AHS Jan 2013

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  • 8/13/2019 AHS Jan 2013

    1/1

    4032

    24

    16

    12108

    6

    4

    Percentsharestraded

    24168

    Target Price Range2015 2016 2017

    AMN HEALTHCARE NYSE-AHS 11.55 25.1 50.2

    24.0 1.63 NilTIMELINESS 1 Raised 10/26/12

    SAFETY 3 New 1/25/02

    TECHNICAL 4 Raised 1/11/13BETA 1.05 (1.00 = Market)

    2015-17 PROJECTIONSAnnl Total

    Pr ice Gain Ret urnHigh 25 (+115%) 20%Low 15 (+30%) 6%

    Insider DecisionsF M A M J J A S O

    to Buy 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0Options 3 4 7 0 0 0 0 0 0to Sell 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0

    Institutional Decisions1Q2012 2Q2012 3Q2012

    to Buy 37 57 67to Sell 35 38 42Hlds(000) 34090 34535 35230

    High: 27.9 37.4 19.0 21.6 20.7 28.3 29.1 20.4 11.0 10.0 9.3 12.2Low: 20.0 13.0 8.9 10.7 12.9 17.3 16.4 7.4 4.6 4.1 3.6 3.9

    % TOT. RETURN 12/12THIS VL ARITH.*

    S TO CK I ND EX

    1 yr. 160.7 17.43 yr. 27.5 40.15 yr. -32.7 40.9

    CAPITAL STRUCTURE as of 9/30/12Total Debt$173.5 mill. Due in 5 Yrs$173.5 mill.LT Debt$158.0 mill. LT Interest $20.0 mill.(Total interest coverage: 1.8x)

    (51% of Capl)Leases, UncapitalizedAnnual rentals $14.8 mill.No Defined Benefit Pension Plan

    Pfd Stock$22.6 mill. Pfd DivdNil4.5 mill. shs. Series A, liqu. val. $10 a sh., eachconvertible into one com. sh.Common Stock44,386,650 shs.as of 11/1/12MARKET CAP: $525 million (Small Cap)

    CURRENT POSITION 2010 2011 9/30/12($MILL.)

    Cash Assets 1.9 4.0 3.8Receivables 127.5 169.2 161.6Inventory (Avg Cst) - - - - - -Other 49.9 39.3 28.3

    C urre nt Asse ts 17 9. 3 2 12 .5 1 93 .7Accts Payable 45.9 49.8 43.6Debt Due 18.3 34.6 15.5Other 53.7 55.7 56.4Current Liab. 117.9 140.1 115.5

    ANNUAL RATES Past Past Estd 09-11of change (per sh) 10 Yrs. 5 Yrs. to 15-17Revenues 8.5% -4.0% 4.0% Cas h Flow 5.5% - 17.5% 24.0%Earnings - - - - NMFDividends - - - - NilBook Value 2.5% -9.5% 13.0%

    Cal- Fullendar Year

    QUARTERLY REVENUES($ mill.)Mar.31 Jun.30 Sep.30 Dec.31

    2009 2 49.6 19 9.1 1 66 .4 1 44 .7 7 59 .82010 1 43.3 14 9.3 1 76 .3 2 20 .3 6 89 .22011 215.8 220.6 229.0 222.1 887.52012 226.4 235.8 243.9 238.9 9452013 240 250 255 255 1000

    Cal- Fullendar YearEARNINGSPER SHAREA

    Mar.31 Jun.30 Sep.30 Dec.31

    2009 .04 .13 d.06 d.08 .032010 .02 - - d.23 d.02 d.232011 .04 .01 .02 .04 .112012 .07 - - .12 .13 .32 2013 .10 .11 .15 .14 .50

    Cal- Fullendar Year

    QUARTERLY DIVIDENDS PAIDMar.31 Jun.30 Sep.30 Dec.31

    20092010 NO CASH DIVIDENDS2011 BEING PAID20122013

    1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

    - - - - - - 7.19 8.00 12.24 18.96 25.40 22.19 22.63 31.28 34.41 37.37 23.28

    - - - - - - .47 d.01 .24 1.37 1.52 .82 .91 1.31 1.42 1.50 .45

    - - - - - - .34 d.16 .09 1.12 .95 .55 .69 1.02 1.05 1.02 .03

    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

    - - - - - - .08 .08 .11 .11 .46 .18 .12 .28 .27 .27 .12

    - - - - - - d.10 2.33 6.43 7.23 4.13 4.83 6.19 7.07 8.16 8.72 5.24

    - - - - - - 20.38 28.84 42.29 40.91 28.12 28.34 31.20 34.58 33.83 32.58 32.63

    - - - - - - - - - - NMF 21.8 14.5 27.9 22.9 21.8 20.1 14.7 NMF

    - - - - - - - - - - NMF 1.19 .83 1.47 1.22 1.18 1.07 .88 NMF

    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

    7 75 .7 7 14 .2 6 29 .0 7 05 .8 1 08 1.7 1 16 4.0 1 2 17 .2 7 59 .8

    11.6% 9.6% 6.7% 7.5% 7.7% 7.3% 7.1% 6.2%

    3.8 4.8 5.8 6.2 10.3 11.7 14.4 13.8

    52.4 37.8 17.4 22.2 35.1 36.5 34.4 .9

    3 9. 5% 3 8. 7% 3 7. 8% 4 0. 2% 3 8. 2% 3 9. 9% 4 3. 9% NM F

    6.7% 5.3% 2.8% 3.1% 3.2% 3.1% 2.8% .1%

    137.3 76.9 77.2 100.1 114.9 114.4 88.5 74.3

    1.0 125.5 96.9 194.8 160.5 120.4 100.2 100.1

    295.8 116.1 136.8 193.2 244.6 276.1 284. 1 170.8

    17.6% 16.1% 9.2% 7.0% 10.6% 10.5% 9.6% 1.6%

    17.7% 32.5% 12.7% 11.5% 14.3% 13.2% 12.1% .5%

    17.7% 32.5% 12.7% 11.5% 14.3% 13.2% 12.1% .5%

    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

    2010 2011 2012 2013 VALUE LINEPUB. LLC 15-17

    17.59 21.94 21.25 21.75 Revenues per sh 26.50.18 .53 .65 .85 Cash Flow per sh 1.40

    d.23 .11 .32 .50 Earnings per sh A .95- - - - - - Nil Divds Decld per sh Nil

    .11 .11 .15 .15 Capl Spending per sh .253.21 2.56 4 .20 4.90 Book Value per sh C 7.40

    39.19 40.45 44.50 46.00 Common Shs Outstg B 46.00- - NMF 23.0 Avg Annl P/E Ratio 20.0- - NMF 1.45 Relative P/E Ratio 1.35- - - - - - Avg Annl Divd Yield Nil

    689.2 887.5 9 45 1000 Revenues ($mill) 12203. 4% 6. 1% 7 .5 % 8 .0 % Operating Margin 9.5%15.1 16. 4 1 5.0 16.0 Depreciation ($mill) 20.0d8.1 5.0 1 5.0 24.0 Net Profit ($mill) 46.0

    - - 6 4.0% 50.0% 45.0% Income Tax Rate 45.0%NMF .6% 1 .6% 2 .4% Net Profit Margin 3.8%61.4 72. 4 95.0 130 Working Capl ($mill) 200

    200.8 174.2 155 140 Long-Term Debt ($mill) 80.0181.8 159.7 195 225 Shr. Equity ($mill) 340NMF 4.5% 8 .0% 9 .0% Return on Total Capl 12.0%NMF 3.1% 7.5% 10.5% Return on Shr. Equity 13.5%NMF 4.8% 8.0% 10.5% Retained to Com Eq 13.5%

    - - - - - - Nil All Divds to Net Prof Nil

    Companys Financial Strength BStocks Price Stability 40Price Growth Persistence 10Earnings Predictability 25

    (A) Based on diluted earnings. Includes non-cash stock-based compensation expense: 00,56; 01, 57; 02, 1; 03, 2. Excludes non-recurring losses: 99, 60; 00, 7; 01, 23;

    09, $3.78; 10, $1.26. Excl. inc./(loss) from dis-continued ops.: 11, (68); Q112, 2. Nextearnings report due mid-March.

    (B) In millions.(C) Includes intangibles. In 2011: $266.9 mil-lion, $6.60/sh.

    BUSINESS: AMN Healthcare Services, Inc. provides temp. andpermanent staffing services to hospitals and other healthcarefacilities. Recruits physicians, nurses, physical therapists, andmedical technicians. Has three units: nurse & allied healthcarestaffing (64% of 11 revs, 66% of oper. income); locum tenens(temp physician) staffing (31%, 23%); and physician permanent

    placement (5%, 11%). Has about 1,840 employees (excluding5,320 healthcare workers that are contracted to work for AMN).EdgePoint Investment owns 16.5% of common stock; offs./dirs.,3.0% (3/12 proxy). Chmn.: Douglas Wheat. Pres./CEO: SusanSalka. Inc.: DE. Addr.: 12400 High Bluff Dr., Suite 100, San Diego,CA 92130. Tel.: 866-871-8519. Internet: www.amnhealthcare.com.

    AMN Healthcare appears to be show-ing resilience amid improving condi-tions in the healthcare staffing mar-ket. Indeed, recent results have been quitei m pr e s si v e. An d ch a n ces a r e t h e com p a n yh a d a s ol id f in i sh t o 2012, p u sh i n g f u ll -y ea r t ot a l s u p a t a v ig or ou s p a c e. O f p a r -ticular note, th e core nurse/allied sta ffingca t eg or y h a s s how n s tr en gt h of la t e,driven by double-digit volume increases.This largely reflects the ongoing pickup ind em a n d f or t e m por a r y n u r s e a n d a l li edh ea l th pr of es sion a ls . L ik ew i se, t h ep er m a n en t p hy si ci a n s t a ff in g li ne h a sb ee n b en e f it i n g f r om i n cr e a s e d s ea r ch e s .

    Th i n g s cou l d b e b et t e r i n t h e t e m por a r yphysicians unit, however, where weaknessin some of the larger specialties continuesto offset strength in smaller ones.The earnings recovery should contin-ue in 2013. O u r e xp ect a t i on l a r g e ly a s -s um es d em a n d r em a i ns on a n u ps w in g .This will hinge on such factors as a declinei n t h e u n em p loy m en t r a t e , w h i ch w o u ldp r om p t m obi li t y a m on g e m pl oy e d h e a l t h -ca r e p r of es s ion a l s ; a n e a s in g o f h os pi t a lb u d g e t i n g i s s u e s ; a n d a n u p t i ck i n p a t i e n ta d m i ss ion s , a s i n di vi du a l s r e su m e n on -

    elective/nonur gent procedures. Mean wh ile,d es pi t e i n ve st m e nt s f or s t r a t e gi c i n it i a -t i v es (d i s cu s s ed b el ow ) , m a r g i n s s t a n d t of u r t h er e xp a n d d u e t o f ir m er p r ic in g a n dg r e a t e r S G &A l ev e r a g e, a s r e v en u e s r i s e.The bottom line should get an added boost,w i t h d eb t r e fi n a n ci n g cos t s (i n cu r r ed i nthe second quarter of 2012) out of the way.Long-term growth prospects seempromising. AMN is currently investing toe xp a n d i t s w or kf or ce s ol u t i on s off er i n g s ,ca n d i d a t e r e cr u it m e nt ca p a b i li t ie s, a n dt e ch n ology i n f r a s t r u ct u r e. Th e s t r a t e g ici n it i a t i v e s s h ou l d h e lp t o b et t e r p os i t iont h e com p a n y f or t h e l i ke l y r i s e i n d e m a n d

    for health professionals over the long haul,b r ou g h t a b ou t b y i n du s t r y t r e nd s (i .e .,a g in g p op ul a t ion , n u rs e s h or t a g e) a n dhealthcare reform.AMN stock is a top-notch choice forthe year ahead, and has reboundpotential to spare, too. Th e i s su e h a sr e g a i n ed s om e g r ou n d s i n ce e a r l y 2 01 2,reflecting increased investor confidence int h e com p a n y s a b i l i t y t o r e t u r n t o g r ow t h .A M N s e f f or t s t o p a y d ow n d e b t w i t h ca s hflow likely havent gone unnoticed, either.J . Su san F er r ar a J an uar y 11, 2013

    LEGENDS12.0 x Cash Flowp sh

    . . . . Relative Price StrengthOptions: Yes

    Shaded areas indicate recessions

    2013, Value Line Publishing LLC. All rights reserved. Factual material is obtained from sources believed to be reliable and is provided without warranties of any kind.

    THE PUBLISHER IS NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY ERRORS OR OMISSIONS HEREIN. This publication is strictly for subscribers own, non-commercial, internal use. No partof it may be reproduced, resold, stored or transmitted in any printed, electronic or other form, or used for generating or marketing any printed or electronic publication, service or product. To subscribe call 1-800-833-0046.

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