A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS BETWEEN AVIATION, REAL ESTATE AND TEXTILE INDUSTRY

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    MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS

    Assignment

    (8000 words )

    Test-4

    COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS BETWEEN AVIATION,REAL

    ESTATE AND TEXTILE INDUSTRY.

    SUBMITTED TO: SUBM ITTED BY:

    Dr . Rituparna Das (Facul ty of Management), Akshay Singh-1055

    Manager ial Economics Sourav Modi - 1072

    NLU JODHPUR Suryaneel Das-1073

    NATIONAL LAW UNIVERSITY,JODHPUR

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    -Micheal E. Porter

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    TEXTILE INDUSTRY

    The textile and clothing industry is very dynamic in its nature. Things have changed within

    this industry very frequently before. This model is one of the best tools available for

    analytical evaluation the competitive nature of the industry. Porter has further said that every

    industry is unique and has its own unique structure [and this] five-forces framework allows a

    firm to see through the complexity and pinpoint those factors that are critical to competition

    in its industry, as well as to identify those strategic innovations that would most improve the

    industrys profitability. Hence we can say that the model will be useful in defining the most

    important forces those actually define the nature and amount of competitiveness within the

    industry and will explain that the way these forces can be deemed to be interconnected with

    each other. According to this model there are five forces which determine the

    competitiveness of an industry in the long-run. The five competitive forces are:

    1. The bargaining power of buyers

    2. The bargaining power of suppliers

    3. The threat of substitutes

    4.

    The threat of new entrants

    5.

    The rivalry among existing competitors

    1.

    The Bargaining Power Of Buyers

    The demand forces inside the industry can be evaluated with the help of bargaining power

    which the buyers of the industry possess. According to a 2007 research done Texsummit the

    current international textile and clothing industry stands at a value of 52 billion US Dollars.

    The dominating markets which define the trend in the business in textiles and clothing in the

    international scenario are US and European markets. It is expected, that in future demand for

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    local made clothing and apparel will rise at a much increased growth rate since it has

    achieved a competitive edge over and above its neighbour nations. But in the global scene

    China will be the supplier which will see more demand for its supply with respect to India

    due to Indias incompetence related to several aspects like fragmented structure,

    technological obsolesce, rigid labour issues, lack of skill and training. But due to the fact that

    India is one of the lowest cost producer countries, most of the foreign buyers will try to hedge

    their risk factors by the process of outsourcing only from one country.

    2. The Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

    The bargaining power of suppliers in an industry tries to evaluate the scene of the supply

    market of the textile and clothing industry. The main raw material of textile and clothing

    industry is cotton. India has always been a significant producer of cotton and due to this

    factor it has played a very important role in the worlds market for cotton. The textile

    industry in India achieves cost advantage in the segment of apparel as well as home textiles

    with the help of unending supply of local staple cotton which have been domestically

    produced. Further, Indian Government and other policy makers have taken definitive steps

    for improving the amount and quality of cotton yield for making sure that higher productivity

    can be achieved. India has now bypassed the United States and has become the second largest

    producer of cotton in the world in the year 2007. The following fig. 3 shows Indias growing

    cotton trend.

    3. The Threat Of Substitutes

    The factor of threat of substitutes is dependent upon several different factors. These factors

    are the relative price and performance of substitutes, consumers interest in the substitute

    products and the cost the consumers have to bear for switching to other substitutes (Porter,

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    1990). When a number of good substitutes are available in the market, it cuts down the

    profitability of a particular industry as well as the magnetism of the industry due to the

    necessity of price restriction in the industry. There are many low cost producing countries

    like Pakistan and Bangladesh where the labour cost is very cheap in comparison to other first

    world countries. These countries pose a threat towards the Indias textile export industry.

    Many researchers have put an emphasis to this point in the past.

    4. The Threat Of New Entrants

    This factor that is threat of new entrants helps in increasing the competitive nature inside the

    industry to a greater level. On the other hand the threat is also instrumental in bringing

    increased amount of capacity in the market. The seriousness and effectiveness of the threats

    posed mainly is dependent upon the entry or exit barriers which are present in the industry. It

    further is dependent upon the way the player who are already existing in the industry react to

    the new entrant (Porter, 1979; Besanko, 2003). In the case of a quota free economy, all the

    players try to achieve expansion of capacity. But the implied result of it is huge number of

    domestic and small player entering the local market. This happens due to the fact that they do

    not possess the capacity to make any impact on the international scenario.

    World over Textile Trade

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    5. The Rivalry Among Existing Competitors

    The amount of rivalry within the competitors who already exist in the industry is highly

    dependent on the following factors: the structure of competition, the structure of industry

    costs, strategic objectives, degree of differentiation, entry and exit barriers, and switching

    costs (Porter, 1990). The rivalry of Indian textile industry, globally, depends upon various

    factors like; Indias poor logistics, fragmented infrastructure and unskilled labour. These all

    factors are a major thumbs-down to Indian economy on the global front.

    The analysis which was carried out with respect to Porters model, is instrumental in summing

    up the works done by Porter on the topic of competitiveness which has been immensely

    helpful in understanding the literatures which are relevant on this industry. This has proved

    that despite the structural inefficiency, the Indian textile and clothing industry has vast

    potential to successfully compete in the international business.

    PRODUCTIVITY:

    The productivity of a country depends upon the productivity of the companies operating in

    that country. Dowling has said that productivity is the one of the most important factors

    which determines a nations standard of living in the long run. This happens due to the factor

    that this is the root of growth of per capita income.

    INDIAN PERSPECTIVE

    In India textile industry is the second largest employment maker after agriculture and it is the

    second largest in the world. It holds major position in India as it offers one of the most basic

    necessities of the citizens. Textile industry was one of the earliest industries to come into

    existence in India and it accounts for more than 30% of the total exports.Indian textile

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    industry is formed of the following segments: Readymade Garments, Cotton Textiles

    including Man-made Textiles, Handlooms, Woollen Textiles, Silk Textiles, Coir,

    Handicrafts, and Jute.

    Nationwide Textile Policy was declared in the year 2000. Its major purpose was: to offer

    cloth of suitable quality at realistic prices for the vast majority of the people of the country

    and to compete with confidence for a rising share of the global market. The decision makers

    do not know the potential events or are unable to allocate probabilities about the particular

    changes that will be incurred. For analyzing the macro-environment, the significant variables

    that influence the demand, supply and its costs should be recognized.

    POLITICAL ENVIRONMENT

    Textile industries in India are affected by the government at both nationwide and local levels

    not only for a short period throughout policies, laws, and authority but also on strategic level

    by generating opportunities and threats. Political decisions have a cause on industrial

    structure, markets, social and economic trends, tax policies, employment law, trade

    restrictions and tariffs. The affect of these important changes should be anticipated by the

    textile manufacturers

    ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT

    It is significant for firms to learn the economic environment and recognize the changing

    trends, and their strategic implications. The economic change are affect of government

    policies, economic cycle, commodity prices, world trade pattern, changes in currency

    conversation rate, labor markets, capital markets, and their rates, , tax rates, inflation and

    interest rates.

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    The Indian textile industry is one of the most significant parts that provide employment to a

    large populace and thus contribute to the economic and financial expansion of the nation. In

    is the sector which has the availability of cheap and skilled labor power. The employment

    opportunity formed by the textile industry is also huge, creating up to 12 million jobs

    covering both agricultural as well as industrial sectors.

    SOCIAL CULTURAL ENVIRONMENT

    In socio cultures, gender differentiation of clothing is measured suitable for men and women.

    The differentiations are in colors, styles and fabrics. Women's outfits in India differ widely

    and are closely linked to local culture, religion and climate.

    THREAT OF NEW ENTRANTS

    Indian Textile Industry is extremely dependent on personal associates and experience. The

    new performers would have to get some kind of customer base along with the

    new establishment. Without any established customer portfolio it is difficult to attract.

    As the new entrant has less experience in textile manufacturing and they dont have

    relationships with customers so they might experience disadvantages comparative to

    the recognized competitors.

    Governmental policies do influence the industry environment to some level. An example of

    this is subsidies, which are obtainable to companies launching production in certain regions.

    BARGAINING POWER OF CUSTOMERS (DEMAND SCENARIO)

    India is likely to gain from the increasing demand in the home textiles in which it

    has competitive border against its neighbours. Therefore, the bargaining power of customers

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    is strong. As a result, it is importance for a producer of apparel to make different their

    products, thus it will not compete with price as primary mean.

    Differentiation can be important in the Indian textile industry since agreements are usually

    put on short-term base and are hardly ever set more than six months ahead. Thus, there is a

    need to tie the consumer to manufacturers without the need of open agreements. And thus,

    the bargaining power for the consumer is enhanced.

    BARGAINING POWER OF SUPPLIERS (SUPPLY SCENARIO)

    In India, we have various players in textile industry. There has been raise in production and

    supply of textile products in last few decades.In India, The excess of available suppliers gives

    an initial sign of a weak bargaining power for the supplier. In addition, the suppliers lack

    switching costs and have a low level of product differentiation. This directs to huge chances

    for textile manufacturers to scout the suppliers for finest terms and prices for production.

    Therefore, manufacturers can make contact with a huge number of suppliers and play

    suppliers against each other. Such activity weakens the bargaining power for suppliers and

    as a result pushes prices down and makes prices similar among suppliers.

    A benefit which the Indian Suppliers have capitalized on is, Due to their capacity to integrate

    ahead in value added chain, they have got an enhanced bargaining position towards textile

    manufacturing.

    THREAT OF SUBSTITUTE PRODUCTS

    When using such a wide term as Textile, there are apparent reasons for identifying substitute

    products proves hard. Obviously, there are differences in types of material and clothing.

    Differences in textile sector can also be known as trends in styles and fashion. Thus products

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    in the apparel sector can act as substitutes but the common conclusion still places; theres no

    substitute to apparel.

    COMPETITIVE RIVALRY WITHIN THE INDUSTRY

    The textile manufacturing sector is an enormous sector with lot of companies producing

    apparel. The high growth rate of total textile exports shows that the rivalry between

    manufacturers is low. In some products segments growth rate is high but even negative in

    others. Thus, the rivalry between textile manufacturers is varied since they enjoy different

    growth rates.

    As Indian textile manufacturers are forced to lower prices in order to stay competitive with

    companies in a foreign country, the overall rivalry within the industry gets companies to

    spread out their consumer base so as to keep profits up. Therefore reasonable to consider that

    such developments may happen on the behalf of competitors if possible, and thereby raise

    the rivalry in the industry sector.

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    REAL ESTATE INDUSTRY

    INDIAN REAL ESTATE INDUSTRY

    The Indian real estate sector has come a long way and is today one of the fastest growing

    markets in the world. It comprises four sub-sectors housing, retail, hospitality, and

    commercial. While housing contributes to fivesix percent of Indias gross domestic product

    (GDP), the remaining three sub-sectors are also increasing at a fast pace. The total realty

    market in the country is expected to touch US$ 180 billion by 2020. Real estate in India is

    being recognised as an infrastructure service that is driving the economic growth engine of

    the country. Growing infrastructure requirement in diverse sectors such as tourism, education,

    healthcare, etc., are offering several investment opportunities for both domestic as well as

    foreign investors. Total investment by private equity (PE) funds in the real estate sector from

    JanuaryMarch 2014 was approximately Rs 28 billion (US$ 465.19 million). This is a

    substantial increase of 28 per cent compared to the previous quarter and close to 2.5 times the

    investments during JanuaryMarch 2013.

    The role of the Government of India has been instrumental in the development of the

    sector. With the government trying to introduce developer and buyer friendly policies, the

    outlook for the real estate sector does look promising. The real estate industry has been under

    scrutiny in recent years with the mortgage crisis and other current events, but it is still a large

    field which generates billions or dollars in revenue. There were 165,000 companies operating

    in the residential brokerage and management field last year, which generated $170 billion in

    revenue, and there were 25,000 companies operating in the commercial brokerage and

    management field, generating annual revenue of $30 billion.

    Real estate tends to be a particularly cyclical industry, going up and down based on trends in

    the economy at large such as the fluctuation in interest rates. The story of real estate often

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    mirrors the general story of the American economy. Real estate soared in the post-World War

    II 1950s, sank in the 1970s, rose again in the early 1980s until the depression at the end of

    that decade, and was prosperous again at the end of the 1990s. Because of low interest rates

    in the mid-2000s, residential real estate was booming even when the economy was slow until

    the mortgage crisis hit and the bubble collapsed. After that point it sank and as of 2011 has

    yet to truly recover. Brokerage firms have taken on property management divisions in order

    to diversify their revenue streams and combat poor economic climates.

    The real estate industry consists of three primary fields: brokerages, leasing, and

    management. Brokers bring together buyers and sellers of property, assist in the price

    negotiations and arrange the steps between a buyer first taking interest in a property and

    closing, including appraisals and inspections. Generally, the seller pays a commission,

    dependent on the sale price (usually 5 or 6 percent), and this is split between a broker

    working for the buyer and the broker working for the seller. Real estate brokers must be

    licensed in the state in which they work. Leasing brings together property owners with

    tenants, sometimes owning that property themselves, or subleasing property they have leased

    from someone else. Management companies are responsible for making sure their buildings

    are filled with tenants, deciding what to charge these tenants, making sure the buildings run

    properly, paying utilities, hiring staff and other maintenance for owners who do not want to

    manage buildings themselves. Since most property expenses are fixed, maintaining low

    vacancy rates is critical to management companies. In particular, property management has

    been a fast growing field and should continue in its expansion, as commercial and residential

    properties that were overbuilt during the real estate boom will continue to need management

    until they are sold.

    The old adage, Location, location, location, is clich but true -- location is centrally

    important to determining the marketplace and the value for real estate. Factors controlling the

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    called the "incumbent company"), the abnormal profit rate will trend towards zero. There will

    be decrease in profitability due to increase in the number of entrants. As a result of the

    economic downturn around the globe, it has been difficult for the new entrants to get a hold

    because of cost reduction in expansion plans by corporates in real estate, little scope in

    commercial construction, and strong rivalry between existing firms.

    Result: Relatively weak threat of new entrants

    Barrier To Entry-The existence of high start-up costs or other obstacles that prevent new

    competitors from easily entering an industry or area of business. Barriers to entry benefit

    existing companies already operating in an industry because they protect an established

    company's revenues and profits from being whittled away by the new competitors.

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    FACTOR BARRIER IN REAL ESTATE

    LEGAL Ownership restrictions are clearly a very high barrier, but such

    restrictions can be overcome by JV. Problems with tenants can be

    difficult to deal with in certain countries

    TAXATION AND COSTS This is not a high barrier as long it is believed tax can be compensated

    for by high post-tax returns

    POLITICAL RISK Low barrier if the country has a strong economy and acceptable legal

    framework, although infrastructure investment can be a very

    politicised area and a problem for developers

    ECONOMIC STABILITY Medium Barrier

    LIQUIDITY RISK High Barrier

    CULTURAL BARRIERS Religion is not a high barrier; language and education are

    important; local partners are helpful

    GOVRNMENT

    RESTRICTIONS

    Licensing is a major issue

    FINANCE Real estate requires a lot of funding so finance is a high barrier

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    2. Suppliers Power

    When your suppliers have increased bargaining power, it affects one s ability to serve target

    market in a number of ways. Supplier power can impact the price the target market will pay

    for goods, the quantity and quality of items available for purchase, and even which

    companies will be able to remain in the marketplace. This potential business disruption may

    influence you to seek out substitute products or a new solution to the market's needs that

    avoids being held hostage by a critical supplier.

    SUPPLIER CONCENTRATION-

    PRICE-PRODUCTIVITY OF ALTERNATIVE INPUTs

    RELATIONSHIP SPECIFIC INVESTMENTS

    SUPPLIER SWITCHING COSTS

    Bargaining power of real estate suppliers is medium as the supplier concentration is quite

    high when it comes to supply of Raw Materials like Cement, Steel, etc. However, supply of

    Land is limited in Real Estate and due to this the supplier of Land has a high bargaining

    power in Real Estate Industry.An important category of suppliers in Real Estate is the bank

    as the Real Estate industry has a very high requirement of funds. Banks have the power to

    decide whether to fund a venture or not and at what rate. Banks have now become highly

    conservative especially after the economic downturn. Are significantly affected by the

    monetary regulations like the Repo rate & CRR formulated by the Central Bank of the

    country. This is in turn affects the real estate sector. Consequently the bargaining power of

    suppliers is very strong.

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    3. Power of the Buyer

    Powerful customers are able to exert pressure to drive down prices, or increase the required

    quality for the same price, and therefore reduce profits in an industry. Customers significantly

    influence the business operations in real estate. Customers do possess a threat of integrating

    backwards. Consequently, the bargaining power of the buyers is strong.

    4.

    Threat of the Substitute Product

    Relative price of the substitute

    Relative quantity of the substitute

    Switching Costs to Buyer

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    In real estate business, substitute might be some type of totally new retail space, some new

    location for office space or rehabilitation instead of new construction. The threat of substitute

    in real estate business and its impact on profitability of the industry is quite ambiguous and

    difficult to establish given the economic downturns and the recovery mode of the real estate

    business cycle. But as a whole Real Estate in itself has no substitute. Housing is a basic

    necessity that one has to fulfill in order to survive.

    5. Rivalry among existing firms

    Number of Competitors (Concentration) - The number of competitors is increasing

    day by day in the industry which in turn is increasing the Competition and reducing

    the rate of profit of the industry.

    Industry Growth- The Real Estate Industry is expanding day by day and the industry

    which in turn is also increasing the rivalry among the existing firms.

    CAGR of Indian Real Estate Industry from 2008 to 2011 and expectations of 2020.

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    High fixed costs- Real estate is a special industry, and its 'product' is fixed at a cost of

    large risks. In general, this prevents access to the number of enterprises in this sector,

    making the industry a relatively small degree of competition in other industries.

    High exit costs- The particularity of the real estate industry has been decided, once

    into the industry, especially real estate development has already begun, if you want to

    retire halfway through, the cost is quite large, human, financial, material has been

    input, the true 'finished product' is also did not come out, this is a dilemma to the

    realm.

    Rivalry is strong due to the large no. of real estate firms operating in India (65 in total) and

    the difficulty to differentiate. The services offered by real estate companies cannot be

    differentiated because these firms dont offer a product, other than the facilities they lease

    and this itself is very difficult to quantify. In the current economic crisis, there is minimal

    profitability and only companies with large cash reserves are likely to survive.

    Thus, to sum up Real Estate is a profitable industry provided one has the funds and patience

    to invest in the industry. However, one should take into consideration the recent Bubble in

    the industry and not get influenced by it.

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    AVIATION INDUSTRY

    The Indian civil aviation industry is on a high growth trajectory. India has a vision of

    becoming the third largest aviation market by 2020 and is expected to be the largest by 2030.

    The civil aviation industry in India has ushered in a new era of expansion driven by factors

    such as low-cost carriers (LCC), modern airports, foreign direct investments (FDI) in

    domestic airlines, cutting edge information technology (IT) interventions and a growing

    emphasis on regional connectivity. Simply going by the market size, the Indian civil aviation

    industry is amongst the top 10 in the world with a size of around US$ 16 billion.

    "The world is focused on Indian aviation - from manufacturers, tourism boards, airlines,

    global businesses to individual travelers, shippers and businessmen... If we can find common

    purpose among all stakeholders in Indian aviation, a bright future is at hand," as per Mr Tony

    Tyler, Director General and CEO of International Air Transport Association (IATA).

    Market size

    In India, air traffic in terms of aircraft movement and passenger traffic has increased during

    the last three years. The total aircraft movements and passengers have registered a compound

    annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.3 per cent and 5.6 per cent respectively during FY11 to

    FY14. In the April-May period of the current financial year, aircraft movements and

    passengers have increased by 5 per cent each over traffic handled during the corresponding

    period of FY14. The freight traffic during April-May, FY15, also grew by 9.9 per cent over

    traffic handled during the same period of the last fiscal.

    Airports Authority of India (AAI) has estimated that aircraft movements, passengers and

    freight at all Indian airports are expected to grow at the rate of 4.2 per cent, 5.3 per cent and 5

    per cent, respectively, for the next five years.

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    The aviation job market is expected to improve in FY15 with two new airlines entering the

    industry. One is AirAsia's joint venture with the Tatas, a low-cost carrier which began in

    June, 2014. The other, a full-service carrier to be formed separately by the Tatas and

    Singapore Airlines (SIA), is likely to begin in the fourth quarter of 2014.

    Investment

    The foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows in air transport (including air freight) during

    April 2000 to July 2014 stood at Rs 2,348.12 crore (US$ 383.63 million), as per data released

    by Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP).

    The following are some of the major investments and developments in the Indian aviation

    sector:

    IndiGo has signed a US$ 2.6 billion agreement with the Industrial and Commercial Bank of

    China (ICBC) under which the latter will finance the airline's plan to purchase 30 aircraft.

    SpiceJet Airlines has signed a contract with GE aviation to use GE's Flight Efficiency

    Services (FES) to support its fleet of 52 Boeing 737 and Bombardier Q400 aircraft.

    Air Costa has made capital expenditure plan for about Rs 600 crore (US$ 98.04 million) to

    acquire new aircraft to strengthen its fleet and expand its network.

    L&T Technology Services has bought 74 per cent equity stake in Thales Software India Pvt

    Ltd, to strengthen its avionics business. This collaboration will enhance L&T's expertise in

    high-end avionics software.

    The Tata Group and Swiss aerospace and defence firm Ruag Aviation plans to set up an

    aircraft manufacturing facility in Hyderabad, Telangana.

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    The Ministry of Civil Aviation has assigned 18 new tourist destinations in India as part of the

    Air Services Agreement with Sri Lanka.

    The Government of India plans to upgrade the Jaipur and Jodhpur airports. It plans to extend

    the runway of Jaipur airport with Cat-II approach lighting system and allocate land to the

    Jodhpur airport for the upgradation.

    Road Ahead

    There is large untapped potential for growth in the Indian aviation industry due to the fact

    that access to aviation is still a dream for nearly 99.5 per cent of its large population, nearly

    40 per cent of which is the upwardly mobile middle class. It is critical for the industry

    stakeholders to engage and collaborate with the policy makers to come up with efficient and

    rational decisions that will shape the future of the Indian civil aviation industry. With the

    right policies and a relentless focus on quality, cost and passenger interest, India would be

    well placed to achieve its vision of becoming the third largest aviation market by 2020 and

    the largest by 2030. With the liberalization of the Indian aviation sector, aviation industry in

    India has undergone a rapid transformation. From being primarily a government-owned

    industry, the Indian aviation industry is now dominated by privately owned full service

    airlines and low cost carriers. Private airlines account for around 75% share of the domestic

    aviation market. Earlier air travel was a privilege only a few could afford, but today air travel

    has become much cheaper and can be afforded by a large number of people. The Air

    Corporations Act, 1953 ensured that IAC and AI had a monopoly over the Indian skies. A

    third government-owned airline, Vayudoot, which provided feeder services between smaller

    cities, was merged with IAC in 1994. These government-owned airlines dominated Indian

    aviation industry till the mid-1990s. In April 1990, the Government adopted open-sky policy

    and allowed air taxi- operators to operate flights from any airport, both on a charter and a non

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    charter basis and to decide their own flight schedules, cargo and passenger fares. In 1994, the

    Indian Government, as part of its open sky policy, ended the monopoly of IA and AI in the

    air transport services by repealing the Air Corporations Act of 1953 and replacing it with the

    Air Corporations (Transfer of Undertaking and Repeal) Act, 1994. Private operators were

    allowed to provide air transport services. Foreign direct investment (FDI) of up to 49 percent

    equity stake and NRI (Non Resident Indian) investment of up to 100 percent equity stake

    were permitted through the automatic FDI route in the domestic air transport services sector.

    However, no foreign airline could directly or indirectly hold equity in a domestic airline

    company By 1995, several private airlines had ventured into the aviation business and

    accounted for more than 10 percent of the domestic air traffic. These included Jet Airways

    Sahara, NEPC Airlines, East West Airlines, ModiLuft Air-lines, Jagsons Airlines,

    Continental Aviation, and Damania Airways. But only Jet Airways and Sahara managed to

    survive the competition. Meanwhile, Indian Airlines, which had dominated the Indian air

    travel industry, began to lose market share to Jet Airways and Sahara. Today, Indian aviation

    industry is dominated by private airlines and these include low cost carriers such as Deccan

    Airlines, GoAir, SpiceJet etc, who have made air travel affordable. Airport infrastructure

    needs to be upgraded rapidly if Indian aviation industry has to continue its success story.

    Some steps have been taken in this direction. Two of India's largest airports-Mumbai and

    New Delhi-were privatized recently. Two green field airports are coming up at Bangalore and

    Hyderabad in southern India. Investments are pouring into almost all aspects of the industry,

    including aircraft maintenance, pilot training and air cargo services. The future prospects of

    Indian aviation sector look bright.

    This airline industry is classified into four categories

    1. International

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    2. National

    3. Regional

    4. Cargo

    Airport capacity, route structures, technology, and costs to lease or buy the physical aircraft

    are significant in the airline industry. Other large issues are:

    1. Weather:

    The problem is that weather is variable and unpredictable. Extreme heat, cold, fog, and snow

    can shut down airports and cancel flights (which costs money). Weather is also the second-

    largest cause of flight accidents.

    2. Fuel Cost:

    On average, fuel can make up 14-16% of an airline's total costs, although efficiency among

    different carriers can vary widely. Short haul airlines typically get lower fuel efficiency

    because take-offs and landings consume high amounts of jet fuel.

    3. Labour:

    It is estimated that 40% of an airline's expenses are used to pay pilots, flight attendants,

    baggage handlers, dispatchers, customer service, and others Airlines also earn revenue from

    transporting cargo, selling frequent flier miles to other companies, and 'up-selling' in flight

    services. But by far, the largest proportion of revenue is derived from regular and business

    passengers. For this reason, it is important that we take consumer and business confidence

    into account on top of the regular factors that one should consider like earnings growth, debt

    load, etc.

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    Business travellers are important to airlines because they are more likely to travel several

    times throughout the year, and they tend to purchase the upgraded services that have higher

    margins for the airline. On the other hand, leisure travellers are less likely to purchase these

    premium services and are typically very price sensitive. In times of economic uncertainty or

    sharp decline in consumer confidence you can expect the amount of leisure travellers to

    decline.

    It is also important to look at the geographic areas that an airline targets. Obviously, more

    market share is better for a particular market, but it is also important to stay diversified. For

    example, an airline that sends a high number of flights to the Caribbean might see a dramatic

    drop in profits if the outlook for leisure travellers looks poor.

    A final key area to keep a close eye on is costs. The airline industry is extremely sensitive to

    costs such as fuel, labour, and borrowing costs. Some of the major players in the airline

    industry attribute 10-20% of their costs to jet fuel. Airline Industries operators need to factor

    fuel costs into their cost structures. Fuel prices have been known to fluctuate 5-10% or more

    on a month basis, so paying close attention to these costs is crucial. Low-cost airlines are

    mushrooming in India, and the traveller has become the king. "The Fare Well" carriers are

    putting a smile on the face of the Indian air passenger.

    Analyst Insight:

    Airlines also earn revenue from transporting cargo, selling frequent flier miles to other

    companies, and 'up-selling' in flight services. But by far, the largest proportion of revenue is

    derived from regular and business passengers. For this reason, it is important that you take

    consumer and business confidence into account on top of the regular factors that one should

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    consider like earnings growth, debt load, etc. Business travellers are important to airlines

    because they are more likely to travel several times throughout the year, and they tend to

    purchase the upgraded services that have higher margins for the airline. On the other hand,

    leisure travellers are less likely to purchase these premium services and are typically very

    price sensitive. In times of economic uncertainty or sharp decline in consumer confidence

    you can expect the amount of leisure travellers to decline.

    It is also important to look at the geographic areas that an airline targets. Obviously, more

    market share is better for a particular market, but it is also important to stay diversified. Try

    to find out where a majority of an airlines flights are departing to. For example, an airline

    that sends a high number of flights to the Caribbean might see a dramatic drop in profits if the

    outlook for leisure travellers looks poor. A final key area to keep a close eye on is costs. The

    airline industry is extremely sensitive to costs such as fuel, labour, and borrowing costs.

    Aircraft Movement in India of the Past 7 years.

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    Porter analysis:

    1. Threat of New Entrants:

    As of now it is very easy to enter into the aviation sector in India since there are very few

    entry barriers. Government is also promoting the Local Players in the sector. Various low

    cost carriers, both domestic and foreign are entering the Indian skies with the increase in FDI

    limit to 49% from 40%. We need to look at whether or not there are substantial costs to

    access bank loans and credit. If borrowing is cheap, then the likelihood of more airliners

    entering the industry is higher. The more new airlines that enter the market, the more

    saturated it becomes for everyone. Brand name and frequent ier point also play a role in the

    Airline industry. An airline with a strong brand name and incentives can usually be enough to

    lure a customer (even if their prices are higher).

    Since Choppers/Airbus grab more Air space, the demand for helicopters is growing with the

    rise of heli-tourism, adventure sports, point-to-point heli-services connecting remote areas,

    islands and religious locations. The helicopter segment of the aviation sector is expected to

    grow further in the coming years.

    With the airline industry cruising deeper into red zone and losses mounting, government is

    planning to erect a host of checks and balances on entry barriers to permit only serious and

    financially sound aviation ventures to take off. Under these fresh regulations, government

    intends to make it mandatory for all wannabe aviators to first tie-up finances; aircraft leasing

    deals and recruits pilots and engineers before seeking a scheduled airline license.

    2. Bargaining Power of Suppliers:

    All suppliers have tremendous bargaining power with the airline industry. There are few fuel

    providers and no reliable alternative to fuel. There are very few pilots in the job market and

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    planes cannot be own without pilots. Mechanics for airplanes are in short supply and planes

    cannot be own without being serviced. Flight attendants provide services that cannot easily

    be replaced and customer satisfaction without flight attendant would be detrimental. Finally

    airports are in limited supply and we need airports to land planes and board passengers. The

    airline supply business is mainly dominated by Boeing and Airbus. For this reason, there isn't

    a lot of Cut throat competition among suppliers. Also, the likelihood of a supplier integrating

    vertically isn't very likely. In other words, we probably won't see suppliers starting to oer

    flight service on top of building airlines. There is a trend of Global contraction of Material

    Supplies in this sector. So Companies are trying to take step towards Achieving Self-

    Sufficiency in Raw Material Supplies.

    3.Bargaining Power of Buyers:

    The bargaining power of buyers in the airline industry is quite low. Obviously there are high

    costs of switching airplanes, but taking a look at the ability to compete on service, the seat in

    one airline is probably not more comfortable than another , unless we are analyzing a luxury

    liner. Generally speaking consumers, business or regular travellers, have little bargaining

    power with airlines. Either they buy the ticket or not, one traveller does not hurt the airline.

    The demand for more affordable air travel is quite robust.

    4. Availability of Substitutes:

    What is the likelihood that someone will drive or take a train to their destination? For

    regional airlines the threat might be a little higher than international carriers. When

    determining this we should consider time, money, personal preference, and convenience in

    the air travel industry. No other product domestically competes directly with airlines in terms

    of cost and speed of travel. Bus services may cost less but travel speed extremely slow and

    tedious with many stops before your destination. Train services are generally less expensive

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    than airplane and only have select stations/ stops. Generally charter planes are much more

    expensive than commercial airlines. Taxis are tremendously expensive for long distance and

    are constricted to speed limits and road layouts. Low cost carriers are mainly aiming to

    compete with Indian Railway's AC segment

    5. Competitive Rivalry:

    Competition among major players is extremely intense in many aspects. Switching costs are

    generally low, even though companies have tried to increase switching costs with the use of

    "frequent flyer" programs. Highly competitive industries generally earn low returns because

    the cost of competition is high. This can spell disaster when the times get tough in the

    economy.

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    future as well. Also, when it comes to bargaining power of buyers, a buyer has actually no

    alternative as his options are limited since all real estate companies are not omnipresent.

    Further, House is a necessity as already stated in the introduction itself. Also, for suppliers

    they do not have a number of options to supply to so as times they do give in. Products like

    cement are perishable and so a supplier cannot store it for a long time and thus he has less

    bargaining power. Labour is very important component of real estate industry but a labourer

    cannot store labour so he too has less bargaining power even though labour laws are strict in

    India. Internal Competitive Rivalry is also quite low as the majority of market is captured by

    the top 10 companies in India. All in all though all three industries are profitable yet as an

    investor the best returns can be generated by investing in the Real Estate Industry.