A Pilot Accelerated Data Program for Africa Olivier Dupriez, World Bank Fasdev II Addis Ababa, February 2006 Building on the Marrakech Action Plan for

A Pilot Accelerated Data

Programfor Africa

Olivier Dupriez, World Bank

Fasdev II

Addis Ababa, February 2006

Building on the Marrakech Action Plan for Statistics

Pilot Accelerated Data Program for Africa

Managing for results: a growing demand for data

At national and international levels, for

national poverty reduction strategies, the Millennium Development Goals,

sector development strategies, results monitoring systems, etc

… but


The supply doesn’t satisfy the demand

Not available: 30% Obtained

from national sources: 60%Estimated by

international agencies: 10%

Estimates for 25 survey-based MDG indicators (2000-2004)Average for low-income Sub-Saharan Africa


One cause …Lack of surveys and censuses

Health survey in last 5 years

82 % of countries81 % of population

Poverty survey in last 5 years


Pop. census in last 10 years


99 % in Europe,95% in Asia,only

53% in Africa


One solution: better survey and census planning

• Improve timing, sequencing and frequency – Currently: often ad-hoc, donor-driven– Recommended: a continuous household survey

program, with a population census every 10 years, e.g.,

Very few countries follow such a model

Year 1 Health and demographic survey

Year 2 Light monitoring survey

Year 3 Multi-topic survey with detailed consumption or expenditure moduleYear 4

Year 5 Light monitoring survey

Year 6 Population and Housing Census


But more surveys is only part of the solution

• Reliability – Data not always reliable– Surveys are complex undertakings – Need better supervision, simpler design

• Comparability – Surveys not always comparable (over-

time and across countries)– Need harmonization and “discipline”


But more surveys is only part of the solution

• Relevance – Do we collect what is most needed?– Problem also on demand-side– Need assessment and interaction with users

• Analysis and use: – Many surveys under-exploited due to limited

analytical capacity by producers, and limited access by secondary users

– Need micro-data preservation and dissemination strategy


Proposed solution:the Pilot Accelerated Data Program

• An integrated approach:– Inventory and dissemination of existing data

• International Household Survey Network “Toolkit” and guidelines (for documentation, dissemination)

– Analysis and assessment of existing data – Review of survey methods and practices– Design medium-term survey programs (within

NSDS; aligned with PRSP)– Support new data collection activities


Customized to country needs

• No pre-determined survey instrument ; builds on existing data collection programs

• Different focus in different countries:– Assessment of methods and data

dissemination in “high capacity” countries; – Identifying priority needs and data collection

in “low capacity” countries


Implementation

• A MAPS activity ( Advisory Board)• Country-executed (NSOs, PRSP units)• Six pilot countries in Sub-Saharan Africa

– Proposed: Congo DR, Ethiopia, Ghana, Madagascar, Mozambique, Niger

– Criteria: diversity (statistical capacity, language, etc)

• World Bank funding • Cooperation with other donors and IHSN• 3 to 5 years (from 2006)


Scaling up ?

• Lessons learned form pilot program may guide scaling up to all low-income countries in Sub-Saharan Africa

0

50

100

150

200

250

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Surveys only Surveys+censuses

Estimated annual cost:

$109m (surveys+censuses)

$38m (surveys only)

Estimated annual cost:

$109m (surveys+censuses)

$38m (surveys only)


In conclusion

• An “approach” more than a “project”

• Contributes to implement 21 out of the 80 recommendations made in the RRSF

Documents

A Pilot Accelerated Data Program for Africa Olivier Dupriez, World Bank Fasdev II Addis Ababa, February 2006 Building on the Marrakech Action Plan for