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Adaptation for buildings – from both long term and short term perspectives
Dr Hu Du
Sêr Cymru Senior Research FellowWelsh School of Architecture
Cardiff [email protected]
Forecast of building energy demand and renewable generation
2014-2019, Fellow
Modular external wall retrofit + renewable and storage
2017-2021, PI
HuMiD - Health cost of mould and damp in Welsh homes
2017-2018, PI
Renewable Energy Systems in Zero Carbon Villages2018-2019, PI
Dr Hu Du
HABITAT- plug-n-HArvest modular façade for zero bills Buildings In
Tibet plATeau2018, PI
Ongoing projects
Dr Hu Du
Dr Hu DuHABITAT- plug-n-HArvest modular façade for zero bills
Buildings In Tibet plATeau
Three layers of adaptation options for buildings:
Dr Hu Du
Three different emission scenarios
Seven different time frames
25km grid, 16 admin regions, 23 river-basins and 9 marine regions
UK climate change projectionsDr Hu Du
Under-standing changing climate
Risk assessment
Suitable adaptation measures
Base dynamic energy model
Simulation of
adaptation measures
Energy savings
Cost Benefit Analysis
Uptake and deploy by the client
Monitor and
evaluation
Dr Hu Du
Dr Hu Du
Observation vs. Forecast Friday Saturday Sunday Monday Tuesday
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
20N
ov 0
020
Nov
05
20N
ov 1
020
Nov
15
20N
ov 2
021
Nov
01
21N
ov 0
621
Nov
11
21N
ov 1
621
Nov
21
22N
ov 0
222
Nov
07
22N
ov 1
222
Nov
17
22N
ov 2
223
Nov
03
23N
ov 0
823
Nov
13
23N
ov 1
823
Nov
23
24N
ov 0
424
Nov
09
24N
ov 1
424
Nov
19
25N
ov 0
025
Nov
05
Bute building weather station Next 5 day forecastNext 4 day forecast Next 3 day forecastNext 2 day forecast
oc
Dr Hu Du
Temperature Forecast vs. Observation Dec 2015 Heathrow
Dr Hu Du
Dr Hu Du
140 observation stations
6000 forecast locationsDr Hu Du
UHII
Dr Hu Du
Weekly energy demand
City Boundary City Centre
Epping Tanners Hatch
HorseguardsParade Earl's Court
Summer Heating 36.7 kWh +6% -33% -30%
Summer Cooling 27.8 kWh -9% +41% +42%
Winter Heating 201.4 kWh -1% -12% -12%
Heating and cooling energy demand in a summer week (13-19 Jul 2016) and a winter week (1-7 Nov 2016)
Dr Hu Du
Q&A
DR HU DU
Sêr Cymru Senior Research FellowWelsh School of Architecture
Cardiff [email protected]
Dr Hu Du