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A More Secure World: Our Shared Responsibility—

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W ATER. WEALTH. Prioritized but intimately connected These are systemic challenges that require systemic understanding and systemic solutions Policies and budgets must be harmonized among all parties. A More Secure World: Our Shared Responsibility— - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: A More Secure World: Our Shared Responsibility—
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A More Secure World: Our Shared Responsibility—Report of the Secretary-General's High-level Panel on Threats, Challenges and Change (United Nations, 2004)

• Prioritized but intimately connected• These are systemic challenges that require systemic understanding and systemic solutions• Policies and budgets must be harmonized among all parties

W A TE

RWEALTH

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IntegrityDATA PATHOLOGIES THE CURE

• Forbidden Knowledge

• Lost History

• Manufacturing Consent

• Missing Information

• Fog Facts

• Propaganda

• Rule by Secrecy

• Weapons of Mass Deception

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Level of Analysis Threat Grade CommentStrategic Sustainability

LOW (2.0) Not sustainable for more than two weeks.

Operational Availability

MEDIUM (3.0)

Many of them scattered around.

Tactical Reliability

LOW (2.0) Cannibalized parts, stored in open, poorly trained crews.

Technical Lethality

HIGH (4.0) Best tanks money could buy at the time from Russia.US IC Official Threat on Worst Case Basis

General Threat Factor

<MEDIUM (2.75)

Proper analysis differentiated threat at each level which means each level commander is individually informed.

Military Difference

1.25 (31%) Being wrong by 31% is significant—nuances matter. On balance, at two of four levels, threat is a LOW threat.

Threat (or Factor Being Evaluated) Changes at Each Level of Analysis

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Rule 5Intelligence without Translation is Ignorant

• USA failed to translate captured documents from first World Trade Center bombing and from Philippines• Need global network

of on-call translators in 29+ languages• Web-based

OSS Terrorism Project 1999Arabic, Catelan, Chinese, Danish, Dari, Dutch, English, Farsi, Finnish, French, German, Indonesian, Irish, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Kurdish, Kurmanji, Norwegian, Pashto, Polish, Portuguese, Russian, Serbian, Spanish, Swedish, Tamil, Turkish, Urdu

Millions

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Figure 9: Concept for Information Operations 24/7 in All Languages & Mediums

HISTORYAll Cultures, All Languages

FUTUREOne World, Get A Grip

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Thinking Holistically

Everything is Connected—Get a Grip!

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TECHNICAL HUMAN

III - External InformationEXTERNAL

INTERNAL

OrganizationalMemory System

DataConversion

DataVisualization

HeterogeneousSearch & Retrieval

TripReports

Churning(Rotationals)

LocalKnowledge

Expert Hires“Just Enough,

Just in Time”

Internal Reporting

Vendor Reporting

Government Monitoring

Customer Monitoring

Environmental Monitoring

Technology Monitoring

CHUNKS

(Intellectual Property)

PERSONALITY

(Insight/Intuition)

Patents, Etc.

Trade Secrets

Meta-Data

Knowledge Capital™

Rolodexes/E-Mail

Personal Brand

Out-Sourcing ofInformationProcessing

Project/GroupManagement

Training

BusinessIntelligenceInstitutionalized

E-Commerce

Automated Analysis

Cell #

IV - Organizational Intelligence

I - Knowledge Management II - Collaborative Work

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Future

History &Current

Now

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State Targets – Lots of Assets

Organizational Targets – Very Few Assets

Individual Targets – Virtually No Assets

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Figure 28: Information & Intelligence Element of Regional Centre

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Figure 30: Low-Tech Individual Hand-Held Access (Generally Free)

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Figure 28: Information & Intelligence Element of Regional Centre

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New Strategy: 1 + iii:Need better balance within national security.

50% 15% 20% 15%

250B vs. 400B 75B vs 20B 100B vs. 20B 75B vs. 32B

CINCWAR CINCSOLIC CINCPEACE CINCHOME

Strategic NBC Small Wars State/USIA Intelligence

Big War(s) Constabulary Peace Corps Border Patrol

Ground Truth Economic Aid Port Security

1 ii i

Electronic

Reserve

Reserve Environment

Public HealthPeace Navy

Engineers: Less Gov Spec Cost Plus, More Peace & Prosperity Engineering

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Intelligence-Driven Stabilization & Reconstruction