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Optimum Blending of Panels and Social Network Respondents Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg, Inc. CASRO Online Research Conference, Las Vegas March 2011

Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg ...Optimum Blending of Panels and Social Network Respondents Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg, Inc

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Page 1: Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg ...Optimum Blending of Panels and Social Network Respondents Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg, Inc

Optimum Blending of Panels and Social Network Respondents

Adam Portner - Research NowSteven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg, Inc.

CASRO Online Research Conference, Las VegasMarch 2011

Page 2: Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg ...Optimum Blending of Panels and Social Network Respondents Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg, Inc

Social media video

2© 2011 Research Now

Page 3: Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg ...Optimum Blending of Panels and Social Network Respondents Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg, Inc

The online population and social media

3© 2011 Research Now

Extend our sampling universe

Engage social media

Include to provide a richer, more comprehensive and inclusive sample

Page 4: Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg ...Optimum Blending of Panels and Social Network Respondents Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg, Inc

All sources are different!Modal differences in buying behavior segmentations

4© 2011 Research Now

Page 5: Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg ...Optimum Blending of Panels and Social Network Respondents Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg, Inc

What are the differences?

5© 2011 Research Now

Page 6: Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg ...Optimum Blending of Panels and Social Network Respondents Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg, Inc

Blending social media sample

6© 2011 Research Now

Different sample sources possess different characteristics

Important to ensure consistency – results must be repeatable

To avoid variability social media respondents must be blended by design with panel sample

Page 7: Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg ...Optimum Blending of Panels and Social Network Respondents Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg, Inc

A scientific blend

7© 2011 Research Now

A scientific blend seeks to achieve a standardIt must be transparent, documented and repeatable

Blending is different from “mixing” which lacks precision Blending is a robust process

Page 8: Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg ...Optimum Blending of Panels and Social Network Respondents Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg, Inc

Minimum measurable difference

8© 2011 Research Now

The threshold at which we begin to detect statistical difference at a level so low that it represents a conservative measure of similarity

Requirements A system of measurement – metrics

Tools to measure with – segmentations

Precision - minimum measureable difference

Standard - have a plan for what you are building, and what the sample will represent

Model based sampling

Page 9: Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg ...Optimum Blending of Panels and Social Network Respondents Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg, Inc

Methodology

9© 2011 Research Now

Sample sources: Valued Opinions Panel and Peanut Labs in the United StatesSample size: VOP - 4009 respondents

Peanut Labs - 3887 respondents TOTAL of 7896 Respondents

Fieldwork: 9/14/2010-12/19/2010Survey length: 17 minutesQuotas: Gender, age, household income & ethnicityGenerates ten segmentations:

• Buying behavior, 37 variables • Socio-graphics, 31 variables • Media, 31 variables• Plus seven other market segmentations

Page 10: Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg ...Optimum Blending of Panels and Social Network Respondents Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg, Inc

Structural segmentations

10© 2011 Research Now

By identifying groups of respondents who answer similarly across a broad array of behavioral items, we divide them into ‘segments’

The segmentations allow for behavioral standards by which to compare different sample sources. We call it a behavioral fingerprint; it is an important measurement tool

Page 11: Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg ...Optimum Blending of Panels and Social Network Respondents Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg, Inc

11© 2011 Research Now

What are the differences between social network and panel respondents?

Page 12: Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg ...Optimum Blending of Panels and Social Network Respondents Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg, Inc

Marital status was similar across sources

12© 2011 Research Now

Page 13: Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg ...Optimum Blending of Panels and Social Network Respondents Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg, Inc

Panel respondents are better educated

13© 2011 Research Now

Page 14: Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg ...Optimum Blending of Panels and Social Network Respondents Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg, Inc

Social network respondents use the internet more broadly and own more hi-tech devices

14© 2011 Research Now

Page 15: Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg ...Optimum Blending of Panels and Social Network Respondents Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg, Inc

Social network respondents use the internet more often for connecting with others

15© 2011 Research Now

Page 16: Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg ...Optimum Blending of Panels and Social Network Respondents Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg, Inc

Social network respondents use the internet for entertainment and news gathering more often

16© 2011 Research Now

Page 17: Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg ...Optimum Blending of Panels and Social Network Respondents Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg, Inc

Yes, they are different...

17© 2011 Research Now

Page 18: Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg ...Optimum Blending of Panels and Social Network Respondents Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg, Inc

18© 2011 Research Now

An absence of detectable difference implies similarity

Page 19: Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg ...Optimum Blending of Panels and Social Network Respondents Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg, Inc

Establishing a threshold

19© 2011 Research Now

Page 20: Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg ...Optimum Blending of Panels and Social Network Respondents Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg, Inc

A change in the assumed sample size alters the number of social network respondents that can be blended

20© 2011 Research Now

α=0.32

Page 21: Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg ...Optimum Blending of Panels and Social Network Respondents Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg, Inc

The greater the similarity found within demographic groups the more liberally we can blend them

21© 2011 Research Now

Page 22: Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg ...Optimum Blending of Panels and Social Network Respondents Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg, Inc

Maximum blending ratioAfter making conservative assumptions on income and segments these are the final blending ratios for each sex by age group

22© 2011 Research NowNote – this is subject to change pending future blending analysis

Page 23: Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg ...Optimum Blending of Panels and Social Network Respondents Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg, Inc

The final sample at maximum blending percentage has barely changed the observed behavior of the VOP sample

23© 2011 Research Now

Page 24: Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg ...Optimum Blending of Panels and Social Network Respondents Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg, Inc

The blend and VOP also remain similar on socio-graphics

24© 2011 Research Now

Page 25: Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg ...Optimum Blending of Panels and Social Network Respondents Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg, Inc

Media preferences remain similar at the maximum blending percentage

25© 2011 Research Now

Page 26: Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg ...Optimum Blending of Panels and Social Network Respondents Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg, Inc

Respondent engagement remains the same at the maximum blending percentage

26© 2011 Research Now

Page 27: Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg ...Optimum Blending of Panels and Social Network Respondents Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg, Inc

Panel tenure, an important diagnostic, tends to decrease after blending

27© 2011 Research Now

Page 28: Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg ...Optimum Blending of Panels and Social Network Respondents Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg, Inc

Conclusion

28© 2011 Research Now

Social media respondents represent a considerable and growingproportion of the global population

Social media respondents are different to panel respondents –opportunity to be more inclusive but must be able to deliver consistent data

Through comparative research we established the minimum measurable difference, in order to determine the maximum blending ratio

Transparency is essential – researchers must be confident that changes are real, not due to sample source

Blending analysis must be an ongoing process, blending ratios are not static and will change as sources evolve

Page 29: Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg ...Optimum Blending of Panels and Social Network Respondents Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg, Inc

Summary video

29© 2011 Research Now

Page 30: Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg ...Optimum Blending of Panels and Social Network Respondents Adam Portner - Research Now Steven Gittelman Ph.D. - Mktg, Inc

Thank you!

30© 2011 Research Now

Adam PortnerSenior Vice President, Client Development220 Montgomery Street, Suite 1058San Francisco, CA 94104Direct: (415) [email protected]

Steven Gittelman, Ph.D. President200 Carleton Avenue, East Islip, NY 11730Phone (631) 277-7000Cell (631) 466-6604 [email protected] www.MktgInc.com