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2Company Confidential
Huawei Confidential2
Early LTE Days Evolution
L2600 L1800
…2013 DBP …initial Regulated Deployment
▪ Data Offloading/Capacity
▪ 10MHz
▪ Partner’s spectrum
▪ Coverage Grid
▪ 10MHz
▪ Technology Neutral
▪ Spectrum re-farm
+
LTE Layering based on Network level organic growth
Cluster based mobility and traffic forecast
Irregular traffic growth pattern by cells
3Company Confidential
Huawei Confidential3
Tremendous Traffic Growth
Traffic growth trend is tremendous, and will continue to grow
DOU GB/MonthNetwork Market Trend
-
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
140.00
160.00
-
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
Traffic Growth
Cost per GB
Data Revenue per GB
Growth – 9X
Reduction – 7X
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Blended DOU GB/Month
QoQ – 20%YoY – 84%
4Company Confidential
Huawei Confidential4
Simple Linear Growth
• Every BTS has different
traffic profile and
growth rate
• Traffic depends on
users, devices &
services
Timing Precision
• Difficult to forecast in
term of time
• Pose challenges in
catching the right time
to upgrade
• Different solution has
different
implementation
duration
E.g. Carrier upgrade vs
New Site
Location Precision
• Traffic of different
geographical size
requires different
solution
E.g. Bus stop vs Stadium
Large Data Processing
• Abundance of data
across multiple nodes
• Post-processing,
correlation & analysis
consumes resources
Traditional Forecast Has Always Been Too Simplified Yet
Resources Exhaustive
5Company Confidential
Huawei Confidential5
Proactive Capacity Planning to Sustain Network Experience
Network deployment in timely manner, to sustain customer experience and business growth (faster TTM).
Area x
6Company Confidential
Huawei Confidential6
Digitizing Planning Capability for Better Efficiency
AI Cell Traffic Forecast
Cell/Site Capacity Analysis
Expansion Capacity Solution
2Cell Spectrum
Efficiency
1
3 Capacity Planning Criteria
5
Network Data
Planning &simulation
4
6
Engineering Management
System
8Automation BOQ
Generator
7
Traffic Density
Traffic Distribution
Approval
Digitized Forecast & Analysis
Digitized Design
Digitized Process
7Company Confidential
Huawei Confidential7
Better traffic forecast precision & accuracy improves its planning efficiency
and effectiveness, Aligning process to influence, support & expedite
AI - Traffic Forecast Model
Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA)
Dimensionality Reduction / Attribute Selection
Ensemble Learning Model
Time-series Forecasting (Multi-Layer Perceptron)
Traffic Constraint Model
Future Month 1 94%
Future Month 2 90%
Future Month 3 86%
Future Month 4 84%
Future Month 5 80%
Future Month 6 78%
1Better traffic growth projection to avoid traffic suppression
2Better traffic growth rate projection for pre-emption
26.2% Unsuppressed
Traffic Gain from
Constraint Cells
3More precise in locating hot-spots thus effective solution
P1
P2
Sol 1 Sol 2 Sol 3 Sol 4
Sol 1 Sol 2 Sol 5 Sol 6
9Company Confidential
THANK YOU NO part of this presentation may be circulated, quoted, or reproduced for distribution without the prior written consent of Celcom AXIATA Berhad. The information contained in this presentation is proprietary and is for Celcom AXIATA Berhad’s Internal Use.
The information is not meant to be comprehensive and any material contained in this presentation is provided "As-is" and without warranties of any kind; either expressed or implied for the fullest extent permissible pursuant to the applicable Malaysian Law(s).