Agriculture Service World Markets and Trade · likelihood of significant exports is small, given the government’s focus on maintaining self-sufficiency in grains. Among the “others”

More Wheat and Coarse Grain Stocks Will Add to Global Supplies in 2009

United StatesDepartment ofAgriculture

ForeignAgriculturalService

Circular SeriesFG 04-09April 2009

Grain: World Markets and Trade

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Russia, Ukraine, India China Others 4 Major Exporters*

MMT

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

China Others US & EU

MMT

Wheat Ending Stocks

Coarse Grain Ending Stocks

Global wheat stocks are forecast rebuild by 36 million metric tons (MMT), or 29 percent, primarily a result of record crops. However, not of all of these stocks are available to the world market. In China, where stocks are forecast up by over 5 MMT, stocks are a food security issue and their release is generally a policy decision. Russia, Ukraine, and India, which also have a buildup in stocks, are grouped together because of their history of using policy-based restrictions on exports. That implies that their stocks are only partially available to the world, depending on their domestic supply situation. In contrast, for the four major exporting countries, the surplus buildup of 22 MMT would presumably all be available to the world market. Note that despite the recent price volatility, it appears that most other countries in the world are not building stocks for food security.

Global coarse grain stocks are forecast to grow by 26 MMT, or 17 percent, with corn accounting for half of the expansion, and barley 38 percent. China is also forecast to build stocks, mostly corn. However, the likelihood of significant exports is small, given the government’s focus on maintaining self-sufficiency in grains. Among the “others”category, most of the change is attributable to Russia and Ukraine, and these stocks are also growing. The United States and EU account for 36 percent of the world’s coarse grain stocks. Combined coarse grain stocks for the two countries are up 16 percent, or 9 MMT on the year. Those additional stocks are presumably available to the world market.

*Australia, Canada, EU, and U.S.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ................................................................................................................. 4 Rice .................................................................................................................. 11 Coarse Grains................................................................................................... 17 Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ............................ 39 Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................... 58 The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 9 a.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. It is available on the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/). This circular is released at 9:30 a.m. on the same day, together with its downloadable data set.

Grain: World Markets and Trade, April 2009

2 Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis

April 2009

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/

All Grain Summary Comparison

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2008/092007/082006/072008/092007/082006/072008/092007/082006/07

Production

United States (Jun-May) 49.2 55.8 68.0 6.3 6.3 6.5 267.5 331.2 307.4

Other 546.4 553.2 614.0 414.2 425.6 434.6 443.6 459.7 479.1

World Total 595.6 609.1 682.1 420.4 431.9 441.1 711.1 790.9 786.5

Domestic Consumption


Other 586.7 582.5 611.1 414.3 421.3 427.1 493.3 507.1 509.4

World Total 617.6 611.1 645.3 418.4 425.3 431.4 724.0 768.7 772.0

Ending Stocks


Other 115.8 114.1 139.2 73.6 77.6 85.4 75.6 88.4 100.1

World Total 128.2 122.4 158.1 74.9 78.5 86.1 108.7 129.6 143.3

TY Imports


Other 109.7 110.5 124.9 28.5 26.8 26.4 90.1 98.0 73.7

World Total 113.1 113.4 128.1 29.2 27.5 27.1 90.4 98.5 74.0

TY Exports


Other 90.7 81.9 104.1 29.0 26.1 26.4 37.0 37.5 32.1

World Total 115.8 116.2 130.6 32.0 29.4 29.5 91.2 98.2 76.1

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and exports

and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.

Marketing years for U.S. grains are: Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).

'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat only.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDAOffice of Global Analysis

April 2009

WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

Middle East and North Africa Imports by Origin -Russia, Ukraine and the EU Captures Growth-


4

`

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

2006/07 2007/08 2008/09p

MM

T

Other Ukraine and Russia EU

With the 2008 drought-reduced wheat crops in the Middle East and North Africa, import demand for milling wheat is projected to jump nearly 33 percent (10.8 million tons) providing extraordinary opportunities for Ukraine, Russia, and the EU. The competition for these markets, while currently strong, is expected to further intensify as early indications suggest higher production in the coming year for these regions. All three exporters had bumper crops in 2008 providing a huge exportable surplus, and pressuring prices. This, combined with logistical advantages, falling freight rates, and geo-political relationships, all play a part in this intensified competition.


April 2009

WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

U.S. Weekly FOB Export Bids

150

200

250

300

350

400

11/3

11/10

11/17

11/24 12

/112

/812

/1512

/2212

/29 1/5 1/12

1/19

1/26 2/2 2/9 2/1

62/2

3 3/2 3/9 3/16

3/23

$/M

T

HRW SRW HRS WW

PRICES: Domestic: Prices for all wheat classes declined slightly in March. Hard Red Winter (HRW) fell $7 to $232/ton, Soft Red Winter (SRW) slipped $6 to $182/ton, Hard Red Spring (HRS) eased $3 to $289/ton, and Soft White (SWW) fell $5 to $215/ton. TRADE CHANGES IN 2008/2009 Selected Exporters

• Argentina is up 1.7 million tons to 7.5 million based on larger-than-expected shipments to Brazil and nontraditional markets, such as Iran.

• Canada is cut 1.5 million tons to 17.5 million given the slow pace of shipments

and intensified competition.

• EU is raised 1.5 million tons to 21.0 million on the continued strong pace of export licenses.

• Russia is raised 500,000 tons to a record 16.5 million on the continued strong

pace of sales to nearby countries.

• Ukraine is up 1.0 million tons to a record 11.0 million, with sales into unexpected markets.



April 2009


6

• Uruguay is raised 400,000 tons to 700,000 on increased regional export opportunities due to Argentina’s smaller crop.

Selected Importers

• Bangladesh is up 300,000 tons to 2.3 million, the most in over 25 years, on the strong pace of imports, particularly from the Black Sea.

• Egypt is raised 400,000 tons to 8.2 million, a record, as import demand continues

to be strong. • EU is up 500,000 tons to 6.5 million on continued purchases of cheaper feed-

quality wheat from Russia and Ukraine.

• Iran is raised 1.5 million tons to 8.5 million, making it the world’s largest importer, based on the strong pace of shipments and the governments’ reported intention to continue importing wheat.

• South Korea is cut 300,000 tons to 3.8 million on the slow pace of imports.

• Tunisia is boosted 300,000 tons to 1.8 million on the strong pace of imports from

Russia, Ukraine, and the EU. • Turkey is raised 200,000 tons to 2.5 million based on the strong pace of imports,

particularly from Russia.

• United States is up 100,000 tons to 3.2 million on increased spring wheat and durum imports from Canada.


April 2009

World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Mar

2008/09

Apr

none

TY Exports

7,5005,80010,22412,2108,30113,502 Argentina

13,50013,5007,44911,24115,21315,826 Australia

17,50019,00016,58619,27815,63115,117 Canada

21,00019,50012,27213,87315,69414,745 EU-27

5,2005,2008,1818,0893,8173,039 Kazakhstan, Republic of

1,0501,0501,261548533504 Mexico

2,4002,4002,200700600600 Pakistan

16,50016,00012,22010,79010,6647,951 Russian Federation

1,8001,8001,7632,2002,9002,217 Turkey

11,00010,0001,2363,3666,4614,351 Ukraine

6,6156,3158,4958,4536,6346,895 Others

104,065100,56581,88790,74886,44884,747 Subtotal

26,50026,50034,32825,04127,42428,464 United States

130,565127,065116,215115,789113,872113,211 World Total

none

TY Imports

3,0003,0002,3001,4005001,000 Afghanistan

5,6005,6005,9044,8795,4695,398 Algeria

2,3002,0001,5011,8062,0092,058 Bangladesh

6,0006,0007,1227,7045,8235,009 Brazil

1,3251,3251,3081,2411,3141,248 Colombia

8,2007,8007,7007,3007,7718,150 Egypt

6,5006,0006,9425,1376,7587,061 EU-27

5,3005,3005,2245,5724,9814,661 Indonesia

8,5007,0002007001,105200 Iran

3,7003,7003,4243,0004,8783,010 Iraq

2,0002,0001,1861,4581,6631,549 Israel

5,5005,5005,7015,7475,4695,744 Japan

3,8004,1003,0923,4393,8843,591 Korea, Republic of

1,5001,3001,5698841,6391,508 Libya

3,6003,6003,1363,6103,5493,717 Mexico

3,5003,5004,1911,8012,4182,272 Morocco

3,1003,1002,6323,3163,6563,014 Nigeria

2,8002,8001,554559661,416 Pakistan

1,5001,5001,4691,3321,6561,449 Peru

2,6002,6002,2712,7462,9542,593 Philippines

1,5001,5001,3338851,2421,407 South Africa, Republic of

1,8001,5002,3721,4331,2631,079 Tunisia

2,5002,3002,1921,83364372 Turkey

1,6501,6501,4981,7651,6911,504 Venezuela

2,0002,0001,8722,3502,1431,853 Yemen

35,08034,98032,77238,28833,50537,535 Others

124,855121,655110,465109,681108,370108,398 Subtotal

2,5102,3102,8202,7143,1932,867 Unaccounted

3,2003,1002,9303,3942,3091,946 United States

130,565127,065116,215115,789113,872113,211 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.


April 2009

World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Mar

2008/09

Apr

none

Production

8,4008,40016,80016,00014,50016,000 Argentina

21,50021,50013,83810,82225,17321,905 Australia

6,0005,8003,8252,2344,8735,845 Brazil

28,61028,61020,05425,26525,74824,796 Canada

113,000113,000109,298108,46697,44591,952 China, Peoples Republic of

7,8838,3008,2758,2748,1847,177 Egypt

150,261150,261119,442124,870132,356146,886 EU-27

78,60078,60075,81069,35068,64072,150 India

10,00010,00015,00014,50014,30814,568 Iran


21,50021,50023,30021,27721,61219,500 Pakistan


16,80016,80015,50017,50018,50018,500 Turkey

25,90025,90013,90014,00018,70017,500 Ukraine

6,0006,0006,2005,8505,8005,250 Uzbekistan, Republic of

43,37445,53246,00049,59547,78149,500 Others

614,028616,403553,242546,403562,320566,879 Subtotal

68,02668,02655,82149,21757,24358,698 United States

682,054684,429609,063595,620619,563625,577 World Total

none

Total Consumption

8,1508,1507,8507,6507,5007,300 Algeria

10,75010,75010,30010,30010,4509,900 Brazil

8,2278,2276,2899,0488,2448,240 Canada


16,05016,05015,95015,45014,80014,200 Egypt

127,500129,500117,736125,500127,525123,220 EU-27

77,60077,60075,73173,36569,98072,838 India

15,60015,60015,50015,30014,80014,550 Iran


7,2007,2007,1007,1506,8006,600 Morocco

22,60022,60022,40021,90020,90019,600 Pakistan


16,90016,90016,80016,65016,10016,800 Turkey

14,40014,40012,90011,70012,50011,700 Ukraine

6,9506,9506,8006,5006,1185,700 Uzbekistan, Republic of

123,498124,715117,980120,285122,304116,011 Others

612,204615,157586,288584,255591,560574,879 Subtotal

34,12933,55728,57430,94031,32031,783 United States

646,333648,714614,862615,195622,880606,662 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

5,7775,7774,6524,4069,6206,777 Australia

8,0756,5754,8176,8039,6987,922 Canada


18,66217,66210,40114,02523,39127,496 EU-27

7,2107,2106,4104,5002,0004,100 India

4,5074,0073,1573,5073,2573,419 Iran


39,90839,82041,35941,69646,04943,948 Others

139,152136,464114,059115,767132,211136,374 Subtotal

18,95119,3878,32312,41415,54514,699 United States

158,103155,851122,382128,181147,756151,073 World Total


April 2009

Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08

Mar

2008/09

Apr

2008/09

TY Imports none

5,915 North America 6,145 7,325 6,452 7,075 7,175

1,510 Central America 1,514 1,446 1,459 1,615 1,615

2,034 Caribbean 1,926 1,825 2,046 2,075 2,075

10,526 South America 12,316 13,879 13,142 12,460 12,460

7,061 European Union 6,758 5,137 6,942 6,000 6,500

1,464 Other Europe 1,457 1,468 1,923 1,775 1,775

4,910 Former Soviet Union - 12 5,487 5,957 6,017 6,325 6,325

10,202 Middle East 13,220 12,167 11,772 21,995 23,695

18,407 North Africa 18,560 16,297 21,736 19,700 20,600

12,103 Sub-Saharan Africa 13,018 11,449 10,248 12,190 12,190

18,357 East Asia 12,830 11,949 11,276 11,900 11,700

5,681 South Asia 4,774 11,018 8,234 8,930 9,230

11,429 Southeast Asia 11,923 12,347 11,413 11,950 11,950

745 Oceania 751 811 735 765 765

110,344 Total 110,679 113,075 113,395 124,755 128,055

Production none

85,914 North America 86,011 77,722 79,468 100,636 100,636

1 Central America 1 1 1 1 1

0 Caribbean 0 0 0 0 0

25,186 South America 22,422 20,872 23,748 17,394 17,317

146,886 European Union 132,356 124,870 119,442 150,261 150,261

5,438 Other Europe 4,176 4,331 4,379 4,615 4,615


42,771 Middle East 42,975 41,758 39,912 32,705 32,796

17,166 North Africa 15,178 18,576 13,948 16,005 14,588


93,221 East Asia 98,652 109,669 110,590 114,228 114,241

96,326 South Asia 96,034 95,881 105,075 103,900 103,900

130 Southeast Asia 150 140 147 145 145

22,161 Oceania 25,466 11,099 14,115 21,777 21,777

625,577 Total 619,563 595,620 609,063 684,429 682,054

Domestic Consumption none

46,023 North America 45,664 46,188 40,538 48,034 48,606

1,420 Central America 1,463 1,369 1,315 1,415 1,415

2,034 Caribbean 1,926 1,819 2,037 2,075 2,075

23,079 South America 24,187 23,872 23,953 24,730 24,530

123,220 European Union 127,525 125,500 117,736 129,500 127,500

6,018 Other Europe 5,897 5,450 5,558 5,660 5,660


49,683 Middle East 50,361 51,323 50,671 52,045 52,045

32,308 North Africa 33,514 33,895 35,494 35,725 35,925


114,117 East Asia 114,094 113,995 115,616 119,330 119,095

100,951 South Asia 100,319 104,998 108,732 109,850 109,950

10,929 Southeast Asia 11,565 11,714 11,110 11,895 11,895

6,822 Oceania 7,341 8,349 7,097 7,390 7,390

605,242 Total 616,641 617,638 611,110 647,899 645,254

Ending Stocks none

22,997 North America 25,555 19,631 13,347 26,469 27,533

185 Central America 185 150 149 225 225

20 Caribbean 20 20 20 20 20

3,833 South America 4,250 4,654 4,197 2,774 3,364

27,496 European Union 23,391 14,025 10,401 17,662 18,662

1,773 Other Europe 1,336 1,121 1,107 1,252 1,252


12,619 Middle East 13,431 11,909 10,422 10,175 11,018

10,520 North Africa 10,511 11,233 11,176 10,801 10,214


41,220 East Asia 36,606 40,844 43,725 49,178 49,226

7,313 South Asia 6,078 7,067 9,171 9,351 9,551

2,152 Southeast Asia 2,201 2,455 2,179 1,904 1,904

6,949 Oceania 9,795 4,608 4,838 5,970 5,970

151,073 Total 147,756 128,181 122,382 155,851 158,103


April 2009

Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks (Continued)


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08

Mar

2008/09

Apr

2008/09

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are reported

using local marketing years.


April 2009

RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

U.S. - Thai Price Spread FallsOff the Chart in 2009

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

200

1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009

$ MT

Average March Difference (U.S. minus Thai Quotes)

Quotes Change Direction

500

520

540

560

580

600

620

640

660

1/6/2009 1/27/2009 2/17/2009 3/10/2009 3/31/2009

$ MT

US #2/4% Thai 100B

PRICES: Prices continue to behave erratically. After heading in opposite directions in January and February, quotes for Thai 100B and U.S. #2/4 are converging once again. Over the past month, Thai quotes fell $26 per MT, FOB, to $593 while U.S. quotes rose $22 to $544. For the past four weeks, U.S. quotes averaged $85 below Thai quotes, whereas for that same 4 week period over the past 2 decades, the spread was always positive and averaged $73. It should be noted, however, that Thai 100B is not being exported at these prices, as most of the rice is entering the government’s intervention program. SELECTED IMPORT CHANGES FOR 2009

• Brazil is raised 115,000 tons to 615,000 as imports from Argentina and Uruguay displace

domestic supplies. • Venezuela is lowered 95,000 tons to 150,000 due to economic conditions and large

inventories from record imports in 2008.

• Vietnam is raised 100,000 tons to 400,000 based on additional cross border deliveries from Cambodia.


11


April 2009

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

ExportsEnding Stocks

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

mmt

India's Ending Rice Stocks Grow While Exports Wither

Despite rising stocks, India’s exports are falling. India has imposed restrictions on its rice exports to ensure market supplies and dampen rising domestic prices. On one hand, that decision ensures adequate domestic supplies, with the intention of dampening internal prices. But, on the other hand, the export restrictions hurt exporters and low prices hurt producers because low prices tend to be a disincentive to production. Hence, India’s policy is short-sighted and may sacrifice the long term goal to be self sufficient. The irony is that despite these restrictions, domestic prices are not coming down. Retail prices in New Delhi are still relatively high at 21.00 Rs/kg compared to 18.00Rs/kg this time last year. Reportedly, procured supplies will not be released onto the domestic or global markets until after the national elections. Since India is the third-largest exporter, the release of additional supplies might dampen prices.


12


April 2009

World Rice Trade

January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Mar

2008/09

Apr

none

TY Exports

500500408436487348 Argentina

300300511201291272 Brazil

5005005413147190 Burma, Union of

400400500450350200 Cambodia

1,3001,3009691,3401,216656 China, Peoples Republic of

100100251003085 Ecuador

8008004501,2099581,095 Egypt

150150144139144201 EU-27

220220210210250182 Guyana

2,5002,5003,3006,3014,5374,687 India

200200200200200200 Japan

4,0004,0003,0002,6963,5793,032 Pakistan

9,0009,00010,0119,5577,3767,274 Thailand

800800634734812762 Uruguay

5,2005,2004,6494,5224,7055,174 Vietnam

4403725198641,200974 Others

26,41026,34226,07128,99026,18225,332 Subtotal

3,1003,1003,3753,0293,3073,863 United States

29,51029,44229,44632,01929,48929,195 World Total

none

TY Imports

1,0001,0001,6581,570531785 Bangladesh

615500410684691548 Brazil

300300300300309350 Cameroon

345345365341333321 Canada

330330295472654609 China, Peoples Republic of

8008009801,100750850 Cote d'Ivoire

600600555574594736 Cuba

1,2001,2001,4331,3421,0831,058 EU-27

350350350340441450 Ghana

300300300292399328 Haiti

350350399348309347 Hong Kong

8008003502,000539500 Indonesia

1,4001,4001,1001,1441,251983 Iran

1,0001,0009756131,306786 Iraq

700700546642681787 Japan

8308301,020799886751 Malaysia

630650577609586553 Mexico

1,7001,7001,6001,5501,6001,777 Nigeria

2,0002,0002,5001,9001,7911,890 Philippines

1,3701,3701,3609619581,357 Saudi Arabia

7007007008501,113518 Senegal

375375320393350375 Singapore

720720665914832764 South Africa, Republic of

400300300450350320 Vietnam

325325325338250250 Yemen

7,3017,3827,4447,9857,4747,971 Others

26,44126,32726,82728,51126,06125,964 Subtotal

2,3692,4151,9682,8132,7952,812 Unaccounted

700700651695633419 United States

29,51029,44229,44632,01929,48929,195 World Total


Note about dates: 2008/09 is calendar year 2009, 2007/08 is calendar year 2008, and so on.


April 2009

World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Mar

2008/09

Apr

none

Milled Production

29,70029,70028,80029,00028,75825,600 Bangladesh

8,5008,2968,1997,6957,8748,996 Brazil

9,8009,80010,73010,60010,4409,570 Burma, Union of

4,2844,2844,2213,9463,7712,630 Cambodia


4,3874,3874,3854,3834,1354,128 Egypt

98,90098,90096,69093,35091,79083,130 India

36,25036,25035,80035,30034,95934,830 Indonesia

8,0298,0007,9307,7868,2577,944 Japan


3,3003,3003,0002,9002,7002,300 Nigeria

6,3006,3005,7005,4505,5475,025 Pakistan

10,59310,65010,4799,7759,8219,425 Philippines

19,40019,40019,30018,25018,20017,360 Thailand

23,77523,50024,37522,92222,77222,716 Vietnam

31,42731,72731,33630,92230,99729,837 Others

434,588434,437425,577414,159411,203393,854 Subtotal

6,5156,5156,3446,2677,1057,462 United States

441,103440,952431,921420,426418,308401,316 World Total

none

Total Consumption

30,80030,80030,74729,76429,00026,900 Bangladesh

8,8108,7108,3807,9258,4609,074 Brazil

9,7009,70010,24910,67010,40010,300 Burma, Union of

3,9343,9343,7713,6463,5712,780 Cambodia


3,6253,6253,6603,2683,3433,250 Egypt

92,40092,40090,62086,94085,08880,861 India

36,85136,85136,35035,90035,73935,850 Indonesia

3,1253,1253,1753,1943,0253,000 Iran

8,3708,2308,1778,2508,2508,300 Japan


4,8004,8004,6504,4504,3504,250 Nigeria

13,15013,15013,49912,00010,72210,400 Philippines

9,5009,5009,6009,7809,5449,480 Thailand

19,15019,03919,40018,77518,39217,595 Vietnam

47,72047,93246,93947,65045,49745,484 Others

429,205429,376424,300417,103411,957405,375 Subtotal

4,3144,0583,9754,1023,8283,934 United States

433,519433,434428,275421,205415,785409,309 World Total

none

Ending Stocks


17,00017,00013,00011,43010,5208,500 India

4,6064,5564,4074,6073,2073,448 Indonesia

2,7152,9562,5562,4062,3951,919 Japan

3,9914,0484,5484,8685,2934,572 Philippines

3,1153,1102,2072,5103,5942,312 Thailand

1,8431,5732,0181,3921,3171,292 Vietnam

10,50210,23510,84910,50211,19510,967 Others

85,41785,10277,60073,63074,30471,941 Subtotal

7099659421,2661,3711,211 United States

86,12686,06778,54274,89675,67573,152 World Total

Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.


April 2009

Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08

Mar

2008/09

Apr

2008/09

TY Imports none

1,293 North America 1,552 1,645 1,593 1,695 1,675

531 Central America 520 533 506 505 505

1,213 Caribbean 1,111 965 1,005 1,005 1,005

964 South America 1,095 1,070 1,112 1,085 1,125

1,058 European Union 1,083 1,342 1,433 1,200 1,200

114 Other Europe 138 137 98 100 100

526 Former Soviet Union - 12 504 361 335 385 439

4,712 Middle East 5,005 4,437 5,344 5,485 5,425

261 North Africa 265 387 274 255 255


2,119 East Asia 2,017 2,318 1,620 2,096 2,096

1,202 South Asia 964 1,883 2,013 1,280 1,280

4,236 Southeast Asia 4,122 5,742 4,637 4,436 4,536

256 Oceania 269 319 393 350 350

26,383 Total 26,694 29,206 27,478 27,027 27,141

Production none

7,657 North America 7,286 6,448 6,522 6,724 6,700

509 Central America 579 550 529 566 566

760 Caribbean 685 798 843 806 806

15,777 South America 14,440 14,036 15,173 15,288 15,419

1,880 European Union 1,731 1,688 1,678 1,629 1,629

10 Other Europe 10 10 10 10 10

770 Former Soviet Union - 12 871 1,000 1,005 1,002 1,002

2,145 Middle East 2,372 2,538 2,738 2,005 2,005

4,148 North Africa 4,170 4,413 4,406 4,408 4,408


141,118 East Asia 142,492 142,661 145,101 150,933 150,962

119,009 South Asia 131,367 133,111 136,535 140,218 140,218

99,465 Southeast Asia 102,944 103,775 107,971 107,055 107,283

285 Oceania 716 163 19 73 73

401,316 Total 418,308 420,426 431,921 440,952 441,103


5,005 North America 4,936 5,231 5,099 5,228 5,474

1,076 Central America 1,080 1,088 1,114 1,091 1,091

1,990 Caribbean 1,732 1,829 1,907 1,845 1,845

14,588 South America 13,827 13,359 14,102 14,514 14,581

2,631 European Union 2,651 2,921 3,112 2,638 2,638

109 Other Europe 117 136 136 124 124


6,820 Middle East 7,430 7,245 7,286 7,554 7,554

3,531 North Africa 3,615 3,585 3,935 3,881 3,881


147,014 East Asia 144,371 144,289 143,378 147,057 147,197

115,884 South Asia 121,673 124,606 129,550 131,574 131,574

90,390 Southeast Asia 92,459 94,983 97,098 96,580 96,701

540 Oceania 550 624 541 500 500

406,709 Total 411,975 418,401 425,318 431,010 431,405

Ending Stocks none

1,385 North America 1,530 1,412 1,080 1,109 837

297 Central America 271 299 245 254 254

159 Caribbean 225 178 114 80 80

2,465 South America 2,198 2,187 2,072 1,942 2,175

1,138 European Union 1,183 1,140 1,120 1,011 1,011

50 Other Europe 60 65 75 60 60


1,497 Middle East 1,848 1,466 1,845 1,682 1,712

502 North Africa 364 370 665 647 647

1,494 Sub-Saharan Africa 1,247 1,086 954 959 959

41,916 East Asia 40,329 39,317 41,526 46,030 45,810

9,038 South Asia 11,317 12,636 14,541 18,035 18,035

12,648 Southeast Asia 14,469 14,426 14,210 14,150 14,418

431 Oceania 515 230 11 24 24

73,152 Total 75,675 74,896 78,542 86,067 86,126


April 2009

Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks (Continued)


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08

Mar

2008/09

Apr

2008/09




April 2009

COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE PRICES:

U.S. Gulf Export Bids (Monthly Average)

75100125150175200225250275300

Sep-

03

Mar

-04

Sep-

04

Mar

-05

Sep-

05

Mar

-06

Sep-

06

Mar

-07

Sep-

07

Mar

-08

Sep-

08

Mar

-09

$/M

T

Sorghum (Texas Gulf) Corn

Domestic: U.S. corn export prices averaged $168 per ton in March, up slightly from the prior month. U.S. sales and shipments picked up despite brisk competitor shipments, and continued weak demand overseas. Sorghum, on the other hand, was up about $10 per ton from February amidst strong shipments during the month. CORN TRADE CHANGES IN 2008/09 Selected Exporters

• Brazil is down 500,000 tons to 9.5 million on slow sales and shipments, price competitiveness from other suppliers (United States, Russia, and Ukraine) and continued sluggish global demand.

• Russia and Ukraine are both boosted to record levels (1.0 million and 4.5 million tons,

respectively) on brisk trade to North Africa and the Middle East. Selected Importers

• Chile imports are boosted 200,000 tons to a record 1.8 million based on reduced crop prospects and firm demand.

• Indonesia is slashed 400,000 tons to just 100,000, the lowest in nearly 20 years, with

ample domestic supplies, soft demand, and increased use of distillers dried grains (DDG).

• Iran is raised 200,000 tons to 2.7 million in light of last year’s smaller crop and reports of brisk import demand.

• Mexico is cut 500,000 tons to 7.0 million because of stagnant livestock production, slow

import demand, and increased use of DDGs.

• Venezuela is raised 200,000 tons to 750,000 with strong U.S. sales and shipments.



April 2009

World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Mar

2008/09

Apr

none

TY Exports

8,2558,25517,75417,19111,24314,371 Argentina

4,5004,4303,8901,9935,6144,996 Australia

9,70010,2008,0278,1892,8261,457 Brazil

4,3504,3506,3793,7874,0103,217 Canada

6,4006,4004,6795,4953,6495,954 EU-27

1,0001,0001,4681,9811,314386 Paraguay


1,0051,005105859nrnr Serbia


9,9009,4005,9233,9417,4446,465 Ukraine

4,0713,8859,6999,4628,09710,599 Others

55,00654,35060,48555,19047,07650,532 Subtotal

47,70047,70068,40759,15761,44350,692 United States

102,706102,050128,892114,347108,519101,224 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,0552,0552,5212,6222,1382,273 Algeria

7557551,2621,4961,096745 Brazil

1,7251,7253,2012,2852,0292,339 Canada

2,0001,8001,9921,7661,6781,189 Chile


3,0503,0503,5753,7143,3802,516 Colombia

700700700672687569 Costa Rica

1,0001,0001,0001,2121,0681,031 Dominican Republic

4,0104,0104,1714,8454,4185,405 Egypt

2,4552,45519,8928,7382,8832,906 EU-27

4,4004,2003,9003,6002,8873,849 Iran

1,4751,4751,7811,6841,5881,700 Israel

19,53519,53519,21019,66819,76519,709 Japan

1,0001,0008001,1861,234938 Jordan


800800750586713693 Libya

2,0002,0002,5002,3632,5172,406 Malaysia

9,52510,02510,99311,0359,9308,975 Mexico

2,0552,0552,2182,1501,9711,989 Morocco

1,5001,5001,5691,6501,5481,366 Peru

8,7008,7009,8007,5778,5727,724 Saudi Arabia

2,6002,6002,4611,9571,8682,281 Syria

3,6753,6754,3654,4024,7354,757 Taiwan

1,4001,4001,4001,5191,2301,228 Tunisia

7505501,103534152107 Venezuela

11,91012,15513,06713,10813,33510,644 Others

96,77596,915124,775110,328102,27898,127 Subtotal

2,9032,1074541,4143,946855 Unaccounted

3,0283,0283,6632,6052,2952,242 United States

102,706102,050128,892114,347108,519101,224 World Total



April 2009

World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Mar

2008/09

Apr

none

Production

17,97318,67326,95327,03819,35324,902 Argentina

11,05711,05711,5496,58313,52711,409 Australia

53,21452,21461,34453,18444,16737,874 Brazil

27,19027,19027,82223,14524,93925,602 Canada


9,23611,1008,3027,9287,1795,763 Ethiopia

160,116160,116136,524137,439146,267166,579 EU-27

37,47037,47040,63033,81034,04033,560 India

7,7507,7507,5006,7006,5007,200 Indonesia

32,28032,18030,78029,14025,83328,947 Mexico

26,60026,60024,00026,00024,70023,200 Nigeria


12,50812,50813,6957,7607,31112,209 South Africa, Republic of

10,31510,3959,48010,89611,95511,055 Turkey

26,22026,22014,58519,17518,14023,000 Ukraine

126,036126,732124,982126,668120,604116,114 Others

771,465774,005726,576704,764679,811695,266 Subtotal

326,088326,088349,861279,998298,710319,378 United States

1,097,5531,100,0931,076,437984,762978,5211,014,644 World Total

none

Domestic Consumption

9,62310,0239,9789,5239,4739,058 Argentina

47,33447,33445,38943,30442,21741,558 Brazil

23,40523,40524,01024,50422,85422,949 Canada


11,37011,37011,47711,80111,16312,364 Egypt

9,31711,1258,2437,9127,1055,763 Ethiopia

149,850149,850154,200147,872147,541152,589 EU-27

36,50036,57035,50032,52033,80033,240 India

19,73719,73719,33919,82020,09219,878 Japan

41,11041,51040,43039,92537,58738,276 Mexico

26,45026,45024,00025,75024,45022,950 Nigeria



10,57010,65011,01511,60111,46211,514 Turkey

13,97013,97012,16013,37511,99015,200 Ukraine

186,978187,514188,131185,566180,583170,892 Others

791,455793,859781,106768,990746,750737,337 Subtotal

279,609278,775274,601242,798245,022240,177 United States

1,071,0641,072,6341,055,7071,011,788991,772977,514 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

9,9118,91112,9763,7533,1674,380 Brazil

5,1775,1774,0163,5026,3476,351 Canada


19,56219,56213,04115,13122,26825,121 EU-27

5,2005,0004,6053,3913,3365,395 Mexico



35,83637,24334,37635,50635,54035,448 Others

138,263138,569114,556102,711111,144120,362 Subtotal

47,84148,65345,05936,17454,76758,800 United States

186,104187,222159,615138,885165,911179,162 World Total


April 2009

Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08

Apr

2008/09

TY Imports none

13,210 North America 13,556 14,254 15,925 17,857 14,278

2,178 Central America 2,405 2,803 2,906 2,654 2,850

1,634 Caribbean 1,913 1,969 2,227 2,210 2,110

6,383 South America 6,460 8,767 10,230 10,443 8,870

7,699 European Union 2,906 2,883 8,738 19,894 2,455

817 Other Europe 575 686 912 1,067 890

1,453 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,080 1,110 892 961 640

16,354 Middle East 17,944 17,580 18,476 21,400 20,240

8,275 North Africa 11,588 10,470 11,722 11,060 10,320


35,927 East Asia 35,666 35,610 34,140 34,444 31,235

32 South Asia 44 52 51 134 10

4,046 Southeast Asia 3,499 4,897 4,458 4,032 3,445

14 Oceania 27 43 10 36 25

99,688 Total 100,369 104,573 112,933 128,438 99,803

Production none

331,164 North America 373,927 349,482 332,283 408,463 385,558

3,251 Central America 2,925 2,949 3,080 3,344 3,387

835 Caribbean 869 784 771 785 785

73,292 South America 73,029 73,860 92,141 100,158 82,127

131,714 European Union 166,579 146,267 137,439 136,524 160,116

9,241 Other Europe 12,757 12,720 11,720 9,533 12,137


17,935 Middle East 18,876 19,998 19,060 17,381 15,933

11,757 North Africa 11,786 9,371 11,211 9,644 10,011


126,223 East Asia 140,518 149,899 161,399 161,318 175,074

42,364 South Asia 39,291 40,395 40,020 46,925 43,428

19,512 Southeast Asia 21,583 21,700 22,688 25,053 25,265

15,471 Oceania 12,034 14,174 7,230 12,196 11,704

915,704 Total 1,014,644 978,521 984,762 1,076,437 1,097,553


286,577 North America 301,402 305,463 307,227 339,041 344,124

5,115 Central America 5,480 5,560 5,975 6,006 6,275

2,412 Caribbean 2,725 2,784 2,886 3,043 3,030

60,510 South America 65,789 68,123 71,048 74,859 75,843

145,241 European Union 152,589 147,541 147,872 154,202 149,850

10,761 Other Europe 12,132 12,104 11,695 10,916 11,145


34,353 Middle East 34,919 36,525 37,886 37,719 36,953

18,596 North Africa 21,816 20,816 22,027 21,037 20,930


175,536 East Asia 177,078 182,814 188,959 191,733 193,010

40,460 South Asia 38,889 40,064 38,797 42,020 42,458

21,788 Southeast Asia 23,948 25,676 26,648 27,661 27,690

7,339 Oceania 7,428 7,890 6,660 7,081 7,897

941,878 Total 977,163 988,907 1,007,464 1,054,231 1,070,001

Ending Stocks none

38,607 North America 70,546 64,450 43,067 53,680 58,218

734 Central America 593 704 713 718 670

120 Caribbean 177 146 258 210 75

12,219 South America 9,653 7,783 9,083 18,256 14,435

13,012 European Union 25,121 22,268 15,131 13,041 19,562

1,070 Other Europe 1,600 1,484 1,495 1,033 1,660


6,552 Middle East 7,688 8,475 8,359 8,107 7,917

2,438 North Africa 3,617 2,657 3,163 2,292 2,093


50,239 East Asia 41,725 40,608 41,824 44,900 57,674

1,575 South Asia 1,543 1,401 1,455 1,581 1,916

1,987 Southeast Asia 2,059 2,533 2,177 2,131 1,984

2,238 Oceania 2,294 3,013 1,646 2,373 2,005

142,032 Total 179,162 165,911 138,885 159,615 186,104


April 2009

Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks (Continued)


2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08

Apr

2008/09




April 2009

World Corn Trade


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Mar

2008/09

Apr

none

TY Exports

7,0007,00015,64415,69310,70713,752 Argentina

9,50010,0007,8838,0712,8261,431 Brazil

500500944322239244 Canada

5005005495,2693,7277,589 China, Peoples Republic of

2,0002,000591664449678 EU-27

1,0001,0001,4681,9811,314386 Paraguay

1,00060049775344 Russian Federation

1,0001,000100854nrnr Serbia


4,5004,0002,0741,0272,4642,334 Ukraine

2,6062,3007,0562,5973,3112,642 Others

32,10631,40037,48236,98626,49630,617 Subtotal

44,00044,00060,75754,21456,08445,347 United States

76,10675,40098,23991,20082,58075,964 World Total

none

TY Imports

1,9001,9002,1662,4632,0612,145 Algeria

1,6001,6003,1172,2261,9622,237 Canada

1,8001,6001,6241,5081,5991,081 Chile

2,8002,8003,2673,3863,1512,256 Colombia

700700700672687569 Costa Rica

700700800646501546 Cuba

1,0001,0001,0001,2121,0681,031 Dominican Republic

4,0004,0004,1514,8264,3975,398 Egypt

600600600622521513 El Salvador

2,0002,00014,0167,0562,6342,469 EU-27

700700617764751641 Guatemala

2,7002,5002,9003,3002,3002,558 Iran

1,0001,0001,3741,3111,1281,242 Israel

16,50016,50016,61416,71316,61716,485 Japan

600600125294231 Kenya


2,0002,0002,5002,3632,5172,406 Malaysia

7,0007,5009,5568,9446,7875,945 Mexico

1,7001,7001,9001,6831,4911,423 Morocco

1,4001,4001,4691,5281,4671,301 Peru

1,7001,7002,0001,5771,4721,224 Saudi Arabia

1,6001,6001,6111,7291,2561,781 Syria

3,5003,5004,2004,2834,5334,562 Taiwan

700700900653624714 Tunisia

7505501,103534152106 Venezuela

8,2658,61010,40111,31611,2038,117 Others

73,71573,96098,02990,05479,46175,619 Subtotal

2,0911,140-2928272,90964 Unaccounted

300300502319210281 United States

76,10675,40098,23991,20082,58075,964 World Total



April 2009

World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Mar

2008/09

Apr

none

Production

13,50013,50022,00022,50015,80020,500 Argentina

50,50049,50058,60051,00041,70035,000 Brazil

10,60010,60011,6498,9909,3328,837 Canada


6,2176,1756,1746,1495,9325,840 Egypt

61,35761,35747,66653,82960,66866,471 EU-27

17,00017,00018,96015,10014,71014,180 India

7,7507,7507,5006,7006,5007,200 Indonesia

25,00025,00023,60022,35019,50022,050 Mexico

7,9007,9006,5007,8007,0006,500 Nigeria

6,9006,8447,2776,2315,8845,050 Philippines


6,0006,0004,0546,415nrnr Serbia


11,40011,4007,4006,4007,1508,800 Ukraine

70,84272,59168,94167,58672,52568,916 Others

479,066479,717459,735443,550416,201414,850 Subtotal

307,386307,386331,177267,503282,263299,876 United States

786,452787,103790,912711,053698,464714,726 World Total

none

Total Consumption

6,7006,7007,0006,7006,2005,200 Argentina

44,50044,50042,50041,00039,50038,500 Brazil

11,50011,50013,76911,44210,80810,311 Canada


10,30010,30010,40010,70010,10011,300 Egypt

60,50060,50063,50062,30061,50063,200 EU-27

16,30016,30014,20013,90014,20013,900 India

7,9008,2007,7007,9007,9007,900 Indonesia

16,50016,50016,50016,50016,70016,500 Japan


31,50032,00032,00030,70027,90027,900 Mexico

7,8007,8006,5507,6006,8006,300 Nigeria

7,2007,2007,1506,5505,8005,150 Philippines


6,1006,1005,7005,2505,1006,000 Ukraine

114,155115,326113,254110,342105,607101,047 Others

510,088510,817508,368496,310473,590463,536 Subtotal

262,648261,632261,671230,674232,015224,610 United States

772,736772,449770,039726,984705,605688,146 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

9,7928,79212,7923,5923,0154,192 Brazil


5,8305,8304,9737,3829,4618,108 EU-27

1,8372,0472,1372,2471,6471,552 Iran


4,5314,3314,1313,0842,7074,529 Mexico


20,08721,35019,14519,70518,92618,587 Others

100,136100,40988,35775,62574,70278,114 Subtotal

43,19244,20841,25533,11449,96853,697 United States

143,328144,617129,612108,739124,670131,811 World Total


April 2009

Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08

Mar

2008/09

Apr

2008/09

TY Imports none

8,463 North America 8,959 11,489 13,175 9,400 8,900

2,401 Central America 2,803 2,906 2,654 2,850 2,850

1,913 Caribbean 1,969 2,227 2,210 2,110 2,110

5,738 South America 8,158 9,141 9,289 7,620 8,020

2,469 European Union 2,634 7,056 14,016 2,000 2,000

422 Other Europe 410 575 572 475 475


8,039 Middle East 7,381 10,270 10,148 8,125 8,375

10,112 North Africa 9,044 10,136 9,717 8,900 8,900


30,099 East Asia 29,954 29,860 30,498 26,925 26,925

40 South Asia 33 48 134 10 10

3,492 Southeast Asia 4,890 4,449 4,005 3,825 3,425

3 Oceania 23 9 31 0 0

75,900 Total 79,671 90,373 98,531 74,260 74,015

Production none

330,763 North America 311,095 298,843 366,426 342,986 342,986

2,595 Central America 2,642 2,754 3,018 3,061 3,061

741 Caribbean 656 643 657 657 657

63,565 South America 65,826 83,335 90,492 72,449 72,936

66,471 European Union 60,668 53,829 47,666 61,357 61,357

10,199 Other Europe 10,333 9,350 7,239 9,835 9,835


5,656 Middle East 6,439 5,183 5,083 6,644 6,309

6,042 North Africa 6,134 6,351 6,376 6,377 6,419


132,081 East Asia 141,106 153,453 154,032 167,271 167,271

18,871 South Asia 19,920 20,115 23,980 21,870 21,870

21,330 Southeast Asia 21,445 22,455 24,816 25,344 25,025

482 Oceania 552 412 559 572 572

714,726 Total 698,464 711,053 790,912 787,103 786,452


262,821 North America 270,723 272,816 307,440 305,132 305,648

5,125 Central America 5,250 5,650 5,675 5,950 5,950

2,597 Caribbean 2,656 2,758 2,915 2,902 2,902

56,283 South America 59,649 63,272 66,295 67,545 67,545

63,200 European Union 61,500 62,300 63,500 60,500 60,500

9,474 Other Europe 9,426 8,995 8,130 8,435 8,435


13,202 Middle East 13,526 14,498 15,393 14,903 14,678

15,702 North Africa 14,871 16,061 15,800 15,700 15,700


163,073 East Asia 168,788 176,719 180,256 180,665 180,665

18,508 South Asia 19,319 18,982 19,445 21,170 21,170

23,710 Southeast Asia 25,422 26,413 27,419 28,150 27,450

510 Oceania 545 440 495 550 545

687,184 Total 703,909 723,991 768,738 772,958 772,003

Ending Stocks none

60,028 North America 54,676 37,535 46,843 50,196 49,380

577 Central America 687 695 705 656 656

177 Caribbean 146 258 210 75 75

8,634 South America 7,137 8,305 17,569 12,604 13,545

8,108 European Union 9,461 7,382 4,973 5,830 5,830

1,254 Other Europe 1,167 1,156 709 1,472 1,334


2,625 Middle East 2,751 3,465 3,377 3,391 3,373

1,061 North Africa 1,314 1,584 1,607 1,384 1,426


39,863 East Asia 38,352 39,775 43,400 56,531 56,531

833 South Asia 946 919 1,117 1,479 1,407

2,036 Southeast Asia 2,516 2,171 2,130 2,179 1,983

33 Oceania 38 42 49 58 51

131,811 Total 124,670 108,739 129,612 144,617 143,328


April 2009

Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks (Continued)


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08

Mar

2008/09

Apr

2008/09




April 2009

World Barley Trade


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Mar

2008/09

Apr

none

TY Exports

750750937537309338 Argentina

3,5003,5003,3771,9275,2314,481 Australia

1,6001,6002,9471,3371,8761,476 Canada


4,0004,0003,8884,3892,5874,240 EU-27

505037513100 India

60060080060623976 Kazakhstan, Republic of


5555nrnr Serbia

5,3005,3003,8142,9104,9263,992 Ukraine

60601001123720 Uruguay

008530060580 Others

18,09018,09017,68613,99417,21016,194 Subtotal

350350901528357771 United States

18,44018,44018,58714,52217,56716,965 World Total

none

TY Imports

250250300291153182 Brazil


225225250243198234 Colombia

200200519167168212 EU-27

1,7001,7001,0003005871,291 Iran

3003000000 Iraq

300300250224314313 Israel

1,4001,4001,3611,3591,4171,522 Japan

600600500804811607 Jordan

200200200200203214 Kuwait

350350313462444565 Morocco

7,0007,0007,8006,0007,1006,500 Saudi Arabia

1,0001,000850228612500 Syria

700700500866606514 Tunisia

350350250575269 Turkey

1,9351,9352,0861,5511,7851,607 Others

17,51017,51017,27013,87916,66716,379 Subtotal

330330553289776429 Unaccounted

600600764354124157 United States

18,44018,44018,58714,52217,56716,965 World Total



April 2009

World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Mar

2008/09

Apr

none

Production

1,6001,6001,4701,265800886 Argentina

7,0007,0007,1914,2579,4837,740 Australia

2,0002,0001,7001,3501,8002,000 Belarus

11,78011,78010,9849,57311,67812,557 Canada


1,4842,1001,3551,3521,2711,320 Ethiopia

65,46565,46557,73256,22054,75264,085 EU-27

1,2301,2301,3301,2201,2001,300 India

2,0002,0003,0003,0002,8572,940 Iran


900900900900753932 Mexico

1,2721,2727632,5351,1022,760 Morocco


5,6005,6006,0007,5007,6007,400 Turkey

12,60012,6006,00011,3509,00011,100 Ukraine

7,4927,4669,0468,9128,6339,386 Others

148,623149,313128,406132,549131,629146,328 Subtotal

5,2145,2144,5753,9234,6136,091 United States

153,837154,527132,981136,472136,242152,419 World Total

none

Total Consumption

3,9003,9003,1503,7503,4503,450 Australia

1,8251,8251,7501,6501,9501,875 Belarus

9,4009,4007,91710,1899,61110,138 Canada


1,4842,1001,3551,3521,2711,320 Ethiopia

57,50057,50054,30055,70054,05054,580 EU-27

3,9003,9003,8004,0003,7573,540 Iran

1,6001,6001,6001,6501,6501,650 Japan


1,6001,6001,9002,5002,5252,625 Morocco


7,0107,0107,0106,8106,5105,610 Saudi Arabia

1,6001,6001,0501,1501,3501,350 Syria

6,0006,0006,5007,3007,3007,300 Turkey

5,8005,8005,3006,5004,9006,400 Ukraine

13,98213,98214,09914,24514,28114,106 Others

138,783139,921129,533139,309135,912136,474 Subtotal

5,1155,2244,3764,5964,5705,672 United States

143,898145,145133,909143,905140,482142,146 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

1,5931,5931,9931,3382,6821,916 Australia

2,4482,4481,5681,4923,2893,435 Canada

9,8789,8785,7135,7998,53511,063 EU-27

5705707708701,4701,276 Iran

4,6564,1569561,2268732,110 Russian Federation

3,0383,0382,9482,4582,5681,978 Saudi Arabia

1,4901,4906659601,193991 Ukraine

4,5194,4914,0875,4705,5867,221 Others

28,19227,66418,70019,61326,19629,990 Subtotal

1,9321,8011,4851,5002,3502,796 United States

30,12429,46520,18521,11328,54632,786 World Total


April 2009

Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08

Mar

2008/09

Apr

2008/09

TY Imports none

291 North America 201 475 967 825 825

538 South America 506 776 790 665 665

212 European Union 168 167 519 200 200

102 Other Europe 161 210 241 260 260


9,699 Middle East 10,051 8,023 11,060 11,685 11,685

1,473 North Africa 1,386 1,572 1,333 1,410 1,410

102 Sub-Saharan Africa 81 51 97 100 100

3,768 East Asia 3,808 2,594 2,602 2,575 2,575

0 South Asia 19 0 0 0 0

24 Oceania 20 1 5 25 25

16,536 Total 16,791 14,233 18,034 18,110 18,110

Production none

19,580 North America 17,044 14,396 16,459 17,894 17,894

2,065 South America 1,827 2,287 2,560 2,620 2,620

64,085 European Union 54,752 56,220 57,732 65,465 65,465

1,769 Other Europe 1,589 1,577 1,494 1,502 1,502


11,926 Middle East 12,335 12,520 10,927 8,310 8,291

4,719 North Africa 2,212 3,835 2,243 2,567 2,567


3,678 East Asia 3,848 3,549 3,240 3,832 3,777

1,655 South Asia 1,664 1,742 1,935 1,637 1,637

8,120 Oceania 9,883 4,657 7,591 7,400 7,400

152,419 Total 136,242 136,472 132,981 154,527 153,837


16,760 North America 15,131 15,735 13,343 15,649 15,540

2,317 South America 2,178 2,214 2,400 2,285 2,285

54,580 European Union 54,050 55,700 54,300 57,500 57,500

1,815 Other Europe 1,761 1,771 1,735 1,760 1,760


20,211 Middle East 21,622 21,902 20,750 20,750 20,750

5,089 North Africa 4,880 4,931 4,202 4,195 4,195


7,457 East Asia 7,484 6,218 5,910 6,235 6,235

1,655 South Asia 1,664 1,742 1,605 1,407 1,407

3,850 Oceania 3,850 4,175 3,560 4,325 4,325

143,016 Total 139,475 143,342 134,407 144,841 143,616

Ending Stocks none

6,470 North America 5,712 3,082 3,143 4,339 4,470

331 South America 163 288 207 397 397

11,063 European Union 8,535 5,799 5,713 9,878 9,878

295 Other Europe 268 288 267 264 264


5,027 Middle East 5,688 4,833 4,682 4,440 4,508

2,516 North Africa 1,303 1,539 645 627 627


836 East Asia 1,005 881 732 864 824

30 South Asia 49 49 31 61 61

1,981 Oceania 2,767 1,399 2,024 1,624 1,624

32,786 Total 28,546 21,113 20,185 29,465 30,124




April 2009

World Sorghum Trade


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Mar

2008/09

Apr

none

TY Exports

5005001,172959226279 Argentina

85085033525190370 Australia

200200114116024 Brazil


2525918424 India

505050505050 Nigeria


5050143731614 Others

1,8001,8502,1531,400535825 Subtotal

3,3003,3006,6864,3804,9614,541 United States

5,1005,1508,8395,7805,4965,366 World Total

none

TY Imports

1501502681894671 Chile

100030000 Ethiopia

2002005,2671,47477218 EU-27

100100150784434 Israel

1,3501,3501,0841,2761,3931,374 Japan

2,3002,3001,1561,9543,0292,931 Mexico

505050505050 Niger

5050131258518 Somalia

300300304300211160 Sudan

505065646961 Taiwan

135130304213331301 Others

4,7854,6808,8095,6235,3355,218 Subtotal

31246729155161147 Unaccounted

331201 United States

5,1005,1508,8395,7805,4965,366 World Total



April 2009

World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Mar

2008/09

Apr

none

Production

2,3003,0002,9402,8002,3302,900 Argentina

2,4002,4003,0721,2831,9292,011 Australia

2,0002,0002,0001,5001,5432,051 Brazil

1,8001,5951,5071,5161,8371,400 Burkina


900900900900900900 Egypt

2,6193,3002,6592,3162,1741,716 Ethiopia

521521522560489499 EU-27

7,2407,2407,9307,1507,6307,240 India

6,3006,2006,2005,8105,5005,890 Mexico

1,000975930800750500 Niger

11,00011,00010,00010,50010,50010,000 Nigeria

4,7004,7004,5005,2004,2752,700 Sudan

900900900850890820 Tanzania, United Republic of

490490490490450400 Uganda

4,4424,4534,1534,4004,1684,218 Others

50,41251,67450,62348,25847,91145,573 Subtotal

11,99811,99812,6367,0329,97611,522 United States

62,41063,67263,25955,29057,88757,095 World Total

none

Total Consumption

1,7002,1001,8001,7002,3002,600 Argentina

1,9051,9052,1551,2051,8951,755 Australia

1,8751,8751,8751,3751,5932,100 Brazil

1,8001,5951,5071,5161,8371,400 Burkina


900900900900900900 Egypt

2,7003,3252,6002,3002,1001,716 Ethiopia

1,1001,1006,1001,275683521 EU-27

7,2007,2707,9007,1007,5007,200 India

1,3501,3501,0841,3501,4001,400 Japan

8,4008,3007,2008,1008,6009,300 Mexico

1,0501,0251,025825750550 Niger

10,95010,9509,95010,45010,4509,950 Nigeria

4,9804,9805,2054,9534,2503,500 Sudan

900900900850890820 Tanzania, United Republic of

5,4205,4255,5275,3795,1664,994 Others

54,23954,91458,08752,01152,73851,105 Subtotal

8,3838,3835,0594,0124,8186,254 United States

62,62263,29763,14656,02357,55657,359 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

260520160180161328 Argentina

19840017990740 Ethiopia

19817718324720680 India

105105105105179186 Japan

573573373217553624 Mexico

200200200200200200 Nigeria

5365365411,042547313 Sudan

6206661,4771,5501,5901,670 Others

2,6903,1773,2183,6313,5103,401 Subtotal

1,6561,6561,3408141,6681,446 United States

4,3464,8334,5584,4455,1784,847 World Total


April 2009

Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08

Mar

2008/09

Apr

2008/09

TY Imports none

2,932 North America 3,029 1,956 1,157 2,303 2,303



158 South America 72 280 313 155 155

218 European Union 77 1,474 5,267 200 200

0 Other Europe 0 0 132 25 25

34 Middle East 44 78 150 100 100

0 North Africa 35 0 0 0 0


1,450 East Asia 1,485 1,349 1,174 1,420 1,425

4 South Asia 0 3 0 0 0

7 Southeast Asia 7 9 27 20 20

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

5,219 Total 5,335 5,625 8,810 4,683 4,788

Production none

17,412 North America 15,476 12,842 18,836 18,198 18,298

330 Central America 307 326 326 326 326

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

5,874 South America 4,794 5,122 5,664 5,799 5,099

499 European Union 489 560 522 521 521

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0

568 Middle East 494 671 695 675 675

915 North Africa 915 915 915 915 915


2,341 East Asia 2,554 2,191 1,940 2,020 1,820

7,426 South Asia 7,783 7,305 8,081 7,385 7,385


2,011 Oceania 1,929 1,283 3,072 2,400 2,400

57,095 Total 57,887 55,290 63,259 63,672 62,410


15,554 North America 13,418 12,112 12,259 16,683 16,783

355 Central America 310 325 331 325 325

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

5,679 South America 4,874 4,170 4,717 4,941 4,541

521 European Union 683 1,275 6,100 1,100 1,100

0 Other Europe 0 0 132 25 25

610 Middle East 538 724 858 787 787

915 North Africa 950 915 915 915 915


3,786 East Asia 3,784 3,475 3,287 3,239 3,589

7,387 South Asia 7,653 7,255 8,051 7,415 7,345


1,755 Oceania 1,895 1,205 2,155 1,905 1,905

57,260 Total 57,432 55,340 62,887 63,183 62,763

Ending Stocks none

2,070 North America 2,221 1,031 1,713 2,229 2,229



570 South America 371 378 353 626 366

234 European Union 90 23 249 70 70


36 Middle East 36 61 48 36 36

39 North Africa 39 39 39 39 39

773 Sub-Saharan Africa 1,037 1,584 1,130 1,321 1,113

892 East Asia 1,121 1,042 646 242 202

80 South Asia 206 247 183 177 198


114 Oceania 23 16 183 78 78

4,847 Total 5,178 4,445 4,558 4,833 4,346


April 2009

Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks (Continued)


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08

Mar

2008/09

Apr

2008/09




April 2009

World Oats Trade


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Mar

2008/09

Apr

none

TY Exports

551212 Argentina

757517441191137 Australia

2,2002,2002,3211,9211,7541,374 Canada

252525412729 Chile

150150133124231356 EU-27


002513521 Others

2,4602,4602,6892,1512,2141,924 Subtotal


2,5002,5002,7422,1842,2541,955 World Total

none

TY Imports

555942 Algeria

555456 Bosnia and Herzegovina

252517182116 Canada


252525182626 Colombia

55251450 Ecuador

552521 EU-27

606068625967 Japan

100100131578351 Mexico

555511 Morocco

50505059482 Norway


505056424826 Switzerland

00112307 Others

380380431338338260 Subtotal

12012067528566 Unaccounted

2,0002,0002,2441,7941,8311,629 United States

2,5002,5002,7422,1842,2541,955 World Total



April 2009

World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Mar

2008/09

Apr

none

Production

808080808080 Algeria

500500470400350508 Argentina

1,2001,2008437481,6901,283 Australia

900900600550600770 Belarus

475475475475517433 Brazil

4,2704,2704,6963,8523,2833,467 Canada

380380380380420425 Chile


8,9528,9528,8237,7687,9689,146 EU-27


360360360360360359 Norway


120120120120nrnr Serbia

200290200210270270 Turkey

9509505507008001,000 Ukraine

417417417443546537 Others

25,36425,45424,17421,72622,17423,968 Subtotal

1,2871,2871,3131,3571,6671,679 United States

26,65126,74125,48723,08323,84125,647 World Total

none

Total Consumption

500500455400350500 Argentina

9909907407101,4801,175 Australia

725725600550650700 Belarus

475475475475515425 Brazil

2,0502,0501,9332,2831,9661,978 Canada

350350350350400400 Chile


8,7508,7508,7007,6477,8688,719 EU-27


185185180175137126 Mexico

410410410420410360 Norway


120120120120nrnr Serbia

200290210210270270 Turkey

9509505257008001,000 Ukraine

592592610608725703 Others

22,61922,70921,75820,22220,97822,089 Subtotal

3,1433,2163,1613,1793,2873,297 United States

25,76225,92524,91923,40124,26525,386 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

828287778283 Argentina

252252117189185166 Australia

20020025252575 Belarus

995995950556872974 Canada


837837780804772906 EU-27

590590190190190240 Russian Federation

164164159132130156 Others

3,2143,2142,4072,0742,3632,709 Subtotal

1,051978969734763841 United States

4,2654,1923,3762,8083,1263,550 World Total


April 2009

Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08

Mar

2008/09

Apr

2008/09

TY Imports none

1,696 North America 1,935 1,869 2,392 2,125 2,125

26 South America 31 33 51 30 30

1 European Union 2 5 2 5 5

34 Other Europe 101 105 111 105 105


0 Middle East 0 16 10 0 0

3 North Africa 5 14 10 10 10


80 East Asia 77 71 81 80 80

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

1,889 Total 2,169 2,132 2,675 2,380 2,380

Production none

5,221 North America 5,030 5,289 6,089 5,637 5,637

1,397 South America 1,316 1,303 1,348 1,378 1,378

9,146 European Union 7,968 7,768 8,823 8,952 8,952

628 Other Europe 637 637 637 637 637


270 Middle East 270 210 200 290 200

110 North Africa 110 110 110 110 110


602 East Asia 602 602 602 602 602

1,358 Oceania 1,765 823 918 1,275 1,275

25,647 Total 23,841 23,083 25,487 26,741 26,651


5,401 North America 5,390 5,637 5,274 5,451 5,378

1,382 South America 1,325 1,298 1,353 1,378 1,378

8,719 European Union 7,868 7,647 8,700 8,750 8,750

664 Other Europe 739 752 742 737 737


270 Middle East 270 210 210 290 200

110 North Africa 115 120 120 120 120


677 East Asia 683 677 685 687 687

1,250 Oceania 1,555 785 815 1,065 1,065

25,298 Total 24,213 23,477 24,634 25,783 25,620

Ending Stocks none

1,818 North America 1,638 1,290 1,930 1,979 2,052

118 South America 112 112 127 127 127

906 European Union 772 804 780 837 837

50 Other Europe 48 51 57 62 62



1 North Africa 1 1 1 1 1


114 East Asia 110 106 104 99 99

166 Oceania 185 189 117 252 252

3,550 Total 3,126 2,808 3,376 4,192 4,265




April 2009

World Rye Trade


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Mar

2008/09

Apr

none

TY Exports

5050150755050 Belarus

5050167207141123 Canada

25025059313381677 EU-27


10010010049122 Ukraine

003000 Others

550550475659621972 Subtotal


560560485661622974 World Total

none

TY Imports

5050883626 EU-27

7575771102111 Israel

22522583258279261 Japan

556878 Korea, Republic of

2020416413 Norway

555492 Switzerland

552518261 Turkey

00182372189 Others

385385236434477651 Subtotal

5050979115149 Unaccounted

125125152136130174 United States

560560485661622974 World Total



April 2009

World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Mar

2008/09

Apr

none

Production


1,6001,6001,3001,2001,1501,400 Belarus

320320233383330398 Canada

9,1799,1797,6206,5417,68810,031 EU-27


250240265271270270 Turkey

1,0501,0505506001,0501,600 Ukraine

187187187180188184 Others

17,14117,13114,11012,23014,33116,822 Subtotal

203203160183191210 United States

17,34417,33414,27012,41314,52217,032 World Total

none

Total Consumption


1,3001,3001,2001,1251,1001,325 Belarus

235235131243153179 Canada

7,9007,9007,8007,4008,62010,135 EU-27

7575771102111 Israel

22522585258279261 Japan

575744534151 Norway


255245290276277329 Turkey

9009005508001,0501,300 Ukraine

160160162156186169 Others

15,40915,32414,20313,69815,44917,321 Subtotal

320320334337332344 United States

15,72915,64414,53714,03515,78117,665 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

364364114164164164 Belarus

777741117185140 Canada

1,5371,5374586161,8743,156 EU-27

181818202020 Japan


1121126272267336 Ukraine

000011 Others

2,3712,4457561,0212,6373,894 Subtotal


2,3812,4557661,0332,6553,914 World Total


April 2009

Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08

Mar

2008/09

Apr

2008/09

TY Imports none

174 North America 130 136 166 125 125

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

6 European Union 2 36 90 50 50

17 Other Europe 14 22 11 25 25


172 Middle East 104 89 32 80 80


269 East Asia 286 266 89 230 230

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

825 Total 607 570 388 510 510

Production none

608 North America 521 566 393 523 523

94 South America 64 61 61 61 61

10,031 European Union 7,688 6,541 7,620 9,179 9,179

106 Other Europe 106 101 108 108 108


270 Middle East 270 271 265 240 250


0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0

20 Oceania 20 20 20 20 20

17,032 Total 14,522 12,413 14,270 17,334 17,344


523 North America 485 580 465 555 555

94 South America 64 61 61 61 61

10,135 European Union 8,620 7,400 7,802 7,900 7,900

124 Other Europe 123 122 122 133 133


440 Middle East 379 347 297 320 330


269 East Asia 286 266 91 230 230

20 Oceania 20 20 20 20 20

17,593 Total 15,795 13,874 14,408 15,597 15,682

Ending Stocks none

160 North America 203 129 51 87 87

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

3,156 European Union 1,874 616 458 1,537 1,537





20 East Asia 20 20 18 18 18

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

3,914 Total 2,655 1,033 766 2,455 2,381




April 2009

HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR SELECTED REGIONS AND COUNTRIES DG F/SA &F

CONTENTS

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand ............................................... 40 China: Grain Supply and Demand ................................................................ 41 Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................... 42 Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand........................................ 43 Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 47 Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters................................... 49 Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 51 Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters............................ 52

U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution ........................................................... 53 Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................. 54 World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ............................... 55 World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand .............................................. 56 World Rice: Supply and Demand ................................................................. 57



April 2009

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

122.4 113.252.820.44.05.024.6 1999/00 16.3

131.7 118.456.315.73.55.026.5 2000/01 17.5

123.4 118.556.512.88.74.825.9 2001/02 18.3

132.6 125.060.018.110.75.026.4 2002/03 18.5

110.6 115.152.49.87.44.524.3 2003/04 11.5

146.9 123.259.214.77.15.726.0 2004/05 27.5

132.4 127.563.015.76.85.125.8 2005/06 23.4

124.9 125.560.213.95.15.124.5 2006/07 14.0

119.4 117.752.412.36.94.824.7 2007/08 10.4

150.3 127.560.021.06.55.626.8 2008/09 18.7

Coarse Grains

147.9 140.1105.813.42.94.433.6 1999/00 22.9

139.9 139.3105.19.34.14.233.0 2000/01 18.3

150.2 143.6107.86.73.94.533.6 2001/02 22.3

148.3 144.9109.37.64.44.532.7 2002/03 22.5

131.7 145.2109.64.28.24.032.7 2003/04 13.0

166.6 152.6116.54.93.05.033.5 2004/05 25.1

146.3 147.5109.44.42.84.532.6 2005/06 22.3

137.4 147.9110.24.78.04.331.8 2006/07 15.1

136.5 154.2117.34.720.34.332.0 2007/08 13.0

160.1 149.9111.26.42.74.833.7 2008/09 19.6

Wheat and Coarse Grains

270.4 253.4158.633.86.84.658.2 1999/00 39.2

271.6 257.7161.524.97.64.659.5 2000/01 35.8

273.6 262.0164.319.412.74.659.5 2001/02 40.6

280.9 269.9169.325.715.04.759.2 2002/03 41.0

242.3 260.3162.114.015.64.357.0 2003/04 24.5

313.5 275.8175.719.610.15.359.5 2004/05 52.6

278.6 275.1172.420.09.54.858.4 2005/06 45.7

262.3 273.4170.418.613.14.756.3 2006/07 29.2

256.0 271.9169.717.027.24.556.7 2007/08 23.4

310.4 277.4171.227.49.25.160.5 2008/09 38.2


April 2009

China: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

123.3 109.14.91.21.94.130.1 1997/98 96.2

109.7 108.35.00.50.83.729.8 1998/99 97.9

113.9 109.36.50.51.03.928.9 1999/00 102.9

99.6 110.310.00.60.23.726.7 2000/01 91.9

93.9 108.79.01.51.13.824.6 2001/02 76.6

90.3 105.26.51.70.43.823.9 2002/03 60.4

86.5 104.56.02.83.73.922.0 2003/04 43.3

92.0 102.04.01.26.74.321.6 2004/05 38.8

97.4 101.53.51.41.04.322.8 2005/06 34.4

108.5 102.04.02.80.44.623.6 2006/07 38.5

109.3 104.06.02.80.14.623.7 2007/08 41.0

113.0 107.09.00.80.24.724.0 2008/09 46.4

Coarse Grains

114.7 121.687.26.21.64.128.1 1997/98 108.0

143.5 127.391.43.42.64.929.1 1998/99 123.4

137.2 128.892.710.02.34.629.6 1999/00 124.2

114.0 130.494.47.32.44.326.5 2000/01 102.8

122.2 132.996.28.62.04.427.5 2001/02 85.6

130.7 136.398.415.31.84.728.0 2002/03 66.5

124.0 138.399.17.71.54.627.1 2003/04 45.9

138.3 141.1100.37.62.14.928.2 2004/05 37.6

147.7 147.1103.23.82.35.129.1 2005/06 36.7

159.1 153.5105.05.51.25.131.4 2006/07 38.0

159.1 157.1105.80.91.24.932.2 2007/08 40.3

172.8 160.6110.80.61.15.432.1 2008/09 53.1


238.0 230.692.17.43.54.158.1 1997/98 204.2

253.2 235.696.43.93.44.358.8 1998/99 221.3

251.1 238.199.210.53.44.358.4 1999/00 227.1

213.6 240.7104.47.92.64.053.1 2000/01 194.7

216.1 241.6105.210.13.14.152.1 2001/02 162.1

221.0 241.5104.917.12.24.351.9 2002/03 126.8

210.4 242.8105.110.55.34.349.1 2003/04 89.2

230.2 243.1104.38.88.84.649.8 2004/05 76.4

245.1 248.6106.75.23.34.751.9 2005/06 71.1

267.6 255.5109.08.21.54.955.0 2006/07 76.5

268.4 261.1111.83.71.24.855.9 2007/08 81.3

285.8 267.6119.81.41.35.156.1 2008/09 99.5


April 2009

Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

5.6 6.60.50.01.33.71.5 1997/98 1.1

6.0 6.60.60.11.03.91.6 1998/99 1.5

4.2 5.70.70.11.53.31.3 1999/00 1.3

4.6 5.50.70.31.23.31.4 2000/01 1.4

4.9 5.90.90.61.83.41.4 2001/02 1.5

4.9 5.70.90.61.43.51.4 2002/03 1.4

3.9 5.50.70.11.53.11.2 2003/04 1.2

5.4 6.01.00.31.54.01.4 2004/05 1.8

4.2 5.90.90.21.53.61.1 2005/06 1.3

4.3 5.50.70.61.53.61.2 2006/07 1.1

4.4 5.60.80.81.93.71.2 2007/08 1.1

4.6 5.70.80.61.84.11.1 2008/09 1.3

Coarse Grains

12.1 12.010.70.30.54.32.8 1997/98 1.2

11.2 11.610.20.30.43.92.8 1998/99 0.9

12.2 12.511.20.30.64.42.8 1999/00 0.9

8.1 9.07.70.01.03.12.6 2000/01 1.0

10.9 11.19.80.20.84.12.7 2001/02 1.4

11.7 11.49.90.60.64.42.7 2002/03 1.8

9.2 10.89.50.10.83.52.7 2003/04 1.1

12.8 12.110.80.60.54.82.7 2004/05 1.6

12.7 12.110.71.40.74.82.7 2005/06 1.5

11.7 11.710.40.90.94.72.5 2006/07 1.5

9.5 10.99.60.11.03.62.6 2007/08 1.0

12.1 11.19.81.30.94.52.7 2008/09 1.7


17.6 18.611.20.31.94.14.3 1997/98 2.4

17.2 18.210.80.41.43.94.4 1998/99 2.4

16.4 18.211.90.32.14.14.0 1999/00 2.3

12.7 14.58.40.32.23.24.0 2000/01 2.3

15.8 17.010.70.82.63.94.1 2001/02 2.9

16.6 17.010.81.22.04.14.1 2002/03 3.2

13.1 16.310.20.22.33.43.9 2003/04 2.2

18.2 18.211.70.92.04.54.0 2004/05 3.4

16.9 18.011.61.62.14.53.8 2005/06 2.8

16.1 17.111.11.52.44.33.7 2006/07 2.6

13.9 16.510.40.93.03.73.8 2007/08 2.1

16.8 16.810.71.82.74.43.8 2008/09 2.9


April 2009

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

96.1 74.824.825.74.62.048.4 2002/03 16.2

59.9 65.317.67.97.11.540.3 2003/04 10.0

85.6 72.221.115.54.91.846.5 2004/05 12.8

90.9 75.023.521.15.51.948.5 2005/06 13.0

85.0 72.521.622.56.01.845.9 2006/07 8.9

92.7 75.623.621.96.02.047.5 2007/08 10.1

115.5 81.227.233.36.32.351.1 2008/09 17.5

Coarse Grains

60.8 52.835.08.10.71.931.4 2002/03 11.9

55.4 56.839.46.11.51.831.2 2003/04 5.9

63.0 54.737.98.11.12.031.2 2004/05 7.3

55.3 49.733.58.61.11.928.4 2005/06 5.5

58.7 51.435.58.50.92.029.8 2006/07 5.2

53.9 50.334.65.40.91.829.4 2007/08 4.3

78.1 57.340.014.60.62.630.3 2008/09 11.2


April 2009

Millions of Tons/Hectares

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed

Consumpti

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year

Former Soviet Union - 12

Kazakhstan, Republic of

11.0 7.42.73.80.00.911.8 2005/06 3.0

13.5 7.52.78.10.01.112.4 2006/07 1.0

16.6 7.52.78.20.01.312.8 2007/08 1.9

12.5 7.52.75.20.11.012.9 2008/09 1.8

Russian Federation

47.7 38.414.910.71.31.925.4 2005/06 3.8

44.9 36.414.110.80.91.923.7 2006/07 2.4

49.4 37.715.112.20.42.024.5 2007/08 2.3

63.7 41.217.216.50.32.426.7 2008/09 8.6

Ukraine

18.7 12.52.96.50.12.86.6 2005/06 2.4

14.0 11.72.13.40.12.55.5 2006/07 1.4

13.9 12.93.11.20.32.36.0 2007/08 1.5

25.9 14.44.411.00.13.77.1 2008/09 2.1

Uzbekistan, Republic of

5.8 6.11.10.10.64.01.5 2005/06 1.0

5.9 6.51.10.21.14.51.3 2006/07 1.2

6.2 6.81.20.21.04.81.3 2007/08 1.4

6.0 7.01.30.21.04.41.4 2008/09 1.3

Other Former Soviet Union - 12

7.7 10.61.90.13.52.33.3 2005/06 2.8

6.7 10.41.60.13.92.23.0 2006/07 2.9

6.6 10.71.60.04.22.23.0 2007/08 3.0

7.4 11.11.60.44.82.43.1 2008/09 3.7

Total Former Soviet Union - 12

90.9 75.023.521.15.51.948.5 2005/06 13.0

85.0 72.521.622.56.01.845.9 2006/07 8.9

92.7 75.623.621.96.02.047.5 2007/08 10.1

115.5 81.227.233.36.32.351.1 2008/09 17.5


April 2009


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed

Consumpti

MY

Exports

MY

Imports




1.5 1.41.30.20.00.91.6 2005/06 0.2

1.9 1.41.30.60.11.11.8 2006/07 0.2

2.5 1.41.30.80.01.41.8 2007/08 0.6

1.8 1.31.20.60.01.01.8 2008/09 0.5

Russian Federation

15.8 15.510.91.70.21.79.2 2005/06 0.9

18.1 16.411.81.50.21.810.0 2006/07 1.2

15.7 15.110.51.00.21.69.8 2007/08 1.0

23.1 17.412.32.20.22.49.7 2008/09 4.7

Ukraine

9.0 4.93.24.00.12.14.4 2005/06 1.2

11.4 6.54.85.10.02.25.2 2006/07 1.0

6.0 5.33.61.00.01.54.1 2007/08 0.7

12.6 5.84.16.00.03.04.2 2008/09 1.5


0.2 0.20.20.00.03.20.1 2005/06 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.03.20.1 2006/07 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2007/08 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2008/09 0.0


2.9 3.12.10.00.12.51.2 2005/06 0.8

2.4 2.71.70.00.12.11.1 2006/07 0.5

2.7 2.81.80.00.12.11.3 2007/08 0.4

3.1 3.01.90.00.12.71.2 2008/09 0.7


29.5 25.217.75.90.41.816.3 2005/06 3.0

34.0 27.219.77.30.41.918.2 2006/07 2.9

27.1 24.817.32.90.41.617.0 2007/08 2.6

40.9 27.719.78.80.42.416.9 2008/09 7.4


April 2009


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed

Consumpti

MY

Exports

MY

Imports




0.3 0.30.20.00.03.00.1 2005/06 0.0

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2006/07 0.0

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.10.1 2007/08 0.0

0.3 0.30.20.00.03.10.1 2008/09 0.0

Russian Federation

3.2 3.63.00.10.33.80.9 2005/06 0.1

3.6 3.63.10.10.13.61.0 2006/07 0.2

4.0 4.33.70.00.33.01.3 2007/08 0.2

6.6 5.54.81.00.14.01.7 2008/09 0.4

Ukraine

7.2 5.14.42.50.04.31.7 2005/06 0.9

6.4 5.34.51.00.03.81.7 2006/07 1.1

7.4 5.75.02.10.03.91.9 2007/08 0.7

11.4 6.15.44.50.04.82.4 2008/09 1.5


0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2005/06 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2006/07 0.0

0.2 0.20.10.00.04.60.0 2007/08 0.0

0.2 0.20.10.00.04.60.0 2008/09 0.0


2.5 2.82.50.00.43.10.8 2005/06 0.6

2.4 2.82.60.00.43.40.7 2006/07 0.5

2.0 2.42.10.00.22.60.8 2007/08 0.3

2.9 2.92.60.00.23.60.8 2008/09 0.4


13.3 11.910.22.60.73.93.4 2005/06 1.7

12.8 12.110.51.10.53.63.5 2006/07 1.8

13.8 12.811.12.20.53.44.1 2007/08 1.2

21.3 15.013.15.50.34.35.0 2008/09 2.3


April 2009

Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed

Consumpti

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Wheat Competitors

Argentina

16.2 5.00.111.30.02.56.4 2000/01 0.6

15.5 4.90.110.10.02.36.8 2001/02 1.1

12.3 5.20.16.80.02.15.9 2002/03 1.5

14.5 5.20.19.40.02.55.7 2003/04 1.4

16.0 5.00.111.80.02.66.1 2004/05 0.6

14.5 5.00.19.60.02.95.0 2005/06 0.5

16.0 4.90.110.50.03.05.3 2006/07 1.1

16.8 5.10.111.20.02.95.8 2007/08 1.6

8.4 5.10.14.50.02.04.2 2008/09 0.4

Australia

22.1 5.32.615.90.11.812.1 2000/01 5.5

24.3 5.42.716.40.12.111.6 2001/02 8.0

10.1 6.13.49.10.30.911.1 2002/03 3.2

26.1 5.93.218.00.12.013.1 2003/04 5.4

21.9 5.93.214.70.11.613.4 2004/05 6.8

25.2 6.43.716.00.12.012.5 2005/06 9.6

10.8 7.44.78.70.10.911.8 2006/07 4.4

13.8 6.23.57.50.11.112.7 2007/08 4.7

21.5 6.53.814.00.11.613.5 2008/09 5.8

Canada

26.5 7.03.017.30.22.411.0 2000/01 9.7

20.6 7.73.616.30.31.910.6 2001/02 6.5

16.2 8.03.79.40.41.88.8 2002/03 5.7

23.0 7.23.115.80.22.310.2 2003/04 6.0

24.8 8.24.114.90.32.69.4 2004/05 7.9

25.7 8.24.116.00.32.79.4 2005/06 9.7

25.3 9.04.819.40.32.69.7 2006/07 6.8

20.1 6.32.116.10.42.38.6 2007/08 4.8

28.6 8.23.517.50.42.910.0 2008/09 8.1

Total Wheat Competitors

64.9 17.45.744.50.32.229.5 2000/01 15.8

60.4 18.16.442.80.42.129.0 2001/02 15.7

38.6 19.37.225.30.71.525.8 2002/03 10.4

63.7 18.36.443.30.32.229.0 2003/04 12.8


April 2009


Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed

Consumpti

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


62.7 19.27.441.40.32.228.9 2004/05 15.3

65.4 19.67.941.60.42.426.9 2005/06 19.8

52.1 21.39.638.70.41.926.8 2006/07 12.3

50.7 17.65.634.80.51.927.1 2007/08 11.1

58.5 19.87.336.00.52.127.7 2008/09 14.3

India

76.4 66.80.51.60.42.827.5 2000/01 21.5

69.7 65.10.53.10.02.725.7 2001/02 23.0

71.8 74.30.64.90.02.825.9 2002/03 15.7

65.1 68.30.65.70.02.624.9 2003/04 6.9

72.2 72.80.52.10.02.726.6 2004/05 4.1

68.6 70.00.30.80.02.626.5 2005/06 2.0

69.4 73.40.30.26.72.626.4 2006/07 4.5

75.8 75.70.20.11.92.728.0 2007/08 6.4

78.6 77.60.10.20.02.828.2 2008/09 7.2

Turkey

18.0 16.71.01.60.42.18.7 2000/01 1.7

15.5 16.51.10.81.01.88.5 2001/02 1.0

16.8 16.81.00.81.22.08.6 2002/03 1.4

16.8 16.81.00.81.12.08.6 2003/04 1.7

18.5 16.81.02.00.42.28.6 2004/05 1.8

18.5 16.10.43.20.12.28.6 2005/06 1.1

17.5 16.70.82.41.72.08.6 2006/07 1.3

15.5 16.80.81.72.21.88.6 2007/08 0.5

16.8 16.90.71.82.52.08.6 2008/09 1.1


April 2009


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed

Consumpti

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Argentina

15.4 5.63.99.70.05.52.8 2000/01 0.6

14.7 4.22.710.90.06.02.5 2001/02 0.3

15.5 4.12.511.20.06.32.5 2002/03 0.5

15.0 4.42.810.90.06.52.3 2003/04 0.2

20.5 5.23.514.60.07.42.8 2004/05 1.0

15.8 6.24.49.50.16.52.4 2005/06 1.2

22.5 6.74.815.30.08.02.8 2006/07 1.7

22.0 7.05.115.00.16.43.4 2007/08 1.7

13.5 6.74.87.00.06.02.3 2008/09 1.5

China, Peoples Republic of

106.0 120.292.07.30.14.623.1 2000/01 102.4

114.1 123.194.08.60.04.724.3 2001/02 84.8

121.3 125.996.015.20.04.924.6 2002/03 65.0

115.8 128.497.07.60.04.824.1 2003/04 44.9

130.3 131.098.07.60.05.125.4 2004/05 36.6

139.4 137.0101.03.70.15.326.4 2005/06 35.3

151.6 145.0104.05.30.05.328.5 2006/07 36.6

152.3 149.0105.00.50.05.229.5 2007/08 39.4

165.5 152.0110.00.50.15.629.4 2008/09 52.5

South Africa, Republic of

8.0 8.74.11.30.42.53.2 2000/01 0.5

10.1 8.43.91.10.92.83.5 2001/02 1.9

9.7 8.54.01.10.42.73.7 2002/03 2.4

9.7 8.74.10.70.22.93.3 2003/04 3.0

11.7 9.75.02.10.43.63.2 2004/05 3.2

6.9 8.24.00.50.93.42.0 2005/06 2.3

7.3 8.64.40.51.12.52.9 2006/07 1.7

13.2 9.24.32.00.14.03.3 2007/08 3.7

12.0 9.84.72.50.14.03.0 2008/09 3.5

Brazil

41.5 34.529.56.30.23.213.0 2000/01 2.7

35.5 35.029.52.10.43.011.8 2001/02 1.5

44.5 35.830.04.60.73.413.0 2002/03 6.3

42.0 36.330.54.40.43.412.4 2003/04 7.9

35.0 38.532.10.70.53.011.6 2004/05 4.2

41.7 39.533.04.51.13.212.9 2005/06 3.0


April 2009


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed

Consumpti

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


51.0 41.034.510.81.43.614.0 2006/07 3.6

58.6 42.536.07.50.64.014.7 2007/08 12.8

50.5 44.537.09.50.53.614.2 2008/09 9.8

Total Corn Competitors

171.0 169.0129.524.50.84.142.1 2000/01 106.2

174.3 170.7130.122.61.34.142.1 2001/02 88.6

191.0 174.3132.532.21.24.443.7 2002/03 74.2

182.5 177.8134.423.70.64.342.1 2003/04 55.9

197.5 184.4138.625.00.94.643.0 2004/05 44.9

203.8 190.9142.418.32.24.743.7 2005/06 41.7

232.4 201.3147.731.92.64.848.2 2006/07 43.5

246.1 207.7150.425.00.74.850.9 2007/08 57.6

241.5 213.0156.519.50.74.948.9 2008/09 67.3


April 2009


Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed

Consumpti

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Australia

6.7 2.21.34.00.02.03.5 2000/01 1.0

8.3 2.81.84.70.02.23.7 2001/02 1.8

3.9 2.71.82.00.01.03.9 2002/03 0.9

10.4 3.12.26.40.02.34.5 2003/04 1.9

7.7 3.52.54.30.01.74.6 2004/05 1.9

9.5 3.52.55.30.02.24.4 2005/06 2.7

4.3 3.82.91.90.01.04.2 2006/07 1.3

7.2 3.22.23.40.01.54.9 2007/08 2.0

7.0 3.92.93.50.01.64.5 2008/09 1.6

Canada

13.2 11.610.12.00.02.94.6 2000/01 2.5

10.8 10.38.91.10.12.64.2 2001/02 2.0

7.5 7.96.50.40.22.23.3 2002/03 1.5

12.2 9.78.41.80.02.84.4 2003/04 2.1

12.6 10.18.81.20.13.33.8 2004/05 3.4

11.7 9.68.42.30.03.23.6 2005/06 3.3

9.6 10.28.81.20.03.03.2 2006/07 1.5

11.0 7.96.63.00.12.74.0 2007/08 1.6

11.8 9.48.01.60.13.43.5 2008/09 2.4

EU-27

59.9 55.841.07.20.44.314.1 2000/01 9.0

58.8 54.939.74.21.44.214.1 2001/02 10.0

58.2 55.439.35.21.14.214.0 2002/03 8.7

55.8 58.041.82.60.74.014.1 2003/04 4.5

64.1 54.638.63.30.34.713.7 2004/05 11.1

54.8 54.138.23.30.14.013.8 2005/06 8.5

56.2 55.738.73.50.24.113.8 2006/07 5.8

57.7 54.337.83.90.34.213.8 2007/08 5.7

65.5 57.540.54.00.24.514.7 2008/09 9.9


April 2009


Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed

Consumpti

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Argentina

2.7 2.52.40.40.04.80.6 2000/01 0.4

2.8 2.32.20.40.05.10.5 2001/02 0.5

2.8 2.32.10.60.05.10.6 2002/03 0.4

2.2 2.01.90.20.04.60.5 2003/04 0.4

2.9 2.62.40.40.05.00.6 2004/05 0.3

2.3 2.32.10.20.05.00.5 2005/06 0.2

2.8 1.71.51.10.04.50.6 2006/07 0.2

2.9 1.81.61.20.04.10.7 2007/08 0.2

2.3 1.71.50.50.03.30.7 2008/09 0.3

Australia

1.9 1.31.30.60.02.60.8 2000/01 0.1

2.0 1.71.70.40.02.50.8 2001/02 0.1

1.5 1.41.40.10.02.20.7 2002/03 0.1

2.0 1.41.40.60.02.70.7 2003/04 0.1

2.0 1.81.80.20.02.70.8 2004/05 0.1

1.9 1.91.90.10.02.50.8 2005/06 0.0

1.3 1.21.20.10.02.10.6 2006/07 0.0

3.1 2.22.20.80.03.01.0 2007/08 0.2

2.4 1.91.90.60.03.00.8 2008/09 0.1


April 2009

U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice

Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumption

Domestic

Consumption

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

12,41430,9403,18625,04124,7253,3943,31749,217nr318,939 2006/07

8,32328,57440934,32834,4032,9303,06555,821nr320,639 2007/08

18,95134,1296,80426,50026,6713,2003,40268,026nr322,535 2008/09

Corn

33,114230,674142,01854,21453,987319304267,503nr928,586 2006/07

41,255261,671150,83560,75761,873502508331,177nr935,014 2007/08

43,192262,648135,89644,00043,182300381307,386nr1031,825 2008/09

Sorghum

8144,0122,8684,3803,876227,032nr41,998 2006/07

1,3405,0594,1666,6867,0521112,636nr52,749 2007/08

1,6568,3835,5883,3003,3023311,998nr42,942 2008/09

Barley

1,5004,5961,0715284413542643,923nr31,194 2006/07

1,4854,3767069019027646884,575nr31,417 2007/08

1,9325,1151,4153503056006535,214nr31,524 2008/09

Oats

7343,1792,10333381,7941,8311,357nr2633 2006/07

9693,1612,08153422,2442,1251,313nr2609 2007/08

1,0513,1432,05540442,0001,9821,287nr2565 2008/09

Rye

1233710022136150183nr2111 2006/07

1033499107152179160nr2102 2007/08

10320831010125127203nr2109 2008/09

Rice, Milled

1,2664,102nr3,0292,9236956536,2678,82781,142 2006/07

9423,975nr3,3753,4526517596,3448,99981,112 2007/08

7094,314nr3,1003,0067005726,5159,24181,204 2008/09

Notes: Wheat Trade Year (TY) statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats Trade Year (TY) statistics

are on Oct/Sept years. Rice Trade Year (TY) statistics are for the subsequent calendar year; 'Imports' and 'Exports' columns

contain data on the local marketing year: wheat, barley, oats and rye are June/May; corn and sorghum are Sept/Aug; rice is

Aug/July.


April 2009

Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks


1,153.1 273.71,157.6573.9182.62.0569.0 1979/80

1,159.3 255.21,179.2562.6200.62.0577.6 1980/81

1,204.0 281.01,178.3573.5196.92.0587.8 1981/82

1,248.0 332.11,197.1593.4189.62.2576.9 1982/83

1,162.5 278.51,216.1588.4193.22.1563.8 1983/84

1,315.0 340.01,253.5609.9203.62.3567.0 1984/85

1,328.5 420.61,247.9613.1165.22.3570.9 1985/86

1,348.0 469.21,299.4644.2174.72.4565.6 1986/87

1,285.3 422.61,329.7655.1202.22.4545.0 1987/88

1,218.0 338.61,302.0618.2203.32.2542.5 1988/89

1,327.4 319.91,346.2642.9208.92.4549.0 1989/90

1,417.3 368.01,369.2667.3190.12.6548.9 1990/91

1,355.5 358.81,364.7650.1207.52.5546.3 1991/92

1,431.3 397.61,389.7662.3205.22.6548.7 1992/93

1,355.8 364.51,388.9654.0188.22.5539.2 1993/94

1,392.1 360.91,395.6666.9200.12.6537.5 1994/95

1,338.0 318.51,380.4636.6187.52.5533.5 1995/96

1,490.2 365.81,442.9669.6198.42.7552.9 1996/97

1,491.4 412.31,444.8680.8190.32.8539.4 1997/98

1,481.6 445.61,448.3679.8198.72.8534.0 1998/99

1,464.7 442.01,467.8685.0214.32.8514.7 1999/00

1,445.9 418.31,469.6693.7205.12.8514.0 2000/01

1,478.2 401.81,494.7708.7208.52.9516.2 2001/02

1,442.7 337.51,507.0707.7209.82.9505.9 2002/03

1,469.2 274.21,532.5711.1206.22.9515.0 2003/04

1,640.2 330.21,584.2749.4214.43.2516.6 2004/05

1,598.1 313.71,614.7747.5222.43.1519.2 2005/06

1,580.4 267.11,627.0740.0230.13.1517.0 2006/07

1,685.5 282.01,670.6747.0245.13.1535.8 2007/08

1,779.6 344.21,717.4759.4233.33.3537.1 2008/09

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


April 2009

World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

524.1 191.3511.3113.289.72.3227.9 1986/87

498.4 159.1530.6113.6114.12.3220.1 1987/88

495.0 134.7519.5104.0104.32.3217.9 1988/89

533.2 136.6531.3103.7103.92.4226.5 1989/90

588.6 171.2554.1130.1101.32.5231.6 1990/91

543.3 162.9551.6113.8111.42.4223.4 1991/92

562.4 176.7548.3110.9113.22.5222.7 1992/93

558.2 182.2552.7108.0101.72.5221.8 1993/94

522.7 163.1541.899.6101.52.4214.4 1994/95

537.1 155.6544.691.999.22.5219.1 1995/96

581.3 163.5573.496.7104.02.5230.3 1996/97

610.0 196.3577.2100.9104.52.7228.5 1997/98

590.2 207.8578.7103.6102.02.6225.4 1998/99

586.7 209.5585.098.9112.02.7215.7 1999/00

582.9 207.3585.1104.4102.32.7217.9 2000/01

583.1 203.2587.2107.6108.02.7215.2 2001/02

567.9 166.9604.1111.9107.12.6214.5 2002/03

553.5 132.2588.396.3103.62.6209.6 2003/04

625.6 151.1606.7105.6113.22.9217.3 2004/05

619.6 147.8622.9111.2113.92.8218.4 2005/06

595.6 128.2615.2106.2115.82.8212.3 2006/07

609.1 122.4614.994.1116.22.8217.8 2007/08

682.1 158.1646.3118.0130.63.0224.7 2008/09

Coarse Grains

823.9 277.9788.2531.085.02.4337.7 1986/87

786.9 263.5799.2541.588.12.4324.9 1987/88

722.9 203.9782.5514.299.02.2324.6 1988/89

794.2 183.3814.9539.2105.02.5322.5 1989/90

828.7 196.8815.2537.388.92.6317.3 1990/91

812.2 195.9813.1536.296.22.5322.9 1991/92

868.8 220.9841.4551.391.92.7326.0 1992/93

797.6 182.3836.2546.186.52.5317.4 1993/94

869.4 197.9853.8567.498.62.7323.1 1994/95

800.9 162.9835.8544.788.22.5314.4 1995/96

908.9 202.3869.5573.094.42.8322.6 1996/97

881.4 216.0867.7579.885.82.8311.0 1997/98

891.3 237.8869.6576.196.72.9308.6 1998/99

878.0 232.5882.8586.0102.42.9299.0 1999/00

863.0 210.9884.5589.3102.72.9296.1 2000/01

895.1 198.6907.4601.1100.53.0301.0 2001/02

874.8 170.6902.9595.8102.73.0291.4 2002/03

915.7 142.0944.3614.8102.63.0305.5 2003/04

1,014.6 179.2977.5643.8101.23.4299.3 2004/05

978.5 165.9991.8636.3108.53.3300.8 2005/06

984.8 138.91,011.8633.8114.33.2304.8 2006/07

1,076.4 159.61,055.7652.9128.93.4318.0 2007/08

1,097.6 186.11,071.1641.4102.73.5312.4 2008/09

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


April 2009

World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Corn

475.4 204.9448.3304.656.93.6131.9 1986/87

450.8 197.5458.2316.558.83.5127.0 1987/88

400.5 145.2452.8306.866.03.2126.1 1988/89

461.7 132.8474.1324.874.53.6127.3 1989/90

481.9 141.2473.4318.558.83.7129.2 1990/91

493.0 140.8493.3334.463.03.7132.6 1991/92

535.6 162.5512.1348.762.64.0133.2 1992/93

475.8 129.3509.0342.057.43.6130.7 1993/94

559.3 152.9535.6371.571.94.1135.3 1994/95

516.3 132.7536.5365.164.83.8135.0 1995/96

592.9 165.6560.1387.666.74.2141.6 1996/97

574.4 166.2573.7401.163.14.2136.3 1997/98

605.9 191.0581.1404.668.74.3139.3 1998/99

608.0 193.7605.3423.072.34.4139.0 1999/00

590.8 174.5610.0427.975.94.3137.2 2000/01

600.3 151.2623.7436.372.84.4137.9 2001/02

603.3 126.6627.9433.276.94.4137.3 2002/03

627.1 105.2648.4445.179.14.4141.6 2003/04

714.7 131.8688.1474.876.04.9144.7 2004/05

698.5 124.7705.6477.282.64.8145.8 2005/06

711.1 108.7727.0477.791.24.8149.4 2006/07

790.9 129.6770.0495.798.24.9160.2 2007/08

786.5 143.3772.7477.376.15.0157.0 2008/09

Barley

178.1 33.8173.8132.118.32.279.6 1986/87

175.4 33.6173.5129.618.32.278.7 1987/88

164.4 31.7166.3121.919.02.276.4 1988/89

166.1 27.5170.4126.018.52.373.7 1989/90

179.5 31.5175.5130.819.62.572.9 1990/91

169.8 34.8166.5120.319.42.276.5 1991/92

166.2 34.9165.6119.016.42.373.1 1992/93

168.9 34.8169.1123.818.82.373.8 1993/94

160.7 29.9165.6120.915.32.272.8 1994/95

141.2 20.4150.7107.813.42.168.6 1995/96

153.1 23.9149.5106.317.92.365.6 1996/97

153.9 31.9145.9104.112.82.464.5 1997/98

136.0 28.6139.499.517.82.260.8 1998/99

127.4 23.5132.594.017.82.354.5 1999/00

133.1 22.2134.494.716.22.553.9 2000/01

143.3 28.9136.795.517.22.556.3 2001/02

134.4 26.7136.694.916.32.455.7 2002/03

142.2 22.5146.4102.514.82.459.6 2003/04

152.4 32.8142.199.717.02.658.0 2004/05

136.2 28.5140.596.317.62.456.0 2005/06

136.5 21.1143.999.014.52.457.1 2006/07

133.0 20.2133.990.818.62.357.6 2007/08

153.8 30.1143.998.918.42.855.3 2008/09

Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present,

coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


April 2009

World Rice: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production TY Exports Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Rice, Milled

376.6 54.0257.612.0256.82.7141.2 1979/80

397.0 52.6271.211.9269.92.7144.4 1980/81

408.3 50.5280.011.3277.92.8144.4 1981/82

418.3 56.8278.711.2285.03.0140.5 1982/83

450.9 69.3294.411.9306.93.1144.6 1983/84

464.9 87.7298.411.0316.83.2144.2 1984/85

467.3 97.7307.911.8318.03.2144.8 1985/86

464.6 103.3310.412.9316.03.2144.8 1986/87

465.0 105.3313.311.4315.33.3141.7 1987/88

490.8 111.7325.714.0332.13.4146.4 1988/89

510.3 120.6336.311.7345.23.5147.6 1989/90

519.0 126.7345.112.3351.13.5146.9 1990/91

523.1 126.8353.214.4353.43.5147.5 1991/92

524.3 123.3357.614.9354.13.6146.5 1992/93

526.1 119.1358.916.6354.73.6145.3 1993/94

539.5 117.8365.220.8363.93.7147.4 1994/95

547.1 118.4368.119.7368.73.7148.2 1995/96

564.8 120.3379.118.9381.13.8149.9 1996/97

574.5 127.7379.627.6387.03.8151.2 1997/98

586.4 134.0388.324.8394.63.8152.7 1998/99

608.4 143.1400.022.8409.13.9155.3 1999/00

593.8 146.7395.524.5399.13.9151.7 2000/01

595.1 133.0413.627.9399.93.9150.8 2001/02

563.8 103.3408.327.6378.63.9146.2 2002/03

585.0 81.1414.327.2392.23.9148.8 2003/04

597.1 73.2409.329.2401.34.0151.0 2004/05

623.1 75.7415.829.5418.34.1153.1 2005/06

626.9 74.9421.232.0420.44.1153.9 2006/07

644.2 78.5428.329.4431.94.2154.2 2007/08

657.5 86.1433.529.5441.14.2155.4 2008/09

Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years.


April 2009

ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE REGIONAL TABLES North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States. Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama. Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies, Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique, Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, Virgin Islands of the U.S. South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela. EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom. Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar, Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland. Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan. Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen. North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia. Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa. East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia, Taiwan. South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives. Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam. Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea.



April 2009

OTHER NOTES Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period following the main harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2008/09 starts in 2008); except for summer grains in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second year begins the LMY (2008/09 starts in 2009). Key exporter LMY’s are:

Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) China (Oct/Sep) EU-27 (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Russia (Jul/Jun) EU-27 (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) India (Apr/Mar) United States (Jun/May) Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun) Russia(Jul/Jun) Turkey (Jun/May) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) United States (Jun/May)

For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx). Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time. Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however, reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only. Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year. EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent EU-27 and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through 1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10, plus Bulgaria and Romania, exists only prior to 1999/00. Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled



April 2009

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx

equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains. Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries, and trade to countries outside the USDA database. The Field Crops and Livestock Branch, Industry and Sector Analysis Division, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S. agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information. Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-6590. Note: The previous report in this series was the Grain: World Markets and Trade Foreign Agricultural Service Circular FG 03-09 March 2009. For further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production Foreign Agricultural Service Circular WAP 04-09 April 2009. This circular is available in its entirety on the World Wide Web via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov



April 2009

Documents

Agriculture Service World Markets and Trade · likelihood of significant exports is small, given the government’s focus on maintaining self-sufficiency in grains. Among the “others”