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A Look at the Texas Hill Country Following the path we are on today through 2030 Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.com

A Look at the Texas Hill Country · Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | 1995 - 2005 Aerial images 10 years apart show the dramatic

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Page 1: A Look at the Texas Hill Country · Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 |  1995 - 2005 Aerial images 10 years apart show the dramatic

A Look at the Texas Hill CountryFollowing the path we are on today through 2030

Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.comPegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.com

Page 2: A Look at the Texas Hill Country · Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 |  1995 - 2005 Aerial images 10 years apart show the dramatic

Th l ti i thi i d i lThe population in this unique and special region will double by 2030.

What will the growth look like?

Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.com

How best can we accommodate the growth?

Page 3: A Look at the Texas Hill Country · Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 |  1995 - 2005 Aerial images 10 years apart show the dramatic

Key • Population will grow from 2.2 million in 2000 to at least 4.3 million in 2030

• 90 % of Hill Country is unincorporatedFindings • 90 % of Hill Country is unincorporated

• Current water sources are not sufficient to support growth

Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.com

Page 4: A Look at the Texas Hill Country · Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 |  1995 - 2005 Aerial images 10 years apart show the dramatic

The Setting• Fragile ecosystem

• Springs, Ranches, and Farmsg• $5 billion/year tourism industry

• Intense residential demand

Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.com

Page 5: A Look at the Texas Hill Country · Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 |  1995 - 2005 Aerial images 10 years apart show the dramatic

Th M i kThe Maverick Ranch Experiencep

• Historic Family Ranch near Boerne

The SettingHistoric Family Ranch near Boerne

• Used to just be a few mailboxes

• Springs, wildlife, creeks, & scenic views

Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.com

g

Page 6: A Look at the Texas Hill Country · Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 |  1995 - 2005 Aerial images 10 years apart show the dramatic

4 500 000

5,000,000

Hill County Population 1950-2030

2,623,930

4,340,186

2 500 000

3,000,000

3,500,000

4,000,000

4,500,000

1,108,544

2,623,930

500 000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

0

500,000

1950 2000 2030

Hill Country • Population doubled from 1950-2000 (50 yrs)

• Will nearly double again in the next 30 yearsyToday • Hays/Comal growing fastest (45% / 35%)

• Population 60+ increased 15% (1980-90)

Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.com

Page 7: A Look at the Texas Hill Country · Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 |  1995 - 2005 Aerial images 10 years apart show the dramatic

Hill Country yToday

• Major roadways planned and built

L f t l f & h• Loss of natural areas, farms, & ranches

• Water planning begins

• Tourism growth• Tourism growth

• Residential demand continues

• Health and retail sectors blossom

Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.com

Page 8: A Look at the Texas Hill Country · Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 |  1995 - 2005 Aerial images 10 years apart show the dramatic

The Maverick Ranch ExperienceRanch Experience

Hill Country Today• Development pressures in extra territorial

jurisdiction (ETJ) of cities and in the County

• Views ruined with roadways & houses on yhilltops

• Fighting for the right growth is a full-time job

D ti i i b f li ht th

Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.com

• Dramatic increase in number of lights on the hills at night

Page 9: A Look at the Texas Hill Country · Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 |  1995 - 2005 Aerial images 10 years apart show the dramatic

The Hill Country in 2030• Population will be at least 4.3 million

• Bandera / Kendall > 50k population

y

• Comal ~ 200k population

• Hays > 300k population

Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.com

Page 10: A Look at the Texas Hill Country · Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 |  1995 - 2005 Aerial images 10 years apart show the dramatic

1995 - 2005

Aerial images 10 years apart show the dramaticchanges to the landscape near Dripping Springs

Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.com

Page 11: A Look at the Texas Hill Country · Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 |  1995 - 2005 Aerial images 10 years apart show the dramatic

Projected Development Patterns

Only 3,500 of 37,000 f bdi i iacres of subdivisions

in Blanco County are within city limits.y

At least 22 000 acresAt least 22,000 acres will be developed in Blanco County over

th t 20the next 20 years (size of red box)

Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.com

Page 12: A Look at the Texas Hill Country · Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 |  1995 - 2005 Aerial images 10 years apart show the dramatic

Impacts of GrowthGrowth

• Character of Hill Country • Water quantity/quality• Loss of habitat• Loss of farm/ranchland• Cost of services• Economic concerns

Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.com

Page 13: A Look at the Texas Hill Country · Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 |  1995 - 2005 Aerial images 10 years apart show the dramatic

Th M i kThe Maverick Ranch Experiencep

Impacts of Growth• Eminent Domain

Impacts of Growth

• Land taken for roadways/utilities

• Downstream impacts of developments

Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.com

Page 14: A Look at the Texas Hill Country · Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 |  1995 - 2005 Aerial images 10 years apart show the dramatic

What can we all doWhat can we all do about this?

• City Comprehensive • Transfer / Purchase of• City Comprehensive Planning

• Regional Utility

• Transfer / Purchase of Development Rights

• Habitat Conservationg yPlanning

• Parcel databases• Public Education• Changes in Development

Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.com

• Open Space/ParksChanges in Development Patterns

Page 15: A Look at the Texas Hill Country · Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 |  1995 - 2005 Aerial images 10 years apart show the dramatic

For more information or to get involved visit the Hill Country Alliance Website

www.hillcountryalliance.org

Bebe and Mary Fenstermaker&

Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.comPegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.comPegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.com

&Sean Garretson, AICP