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4
2050: 8.9b
1859 1870 1890 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980
2000 2020 2050
World Population
today: 7b1859: 1b
2050: $180ttoday: $50t
GDP
1859: $.7t
2050: 555 ppmtoday: 400 ppm
CO2
1859: 290 ppm
Lesson 1
Communities that do not deliberately embark on a path of transition from fossil fuel fed economic growth will never be sustainable
6
Going Fossil Fuel Free in Kristianstaad
Going Fossil Fuel Free The Energy Revolution in Kristianstaad
1300 sq km in area26 communitiesLargest 33,000Smallest 250Total Population 77,000 peopleDistrict Municipality made up of all 26 communities
1999 – Politicians Make Fossil Fuel FREE decision
7
Waste = Electricity and Vehicle FuelWind = Electricity; District Heating = Energy Efficiency
Waste + Wind = Self-Reliance and Resilience
Annual direct carbon reduction annually =140,000 tons
Indirect reductionsProcessing waste = less methane23% more powerful than carbon
Lesson 2
• Local and democratic ownership is crucially
Local and democratic ownership is crucial to creating the capacity to invest and re-invest systematically in in the transition to more sustainable communities. necessary and generating to transition to more equitable and sustainable communities.
Lesson 3
Local governments are emerging as a crucial partner and actor in pro-actively navigating the challenges and capturing the opportunities a serious commitment to sustainability represents.
10
House Prices vs Average Income
Vancouver (Dunbar)
Price: $14,700
(3.5 years of a carpenter’s labour at $4,000)
Price: $1.6m
(33 years of a carpenter’s labour at $48,000)
Capturing the Unearned Market Lift for Community Benefit
The Community Land Trust Tenure
CLTs own land under a non-profit multi-stakeholder democratic governance model
The CLT leases the land to home owners or non-profit and co-op partners. Limited return restrictions on resale.
Application to land for food growing, workspace, renewable energy
11Source: Champlain Housing Trust
12
CLT Increases Affordability Over Time
50% AMI 60% AMI 70% AMI 80% AMI
1984
2002
2009
25 year track record in Burlington
13
Superior Stability in Good Times and Bad2009 – US CLTs minimal mortgage problems
National Community Land Trust Network (NCLTN) and Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) data for mortgage delinquency and foreclosure, 4th quarter 2009
Source: Champlain Housing Trust
Lesson 4
It is important to expand CLT like mechanisms that capture public benefits from public resources and investment. Reclaiming the commons through rebalancing the dominant ME with the collective WE is integral to transition to sustainability.
A Community Land Trust Development Model
City of Vancouver
Head lease (99 years)
Housing agreements (Affordability obligations)
Vancity
Owner/Operator Agreements
Sub-leases
Fraserview Co-op
(79 units)
Fraserview Co-op
(82 units)
Total of 161 units over two
sites
HFBC Housing Society (114)
Katherine Sanford Housing
Society (48)
Social Purpose Developments
VancityCHF BC Terra Housing
Project consultants
Architects
Contractors
Legal advisors
Community Housing Land Trust Foundation
Tikva Housing Society (16)
Tikva Housing Society (16)
Site #1 Site #3Site #2 Site #4
355 Homes
Lesson 5
Communities advance their sustainability to the extent they organize themselves to consciously leverage their Assets and Connect the Dots
Energy
ReclaimingFinance
Democratizing & Localizing
Ownership
18
Lesson 5ve sustainability toCommunities achieve sustainability to the extent they organize
themselves to consciously connect the dots
KEY FUN
CTION
S
BASIC NEEDS: Food Shelter
Reclaiming the Commons