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Alternative Risk Premia June 2020
Guillaume Monarcha | PhD, Head of Research
Orion ARP Indices – June 2020
Source: Orion Financial Partners
Performance summary
▪ The ARP industry posted an average return of -0.1% in
June, bringing the average YtD performance at -5%, from
-23.4% for equity short volatility to +10.6% for commodity
trend.
▪ Performances were quite homogenous across the various
asset classes (from -0.3% for equity and FX ARPs to +0.3%
for commodity ones) over the month.
▪ Within the equity space, low risk and quality premia
recorded poor monthly returns (-1.5% on average, below
their 5th percentile) while momentum and value did barely
better (-0.5% and -0.8%). Trading strategies posted a
monthly figure of -0.3%, implying a continuing
deterioration of YtD drawdowns (from -14.7% for trend
strategies to -23.4% for short vol).
▪ Regarding the other asset classes:
– interest rates risk premia displayed flat monthly
returns across the various strategies
– trend strategies suffered on both commodities (-1.4%)
and FX markets (-1.27%)
– conversely, commodity carry and short volatility did
particularly well (+1.5% and +1.6%).
-0.76%
-1.52%
-1.60%
-0.50%
-0.72%
1.31%
-0.64%
-0.81%
1.62%
-0.29%
-1.40%
1.46%
0.06%
-0.28%
-0.09%
-0.05%
-0.01%
0.03%
0.14%
-0.45%
-1.27%
-2.5% 0.0% 2.5%
Equity - Value
Equity - Quatity
Equity - Low risk
Equity - Momentum
Equity - Trend
Equity - Mean-rev.
Equity - Short vol.
Commodity - Carry
Commodity - Carry (trd)
Commodity - Liquidity
Commodity - Trend
Commodity - Short vol.
Interest rates - Carry
Interest rates - Momentum
Interest rates - Trend
Interest rates - Short vol.
FX - Carry
FX - Value
FX - Mean-rev.
FX - Short vol.
FX - Trend
FOCUS | The building blocks of alternative risk premia allocations – part 1: strategy clustering
Alternative Risk Premia | June 2020 Orion Financial Partners | p.2
Focus | The building blocks of alternative risk premia
allocations – part 1: strategy clustering
Summary
- During the recent crisis, alternative risk premia
(ARP) funds displayed particularly poor figures.
- We can reasonably assume that their
underperformance is linked to strong
imbalances in the design of their portfolios.
- These imbalances are intricately linked with the
core building blocks of sound ARP allocations,
namely: strategy clustering, performance
evaluation, tactical allocation, and portfolio
construction.
- In this publication, we focus on strategy
clustering.
Key takeaways
- Within each asset-class, we identify between 4
and 5 strategy clusters, without any common
structure.
- Intra asset-class strategy structures appear to be
heterogeneous.
- There is no clear segmentation between trading
(dynamic bias) and academic (long/short,
market neutral) strategies.
- Within a multi-asset context, the various
strategies are not necessarily clustered
according to their underlying asset-class.
- Short volatility strategies appear to be isolated
from the other ones, whatever the underlying
asset-class considered.
Implications for investors
- The specificity of short volatility strategies must
be carefully considered for the implementation
of balanced ARP allocations.
- Equal-weighting or risk-based allocation
methodologies are not appropriated when
applied to strategy buckets defined from
providers classifications.
1 From a sample of 27 ARP funds. 2 According to our global ARP index. 3 From an average YtD performance of -23.4% for equity short volatility, up to +10.6% YtD for commodity trend ARPs.
- Ad hoc strategy clustering based on the
underlying asset-classes may be a significant
source of imbalance for multi-asset ARP
allocations.
- More globally, investors should go beyond
correlation/covariance figures and conduct a
deep cluster analysis of their risk premia
portfolio to avoid irrecoverable imbalances
during market stress episodes.
Introduction
During the recent crisis, alternative risk premia
(ARP) funds displayed particularly poor figures: -10%
on average between February 19th and March 23rd,
ranging from -20% to -4.1% for individual funds1. As of
June 30, most of these drawdowns were still running
and even worsened (-11.5% on average, -29% for the
worst performing fund), while equity markets
recovered a significant part of their losses (current
drawdown of respectively -8.4% vs. -33.9% at the
height of the crisis for the S&P500 index, and -16.4%
vs. -38.2% for the Euro Stoxx 50). These deceptive
figures – combined with a mitigated average
performance in recent years – have led to significant
redemptions, estimated at 21.6% (YtD) on average for
the 27 funds of our sample.
However, the performances of ARP funds and those
of ARP indices offered by investment banks have been
significantly disconnected during that period. Despite
the severe losses suffered by certain strategies, the
ARP industry recorded an average performance of -
5.1%2 YtD, with significant dispersion, both between3
and within the various strategies4. How can we explain
such a sharp discrepancy? A first hypothesis could be
linked to the risk budget of ARP funds. Seterus paribus,
higher target volatility would imply proportional losses.
However, the average volatility of funds since the start
of the year (9%) is in line with that of our overall ARP
4 See the cross-dispersion charts in the strategy reports, in the following pages.
Alternative Risk Premia | June 2020 Orion Financial Partners | p.3
index (9.5%), which excludes this assumption as their
average loss is twice more important. On the other
hand, this discrepancy could come from the significant
underperformance of the strategies implemented by
the managers compared to those developed by ARP
providers. However, this hypothesis is unlikely since (i)
the probability that the strategies developed by fund
managers systematically underperform those
developed by investment banks is a priori low, and (ii)
some funds precisely invest in the latter. Another
assumption could be related to loosing directional bets
initiated before the market downturn (e.g. net long
equity), in the form of tactical overlays on top of the
risk premia allocations. It could explain both the
significant drawdowns, and the poor recovery implied
by stop loss policies. If this assumption sounds
appealing and might be true for some managers, one
can however hardly assume that most of the 27 funds
of our sample implemented similar tactical overlays. As
a last explanation, we can reasonably assume that this
global underperformance of ARP funds is linked to
strong imbalances in the design of their portfolios,
which could be attributable to:
- the increased concentration in allocations driven
by the search for yield, through the significant
overweighting of trading strategies (short
volatility especially) in a context of below
average performance for some academic ARPs
since 2010 (e.g. the equity value premium),
- a poor definition of strategy clusters, thus
implying “unwanted” portfolio concentration,
- inappropriate portfolio construction processes
relying on risk-based allocations techniques5.
While these approaches are well suited for
portfolios of traditional asset classes – which are
mainly exposed to systematic risks – they are
poorly appropriated for ARP portfolios6. Indeed,
while their risk structure mainly carries specific
risks in normal market environment7, it can
distort heavily in stressed market context,
implying a sudden predominance of common
(systematic) risk factors8, hence leading to
5 Such as equal risk contribution, risk parity, or minimum volatility. 6 Or more generally for portfolios of alternative investment vehicles.
unwanted risk concentration at the portfolio
level.
Given both the strong heterogeneity of the
individual strategies, these imbalances are not
straightforward to handle. They are intricately linked
with the core building blocks of sound ARP allocations,
namely strategy clustering, performance evaluation,
tactical allocation, and portfolio construction.
However, many investors and fund managers only
focus on portfolio construction, generally based on
risk-based allocation methodologies applied to
diversified risk premia portfolios. Their approach then
relies on 3 strong assumptions: the persistence of the
risk premia performances across market cycles, the low
correlation levels between the various risk premia
strategies, and the homogeneity of investment
strategies that are designed to harvest the same risk
premia. Yet, several elements show that these
assumptions are not necessarily checked. First, recent
studies have shown the significant sensitivity of certain
ARP strategies to specific macroeconomic variables
(growth, inflation, risk aversion…), thus questioning the
“all-weather” behavior of ARP strategies. Second,
there are many empirical evidences that quantitative
and alternative investment strategies might exhibit
significant “hidden” commonalities, especially during
stressed market environments. Third, the whole
structure of the ARP industry cannot be apprehended
from the qualitative descriptions provided by
investment banks alone, as strategies can be highly
heterogenous even when they are designed to capture
the same risk premia. This last point suggest that
strategy clustering based on ad hoc classification might
be misleading, therefore resulting significant
imbalances at the portfolio level.
To clarify these issues, we will detail the core
building blocks of ARP allocations in a series of focus,
starting with strategy clustering in this publication.
The challenge of strategy clustering
Strategy clustering is the backbone of ARP
allocation. It basically consists in classifying single risk
7 Therefore, leading to low covariance levels. 8 And a significant increase in the correlation levels.
Alternative Risk Premia | June 2020 Orion Financial Partners | p.4
premia into strategy clusters. This first step is
necessary for:
performance evaluation, based on specific
benchmarks for each strategy cluster,
tactical allocation, that relies on the
identification of the main macroeconomic
drivers of the performance of each strategy
cluster,
constructing balanced portfolios, both between
and within the various clusters.
Common belief is that classifying the ARP universe
is straightforward, as they are a priori based on well-
known academic risk factors. However, reality is a bit
more nuanced. First, providers’ classifications are not
necessarily homogenous. This is especially the case for
trading ARPs that represent 50% of the global offering.
Unlike academic ARPs, trading ones are based on
banks’ proprietary trading strategies (short volatility,
mean reversion) or designed to replicate hedge fund
ones (trend following). Their classification is therefore
more provider specific9, than in the case of academic
premia. Second, different ARP strategies are not
necessarily orthogonal. They can exhibit similar
quantitative features (correlation, extreme risk
exposure…), especially when their respective
definitions rely on similar economic criteria. For
instance, within the equity space, this is the case for
quality, carry, and profitability premia whose definition
both encompass measures of the underlying company
profitability. Furthermore, differences in the
implementation process can lead to substantially
different outcomes for similar ARPs provided by
different banks. These differences can be found at
various steps, from factor definition, to portfolio
construction, model parametrization, stock ranking
methodology, rebalancing rules and frequencies…
Mapping the ARP universe: a quantitative clustering
approach
9 Identical strategy labels may be attributed to strategies relying on significantly different implementation processes, depending on the provider. 10 The extensive review of clustering options being beyond the scope of this paper. 11 Note that, for validation purpose, we found similar results using the K-means clustering approach.
We propose a 3-step clustering approach to classify
the various ARP strategies, based on their statistical
(thus objective) properties, rather than on providers’
classification. In that part, we have arbitrarily chosen
sound methodologic options for illustration purpose
only, that can however be largely discussed and
improved10.
Step 1 simply consists in a segmentation of the ARP
universe based on the underlying asset-class of each
individual strategy. This ad hoc classification step relies
on the assumption that each ARP carry risks that are
specific to its underlying asset class, independently
from its investment strategy (value, carry, short
volatility…).
Step 2. Within each asset class, we identify the main
strategy clusters from a hierarchical clustering
algorithm11, based on the Ward linkage methodology12.
As ARPs mainly carry specific risks – even within the
same strategy – characterizing them by their
covariance structure could lead to misleading
classification. Therefore, we characterize each
individual risk premia by a feature vector composed of
their individual exposures to the underlying latent risk
factors13.
Step 3. In a multi-asset / multi-strategy perspective,
we apply a hierarchical clustering on the whole asset-
based clusters identified in step 2. To this aim, we first
define a benchmark for each cluster, as the average
normalized returns of the single ARPs that compose it.
We then apply the methodology detailed in step 2 on
cluster benchmarks to classify the whole ARP universe.
12 This methodology is designed to minimize the variance within the clusters. We here consider Euclidian distance measure. 13 Common risk factors are extracted from the covariance structure through PCA decomposition. We determine the optimal number of latent factors combining elbow analysis and the Bai and Ng (2002) IC criteria. Factor exposures are estimated from an OLS regression.
Alternative Risk Premia | June 2020 Orion Financial Partners | p.5
Results
We applied our 3-step approach to a set of 285
mono asset-class and mono strategy ARPs, provided by
10 investment banks, for which data are available from
February 2007 to May 2020.
Step 1: asset-based ad hoc clustering
We first divide our ARP universe in 4 top clusters:
equities (123 ARPs), interest rates (48), commodities
(45), and currencies (53).
Step 2: identification of strategy clusters within each
asset-class
Within the equity space, our quantitative
classification is broadly in line with the ad-hoc
classification based on disclosed strategies. We identify
5 clusters (chart 1, detailed clustering in appendix A),
respectively gathering:
– short volatility and mean-reversion strategies
– trend
– value and carry
– quality, profitability, and momentum
– low volatility14
Chart 1: Clustering of equity-based ARP strategies
Source: Orion Financial Partners
This result gives a first insight in terms of portfolio
construction, at two levels. First, certain risk premia
appear to carry similar underlying features, like quality
14 In our database, we have grouped the strategies labelled low volatility, low risk, and low beta, under the low volatility label.
and profitability, short-volatility and mean-reversion,
or, more surprisingly, quality and momentum. Second,
equity-based ARPs are divided in 2 macro clusters, the
first one gathering trading and value strategies vs. all
other academic strategies for the second one.
Regarding FX strategies, we obtain 4 clusters: value
and mean-reversion, short volatility, trend, and carry
(chart 2, detailed clustering in appendix B). As in the
case of equity-based strategies, value strategies
appear to be closer to trading strategies (short-
volatility and mean-reversion), than to academic
(carry) ones.
Chart 2: Clustering of FX-based ARP strategies
Source: Orion Financial Partners
The hierarchical structure of strategies based on
interest rates shows that the short-volatility cluster
form an isolated branch, while the second one mainly
gathers carry strategies, with more specific clusters
(chart 3, detailed clustering in appendix C). In details:
academic carry strategies (split in 2 clusters
with respectively US and global geographic
focus)
carry (trading), momentum, and trend
carry and short volatility on the other hand.
This distinction within carry strategies highlights the
heterogeneity in the implementation processes of the
various ARP providers, both between academic
(long/short) and trading ARPs (dynamic exposures),
and within academic ones.
Alternative Risk Premia | June 2020 Orion Financial Partners | p.6
Chart 3: Clustering of ARP strategies based on interest rates
Source: Orion Financial Partners
Finally, we identify 5 clusters for commodity-based
strategies (chart 4, detailed clustering in appendix D).
There again, carry strategies are split depending on
their nature – academic vs. trading – or depending on
the definition of carry itself (liquidity oriented vs. curve
carry).
We can draw several conclusions from this intra
asset-class analysis. First, we identify between 4 and 5
clusters within each asset-class, top clusters gathering
from 1 to 4 single clusters. Intra asset-class
classification structures appear to be heterogeneous.
This heterogeneity between intra asset-class
classification is implied by obvious differences, that
come (i) from differences in the definition of certain
factors (especially value and carry) depending on the
underlying asset-class, or (ii) from the divergence in
their global trend (for trend and momentum
strategies). Second, there is no clear segmentation
between trading (dynamic bias) and academic
(long/short, market neutral) carry strategies. They
therefore appear to be highly heterogenous within the
commodity and interest-rate spaces.
To sum up, strategy structures within each asset-
class do not appear to be balanced nor homogenous,
implying that equal-weighting allocation schemes are
not appropriated for the implementation of allocations
focused on specific asset-class. This result particularly
holds for equity-based strategies.
15 As that was the case in March this year.
Chart 4: Clustering of commodity-based ARP strategies
Source: Orion Financial Partners
Step 3: multi-asset, multi-strategy hierarchical
clustering
The hierarchical structure of the asset-based
clusters identified above is illustrated on chart 5. The
first important result is that, conversely to common
practice in ARP portfolio construction, the various
strategies are not clustered depending on their
underlying asset-class, meaning that asset-specific
risks are not predominant in their whole risk structure.
Therefore, allocations based on asset-class buckets at
the top level (e.g. X% allocated in equity-based ARPs,
Y% in commodity ones…) may be a significant source of
imbalance. Second, in line with intra asset-class results,
short volatility strategies appear to be isolated from
the other ones. One can assume that this result is
linked to common behavior in cross-asset volatility,
especially during market stress episodes15. Third, in the
“all but short-volatility” branch, we identify 5 different
clusters, either gathering ARPs based on the same
underlying asset-class (commodity, interest rates),
either based on similar strategies (trend).
Alternative Risk Premia | June 2020 Orion Financial Partners | p.7
Chart 5: Hierarchical clustering of the ARP universe
Source: Orion Financial Partners
Chart 6, through the representation of cluster
exposures to the first 3 common risk factors16,
highlights the complexity of the ARP risk puzzle that
drives industry classification. As illustrated by the
heterogeneity of the exposure to the first principal
component (X-axis), risk diversification between short
volatility (highest exposures) and other strategies
confirms previous results. Among non-volatility
strategies, diversification can be reached through
asset-class diversification (commodity-based ARPs vs.
other asset-classes along the 3rd axis, i.e. circle width,
or FX-based ARPs vs. interest rates ones along the 2nd
axis) or through strategy diversification (trend vs. carry
along the Y-axis).
Overall, several important points spread out from
this illustrative clustering analysis. First, the specificity
of short volatility strategies must be carefully
considered for the implementation of balanced
allocations. Second, investors should conduct deep
analysis of their risk premia portfolio, both across and
within the various strategy clusters, to avoid
irrecoverable imbalances during market stress
episodes. These findings are in line with our hypothesis
that, during the recent market stress, several ARP
16 Extracted from a PCA analysis on cluster benchmarks.
funds were significantly hit by significant imbalances in
their allocation, even if other factors – like bad tactical
overlays – may also have played significant role.
Alternative Risk Premia | June 2020 Orion Financial Partners | p.8
Chart 6: Exposures of the various cluster benchmarks to the first 3 principal components
Note: the width of the circles is determined by the exposure to the 3rd principal component Source: Orion Financial Partners
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
-15.0 -10.0 -5.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0
Exp
osu
re t
o t
he
2nd
pri
nci
pal
co
mp
on
ent
Exposure to the 1st principal component
Equity - Low volatility Equity Momentum/Quality/Profitability Equity - Value/Carry
Equity - Trend Equity - Short-vol/Mean-reversion FX - Carry
FX - Trend FX - Short-volatility FX Value/Mean-reversion
Rates - Short-vol Rates - Trend/Momentum/Carry(trd) Rates - Carry/Vol
Rates - Carry-US Rates - Carry-global Com - Carry(aca)
Com - Short-vol Com - Trend Com - Carry(trd)
Com - Liquidity/Carry
Alternative Risk Premia | June 2020 Orion Financial Partners | p.9
Appendix A – Detailed hierarchical clustering of equity-based ARP strategies
Source: Orion Financial Partners
Alternative Risk Premia | June 2020 Orion Financial Partners | p.10
Appendix B – Detailed hierarchical clustering of FX-based ARP strategies
Source: Orion Financial Partners
Alternative Risk Premia | June 2020 Orion Financial Partners | p.11
Appendix C – Detailed hierarchical clustering ARP strategies based on interest rates
Source: Orion Financial Partners
Alternative Risk Premia | June 2020 Orion Financial Partners | p.12
Appendix D – Detailed hierarchical clustering of commodity-based ARP strategies
Source: Orion Financial Partners
Alternative Risk Premia | June 2020 Orion Financial Partners | p.13
Equity Risk Premia
Performance and risk metrics | June 2020
1At the end of the month. 2Average volatility of individual ARPs (since 2010, EWMA, 63 trading days, λ=0.94). 3Average return / average volatility (since 2010). 4Average return / average maximum drawdown.
Source: Orion Financial Partners
Average/min/max of monthly performances
Current vs. min/max historical volatility
Average/min/max cross-sectional dispersion
Note: average intra-index 6 months cross-sectional dispersion, annualized.
Average/min/max volatility
Note: the grey area represents the min/max volatility levels of the various indices. EWMA volatility (63 trading days, λ=0.94).
Number of
underlying
risk premia1
Monthly
performance
Percentile
rankYtD Volatil ity2
Information
ratio3
Maximum
drawdownCalmar ratio4 Current
drawdown
Value 18 -0.8% 17.2% -9.9% 5.5% -0.27 -20.8% -0.07 -20.8%
Europe 7 -1.1% 12.9% -6.7% 5.4% -0.21 -18.3% -0.06 -18.0%
USA 5 -1.0% 19.9% -13.4% 5.3% -0.46 -30.0% -0.08 -30.0%
Quality 12 -1.5% 2.7% 2.5% 4.7% 0.65 -4.2% 0.73 -1.5%
USA 3 -1.0% 9.1% -1.2% 4.1% 0.14 -9.2% 0.06 -5.9%
Europe 4 -2.6% 0.5% 5.0% 5.1% 0.96 -6.0% 0.81 -2.6%
Low risk 15 -1.6% 5.9% -4.1% 5.3% 0.65 -7.8% 0.44 -6.3%
USA 3 -2.4% 1.6% -5.6% 4.8% 0.51 -9.3% 0.26 -9.2%
Europe 6 -1.2% 10.8% -3.4% 5.4% 0.72 -7.0% 0.56 -5.1%
Momentum 14 -0.5% 26.3% 3.2% 6.3% 0.35 -13.2% 0.17 -5.6%
Europe 6 -1.7% 8.1% 5.6% 6.5% 0.64 -9.7% 0.43 -1.8%
USA 3 0.0% 44.6% -4.6% 6.0% -0.07 -22.2% -0.02 -22.2%
Trading risk premia
Trend 4 -0.7% 29.6% -14.7% 6.0% 0.23 -22.9% 0.08 -22.9%
Mean-reversion 8 1.3% 84.9% -17.1% 8.2% 0.25 -22.1% 0.10 -20.9%
Short volatil ity 40 -0.6% 15.1% -23.4% 8.5% 0.47 -26.2% 0.12 -24.7%
Academic risk premia
Alternative Risk Premia | June 2020 Orion Financial Partners | p.14
Commodity Risk Premia
Performance and risk metrics | June 2020
1At the end of the month. 2Average volatility of individual ARPs (since 2010, EWMA, 63 trading days, λ=0.94). 3Average return / average volatility (since 2010). 4Average return / average maximum drawdown.
Source: Orion Financial Partners
Average/min/max of monthly performances
Current vs. min/max historical volatility
Average/min/max cross-sectional dispersion
Note: average intra-index 6 months cross-sectional dispersion, annualized.
Average/min/max volatility
Note: the grey area represents the min/max volatility levels of the various indices. EWMA volatility (63 trading days, λ=0.94).
Number of
underlying
risk premia1
Monthly
performance
Percentile
rankYtD Volatil ity2
Information
ratio3
Maximum
drawdownCalmar ratio4 Current
drawdown
Carry 8 -0.8% 16.7% 1.7% 6.8% -0.01 -7.9% 0.01 -5.0%
Trading risk premia
Carry 9 1.6% 86.0% 8.1% 4.0% 0.76 -4.6% -0.85 -3.1%
Liquidity 6 -0.3% 23.7% 2.5% 3.7% 0.29 -4.4% -0.19 -1.1%
Trend 5 -1.4% 17.7% 10.6% 8.3% 0.10 -22.4% -0.06 -12.8%
Short volatil ity 9 1.5% 75.8% -9.0% 0.0% -0.63 -17.7% 0.24 -15.2%
Academic risk premia
Alternative Risk Premia | June 2020 Orion Financial Partners | p.15
Interest Rate Risk Premia
Performance and risk metrics | June 2020
1At the end of the month. 2Average volatility of individual ARPs (since 2010, EWMA, 63 trading days, λ=0.94). 3Average return / average volatility (since 2010). 4Average return / average maximum drawdown.
Source: Orion Financial Partners
Average/min/max of monthly performances
Current vs. min/max historical volatility
Average/min/max cross-sectional dispersion
Note: average intra-index 6 months cross-sectional dispersion, annualized.
Average/min/max volatility
Note: the grey area represents the min/max volatility levels of the various indices. EWMA volatility (63 trading days, λ=0.94).
Number of
underlying
risk premia1
Monthly
performance
Percentile
rankYtD Volatil ity2
Information
ratio3
Maximum
drawdownCalmar ratio4 Current
drawdown
Carry 11 0.1% 44.6% -0.4% 8.0% 0.34 -2.0% -0.20 -0.8%
Momentum 4 -0.3% 28.0% 2.9% 2.6% 0.90 -7.1% -0.40 -0.6%
Trading risk premia
Trend 8 -0.1% 39.2% 5.3% 3.9% 1.04 -6.6% -0.56 -0.1%
Short volatil ity 16 0.0% 33.9% -1.8% 4.3% -0.54 -8.4% 0.17 -5.9%
Academic risk premia
Alternative Risk Premia | June 2020 Orion Financial Partners | p.16
FX Risk Premia
Performance and risk metrics | June 2020
1At the end of the month. 2Average volatility of individual ARPs (since 2010, EWMA, 63 trading days, λ=0.94). 3Average return / average volatility (since 2010). 4Average return / average maximum drawdown.
Source: Orion Financial Partners
Average/min/max of monthly performances
Current vs. min/max historical volatility
Average/min/max cross-sectional dispersion
Note: average intra-index 6 months cross-sectional dispersion, annualized.
Average/min/max volatility
Note: the grey area represents the min/max volatility levels of the various indices. EWMA volatility (63 trading days, λ=0.94).
Number of
underlying
risk premia1
Monthly
performance
Percentile
rankYtD Volatil ity2
Information
ratio3
Maximum
drawdownCalmar ratio4 Current
drawdown
Carry 16 0.0% 47.3% -4.2% 6.0% 0.01 -17.8% 0.00 -6.0%
Value 4 0.0% 41.4% 1.3% 4.1% 0.64 -7.5% -0.33 -0.9%
Trading risk premia
Mean-reversion 4 0.1% 43.0% -1.1% 3.9% -0.04 -8.0% 0.01 -1.9%
Short volatil ity 13 -0.5% 16.1% -3.9% 5.6% -0.02 -9.9% 0.01 -4.4%
Trend 8 -1.3% 12.4% -2.4% 3.4% -0.53 -14.4% 0.18 -14.4%
Academic risk premia
Alternative Risk Premia | June 2020 Orion Financial Partners | p.17
Strategy definitions
These definitions are taken from G. Monarcha (2019), “An Introduction to Alternative Risk Premia”, Alternative Investment Analyst Review, Q1 2019, CAIA.
We distinguish two types of ARPs in bank’s offering. Academic ARPs are based on factors that have been well documented in the academic literature, and that
essentially involve the trading of listed and liquid products. Trading ARPs encompass a set of systematic and rule-based quantitative investment strategies, that
alternately aim to replicate hedge fund strategies (trend following, M&A…) or to exploit market anomalies, whose economic rationale may be hard to apprehend.
Unlike academic ARPs, trading ARPs are mostly backed by applied research, academic research being limited by data availability (especially in the case they rely
on the trading of OTC derivatives) or by the lack of theoretical foundations. They also differ from academic ARPs in their construction process. They are not
necessarily market neutral and may be based on a more discretionary stock selection process.
Risk premia Economic intuition Implementation Asset class References
Aca
dem
ic r
isk
pre
mia
Value
Benefit from the price convergence between undervalued and overvalued assets. The
relative value of a security is evaluated by an economic measure (price to book ratio for
the shares, PPP for the currencies ...)
Buy undervalued securities, sell overvalued securities.
Equities, rates, credit, FX,
commodities.
Fama et French (1992, 1993); Asness, Frazzini
(2013); Asness, Moskowitz, Pedersen
(2013).
Momentum
The momentum premium is based on a behavioral bias: demand for securities with
the best recent performance tends to be larger than demand for securities with
weaker recent performance.
Long positions in the best-performing stocks, short
positions in the least performing stocks.
Equities, rates, credit, FX,
commodities.
Jagadeesh et Titman (1993); Carhart (1997); Rouwenhorst (1998);
Moskowitz and Grinblatt (1999);
Asness, Moskowitz, Pedersen (2013).
Low risk, low beta, low volatility…
According to the CAPM theory, investors who cannot use leverage are forced to allocate their assets in a non-optimal
manner, over-allocating to riskier stocks. This generates a market anomaly that, overall, is beneficial to the least risky securities (less susceptible to market
corrections).
Long positions on the least risky stocks, short positions
on the riskiest stocks.
Equities, rates, credit, FX,
commodities.
Ang, Hodrick, Xing, Zhang (2006); Ang,
Hodrick, Xing, Zhang (2009); Frazzini and
Pedersen (2014).
Carry Benefit from the yield differential (rates, coupons, dividends, etc.) between similar
assets.
Long positions in high yield securities, short on low
yielding ones.
Equities, rates, credit, FX,
commodities.
Koijen, Moskowitz, Pedersen, Vrugt (2016);
Gorton, Hayashi, Rouwenhorst (2012); Brooks, Moskowitz
(2017).
Quality
Benefit from the outperformance of companies that show superior quality, in
terms of profitability, dividend distribution, credit quality, governance ...
Long high quality compagnies, short low
quality compagnies. Equities.
Greenblatt (2006); Asness, Frazzini,
Pedersen (2013); Novy-Marx (2014).
Trad
ing
Ris
k P
rem
ia
Short volatility
The structural demand for protection implies a structural difference between the levels of
implied (higher) volatility and realized volatility.
Short straddle, delta hedged by a long position in the
underlying market.
Equities, rates, credit, FX,
commodities.
Coval, Shumway (2001); Ang, Israelov,
Sullivan, Tummala (2018)
Volatility carry Profit from the teem structure of the
volatility curve.
Short volatility future (delta hedged) when the curve is in contango. Reverse position
when the curve is in backwardation.
Volatility
Mean reversion
Exploit short-term market overreaction, generally measured by the difference
between short (daily) realized volatility and longer-term volatility (one or two weeks).
Long or short position in the underlying index in order to
replicate the market sensitivity (delta) induced by
a variance swap.
Equities, rates, credit, FX,
commodities, volatility.
Poterba, Summers (1988)
Trend following / absolute momentum
Exploit trends in asset prices, similar CTA strategies.
Long positioning on securities with positive trend
and/or short ones with negative trend. Directional
strategy (long or short bias).
Equities, rates, credit, FX,
commodities, volatility.
Moskowitz, Ooi, and Pedersen (2012); Fung,
Hsieh (2001)
Directional versions of academic ARPs
Cf. academic risk premia.
Long and/or short positions on the securities from the
investment universe, defined by their exposure level to the underlying risk
factor.
Equities, rates, credit, FX,
commodities.
Cf. the references of academic risk premia.
Source: G. MONARCHA (2019), “An Introduction to Alternative Risk Premia”, Alternative Investment Analyst Review, Q1 2019.
Alternative Risk Premia | June 2020 Orion Financial Partners | p.18
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