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U.S. Army Research, Development and Engineering Command A Scientific Approach to Consistent Functional Analysis: The System Capabilities Analytic Process (SCAP) 2011 Oct 24 APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE DISTRIBUTION UNLIMITED APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE DISTRIBUTION UNLIMITED

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Page 1: A Scientific Approach to Consistent Functional …...Accelerate Maintain Temp Decelerate Vehicle not damaged Vehicle damaged Commander’s Intent t 0 30s 10min The mission impact is

U.S. Army Research, Development and Engineering Command

A Scientific Approach to Consistent Functional Analysis:

The System Capabilities Analytic Process (SCAP)

2011 Oct 24

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE – DISTRIBUTION UNLIMITED

APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE – DISTRIBUTION UNLIMITED

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Outline

• Functional Analysis

• SCAP for Functional Analysis

• SCAP Constructs

• Applications:

– System of Systems (SOS)

• Truck Convoy

• Networked and Antagonistic SOS

– Sources of Dysfunction

– Reliability Analysis

• Existing Impact for SCAP

• SLAD’s Next Steps

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Functional Analysis

• Issues:

– Multiple “Right” answers:

• Each organization has their own way to execute Functional Analysis

• Few standard practices and methodologies (i.e.: Functional Analysis Systems

Technique)

• No standard format for output

– Mandated with Weapon Systems Acquisition Reform Act (WSARA) of 2009

– Transposition of efforts into other technical endeavors (e.g.: reliability, test, human

factors)

– Contribution of human-in-the-system performance not included in analysis. (i.e.:

person driving truck)

Sources: 1) Kossiakoff, A.; Sweet, W. N.; “Systems Engineering Principles and Practice”; pg 124; John Wiley & Sons, Inc.; Hoboken, NJ; 2003.

• Key process of Systems Engineering, of which many subsequent analysis activities will

either reference or utilize.

• Functional Analysis is the process that is used to decompose and correlate system

requirements to the design of a system. The general process is:

– “Translating operational objectives into functions that must be performed.” 1

– “Allocating functions to subsystems by defining functional interactions and organizing

them into a modular configuration.” 1

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The System Capabilities Analytic

Process (SCAP) as Used in

Functional Analysis

• The System Capabilities Analytic Process (SCAP) is a methodology that is used

to create a rigorous map between a systems components and its capabilities.

– The map is known as a Functional Skeleton (FS).

– Determines what functions and capabilities are achievable when

components are functional.

– The FS is both a mathematical and graphical construct.

– The capabilities of multiple systems can be aggregated to form a rigorous

map for an interacting system of systems (SOS).

• The foundations of SCAP are in direct correlation with the principles of functional

analysis:

– Decompose operational objectives into required functions; and

– Allocate these functions to the physical entities of the system.

• Developed by the Army Research Laboratory for correlating modeling and

simulation (M&S) of ground combat vehicle vulnerability and live fire tests (LFT)

to the remaining capabilities of a system when components are dysfunctional.

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Benefits and Advantages of SCAP

• Because SCAP and the FS are quantitative and scientific constructs of the

system and its performance, it is possible to utilize this methodology in efforts

such as test and evaluation, reliability analysis, human factors studies, and

verification of system requirements.

• Reports ability to complete tasks, missions and requirements.

• Quantitatively define what the system and personnel can accomplish.

• Quantitatively define what components are required to accomplish specified

tasks.

• Focus of analysis is remaining capability.

• Maintain terminology familiar to the military user:

– Attainable Speed

– Send/Receive Communications

– Execute Fire Missions

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Operate in Daytime

Conditions

Obtain Location

Send/Receive

Short-Range

Communications

Protect Crew

Maintain Internal

Communications

Prevent Catastrophic

Loss

Travel on Roads

The SCAP Functional Skeleton

Conduct

a Raid

Provide Fuel

Accelerate

Generate Power

Support Weight

Decelerate

Maintain Traction

Maintain

Directional Control

Engine System Engine Block

Engine Heads

Valve Covers

Crankshaft

50 mph

10 mph

NOT Possible

System Capabilities System Functions Sub-Systems ComponentsMission Task

Camshaft

Do

ctr

ine

Commander’s

Intent

TT

P

Steering System

Driver

(Incapacitation)

6

Passenger

(Injury)

Driver

(Injury)

Protect Crew

from Ballistic

Threats

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Element 1

Element 2

Element 3 Element 5

Element 4

x

Element 7

Element 6

xx

Assembly 1

Assembly 2

Assembly j

x

xx

Determining Availability within

Activation Trees

/availablefunctional 1,

lablenal/unavaidysfunctio 0,Ei

n

i ij E11A

n

i ij E AAggregation for Series:

Aggregation for Parallel:

76543212 111 EEEEEEEA

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SCAP Can Be Applied to System of

System, Time Dependent, and Live

Fire Vulnerability Analyses

Conduct

A Convoy

Provide Fuel

Generate Power

Accelerate

Maintain Temp

Decelerate

Protect Crew

Engage Enemies

Prevent Catastrophic

Loss

Travel on Roads

30 mph

10 mph

NOT Possible

70 mph

Protect Crew

Engage Enemies

Prevent Catastrophic

Loss

Travel on Roads

30 mph

10 mph

NOT Possible

70 mph

Provide Fuel

Generate Power

Accelerate

Maintain Temp

Decelerate

Commander’s

Intent

Two trucks are operating in a convoy

mission. By the commander’s intent, the

speed of the convoy is limited to the

speed of the slowest vehicle.

t

0 30s 10min

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Conduct

A Convoy

Provide Fuel

Generate Power

Accelerate

Maintain Temp

Decelerate

Protect Crew

Engage Enemies

Prevent Catastrophic

Loss

Travel on Roads

30 mph

10 mph

NOT Possible

70 mph

Protect Crew

Engage Enemies

Prevent Catastrophic

Loss

Travel on Roads

30 mph

10 mph

NOT Possible

70 mph

Provide Fuel

Generate Power

Accelerate

Maintain Temp

Decelerate

Vehicle not damaged Vehicle damaged

Commander’s

Intent

t

0 30s 10min

Vehicle 2 has been damaged, but

mobility has not yet been affected

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Conduct

A Convoy

Provide Fuel

Generate Power

Accelerate

Maintain Temp

Decelerate

Protect Crew

Engage Enemies

Prevent Catastrophic

Loss

Travel on Roads

30 mph

10 mph

NOT Possible

70 mph

Protect Crew

Engage Enemies

Prevent Catastrophic

Loss

Travel on Roads

30 mph

10 mph

NOT Possible

70 mph

Provide Fuel

Generate Power

Accelerate

Maintain Temp

Decelerate

Vehicle not damaged Vehicle damaged

Commander’s

Intent

t

0 30s 10min

The Mission is Affected as Vehicle

Performance Degrades

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Conduct

A Convoy

Provide Fuel

Generate Power

Accelerate

Maintain Temp

Decelerate

Protect Crew

Engage Enemies

Prevent Catastrophic

Loss

Travel on Roads

30 mph

10 mph

NOT Possible

70 mph

Protect Crew

Engage Enemies

Prevent Catastrophic

Loss

Travel on Roads

30 mph

10 mph

NOT Possible

70 mph

Provide Fuel

Generate Power

Accelerate

Maintain Temp

Decelerate

Vehicle not damaged Vehicle damaged

Commander’s

Intent

t

0 30s 10min

The mission impact is updated as

vehicle performance continues to

degrade

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Storyboard inspired by the SOS example of the UAV and Ground Combat Vehicle in the book:

Deitz, et.al.; “Fundamentals of Ground Combat System Ballistic Vulnerability / Lethality”; pgs 121-126;

American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Inc.; Reston, VA; 2009.

Application of SCAP to Networked

and Antagonistic SOS

Provide reconnaissance

Conduct a Tactical Road Marchand Execute Indirect Fires

Communicate Fire Missions

Occupy an Area

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Adjust Indirect Fires

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Connect systems by mutual system capabilities.

• If the UAV detects the target, it can send information to the SPH.

• If the SPH is able to receive communications, it can fire on the target.

Using the Functional Skeleton to

Link Systems of Systems

Adjust Artillery

Fires

Operate in Day Conditions

Maintain Powered Flight

Designate Target

Send/Receive Long-Range

Communications

Maintain Navigation

Detect Target

Prevent Catastrophic Loss

Observe Target (Video)

Conduct

Indirect Fires

Operate in Day Conditions

Aim on Target, Indirect Fires

Send/Receive Long- Range

Communications

Protect Crew

Fire Muniton

Maintain Internal

Communications

Prevent Catastrophic Loss

Energize Sensor

Maintain Electrical

Power

Compare to

signature library

Detect Signature

Designate

signature as Target

Retrieve Munition

Load / Ram

Muniton

Install primer

Attach firing

lanyard

Open breechblock

Close breechblock

Retrieve Propellant

Gunner pulls

lanyard

Load / Ram

Propellant

Retrieve primer

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SCAP can be applied to assess

any type of dysfunction

Dysfunction

Ballistic

“killed”

Reliability

Failure

Electronic

Warfare

CBRN

Environmental

Abuse

Dysfunction is defined as a component that is not functioning as

it is intended.

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Process for using the Functional

Skeleton in a Numerical Reliability

Simulation

• Build use cases using the Mission Tasks. Determine the frequency each use

case will be applied relative to the whole set. Assign time duration for each use

case.

• Decompose the Mission Tasks with the appropriate System Capabilities.

• Determine the life-consuming load on each System Capability, System Function,

Sub System, and Component for each use case.

• Define use-case failure conditions and repair times.

• Run a time analysis:

– Randomly pick a use case

– Run through the time of the use case, evaluating component reliability as the

simulation runs.

– If a component fails, use the Functional Skeleton to determine the impact to

all the use cases and determine if the current use case continues.

– Initiate repairs if needed.

– Iterate time and use cases until either a system abort condition exists or the

expected system life is achieved.

• Analyze the data and determine if the system has met the requirements.

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Operate in Daytime

Conditions

Obtain Location

Send/Receive

Short-Range

Communications

Protect Crew

Maintain Internal

Communications

Prevent Catastrophic

Loss

Travel on Roads

Probabilistic Evaluation of Reliability in

the Functional Skeleton *

Conduct

a Raid

Provide Fuel

Accelerate

Generate Power

Decelerate

. . .

Engine System

Engine Block

Engine Heads

Valve Covers

Crankshaft

50 mph

10 mph

NOT Possible

System Capabilities System Functions Sub-Systems

Components

Mission Task

Camshaft

Do

ctr

ine

Commander’s

Intent

TT

P

>99.99%

Sensor

. . .

99%

99%

98%

98%

96%

* Reliability numbers are notional and do not represent any system

90.4%

0%

10%

20%

30% Component Probability of Failure for Cumulative Use

t = 200 hours

PF(t) = 0.02

PS(t) = 1 – PF(t)

PS(t) = 1 – 0.02 = 0.98

90.4%

98.6%

97.4%

99.3%

99.7%

99.1%

99.3%

86.2%

98.2%

99.5%

98.0%

81.0%

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Existing Impact for SCAP

• Written into the Test and Evaluation Master Plan (TEMP) for both the Joint Light Tactical Vehicle (JLTV)

and the Paladin Integrated Management (PIM) as the methodology for system-level analysis in the Army

Test and Evaluation Command's (ATEC) Mission-Based Test and Evaluation (MBT&E).

• One of two methodologies that serve as the foundation for ARL’s Human Availability Technique (HAT).

– Evaluates both system performance and human cognitive performance simultaneously to

determine total system capabilities

– Emerging as the Human Availability metric.

– Presented at Human Factors and Ergonomics Symposium in Sept 2011; nominated for best paper.

• Applied to the Live-Fire Test results of the JLTV to determine remaining capability after a ballistic event.

• Undergoing trial as a system analysis tool for the ARL System of Systems Survivability Simulation (S4).

• Used to develop evolving methodologies for evaluating effectiveness of smoke and obscurant use in

warfare.

• Incorporated as the engineering architecture for the ARL Virtual Shot-Line (VSL) Tool.

JLTV (A potential variant) PIM

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ARL’s Next Steps for SCAP within

Live Fire and Vulnerability

Analyses

• Apply to production criticality analyses of Red Targets

• Trial Reliability methodology on at least one Army fielded system.

• Develop methodologies to correlate SCAP to theater events and develop

vulnerability reductions based on analyses.

• Further exploration and integration of crew metrics in ARL deliverables.

• Trial time-dependent degradation for example, a leaking cooling system.

• Conduct SCAP-based analyses for the MBT&E pilots (JLTV, PIM, JAGM)

• Trial in S4 and MUVES 3.

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Publications

• Significant Briefings:

– “A Process for Mapping Component Function to Mission Completion”; NDIA 26th Annual National Test and

Evaluation (T&E) Conference, Mar 2010

– 2010 August JLTV LF Integrated Product Team (IPT) Meeting

– “An Emerging Methodology for Mapping Between a System’s Components and Capabilities: The System

Capabilities Analytic Process (SCAP)”; 49th Annual Army Operations Research Symposium, Oct 2010

– “An Emerging Methodology for Mapping Between a System’s Components and Capabilities: The System

Capabilities Analytic Process (SCAP)”; NDIA 27th Annual National T&E Conference, Mar 2011

– 2011 Human Factors and Ergonomics Symposium (Human Availability Technique)

– “SCAP Application to Battlefield Obscuration”; Obscurant Symposium, 2011 May 11

• Technical Publications:

– Agan, K.; “An Emerging Methodology: The System Capabilities Analytic Process”; ARL-TR-5415; Army Research

Laboratory, Aberdeen Proving Ground, MD; Dec 2010

– Agan, K.; Landis, W.; “A First Review of an Emerging Methodology: The System Capabilities Analytic Process

(SCAP), as Presented at the Mission-Based Test & Evaluation (MBT&E) Workshop on January 20”; ARL-SR-0218;

Army Research Laboratory, Aberdeen Proving Ground, MD; Dec 2010

– Landis, W.; “Applying the System Capabilities Analytic Process (SCAP) to the Mission-Based Testing and

Evaluation (MBT&E) of the Joint Light Tactical Vehicle (JLTV)”; ARL-SR-206; Army Research Laboratory, Aberdeen

Proving Ground, MD; Sep 2010

– Agan, K.; “The System Capabilities Analytic Process (SCAP) as Presented at the National Defense Industrial

Association (NDIA) 26th Annual National Test and Evaluation (T&E) Conference on March 2, 2010”; ARL-SR-0217;

Army Research Laboratory, Aberdeen Proving Ground, MD; Dec 2010

– Mitchell, D.; Samms, C.; Agan, K.; “Both Sides of the Coin: Technique for Integrating Human Factors and Systems

Engineering in System Development”; to be published in the annual proceedings of the 2011 HFES

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Contact Information

Kevin Agan

Mechanical Engineer

ARL/SLAD

(410) 278-4458

[email protected]

William J. Landis

Mechanical Engineer

ARL/SLAD

(410) 278-2675

[email protected]

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