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© 2010 -White Stream Pipeline Company Limited,
White Stream™
A Priority Project of the EU and integral
component of the Southern Gas Corridor
Roberto Pirani – Chairman of the Board
November 2010
Project development by the White Stream Consortium
White Stream Pipeline Company Ltd – London, UK
www.gueu-whitestream.com
A factor important for Caspian region
governments and for potential
upstream investors is the security
and continuity of demand
The concurrent development of
White Stream with Nabucco and
other Turkish loop projects offers
producers and exporters such
security of demand and security of
export.
The EU’s Southern Corridor projects
are mutually reinforcing
The important result is not only 60
Bcm/y+ of capacity, but also
dramatic reduction of perceived
transportation risks
The White Stream gas transportation project in the
context of the Southern Gas Corridor
2© 2010 -White Stream Pipeline Company Limited, the White Stream Consortium
White Stream
East-West Energy Corridor pipelines
paved the way for Caspian Gas to Europe
Sangachal
Kazakh
Ceyhan
Erzurum
Supsa
Picture from CB&I John Brown Limited
The three success
stories from the East-
west corridor prove that
market-transforming
pipelines can be
realised
3
© 2010 -White Stream Pipeline Company Limited, the White Stream Consortium
The EU needs to replace declining
production and meet new demand growth
IAE:
Demand for gas in Europe
will increase from 526 bcm/y
in 2010 to 622 bcm/y in 2030
Europe gas imports will
increase from current 232
bcm/y to 476 bcm/y
(+244 bcm/y)
http://wap.trend.az/en/page8/1722459/
There is a growing need for additional gas
from new supply routes to the EU
Data from: IEA WEO 2007-09, BP Statistical Review of World Energy, 2002-09 and other
sources
4© 2010 -White Stream Pipeline Company Limited, the White Stream Consortium
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040
Volume Bcm
Continental European production
EU27 consumption
2020 import gap yet
to be contracted
North Sea production
White Stream: 32 Bcm
IEA 2007
IEA 2008
IEA 2009
IEA 2009
3%
6%
IEA 2009
© 2010 GUEU-White Stream Pipeline Company Limited, the White Stream Consortium
3.0
Reserves and resources to supply
EU‟s Southern Corridor are huge
Main data: BP Statistical Review of World Energy, 2009 (Tcm)
45Change of PARADIGM:Caspian basin – the third „major
league‟ gas supply centre in the world.
Gaffney Cline REPORT confirms many companies‟ long-held view –
the gas is there
28
8.1..
1.3
1.9+
1.6
2.14.5
20+2.5+
3.2
© 2010 -White Stream Pipeline Company Limited, the White Stream Consortium 5
© 2010 GUEU-White Stream Pipeline Company Limited, the White Stream Consortium
28
8.1..
3.0
1.3
1.9+
1.6
2.1
45
2.5+
4.5
The EU Southern Corridor vision will
STRENGTHEN Europe’s single gas market
20+
3.2
Main data: BP Statistical Review of World Energy, 2009 (Tcm)
© 2010 -White Stream Pipeline Company Limited, the White Stream Consortium 6
© 2010 GUEU-White Stream Pipeline Company Limited, the White Stream Consortium
28
8.1..
3.0
1.3
3.2
1.9+
1.6
2.14.5
Without Southern Corridor
20+
45
2.5+
Main data: BP Statistical Review of World Energy, 2009 (Tcm)
© 2010 -White Stream Pipeline Company Limited, the White Stream Consortium 7
© 2010 -White Stream Pipeline Company Limited,
The EU Energy Commissioner
Günther Oettinger told the energy
forum in Ashgabat on the 14th of
April 2010:
“The Commission will continue to
strongly support the development of
the Southern Corridor”
“Several projects make up the
southern corridor, including
Nabucco, the ITGI and White Stream.
EU support the development of
the Southern Corridor
The importance of the southern corridor was explicitly
recognized by all 27 Head of States of the European
Union at the European Council in March 2009”
The European Parliament Resolution on the
need for an EU strategy for the South Caucasus
“ Recognises the significance of the region
for the EU's energy cooperation and energy
security, especially in the context of the
development of the Southern Corridor
(Nabucco and White Stream) “
European Parliament resolution of 20 May 2010 on the need
for an EU strategy for the South Caucasus (2009/2216(INI))
para.29
www.europarl.europa.eu/sides/getDoc.do?type=TA&reference=P7-TA-2010-0193&language=EN&ring=A7-2010-0123
The European Parliament …
A successful Caspian gas
strategy: BIG GAS offer
If Caspian countries are expected to
decide on allowing western
companies for E&P and support
westbound projects, they will need to
see that potential exports to Europe
are sufficiently high and capable of
providing a significant part of their
future revenues.
… otherwise it will be difficult for
them to get engaged in the complex process not favored
by some of the established partners
CDC – conceived by the Commission as a component of
the Southern Gas Corridor will be able to provide such
expanded opportunity.
© 2010 -White Stream Pipeline Company Limited, the White Stream Consortium
Two key strategies
The Southern Corridor plan includes two key strategies needed to open
up Caspian gas to western investments and direct export to the European
gas market
1 BIG GAS strategy – by stressing its aim to buy large import volume
from Caspian (90 Bcm/y or more) EU reduces barriers hindering the
development.
2 Effective CORRIDOR strategy - by stressing its aim to develop all
key projects of the Southern Corridor the EU reduces the perceived
transportation risks for the Caspian producers and enables decisions
on trans-Caspian crossing and new PSAs with western companies.
Upstream investments are huge and risky.
Caspian producers will want to have a secure gas export
infrastructure to Europe
11
12
White Stream is feasible
• Market feasibility
• Demand for gas
• Supply of gas
• Economic and
commercial feasibility
• Technical feasibility
proven ultra-deep water
pipeline technology
• Legal feasibility
Our work up to date co-
funded by the European
Commission has proven:
© 2010 -White Stream Pipeline Company Limited, the White Stream Consortium
White Stream‟s development
schedule aims to deliver first
gas shortly after Nabucco
• White Stream is already
economical with 8 bcm/y
• Capacity can be increased to
meet need by adding offshore
strings
• The volume of gas will
build-up gradually to 32 Bcm/y
• The build-up schedule is flexible
and can be ACCELERATED!
The White Stream project is commercially viable
and offers flexibility in capacity build-up
• The volume of gas will
build-up gradually to 32 Bcm/y
• Capacity can be increased to
meet need by adding offshore
strings
• The build-up schedule is
flexible and can be
ACCELERATED!
• White Stream is already
economical with 8 bcm/y
Stage 2: 16 Bcm/y
Stage 1: 8 Bcm/y
Stage 3:
32 Bcm/y
13© 2010 -White Stream Pipeline Company Limited, the White Stream Consortium
1st string: 8 Bcm/y
2nd string: 8 Bcm/y
-
8
16
24
32
2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046 2051
Bcm Volumes
4th string: 8 Bcm/y
3rd string: 8 Bcm/y
2nd string: 8 Bcm/y
1st string: 8 Bcm/y
White Stream aligns multiple interests
There are three broad sets of interests in play with respect to the
Southern Corridor:
• The EU needs diversity of routes as well as of sources.
• Caspian need a sufficiently large, guaranteed revenue stream to
warrant large, new direct gas trade deals and investment in
upstream exploration and production.
• Turkey‟s „land bridge to Europe‟ is in many ways the natural or
obvious gas pipeline route, but the prospect of a transport monopoly
slows progress on agreements, while the existence of a range of
joint interests with Russia further complicates Turkey’s decisions.
14© 2010 -White Stream Pipeline Company Limited, the White Stream Consortium
How to align these interests? (1/2)
• The Southern Corridor can align the interests of the EU, Caspian
gas producers and Turkey with much higher certainty and in much
shorter time frame if it has White Stream as an integral component.
• For Turkey, the development of White Stream concurrently with
Nabucco will neutralise concerns about a future transport monopoly.
• The three-way alignment of interests outlined above will catalyse
earlier and larger scale investment in exploration and production of
Caspian gas.
• The transported gas volumes will be larger and the timing of
developments will be sooner, leading to outcomes with greater
overall economic attractiveness and energy security for Turkey.
15© 2010 -White Stream Pipeline Company Limited, the White Stream Consortium
How to align these interests? (2/2)
• The limited production capacity that investors have developed and
the volumes of Caspian gas produced at present are a reflection of
the current lack of westward export infrastructure, and not a
reflection of the lack of reserves or the limitations of the resource
base
• Development of White Stream concurrently with Nabucco will
accelerate the development of Nabucco.
• White Stream and Nabucco together will catalyse TCGP and the
huge Caspian gas potential.
• Beyond this initial catalysing effect, the mutually reinforcing effect of
the two projects will increase as increments of capacity in each
project dove-tail with each other.
16© 2010 -White Stream Pipeline Company Limited, the White Stream Consortium
First string - Georgia to Constanta
• Length: 1100 km
(subsea to Romania)
• Depth: 2150 m
• Diameter: 28 inch
• Volume: 8
White Stream
© 2010 -White Stream Pipeline Company Limited, the White Stream Consortium
The “Pipeline Concept” fully meets
the project’s requirements
18© 2010 White Stream Pipeline Company Limited, the White Stream Consortium
Current deep-water proven technology dictates the phased development of the White
Stream pipeline project: capacity of each separate string equals to 8bcm/year.
The option for the Black Sea crossing
using LNG tankers was also examined
but the pipeline concept was found
to have commercial advantage,
particularly for large volumes over this
relatively short distance .
More importantly, the pipeline will
provide the required security of
demand for the success of the
Southern Corridor plan.
But for the volumes availably before Shah Deniz 2 and other major fields could start production, LNG and CNG transportation can play an important bridging role and we welcome developments on using these technologies for trans-Black Sea transportation.
© 2010 -White Stream Pipeline Company Limited, the White Stream Consortium
Route design from Sangachal to Constanta has been
accelerated due to fast developments in the Caspian
• Onshore: 650 km
(Sangachal-Black Sea)
• Diameter: 46/56 inch
• Offshore: 1100 km
(subsea to Romania)
• Offshore: 630 km
(subsea to Ukraine at one of
the next stages)
• Depth: 2150 m
• Diameter: 28 inch
(subsea to Romania)
• Volume: 8~32+ Bcm/y
(8 Bcm x № of ‘strings’)
• Completion: 2016-2017
(first ‘string’)
White Stream
19
Saipem 7000 J-laybarge
• International and National laws define the rights and obligations
• Precedent: Blue Stream pipeline has already crossed the Black Sea
Key legal issues:
• Coastal states do not have the legal
means to prevent construction and
operation of White Stream
• White Stream will enter 12 nautical
mile territorial waters only at the
landing points at either end of the route
• International Law guarantees freedom
to lay pipelines on the continental shelf
and in the Exclusive Economic Zone
• The existence of Blue Stream is not a legal obstacle to White Stream – there
are many examples of submarine pipelines that cross other pipelines and
cables
• White Stream will implement international standard EIA requirements
There are no legal barriers to White Stream
21© 2010 -White Stream Pipeline Company Limited, the White Stream Consortium
White Stream will facilitate a beneficial
balance between major gas market players
Major sourcesMajor transitMarket
European
UnionUkraine Russia
Turkey
Caspian
and
Central
Asian
states
© 2010 White Stream Pipeline Company Limited, the White Stream Consortium
Black Sea
White Stream project development update
• White Stream continues to reduce the project‟s political risk
in co-operation with the EU, governments and companies
• White Stream will deliver first gas shortly after Nabucco, with White Stream’s pro-
market role as a key team player accelerating the overall EU‟s Southern
Corridor plan
• Studies supported by TEN-E have confirmed that White Stream is feasible:
legally, technically and commercially
• The relevant legal rights and obligations are defined in international law
• Preparations are under way for the Black Sea marine reconnaissance
• This will prepare the way for the detailed route survey and ESIA
EPCFinancial
close
Permits
and
approvals
Scoping and
reconnaissance
Survey
Milestones Commercial
Operation
2010-11 2011-12 2013/14 2015-16 2017 >23© 2010 White Stream Pipeline Company Limited, the White Stream Consortium
ALIGNMENT OIF INTERESTS
Three broad sets of interests in play with respect to the
Southern Corridor: Turkey, the EU and the Caspian countries
• White Stream and Nabucco will be mutually reinforcing and will
catalyse earlier and larger scale investment in exploration and
production of Caspian gas.
• White Stream and Nabucco together will catalyse TCGP and the
huge Caspian gas potential.
• Development of White Stream concurrently with Nabucco will
accelerate the development of Nabucco.
• The transported gas volumes will be larger and the timing of
developments will be sooner.
24© 2010 -White Stream Pipeline Company Limited, the White Stream Consortium