due diligence review of the production locations of the participating foam enterprises

will not be necessary, since all have confirmed that their sites are free from past environmental

liabilities. Some minor spills of chemicals during foam production and/or foaming machine

maintenance operations were discovered, but none of the enterprises is stated to have had any

large scale spillage that could cause environmental contamination.

22. MOE has developed an EMF for this Project, which will be followed by all participating

foam enterprises. The three companies converting to cyclo-pentane will need to develop an EMP

– to be approved by the Bank – and take the measures required for the safe use of cyclo-pentane

as blowing agent in foam production. Companies converting to HFC-245fa will not need an

EMP, but the PMU will verify the adequacy of their Standard Operating Procedures.

23. In accordance with World Bank policies on environmental assessment (OP 4.01), the

Project was assigned “Category B” and the Integrated Safeguard Data Sheet (appraisal stage)

was prepared and publicly disclosed.

Monitoring and Evaluation

24. Monitoring and evaluation for the Project will follow MLF and ExCom guidelines as well

as World Bank requirements. The PMU will collect Project data from Project beneficiaries and

stakeholders (e.g. foam system houses) and import statistics for HCFC-141b imports. The PMU

will monitor the technology conversion process in participating enterprises and carry out site

inspections. The PMU will evaluate the collected data along with information on the conversion

progress in foam enterprises.

25. The PMU will prepare the reports required by the agreement between Indonesia and

ExCom and by the Project GA between the World Bank and Indonesia. Based on these and other

reports, the World Bank’s Project team, in consultation with MOE, will evaluate interim results

and advise on or take corrective actions as may be necessary to achieve the Project’s objectives.

The PMU may receive training on monitoring, verification, evaluation and reporting if

necessary. Monitoring and evaluation costs are included in the Project management budget and

are covered by the MLF grant.

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ANNEX 4: OPERATIONAL RISK ASSESSMENT FRAMEWORK (ORAF)

Indonesia: ID-HCFC Phase-out Project in the Foam Sector (P115763)

Stage: Appraisal

1. Project Stakeholder Risks

1.1 Stakeholder Risk Rating Moderate

Description: Risk Management:

The majority of Project beneficiaries have a

small production volume and will likely use

HFC245fa as alternative foam blowing agent,

which is a greenhouse gas and could evoke

criticism by some climate-concerned NGOs and

governments. Zero and low-GWP alternatives

(e.g. HFO-1234ze) are under development as

drop-in solutions, but are not yet available in

the market.

Under Component 2, the Project will inform participating enterprises of technical alternatives and their

environmental impacts and promote technologies that will allow new drop-in foam blowing agents.

Resp: Client Stage: Imple

mentat

ion

Recurrent:

Due

Date: Frequency: Yearly Status: Not Yet

Due

2. Operating Environment Risks

2.1 Country Rating Moderate

Description:

Delays and inefficiency due to weaknesses in

public procurement, especially in selection of

consulting services and applicability of Bank

Guidelines on public procurement due to

issuance of the new Presidential Decree on

public procurement, weak internal control in

public FM, and inefficient planning and

execution of the budget.

Risk Management:

Implementing the Country Partnership Strategy with focus on mainstreaming the governance agenda across all

aspects of the Bank program, with special attention to strengthening country institutions and greater use of

country systems, where existing programs are found to have robust implementation and monitoring.

Resp: Bank Stage: Both Recurrent:

Due

Date: Frequency: Yearly Status: In

Progress

Risk Management:

Improving the quality of local administration and core services delivery; making decentralization more effective.

Resp: Client Stage: Imple

mentat

ion

Recurrent:

Due

Date: Frequency: Yearly Status: In

Progress

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Risk Management:

Improving public FM, public procurement, tax administration, and anti-corruption initiatives

Resp: Client Stage: Imple

mentat

ion

Recurrent:

Due

Date: Frequency: Yearly Status: In

Progress

2.2 Sector and Multi-Sector Rating Moderate

Description:

Coordination among different agencies at the

local and national levels and with enterprises

may not be effective.

Risk Management:

A monitoring and enforcement system will be established following the example and experience of the previous

ODS project.

Resp: Bank Stage: Imple

mentat

ion

Recurrent:

Due

Date:

31-Dec-2013 Frequency: Status: Not Yet

Due

Risk Management:

MOE has already established an integrated PMU for all sub-sectors in Stage 1 of the HPMP. The PMU has

adequate authority and resources to coordinate with different agencies. Experience in coordinating the phase-out

effort exists in MOE and the NOU from the earlier ODS phase-out project.

Resp: Client Stage: Both Recurrent:

Due

Date:

01-Jan-2013 Frequency: Status: Completed

Risk Management:

The NOU/PMU has prepared a Project Operations Manual (POM), which has been approved by the Bank and

which outlines the responsibilities of the PMU and other agencies involved in Project implementation. The

obligations of participating companies will be laid down in the agreement to be signed by each Project

beneficiary.

Resp: Both Stage: Prepar

ation

Recurrent:

Due

Date:

11-Feb-2013 Frequency: Status: Completed

3. Implementing Agency (IA) Risks (including Fiduciary Risks)

3.1 Capacity Rating Moderate

Description:

The NOU is experience in managing Bank-

Risk Management:

The Project will hire a qualified FM specialist, who will be responsible for fulfilling Bank FM requirements. The

task team will review the TORs for the FM consultant.

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funded projects. But some weaknesses in filing

of supporting documents were previously noted.

New administrative staff joining the PMU may

be inexperienced in Bank requirements on

procurement, FM, monitoring and reporting,

which may slow down Project implementation.

Procurement under Project component 1 will

follow the commercial practice of participating

foam companies. Procurement under

component 2 and 3 will involve relatively small

contracts.

Resp: Both Stage: Imple

mentat

ion

Recurrent:

Due

Date:

31-May-2013 Frequency: Status: Not Yet

Due

Risk Management:

Training on World Bank FM and procurement will be provided to PMU staff.

Resp: Bank Stage: Imple

mentat

ion

Recurrent:

Due

Date:

30-Jun-2013 Frequency: Status: Not Yet

Due

3.2 Governance Rating Low

Description: Risk Management:

The internal governance structure of MOE and

relevant Divisions could constrain Project

implementation, but that has not been the case

in the implementation of the ODS project.

Internal control put in place by MOE in

response to the 2006 GPCL report improved

progress in the implementation of the earlier

ODS project.

Resp: Stage: Recurrent:

Due

Date: Frequency: Status:

Fraud and Corruption Rating Low

Description:

Non-eligible enterprises may be awarded a

financial incentive by MOE; and financial

incentives may not be used for the intended

purposes. There has been no incidence of fraud

and corruption under the earlier ODS project;

regular audits by the MOE inspectorate general

were conducted and appear to have been

effective in preventing fraud and corruption.

Risk Management:

Potential beneficiaries for Stage 1 were pre-identified during Project preparation and will be confirmed by the

PMU during Project implementation based on their funding proposal and applicable criteria.

Resp: Both Stage: Imple

mentat

ion

Recurrent:

Due

Date:

31-Dec-2014 Frequency: Status: Not Yet

Due

Risk Management:

Transparency through a website and other means will be implemented and a complaint handling system will be

established.

Resp: Client Stage: Imple

mentat

ion

Recurrent:

Due

Date: Frequency: Status:

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4. Project Risks

4.1 Design Rating Moderate

Description:

Enterprises in the foam sector may face several

operating challenges that may limit their

willingness to phase out HCFC on a voluntary

basis:

(i) The small size of many enterprises may

impede their ability to provide counter-part

funding for HCFC conversion.

(ii) Competitive pressure and high conversion

cost may make companies reluctant to

participate and/or return to HCFC consumption

after conversion.

(iii) The technical and financial capacity in

small companies may be insufficient for

effective conversion, in particular to HCs.

(iv) Alternatives to HCFC may not be readily

availability in Indonesia.

Risk Management:

The Project design includes TA to beneficiaries on substitute technologies, training and opportunities to discuss

market readiness and supply of substitutes.

Resp: Client Stage: Both Recurrent:

Due

Date: Frequency: Status: In

Progress

Risk Management:

Smaller enterprises that – due to high upfront investment costs – cannot safely manage the flammability and

safety risks associated with HC technology may choose HFC-245fa.

Resp: Client Stage: Both Recurrent:

Due

Date: Frequency: Status: In

Progress

Risk Management:

The financial capacity of small foam producing companies to co-finance the Project has been improved through a

higher cost effectiveness for funding of the conversion measures.

Resp: Client Stage: Prepar

ation

Recurrent:

Due

Date: Frequency: Status: Completed

Risk Management:

The government has established policies to ensure that phase-out is sustainable: (i) a quota system for imports of

HCFC (ii) a ban on establishment of new production facilities using HCFC.

Resp: Client Stage: Prepar

ation

Recurrent:

Due

Date: Frequency: Status: Completed

Risk Management:

An international foam sector expert will advise the government on technologies and phase-out approaches.

Resp: Client Stage: Both Recurrent:

Due

Date: Frequency: Status: In

Progress

4.2 Social and Environmental Rating Moderate

Description: Risk Management:

Since the Project involves only conversion

activities at existing facilities, it will not involve

The Project’s EMF contains instructions on the proper design and construction of the foaming area and proper

chemical storage, which Project beneficiaries must incorporate in their EMPs.

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any resettlement.

Lack of safety equipment and improper

handling of HC technology could result in

explosions and risk to the workshop and worker

safety.

Resp: Client Stage: Imple

mentat

ion

Recurrent:

Due

Date: Frequency: Status: Not Yet

Due

4.3 Program and Donor Rating Low

Description: Risk Management:

The funding for the Project has already been

approved by ExCom.

Resp: Stage: Recurrent:

Due

Date: Frequency: Status:

4.4 Delivery Monitoring and

Sustainability Rating Moderate

Description:

Lack of accurate monitoring and verification of

HCFC import data could result in non-payment

of MLF funding.

There could be reverse retrofit to HCFC after

conversion is completed.

Risk Management:

The government’s quota system and eventual ban of HCFC imports will make reverse retrofit unattractive and/or

impossible.

Resp: Stage: Imple

mentat

ion

Recurrent:

Due

Date: Frequency: Yearly Status: In

Progress

Risk Management:

The Project will employ the robust monitoring system along with independent verification requirements used

successfully in the earlier ODS project.

Resp: Client Stage: Imple

mentat

ion

Recurrent:

Due

Date:

30-Jun-2013 Frequency: Status: Not Yet

Due

Risk Management:

The agreement between the MLF and Indonesia includes provisions for deductions from future funding in case

consumption exceeds the agreed targets or data is not reported for any given year.

Resp: Client Stage: Imple

mentat

ion

Recurrent:

Due

Date: Frequency: Yearly Status: In

Progress

4.5 Other (Optional) Rating

Description: Risk Management:

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46

Resp: Stage: Recurrent:

Due

Date: Frequency: Status:

4.6 Other (Optional) Rating

Description: Risk Management:

Resp: Stage: Recurrent:

Due

Date: Frequency: Status:

5. Overall Risk

Preparation Risk Rating: Low Implementation Risk Rating: Moderate

Description: Description:

Project preparation could be affected by inability or reluctance of small foam

sector enterprises to finance HCFC conversion and the government's weaknesses

in project administration (procurement, FM, budget planning and management),

ineffective coordination among agencies and internal governance issues.

However, these risks were successfully managed in the previous ODS project, on

which this Project builds. Since implementation of the HCFC Phase-out

Management Plan has begun and Project preparation is well advanced, the

preparation risk has dropped to Low.

The implementation risk is rated Moderate because of the safety of HC and

HFC-245fa technology in foam blowing applications and the experience of the

NOU with the earlier ODS phase-out project, which this Project emulates and

which are further mitigated by Project design and implementation arrangements.

But residual risks related to the technical handling of flammable HCs and the

availability of low-cost alternative blowing agents in Indonesia could lead to

slow Project implementation.

Nondisclosable Information for Management Attention (Optional)

Comments:

In its review of the PCN package, EASOS agreed with the overall risk rating of Moderate for both preparation and implementation and with Track 1 processing.

This ORAF has been updated as was recommended by EASOS at the PCN stage.

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ANNEX 5: IMPLEMENTATION SUPPORT PLAN

1. The implementation support plan has been developed in consideration of the nature and risk

profile of the Project and to ensure that the Project achieves its objectives and follows agreed

procedures and fiduciary and safeguard requirements. The plan recognizes the complexity for the

PMU of managing the implementation of the HPMP in several sub-sectors and with involvement of

several implementing agencies. Bank implementation support will therefore focus on: (i) efficient

execution of the PMU functions in relation to the foam sector plan, (ii) coordination with UNDP as

Lead IA, and (iii) monitoring, reporting and evaluation.

2. PMU Capacity. The NOU retains significant knowledge and experience from the earlier

CFC phase-out project and will support the PMU. Nevertheless, MOE will need to hire new staff for

the PMU. Bank implementation support will make sure that qualified individuals are hired to support

the implementation of the Bank’s foam sector plan and provide guidance documents and training on

procurement and FM as may be needed. The Bank team will review tranche implementation plans

and budgets, amendments to the POM and procurement plan, and TORs for consultants. The Bank

team will supervise the preparation and implementation of TA activities under Project Component 2

and project management under Component 3. In particular, the Bank team will approve EMPs and

carry out an ex post review, on a sample basis, of the PMU’s appraisal of beneficiary applications

and signed FTRAs.

3. Institutional Cooperation. The World Bank will closely coordinate with UNDP as the Lead

IA for the HPMP in Indonesia and contribute to the preparation of reports by UNDP to ExCom and

other entities. The Bank team will cooperate with UNDP to ensure that the HPMP is implemented

with a minimum of intra and inter-sectoral friction, applications for funding of subsequent phases of

the HPMP are submitted to ExCom in a timely manner, and regular inter-agency communication is

maintained.

4. Monitoring and Reporting. The Bank team will regularly monitor Project performance, in

particular that agreed regulations are issued in a timely manner, that FTRAs are signed and

implemented, and that HCFC imports are verified annually. The Bank will carry out two

implementation supervision missions each year (one of which by local Bank staff), which will

include field visits to foam enterprises, ex post reviews, on a sample basis, of procurement and FM

actions and compliance with other agreed provisions. The Bank team will ensure timely reporting,

conduct an evaluation of overall Project progress, and discuss lessons learned and possible Project

improvements with PMU and NOU management.

5. Project Support Team: In order to assist the NOU and the PMU expeditiously and maintain

regular inter-agency communication, the Bank’s implementation support team will consist of a mix

of local and international staff as shown in Table 21.

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Table 21: World Bank Project Support Team

Focus Time Skills Needed

Team leadership, inter-agency cooperation International, country office TTL, co-TTL

MLF and ExCom issues International MLF specialist

Legal issues, agreements with beneficiaries International Legal Counsel

FM supervision and training Country office FM specialist

Procurement supervision and training Country office Procurement specialist

Environmental safeguards Country office Safeguard specialist

Verification, reporting and evaluation Country office Co-TTL

Technology, foam sector issue, policy and

regulatory issues

International HCFC / foam sector

specialist