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ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE AS A TREND IN URBAN DEVELOPMENT
Towards a strategy and roadmap for breakthrough projects
Polish cities conference March 2nd 2017
© Copyright ARCADIS 2015
Proven concepts
Lessons learned
Challenges Polish cities
A roadmap for city transitions and breakthoughs
© Copyright ARCADIS 2015
VULNERABILITYAND EXPOSURE
AROUND THE WORLD
© Arcadis 2016
USACanadaLow Impact Development (LID)
AustraliaWater SensitiveUrban Design (WSUD)
United KingdomSustainable Urban Drainage Systems (SUDS)
The NetherlandsThe Climate Proof City
(2050) CPC2050
ChinaSponge City(since 2014)
© Copyright ARCADIS 2015 BIG U
Flexible and tailor made multipurpose flood
protection in Manhattan: landscaped, spacious
integrated green dikes, adding quality and
value to the urban environment, but also
straightforward and minimal if requeired
REDUCING AND MANAGING RISKS
CLIMATE CHANGE
© Copyright ARCADIS 2015
Holistic, multi-level and multi-stakeholder strategy
v
Sewerage + watersquare
Dikes + adaptive building en design
Storm surge barriers + ‘Remove tile, plant greening’
Pumping + green banks
v v
Robust and resilient
Protection and moving in
tune
Delta works, small scale
projects
Technology and nature
Rotterdam climate change adaptation strategy
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China Sponge City
PHILOSOPHY
• Climate resilience
• Reduce flood risk
• Holistic approach
• Thinking about water, as an opportunity
• Urban natural water system
• An integrated and laddered water system
KEY WORDS
• Water safety
• Water quantity
• Water quality & ecology
• Water reuse
A sponge city is a city that acts as a sponge
with an urban environment planned and
constructed to soak up almost every raindrop
and capture that water for reuse.
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Biggest challenge to take into account now
Implementation
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A route to finance
Main barriers
Level of competences and capacities
© Copyright ARCADIS 2015
8.2%
68.4%
16.3%
5.6%0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
1a (Not yet begun work –no plans)
PACT RL1
1b and 2 (Not yet begun work – plans and Very
early stages)PACT RL2
3 (Well on the way)Working towards PACT
RL3
4 (Moving ahead of thefield)
PACT RL3 & RL4Capacity Level
Percentage of survey respondents current status on adaptation to climate
change
The majority (nearly 69%)
have not yet begun work
on adaptation (but plan to)
or are in the very early
stagesInterestingly,
only 8% have
no plans
Capacity level in European cities 2013
Very Low Low Medium High
‘Very Low’ = not acting on extreme weather or on climate change and no plans to do so
‘Low’ = considering acting on current extreme weather, but not on climate change, but not yet begun or at very early stages.
‘Medium’ = having a programme on at least some current risks but doing no work yet on future climate change.
‘High’ = beginning to act on future climate change and also on extreme weather.
© Arcadis 2016
Awareness
Agency
Leadership
Agents of change
Working together
Learning
Managing operations
Programme scope and coherence
Expertise andevidence
Pathways on strategic, developmental and operational level
Capacity building and ‘pathways’ / capabilities
9 capabilities need to be high level for breakthrough projects
CAPACITY BUILDING
Current capacity at EU-cities to be resilient in 2030 (indicative)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Awareness Agency Leadership Agents of Change Working Together Learning Managing operations Programma scope andcoherence
Expertise and evidence
The 2030 Resilient Cities Adaptive Capacity Overview Graph (indication)
Achieved Capacity Partially Achieved Capacity
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Financial engineering
Proposed additional focus points for your strategy
Capacity building
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Resilience Pathway
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Resilience PathwayTarget and
Moment of
change
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Resilience PathwayTarget and
Moment of
change
Strategy
Investible
opportunities
(portfolio)
IOR
© Copyright ARCADIS 2015
Resilience PathwayTarget and
Moment of
change
Strategy
Investible
opportunities
(portfolio)
IOR
Prioritized
option
© Copyright ARCADIS 2015
Resilience PathwayTarget and
Moment of
change
Strategy
Investible
opportunities
(portfolio)
IOR
Prioritized
option
Business case
and
implementation
plan
© Copyright ARCADIS 2015
Resilience PathwayTarget and
Moment of
change
Strategy
Investible
opportunities
(portfolio)
IOR
Prioritized
option
Business case
and
implementation
plan
Project
Development,
transition
© Copyright ARCADIS 2015
Project
Development,
transition
Investible
opportuniti
es
(portfolio)
IOR
Prioritized
option
Business case
and
implementation
plan
Target and
Moment of
change
Monitoring
and
Evaluation
Project
Asset
Development
City’s
agenda
and area
dynamics
Risk
Assesment
Setting
Ambition and
Vision
Private
Sector
commitmen
t
Political
Commitment
Other
Stakeholders
Adaptatio
n optionsFinancial
Arrangement
s
Framework
Conditions
Financial
Engineerin
g
Detailed
Technical
Engineering
Specification
s and
strategic
control
Resilience Pathway
Scoping
Optioneering
Prioritizing / dealingDeal structuring
Implementing
© Arcadis 2016
Investible
opportunities
(portfolio)
IOR
Target and Moment
of changeCity agenda
and area
dynamics Risk Assessment
Setting Ambition
and Vision
Adaptation
optionsFinancial
Arrangements
Framework
Conditions
Optioneering
© Copyright ARCADIS 2015
Started with Public investment
Attracted Private Investments
Created Return on investment
Hamburg Hafen City: implementation ‘avant la lettre’
© Copyright ARCADIS 2015Toekomstige situatie
Huidige situatie
Room for the River Nijmegen (165.000 inhabitants):Combined City center development andsafety
1100
450
1500
© Copyright ARCADIS 2015 3/6/2017 24
Copenhagen City,Denmark
Greening and securing the city on macro-economic approach
Living environment quality and climate to invest improved
Copenhagen Cloud burst
program
FJORD CITY VEJLE (110.000 INHABITANTS)
Resilience Strategy….retrofit of the harbour area and new housing district to adapt
© Copyright ARCADIS 2015
Now is the momentum to make ourstrategies work!
Do we need to do this?
Yes / Tak
Can we anticipate upon successfull implementation?
© Copyright ARCADIS 2015
People, Planet, Profit Resiliency, Efficiency, Quality
The sustainable cities Index
© Copyright ARCADIS 2015
People, Planet, Profit Resiliency, Efficiency, Quality
Ranking Polish cities will focus and support
The sustainable cities Index
Poland2017
© Copyright ARCADIS 2015
Integrate financial engineering into your strategy
Focus on both public and private investments
Make capacity building part of your process now
Learn from near and worldwide cities
Lessons Learned
© Copyright ARCADIS 2015
Contact
A.G. A (Eric) Schellekens
Senior Advisor – Planning and Strategy
Business Director climate adaptation
T: +31 627061605
30
Thank you for your attentionand participation today.
Arcadis.Improving quality of life