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A new historical global crop time series for evaluating CLM5 crop distributions, harvest area, irrigation and yields Peter Lawrence NCAR – Terrestrial Sciences Section co authors: Danica Lombardozzi, Dave Lawrence and many others Slide 1 - Title

A new historical global crop time series for evaluating CLM5 crop … · 2018. 7. 16. · A new historical global crop time series for evaluating CLM5 crop distributions, harvest

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Page 1: A new historical global crop time series for evaluating CLM5 crop … · 2018. 7. 16. · A new historical global crop time series for evaluating CLM5 crop distributions, harvest

A new historical global crop time series for evaluating CLM5 crop distributions, harvest

area, irrigation and yieldsPeter Lawrence

NCAR – Terrestrial Sciences Section

co authors: Danica Lombardozzi, Dave Lawrence and many others

Slide 1 - Title

Page 2: A new historical global crop time series for evaluating CLM5 crop … · 2018. 7. 16. · A new historical global crop time series for evaluating CLM5 crop distributions, harvest

New Resolution0.25° grid-cell fraction

New HistoryHyde 3.2, FAO basedLandsat F/NF Multiple crop types (5)Multiple pasture types (2)Updated Forest Cover/BiomassUpdated Wood harvestUpdated Shifting CultivationExtended time domain (850-2015)

New Management LayersAgricultureFraction of cropland irrigatedFraction of cropland floodedFraction of cropland fertilizedIndustrial Fertilizer applicationFraction of cropland for biofuelsCrop rotationsWood HarvestFraction industrial productsFraction commercial biofuelsFraction fuelwood

New Future ScenariosSix futures, SSP-based

Page 3: A new historical global crop time series for evaluating CLM5 crop … · 2018. 7. 16. · A new historical global crop time series for evaluating CLM5 crop distributions, harvest

Gridcell

Landunit

Vegetated Crop

Unirrig Irrig

Crop1 Crop1…

The transient land use time series data set provides annual information on, Natural Vegetation and Crop distributions as well as fertilizer and irrigation

Soil

PFT1 PFT2 PFT3…

Page 4: A new historical global crop time series for evaluating CLM5 crop … · 2018. 7. 16. · A new historical global crop time series for evaluating CLM5 crop distributions, harvest

Slide 4 – Land Cover Change

CLM5 Crop – Crop Yield and Production – Lombardozzi et al 2018

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Slide 4 – Land Cover Change

CLM5 Crop – Crop Yield and Production – Lombardozzi et al 2018

Page 6: A new historical global crop time series for evaluating CLM5 crop … · 2018. 7. 16. · A new historical global crop time series for evaluating CLM5 crop distributions, harvest

- UN FAOSTAT provides annual country level statistics for crop harvest area and yield for 178 crops for 258 countries from 1961 – 2016

Global Crop Area, Yield and Irrigation Evaluation Data

Slide 2 - Outline

- MIRCA2000 (Monthly Irrigated and Rainfed Crop Areas) (Portmann et al 2010) provides global rainfed and irrigated physical distribution maps for 26 crops representing the average for the period 1998 – 2002 at 5 arc minutes resolution (~9km). Current guidance for CLM5 crop mapping from CMIP6/LUMIP LUH2 time series data.

- MapSPAM (Spatial Production Allocation Model) (You et al 2017) provides global rainfed and irrigated maps for physical and harvested area, production, and yield for the year 2005 for 42 crops for the year 2005 also at 5 arc minutes

Page 7: A new historical global crop time series for evaluating CLM5 crop … · 2018. 7. 16. · A new historical global crop time series for evaluating CLM5 crop distributions, harvest

- UN FAOSTAT provides extensive country level data for the period 1961 –2016 for 178 crops but is tabular and difficult use with CLM5 Crop beyond global or regional aggregate numbers.

Global Crop Area, Yield and Irrigation Evaluation Data

Slide 2 - Outline

- MIRCA2000 provides global rainfed and irrigated physical distribution maps for 26 crops but is only a single time period and has no yield information.

- MapSPAM provides global rainfed and irrigated maps for physical and harvested area, production, and yield for 42 crops but is also only for a single time period.

- Integrating these three products with the ESRI countries of the world map at 1km resolution we have produced a series of global maps for Crop Physical, Harvest and Irrigation Areas, with Yield and Production for 48 crops at 1km resolution for 1961 – 2016. For practical purposes the data is regridded to 0.25 or FV 0.9x1.25 degree resolution.

- The UN FAOSTAT data is spatially downscaled for each country for each year using either the MIRCA2000 or MapSPAM physical, harvest or irrigated crop areas, and the MapSPAM yield data for guidance.

Page 8: A new historical global crop time series for evaluating CLM5 crop … · 2018. 7. 16. · A new historical global crop time series for evaluating CLM5 crop distributions, harvest

- The Global Crop Time Series crop list is a inclusive composition of the CLM5, UN FAOSTAT, MIRCA2000 and MapSPAM crop lists:

Global Crop Time Series Evaluation Data

Slide 2 - Outline

1. Banana 2. Barley 3. Beans 4. Cassava 5. CerealsOther

6. Chickpea

7. Citrus 8. Cocoa 9. Coconut 10. Coffee Arabica

11. Coffee Robusta

12. Cotton

13. Cowpea 14. Date Palm 15. Fibers Other

16. Fruit Other Temp

17. Fruit Other Trop

18. Grapes

19. Ground nut

20. Lentil 21. Maize 22. MilletPearl

23. Millet Small

24. Oats

25. Oil Crop Other

26. Oil Palm 27. Pigeon Pea

28. Plantain 29. Potato 30. Pulses Other

31. Rapeseed Canola

32. Rest of Annual Crops

33. Rest of Perennial

34. Rice 35. Roots and Tubers Oth.

36. Rye

37. Sesame Seed

38. Sorghum 39. Soybean 40. Sugar Beet

41. Sugar Cane

42. Sunflower

43. SweetPotato

44. Tea 45. Tobacco 46. VegetableOther

47. Wheat 48. Yam

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Slide 4 – Land Cover Change

Global Crop Time Series – UN FAOSTAT/MIRCA/SPAM 1961 - 2016UNFAO Country Level Data

MIRCA2000 Crop / IrrigationPortmann et al. (2010)

Global UNFAO Crop Spatial Database

- Crop- Year- Area

- Yield- Fertilizer- Irrigation

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Slide 4 – Land Cover Change

LUH2/CLM5 – Global Crop Time Series (Harvested Area)

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Slide 4 – Land Cover Change

LUH2/CLM5 – GCTS – MIRCA200 – MapSPAM All Crops

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Slide 4 – Land Cover Change

LUH2/CLM5 – GCTS – MIRCA200 – MapSPAM Wheat

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Slide 4 – Land Cover Change

LUH2/CLM5 – GCTS – MIRCA200 – MapSPAM Maize

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Slide 4 – Land Cover Change

LUH2/CLM5 – GCTS – MIRCA200 – MapSPAM Rice

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Slide 4 – Land Cover Change

CLM5 Crop – Crop Yield and Production – Lombardozzi et al 2018

Page 16: A new historical global crop time series for evaluating CLM5 crop … · 2018. 7. 16. · A new historical global crop time series for evaluating CLM5 crop distributions, harvest

Slide 4 – Land Cover Change

GCTS (FAO) – USDA NASS – CLM5 Crop Maize Yields 1991 - 2010

Lombardozzi et al 2018

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Slide 4 – Land Cover Change

GCTS (FAO) – USDA NASS – CLM5 Crop Wheat Yields 1991 - 2010

Lombardozzi et al 2018

Page 18: A new historical global crop time series for evaluating CLM5 crop … · 2018. 7. 16. · A new historical global crop time series for evaluating CLM5 crop distributions, harvest

Slide 4 – Land Cover Change

GCTS – USDA NASS – CLM5 Crop Soybean Yields 1991 - 2010

Lombardozzi et al 2018

Page 19: A new historical global crop time series for evaluating CLM5 crop … · 2018. 7. 16. · A new historical global crop time series for evaluating CLM5 crop distributions, harvest

Slide 4 – Land Cover Change

LUH2 – CLM5 – UNFAO Global Crop Time Series

Page 20: A new historical global crop time series for evaluating CLM5 crop … · 2018. 7. 16. · A new historical global crop time series for evaluating CLM5 crop distributions, harvest

CLM Land Use Data

Tool

“mksrf “CLM Land

Surface Properties

Tool

CLM/CESM

Historical or future land use

time series

Current day vegetation

(PFTs)

Data

Data

CLM5 raw CFT/PFT

files

LUMIP format:12 land unitsTransitionsManagement

CLM5 other raw data files

CLM5 format:~9 Crop Types~15 Plant TypesManagement

Current day cropping (CFTs)

Page 21: A new historical global crop time series for evaluating CLM5 crop … · 2018. 7. 16. · A new historical global crop time series for evaluating CLM5 crop distributions, harvest

Remap Annual LUH2 Crop Land Units to CLM5 Crop Functional Types using current day crop fractions from MIRCA2000:

- C3Ann -> Wheat, Rice, Barley, Rye, Sunflower, Potatoes, Sugar beet, Rape seed, Fodder grass

- C4Ann -> Maize, Millet, Sorghum

- C3Per -> Cassava, Oil palm, Citrus, Date palm, Grapes, Cotton, Cocoa, Coffee

- C4Per -> Sugar cane

- C3Nfx -> Soybeans, Groundnuts, Pulses

CLM5 Crop Distributions

Slide 2 - Outline

Thanks – Questions?