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TOCICO 2009 Conference
A Vertically Integrated Supply A Vertically Integrated Supply Chain Case
Presented By: Debra Smith Partner ConstraintsPresented By: Debra Smith Partner Constraints
1© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Presented By: Debra Smith, Partner Constraints Presented By: Debra Smith, Partner Constraints Management GroupManagement GroupDate:Date: June 2009June 2009
TOCICO 2009 Conference
2© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Rowan Companies Inc.Rowan Companies Inc.TOCICO 2009 Conference
• Rowan - Parent Company Since 1994− Drilling Company
− Offshore and Land Rigs
− Corporate Offices in Downtown Houstonp
− Publically Traded Company on NYSE
− New President and CEO - W. Matt Ralls
3© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
LeTourneau Technologies Inc.LeTourneau Technologies Inc.Manufacturing FacilitiesManufacturing Facilities
TOCICO 2009 Conference
• Longview, TX – Steel, Mining and Offshore ComponentsComponents
4© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Steel ProductsTOCICO 2009 Conference
• Longview, TX
• Flexible and Responsive “mini-mill”
• Ability to Heat Treat Plate
• ISO Certified
5© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
All contents © 2008 LTI
Mining ProductsTOCICO 2009 Conference
• Longview, TX Plus Global Distribution
• L/D950; L1150; L1350; L1850; L2350
• World’s Only Electric Drive Loader
• World’s Largest Loader (L2350)
6© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
All contents © 2008 LTI
LeTourneau Technologies Inc.LeTourneau Technologies Inc.Manufacturing FacilitiesManufacturing Facilities
TOCICO 2009 Conference
• Houston, TX – Drilling ProductsProducts
7© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Drilling ProductsTOCICO 2009 Conference
• Houston TXHouston, TX
• Drilling Packages For Land And Offshore Rigs
Mudpump Top Drive Drawworks
8© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
All contents © 2008 LTI
LeTourneau Technologies Inc.LeTourneau Technologies Inc.Manufacturing Facilities.Manufacturing Facilities.
TOCICO 2009 Conference
• Vicksburg, MS – Rig Construction
9© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Offshore ProductsTOCICO 2009 Conference
• Longview, TX and Vicksburg, MSg , g,
• A fifty-year history of innovation in jack-up rig design, manufacturing, and fabrication.
• Turnkey jack-up rigs− Design
− Fabrication
S i− Service
− Parts
10© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
All contents © 2008 LTI
LeTourneau Technologies Inc.LeTourneau Technologies Inc.Manufacturing FacilitiesManufacturing Facilities
TOCICO 2009 Conference
• Troutdale, OR – Forestry and Intermodal
11© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Forestry/Intermodal Products
TOCICO 2009 Conference
P tl d OR• Portland, OR
• Parts Supply From Longview and China
Log Stacker Wheel Changer Column Crane
12© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
All contents © 2008 LTI
LeTourneau Technologies Inc.LeTourneau Technologies Inc.Manufacturing FacilitiesManufacturing Facilities
TOCICO 2009 Conference
• Dalian, China – Mining Products Assembly
13© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
LeTourneau Technologies Inc.LeTourneau Technologies Inc.Dealer NetworkDealer Network
TOCICO 2009 Conference
• Operate on Six ContinentsOperate on Six Continents
• LTI-Owned Dealers
− America (Troutdale, Tucson, Gillette, Farmington, Elko)
− Australia
− Brazil
− Canada (Forestry Only)
− China
D b i (D illi S t O l )− Dubai (Drilling Systems Only)
− Singapore (Drilling Systems Only)
− Lafayette (Drilling Systems Only)
14© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Lafayette (Drilling Systems Only)
• Partner With Other Dealers to Establish a Global Presence
Highly Integrated Internal Supply
TOCICO 2009 ConferenceInternal Supply
• Steel Plate
• Forgings
• Fabrication
• Machining
• Heat Treateat eat
• Gearing
• Electric Motors & Generators• Electric Motors & Generators
• Digital Control Systems
Final Machine Assembl
15© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
All contents © 2008 LTI
• Final Machine Assembly
Profitable Revenue GrowthTOCICO 2009 Conference
1,300 24
1,100
,
204 years - 5X Growth 6X RACE
700
900
ue, $
M
12
16
CE
, %We began August 2004
300
500
Rev
en
8
12
RA
CAugust 2004
100
300
4
16© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
-100 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009B 0
External Intercompany RACE
Complex Supply ChainTOCICO 2009 Conference
FPC
C=Customer
DS
FP
C= Remote Location
CDS
SP CS-L/H MP C
COP
C
17© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Very Complex EnvironmentTOCICO 2009 Conference
Longview Only
• BOM records 600,000
P t b 165 000• Part numbers 165,000
• Manufacturing orders per year 60,000
• Operations per year 290,000
• Number of drawings 500,000
• Demanding and complex technology applications
• International shipments to six continents
18© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
• Numerous regulatory agencies worldwide
Results from 8/04 LTI Exec Work Session
TOCICO 2009 Conference
STo Be Model Statement:
“We need a Simple, Single, Synchronized Signal across all market segments to increase visibilityacross all market segments to increase visibility, velocity and flow.”
With that said where do we start? or how do you eat an elephant?
We started with what we had learned from our earlier work with vertically integrated supply chains
19© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Supply Chain Lessons Learned ReviewTOCICO 2009 Conference
TOCICO CONFERENCE 2005
How to Systematically Tackle a Supply Chain
“Lessons Learned the Along the Way”
20© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Synopsis of What We Learned
TOCICO 2009 ConferenceLearned
• There is always a market cycle change coming. Sometimes you trigger it and sometimes it just catches you but the change is comingcatches you but the change is coming.
• Until you have operated and managed your TOC System through: − an internal constraint− an external constraint due to an industry downturn − an external constraint due to an economic downturnan external constraint due to an economic downturn
You are at risk. If you do not address the possibility and prepare a plan of action you will get caught and the cycles will teach you a hard but necessary lesson.
• Agreement on the strategic objective of the company assets:Why did we invest in them and what is their strategic objective and their relationship to eachWhy did we invest in them and what is their strategic objective and their relationship to each other?
− Define the supply chain.− Identify the truly scarce resource and or the most variable resource.
• Agree on the criteria for allocation decisions and who is responsible for the allocation of the g pscarce resource input.
• Our experience shows that getting control of the input source of variation and conflict causes immediate benefits throughout the supply chain. Everyone experiences the WIN.
• Do it quick and you have a measurable success that creates tremendous momentum to carry you through the rest of the supply chain implementation
21© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
you through the rest of the supply chain implementation
Synopsis of What We LearnedTOCICO 2009 Conference
How and where project management fits in our market niche (manufacturing and distribution companies).
• We spent the next two years integrating project management back into our existing client base and interfacing the manufacturing and engineering drums.
• Define the “rules” for control point subordination between the links inDefine the rules for control point subordination between the links in the internal supply chain to include engineering and product development as well as operations and inventory management.
• Understand portfolio management from an internal supply chain perspective and how to allocate investment and resource decisionsperspective and how to allocate investment and resource decisions between the links and their markets using pricing indifference modeling
22© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
LTI Implementation TimelineTOCICO 2009 Conference
2005 2006 2007
DBR (w/tech) SP
DBR (manual) and ASR CS-L DBR (w/tech) and ASR OP-VDBR (manual) and ASR CS L
CCPM OP
DBR (w/tech) and ASR OP V
2008 2009 2010
Lean CS-HDBR (w/tech) CS-L (881/884)
DBR (w/tech) CS-L (ALL)
Lean CS-L
23© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
DBR (w/tech) CS-H
“To Be” Model FlowTOCICO 2009 Conference
FPC
= Time Buffer
C=Customer
= Strategic Replenishment Buffers
DP
FP
C= Remote Location
CDPThe supply
chain drum
SP CS MP C
COP
C
S li
24© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Suppliers
CCPM
October 2004 Begin – Steel Products
TOCICO 2009 ConferenceProducts
FPC
= Time Buffer
C=Customer
= ASR Buffer
DP
FP
C= Remote Location
CDPStrategic asset and
Major sourceOf variation
SP CS MP C
COP
C
S li
25© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Suppliers
CCPM
Reducing the lead time at SG dramatically changes the sizing of the buffers at CS, MP, FP, DS & OP
TOCICO 2009 Conference
A strategic buffer size is a function of both supply and demand.
g , , ,
MG
“Maximum” AggregatedExpected...
Shrink the time to reliably replenish &
The required inventoryto support the system
shrinks also
FP
CSDemandOrder Frequency Cycle
shrinks also
Order Frequency Cycle
SP
CSDP
12 – 14 weeks
SP In January ‘05 6 weeks
Today SP4.5 weeks
OP“Maximum” Timeto Reliably Replenish
&Frequency of Replenishment Steel Plate
B ff L l
“Maximum” Timeto Reliably Replenish
&Frequency of Replenishment
26© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
q y pBuffer Level
q y p
January 2005 – Component Supply and Mining Products
TOCICO 2009 Conference
FPC
= Time Buffer
C=Customer
= ASR Buffer
DP
FP
C= Remote Location
January 2005Component Supply
and Mining Products
CDP
Implement strategic replenishment
SP CS MP C
ep e s e t
22 weeks
COP
C
S li
8 week
27© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Suppliers
CCPM
August 2005 Offshore Products CCPMTOCICO 2009 Conference
FPC
= Time Buffer
C=Customer
= ASR Buffer
DS
FP
C= Remote Location
CDS August 2005
Offshore Products
SP CS MP C
COP
C
S li
28© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Suppliers
CCPM
CCPM, DBR & Replenishment Solution for Offshore Products Supply Chain – Current Design
TOCICO 2009 Conference
Leg Fabrication
Rig Kit
Sales
Structural Pipe
Fabrication= Project Time Buffer
St t i R l i h t B ff
Pipe Line
Electrical
Rig Kit
Sales
= Strategic Replenishment Buffer
= Drum Time Buffer
Sabine Pass (Final Assy)
Rowan and
Outside
Sales
VB Barge Assy
(Yard)
Sub-Fab
(Slab)Panel Fab
Panel Line
Assembly
Small Parts Fabrication
Purchasing
Production Control
Production Engineering
(VB)
Design Engineering
(LV) Assy) Sales(Yard)
Small Pipe Parts
FabricationSteel Plate Sale
s
Cutting Department
SP Manfactu
ring
Rig Kit
Sales 2 l i d ti h i
29© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
CS Manfactu
ring
Equip
Sales
s 2 year planning and execution horizon
H240C Program Project NetworkTOCICO 2009 ConferenceEGen Control Room
FabricationEGen Control Room
OutfittingEGen Control Room
VB Engineering
QuartersPre-outfitting Level
01
QuartersPre-outfitting Level
02
Quarters VBEngineering Level 01
Quarters VBEngineering Level 02
Quarters OutfittingLevel 01
Quarters OutfittingLevel 02
Yard SlabVB engineering
Heliport Fabrication
Heliport Piping LVEngineering
Heliport VBEngineering
Heliport LVQuarters Fabrication
Quarters LVEngineering
QuartersPre-outfitting Level
04
Quarters StructuralVB Engineering
Quarters VBEngineering Level 03
Quarters VBEngineering Level 04
Shake HouseFabrication
Shaker House LVEngineering
Shaker House VBEngineering
Shaker House PipingLV Engineering
QuartersPre-outfitting Level
03
Quarters OutfittingLevel 04
Quarters OutfittingLevel 03
Design engineering
Walk rig into riverWeld and Paintbottom hull
Ship rig for downriver operations
Secure cranes fordown river operations
Heliport Outfitting
Heliport LVEngineering
Hull Fabrication
Hull LV Engineering Hull VB Engineering
Leg FabricationHull Main Deck
Structural OutfittingVB Engineering
Hull Main DeckStructural Outfitting
LV Engineering
Misc Drawings LVEngineering
Port Aft CraneFabrication
Port Aft CraneOutfitting
Port Fwd CraneFabrication
Port Fwd CraneOutfitting
Shaker HouseOutfitting
Spud Can Legs VBEngineering
Starboard CraneFabrication
Starboard CraneOutfitting
Ship leg sections 5-13to Sabine Pass
Downriver fabricatinand ooutfittingbottom hull river operations
Receive Coast GuardandABS certificates
Ship constructionequipment,material and
tools to sabine pass
Drag Chain VBEngineering
Hull Electrical CableTray VB Engineering
Hull Machinery DeckOutfitting VBEngineering
Innerbottom PipingVB Engineering
Leg Piping LVEngineering
Hull Machinery DeckPiping VB
Engineering
Hull Machinery DeckPipingLV
Engineering Ptank Fabrication
Spud Can BowFabrication
Spud Can StarboardFabrication
Spud Can VBEngineering SubstructureSubstructure VB
Top Deck Piping VBEngieering
Vents LVEngineering
Yoke BowFabrication
Yoke StarboardYoke LV Engineering Yoke VB Engineering
and ooutfitting
Cantilever BeamOutfitting
Drill Floor LVEngineering
Hull Electrical Aidsto Navigation VB
Engineering
Hull Electrical LargePower VB
Engineering
Hull Electrical SafetyVB Engineering
Safe House & DFWalls Fabrication
Safe House & DFWalls VB
Engineering
Spud Can PortFabrication
Sub-base FabricationSub-base VBEngineering
FabricationEngineering
Yoke PortFabrication
Fabricationg g g g
Hull Main DeckStructural Outfitting
Hull Machinery DeckOutfitting
83 projects
30© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Cantilever BeamFabrication
Cantilever Beam LVEngineering
Cantilever Beam VBEngineering
Elevated Pipe RackFabrication
Elevated Pipe RackVB Engineering
Elevated Pipe RackDrain Piping LV
Engineering
Hull Electrical SmallPower VB
Engineering
VB Engineering
Hull ElectricalWelding Systems VB
Engineering
12000 nodes600 p2p connections
Continuous ImprovementSPL Audit Model TOCICO 2009 Conference
AdministrativeFunction
SPL FunctionAudit Model
SPL Audit Model
Feedback- Portfolio Status
report
Heads
Feedback- Portfolio status
report
Accountability
Audit Model
Phase 1(Discovery)
SMarketRecommendations
(Strategic)
Strategic:- Capacity management- Process improvement- Sourcing- Buffer management- Inventory analysis- Portfolio management
p
Phase 2(Level 1-3 TP)
SPL SegmentHeads
(Strategic)- Business case- Justification- Buy-in process
o t o o a age e t
Global dashboard- Concerto- R+- DBR+ Execution Phase I Yes
No
?
Audit findings
Phase 3(Level 4 TP)
Phase 4(Choke)
- XA (Tactical)- SPL sponsor assignment- Local PM identification- Resource impact analysis- Priority- Charter/Scope
Train/EducateFacilitateMonitor
Accountability
Phase 5(Active Execution)
31© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Execution Phase II- Resource allocation- Planning and scheduling- Execution management- Buffer management
( )
The 5 Questions Format At A Global Dashboard Level Integrating All Buffer Systems
TOCICO 2009 Conference
g g y
• Our measures were refined and focused around (5 question• Our measures were refined and focused around (5 question thinking) and strategic buffer planning and execution.
− What is the condition of the buffer?
− Are trends better or worse?
− If worse – what is the Buffer Recovery Plan?y
− Is the Buffer Recovery Plan effective?
− What will change to make sure WE do not get into this spotWhat will change to make sure WE do not get into this spot again?
• Used to focus our audit approach
32© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
December 2007 – Component Supply and Mining Products
TOCICO 2009 Conference
FPC
= Time Buffer
December 2007
C=Customer
= ASR Buffer
DP
FP
C= Remote Location
December 2007 Recombine Total Supply Chain into
CS-LC
DP
SP CS MP C
COP
C
S liOP
33© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Suppliers
CCPM
April 2008– Component Supply and Mining Products
TOCICO 2009 Conference
FPC
= Time Buffer April 2008 Implement DBR
C=Customer
= ASR Buffer
DP
FP
C= Remote Location
Implement DBR (w/tech) in
881/884—Source of All Drive System
CDP Components
SP CS MP C
COP
C
S liOP
34© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Suppliers
CCPM
What Happens When Variation Hits?
TOCICO 2009 Conference
Market, Internal and external process variation, over reactions & under reactions all cause schedule instability.
R Drum
R3
881 / 884
R1
Drum
R3
PP/SC
LONGVIEW
R1
Drum
R3
PP/SC
LGV Fi l
1 m 3PP/SC
LONGVIEW LGV Final
IT GETS PASSED ALONG!
R1
Drum
R3
PP/SC
STEEL
AND we can’t recover-variation builds.
We must de-couple and buffer to
35© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
STEEL absorb variation.
Our Old SystemTOCICO 2009 Conference
Difficult is an understatement
We need to de-couple to break the
R1
Drum
R3
PP/SC
881 / 884We need to de-couple to break the variation.
R1
Drum
R3
PP/SC
LONGVIEW
R1
Drum
R3
PP/SC
LGV Final
C
The DBR buffers did not exist and our Replenishment buffers were constantly challenged
R1
Drum
R3
PP/SC
STEEL
REALITY: You are attempting to manage this entire chain of dependent events and their
36© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
dependent events and their VARIATION.
Establishing 881 & 884(DS) as the Longview Drum
TOCICO 2009 Conference
DRUM for LONGVIEWA staging buffer at the rope
881 / 884DRUM for all of LTI
g g prelease gives the front ends their priorities The shipping buffer due
dates provides and synchronizes the backend
R1
Drum
R3
PP/SC
R1
Drum
R3
PP/SC
R1
Drum
R3
PP/SC
DRUM for all of LTI yschedule and priority dates
LONGVIEWC
LGV Final
This de-couples 881 / 884 from the
R1
Drum
R3
PP/SC
Decoupling with time buffers allows for Exploitation & Subordination across all
This de couples 881 / 884 from the variation that occurs in the rest of LGV
37© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
C
STEELExploitation & Subordination across all of Longview manufacturing!
Go Live 4/23/08 – 881/884 DBR+TOCICO 2009 Conference
16 000 hours of16,000 hours of backlog caught up in
10 weeks
38© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Outcomes—881/884 ImplementationTOCICO 2009 Conference
• Visibility Enables Action Based On Buffer Status (M t i l Th h) f ll 1 illi f t(Material Through) for all 1 million square feet.
• 881/884 (Drive Systems) is no longer a bottleneck ( y ) gbut is now a control point drum directing actions and de-conflicting priorities.
• We met all of our market commitments and opportunities in 2008 without any increase in capital or laboror labor
39© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
January 2009– Component Supply and Mining Products
TOCICO 2009 Conference
FPC
= Time BufferJanuary 2009
C=Customer
= ASR Buffer
DP
FP
C= Remote Location
January 2009 Implement upgrade to ASR compliant
technology for all of LTI
CDP LTI
SP CS MP C
COP
C
S liOP
40© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Suppliers
CCPM
The Business Benefits of ASRTOCICO 2009 Conference
• Better Protect And Increase Flow with minimum i tinventory
• Create a Competitive Advantage
• Highly Improved On Time Delivery Performance
• “Right Size” Inventory
• Enable Better Execution allowing more flexibility g yto exploit your drums
41© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
ASR During Up-TurnTOCICO 2009 Conference
Our measures were refined and focused around (5 question thinking) and strategic buffer planning and executionstrategic buffer planning and execution.
− What is the condition of the buffer?
A t d b tt ?− Are trends better or worse?
− If worse – what is the Buffer Recovery Plan?
Is the Buffer Recovery Plan effective?
Process of on going
− Is the Buffer Recovery Plan effective?
− What will change to make sure WE do not get into this spot again?
improvement
• Improved availability of critical items
• Minimized the increase to inventory, expedite and overtime
42© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
• Steel Plate Replenishment Buffers decreased late deliveries
ASR During Up-TurnTOCICO 2009 Conference
Reports Are Designed To Alert Us To Trends
Planner Item Desc Code Jan Feb Mar
425 4109216 SPINDLE B04 0 6 3
5200 4109257 SHEAVE P05 0 0 0
MRP Alerts On Replenished
Parts Collected 5200 4109257 SHEAVE, P05 0 0 0
6300 4109259 BEARING C10 0 2 0
5500 4109676 RING BRU P04 0 0 0
6000 4109805 RETAINER D08 0 1 0
Parts Collected Daily and
Distributed WeeklyWeekly
Alert 2008
Planner Item Description Count Alert %Planner Item Description Count Alert %
6000 0021532 Nut Hx 1.0 1 2%
6000 0021534 Nut Hx 1.2 7 11%
6000 0021591 Bolt Hx 1. 61 92%
6000 0021641 Bolt Hx 3 5%
Spike Alert Warning History Collected Daily and Distributed Weekly
43© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
6000 0021641 Bolt Hx . 3 5%
6000 0021643 Bolt Hx . 51 77%
Quality Return Quality Return via Replenishment Fill Rates at LTI Longviewvia Replenishment Fill Rates at LTI Longview
TOCICO 2009 Conference
80
100
60
80
Rat
e, %
20
40Fill
0Purchased Manufactured Steel Plate Total Target
44© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
2006 2007 2008 2009 1Q
ASR During Down-turnTOCICO 2009 Conference
• ASR Lead Time analyzer to review part selection across the BoMBoM
− Customer Tolerance Time− Replenished Lead Times
• Strategically reduce buffer sizes− Better inventory coverage with less investment
S f l d i t f th t− Safely reduce excess inventory from the up turn− Without compromising deliveries to the market.
• OutsourcingOutsourcing− Take advantage of open capacities in house− Bring long lead time parts back in to reduce lead time
45© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
− Carry less inventory− Meet customer tolerance times
The Objective Of In-SourcingTOCICO 2009 Conference
• Exploit our existing capacityExploit our existing capacity
• Capture the best cash flow
• RACE
Remember the only relevant information is what is ydifferent between the two alternatives in terms of cash flow.
− If one takes more set-up time but it is at a non-constraint then only the increase in inventory dollars necessary to cover the difference in total lead time is relevant in the cash flow analysis
46© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
analysis.
Longview PRT Blocking ConflictTOCICO 2009 Conference
E l it i t l it I llExploit internal capacity In-source all we can
Maximize ROI
Have the least cost product
Continue to outsource more to China
47© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Information Necessary To Make Good Decisions Between Two Alternatives
TOCICO 2009 Conference
• Total Cycle Time
• Key/Drum Resource Cycle Time
• Set Up Time Of Key/Drum Resource• Set Up Time Of Key/Drum Resource
• Minimum Batch External Order
• Minimum Batch For Internal Order
• Green Zone (Which Is The Minimum Batch Size For Any Replenished Item)
48© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Replenished Parts With Outsourcing In The Part Routing
TOCICO 2009 Conference
Days in ti dTotal days routing due
to outsourcing
Total days in routing
49© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Part 526210 - by pulling in the 25 days and replacing it with 5 days internal reduces the inventory by 42 parts and a dollar value reduction of $12,000.
Potential NBRsTOCICO 2009 Conference
• There are vendors that are strategic for our future and we want to protect themand we want to protect them.
− Make clear rules we agree on as to why a vendor is strategic and designate certain vendors under those rules. P t t th d ith i f t th tProtect those vendors with some mix of parts that maximizes our objectives for cash, flow and OE reduction while protecting their “survival”.
• We will end up with numerous floating bottlenecks because we do not have a good scheduling tool.
− Use DBR technology for rough cut capacity planning toUse DBR technology for rough cut capacity planning to test the new batch sizes as we change them
50© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
LTILTI--Longview Inventory andLongview Inventory andOTD vs RevenueOTD vs Revenue
TOCICO 2009 Conference
Replenishment has been successful but ASR is proving critical in the downturn
600
700
80
90
100
400
500
60
70
M$ %
200
300
30
40
50
100
200
10
20
51© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
0Dec '01 Dec '02 Dec '03 Dec '04 Dec '05 Dec '06 Dec '07 Dec '08
0
Longview Inv Longview OTD less LTI Steel Products Longview TR
ASR During Down-TurnTOCICO 2009 Conference
Charts Confirm We Are Taking The Corrective Action On Buffers Even Before The Inventory Follows:Buffers Even Before The Inventory Follows:
To-Stock Expected Costs to Actual - Warehouse 101
$80,000,000
$60,000,000
$70,000,000
$40,000,000
$50,000,000
$10 000 000
$20,000,000
$30,000,000
52© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
$10,000,000
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec Ja
n
Feb
Mar
Apr
On Hand $ To-Stock Expected On Hand $ To-StockOn Order $ To-Stock Expected On Order $ To-Stock
Our Journey- OP LV and VB results updated
TOCICO 2009 Conference
2010 2011 201220092008 2010 2011 201220092008
H241
H242
H243
53© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Our Journey- OP LV and VB results
TOCICO 2009 Conference
30% Project30% Projectcompression Mandated WIP
reduction Task completionrate didn’t decline
40% Resourcereduction (nocontractors)
54© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
QUESTIONS QUESTIONS TOCICO 2009 Conference
55© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
About [Presenter]About [Presenter]TOCICO 2009 Conference
Debra Smith, is a partner with , pConstraints Management Group, LLC.,An international partnership committed to assisting organizations achieve breakthrough results and sustainable, ongoing impro ements sing the Tho ghtongoing improvements using the Thought Process (TP) tools and application solutions offered through the Theory of Constraints (TOC0. Debra has extensive experience in public accounting financialexperience in public accounting financial management in Manufacturing companies, teaching at the University level and consulting in TOC.
56© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
TOCICO 2009 Conference
TOCICO CONFERENCE 2005
How to Systematically Tackle a Supply Chain
“Lessons Learned the Along the Way”Presented By: Debra A Smith, Constraints Management Group, LLCPresented By: Debra A Smith, Constraints Management Group, LLC
57© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Date: 11/16/2005Date: 11/16/2005
The First Opportunity - 1999TOCICO 2009 Conference
• A major manufacturer with a clear mandate from the top½ billi d ll i l ll• ½ billion dollars in sales revenue annually
• A single site of over 1 million square feet of manufacturing space • 2,000 employees• Global distribution with an exclusive, independent dealer base• Global supply chain (German engines, Italian forgings both long lead
time items)• Complex engineering (over 100,000 different parts, hydraulics, gears,
electronics and controls, circuit boards, steel structure, drive trains)• Horizontally integrated manufacturing – fabrication, machining,
bl l t i blassembly, electronics, assembly.• Complex engineering challenges and on-going new product
development and introduction.
58© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
What we did rightTOCICO 2009 Conference
• We identified the technology issues and created in-house software solutions that provided real time buffer management for execution, signals for managing all of the replenishment buffers and scheduling of all of the controlmanaging all of the replenishment buffers and scheduling of all of the control points between the links in the chain.
• Changed all of the accounting, reporting, floor measures and decision making reporting.
• Aligned the engineering control point to subordinate to the operations drum• Aligned the engineering control point to subordinate to the operations drum for scheduling engineering use of the tooling.
• Created a consolidated scheduling and replenishment inventory management function to coordinate scheduling the electronics plant, the drill pipe plant, fabrication and machining with the assembly and shipping schedules.
• De-segregated all resources human and machine capital as well as inventory and stock (after market sales of parts and service was a critical business factor with incredibly high throughput).
• Identified and changed the necessary vendor policies and got the key vendors to tour as well as sit through presentations on why the changes werevendors to tour as well as sit through presentations on why the changes were a win-win.
• Identified the key conflict clouds that created push to the dealer base and changed the marketing policies.Met with the top ten dealers and developed the new replenishment system
59© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
• Met with the top ten dealers and developed the new replenishment system and dropped the 90 day order policy horizon to 14 days.
ResultsTOCICO 2009 Conference
• Three months from setting the strategic direction of the company we went live across the board.p y
• The first month they shipped 40% more than their previously record breaking month – They shipped everything that was in their backlog.
• The second month they shipped everything their dealers ordered 98%OTD. The dealers had been ordering five hoping for three (the good old beer game).
• Lead time Reduction: 90 days to 2 – 10 days (productLead time Reduction: 90 days to 2 10 days (product dependent).
• Inventory reductions in excess of $36M in just plant inventory ($86M to $50M direct cash effect).
• Major capital Investment deferment (200,000 sq ft. facility).• In-sourcing of several million dollars worth of business (direct
cash effect) was achieved by the third month.
60© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
They thought we were incredibly successful but …..
TOCICO 2009 Conference
• Service and aftermarket parts keep the dealer connected to the customer (the average piece of equipment will generate its selling price in parts and ser ice e er 3 to 4 ears)service every 3 to 4 years).
• In the past five year window the product line had expanded so rapidly that the dealers had not been able to afford to stock all of the aftermarket components and the equipment in their yard. This resulted in the birth of the “will fitter” industrythe “will fitter” industry.
• We were so intent on getting the new DBR, Replenishment, accounting and information decision making systems in place we did not prepare the executive team and the dealers for the changes necessary to create the future market opportunitiesfuture market opportunities.
• We did not predict the dealers behavior when the inventory was converted to cash. The average dealer got a 2 to 3 million dollar windfall when the lead time and order policy time went from 90 days to 10 days.
• Most dealers chose not to re-invest that money back into their dealership to shore up service and recover the aftermarket parts business.
• Four months later the market tanked (demand fell to half and returned to the level before the fiber optic cable infrastructure boom).
61© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
p )
What we learned at the timeTOCICO 2009 Conference
• No matter what the president says do not let ANY senior executive skip the initial strategic sessions, especially the p g , p ysales and/or marketing executive.
• The chance you can make it up is very low and you will always be on the defensive and playing catch up!
• There is always a market cycle change coming. Sometimes you trigger it and sometimes it just catches you but the change is coming.
• Until you have operated and managed your TOC System• Until you have operated and managed your TOC System through: − an internal constraint− an external constraint due to an industry downturnan external constraint due to an industry downturn − an external constraint due to an economic downturn
you are at risk. If you do not address the possibility and prepare a plan of action you will get caught and the cycles will
62© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
p epa e a p a o act o you get caug t a d t e cyc esteach you a hard but necessary lesson.
What we learned for the futureTOCICO 2009 Conference
• Predict the three previous scenarios with your executive team d i i k h h i l iand at a minimum make sure that the implementation strategy
will account for recognizing they are a possibility. • Additionally get agreement on the necessary immediate
responses to put in place Even if it is as simple asresponses to put in place. Even if it is as simple as recognizing the shift in constraint focus and changing the pre-requisite order of our intermediate objectives.
• We developed the TOC decision making “rules” to teach how• We developed the TOC decision making rules to teach how to down size and survive a severe market downturn while protecting the company’s constraint and ability to “gear back up” fast.
• Software is an integral and necessary part of the solution. As much as we disliked the idea, technology tools were becoming a necessary part of our solution set.
63© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
For the next two years we learned how to integrate project management
TOCICO 2009 Conference
• We learned how and where project management fits in our market niche (manufacturing and distribution companies).market niche (manufacturing and distribution companies).
• We spent the next two years integrating project management back into our existing client base and interfacing the manufacturing and engineering drums.
• We began to define the “rules” for control point subordination between the links in the internal supply chain to include engineering and product development as well as operations and inventory management. y g
• We BEGAN to understand portfolio management from an internal supply chain perspective and how to allocate investment and resource decisions between the links and their marketstheir markets.
EXAMPLE
64© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
2001 The next major learning opportunityTOCICO 2009 Conference
• Vertically integrated $1B wood products supply chain. y g p pp y
• 850k acres of timberlands owned and managed, 5 plywood mills, 2 particle board plants, 1 dimensional lumber sawmill and 1 engineered wood products (truss) plant.g p ( ) p
• 2700 people.
• There is only one resource input for every plant and product group - the LOG. It’s “abuse” is the major source of variation and waste from the supply side.
65© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
We started with the premise “No key” player escapes
TOCICO 2009 Conferenceplayer escapes
• We did the strategic thinking session with a team from across the t i l l b l th ti t ff Th t d b ienterprise one level below the executive staff. They created a buy-in
presentation of less than an hour that summarized their strategic analysis.
• We checked the presentation with small groups of people from each p g p p parea of the company
• We then put each vice president in a room alone with the team to review the presentation and got their buy-in and comments in private and their agreement to say what they thought in a meeting with all ofand their agreement to say what they thought in a meeting with all of the vice presidents.
• We then put the vice presidents in a room together and got them to agree to stand united behind the work in a meeting with the president.
• We then put everyone in the room with the president and the team to present their work and gain agreement to implement the enterprise wide solution set and top down education.
66© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
• Until the meeting with the president no one could predict what the president/owner’s reaction would be to the first key agreement point.
The first key agreement pointTOCICO 2009 Conference
Agreement on the strategic objective of the company assets:
Why did we invest in them and what is their strategic objective and their relationship to each other?objective and their relationship to each other?
No one was sure or even agreed if the owner had forests to support his manufacturing investment orforests to support his manufacturing investment or had manufacturing investments to have as an alternative avenue to make the most money from forestsforests.
67© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Ye Old “Local-Global” ConflictTOCICO 2009 Conference
Manage manufacturing facilities as a profit center
Manage timber and timberland
as a profit center
Maximize our
profit center.center.
ROI in manufacturing
facilities.
Maximize our ROI in timber.
Maximize Tree Co ROI
68© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Co ROI
If the input links can sell internal and external WATCH OUT!
TOCICO 2009 Conference
• You must solve this cloud first and the solution of this cloudYou must solve this cloud first and the solution of this cloud will always involve the elimination of transfer pricing and the allocation of corporate overhead between plants, business groups and product lines.
• A definition of the strategic contribution metric for every link in the supply chain.
H t t i i th i t li k t th d it d t’• How strategic is the input link to the end item product’s throughput? This will determine the direction for the solution.
• Only when we understand and get agreement on this can you l k i d id if h i d fl l ilook at capacity and identify the pacing and flow control points and the necessary buffers.
69© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Wood Products Internal Supply Chain Throughput Points Decision Model
TOCICO 2009 Conference
ReplenishSell as green veneer Replenish
Engineered Wood Product
Pricing indifference
models
4
Peel & sell as dry veneer
ReplenishDry Veneer BufferSell as dry veneer
Purchased
ReplenishPlywood mills
Pricing indifference
models
5
4Peel & sell as green veneer
Peel log
Don't peel log Hold in inventory
dry veneer
Purchasegreen veneer
23
Sawmill
Sell logYesNo
1
Sell log
Sawmill Pricing indifference
models
LogInve ntory
Excess Logs?ode s
70© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
FeeLogs
Purchased/Contract
Logs
The steps we followed:TOCICO 2009 Conference
• Define the supply chain.e e t e supp y c a
• Identify the truly scarce resource and or the most variable resource.
71© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Creating a demand driven schedule through the supply chain
TOCICO 2009 Conference
g y
• Everyone agreed the true scarce resource and the major f i i h h h l h isource of variation throughout the supply chain was not
having the right log. The variation introduced into all of the plants by not having the right log, at the right time was the source of the major disruption and variation throughout the j p grest of the supply chain.
• The competition for the “right” log was fierce and they had failed to define what the “right” log really was (bad unit cost measures and local productivity measures). They were competing for the “wrong” log while the “right” log was sold or rotted.Th l t t th i ht l b ill d t• The only way to guarantee the right log can be milled was to sort all of the logs in all of the log yards by end product characteristic of the veneers they would produce.
72© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
The magnitude of the dilemma:TOCICO 2009 Conference
They operated the largest plywood plant in the world and on any typical summer day 160 log trucks delivered logs to the y yp y g gyard.
All of the plywood and the veneer plants had log yards.Logs were not graded or sold by what they would produce forLogs were not graded or sold by what they would produce for
an end item but by total volume of wood they would produce.
6,000 end item skus all with their own veneer formula.6,000 end item skus all with their own veneer formula.We needed to understand what characteristics different logs
types could be predicted to deliver when they were milled and then pre-sort the logs by the characteristic of the log. p g y g
Everyone also agreed that without this part of the solution we would fail to get the results we wanted.
Why?
73© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Why?
The net-effects of variation on supply chainsTOCICO 2009 Conference
90%90% 90%90% 90%90% 90%90%
66%66%
xx== xx xx
CompSupplier Dist. CustomerCustomer
X period of timeX period of time
AssemblyComp.MFG
xx ==xx xx
90%90% 90%90% 90%90% 90%90% 66%66%
Th B llTh B ll Whi Eff tWhi Eff tThe BullThe Bull--Whip EffectWhip EffectOn both the demand and supply side, it is clear that the system variation is On both the demand and supply side, it is clear that the system variation is significantly higher than the variation of any one of the parts. The more parts, the significantly higher than the variation of any one of the parts. The more parts, the worse the effect.worse the effect.NonNon--Linear Transference RuleLinear Transference Rule
74© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
NonNon Linear Transference RuleLinear Transference RuleIt’s also clear that there is not a linear relationship between reductions in variation It’s also clear that there is not a linear relationship between reductions in variation in one part and the reduction in the system variation.in one part and the reduction in the system variation.
What is and how does variation impact a demand chain?
TOCICO 2009 Conferenceimpact a demand chain?
Your BusinessYour Business
ManagementManagement
OperationsOperations
There are Four Distinct Sources of Variation:There are Four Distinct Sources of Variation:1.1. Fluctuations in demandFluctuations in demand2.2. Fluctuations in supplyFluctuations in supply3.3. Random Events (Murphy) within our processesRandom Events (Murphy) within our processes4.4. SelfSelf--Imposed variations Imposed variations –– overover--reactions and underreactions and under--reactions in reactions in
75© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
ppwhat we decide to dowhat we decide to do
The steps we followed:TOCICO 2009 Conference
• Agree on the criteria for allocation decisions and g ee o t e c te a o a ocat o dec s o s a dwho is responsible for the allocation of the scarce resource input.
• Our experience shows that getting control of the input source of variation and conflict causes immediate benefits throughout the supply chain. g pp yEveryone experiences the WIN.
• Do it quick and you have a measurable success th t t t d t tthat creates tremendous momentum to carry you through the rest of the supply chain implementation.
76© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Only now can we begin to tackle designing a Only now can we begin to tackle designing a system to schedule capacity to market pullsystem to schedule capacity to market pull
TOCICO 2009 ConferenceUnderlying assumption:
There is no way to match raw material availability, capacity
Schedule the plant forSchedule the
Schedule the plant to
and inventory to market demand.
Injection:Injection:the plant for maximum efficiency
plant to market demand only
the plant to raw material availability
jjWe have to find a way to centrally plan and We have to find a way to centrally plan and manage the enterprise. After the first steps manage the enterprise. After the first steps we have taken the door is wide open for it!we have taken the door is wide open for it!
Maximize our ROI in manufacturing
Maximize Throughput
Maximize our investment in
pp
facilitiesg p
dollars logs
77© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Maximize RFP ROI
The Challenges to create a true Central Planning function
TOCICO 2009 Conference
• The organization structure did not exist. No one authority or system had the knowledge and visibility to de-conflict and solvesystem had the knowledge and visibility to de-conflict and solve scarce resource contention or allocate orders between plants with available capacity.
• The software technology did not exist to support the concept• The software technology did not exist to support the concept.
• The management information system did not exist.
• We had to apply the concept of “segment your market not yourWe had to apply the concept of segment your market not your resources” across the enterprise not just a plant or any business/product group.
− A lathe is lathe, a dryer a dryer and a log in your yard can be aA lathe is lathe, a dryer a dryer and a log in your yard can be a veneer in my plywood plant tomorrow or a veneer in the truss plant tomorrow.
78© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Supply Chain Central Planning Overview Strategic & Tactical Example
Central visibility of all replenishment buffers$’s in
orTOCICO 2009 Conference
CentralLog Buffer Central Dry
Veneer BufferCentral Finished Products Buffer
Central visibility of all replenishment buffers
$’s in or out
or out $’s
in
Lathes DryersSkinner
Saw
Patch
Detail SawPlywood Mills #1,2,3,4
Lathes Dryers
ywood s # , ,3,
Veneer Mill
Press
Billets
saw
Dryers
Engineered Wood
Sharp Chain
Saw Mill
Engineered Wood
79© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Central visibility of capacity availability at the constraint resources for each plants.
Saw Mill
ResultsTOCICO 2009 Conference
• Reductions in inventory in excess of $50M (>35%).ROI from 5% (the past best ever was 4%) to 15% in 12 months 19% last• ROI from .5% (the past best ever was 4%) to 15% in 12 months, 19% last year.
• 20% Increased volume in plywood with 1.5 less plants (450 less employees) within the first six months.
• OTD from mid 40’s to mid 90’s (measured against a mixed product shipment).
• Lead time from 14 days to 2 days.The year after implementing they shipped 40% more throughput with 30%
less logs and one less plant (the plant was very old and set up for old growth timber the decision to scrap it vs. retool could finally be made because of the tremendous increase capacity unleashed)
Remember the scarce resource is the log and if they don’t cut it - it keeps getting bigger!
We took the concept of sorting logs to the forests and planned their cuts by the characteristics the forest harvest would deliver
80© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
by the characteristics the forest harvest would deliver.
What we learned at the timeTOCICO 2009 Conference
• We could no longer ignore software as part of our e cou d o o ge g o e so t a e as pa t o ouintegrated service offering.
• Integrating software into the solution set keeps the system from being circumvented or dismantled.
• You cannot afford to leave out any part of the supply chain if you want the organization to besupply chain if you want the organization to be sustainable in using TOC to manage from.
• We gained the confidence that we could manageWe gained the confidence that we could manage complex supply chain implementations like LeTourneau.
81© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
One more trial run before LeTourneauTOCICO 2009 Conference
• We incorporated everything we learned and i l t d f d t t f t i itimplemented a foundry to a two manufacturing sites to national distribution with software.
• Our current learning curve is with LeTourneau and it• Our current learning curve is with LeTourneau and it is steep.
82© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.
Questions?TOCICO 2009 Conference
83© 2009 TOCICO. All rights reserved.