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A “Bulletin Board” System for Monitoring Statistical Capacity
Development Data GroupWorld Bank
November 2008
Neil Fantom ([email protected]) Naoko Watanabe ([email protected])
What we currently do
• Since 2004, we have published an online database that:− Provides information on national statistical systems− Helps assess statistical capacity in countries, using
composite statistical capacity score− Helps monitor progress in statistical development− Uses existing data sources− Covers 140 countries− We update annually at
www.worldbank.org/data/countrydata/csid.html
Uses
• Countries− Self assessment, performance monitoring and evaluation− Strengthening of own reporting of statistical activities
• Development partners− Help include statistical capacity issues in policy dialogue− Project identification, monitoring, and evaluation− Monitoring of regional and global trends in statistical capacity
Some trends in SCB Indicator
1999 2004 2008
All countries 53 63 65
IDA 48 57 59
IDA – Africa 49 52 52
IDA – Other 48 64 69
Biggest increases and decreases in SCB Indicator 2004-2008
Increases
• Afghanistan (+22, to 32)• Cameroon (+18, to 67)• Sierra Leone (+17, to 42)• Nigeria (+16, to 54)
Decreases
• Zimbabwe (-20, to 46)• Cote D’Ivoire (-17, to 63)• Chad (-16, to 43)• Gabon (-14, to 32)
We’re making improvements
• To allow updates by countries• To improve coverage• To improve the assessment tools
… in response to:
• Comments from users, and• A request from donors to the 15th replenishment of the
International Development Association (IDA) (initially we are covering IDA - low-income - countries only)
What’s changing?
OLD NEW
Sources Uses existing sources only + Data from countries
Coverage Surveys, methods, international data
+ Institutional capacity, other improvements
Interpretation Capacity score + Assessment tools
Presentation Tables, chart + Maps
Design based on existing frameworks
• PARIS21:− Statistical Capacity Building Indicators
• IMF:− Data Quality Assessment Framework
• African Centre for Statistics:− Africa Statistical Development Index
• Eurostat:− Questionnaire on Statistical Capacity (which is based
on the UN Handbook on Official Statistics)
Other topics also possible e.g. − Population census frequency− Houshold survey frequency− Statistical Capacity Indicator− Etc.
Tabs on main country page
• “Information”− Overview
• “Assessment”− Institutional Framework− Statistical Methodology− Data Sources− Periodicity and Timeliness
Landing page - overview
• Statistical legislation• Status of existing and next NSDS• NSDS budget• Human resources (of statistical office)• Recent censuses and household surveys• Contact information• Development partner support to statistics
1. Institutional framework
• Statistical legislation• Strategy/work plan• Coordination• User consultation• Budget• Human resources• Infrastructure/equipment, including IT • Dissemination practices• Data analysis
2. Statistical Methodology
• Macroeconomic statistics − Concepts/definitions (DQAF 2.1) − Classifications (DQAF 2.3)
• Socio-demographic statistics− Scope of statistics (DQAF 2.2)
3. Data sources
• Macroeconomic statistics − Source data (DQAF 3.1)
• Socio-demographic statistics− Source data (DQAF 3.1)− Statistical techniques (DQAF 3.3)
• Quality of sampling frames (business registers, hh survey frames)
4. Periodicity and timeliness
• Macroeconomic statistics− Most of the SDDS/GDDS indicators
• Socio-demographic statistics− Selected MDG indicators− Other indicators recommended by international
agencies
Statistical Capacity Indicator
• Overall composite score for each country on a scale of 0 to 100
• Scores for each “dimension” as well − Institutional Framework − Statistical methodology − Data sources− Periodicity an timeliness
• Each criteria is weighted according relative importance
On the same page, users can see the score for each criterion
…and detailed indicator definitions
Toggle
Expand
Progress so far…
• Improvements in coverage of indicators• Proposals for new SCB indicator reviewed• Process of peer-review completed
− Involved selection of countries, plus PARIS21, UIS, WHO, IMF, UNSD, Eurostat, UNECA, DFID, SCBF, AfDB
• “Feedback” and other new features developed• Redesign of website underway
Work underway and to do
• Incorporate comments from peer reviewers (ongoing)• Pilot testing with selected countries (starting soon) • Populating database with existing data sources
(December 2008), e.g.− Africa Statistical Development Index− SDDS/GDDS− UN Country Profiles, etc
• Request to IDA countries to review and update content (start January/February 2009)
• Launch (mid-2009)
Some discussion issues
• Which countries should we include in the pilot?• How to encourage feedback from as many
countries as possible – and minimize reporting burden?
• What is the need to maintaining the existing Statistical Capacity Building Indicator series for analysis of trends?
• How to ensure a new SCB Indicator is robust to non-response?
• Expansion to all developing countries?