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? ?
The Manufacturing EnvironmentThe Manufacturing Environment
Global Market and Competition
Rapid Changes
?New products rapidly introduced
?Short, unknown product life cycles
High Variety of Products
Increasing storage and transportation costs
Difficult to forecast demand
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? ?
Supply Chain Management ProcessSupply Chain Management Process
Distribution Center
Plant
Customer
Supplier Multi - Organization
Multi - Currency
Global Consolidation
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? ?The Goals of theThe Goals of the
Manufacturing OrganizationManufacturing Organization
Responsiveness
Competitive pricing
Efficiency
Customer service
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? ?
Why Do These Goals Conflict?Why Do These Goals Conflict?
Forces for keeping low inventory
?inventory expensive
?low salvage values
Forces for keeping high inventory
?long lead times
?customer service is important
?demand is hard to predict
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? ?
Definition:
Supply Chain Management is primarily concernedwith the efficient integration ofsuppliers, factories,warehouses and stores so that merchandise isproduced and distributed in the right quantities, to theright locations and at the right time, and so as tominimize total system cost subject to satisfyingservice requirements.
Supply Chain ManagementSupply Chain Management
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? ?
Suppliers(International)
1.2 Million PC/Yr.Glasgow U.K.
Warehouse
Port
PC Assembly
Plant
13 TransshipmentPoints (TPs) in Europe
Country-wideDistribution
Centers (DCs)
Retailers
Example of a Typical Supply Chain: IBM Europe PC Supply Chain
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? ?What Is the Goal of Supply ChainWhat Is the Goal of Supply Chain
Management?Management?
Supply chain management is concerned with the
efficient integration of suppliers, factories, warehousesand stores so that merchandise is produced anddistributed:
?In the right quantities
?To the right locations?At the right time
In order to
?Minimize total system cost
?Satisfy customer service requirements
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? ?
Why SC Catches Attention?Why SC Catches Attention?
Information technology revolution
Global competition in cost, quality, delivery, and cycle
time.
Emergence of inter-organizational relationship
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? ?
Information Technology RevolutionInformation Technology Revolution
In the not-too-distant past, the primary means of
communication between members of a supply chainwas paper.
One problem with paper-based systems has been the
time and money that is wasted re-keying the same
information into different computer systems.As a result the growth of computers, which support
networks, and networks that support peoples needs(business transactions, communication, etc.), has
exploded.
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? ?
With Reduced Corporate Spending Increasing Revenue
is not an option.
Today: Difficult Economic ConditionsToday: Difficult Economic Conditions
With the Slowdown in
Customer Spending,
Increasing Sales or Prices
is not Easy.
Instead, Companies are
Concentrating on Cost
Reduction and Better
Customer Service.
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? ?
Dynamics of Material Flow
Supplier Plant Warehouse Logistics Retailer
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? ?
Dynamics of Order Flow
Supplier Plant Warehouse Logistics Retailer
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? ?
Notice:Notice:
Who is involved?What level of activities are involved?
What do we mean by integration?
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? ?
Supply Chain Planning Processes
Demand PlanningMaterial Requirement Planning
Demand Forecasting
Supplier Plant Warehouse Logistics Retailer
ProductionPlan
ComponentRequirement
Order Management
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? ?
A complex networkA complex network exampleexample
National Semiconductors:
Production: Produces chips in six different locations: four in the US, one
in Britain and one in Israel
Chips are shipped to seven assembly locations in Southeast
Asia.
Distribution The final product is shipped to hundreds of facilities all over
the world
20,000 different routes
12 different airlines are involved
95% of the products are delivered within 45 days
5% are delivered within 90 days.
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? ?
GSCM at National Semiconductors
?Number, location and capacity of plants
?What product to build at which plant
?Number, location and capacity of DCs
?Which DC should serve which customer
?Number and location of repair centers
?Optimal design of spare parts
Manufacturing
Logistics
Spare Parts
?Decision Variables for GSCM
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? ?
GSCM at National Semiconductors
?Which supplier to keep
?Which product to buy in a nation
?Which supplier should supply each plant
?Location & availability of cheap labor
?Export regulations, duty rates
Supplier Selection
Miscellaneous
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? ?
?GSCM minimizes a weighted sum of total cost and activity days
1. Production Costs
2. Inventory Costs
3. Material Handling Costs
4. Taxes
5. Facility/Production Line Fixed Costs
6. Transportation Costs
7. Duty Costs
?Objective Function for GSCM
?Total cost includes
GSCM at Digital Equipment Corp.
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? ?
?Customer demand is met for each product, in each period, ineach customer region
?Limits on number of facilities making each product
?Limit on number of facilities using each manufacturing style
?Fixed charges for products made by each facility
?Fixed charges for manufacturing style used by each facility
?Limited production capacity, inventory storage, and shippingvolume
?Constraints for GSCM
GSCM at Digital Equipment Corp.
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? ?
Results
Companies that
utilized best-in-classSCM solutions have
?Reduced inventory levels by 10-15%
?Reduced markdown & scrap by 10-15%
? Improved delivery reliability by 95-95%
?Used resources10-20% more efficiently
?Reduced transportation cost by 10-15%
?Reduced cycle time by 10-20%
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? ?Case: How Dell ReengineeredCase: How Dell Reengineered
its Supply Chainits Supply Chain
Problem:
?Dell pioneered the mail orderapproach to selling PCs
?In 1993, Compaq cuts prices to
drive Dell out of the market. Dellexperiences $65 million in losses.
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? ?Case: How Dell ReengineeredCase: How Dell Reengineered
its Supply Chain (cont.)its Supply Chain (cont.)
Solution:
?Dell implements the following re-engineeringstrategies:
?direct sell
?mass customization
?pull system?Use of Information Technology
?provides suppliers with access to Dells inventories
?electronic orders & shipments
?e-collaboration with major buyers
?monitoring of productivity & returns on investments
C iC H D ll R i d
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? ?
Results:
?
Classic case in supply chain management.? In 2003, Dell made over $1 million in computer web sales/
day.
? Becomes leader in Customer Relationship Management
(CRM)?Online tracking of orders & shipments
?Viewer approved configurations and pricing
? Customized home pages for clients.
?
Increased communication with suppliers.
Case: How Dell ReengineeredCase: How Dell Reengineered
its Supply Chain (cont.)its Supply Chain (cont.)
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? ?
Lessons from the CaseLessons from the Case
? By introducing a new business model , one can change
the manner in which business is done.
? To implement this model on a large scale, one needs tobuild super supply chain management.
?Another major success factor in Dells plans was the
improvements made in its logistics system along theentire supply chain.
? Improved communications and customer service, whichare part of Dells CRM program, are the cornerstones ofits success.
?Dell was using e-Commerce with its business partners.
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? ?
Strategies for SCMStrategies for SCM
All of the advanced strategies, techniques,
and approaches for Supply Chain
Management focus on:
?Global Optimization
?Managing Uncertainty
? ?
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? ?
OptimizationOptimization
What is it?Why is it important?
What tools and approaches help?
? ?S ti l O ti i tiS ti l O ti i ti
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? ?Sequential Optimization vs.Sequential Optimization vs.
Global OptimizatioGlobal Optimizationn
ProcurementPlanning
ManufacturingPlanning
DistributionPlanning
Demand
Planning
Sequential Optimization
ProcurementPlanning
ManufacturingPlanning
DistributionPlanning
Demand
Planning
ProcurementPlanning
ManufacturingPlanning
DistributionPlanning
Demand
Planning
Sequential Optimization
Supply Contracts/Collaboration/Information Systems and DSS
ProcurementPlanning
ManufacturingPlanning
DistributionPlanning
DemandPlanning
Global Optimization
Supply Contracts/Collaboration/Information Systems and DSS
ProcurementPlanning
ManufacturingPlanning
DistributionPlanning
DemandPlanning
Supply Contracts/Collaboration/Information Systems and DSS
ProcurementPlanning
ManufacturingPlanning
DistributionPlanning
DemandPlanning
Global Optimization
? ?
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? ?
Why is Global Optimization Hard?Why is Global Optimization Hard?
The supply chain is a complex network
?The difficulty increase exponentially when an entiresystem is being considered than when a single facility isbeing considered.
?Facilities dispersed over a large geography, and in many
cases, all over the globeDifferent facilities have conflicting objectives
? ?Conflicting Objectives in theConflicting Objectives in the
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? ?Conflicting Objectives in theConflicting Objectives in the
Supply ChainSupply Chain
1. Warehousing
Low inventory
Reduced transportation costs
Quick replenishment capability
2. Customers
Short order lead time
High in stock
Enormous variety of products
Low prices
? ?
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? ?
Why is Global Optimization Hard?Why is Global Optimization Hard?
The supply chain is a dynamic system
?Not only demand and supplier capabilities change over time,but supply chain relationships also evolve overtime.
?Uncertainty is inherent in every supply chain
?Increasing customer power leads to increased demands on
retailers
?Increased retailer power leads to increased demands on
suppliers.
The system varies over time, due to
?Seasonal fluctuations, trends, advertising and promotions,
and so forth
? ?
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Tools and Strategies for OptimizationTools and Strategies for Optimization
Network Design
Inventory Control
Information System Systems
Outsourcing and Procurement Strategies
? ?
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ISSUES: Network DesignISSUES: Network Design
The structure of the distribution network
Pick the optimal number, location, and size of
warehouses and/or plants
Determine optimal sourcing strategy
?Which plant/vendor should produce which product
Determine best distribution channels
?Which warehouses should service which customers
? ?
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Network DesignNetwork Design
The objective is to balance service level against
Production/ purchasing costs
Inventory carrying costs
Facility costs (handling and fixed costs)
Transportation costs
That is, we would like to find a minimal-annual-costconfiguration of the distribution network that satisfies productdemands at specified customer service levels.
? ?
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Network DesignNetwork Design
Cost Trade-Off for BuyPC.com
$0
$2$4$6$8
$10$12$14$16$18$20
0 5 10 15
Number of DC's
Cost($million Total Cost
Inventory
Transportation
Fixed Cost
DirectDirect--toto--ConsumerConsumer
? ?The Impact of Increasing the NumberThe Impact of Increasing the Number
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The Impact of Increasing the NumberThe Impact of Increasing the Number
of Warehousesof Warehouses
Improve service level due to reduction of averageservice time to customers
Increase inventory costs due to a larger safety stock
Increase overhead and set-up costs
Reduce transportation costs in a certain range
?Reduce outbound transportation costs
?Increase inbound transportation costs
? ?
Minimize the cost of your logistics network withoutMinimize the cost of your logistics network without
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$-
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
$90
0 2 4 6 8 10Number of Warehouses
Cost(millions$)
Total Cost
Transportation Cost
Fixed Cost
Inventory Cost
Minimize the cost of your logistics network withoutMinimize the cost of your logistics network without
compromising service levelscompromising service levels
Opt imalNumber
of War ehouses
? ?Industry Benchmarks:Industry Benchmarks:
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yy
Number of Distribution CentersNumber of Distribution Centers
Avg.# of
WH 3 14 25
Chemicals Food Companies Pharmaceuticals
- High margin product- Service not important (or
easy to ship express)- Inventory expensive
relative to transportation
- Low margin product- Service very important
- Outbound transportationexpensive relative to inbound
? ?
N t k D iN t k D i
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Network DesignNetwork Design
? ?Displaying the Solutions Allows you ToDisplaying the Solutions Allows you To
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p y g yp y g y
Compare ScenariosCompare Scenarios
? ?
A Typical Network Design ModelA Typical Network Design Model
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A Typical Network Design ModelA Typical Network Design Model
Several products are produced at several plants.
Each plant has a known production capacity.There is a known demand for each product at each customer
zone.
The demand is satisfied by shipping the products via regionaldistribution centers.
There may be an upper bound on total throughput at eachdistribution center.
? ?Heuristics andHeuristics and
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the Need for Exact Algorithmsthe Need for Exact Algorithms
Table 1
Distribution costs per unitFacility
WarehouseP1 P2 C1 C2 C3
W1W2
05
42
32
41
52
? ?
What is the LP?What is the LP?
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What is the LP?What is the LP?
kjx
jix
wm
jk
pw
ij
markettowarehousefromflowthe
warehousetoplantfromflowthe
:Let
?
?
? ?
What is the LP?What is the LP?
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What is the LP?What is the LP?
negative-nonflowsAll
000,50
000,100
000,50
000,60
s.t.
225
432450:min
2,23,1
2,22,1
1,21,1
3,22,21,22,22,1
3,12,11,11,21,1
2,21,2
3,21,23,1
2,11,12,21,22,11,1
??
??
??
????
????
??
???
?????
wmwm
wmwm
wmwm
wmwmwmpwpw
wmwmwmpwpw
pwpw
wmwmwm
wmwmpwpwpwpw
xx
xx
xx
xxxxx
xxxxx
xx
xxx
xxxxxx
? ?
The Optimal StrategyThe Optimal Strategy
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The Optimal StrategyThe Optimal Strategy
Table 2
Distribution strategy
Facility
Warehouse
P1 P2 C1 C2 C3
W1
W2
140000
0
0
60000
50000
0
40000
60000
50000
0
The total cost for the optimal strategy is 740,000.
? ?BuyPC.com Case Study:BuyPC.com Case Study:
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Current NetworkCurrent Network
I nbound: $ 851,000
Out bound: $ 2,930,000I nv Cost : $ 13,291,000
WH Fixed: $ 1,875,000
Total: $18,947,000
? ?BuyPC.com Case Study:BuyPC.com Case Study:
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Optimal NetworkOptimal Network
I nbound: $ 783,000
Out bound: $ 5,900,000I nv Cost : $ 7,679,000
WH Fixed: $ 625,000
Total: $14,987,000
$4 Million Savings
? ?
ISSUES: Inventory controlISSUES: Inventory control
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ISSUES: Inventory controlISSUES: Inventory control
when should a resource (material, machine or labor) be
put in inventory and taken out of inventory;
where should a resource be stored
? ?
ISSUES:ISSUES: Inventory ManagementInventory Management
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ISSUES:ISSUES: Inventory ManagementInventory Management
What should be the order quantity (Q)?
When should an order be placed, called a reorder point
(ROP)?
How much safety stock (SS) should be maintained?
? ?
ISSUES: Why Keep Inventory?ISSUES: Why Keep Inventory?
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ISSUES: Why Keep Inventory?ISSUES: Why Keep Inventory?
Uncertainty in customer demands
Uncertainty in the supply
?Uncertainty in quantity and quality
?Uncertainty in delivery time
?Uncertainty in costs
Economies of scale
? ?
The Inventory CycleThe Inventory Cycle
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The Inventory CycleThe Inventory Cycle
Profile of Inventory Level Over Time
Quantity
on hand
Q
Receiveorder
Placeorder
Receiveorder
Placeorder
Receiveorder
Lead time
Reorderpoint
Usagerate
Time
? ?
Graph of Annual Inventory CostsGraph of Annual Inventory Costs
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p yp y
? ?
EOQ Model EquationsEOQ Model Equations
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Optimal Order Quantity
Expected Number of Orders
Expected Time Between Orders Working Days / Year
Working Days / Year
= =
= =
= =
=
=
Q*
D S
H
ND
Q*
T
N
dD
ROP d L
2
DD = Demand per year= Demand per year
SS = Setup (order) cost per order= Setup (order) cost per order
HH= Holding (carrying) cost= Holding (carrying) cost
dd= Demand per day= Demand per day
LL = Lead time in days= Lead time in days
Q qQ q
? ?
ISSUES:ISSUES: IInformation Systemsnformation Systems
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Internet and WWW facilitate easy links between
organizations.Electronic data interchange and electronic fundstransfer enables electronic commerce.
Application of new computer and communicationtechnologies can reduce paperwork, lead-time,
inventory, and non-value-added activities.
? ?
Information Systems in SCMInformation Systems in SCM
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Information sharing
Electronic data interchange
Process Sharing
Advanced production planning and scheduling
? ?
Information Sharing
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g
Traditional
Business Model
E-Commerce
Business ModelAll elements of the business communicate.
Decisions made at the most effective level.
Information Decisions
C.E.O
Mgmt.Design
Production
ServiceClerical
? ?
Goals of SCM ISGoals of SCM IS
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Collect data from delivery or purchase point to provide
complete visibility for all parties involved in supplychain.
Access any data in the system from a single point ofcontact.
Analyze, plan activities, and make trade-offs based on
information from the entire supply chain.
? ?
Single Point of Contact
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g
Single-
Point-of-
Contact
Demand planner Sales representative
Accountant
Service representativeOperations manager
Customer
? ?
Driving Supply Chain EfficiencyDriving Supply Chain Efficiency
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? Automate All Internal Business Processes
? Extend Automation Across Your Supply Chain
? Drive Continuous Improvement With Better Information
CustomersSuppliers Your Company
Internet Internet
? ?
1. Disparate1. DisparateS tSystems
2.2. Limited PartnerLimited PartnerC i tiC i ti
3. FragmentedReporting
Obstacles:
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SystemsSystems
Cust
omer
Supp
lier
CommunicationCommunication Reporting
Call CenterCall Center
Siebel
ProductProductInfoInfo
AdvancedAdvancedPlanningPlanning
i2
ProductProductInfoInfo
TransportationTransportation
G-Log
ProductProductInfoInfo
BarcodingBarcoding
ClearOrbit
ProductProductInfoInfo
SourcingSourcing
Commerce One
ProductProductInfoInfo
ServiceService
ExecutionExecution
FieldCentrix
ProductProductInfoInfo
eProcurementeProcurement
Ariba
ProductProductInfoInfo
PlantPlantMaintenanceMaintenance
Indus
ProductProductInfoInfo
WarehousingWarehousing
Manhattan
ProductProductInfoInfo
Web StoreWeb Store
Broadvision
ProductProductInfoInfo
Core ERPCore ERPProduct/Product/CustomerCustomer
InfoInfo
? ?
1. Disparate1. DisparateSystemsSystems
2. Limited Partner2. Limited PartnerCommunicationCommunication
3. FragmentedReportingObstacles:
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SystemsSystems
Cust
omer
Supp
lier
CommunicationCommunication Reporting
Call CenterCall Center
Siebel
ProductProductInfoInfo
AdvancedAdvancedPlanningPlanning
i2
ProductProductInfoInfo
TransportationTransportation
G-Log
ProductProductInfoInfo
BarcodingBarcoding
ClearOrbit
ProductProductInfoInfo
SourcingSourcing
Commerce One
ProductProductInfoInfo
ServiceService
ExecutionExecution
FieldCentrix
ProductProductInfoInfo
eProcurementeProcurement
Ariba
ProductProductInfoInfo
PlantPlantMaintenanceMaintenance
Indus
ProductProductInfoInfo
WarehousingWarehousing
Manhattan
ProductProductInfoInfo
Web StoreWeb Store
Broadvision
ProductProductInfoInfo
Core ERPCore ERPProduct/Product/CustomerCustomer
InfoInfo
? ?
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Overcoming theOvercoming the
ObstaclesObstacles
? ?
Automate All Business ProcessesAutomate All Business ProcessesWith Unique EWith Unique E--Business ArchitectureBusiness Architecture
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All Product,
Customer,
& Supplier
Information PlanPlan
OrderOrder
HRHR
FinanceFinance
SourceSource
SellSell
ServiceService
ProjectsProjects
ProcureProcure
MarketMarket
FulfillFulfill
MaintainMaintain
ManufactureManufacture
DevelopDevelop
Built on a Single, CompleteData Model
End-to-End ProcessIntegration
Modular Deployment byBusiness Flow
Based on Open Standards
? ?
Extend AutomationExtend Automation
Across Your Supply ChainAcross Your Supply Chain
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YourCompanySuppliers Customers
Sell / OrderSell / Order
PlanPlan
ProcureProcure
ManufactureManufacture
FulfillFulfill
ServiceService
OutsourcedOutsourcedManufacturingManufacturing
Negotiations,Negotiations,Contracts, Execution,Contracts, Execution,
PaymentsPayments
Orders, Prices,Promise Dates,
Billing, Payments
Drop Ship,Drop Ship,Carrier MgmtCarrier Mgmt
Service Requests,Service Requests,WarrantiesWarranties
SparesSparesReplenishmentReplenishment
Sales and Order Forecast,Supply Commits
Sales and Order Forecast,Supply Commits
Order Status
ProjectsProjects
Bill Presentmentand Payment
Schedule,Schedule,Status, CostStatus, Cost
Schedule,Schedule,ContractsContracts
Across Your Supply Chainc oss ou Supp y C a
Product Specs.
? ?
Deliver RealDeliver Real--Time Business IntelligenceTime Business Intelligence
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Design
Planning
Purchasing
Manufacturing
Fulfillment
Sales
Finance
GraphsGraphs
AnalysisAnalysis
PersonalPersonalHome PageHome Page ReportsReports
Role BasedIntelligence
Pre-BuiltPortals
Performance Performance
Measures Measures
UnifiedDashboard
PerformancePerformance
MeasuresMeasures
? ?Competitive Information SystemCompetitive Information SystemFederal ExpressFederal Express
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FedExlets you access information about your
packages through your Internet connection and Webbrowser.
First mover - the company who is first to market witha new IT-based product or service.
Distribution chain - the path followed from the
originator of a product or service to the end consumer.Alliance partner - a company you do business with
on a regular basis in a cooperative fashion, usually
facilitated by IT systems.
? ?Competitive Information SystemCompetitive Information SystemFederal ExpressFederal Express
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Enter your trackingEnter your trackingnumber here.number here.
? ?ISSUES: Outsourcing and procurementISSUES: Outsourcing and procurement
strategiesstrategies
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What to Purchase
- In-house production Vs. external suppliersWhere to purchase
- Domestic Vs. international
From whom to purchase
- Cost
- Reliability: quality and on time delivery
- Availability and flexibility
? ?ISSUES: Outsourcing andISSUES: Outsourcing and
procurement strategiesprocurement strategies
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Centralized Vs. Decentralized
Number of suppliers:
Single sourcing Vs. Multiple sourcing
Supply contracts
? ?
Outsourcing and Global SourcingOutsourcing and Global Sourcing
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Outsourcing is the process of contracting with
external suppliers for goods and services thatwere formally provided internally.
Global sourcing is an important aspect of supply
chain outsourcing strategy and we see it occurring
more and more.
? ?
Primary Reasons Outsourcing OccurringPrimary Reasons Outsourcing Occurring
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The advent of telecommunications and computertechnology that physically allowed work thatpreviously had to be done locally or regionally tonow be conducted overseas.
Outsourcing in general is a major strategic element
of SCM these days, not just for productionmaterials but for a wide range of services as well.
? ?
Supplier Selection and Vendor AnalysisSupplier Selection and Vendor Analysis
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Characteristics of a good supplier are:
?
Deliveries are made on time and are of the qualityand in the quantity specified.
?Prices are fair, and efforts are made to hold orreduce the price.
? Able to react to unforeseen changes.
?Supplier continually improves products andservices.
?Supplier is willing to share information and be animportant link in the supply chain.
? ?
Supplier RelationshipsSupplier Relationships
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In the past, most customers purchased from the lowest
bidders who could meet their quality and delivery
needs.
Customers are seeking a closer, more cooperative
relationship with their suppliers.
? ?
PurchasingPurchasing
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Activities to reliably obtain materials by the time
they are needed in the product supply process.Important considerations include price, quality,lead times, and reliability.
Manufacturing organizations spend an average of55 percent of revenue for outside materials and
services.
? ?Potential for Lowering Cost andPotential for Lowering Cost and
Increasing ProfitsIncreasing Profits
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Total sales = $10,000,000
Purchased materials = 7,000,000
Labor and salaries = 2,000,000
Overhead = 500,000
Profit = 500,000
? ?
JIT and PurchasingJIT and Purchasing
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Widespread use of JIT has increasedimportance of purchasing and procurement
since delays in the receipt of materials will
stop a JIT program dead in its tracks.
? ?
Value AnalysisValue Analysis
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A special responsibility of purchasing, or purchasing
working jointly with engineering/design and operations
(and sometimes even the supplier), is to regularly
evaluate thefunction of purchased items or services,
especially those that are expensive or used in high
volumes.
The goal is to either reduce the cost of the item orimprove its performance.
? ?
Key Elements of Effective PurchasingKey Elements of Effective Purchasing
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They leverage their buying power.
They commit to a small number of dependablesuppliers.
They work with and help their suppliers reduce total
cost.
? ?
UncertaintyUncertainty
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What is variation?
What is randomness?
What tools and approaches help us to
deal with these issues?
? ?Why Is Uncertainty Hard to DealWhy Is Uncertainty Hard to Deal
With?With?
M hi l d d d i diffi l
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Matching supply and demand is difficult.
Inventory and back-order levels typically fluctuatewidely across the supply chain.
Forecasting doesnt solve the problem.
?Forecasting is always wrong
?
The longer the forecast horizon the worse the forecast
? ?Why Is Uncertainty Hard to DealWhy Is Uncertainty Hard to Deal
With?With?
D d i t th l f t i t
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Demand is not the only source of uncertainty:
?
Lead times?Manufacturing Yields
?Transportation times
?Natural Disasters
?
Component Availability
? ?
Dynamics of the Supply ChainDynamics of the Supply Chain
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Ord
erSize
Time
Source: Tom Mc Guffry, Electronic Commerce and Value Chain Management, 1998
Customer
Demand
Retailer OrdersDistributor Orders
Production Plan
? ?
What Management Gets...What Management Gets...
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Ord
erSize
Time
Source: Tom Mc Guffry, Electronic Commerce and Value Chain Management, 1998
Customer
Demand
Production Plan
? ?
What Management WantsWhat Management Wants
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Volumes
Time
Source: Tom Mc Guffry, Electronic Commerce and Value Chain Management, 1998
Production PlanCustomer
Demand
? ?
What are the CausesWhat are the Causes..
Promotional sales
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Promotional sales
Volume and Transportation discounts
?Batching
Inflated orders
?Play Station orders increased by 2-3 times whenretailers thought that Play Station would be out of
stock over Christmas?Same with Motorolas Cellular phones
Demand Forecast
Long cycle times
Lack of Visibility to demand information
? ?
ConsequencesConsequences..
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Increased safety stock
Reduced service level
Inefficient allocation of resources
Increased transportation costs
? ?
Dealing with UncertaintyDealing with Uncertainty
Pull Systems
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Pull Systems
PostponementRisk Pooling & Centralization
Strategic Alliances/Collaborative
? ?Dealing with UncertaintyDealing with UncertaintyPushPush--Pull SystemPull System
Push System
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Push System
?Production decisions are based onforecast
? ?
From MakeFrom Make--toto--Stock ModelStock Model..
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ConfigurationAssemblySuppliers
? ?
Demand ForecastDemand Forecast
The three principles of all forecasting techniques:
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The three principles of all forecasting techniques:
?Forecasts are always wrong?The longer the forecast horizon the worst is the
forecast
?Aggregate forecasts are more accurate
?The Risk Pooling Concept
? ?
A new Supply Chain ParadigmA new Supply Chain Paradigm
A shift from a Push System...
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a Sy
?Production decisions are based on forecast
to a Push-Pull System
? ?
PushPush--Pull Supply ChainsPull Supply Chains
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Push-PullBoundary
PUSH STRATEGY PULL STRATEGY
Low Uncertainty High Uncertainty
The Supply Chain Time Line
CustomersSuppliers
? ?
A new Supply Chain ParadigmA new Supply Chain Paradigm
A shift from a Push System...
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y
?Production decisions are based on forecast
to a Push-Pull System
?Parts inventory is replenished based on forecasts
?Assembly is based on accurate customer demand
? ?
..to Assembleto Assemble--toto--Order ModelOrder Model
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ConfigurationAssemblySuppliers
? ?
Organizational Skills NeededOrganizational Skills Needed
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RawMaterial Customers
PullPush
Low Uncertainty
Long Lead Times
Cost Minimization
Resource Allocation
High Uncertainty
Short Cycle Times
Service Level
Responsiveness
? ?
Dealing with UncertaintyDealing with Uncertainty
Postponement StrategyPostponement Strategy
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Postpone the point of committing semi-finished products
to customer specific requirements
Product postponement occurs in two ways:
?Manufacturing PP: Changes in form and identityoccur at the latest possible point in the SCN
?Logistics PP: Changes in inventory location occur at the
latest possible point in time
? ?
Example for a Postponement StrategyExample for a Postponement Strategy
Making Sweaters
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Making Sweaters
?three major stages?Dyeing, knitting and distribution
Reverse Dyeing and Knitting
?make clothes without colour
?apply colour when a customer order is received?colours match the movement of the market - dye just
in time
? ?
Postponement:Postponement: ExampleExample
Demand for black t-shirts
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?50% probability 100
?50% probability 200
Same for white t-shirts
Production alternatives
?
Produce 150 of each color ahead of time?Produce 300 which can be dyed after demand is
observed
? ?
Postponement:Postponement: ExampleExample
?First Alternative
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?25% probability -- short 50 of each
?25% probability -- extra 50 of each
?50% probability -- short 50 of one, extra 50 of the
other
?
Second Alternative?25% probability -- short 50 of each
?25% probability -- extra 50 of each
?50% probability -- no shortage or extra
? ?
Postponement:Postponement: Key ConceptsKey Concepts
Delay differentiation of products in the same family as
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late as possible
Enables the use of aggregate forecasts
Enables the delay of detailed forecasts
Reduces scrapped or obsolete inventory, increases
customer service
May require new processes or product design with
associated costs
? ?
Product Postponement (cont.)Product Postponement (cont.)
Advantages of PP:
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Hedge against uncertain customer demandReduce inventory holding cost
Reduce Logistics/Warehousing costs
Minimize imbalance in stock distribution
? ?
Relation to a Customer Commit PointRelation to a Customer Commit Point
The Customer Commit Point is a function of lead time
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Postponement Strategies are a function of the productstructure and/or material flow structure
Postponement tries to delay as much Added Value
behind the CCP
? ?
How is Postponement Realised?How is Postponement Realised?
Postponement is realised through:
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?
Manufacturing Lead Time reduction?Reduced Set Up Times
?etc..
?Re-design of manufacturing process
?Define generic base for product range
?Identify customer specific actions and put them at the end
of the Manufacturing Process
? ?
Postponement ConsiderationsPostponement Considerations
Tradeoff increased product cost with decreased
i t
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inventory
Need to decide where to postpone - the push-pull
boundary
Inventory value may increase
? ?
ISSUES:ISSUES: Collaboration and CoordinationCollaboration and Coordination
Individual objectives of different functional units within
fi j di ll ffi i
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a firm may jeopardize overall efficiency
Manufacturing: Long production runs
Procurement: Lowest procurement costs
Marketing: Infinite assortments
Finance: Low inventories
Logistics: Full Truck Loads
? ?Sequential Optimization vs.Sequential Optimization vs.Global OptimizatioGlobal Optimizationn
Sequential OptimizationSequential Optimization
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ProcurementPlanning
ManufacturingPlanning
DistributionPlanning
Demand
Planning
ProcurementPlanning
ManufacturingPlanning
DistributionPlanning
Demand
Planning
ProcurementPlanning
ManufacturingPlanning
DistributionPlanning
Demand
Planning
Supply Contracts/Collaboration/Information Systems and DSS
Procurement
Planning
Manufacturing
Planning
Distribution
Planning
Demand
Planning
Global Optimization
Supply Contracts/Collaboration/Information Systems and DSS
Procurement
Planning
Manufacturing
Planning
Distribution
Planning
Demand
Planning
Supply Contracts/Collaboration/Information Systems and DSS
Procurement
Planning
Manufacturing
Planning
Distribution
Planning
Demand
Planning
Global Optimization
? ?
Collaborative SCM systems are designed tosupport enhanced information sharing and
ISSUES:ISSUES: Collaboration andCollaboration andCoordinationCoordination
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support enhanced information sharing and
collaborative planning among partners in aneffort to reduce information asymmetries in thesupply chain, which contributes to the bullwhipeffect and result in excess inventories
? ?
Collaboration and Coordination (cont.)Collaboration and Coordination (cont.)
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Information Sharing (Transparency) usingSCM/ERP Solutions
B2B Markeplaces
? ?
NGM (Next Generation Manufacturing)NGM (Next Generation Manufacturing)
FrameworkFrameworkN G M
C o m p a n y
StrategicMater ia ls N e e d s
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N G MPartners
& Suppl i er s
N G MC u s t o m e r
StrategicVis ion/Coals /
Objec t i ves /Pr i nc ip les
People , Bus inessProcesses, &T echno l ogy
Met r ic s of Suc cess
for theEx ten ded En t er pr i s e
Mater ia ls
Serv i ces
In fomat ion
R e s o u r c e s
N e e d s
Se r v i c e s
In fo rmat ion
R e s o u r c e s
Results Resul
ts
Metr ics
Resul ts
Va l ue - Add i ng
P r o c e s s e s
Metr ics
R e s o u r c e s
NGM Requirements:
1) Responsiveness (market, resources) and teaming within a Mfg Company2) Sharing of knowledge and resources with other NGM Companies
3) Collaboration and integration among NGM Companies
? ?
Successful Supply Chain ManagementSuccessful Supply Chain Management
The basic requirements for successful supply chain
management are trustworthy partners good
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management are trustworthy partners, good
communication, appropriate performance measures,and competent managers with vision.
? ?Examples of Visionary SCMExamples of Visionary SCMInnovationsInnovations
Dells direct model and Palms strategicsourcing.
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g
? Wal-Marts cross-docking technique of off-loading goods from incoming trucks at awarehouse directly into outbound distributiontrucks instead of being placed into inventory.
? delayed differentiation where final modules areeither inventoried for last-minute assembly tocustomer order, or differentiating features areadded to the final product upon receipt of the
customers order.
? ?Examples of Visionary SCMExamples of Visionary SCMInnovations (cont.)Innovations (cont.)
Hewlett-Packards postponement approach todelayed differentiation where variety and
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delayed differentiation where variety and
customization is delayed until as late in the
production process as possible, sometimes even
arranging with the carrier to perform the final
customization (calledchannel assembly).
? ?Examples of Visionary SCM InnovationsExamples of Visionary SCM Innovations --
PalmPalm Inc.Inc.
During the year 2000, Palm Inc. was selling every
PDA (computerized Personal Digital Assistant) that
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PDA (computerized Personal Digital Assistant) that
wasnt nailed down.In the last few years, Palm has developed a strategic
supply chain management function.
They have gone from doing business with hundreds of
suppliers to developing deep relationships with only afew suppliers
? ?Examples of Visionary SCM InnovationsExamples of Visionary SCM Innovations-- Palm Inc. continuedPalm Inc. continued
The secret to driving the cost so low was workingclosely with their suppliers to hit tight cost targets
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closely with their suppliers to hit tight cost targets
for the display, the processor, the memory, thebattery, and the mechanicals.
The result of their new strategic emphasis on
supply chain management has been a 20-30percent reduction in materials costs and a 27percent reduction in overall costs, an increase ininventory turns from 3 to 22, and a 30 percentincrease in profit margins.
? ?
B2B Networks and Private ExchangesB2B Networks and Private Exchanges
B2B Online Marketplaces
Private Exchanges
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Private Exchanges
?HP
?Ace Hardware
?IBM
? ?
B2B Online Internet MarketplacesB2B Online Internet Marketplaces
When the Internet revolution began, a number of
organizations rushed to establish B2B online
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g
marketplaces for entire industries including steel,automobile manufacturing, and electronics.
More recently, however, a number of firms including
HP, IBM, and Wal-Mart created their ownprivateexchanges (also called corporate marketplaces).
? ?B2B Online Internet MarketplacesB2B Online Internet Marketplacescontinuedcontinued
These links allow the parties to collaborate andmanage the supply chain in real time.
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g pp y
Ace's motivation for the development of its systemwas the desire to manage its inventory moreefficiently and be able to collaborate with
suppliers in real time.
? ?B2B Online Internet MarketplacesB2B Online Internet Marketplacescontinuedcontinued
Ace used its supply chain management softwareto link the computer systems located in its 14
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p y
distribution centers with nine suppliers.
Ace 's system provides links to over 20,000 of itssuppliers.
Ace further estimates that it realized almost $400million in savings that year due to the increasedefficiency of its Web-based procurement system.
? ?
ConclusionsConclusions
Traditional waySCM involves each
organization managing their portion of the
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ga a a ag g p
supply chain and monitoring their partners toensure they fulfill their contractual obligations
? ?
ConclusionsConclusions (Cont(Contd)d)
Problembullwhip effect, the uncertainty indemand and lead times cause order sizes and
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lead times
leading to excessive and obsoleteinventory to prevent stock outs
? ?
ConclusionsConclusions (Cont(Contd)d)
Supply chain optimization/coordination focuses
on making decision that reduce the information
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g
asymmetry and resulting excess inventory in thesupply chain
? ?
ConclusionsConclusions (Cont(Contd)d)
In order to optimize the entire supply network
and not just create local optima in one or two
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j p
partners, the organizations are increasinglydeveloping strategic partnerships with their
suppliers and customers in an effort to reduce
waste in the procurement and order fulfillment
processes
? ?
ConclusionsConclusions (Cont(Contd)d)
Collaborative SCM goes beyond mere
exchanging and integrating information
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g g g g
between suppliers and their customers, andinvolves tactical joint decision making among
the partners in the areas of collaborative
planning, forecasting, distribution, and product
design
? ?
ConclusionsConclusions (Cont(Contd)d)
Benefits of Collaborative SCMreduce waste
in supply chain; increased responsiveness;
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customer satisfaction and competitivenessamong all members of partnership