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A Quick-LookA Quick-LookDesign-of-Experiments (DOE)Design-of-Experiments (DOE)
OrientationOrientation
Carol Ventresca Carol Ventresca Carol @SynGenics.comCarol @SynGenics.com
John C. SparksJohn C. [email protected]@SynGenics.com
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved.
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 2
Presentation Topics
Introductory Experiments with a Black Box Using One-Factor-at-a-Time Methodology Using an Orthogonal Array via a “Designed Experiment”
What Exactly is DOE? History When Applicable
The Classic “Dial Problem” Air Force Example: Vane Cleaning Experiment Summary and Resources
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 3
Experiments with a Black Box
Controllable inputs:X variables
y1
Outputs:Y Variables
Objective:Determine Y = F(X)In the presence of Z
x1 x2 x3 x4 x5
z1 z2 z3 z4 z5
y2
y3
y4
Uncontrollable inputs:Z variables
Standard DOE nomenclature for black box experimentation
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 4
Goal of Testing and AssociatedTest Program Options
Via experimentation, engineer must assess the response of a system as a function of several variables or factors Each factor has at least two different operating levels Any change to any one factor necessitates an additional test
Traditional Options Full Factorial (FF): Solid option, but quickly discarded with the ballooning of
factor/level combinations Example: FF for six two-level factors necessitates 26 = 64 individual tests in order
to capture all factor/level combinations Engineering Judgment: Normally a poor option since this approach by nature
allows random pursuit of rabbit trails Leads to a situation known as the “random test matrix”
One-Factor-at-a-Time (OFT): Poor option, process attempts to optimize in serial fashion with no regard to synergistic or “interactive” combinations
Once an individual factor comes up for optimization and has its level fixed, all other levels of the same factor are disregarded for the remainder of experimentation
Hence, interaction effects between factor levels are never fully assessed
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 5
OFT Test Program Applied to a Specific Black Box
Unknown FunctionalMechanism:
Y1 = f(x1,x2,x3,x4)
y1
Inputs
Output
x1
x2
x3
x4
Goals:1) Use OFT test methods to maximize the output y1
2) Discover the operating characteristics of the black box in terms of an algebraic equation relating cause to effect
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 6
Actual Function HiddenWithin the Black Box
y1
Inputs
Output
x1
x2
x3
x4
y1=45+12x1+8x2+10x1x2+5x3-2x1x3-6x1x4+x4
Nature of which is TBD
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 7
OFT Factors and Factor Levels(Chosen for Illustration Purposes Only)
Factor Lo Hi
x1 -1 1
x2 -1 1
x3 -1 1
x4 -1 1
Note: A FF test program would consists of 24 = 16 individual tests.
x1 x2 x3 x4
-1, 1, -1, 1
1
-1
1
-1
11
-1-1
-1, -1, -1, -1
1, 1, 1, 1
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 8
“Straight-to-the-Chase” with aFive-Run OFT Test Program
Run: Comment x1 x2 x3 x4 Run Code y1
1: Baseline -1 -1 -1 -1 (1) 21
2: x1 lockdown 1 -1 -1 -1 x1 51
3: x2 lockdown 1 1 -1 -1 x1x2 77
4: x3 lockdown 1 1 1 -1 x1x2x3 83
5: x4 off the optimum 1 1 1 1 x1x2x3x4 73
6: Final Lockdown 1 1 1 -1 x1x2x3 83
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 9
OFT Model Building withFive Data Points
Start with an assumed fully determined linear model
y1 = a0 + a1x1 + a2x2 + a3x3 + a4x4
Where
a0 – a1 – a2 – a3 – a4 = 21a0 + a1 – a2 – a3 – a4 = 51a0 + a1 + a2 – a3 – a4 = 77a0 + a1 + a2 + a3 – a4 = 83a0 + a1 + a2 + a3 + a4 = 73
Solving for the five unknown coefficients
y1 = 47 + 15x1 + 13x2 + 3x3 – 5x4
Optimizing
y1 = 47 + 15(1) + 13(1) + 3(1) – 5(-1) =83
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 10
The OFT Model Fails to Predict For Many Combinations
True: y1=45+12x1+8x2+10x1x2+5x3-2x1x3-6x1x4+x4
OFT Model: y1 = 47 + 15x1 + 13x2 + 3x3 – 5x4
Combination OFT True Combination OFT True
-1, -1, -1, -1 21 21 1, -1, -1, -1 51 51
-1, -1, -1, 1 11 35 1, -1, -1, 1 41 31
-1, -1, 1, -1 27 35 1, -1, 1, -1 53 47
-1, -1, 1, 1 17 49 1, -1, 1, 1 43 37
-1, 1, -1, -1 47 17 1, 1, -1, -1 77 77
-1, 1, -1, 1 37 31 1, 1, -1, 1 67 67
-1, 1, 1, -1 53 31 1, 1, 1, -1 83 83
-1, 1, 1, 1 43 45 1, 1, 1, 1 73 73
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 11
OFT Advantages and Disadvantages
Advantages Search process locates the maximum value Similar search process locates the minimum value Does so in five runs
Disadvantages Leads to wrong functional model
Factor main effects only; no interactions Poor overall prediction capability
Example OFT predicts six settings out of sixteen Blue is fortuitous Due to unaccounted-for interactions
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 12
An OFT Test Program thatFails to Identify the Maximum
y1 = 7 + 2x1 – 3x2 + x3 + 2x1x2 – 4x2x3
Run: Comment x1 x2 x3 y1
1: Baseline -1 -1 -1 5
2: x1 lockdown per economics 1 -1 -1 5
3: x2 lockdown 1 1 -1 11
4: x3 less than maximum 1 1 1 5
Final lockdown 1 1 -1 11
True Maximum 1 -1 1 15
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 13
2IV4-1 DOE Test Program in
Comparison to Companion OFT
-1 1 1 -1 21
1 -1 -1
-1 1 -1
1 -1 1
-1 -1 1
1 1 -1
-1 -1 -1
1
1
-1
1
-1
-1
49
31
31
31
47
77
x3 x1x3 x1x4 x4 y1
F I I F
-1 1-1
-1 1
1 -1
1 -1
-1 -1
-1 -1
1 1
-1
-1
-1
1
1
1
x2 x1x2x1
F IF
1 1
1
1
1
1
1
GM
ColumnAssign
(1)
x3x4
x2x4
x2x3
x1x4
x1x3
x1x2
1 1 1 1 731 1 11x1x2x3x4
Run
y1 = c0 + c1x1 + c2x2 +c3x1x2 +c4x3 +c5x1x3+c6x1x4 +c7x4
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 14
Calculating Coefficients viaMatrix Orthogonality (1/2)
1 1 -1
-1 -1
1 -1
-1 1
-1 1
1 -1
-1 -1
1
1
-1
1
-1
-1
-1 1-1
-1 1
1 -1
1 -1
-1 -1
-1 -1
1 1
-1
-1
-1
1
1
1
-1
1
-1
1
-1
1
-1
1 1 1 11 1 1
1 1
1
1
1
1
1
1
-1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1
c0
c1
c2
c3
c4
c5
c6
c7
● ● -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1
21
49
31
31
31
47
77
73
= ●
c4
0 0 0 0 8 0 0 0
c0
c1
c2
c3
c4
c5
c6
c7
● -21 +49 -31 +31 -31 +47 -77 +73=» » 8c4 = 40 » c4=5
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 15
Calculating Coefficients viaMatrix Orthogonality (2/2)
1 1 -1
-1 -1
1 -1
-1 1
-1 1
1 -1
-1 -1
1
1
-1
1
-1
-1
-1 1-1
-1 1
1 -1
1 -1
-1 -1
-1 -1
1 1
-1
-1
-1
1
1
1
-1
1
-1
1
-1
1
-1
1 1 1 11 1 1
1 1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1
c0
c1
c2
c3
c4
c5
c6
c7
● ● 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1
21
49
31
31
31
47
77
73
= ●
c3
Each coefficient is calculated in like fashion resulting in
y1 = 45+12x1+8x2+10x1x2+5x3-2x1x3-6x1x4+x4
Unveiling the black-box functional relationship
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 16
DOE Advantages and Disadvantages
Allows for the inclusion of interactions into mathematical models and higher order terms when needed
Allows efficient evaluation of the coefficients associated with the mathematical model via the use of orthogonal arrays
Allows for multiple use and examination of test data per a variety of statistically sound techniques
Allows needed data to be generated using a minimum number of individual tests—time and cost savings!
Requires more up-front planning than traditional testing in that several pre-test issues must be addressed in asystematic fashion
Requires that the full DOE test program be executed in order to properly interpret data and results
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 17
What Exactly is DOE?
DOE is one of the core “Six-Sigma” methodologies Statistically selects “axiomatic points” in the design space Selection enables maximum information return on investment made Used to systematically analyze the nature and cause of variation by
means of controlled testing (as opposed to examining available data) Cause is linked to effect by establishing through experimentation the
coefficients for pre-determined “best-fit” models Linear models: two-level experiments Piece-wise linear models: multi-level “orthogonal type” experiments Non-linear (general second-order quadratic model): response
surface methodsTest programs built upon sound DOE principles are
Significantly compressed and extremely efficient Produce high-quality and reusable data
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 18
When Can We Use DOE?
Fact: Any physical phenomenon or process that can be thought of in terms of a stimulus-response model can be analyzed using DOE.
Stimulus A
Stimulus B
Stimulus C
Stimulus D
ResponseOuch!
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 19
The Classic Dial Problem
In the early 1990s, the Air Force conducted a Halon Replacement test program that examined the effects of 14 two-level factors upon a single response variable: “pounds of fire suppressant needed to extinguish a fire”. The question was asked, “What are the best settings for our 14 dials in order to minimize the response variable?”
Factors
Response
-1 1
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
M
N
Levels
Objective: Minimize the quantity of fire suppressant needed to extinguish a fire.
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 20
16,384 Rows X 15 Columns
The Previous Question Equates to the Classic Dial Problem
In the previous Air Force example, a full factorial test program consists of 214 or 16,384 production runs This many runs is definitely out of the question! Can you image the size of the associated matrix!
We are limited by time and money and can typically make only fifty production runs or so.
But how do we pick the right fifty? By experience? By guessing? By convenience?
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 21
DOE Solves the Dial Problem!
In the Halon Replacement test program, a special-purpose
“orthogonal array” having just 32 rows (one row per run) was used. This array not only solved the dial problem but also produced high-
quality experimental results extremely useful in identifying a
minimum.
Factors
Response
-1 1
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
M
N
Levels
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 22
Two-Level Orthogonal Array of Exact Type Used in Halon-Replacement Test Program
Cols 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32Factors GM a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o error
Rows
abcdefghijklmn
acbdegfhikjlmo
adbcehfgiljkno
aebfcgdhimjnko
afbechdginjmlo
agbhcedfiokmln
ahbgcfdejoknlm
aibjckdlemfngo
ajbicldkenfmho
akblcidjeogmhn
albkcjdifognhm
ambncoeifjgkhl
anbmdoejfiglhk
aocmdnekflgihj
bocndmelfkgjhi
1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -12 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 13 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -14 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 15 1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -16 1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 17 1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -18 1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 19 1 -1 1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 1 -1 -110 1 -1 1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 111 1 -1 1 1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 1 1 -1 -112 1 -1 1 1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 113 1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -114 1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 115 1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -116 1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 117 1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -118 1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 119 1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -120 1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 121 1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 1 1 -122 1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 123 1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 1 1 -124 1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 125 1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -126 1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 127 1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -128 1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 129 1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -130 1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 131 1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -132 1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1
Response Values
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 23
Some Typical DOE Compression Ratios for Two-Level Experiments
# Two-LevelFactors
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011121314
FF
4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1,024 2,048 4,096 8,19216,384
DOE
4 8 816161616323232323232
Ratio
111/21/21/41/81/161/161/321/641/1281/2561/512
Unique IndividualTests Required Standard DOE
Nomenclature
22-0 or 22
23-0 or 23
24-1
25-1
26-2
27-3
28-4
29-4
210-5
211-6
212-7
213-8
214-9
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 24
An Actual Air Force Gas Turbine Engine Vane Cleaning Experiment
A gas-turbine engine vane becomes corroded during service and requires periodic cleaning. Very high pressure water is delivered through a tiny nozzle orifice in order to cleanse the vanes. The response variable (Quality Characteristic) is percent contamination remaining after the cleansing procedure. A designed experiment is conducted in order to find the factor-level combination that minimizes the quality characteristic. (Lower is better.)
V∞
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 25
Factors, Levels, and Output Using Standard XYZ Descriptors
Factor Sound-Alike XYZ -1 Level 1 Level
Orifice Size O x1 0.07in 0.1in
Standoff Distance S x2 0.5in 1.0in
Pressure P x3 20KSI 35KSI
Feed Rate F x4 20ipm 30ipm
Pump RPM R x5 1500rpm 2000rpm
Output % y1
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 26
Vane Cleaning Dial Model
Factors
Response
-1 1
x1
x2
x3
x4
x5
Levels
y1
A Full Factorial experiment would consists of 25 = 32 individual trials.
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 27
2III5-2 Designed Experiment
Showing the “Alias Structure”
x4x3x2x1
-1 -1 -1 -1 10.1
1 1 1
-1 -1 1
1 1 -1
-1 1 -1
1 -1 1
-1 1 1
1 -1 -1
1
1
-1
1
-1
-1
1
11.9
9.2
11.3
8.9
13.5
7.8
13.1
x1x3 x5 y1
x2x4 x2x5
x2x3
x1x5
x1x4Alias
Structure
-1 -1-1
1
-1 -1
1 1
1 1
-1 1
-1 1
1 -1
-1
-1
-1
1
1
1
1 1 -1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
x1x2
GM
x3x4 x3x5x4x5
Assumed Model Form: y1 = c0+c1x1+c2x2+c3x1x2+c4x3+c5x1x3+c6x4 +c7x5
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 28
Coefficient Pareto Chart and“Scree Line” for Half Effects
00.20.40.60.8
11.21.41.61.8
x3 x1x3 x2 x4 x1 x5 x1x2
Scree is the rubble at the bottom of a cliff
Red columns: deemed insignificant and will be rolled into error
Blue columns: significant or part of significant two-factor interaction
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 29
Cube Plot for the Three Retained Factors x1, x2, and x3
10.625
x 2
x 3
x1
-1,-1,-1: 10.1
-1, 1, 1: 11.3
1,-1, 1: 13.5
1, 1, -1: 7.8
1,-1,-1: 8.9
-1, 1,-1: 9.2
1, 1, 1: 13.1
-1,-1, 1: 11.9
9.0
12.45
X3 effect = 3.45c4 = 1.725
10.725 10.875
10.35
11.1
X2 effect = -0.75c2 = -0.375
X1 effect = 0.20c1 = 0.1
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 30
The x1x3 Interaction Plot
x 3
x1
-1, -1: 9.65
1, 1: 13.3
1, -1: 8.35
-1, 1: 11.6
9.0
12.45
10.625 10.725
10.875
X1X3 effect = -1.5c5 = -0.75
x1
x1 trends upward when x3 = 1
x1 trends downward when x3 = -1
11.475
9.975
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 31
Linear Model and Optimal Settings
y1 = 10.725 + 1.725x3 - 0.75x1x3 - 0.375x2 + 0.1x1
Only factors deemed “significant” by themselves or part of a significant “two-factor” interaction are included
The others are part of the error
Methodology for minimizing y1
Set x3 = -1
Set x1x3 = 1 which implies x1 = 1
Set x2 = 1
Minimum: y1 = 10.725 - 1.725 - 0.75 - 0.375 + 0.1
Implies theoretical best y1 = 7.975Must be verified through a series of confirmation
experiments
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 32
Vane Cleaning ANOVA Table
Factor Ci SS Comment
GM 10.725 920.205 Shows a process!
x1 0.1 0.08 Part of sig. 2FI
x2 0.0 0.0
x1x2 0.0 0.0 Include with error
x3 1.725 23.805 Big driver
x1x3 -0.75 4.5
x4 -0.125 0.125 Include with error
x5 0.05 0.02 Include with error
Totals 949.86 Also, we have Σ ci2 = 949.86
Source V SS F Ratio Significance Comment
GM 1 920.205 19,051.86 >>99%
x3 1 23.805 492.85 99%
x1x3 1 4.5 93.16 99%
x2 1 1.125 23.29 95%
x1 1 0.08 1.86 Must include Part of sig. 2FI
Error 3 0.043 divisor
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 33
Overall 90% Confidence Interval
Calculating the overall 90% CI
where F90% (1, 3) = 5.54
SGE = 8/(1+4) = 1.6
IHL = (5.54x0.043 / 1.6)0.5 = 0.385
CI is (7.975 – 0.385, 7.975 + 0.385) = (7.59, 8.36)
95% CI is (7.453, 8.496)
99% CI is (7.018, 8.932)
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 34
General Applicability of the DOE Process as Presented
Even with the introduction of advanced techniques and models, the general DOE procedural protocol as presented
in this orientation is still applicable.
Run123456789
A111222333
B123123123
C123231312
D123312231
R___________________________
L9To the right is an L9, which can be used as a full factorial design for two three-level piecewise linear factors or as a fully-saturated design for four three-level piecewise linear factors. All general DOE process topics still apply even though previously discussed computational methods will need to modified to accommodate the additional levels.
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 35
A Short Laundry List of More Advanced DOE Topics
Use of “non-geometric”, fully-saturated screening designs such as L12, L20, and L28
Use of piecewise-linear, multi-level designs such as the L9 just shown Use of center points in a design to check for quadrature Design resolution, aliasing, and use of “fold-over” designs Use of blocking and blocking factors Use of and limitations of response-surface methodologies
e.g. Central-composite and Box-Bhenken When DOE might not work past screening phase
Highly interactive and non-linear phenomena such as turbulence Use of DOE as a preprocessor to major computer codes
Any analysis code can be looked upon as a numerical “test facility” DOE can be used to pre-screen input parameters, cutting down on number
of runs and subsequent total runtime GE and Pratt-Whitney notable examples
Use of DOE to analyze “available data” Requires systemic data mining and elucidation of patterns Can be very tough to perform!
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 36
A Small Central Composite DesignFor Three Factors x1, x2, and x3
Run x1 x2 x3
1 -1 -1 -1
2 -1 -1 1
3 -1 1 -1
4 -1 1 1
5 1 -1 -1
6 1 -1 1
7 1 1 -1
8 1 1 1
Run x1 x2 x3
9 0 0 0
10 0 0 0
11 0 0 -0
12 0 0 0
Run x1 x2 x3
13 -1.68 0 0
14 1.68 0 0
15 0 -1.68 0
16 0 1.68 0
17 0 0 -1.68
18 0 0 1.68
+ +
Factorial Points Center Points Axial Points
Center points are used to check curvature. If curvature is significant, then axial points are added to build a quadratic model. Axial points are not
usually added for insignificant main effects. Continuous factors are a must!
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 37
Run Diagram Showing Factorial, Center, and Axial Points
x 2
x 3
x1-1,-1,-1
-1, 1, 1
1,-1, 1
1, 1, -1
1,-1,-1
-1, 1,-1
1, 1, 1
-1,-1, 1
1.68, 0, 00, 0, 0
0, 0,1.68
0, 1.68, 0
-1.68, 0, 00, -1.68, 0
0, 0,-1.68
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 38
SynGenics Two-Day DOE Course Description and Objectives
Course Description Basic introduction to “two-level” DOE that includes
The importance of experimental design How to plan and design an experiment The role and use of “orthogonal” arrays How to conduct a statistically designed experiment How to analyze results from a statistically designed experiment
Take-away tool box in this course is limited to two-level designs and associated analysis techniques
Course Objectives Be able to plan, execute, and analyze a simple two-level designed
experiment Be able to understand and assess more complex two-level
designed experiments as presented by Air Force contractors Be cognizant of advanced DOE methodologies that go beyond the
basic two-level designs
© 2008 SynGenics Corporation. All rights reserved. 39