Upload
others
View
4
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
July 20, 2017
Monthly Update
GST impact, US price erosion to weigh on Q1…
Q1 is expected to be one of the worst quarters in the past many years
mainly due to 1) de-stocking of inventories in the domestic market led by
GST implementation and 2) sharp price erosion as well as high base in the
US and 3) rupee appreciation against all major currencies. We expect I-
direct healthcare universe revenues to decline ~4% YoY to | 35714 crore.
US and domestic sales (select pack) are expected to decline ~17% and
15%, respectively. European growth is expected to be just 7% YoY, due to
the negative impact of currency movement (down 6% YoY). Excluding
exclusivities and consolidation, revenues are likely to decline ~5%. On the
companies front, we expect Glenmark, Natco, Apollo and Syngene to
register double-digit growth. On the other hand, nine out of 19 companies
in the I-direct healthcare universe are expected to register negative growth.
EBITDA of the I-direct healthcare universe is expected to decline 25% YoY
to | 7087 crore. EBITDA margins are likely to decline 543 bps YoY to 19.8%.
An adverse product mix, increase in R&D expenditure and fixed cost are
likely to impact margins during the quarter. Net profit is expected to
increase ~36% YoY to | 3826 crore. The delta vis-à-vis EBITDA will be
mainly due to higher depreciation and lower other income.
On the major news front, the USFDA Oncologic Drugs Advisory Committee
(ODAC) has strongly recommended approval of Biocon/Mylan’s proposed
biosimilar Trastuzumab, a biologically similar version of Roche's breast-
cancer drug Herceptin. The management is confident of receiving final
approval from the agency in early September. Annual sales of Herceptin in
the US are ~US$2.6 billion.
On the regulatory front, Divi’s Lab has received communication from the
USFDA on its intention to lift the import alert ‘’99-32’’ imposed on unit-II of
the Vizag API plant.
Finally, the Indian pharmaceutical market (IPM) grew 7.5% YoY to | 9463
crore for June 2017. IPM growth was mainly driven by volumes – 1.4%, new
product launches – 2.9% and price hikes- 3.1%. On a MAT basis, IPM
growth was at 10.1% YoY to | 113739 crore.
GST disturbance to be temporary but respite unlikely on US front
Almost all players with US franchisees from the I-direct universe are facing
intense competition in existing products and client consolidation in the US,
leading to price erosion to high single digit to low double digit. Increased
USFDA scrutiny and frequencies of inspection/re-inspection is also delaying
key approvals in some cases. Apart from this, strengthening of the rupee
vis-à-vis the all major currencies is also likely to weigh in the near term.
Similarly, other issues/uncertainty in the US, like pricing probe by the
Department of Justice (DoJ), adapting to the bidding process and
imposition of border tax on imported drugs are other near term overhangs.
Back home, domestic growth is also likely to get impacted due to channel
disturbances because of GST implementation. Despite bottom fishing in
some stocks, the undercurrent remains cautious for the sector. However,
we expect the earnings momentum to pick up on the back of incremental
product launches largely on speciality, biosimilar and injectables front in the
US besides normalising of Indian formulations growth.
Health Check
Health Check
Sector View
Neutral
Index Performance as on July 20, 2017
Return (%) 1M 3M YTD 1Y
CNX 500 3 8 24 20
Nifty 3 8 21 16
NSE Pharma 8 -1 -1 -14
Return (%)
Stocks Performance
Mcap
Company 1M 3M YTD 1Y 20-Jul
Sun Pharma.Inds. 12 -11 -7 -26 140836
Cadila Health. 3 20 51 44 55077
Lupin 5 -18 -22 -32 52680
Dr Reddy's Labs 3 6 -10 -25 45715
Cipla 3 -1 -1 9 45540
Aurobindo Pharma 17 21 15 -4 44949
Biocon 24 12 31 76 24975
Torrent Pharma. 8 -12 -2 -11 21732
Glaxosmit Pharma 4 -2 -6 -25 21684
Glenmark Pharma. 13 -22 -20 -17 19975
Divi's Lab. 17 19 -4 -37 19957
Natco Pharma 3 6 73 69 17483
Apollo Hospitals -2 7 5 -7 17258
Ajanta Pharma -4 -15 -18 -10 12919
Jubilant Life 5 -9 17 135 11747
Alembic Pharma 4 -11 -9 -8 10208
Syngene Int. 6 -9 -12 17 9890
Strides Arcolab 12 -3 -1 -11 9416
Pfizer 3 0 0 -6 8344
Wockhardt 11 -14 -2 -38 7116
Ipca Labs. 2 -19 -9 -1 6093
Unichem Labs. 5 -4 6 -10 2482
Indoco Remedies 9 -13 -21 -33 1898
Return (%)
Market cap in | crore
Global Indices Performance
Company 1M 3M YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y
S&P 500 Pharm Index (US) 0 6 11 1 8 14
NASDAQ Biotechnology (US) 5 10 21 16 9 20
S&P Pharmaceuticals (US) 4 4 12 -1 0 12
DJ Pharma and Biotech (US) 3 8 15 8 9 16
DJ STOXX Healthcare (EU) -4 2 9 2 8 13
TOPIX Pharma Index (Japan) 0 5 5 2 13 18
MSCI World Pharm & Biotech 1 8 16 5 5 14
BI Global Spectalty-Generic Pharm 8 16 0 -21 -13 6
NSE Pharma 8 -1 0 -14 5 15
Return (%)
Research Analyst
Siddhant Khandekar
Mitesh Shah
Harshal Mehta
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 2
GST impact - Inventory days reduce sharply in June
Compared to May end, there was a steep reduction in ~24 days
industry inventory days. The primary sales continue to remain subdued
in the first week of July while stockists have not built up inventory again
– they continue to operate with a 17-day inventory. Causes could be (a)
stockist software issues settling down (b) goods in transit c) GST
registrations pending in few cases
July is expected to result in higher primary sales with streamlining of
software issues as well as GST registration at stockists. There could be a
slow and gradual recovery over coming weeks of the pre-GST inventory
levels at stockists
Exhibit 1: Reduction in Inventory days due to GST implementation
Apr End May End 7th June 14th June 7th Jul
Pharma Market 41 40 27 24 18
Sun Pharma 27 25 21 18 16
Cipla 53 53 31 27 22
Zydus Cadila 48 48 37 31 22
Dr Reddys 44 39 30 27 23
Torrent 33 31 22 20 15
Lupin 43 41 28 27 19
Glenmark 44 45 32 27 17
Ranbaxy 44 41 33 29 22
Natco 33 27 18 14 9
IPCA 35 34 26 23 14
Unichem 50 43 32 28 21
Alembic 47 49 34 32 21
Ajanta Pharma 33 37 26 24 16
Indoco 46 42 33 32 19
Biocon 55 55 38 36 22
Company
Inventory Days (2017)
Source: AIOCD, ICICIdirect.com Research
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 3
IPM grows 8% YoY in June
The Indian pharmaceutical market (IPM) grew 7.5% YoY to | 9463 crore
for June. IPM growth was driven by volumes – 1.4%, new product
launches – 2.9% and price hikes- 3.1%
The fixed dosage combination (FDCs) related market de-grew 11%,
while the non FDC market grew 7.9%
Drugs under the NLEM list declined 3.5% to | 957 crore while non-
NLEM drugs posted growth of 8.9% to | 8090 crore. Volume growth in
NLEM and non-NLEM was 1.6% and -0.3%, respectively
Among companies under I-direct coverage, Ajanta, Cadila, Biocon, Dr
Reddy’s, Glenmark, Lupin, Indoco, Natco and Sun Pharma have
registered higher than industry growth rate
Therapy wise, nine therapies have outpaced IPM growth. Notable
among them with growth rates are: anti-diabetic – 18.3%, vaccines –
29.0% and cardiac – 10.7%. On the other hand, anti-infectives grew a
mere 3.1% YoY
In all, 222 new brands were launched in June 2017
On a MAT basis, IPM growth was at 10.1% YoY to | 113739 crore
Domestic and MNC companies have grown at 6.9% and 10.1%,
respectively, in June 2017
Exhibit 2: Domestic formulations - growth trend
[
10.4
8.0
11.3
17.5
13.5
9.0
15.2
7.5
20
7.1
9.9
8.6
7.2
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
May-16
Jun-16
Jul-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
(%
)
Indian Pharma Market
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 3: Companies growth in domestic market in June, 2017
7.7
2.5
18.3
2.6
8.4 8.6
10.1
8.0
3.7
13.4 14.2
12.1
(3.4)
9.8
7.8 8.3
4.2
19.0 17.6
(5.0)
-
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
Ajanta
Ale
mbic
Bio
con
Cip
la
Dr Reddy's
GS
K P
harm
a
Gle
nm
ark
Indoco
Ipca
Lupin
Natco
Novartis
Pfiz
er
Sanofi In
dia
Sun P
harm
a
Torrent
Unic
hem
Wockhardt
Cadila
(%
)
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Therapy wise performance (| crore)
Therapy June' 17 June' 16 YoY (%) May' 17 MoM (%)
Anti-Infectives 1259 1221 3.1 1219 3.3
Cardiac 1194 1079 10.7 1205 -0.9
GI 1176 1108 6.2 1171 0.5
Anti Diabetic 904 764 18.3 893 1.1
Vitamins 858 844 1.6 864 -0.7
Respiratory 552 535 3.0 555 -0.5
Pain 636 604 5.3 644 -1.2
Derma 572 530 8.1 568 0.8
Neuro 569 540 5.3 575 -1.2
Gynaecological 531 487 9.0 516 2.8
Anti-Neoplastics 188 185 1.7 198 -4.8
Vaccines 191 148 29.0 185 3.3
Ophthal 186 174 6.5 187 -0.7
Hormones 163 139 17.2 160 2.0
Blood Related 131 111 18.2 128 2.4
Urology 112 108 3.8 115 -2.2
Others 108 96 12.8 100 7.6
Sex Stimulants 54 45 19.4 56 -4.2
Anti Malarials 35 40 -12.3 32 8.9
Stomatologicals 44 42 4.7 44 -1.1
Source: AIOCD data base
Top brands in Indian pharma market (MAT; | crore)
Brand Company Therapy June' 17 YoY (%)
Mixtard Abbott Anti Diabetic 517.0 6.1
Glycomet Gp USV Anti Diabetic 433.0 26.4
Spasmo Proxyvon PlusWockhardt GI 422.0 32.1
Galvus Met Novartis Anti Diabetic 362.0 24.7
Lantus Sanofi India Anti Diabetic 340.0 27.1
Janumet MSD Anti Diabetic 310.0 24.4
Liv 52 Himalaya GI 296.0 9.2
Augmentin GSK Anti-Infectives 295.0 2.5
Novomix Abbott Anti-Infectives 284.0 49.7
Clavam Alkem Anti-Infectives 280.0 10.4
Source: AIOCD data base
Industry acute to chronic therapy ratio percentage…
Acute,
53998,
47.8%
Chronic,
35812,
31.7%
Sub-
Chronic,
23077,
20.4%
Source: AIOCD data base; As per AIOCD MAT Apr 2017
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 4
IPM grows 8% in Q1FY18
The Indian pharmaceutical market (IPM) grew 7.6% YoY to | 28431
crore in Q1FY18. Growth was mainly driven by volumes increase – 2.6%
followed by new product launches – 2.1% and price hikes- 3.0%
The fixed dosage combination (FDCs) related market de-grew 14.9% to
| 464 crore
Drugs under NLEM list declined 5.5% to | 2911 crore while non-NLEM
drugs posted growth of 9.5% to | 24243 crore. Volume growth in NLEM
was 2.6% while for non-NLEM growth was 0.4%
Among companies under I-direct coverage, Biocon, Dr Reddy’s,
Glenmark, Indoco, Lupin, Torrent and Cadila have outperformed IPM
growth
Therapy wise, 10 therapies have outpaced IPM growth. Notable among
them with growth rates- anti diabetic –17.6%, cardiac – 9.4% and derma
– 10.6%
Domestic companies have grown 7.7% while MNC companies have
grown 7.2% in Q1FY18
Exhibit 4: Domestic formulations - quarterly growth trend
6.6
3.8
6.7
2.2
-0.4
7.9
4.83.9
2.6
4.8
4.6
5.0
5.2
4.5
2.5
1.8
1.32.1
3.3
3.6
3.3
3.7
3.7
3.7
3.7
3.33.0
14.8
12.0
15.0
11.0
7.8
14.1
10.3
8.67.6
-3.0
-1.0
1.0
3.0
5.0
7.0
9.0
11.0
13.0
15.0
17.0
19.0
1QFY16 2QFY16 3QFY16 4QFY16 1QFY17 2QFY17 3QFY17 4QFY17 1QFY18
(%
)
Volumes Price Increases New Products
[
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 5: Company wise growth trends in Q1FY18
7.7
2.5
18.3
2.6
8.4 8.610.1
8.0
3.7
13.412.1
(3.4)
9.8
7.8 8.3
4.2
19.017.6
(7.0)
(2.0)
3.0
8.0
13.0
18.0
23.0
28.0
Aja
nta
Ale
mbic
Bio
con
Cip
la
Dr R
eddy's
GS
K P
harm
a
Gle
nm
ark
Indoco
Ipca
Lupin
Novartis
Pfiz
er
Sanofi India
Sun P
harm
a
Torrent
Unic
hem
Wockhardt
Cadila
(%
)
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Therapy wise performance (| crore)
Therapy Q1FY18 Q1FY17 YoY (%) Q4FY17 QoQ (%)
Anti-Infectives 3713 3678 1.0 3639 2.0
Cardiac 3616 3307 9.4 3501 3.3
GI 3510 3274 7.2 3107 13.0
Anti Diabetic 2694 2292 17.6 2515 7.1
Vitamins 2570 2478 3.7 2309 11.3
Respiratory 1720 1650 4.3 2139 -19.6
Pain 1934 1817 6.4 1815 6.5
Derma 1736 1569 10.6 1691 2.6
Neuro 1729 1647 5.0 1678 3.0
Gynaecological 1564 1436 8.9 1455 7.5
Anti-Neoplastics 589 546 7.9 594 -0.8
Vaccines 569 442 28.6 511 11.3
Ophthal 572 535 6.9 502 13.8
Hormones 482 431 11.7 460 4.7
Blood Related 385 329 17.3 354 9.0
Urology 340 324 4.9 315 7.6
Others 309 287 7.7 297 4.1
Sex Stimulants 169 140 21.1 177 -4.3
Stomatologicals 98 114 -13.8 81 20.7
Anti Malarials 132 125 5.6 117 12.5
Source: AIOCD data base
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 5
Domestic Formulations – I-Direct Coverage universe data summary
Exhibit 6: Domestic formulations – Market Share (MAT Value June 2017)
[
Market Share8.6%
4.7%4.4%
3.3%
2.3% 2.2% 2.4%
1.5% 1.3%0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.6%
0.3%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
Sun
Cip
la
Cadila
Lupin
Torrent
Dr. R
eddys
Gle
nm
ark
IPC
A
Ale
mbic
Unic
hem
Natco
Indoco
Aja
nta
Bio
con
Market Share
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 7: Acute vs. Chronic vs. Sun Chronic (MAT Value June 2017)
39
56
20
4452
42
82
65
32
90
2234
51 51
5024
73
43 2835
628
51
0
53
60 31 34
1120
8 1320 23
13 718
10
25
618 15
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Ajanta
Ale
mbic
Bio
con
Cip
la
Dr. R
eddys
Gle
nm
ark
Indoco
IPCA
Lupin
Natco
SU
N
Torrent
Unic
hem
Cadila
%
Acute Chronic Sub Chronic
Source: AIOCD data base, ICICIdirect.com Research
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 6
Exhibit 8: Top five brands in value terms (MAT Value June 2017)
[5
Sun Brand Therapy Sales (|cr)
1 Volini Pain 240
2 Istamet Anti Diabetic 220
3 Rosuvas Cardiac 216
4 Gemer Anti Diabetic 202
5 Levipil Neuro 179
Cipla Brand Therapy Sales (|cr)
1 Foracort Respiratory 231
2 Duolin Respiratory 180
3 Seroflo Respiratory 152
4 Budecort Respiratory 144
5 Asthalin Respiratory 143
Cadila Brand Therapy Sales (|cr)
1 Skinlite Derma 184
2 Deriphyllin Respiratory 115
3 Pantodac GI 115
4 Mifegest Kit Gynaecological 113
5 Atorva Cardiac 109
Lupin Brand Therapy Sales (|cr)
1 Gluconorm-G Anti Diabetic 191
2 Budamate Respiratory 106
3 Tonact Cardiac 93
4 Rablet-D GI 64
5 Rablet GI 55
Torrent Brand Therapy Sales (|cr)
1 Shelcal Vitamins 182
2 Chymoral FortePain 107
3 Nikoran Cardiac 99
4 Azulix-Mf Anti Diabetic 88
5 Nebicard Cardiac 78
Dr. Reddys Brand Therapy Sales (|cr)
1 Omez GI 110
2 Omez D GI 105
3 Atarax Respiratory 66
4 Econorm GI 65
5 Razo D GI 62
Glenmark Brand Therapy Sales (|cr)
1 Telma Cardiac 171
2 Telma H Cardiac 168
3 Ascoril Plus Respiratory 122
4 Candid Derma 109
5 Candid-B Derma 96
IPCA Brand Therapy Sales (|cr)
1 Zerodol Sp Pain 121
2 Zerodol P Pain 96
3 Hcqs Anti Malarials 83
4 Larinate Anti Malarials 64
5 Rapither-Ab Anti Malarials 55
Alembic Brand Therapy Sales (|cr)
1 Azithral Anti-Infectives 148
2 Althrocin Anti-Infectives 78
3 Gestofit Gynaecological 60
4 Wikoryl Respiratory 59
5 Roxid Anti-Infectives 51
Unichem Brand Therapy Sales (|cr)
1 Losar H Cardiac 103
2 Losar Cardiac 74
3 Ampoxin Anti-Infectives 73
4 Unienzyme GI 60
5 Vizylac GI 35
Natco Brand Therapy Sales (|cr)
1 Hepcinat Anti-Infectives 250
2 Geftinat Anti-Neoplastics 138
3 Veenat Anti-Neoplastics 103
4 Hepcinat Lp Anti-Infectives 99
5 Erlonat Anti-Neoplastics 97
Indoco Brand Therapy Sales (|cr)
1 Febrex Plus Respiratory 86
2 Oxipod Anti-Infectives 49
3 Cyclopam GI 48
4 Sensodent-K Stomatologicals 38
5 Cital Urology 35
Ajanta Brand Therapy Sales (|cr)
1 Met Xl Cardiac 81
2 Atorfit Cv Cardiac 50
3 Melacare Derma 48
4 Feburic Pain 22
5 Rosufit Cv Cardiac 22
Biocon Brand Therapy Sales (|cr)
1 Insugen Anti Diabetic 99
2 Basalog Anti Diabetic 70
3 Erypro Blood Related 32
4 Canmab Anti-Neoplastics 31
5 Insugen R Anti Diabetic 21
Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 7
Exhibit 9: Top five Therapies in Value term (MAT Value June 2017)
[5
Sun Therapy Sales (|cr)
1 Cardiac 1849
2 Neuro 1692
3 GI 1139
4 Anti-Infectives 1001
5 Anti Diabetic 926
Cipla Therapy Sales (|cr)
1 Respiratory 1686
2 Anti-Infectives 1284
3 Cardiac 663
4 GI 409
5 Urology 269
Cadila Therapy Sales (|cr)
1 Anti-Infectives 754
2 Cardiac 694
3 GI 560
4 Respiratory 486
5 Pain 470
Lupin Therapy Sales (|cr)
1 Cardiac 922
2 Anti-Infectives 689
3 Anti Diabetic 533
4 Respiratory 493
5 GI 308
Torrent Therapy Sales (|cr)
1 Cardiac 776
2 Neuro 445
3 GI 405
4 Vitamins 363
5 Anti Diabetic 196
Dr. Reddys Therapy Sales (|cr)
1 GI 527
2 Anti-Neoplastics 349
3 Cardiac 345
4 Respiratory 242
5 Anti-Infectives 194
Glenmark Therapy Sales (|cr)
1 Derma 753
2 Cardiac 602
3 Respiratory 433
4 Anti-Infectives 379
5 Anti Diabetic 171
IPCA Therapy Sales (|cr)
1 Pain 433
2 Anti Malarials 310
3 Cardiac 273
4 GI 125
5 Anti-Infectives 101
Alembic Therapy Sales (|cr)
1 Anti-Infectives 330
2 Cardiac 222
3 Respiratory 194
4 GI 191
5 Gynaecological 176
Unichem Therapy Sales (|cr)
1 Cardiac 425
2 Anti-Infectives 158
3 Neuro 142
4 GI 113
5 Anti Diabetic 55
Natco Therapy Sales (|cr)
1 Anti-Neoplastics 479
2 Anti-Infectives 458
3 Pain 36
4 Blood Related 3
5 Neuro 1
Indoco Therapy Sales (|cr)
1 Respiratory 150
2 Anti-Infectives 143
3 Stomatologicals 124
4 GI 109
5 Vitamins 58
Ajanta Therapy Sales (|cr)
1 Cardiac 269
2 Ophthal 171
3 Derma 127
4 Pain 34
5 Vitamins 32
Biocon Therapy Sales (|cr)
1 Anti Diabetic 227
2 Anti-Neoplastics 76
3 Blood Related 33
4 Cardiac 16
5 Anti-Infectives 10
Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 8
Exhibit 10: Summary of USFDA approvals for June, 2017
[5
Company Drug Name Therapeutic Area Innovator company Generic Version of Market Size
Cadila Healthcare Mirtazapine Cns Organon Usa Remeron Soltab NA
Cadila Healthcare Levofloxacin Anti-Infective Janssen Pharma Levaquin US$1.45 billion
Cadila Healthcare Mesalamine Gi Shire Lialda US$ 714 million
Sun Pharma Diltiazem Hydrochloride Anti-Hypertension Valeant International Cardizem Cd NA
Aurobindo Pharma Pseudoephedrine Hydrochloride Anti-Biotic Mcneil Cons Sudafed 12 Hour NA
Cadila Healthcare Ezetimibe Obesity Merck Zetia US$2.7 billion
Cadila Healthcare Acyclovir Sodium Anti-Viral Gsk Pharma Zovirax NA
Aurobindo Pharma Sevelamer Carbonate Nephrology Genzyme Renvela US$ 140 million
Aurobindo Pharma Ethinyl Estradiol; Norethindrone Acetate Oral-Contraceptive Warner Chilcott Femhrt US$ 39.9 million
Cadila Healthcare Diflunisal Pain Management Merck Dolobid NA
Sun Pharma Felbamate Cns Medpointe Pharm Hlc Felbatol NA
Cadila Healthcare Eletriptan Hydrobromide Pain Management Pfizer Relpax NA
Alembic Pharma Candesartan Cilexetil Anti-Hypertension Astrazeneca Atacand NA
Alembic Pharma Amantadine Hydrochloride Antiviral Endo Pharma Symmetrel US$ 40.1 million
Glenmark Pharma Indomethacin Anti-Inflammatory Iroko Pharma Tivorbex NA
Cadila Healthcare Entecavir Hepatitis B Bristol Myers Squibb Baraclude US$ 206 million
Natco Pharma Azacitidine Anti-Cancer Celgene Vidaza NA
Aurobindo Pharma Ibuprofen Pain Management Abbvie Vicoprofen NA
Cadila Healthcare Oxybutynin Chloride Urology Janssen Pharma Ditropan Xl NA
Cadila Healthcare Phentermine Hydrochloride Obesity Teva Adipex-P NA
Jubilant Lifesciences Bupropion Hydrochloride Anti-Depressant Gsk Wellbutrin NA
Torrent Pharma Anagrelide Hydrochloride Cvs Shire Agrylin NA
Company Drug Name Therapeutic Area Innovator company Generic Version of Market Size
Alembic Pharma Asenapine Cns Forest Labs Saphris NA
Aurobindo Pharma Cigensa Norethindrone Acetate Tablets Urology Teva Aygestin NA
Glenmark Pharma Saxagliptin Anti-Diabetic Astrazeneca Onglyza US$ 820 million
Aurobindo Pharma Linagliptin Anti-Diabetic Boehringer Ingelheim Tradjenta NA
Glenmark Pharma Solifenacin Succinate Urology Astellas Pharma Vesicare US$ 1.1 billion
Glenmark Pharma Indomethacin Extended-Release Capsules Iroko Pharmaceuticals Indocin Sr US$ 6.3 million
Cipla Olopatadine Hydrochloride Opthalmic Alcon Pharms Pataday US$ 235 million
Aurobindo Pharma Quetiapine Fumarate Cns Astrazeneca Seroquel NA
Alembic Pharma Vardenafil Hydrochloride Erectile Dysfunction Bayer Staxyn US$ 9.5 million
Tentative Approvals
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 9
Exhibit 11: US patent litigations [5
Month Innovator ANDA Filer Brand Name API Used for
Jan-17 Sanofi-Aventis Biocon AUBAGIO teriflunomide multiple sclerosis
Jan-17 Sanofi-Aventis Teva Pharma AUBAGIO teriflunomide multiple sclerosis
Jan-17 Sanofi-Aventis MSN Laboratories AUBAGIO teriflunomide multiple sclerosis
Jan-17 Sanofi-Aventis Hetero Labs AUBAGIO teriflunomide multiple sclerosis
Jan-17 Sanofi-Aventis Zydus Pharma (USA) AUBAGIO teriflunomide multiple sclerosis
Jan-17 AbbVie Inc Aurobindo Pharma KALETRA ritonavir HIV
Jan-17 Novartis AG Aurobindo Pharma GILENYA fingolimod multiple sclerosis
Jan-17 Novartis AG Aurobindo Pharma GILENYA fingolimod multiple sclerosis
Jan-17 Shionogi Inc Aurobindo Pharma FORTAMET metformin Type 2 diabetes
Jan-17 Dow Pharma Taro Pharma ONEXTON cindamycin phosphate, benzoyl peroxide Acne
Jan-17 Aptalis Pharma Zydus Pharma (USA) CANASA mesalamine Ulcerative proctitis
Feb-17 Pfizer Inc Torrent Pharma TOVIAZ glatiramer acetate Incontinence
Feb-17 Biomarin Pharma Dr. Reddy's Lab KUVAN sapropterin Phenylketonuria
Feb-17 AstraZeneca AB Dr. Reddy's Lab FASLODEX fulvestrant Breast cancer
Feb-17 iCeutica Pty Ltd Lupin Ltd VIVLODEX meloxicam Osteoarthritis pain
Feb-17 Pfizer Inc Sun Pharma XELJANZ XR tofacitinib citrate Rheumatoid arthritis
Mar-17 Pfizer Inc Cadila Healthcare XELJANZ XR tofacitinib citrate Rheumatoid arthritis
Mar-17 Dow Pharma Taro Pharma Onexton cindamycin phosphate, benzoyl peroxide Acne
Mar-17 Novartis, Mitsubishi Tanabe PharmaAlembic GILENYA fingolimod multiple sclerosis
Mar-17 Teva Lupin PROAIR HFA albuterol sulfate Respiratory
Mar-17 ViiV Healthcare;Vertex Pharma Lupin LEXIVA fosamprenavir HIV
Mar-17 Alcon Research Lupin PAZEO olopatadine Conjunctivitis
Apr-17 BMS ; Pfizer Aurobindo ELIQUIS apixaban Anticoagulant
Apr-17 BMS ; Pfizer Lupin ELIQUIS apixaban Anticoagulant
Apr-17 BMS ; Pfizer Torrent Pharma ELIQUIS apixaban Anticoagulant
Apr-17 BMS ; Pfizer Unichem ELIQUIS apixaban Anticoagulant
Apr-17 BMS ; Pfizer Dr. Reddy's Lab ELIQUIS apixaban Anticoagulant
Apr-17 BMS ; Pfizer Indoco Remedies ELIQUIS apixaban Anticoagulant
Apr-17 BMS ; Pfizer Sun Pharma ELIQUIS apixaban Anticoagulant
Apr-17 BMS ; Pfizer Cadila Healthcare ELIQUIS apixaban Anticoagulant
Apr-17 Celgene Corp Cadila Healthcare REVLIMID lenalidomide Oncology
Apr-17 Elli Lilly Dr. Reddy's Lab CIALIS tadalafil erectile dysfunction
Apr-17 Millenium Pharma Cadila Healthcare REVLIMID lenalidomide Oncology
Apr-17 Bayer Pharma Taro Pharma Xarelto Rivaroxaban Blood Thinner
Apr-17 Bayer Pharma Aurobindo Pharma Xarelto Rivaroxaban Blood Thinner
May-17 Takeda Pharma Torrent Pharma Nesina Alogliptin Diabetes
May-17 Takeda Pharma Glenmark Qudexy XR Topiramate Epilepsy
Jun-17 Allergan Taro Pharma Aczone Dapsone Leprosy
Jun-17 Genentech Sun Pharma Tarceva Erlotinib Cancer
Jun-17 Bayer AG Alembic Pharma Xarelto Rivaroxaban Blood Thinner
Jun-17 Teva Dr Reddy's Lab Copaxone Glatiramer Multiple Sclerosis
Jun-17 Valeant Pharma Sun Pharma Uceris Budesonide Ulcerative Colitis
Jun-17 Omeros Corp Lupin Omidria Phenylephrine And Ketorolac Pupil Dilation
Jun-17 Amgen Lupin Sensipar Cinacalcet Calcium Reducer
Jun-17 Biogen Aurobindo Pharma Tecfidera Dimethyl Fumarate Multiple Sclerosis
Jun-17 Biogen Sun Pharma Tecfidera Dimethyl Fumarate Multiple Sclerosis
Jun-17 Biogen Cipla Tecfidera Dimethyl Fumarate Multiple Sclerosis
Jun-17 Biogen Glenmark Tecfidera Dimethyl Fumarate Multiple Sclerosis
Jun-17 Biogen Lupin Tecfidera Dimethyl Fumarate Multiple Sclerosis
Jun-17 Biogen Torrent Pharma Tecfidera Dimethyl Fumarate Multiple Sclerosis
Jun-17 Forest Laboratories Sun Pharma Linzess Linaclotide Irritable Bowel Syndrome
Jun-17 Biogen Torrent Pharma Tecfidera Dimethyl Fumarate Multiple Sclerosis
Jun-17 Biogen Cadila healthcare Tecfidera Dimethyl Fumarate Multiple Sclerosis
Jul-17 Janssen Pharma Aurobindo Pharma Invokana Canagliflozin Diabetes
Jul-17 Actelion Pharma Sun Pharma Veletri Epoprostenol Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension
Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 10
Monthly Sector News
M&As, Demergers, Tie-ups and JVs
Glenmark enters into agreement with APC Therapeutics (US)
Glenmark has entered into licensing agreement with APC Therapeutics (US)
focused on building a portfolio of immuno-oncology (IO) therapies, for
exclusive rights to a small molecule, oncology compound based on antigen
presenting cell (APC) biology. Under the agreement, APC Therapeutics will
receive development milestones and sales royalty payments.
Jubilant Lifesciences’ ties up with food and nutrition player
Jubilant Lifesciences has tied up with Barentz to work together within the
food and nutrition market in South East Asia. Jubilant Lifesciences will
position the partnership as a leading distribution player in nutrient
fortification.
Cadila enters into agreement with Phibro animal health
Cadila Healthcare and Phibro animal health have announced intention to
enter into long-term arrangement to license Phibro’s poultry vaccine
technologies and know-how to construct Cadila Healthcare new
manufacturing facility to serve poultry market in India
Price hikes, new launches, recalls, approvals
Lupin launches gTopicort cream in US
Lupin has launched gTopicort emollient cream and gTopicort cream
(Inflammation) in the US. Both creams had combined US sales of $38
million (IMS MAT April 2017).
Glenmark gets UK pharmacy license for its ant malarial drug
Glenmark has received approval from UK MHRA for Maloff Protect (anti-
malarial) as a pharmacy license
ODAC panel recommendation improves prospect of Trastuzumab approval
The USFDA Oncologic Drugs Advisory Committee (ODAC) has strongly
recommended approval of Biocon/Mylan’s proposed biosimilar
Trastuzumab, a biologically similar version of Roche's breast-cancer drug
Herceptin. During the discussion, ODAC determined that no clinically
meaningful differences exist between the biosimilar product and Herceptin
in terms of safety, purity and potency.
Aurobindo receives USFDA Approval for Sevelamer Carbonate tablets
Aurobindo Pharma has received USFDA approval for generic version of
Genzyme Corp’s Renvela tablet (Sevelamer Carbonate) 800 mg. The
product is being launched immediately. Renvela tablets are indicated for the
control of serum phosphorus in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD)
on dialysis. The approved product has an estimated market size of US$1.9
billion for the 12 months ending May 2017 according to IMS.
Cadila launches Mesalamine delayed release tablets in US
Cadila has commercially launched generic version of Lialda (Mesalamine
delayed release tablets; USP 1.2g) in the US market under exclusivity. Lialda
is indicated for the treatment of mild to moderate ulcerative colitis. The
estimated brand sales for Mesalamine Delayed-Release Tablets USP, 1.2 g
is US$1.1 billion as per IMS MAT April 2017.
Lawsuits, court rulings, settlements, regulatory issues
Dr Reddy’s receives USFDA observation for Srikakulam (SEZ) unit 1
Dr Reddy’s has received one form 483 observation from USFDA for
Srikakulam formulations plant (SEZ) unit 1. Unit 1 is the fourth facility to be
inspected recently in the same region recently, by the USFDA. However, Dr
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 11
Reddy’s has not disclosed the nature of the USFDA observation, which
prima facie looks procedural in nature.
Ipca clarifies on recent USFDA import alert
Ipca has communicated that the recent USFDA import alert with respect to
banning all products from Ipca facilities (Pithampur, Silvassa and Ratlam) to
the US was related to withdrawal of exemption on certain drugs and no new
inspection was carried out by the USFDA.
Cadila Healthcare receives EIR for Moraiya plant
Cadila Healthcare has received EIR from USFDA for its Moraiya
manufacturing plant. The plant has been inspected from February 6-15,
2017 with zero 483 observations.
Aurobindo Hyderabad facility clears USFDA inspection
Aurobindo Pharma’s Hyderabad manufacturing facility Unit-7 (SEZ) has
cleared USFDA inspection with zero form 483 observations.
NPPA revises prices of Schedule 1 drugs
NPPA has notified the revised ceiling prices of 761 drugs, which are part of
the Schedule 1 of the Drug Price Control Order (DPCO) 2013. The price
increase after the GST rollout would be marginal as the base price has been
lowered.
Unichem Goa facility receives USFDA clearance
Unichem laboratories has received EIR from USFDA for its Goa facility.
Pharma companies FDC woes to continue
The Delhi High Court has denied any interim relief to various
pharmaceutical companies over the government's ban on 344 Fixed Dose
Combination (FDC) drugs.
Biogen sues Indian drugmakers
As per media sources, Biogen has sued 13 drugmakers (inclusive of Sun
Pharma, Torrent Pharma, Cipla and Glenmark) for patent infringement in a
bid to block generic versions of its blockbuster multiple sclerosis drug
Tecfidera.
ANSM finds glitches in Biocon’s drug product facility
On behalf of EMA, French regulatory authority ANSM inspected Biocon’s
Bangalore facility in March 2017. The agency has given GMP approval to
Biocon's drug substance facility while the drug product facility has been
handed with certain observations. As per the company's management, the
observations are minor in nature (related to simple plant modification) and
are unrelated to data integrity or product related issues. The company’s
drug product facility could be re-inspected by ANSM to verify the
implementation of CAPA by the company.
Critical component of USFDA import alert clause for Divis removed
Divi’s Laboratories has received communication from the USFDA of its
intention to lift the import alert ‘’99-32’’ imposed on unit-II of Vizag API
plant. Clause 99-32 relates to refusal of USFDA inspection by the firm,
leading to confiscation of products from the firm. Additional product
exemption and lifting of clause 99-32 indicates affirmative response from
the USFDA with regard to remedial process.
Torrent Pharma receives fresh USFDA observations
Torrent Pharma’s Dahej plant has received five form 483 observations from
the USFDA. The observations were in response to USFDA visit to the Dahej
plant during June 26-30, 2017.
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 12
Others
Cadila Healthcare begins Zyan 1 trials
Cadila Healthcare has started phase 2 trials of Zyan 1 (treatment for
anaemia).
Promoter stake sale of Ajanta Pharma
Promoters of Ajanta Pharma (APL) have sold 3.07% equity shares in APL
and its stake has reduced to 70.71%.
Alembic’s anti-cancer facility inaugurated
Alembic Pharma has inaugurated its anti-cancer facility at Panelav. The
facility has been created at an investment of | 300 crore.
Rating agency revises Glenmark credit outlook
Credit rating agency Fitch has revised the outlook of Glenmark
Pharmaceuticals to ‘stable’ from ‘positive’. The rating agency has, however,
affirmed the long-term issuer default rating of the pharmaceutical company
at ‘BB’.
Exhibit 12: One year forward P/E of NSE Pharma vs. Nifty
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Jul-11
Jan-12
Jul-12
Jan-13
Jul-13
Jan-14
Jul-14
Jan-15
Jul-15
Jan-16
Jul-16
Jan-17
Jul-17
x
NSE Pharma Nifty
2.6% Premium
[
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 13
ICICIdirect.com coverage universe (Healthcare)
Company I-Direct CMP TP Rating M Cap
Code (|) (|) (| Cr) FY16 FY17E FY18E FY19E FY16 FY17E FY18E FY19E FY16 FY17E FY18E FY19E FY16 FY17E FY18E FY19E
Ajanta Pharma AJAPHA 1464 1,880 Buy 12884.1 110.0 56.6 58.2 69.8 13.3 25.9 25.2 21.0 46.2 41.8 33.5 32.1 37.3 33.2 26.8 25.6
Alembic Pharma ALEMPHA 546 605 Hold 10293.0 38.3 21.2 21.7 28.3 14.3 25.8 25.2 19.3 51.6 25.9 20.9 23.6 45.1 21.2 18.8 20.9
Apollo Hospitals APOHOS 1252 1,400 Buy 17415.7 13.2 12.8 16.5 33.3 94.8 97.5 75.7 37.6 6.6 6.0 6.7 10.8 5.3 4.9 5.9 10.9
Aurobindo Pharma AURPHA 674 755 Buy 38680.0 33.9 38.3 37.1 42.1 19.9 17.6 18.1 16.0 23.3 24.8 19.6 19.9 28.1 23.9 19.0 17.9
Biocon BIOCON 419 375 Hold 25119.0 7.7 10.3 7.5 13.4 54.3 40.5 56.1 31.2 9.3 11.4 9.5 15.5 11.5 12.8 8.7 13.9
Cadila Healthcare CADHEA 536 420 Hold 54821.4 15.0 13.7 14.9 20.1 35.8 39.1 35.9 26.7 26.7 13.4 15.0 18.5 28.6 20.2 18.9 21.3
Cipla CIPLA 566 470 Hold 45538.0 18.5 12.9 17.8 25.3 30.6 44.0 31.7 22.4 12.0 8.0 11.0 14.5 12.5 8.1 10.4 13.1
Divi's Lab DIVLAB 757 740 Hold 20096.0 41.5 39.7 43.0 46.1 18.2 19.1 17.6 16.4 30.5 25.1 23.6 22.2 25.7 19.7 18.5 17.3
Dr Reddy's Labs DRREDD 2751 2,610 Hold 45596.6 141.4 70.6 102.3 146.1 19.5 39.0 26.9 18.8 15.3 6.1 10.1 13.9 19.2 9.5 12.4 15.4
Glenmark Pharma GLEPHA 708 910 Buy 19970.5 32.2 46.9 40.5 48.3 22.0 15.1 17.5 14.6 16.2 19.2 16.4 17.7 21.2 25.9 18.5 18.2
Indoco Remedies INDREM 209 180 Hold 1922.7 9.4 8.4 7.7 11.4 22.2 25.0 27.0 18.3 12.9 8.4 8.9 12.1 14.8 12.0 10.2 13.4
Ipca Laboratories IPCLAB 482 525 Hold 6081.5 7.4 15.4 17.6 27.9 65.3 31.3 27.3 17.3 4.5 8.7 9.3 13.2 4.1 7.9 8.4 12.0
Jubilant Life JUBLIF 712 845 Buy 11438.0 26.0 36.1 44.3 59.1 27.4 19.7 16.1 12.0 12.0 13.3 14.8 17.6 14.2 16.8 17.3 19.0
Lupin LUPIN 1170 1,335 Buy 52831.4 50.4 56.6 51.4 66.5 23.2 20.7 22.8 17.6 17.8 16.6 13.8 16.0 20.3 18.9 15.0 16.8
Natco Pharma NATPHA 987 1,055 Buy 17210.3 9.0 27.8 20.6 20.3 109.2 35.5 47.9 48.5 16.0 33.6 22.9 20.3 12.2 29.5 18.7 16.2
Sun Pharma SUNPHA 586 550 Hold 140523.9 23.4 29.0 20.3 25.5 25.0 20.2 28.9 23.0 18.6 19.8 13.5 15.0 18.0 19.0 12.0 13.4
Syngene Int. SYNINT 496 515 Hold 9922.0 11.1 14.3 14.5 18.5 43.5 33.6 33.1 26.0 14.1 16.8 16.4 18.8 21.6 20.3 17.4 18.2
Torrent Pharma TORPHA 1295 1,095 Hold 21921.1 110.9 55.2 45.1 57.7 11.7 23.5 28.7 22.5 46.5 18.9 15.8 17.7 53.7 21.5 15.5 17.2
Unichem Lab UNILAB 273 235 Hold 2485.3 12.3 12.0 11.8 16.6 22.2 22.8 23.2 16.4 13.8 12.0 11.0 13.9 11.7 10.5 9.5 12.0
RoE (%)EPS (|) PE(x) RoCE (%)
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 14
RATING RATIONALE
ICICIdirect.com endeavours to provide objective opinions and recommendations. ICICIdirect.com assigns
ratings to its stocks according to their notional target price vs. current market price and then categorises them
as Strong Buy, Buy, Add, Reduce and Sell. The performance horizon is two years unless specified and the
notional target price is defined as the analysts' valuation for a stock.
Sector view:
Over weight compared to index
Equal weight compared to index
Under weight compared to index
Index here refers to BSE 500
Pankaj Pandey Head – Research [email protected]
ICICIdirect.com Research Desk,
ICICI Securities Limited,
1st Floor, Akruti Trade Centre,
Road No. 7, MIDC,
Andheri (East)
Mumbai – 400 093
ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research
Page 15
ANALYST CERTIFICATION
We /I, Siddhant Khandekar CA-INTER, Mitesh Shah MS (Finance), Harshal Mehta (MTech) Research Analysts, authors and the names subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed
in this research report accurately reflect our views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or wil l be directly or indirectly related to the specific
recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report.
Terms & conditions and other disclosures:
ICICI Securities Limited (ICICI Securities) is full-service, integrated investment banking and is, inter alia, engaged in the business of stock brokering and distribution of financial products. ICICI Securities
Limited is a Sebi registered Research Analyst with Sebi Registration Number – INH000000990. ICICI Securities is a wholly-owned subsidiary of ICICI Bank which is India’s largest private sector bank and has
its various subsidiaries engaged in businesses of housing finance, asset management, life insurance, general insurance, venture capital fund management, etc. (“associates”), the details in respect of which
are available on www.icicibank.com.
ICICI Securities is one of the leading merchant bankers/ underwriters of securities and participate in virtually all securities trading markets in India. We and our associates might have investment banking
and other business relationship with a significant percentage of companies covered by our Investment Research Department. ICICI Securities generally prohibits its analysts, persons reporting to analysts
and their relatives from maintaining a financial interest in the securities or derivatives of any companies that the analysts cover.
The information and opinions in this report have been prepared by ICICI Securities and are subject to change without any notice. The report and information contained herein is strictly confidential and
meant solely for the selected recipient and may not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without
prior written consent of ICICI Securities. While we would endeavour to update the information herein on a reasonable basis, ICICI Securities is under no obligation to update or keep the information current.
Also, there may be regulatory, compliance or other reasons that may prevent ICICI Securities from doing so. Non-rated securities indicate that rating on a particular security has been suspended
temporarily and such suspension is in compliance with applicable regulations and/or ICICI Securities policies, in circumstances where ICICI Securities might be acting in an advisory capacity to this
company, or in certain other circumstances.
This report is based on information obtained from public sources and sources believed to be reliable, but no independent verification has been made nor is its accuracy or completeness guaranteed. This
report and information herein is solely for informational purpose and shall not be used or considered as an offer document or solicitation of offer to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or other financial
instruments. Though disseminated to all the customers simultaneously, not all customers may receive this report at the same time. ICICI Securities will not treat recipients as customers by virtue of their
receiving this report. Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to your specific
circumstances. The securities discussed and opinions expressed in this report may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment
objectives, financial positions and needs of specific recipient. This may not be taken in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment by any recipient. The recipient should independently evaluate
the investment risks. The value and return on investment may vary because of changes in interest rates, foreign exchange rates or any other reason. ICICI Securities accepts no liabilities whatsoever for any
loss or damage of any kind arising out of the use of this report. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Investors are advised to see Risk Disclosure Document to understand the
risks associated before investing in the securities markets. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in projections. Forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to
change without notice.
ICICI Securities or its associates might have managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company or might have been mandated by the subject company for any other assignment
in the past twelve months.
ICICI Securities or its associates might have received any compensation from the companies mentioned in the report during the period preceding twelve months from the date of this report for services in
respect of managing or co-managing public offerings, corporate finance, investment banking or merchant banking, brokerage services or other advisory service in a merger or specific transaction.
ICICI Securities or its associates might have received any compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the companies mentioned
in the report in the past twelve months.
ICICI Securities encourages independence in research report preparation and strives to minimize conflict in preparation of research report. ICICI Securities or its associates or its analysts did not receive any
compensation or other benefits from the companies mentioned in the report or third party in connection with preparation of the research report. Accordingly, neither ICICI Securities nor Research Analysts
and their relatives have any material conflict of interest at the time of publication of this report.
It is confirmed that Siddhant Khandekar CA-INTER, Mitesh Shah MS (Finance), Harshal Mehta (MTech) Research Analysts of this report have not received any compensation from the companies
mentioned in the report in the preceding twelve months.
Compensation of our Research Analysts is not based on any specific merchant banking, investment banking or brokerage service transactions.
ICICI Securities or its subsidiaries collectively or Research Analysts or their relatives do not own 1% or more of the equity securities of the Company mentioned in the report as of the last day of the month
preceding the publication of the research report.
Since associates of ICICI Securities are engaged in various financial service businesses, they might have financial interests or beneficial ownership in various companies including the subject
company/companies mentioned in this report.
It is confirmed that Siddhant Khandekar CA-INTER, Mitesh Shah MS (Finance), Harshal Mehta (M.Tech) Research Analysts do not serve as an officer, director or employee of the companies mentioned in
the report.
ICICI Securities may have issued other reports that are inconsistent with and reach different conclusion from the information presented in this report.
Neither the Research Analysts nor ICICI Securities have been engaged in market making activity for the companies mentioned in the report.
We submit that no material disciplinary action has been taken on ICICI Securities by any Regulatory Authority impacting Equity Research Analysis activities.
This report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where such distribution,
publication, availability or use would be contrary to law, regulation or which would subject ICICI Securities and affiliates to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. The securities
described herein may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors. Persons in whose possession this document may come are required to inform themselves of and
to observe such restriction.
report and information herein is solely for informational purpose and shall not be used or considered as an offer document or solicitation of offer to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or other financial
instruments. Though disseminated to all the customers simultaneously, not all customers may receive this report at the same time. ICICI Securities will not treat recipients as customers by virtue of their
receiving this report. Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to your specific
circumstances. The securities discussed and opinions expressed in this report may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment
objectives, financial positions and needs of specific recipient. This may not be taken in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment by any recipient. The recipient should independently evaluate
the investment risks. The value and return on investment may vary because of changes in interest rates, foreign exchange rates or any other reason. ICICI Securities accepts no liabilities whatsoever for any
loss or damage of any kind arising out of the use of this report. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Investors are advised to see Risk Disclosure Document to understand the
risks associated before investing in the securities markets. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in projections. Forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to
change without notice.
ICICI Securities or its associates might have managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company or might have been mandated by the subject company for any other assignment
in the past twelve months.
ICICI Securities or its associates might have received any compensation from the companies mentioned in the report during the period preceding twelve months from the date of this report for services in
respect of managing or co-managing public offerings, corporate finance, investment banking or merchant banking, brokerage services or other advisory service in a merger or specific transaction.
ICICI Securities or its associates might have received any compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the companies mentioned
in the report in the past twelve months.
ICICI Securities encourages independence in research report preparation and strives to minimize conflict in preparation of research report. ICICI Securities or its analysts did not receive any compensation
or other benefits from the companies mentioned in the report or third party in connection with preparation of the research report. Accordingly, neither ICICI Securities nor Research Analysts have any
material conflict of interest at the time of publication of this report.
It is confirmed that Siddhant Khandekar CA-INTER Mitesh Shah MS (Finance), Harshal Mehta (M.Tech) Research Analysts of this report have not received any compensation from the companies mentioned
in the report in the preceding twelve months.
Compensation of our Research Analysts is not based on any specific merchant banking, investment banking or brokerage service transactions.
ICICI Securities or its subsidiaries collectively or Research Analysts do not own 1% or more of the equity securities of the Company mentioned in the report as of the last day of the month preceding the
publication of the research report.
Since associates of ICICI Securities are engaged in various financial service businesses, they might have financial interests or beneficial ownership in various companies including the subject
company/companies mentioned in this report.