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A Look at the Texas Hill CountryFollowing the path we are on today through 2030
Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.comPegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.com
Th l ti i thi i d i lThe population in this unique and special region will double by 2030.
What will the growth look like?
Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.com
How best can we accommodate the growth?
Key • Population will grow from 2.2 million in 2000 to at least 4.3 million in 2030
• 90 % of Hill Country is unincorporatedFindings • 90 % of Hill Country is unincorporated
• Current water sources are not sufficient to support growth
Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.com
The Setting• Fragile ecosystem
• Springs, Ranches, and Farmsg• $5 billion/year tourism industry
• Intense residential demand
Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.com
Th M i kThe Maverick Ranch Experiencep
• Historic Family Ranch near Boerne
The SettingHistoric Family Ranch near Boerne
• Used to just be a few mailboxes
• Springs, wildlife, creeks, & scenic views
Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.com
g
4 500 000
5,000,000
Hill County Population 1950-2030
2,623,930
4,340,186
2 500 000
3,000,000
3,500,000
4,000,000
4,500,000
1,108,544
2,623,930
500 000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
0
500,000
1950 2000 2030
Hill Country • Population doubled from 1950-2000 (50 yrs)
• Will nearly double again in the next 30 yearsyToday • Hays/Comal growing fastest (45% / 35%)
• Population 60+ increased 15% (1980-90)
Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.com
Hill Country yToday
• Major roadways planned and built
L f t l f & h• Loss of natural areas, farms, & ranches
• Water planning begins
• Tourism growth• Tourism growth
• Residential demand continues
• Health and retail sectors blossom
Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.com
The Maverick Ranch ExperienceRanch Experience
Hill Country Today• Development pressures in extra territorial
jurisdiction (ETJ) of cities and in the County
• Views ruined with roadways & houses on yhilltops
• Fighting for the right growth is a full-time job
D ti i i b f li ht th
Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.com
• Dramatic increase in number of lights on the hills at night
The Hill Country in 2030• Population will be at least 4.3 million
• Bandera / Kendall > 50k population
y
• Comal ~ 200k population
• Hays > 300k population
Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.com
1995 - 2005
Aerial images 10 years apart show the dramaticchanges to the landscape near Dripping Springs
Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.com
Projected Development Patterns
Only 3,500 of 37,000 f bdi i iacres of subdivisions
in Blanco County are within city limits.y
At least 22 000 acresAt least 22,000 acres will be developed in Blanco County over
th t 20the next 20 years (size of red box)
Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.com
Impacts of GrowthGrowth
• Character of Hill Country • Water quantity/quality• Loss of habitat• Loss of farm/ranchland• Cost of services• Economic concerns
Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.com
Th M i kThe Maverick Ranch Experiencep
Impacts of Growth• Eminent Domain
Impacts of Growth
• Land taken for roadways/utilities
• Downstream impacts of developments
Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.com
What can we all doWhat can we all do about this?
• City Comprehensive • Transfer / Purchase of• City Comprehensive Planning
• Regional Utility
• Transfer / Purchase of Development Rights
• Habitat Conservationg yPlanning
• Parcel databases• Public Education• Changes in Development
Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.com
• Open Space/ParksChanges in Development Patterns
For more information or to get involved visit the Hill Country Alliance Website
www.hillcountryalliance.org
Bebe and Mary Fenstermaker&
Pegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.comPegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.comPegasus Planning | 3112 Windsor Road #242, Austin, Texas 78703 | p: 512.300.7270 | www.PegasusPlanning.com
&Sean Garretson, AICP