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Adaptation for buildings – from both long term and short term perspectives Dr Hu Du Sêr Cymru Senior Research Fellow Welsh School of Architecture Cardiff University [email protected]

Adaptation for buildings – from both long term and short ... · Adaptation for buildings – from both long term and short term perspectives Dr Hu Du Sêr Cymru Senior Research

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Page 1: Adaptation for buildings – from both long term and short ... · Adaptation for buildings – from both long term and short term perspectives Dr Hu Du Sêr Cymru Senior Research

Adaptation for buildings – from both long term and short term perspectives

Dr Hu Du

Sêr Cymru Senior Research FellowWelsh School of Architecture

Cardiff [email protected]

Page 2: Adaptation for buildings – from both long term and short ... · Adaptation for buildings – from both long term and short term perspectives Dr Hu Du Sêr Cymru Senior Research

Forecast of building energy demand and renewable generation

2014-2019, Fellow

Modular external wall retrofit + renewable and storage

2017-2021, PI

HuMiD - Health cost of mould and damp in Welsh homes

2017-2018, PI

Renewable Energy Systems in Zero Carbon Villages2018-2019, PI

Dr Hu Du

HABITAT- plug-n-HArvest modular façade for zero bills Buildings In

Tibet plATeau2018, PI

Ongoing projects

Page 4: Adaptation for buildings – from both long term and short ... · Adaptation for buildings – from both long term and short term perspectives Dr Hu Du Sêr Cymru Senior Research

Dr Hu DuHABITAT- plug-n-HArvest modular façade for zero bills

Buildings In Tibet plATeau

Page 5: Adaptation for buildings – from both long term and short ... · Adaptation for buildings – from both long term and short term perspectives Dr Hu Du Sêr Cymru Senior Research

Three layers of adaptation options for buildings:

Dr Hu Du

Page 6: Adaptation for buildings – from both long term and short ... · Adaptation for buildings – from both long term and short term perspectives Dr Hu Du Sêr Cymru Senior Research

Three different emission scenarios

Seven different time frames

25km grid, 16 admin regions, 23 river-basins and 9 marine regions

UK climate change projectionsDr Hu Du

Presenter
Presentation Notes
The UKCP09 projections give a whole range of information that can, with careful interpretation, be used to support adaptation actions across your business. We have provided projections for 3 different emission scenarios, low, medium and high. We have provided the projections over 7 different overlapping 30 year periods and we can break down projections on the 25km, 16 administration regions across the UK, 23 river basins and 9 marine regions. The Projections use a baseline of 1961-90 and provide information on temperature rise, rainfall, snowfall, humidity, radiation and cloud level for all three emissions scenarios in 30 year time periods. There is also more information for the marine and coastal environment including sea level rise, storm surge, waves, currents and salinity
Page 7: Adaptation for buildings – from both long term and short ... · Adaptation for buildings – from both long term and short term perspectives Dr Hu Du Sêr Cymru Senior Research

Under-standing changing climate

Risk assessment

Suitable adaptation measures

Base dynamic energy model

Simulation of

adaptation measures

Energy savings

Cost Benefit Analysis

Uptake and deploy by the client

Monitor and

evaluation

Dr Hu Du

Page 8: Adaptation for buildings – from both long term and short ... · Adaptation for buildings – from both long term and short term perspectives Dr Hu Du Sêr Cymru Senior Research

Dr Hu Du

Page 9: Adaptation for buildings – from both long term and short ... · Adaptation for buildings – from both long term and short term perspectives Dr Hu Du Sêr Cymru Senior Research

Observation vs. Forecast Friday Saturday Sunday Monday Tuesday

-2.0

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

20N

ov 0

020

Nov

05

20N

ov 1

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15

20N

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021

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01

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ov 0

621

Nov

11

21N

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621

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22N

ov 0

222

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22N

ov 1

222

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223

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823

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424

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424

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25N

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025

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05

Bute building weather station Next 5 day forecastNext 4 day forecast Next 3 day forecastNext 2 day forecast

oc

Dr Hu Du

Page 10: Adaptation for buildings – from both long term and short ... · Adaptation for buildings – from both long term and short term perspectives Dr Hu Du Sêr Cymru Senior Research

Temperature Forecast vs. Observation Dec 2015 Heathrow

Dr Hu Du

Page 11: Adaptation for buildings – from both long term and short ... · Adaptation for buildings – from both long term and short term perspectives Dr Hu Du Sêr Cymru Senior Research

Dr Hu Du

Page 12: Adaptation for buildings – from both long term and short ... · Adaptation for buildings – from both long term and short term perspectives Dr Hu Du Sêr Cymru Senior Research

140 observation stations

6000 forecast locationsDr Hu Du

Page 13: Adaptation for buildings – from both long term and short ... · Adaptation for buildings – from both long term and short term perspectives Dr Hu Du Sêr Cymru Senior Research

UHII

Dr Hu Du

Page 14: Adaptation for buildings – from both long term and short ... · Adaptation for buildings – from both long term and short term perspectives Dr Hu Du Sêr Cymru Senior Research

Weekly energy demand

City Boundary City Centre

Epping Tanners Hatch

HorseguardsParade Earl's Court

Summer Heating 36.7 kWh +6% -33% -30%

Summer Cooling 27.8 kWh -9% +41% +42%

Winter Heating 201.4 kWh -1% -12% -12%

Heating and cooling energy demand in a summer week (13-19 Jul 2016) and a winter week (1-7 Nov 2016)

Dr Hu Du

Page 15: Adaptation for buildings – from both long term and short ... · Adaptation for buildings – from both long term and short term perspectives Dr Hu Du Sêr Cymru Senior Research

Q&A

DR HU DU

Sêr Cymru Senior Research FellowWelsh School of Architecture

Cardiff [email protected]

Dr Hu Du