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ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE AS A TREND IN URBAN DEVELOPMENT Towards a strategy and roadmap for breakthrough projects Polish cities conference March 2nd 2017

ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE AS A TREND IN URBAN …44mpa.pl/wp-content/uploads/2017/03/2017_03_02... · Sewerage + watersquare Dikes + adaptive building en design Storm surge barriers

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Page 1: ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE AS A TREND IN URBAN …44mpa.pl/wp-content/uploads/2017/03/2017_03_02... · Sewerage + watersquare Dikes + adaptive building en design Storm surge barriers

ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE AS A TREND IN URBAN DEVELOPMENT

Towards a strategy and roadmap for breakthrough projects

Polish cities conference March 2nd 2017

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© Copyright ARCADIS 2015

Proven concepts

Lessons learned

Challenges Polish cities

A roadmap for city transitions and breakthoughs

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VULNERABILITYAND EXPOSURE

AROUND THE WORLD

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© Arcadis 2016

USACanadaLow Impact Development (LID)

AustraliaWater SensitiveUrban Design (WSUD)

United KingdomSustainable Urban Drainage Systems (SUDS)

The NetherlandsThe Climate Proof City

(2050) CPC2050

ChinaSponge City(since 2014)

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© Copyright ARCADIS 2015 BIG U

Flexible and tailor made multipurpose flood

protection in Manhattan: landscaped, spacious

integrated green dikes, adding quality and

value to the urban environment, but also

straightforward and minimal if requeired

REDUCING AND MANAGING RISKS

CLIMATE CHANGE

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Holistic, multi-level and multi-stakeholder strategy

v

Sewerage + watersquare

Dikes + adaptive building en design

Storm surge barriers + ‘Remove tile, plant greening’

Pumping + green banks

v v

Robust and resilient

Protection and moving in

tune

Delta works, small scale

projects

Technology and nature

Rotterdam climate change adaptation strategy

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China Sponge City

PHILOSOPHY

• Climate resilience

• Reduce flood risk

• Holistic approach

• Thinking about water, as an opportunity

• Urban natural water system

• An integrated and laddered water system

KEY WORDS

• Water safety

• Water quantity

• Water quality & ecology

• Water reuse

A sponge city is a city that acts as a sponge

with an urban environment planned and

constructed to soak up almost every raindrop

and capture that water for reuse.

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Biggest challenge to take into account now

Implementation

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A route to finance

Main barriers

Level of competences and capacities

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8.2%

68.4%

16.3%

5.6%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

1a (Not yet begun work –no plans)

PACT RL1

1b and 2 (Not yet begun work – plans and Very

early stages)PACT RL2

3 (Well on the way)Working towards PACT

RL3

4 (Moving ahead of thefield)

PACT RL3 & RL4Capacity Level

Percentage of survey respondents current status on adaptation to climate

change

The majority (nearly 69%)

have not yet begun work

on adaptation (but plan to)

or are in the very early

stagesInterestingly,

only 8% have

no plans

Capacity level in European cities 2013

Very Low Low Medium High

‘Very Low’ = not acting on extreme weather or on climate change and no plans to do so

‘Low’ = considering acting on current extreme weather, but not on climate change, but not yet begun or at very early stages.

‘Medium’ = having a programme on at least some current risks but doing no work yet on future climate change.

‘High’ = beginning to act on future climate change and also on extreme weather.

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Awareness

Agency

Leadership

Agents of change

Working together

Learning

Managing operations

Programme scope and coherence

Expertise andevidence

Pathways on strategic, developmental and operational level

Capacity building and ‘pathways’ / capabilities

9 capabilities need to be high level for breakthrough projects

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CAPACITY BUILDING

Current capacity at EU-cities to be resilient in 2030 (indicative)

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

Awareness Agency Leadership Agents of Change Working Together Learning Managing operations Programma scope andcoherence

Expertise and evidence

The 2030 Resilient Cities Adaptive Capacity Overview Graph (indication)

Achieved Capacity Partially Achieved Capacity

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© Copyright ARCADIS 2015

Financial engineering

Proposed additional focus points for your strategy

Capacity building

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© Copyright ARCADIS 2015

Resilience Pathway

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© Copyright ARCADIS 2015

Resilience PathwayTarget and

Moment of

change

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© Copyright ARCADIS 2015

Resilience PathwayTarget and

Moment of

change

Strategy

Investible

opportunities

(portfolio)

IOR

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© Copyright ARCADIS 2015

Resilience PathwayTarget and

Moment of

change

Strategy

Investible

opportunities

(portfolio)

IOR

Prioritized

option

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© Copyright ARCADIS 2015

Resilience PathwayTarget and

Moment of

change

Strategy

Investible

opportunities

(portfolio)

IOR

Prioritized

option

Business case

and

implementation

plan

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© Copyright ARCADIS 2015

Resilience PathwayTarget and

Moment of

change

Strategy

Investible

opportunities

(portfolio)

IOR

Prioritized

option

Business case

and

implementation

plan

Project

Development,

transition

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© Copyright ARCADIS 2015

Project

Development,

transition

Investible

opportuniti

es

(portfolio)

IOR

Prioritized

option

Business case

and

implementation

plan

Target and

Moment of

change

Monitoring

and

Evaluation

Project

Asset

Development

City’s

agenda

and area

dynamics

Risk

Assesment

Setting

Ambition and

Vision

Private

Sector

commitmen

t

Political

Commitment

Other

Stakeholders

Adaptatio

n optionsFinancial

Arrangement

s

Framework

Conditions

Financial

Engineerin

g

Detailed

Technical

Engineering

Specification

s and

strategic

control

Resilience Pathway

Scoping

Optioneering

Prioritizing / dealingDeal structuring

Implementing

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© Arcadis 2016

Investible

opportunities

(portfolio)

IOR

Target and Moment

of changeCity agenda

and area

dynamics Risk Assessment

Setting Ambition

and Vision

Adaptation

optionsFinancial

Arrangements

Framework

Conditions

Optioneering

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© Copyright ARCADIS 2015

Started with Public investment

Attracted Private Investments

Created Return on investment

Hamburg Hafen City: implementation ‘avant la lettre’

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© Copyright ARCADIS 2015Toekomstige situatie

Huidige situatie

Room for the River Nijmegen (165.000 inhabitants):Combined City center development andsafety

1100

450

1500

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© Copyright ARCADIS 2015 3/6/2017 24

Copenhagen City,Denmark

Greening and securing the city on macro-economic approach

Living environment quality and climate to invest improved

Copenhagen Cloud burst

program

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FJORD CITY VEJLE (110.000 INHABITANTS)

Resilience Strategy….retrofit of the harbour area and new housing district to adapt

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Now is the momentum to make ourstrategies work!

Do we need to do this?

Yes / Tak

Can we anticipate upon successfull implementation?

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People, Planet, Profit Resiliency, Efficiency, Quality

The sustainable cities Index

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People, Planet, Profit Resiliency, Efficiency, Quality

Ranking Polish cities will focus and support

The sustainable cities Index

Poland2017

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Integrate financial engineering into your strategy

Focus on both public and private investments

Make capacity building part of your process now

Learn from near and worldwide cities

Lessons Learned

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Contact

A.G. A (Eric) Schellekens

Senior Advisor – Planning and Strategy

Business Director climate adaptation

E: [email protected]

T: +31 627061605

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Thank you for your attentionand participation today.

Arcadis.Improving quality of life