An Exit Seminar: Sharing the Internship Experience at IRRI

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    An Exit Seminar: Sharing theInternship Experience at IRRI

    11.Mar.2013 6th SSD Division Seminar

    Hogeun Park, Intern, SSDMS Candidate, Seoul National University

    Supervisor: Dr. Taku W. TsusakaThanks: Dr.Val O. Pede

    1

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    2

    AGENDA1)Major Contents

    The Linkage between Social Relationship and Behavioral

    Spillover, The Case of Irrigated and Rainfed Rice Farmers in

    Bohol,

    Finding the Effect of Canal Irrigation on Farmers Altruism

    and Intolerance, using the Method of Hierarchical LinearModeling,

    Preliminary NMRice Simulation Study using IRRI-MICRA

    Baseline Survey.

    2) Additional Contents

    Field experience in Bohol

    Life in SSD, IRRI

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    3

    The Linkage between Social Relationship and Behavioral Spillover,

    The Case of Irrigated and Rainfed Rice Farmers in Bohol,

    The focus of this paper is the spillover effect throughsocial relationship.

    What kind of social relationship transmits

    behavioral spillover

    Combination of (1) behavioral game experiment,(2) household survey, and (3) spatial econometrictechniques.

    Using Spatial econometric technique for

    investigating social relationship spill over

    effect

    1

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    4

    The Linkage between Social Relationship and Behavioral Spillover,

    The Case of Irrigated and Rainfed Rice Farmers in Bohol,

    Endogenous Social Effect(or Spatial Lag Effect)

    Yi = Behavior(e.g. altruistic behavior)

    Yi

    Xi

    Xi = Individual Profile(e.g. Age)

    Xj

    Xj

    XjXj

    YjYj

    Yj Yj

    i = Residual

    Exogenous Social Effect (orCross Effect or ContextualEffect)

    Correlated Social Effect (orPerturbation Effect)

    j

    j

    i

    j

    j

    Effects of Social Neighbors

    1

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    The Linkage between Social Relationship and Behavioral Spillover,

    The Case of Irrigated and Rainfed Rice Farmers in Bohol,

    Social Weight Matrix

    Spatial Lag Operator

    WX =X =

    x1x2x3

    xn

    x averaged over social neighbors for obs1

    x averaged over social neighbors for obs 2x averaged over social neighbors for obs 3

    x averaged over social neighbors for obs n

    n observations

    n

    n

    00

    0

    11

    0

    0

    W

    row standardization

    The construction ofWwill be based on different social relationships

    e.g.Kinship Friendship Frequency offace-to-faceinteraction

    WorkRelationship

    1

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    The Linkage between Social Relationship and Behavioral Spillover,

    The Case of Irrigated and Rainfed Rice Farmers in Bohol,

    Dictator Game

    P 20ID. P 0

    Your partner is in the OtherRoom

    P 20P 20

    P 20

    P 20

    Only you receive 100 PesosYour partner does not.

    How much do you transfer to your partner

    if your partner is someone in your village?

    The amount youkeep is your payoffof this game

    The amount your partnerreceives is his payoff ofthis game

    Total P100

    Since your partners payoff is totally dependent on your altruism,

    the transferred amount is interpreted as a measure of your altruistic behavior.

    1

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    The Linkage between Social Relationship and Behavioral Spillover,

    The Case of Irrigated and Rainfed Rice Farmers in Bohol,

    Public Goods Game (Two Rounds)

    1

    The game is played by groups of 4 people: You and 3 anonymouspartners.

    Each member is given P100.

    Contributing some amounts to the group. The total amountcontributed will be doubled, and the doubled amount will be

    shared equally among all members, regardless of your contribution.

    We consider two variables in the analysis Message Receipt Dummy

    Free-riding Index (FRI)

    Group Members

    Average Contribution

    Your Contribut

    ion

    Message

    Check

    Dummy

    Indicator for peer pressure on you

    Indicator for degree of awareness of own free-riding

    The contributed amount is recorded as the result of the second round, and is in

    terpreted as a measure of your contributory behavior to public goods in the presence ofmonitoring mechanism.

    with the same partners as in the 1st round.Play the 2nd Round

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    The Linkage between Social Relationship and Behavioral Spillover,

    The Case of Irrigated and Rainfed Rice Farmers in Bohol,

    Our Study Site

    1

    Figure by Barkada Tours

    Irrigated area (IR) and adjacentRainfed area (RF)

    Similar agro-ecological, hydrological, and cultural background.

    IR

    RF

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    The Linkage between Social Relationship and Behavioral Spillover,

    The Case of Irrigated and Rainfed Rice Farmers in Bohol,

    Our dataset consists of primary data in the following

    categories.

    1

    Agricultural and Socioeconomic Data (X) 4 crop seasons from 2009 to 2010

    Age/Gender Dummy/Years of Schooling Latest Season

    Asset/Field Area/Household Size/Household Female Ratio

    4-season Average

    Social Network Variables (W) Oct. to Dec. 2012

    Different Criteria. Different types of social weight matrix

    can be defined. Behavioral Game Results (Y)

    Sep. 2011

    290 randomly selected farmers

    Irrigated (N= 144) & Rain-fed (N= 146)

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    The Linkage between Social Relationship and Behavioral Spillover,

    The Case of Irrigated and Rainfed Rice Farmers in Bohol,

    Constructing Social Weight Matrices

    1

    Using the social network variables, we define the social weight matrices (W), i.e., whoare the social neighbors and who are not.

    For each of the 3 Samples Sample 1: Whole (IR + RF) Sample 2: Irrigated (IR) Sample 3: Rainfed (RF)

    How do we choose social neighbors??

    Criterion 1: How often do you meet with this person? 1 ifevery week or more, 0 otherwise

    Criterion 2: How often do you meet with this person? 1 ifevery day or more, 0 otherwise

    Criterion 3: Whats the relationship with this person 1 if the answer is close relative, 0 otherwise

    Criterion 4: Have you hired him/her for agricultural labor in the past 3 years? 1 ifyes, 0 otherwise

    Criterion 5: Have you exchanged agricultural labor with this person in the past 3 years 1 ifyes,

    0 otherwise

    Criterion 6: Have you ever participated or will you participate in a wedding ceremony of this persons

    family? 1 ifyes, 0 otherwise

    We will examine the 6 criteria for choosing social neighbors, for each of the 3 samples.

    In this paper, we symmetrize the social relationship (e.g., if farmer A says he meets farmer Bevery day, we assume farmer B meets farmer A every day).

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    The Linkage between Social Relationship and Behavioral Spillover,

    The Case of Irrigated and Rainfed Rice Farmers in Bohol,

    Social-Spatial Model Identification

    1

    Below are the spatial models suggested for each case

    by spatial diagnostic tests (LM tests).

    Social Weight Social Weight 1 Social Weight 2 Social Weight 3 Social Weight 4 Social Weight 5 Social Weight 6

    Description Meet every week Meet every day Close Relative Hired labor Exchanged labor Wedding Ceremony

    Sample Whole IR RF Whole IR RF Whole IR RF Whole IR RF Whole IR RF Whole IR RF

    Dictator

    GameCross Cross Cross

    Lag

    &

    Cross

    Lag

    &

    Cross

    Cross Cross Cross Cross Cross Cross Cross Cross

    Lag

    &

    Cross

    Cross Cross Cross Cross

    Public Goods

    Game, R1

    Cross Cross Cross

    Lag

    &

    Cross

    Cross Cross Cross

    Error

    &

    Cross

    Cross Cross Cross Cross Cross Cross Cross Cross Cross Cross

    Public Goods

    Game, R2

    Lag

    &

    Cross

    Lag

    &

    Cross

    Cross

    Error

    &

    Cross

    Lag

    &

    Cross

    Cross

    Error

    &

    Cross

    Cross Cross Cross Cross Cross

    Error

    &

    Cross

    Lag

    &

    Cross

    Cross Cross

    Lag

    &

    Cross

    Error

    &

    Cross

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    The Linkage between Social Relationship and Behavioral Spillover,

    The Case of Irrigated and Rainfed Rice Farmers in Bohol,

    Social Spatial Regression Results (1)

    1Statistical Significance:*** 1 %, ** 5%, * 10%, 15%.

    Dictator GameSocial Weight Social Weight 1 Social Weight 2 Social Weight 3 Social Weight 4 Social Weight 5 Social Weight 6

    Relationship Meet every week Meet every day Close Relative Hired labor Exchanged labor Wedding Ceremony

    Sample Whole IR RF Whole IR RF Whole IR RF Whole IR RF Whole IR RF Whole IR RF

    Model Cross Cross Cross

    Lag

    &

    Cross

    Lag

    &

    Cross

    Cross Cross Cross Cross Cross Cross Cross Cross

    Lag

    &

    Cross

    Cross Cross Cross Cross

    Endogenous

    Social Effectn/a n/a n/a

    0.220***(0.009)

    0.270**(0.012)

    n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a0.291***(0.009)

    n/a n/a n/a n/a

    CorrelatedSocial Effect

    n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a

    Public Goods Game, Round 1Social Weight Social Weight 1 Social Weight 2 Social Weight 3 Social Weight 4 Social Weight 5 Social Weight 6

    Relationship Meet every week Meet every day Close Relative Hired labor Exchanged labor Wedding Ceremony

    Sample Whole IR RF Whole IR RF Whole IR RF Whole IR RF Whole IR RF Whole IR RF

    Model Cross Cross Cross

    Lag

    &

    Cross

    Cross Cross Cross

    Error

    &

    Cross

    Cross Cross Cross Cross Cross Cross Cross Cross Cross Cross

    Endogenous

    Social Effectn/a n/a n/a

    0.091

    (0.265)n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a

    Correlated

    Social Effectn/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a

    0.191

    (0.113)n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a

    While Meet every week (or more) relationship does not lead to the spillover ofaltruistic behavior, Meet every day relationship seems to do so.

    As found in our previous study, no behavioral spillover is found in rainfed areas.

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    The Linkage between Social Relationship and Behavioral Spillover,

    The Case of Irrigated and Rainfed Rice Farmers in Bohol,

    Social Spatial Regression Results (2)

    1Statistical Significance:*** 1 %, ** 5%, * 10%, 15%.

    Under the influence of monitoring, contributory behavior spills over through different types of socialrelationship, particularly in irrigated areas.

    Peer pressure seems to effectively increase contribution, which is robust to different social weights.

    Voluntary correction of contribution is also found in many cases.

    Public Goods Game, Round 2Social

    WeightSocial Weight 1 Social Weight 2 Social Weight 3 Social Weight 4 Social Weight 5 Social Weight 6

    Relationship Meet every week Meet every day Close Relative Hired labor Exchanged labor Wedding Ceremony

    Sample Whole IR RF Whole IR RF Whole IR RF Whole IR RF Whole IR RF Whole IR RF

    Model

    Lag

    &

    Cross

    Lag

    &

    Cross

    Cross

    Error

    &

    Cross

    Lag

    &

    Cross

    Cross

    Error

    &

    Cross

    Cross Cross Cross Cross Cross

    Error

    &

    Cross

    Lag

    &

    Cross

    Cross Cross

    Lag

    &

    Cross

    Error

    &

    Cross

    Endogenous

    Social

    Effect

    0.222*(0.051)

    0.348***(0.003)

    n/a n/a 0.171**(0.048)

    n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a 0.124*(0.071)

    n/a n/a 0.234**(0.017)

    n/a

    Correlated

    Social

    Effect

    n/a n/a n/a0.150*(0.100)

    n/a n/a0.154*(0.052)

    n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a0.223***(0.004)

    n/a n/a n/a n/a0.224

    (0.232)

    Message

    Receipt

    Dummy

    7.433**(0.013)

    6.622*(0.057)

    9.178*(0.089)

    7.000**(0.022)

    4.349

    (0.226)

    10.918*(0.053)

    7.890**(0.016)

    8.105*(0.051)

    10.604*(0.053)

    9.560**(0.025)

    6.851

    (0.228)

    11.654*(0.078)

    12.65***(0.001)

    13.03***(0.008)

    12.178

    (0.105)

    7.388**(0.024)

    6.690*(0.079)

    5.338

    (0.298)

    Free-

    RidingIndex

    0.197**(0.034)

    0.123

    (0.315)

    0.247

    (0.109)

    0.199**(0.034)

    0.122

    (0.349)

    0.176

    (0.232)

    0.256**(0.012)

    -0.058

    (0.698)

    0.231

    (0.132)

    0.162

    (0.220)

    -0.015

    (0.944)

    0.167

    (0.349)

    0.203

    (0.107)

    0.343**(0.022)

    0.221

    (0.314)

    0.243**

    (0.033)

    0.081

    (0.553)

    0.207

    (0.114)

    MRD x

    FRI

    Interaction

    -0.233

    (0.256)

    0.056

    (0.809)

    -0.668*(0.096)

    -0.183

    (0.384)

    0.145

    (0.556)

    -0.739*(0.066)

    -0.460*(0.059)

    -0.179

    (0.487)

    -0.595

    (0.158)

    0.072

    (0.811)

    1.288***(0.007)

    -0.622

    (0.168)

    -0.010

    (0.971)

    0.517

    (0.118)

    -0.355

    (0.451)

    -0.191

    (0.403)

    0.153

    (0.564)

    -0.520

    (0.151)

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    The Linkage between Social Relationship and Behavioral Spillover,

    The Case of Irrigated and Rainfed Rice Farmers in Bohol,

    Concluding Remarks

    1

    I. Altruistic behavior spills over through Meet every day relationship butnot through Meet every week relationship, indicating the role of frequentface-to face communication in the emergence of social norm, i.e., behaveas others behave.

    II. On the other hand, LaborHiring relationship does not result in behavior

    al spillover, while Labor Exchange does, which may reflect the fact thatthe former relationship is more or less businesslike whereas the latter isbased on a mutual cooperation mindset.

    III. As found in our geographical neighborhood effect study, the spillover ofcontributory behavior drastically increases once monitoring system isenforced, implying the importance of such a system in implementing publicwork.

    IV. It is also confirmed that behavioral spillover is not found in rainfed farmingsocieties, suggesting the role of irrigation management in the

    emergence of social norm.

    Fi di h Eff f C l I i i F Al i d I l

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    Finding the Effect of Canal Irrigation on Farmers Altruism and Intolerance,

    using the Method of Hierarchical Linear Modeling,

    To investigate the connection between managementof canal (gravity) irrigation and farmers social behavior

    (1) measures social behavior through behavioral

    game experiments

    (2) estimates the effects of irrigation, neighborhood,as well as individual characteristics.

    Combination of 1) behavioral game experiments and2) hierarchical level model

    The availability of irrigation water in the villagedoes not only improve agricultural productivity but

    also enhances social relationship among farmers

    2

    Fi di th Eff t f C l I i ti F Alt i d I t l

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    Finding the Effect of Canal Irrigation on Farmers Altruism and Intolerance,

    using the Method of Hierarchical Linear Modeling,

    Theoretical Framework

    Behavioral game experiments are designed so as toquantify participants social behavior under strategic

    situations (Gintis 2003).

    Employing dictator game and ultimatum game, whichare developed to explore altruistic and retaliatingbehaviors, respectively

    2

    Fi di th Eff t f C l I i ti F Alt i d I t l

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    Finding the Effect of Canal Irrigation on Farmers Altruism and Intolerance,

    using the Method of Hierarchical Linear Modeling,

    Dictator Game

    This game is intended to elicit participants fairness,generosity, or altruism (Hoffman et al., 1996).

    2

    ?100 PHP is equivalent to 2.46 (USD) by Bloomberg currency data, as of 31 January 2013. The Philippines

    GDP per capita is $2,370 (2011) as per World Bank data. Given these exchange rate and GDP per capita,100 PHP is considered sufficient to ensure incentive compatibility for the experiment purpose.

    Fi di th Eff t f C l I i ti F Alt i d I t l

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    Finding the Effect of Canal Irrigation on Farmers Altruism and Intolerance,

    using the Method of Hierarchical Linear Modeling,

    Ultimatum Game

    This game is interpreted as an indicator of thereceivers retaliating behavior or unwillingness totolerate the level of distribution (Herbert et al., 2003).

    2

    ?x x100 PHP is equivalent to 2.46 (USD) by Bloomberg currency data, as of 31 January 2013. The Philippines

    GDP per capita is $2,370 (2011) as per World Bank data. Given these exchange rate and GDP per capita,100 PHP is considered sufficient to ensure incentive compatibility for the experiment purpose.

    Fi di th Eff t f C l I i ti F Alt i d I t l

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    Finding the Effect of Canal Irrigation on Farmers Altruism and Intolerance,

    using the Method of Hierarchical Linear Modeling,

    Results for Behavioral Game Experiments

    2

    Type of Anonymous

    Partner(1) Irrigated

    Sample

    (N=131)(2) Rainfed

    Sample

    (N=114)(3) t-test for

    mean difference

    |(1)-(2)|Dictator Game

    Someone in Senders

    Purok33.97 27.81 6.16**(20.59) (19.04) [0.015]

    Someone in Senders

    Barangay32.06 27.11 4.96*(21.58) (18.28) [0.053]Ultimatum Game

    Someone in Senders

    Purok 24.43 34.83 10.40***(15.15) (19.61) [0.000]Someone in Senders

    Barangay25.12 34.47 9.36***(16.47) (21.29) [0.000]

    Finding the Effect of Canal Irrigation on Farmers Altr ism and Intolerance

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    Finding the Effect of Canal Irrigation on Farmers Altruism and Intolerance,

    using the Method of Hierarchical Linear Modeling,

    HLM Methodology

    2

    While ANOVA and OLS analyses are commonlyused in quantitative assessments, care must be takenwhen the data are nested (Raudenbush and Byrk 1993).

    Frog-Pond Theory;Robinson(1950) the problem ofcontextual effects

    Reference: J. Kyle Roberts., An introduction to HLM with Rhttp://faculty.smu.edu/kyler/training/AERA_overheads.pdf

    Finding the Effect of Canal Irrigation on Farmers Altruism and Intolerance

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    Finding the Effect of Canal Irrigation on Farmers Altruism and Intolerance,

    using the Method of Hierarchical Linear Modeling,

    HLM Methodology

    2

    Our data set covers randomly selected 238 rice farmerswho reside in 3 municipalities and 18 barangays

    Altruistic and retaliating behaviors arise from socialatmosphere; we try to differentiate individual effects

    from barangay effects

    Employing HLM to account for the barangay-level

    characteristics that are expected to affect individuallevel social behaviors

    Finding the Effect of Canal Irrigation on Farmers Altruism and Intolerance

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    Finding the Effect of Canal Irrigation on Farmers Altruism and Intolerance,

    using the Method of Hierarchical Linear Modeling,2

    Level 1 (Household Level)Variable N Mean SD Min Max

    Age 238 51.38 12.06 14 87Schooling Years 238 6.33 3.02 0 14Asset Holding (Log PhP) 238 10.61 1.09 6.21 13.31Household Size 238 5.93 2.32 1 12.5Parcel Size (ha) 238 1.45 1.02 0.12 8.12

    Level 2 (Barangay Level)Variable N Mean SD Min Max

    Irrigation Dummy 18 0.61 0.5 0 1Age 18 51.3 4.5 43.56 61Schooling Years 18 6.37 0.93 4.46 8Asset Holding (Log PhP) 18 10.57 0.52 9.44 11.53Household Size 18 5.99 1.1 4.65 8.76Parcel Size (ha) 18 1.31 0.46 0.58 2.19

    Descriptive Statistics

    Finding the Effect of Canal Irrigation on Farmers Altruism and Intolerance

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    Finding the Effect of Canal Irrigation on Farmers Altruism and Intolerance,

    using the Method of Hierarchical Linear Modeling,2

    = 00 + +

    ICC(Intra Class Correlation) =0

    2

    (02 +

    2)

    Random

    Coefficient St. Dev.Variance

    Component d.f. 2 p-value ICC

    Dictator GameIntercept 1, u0 5.830 33.989 17 38.817 0.002 0.085Level-1, r 19.079 364.008

    Ultimatum GameINTRCPT1, u0 6.668 44.463 17 49.456

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    Finding the Effect of Canal Irrigation on Farmers Altruism and Intolerance,

    using the Method of Hierarchical Linear Modeling,2

    [Level-1 Equation]Yij = 0j + 1j (Ageij) + 2j(Schooling Yearsij) + 3j (Assetij) + 4j(Household Sizeij)+ 5j (Parcel Sizeij) + rij

    [Level-2 Equation]0j = 00 + u0j, 1j = 10 + u1j, 2j = 20 + u2j, 3j = 30 + u3j, 4j = 40 + u4j, 5j = 50 +u5j

    Estimates for Level-1 Equations

    Game

    Type

    0

    (Intercept 1)Age

    Schooling

    YearsAsset

    Household

    Size

    Parcel

    Size

    Dictator 28.789*** -0.268*** 0.109 -0.658 0.143 0.375

    Ultimatum 28.117*** -0.067 -0.578* -1.984* -0.427 0.797

    *** p < 0.01, * p < 0.10 1

    23

    Finding the Effect of Canal Irrigation on Farmers Altruism and Intolerance

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    Finding the Effect of Canal Irrigation on Farmers Altruism and Intolerance,

    using the Method of Hierarchical Linear Modeling,2

    Yij = 00 + 01 (Irrigation Dummyj) + 02 (Agej) + 03 (Schooling Yearj) + 04 (Assetj) +05 (Household Sizej) + 06 (Parcel Sizej) + 10 (Ageij) + 20 (Schooling Yearij) +30 (Assetij) + 40 (Household Sizeij) + 50 (Parcel Sizeij) + u0j + u1j (Ageij) + u2j (Schooling yearij) + u3j (Assetij) + u4j (Household Sizeij) + u5j (Parcel Sizeij)+ rij

    Game

    Type

    00

    (Intercept 2)

    Irrigation

    DummyAge

    Schooling

    YearsAsset

    Household

    Size

    Parcel

    Size

    Dictator 23.387*** 9.053* 0.166 -0.259 4.348* -0.724 6.087

    Ultimatum 39.092*** -14.012*** -0.697** -1.124 -8.585*** 0.885 -4.964

    *** p < 0.01, ** p

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    Finding the Effect of Canal Irrigation on Farmers Altruism and Intolerance,

    using the Method of Hierarchical Linear Modeling,2

    The result is highly suggestive of the significant socialeffects of canal irrigation schemes.

    The positive effect on altruism and the negative effect

    on retaliation indicate that the type of social interactionspromoted by the necessity for collective irrigationmanagement leads to inducing the accumulation ofgood social behavior among farmers.

    One clue to validating the irrigation effect is to considerthe existence of TSAs (turnout service associations)in the irrigated communities

    Concluding Remarks

    Finding the Effect of Canal Irrigation on Farmers Altruism and Intolerance

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    Finding the Effect of Canal Irrigation on Farmers Altruism and Intolerance,

    using the Method of Hierarchical Linear Modeling,2

    TSA- private canal construction- purchasing machinery- providing micro credit

    Compared with the rainfed, irrigated farmers are

    exposed to more opportunities to meet and discuss

    public arrangements with their neighbors

    Dual role: to boost the rural economy throughincreased production, and to accumulate socialcapital among farmers.

    Concluding Remarks

    Finding the Effect of Canal Irrigation on Farmers Altruism and Intolerance

    2

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    Finding the Effect of Canal Irrigation on Farmers Altruism and Intolerance,

    using the Method of Hierarchical Linear Modeling,2

    Anecdotal Information

    ( Inday Salaum )

    Cultivated cassava before irrigation project

    Cultivating Hybrid Rice twice a year

    Three children- Crop science- Veterinary- Agronomy

    Promoting children back to village foragriculture

    Several neighbors children already backto village for their career

    Irrigation and modern agricultural technology can prevent

    brain drain from rural areas.

    Finding the Effect of Canal Irrigation on Farmers Altruism and Intolerance

    2

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    Finding the Effect of Canal Irrigation on Farmers Altruism and Intolerance,

    using the Method of Hierarchical Linear Modeling,2

    Limitation

    Our behavioral game experiments were conducted in 2011 which

    was after the construction of irrigation. This survey structure

    prevents us from formulating a difference-in-difference

    estimator that ensures a more proper impact assessment.

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    Introduction

    In 2011, IRRI in collaboration with MICRA conducted the baselinehousehold survey on rice farmers over two crop seasons (dry andwet) in four provinces of the Philippines, namely, Bohol, Bukidnon,Pangasinan, and Tarlac. 240 rice and corn farmers that had

    irrigated land were randomly selected.

    NMRice is being developed on the basis of solid agronomicsciences, it has not been empirically examined to what extent thetool can actually contribute to improving agricultural productivity

    and profitability at farm level.

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    Methodology

    By comparing FP with NM, the sample farmers are divided into twoor three groups (depending on the criterion) in accordance with theproximity of FP to NM

    Nitrogen Quantity Applied: FP is defined as NM-Close if the FP quantity is 80-120% of the NM quantity, NM-Mid if 50-80% or 120-150%, and NM-Far if below 50% orabove 150%.

    Phosphorus Pentoxide Quantity Applied: FP is defined as NM-Close if the FPquantity is 80-120% of the NM quantity, NM-Mid if 30-80% or 120-170%, andNM-Far if below 30% or above 170%.

    Potassium Oxide Quantity Applied: FP is defined as NM-Close if the FP quantityis 80-120% fo the NM quantity, NM-Mid if 30-80% or 120%-170%, and NM-Far ifbelow 30% or above 170%.

    Timing of the First Application: FP is defined as NM-Close if the FP timing iswithin 3 days of the NM timing, and NM-Far if the FP timing differs from the NMtiming by more than 3 days.

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    Nitrogen (N) Quantity Applied (kg/hectare)

    Average(Standard Deviation)

    Region FP NM SampleSize (FP-NM) P-Value

    Bohol 25.87(20.80) 60.10(18.47) 48 -34.23*** 0.000

    Bukidnon 26.04(14.01)

    78.30(30.24) 16 -52.26*** 0.000

    Pangasinan 130.30(106.54) 65.58(24.61) 22 64.72*** 0.013

    Tarlac 94.97(103.00) 77.62(20.84) 51 7.35 0.237

    WeightedAverage 68.38(86.94) 69.63(23.22) 137 -1.25 0.868FP and NM show the average values with the standard deviation in the parentheses. *** p< 0.01 ** p< 0.05

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    Phosphorus Pentoxide(P2O5) Quantity Applied (kg/hectare)

    Region FP NM SampleSize (FP-NM) P-Value

    Bohol 22.96(20.41) 16.99(4.66) 48 5.97*** 0.046

    Bukidnon 7.79(10.52) 20.08(8.16) 16 -12.29*** 0.001

    Pangasinan 6.85(20.13) 18.40(6.07) 22 -11.55** 0.014

    Tarlac 4.28(14.19) 19.64(5.26) 51 -15.36*** 0.000

    WeightedAverage 11.65(19.07) 18.56(5.68) 137 -6.91*** 0.000

    Average(Standard Deviation)

    FP and NM show the average values with the standard deviation in the parentheses. *** p< 0.01 ** p< 0.05

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    Potassium Oxide (K2O)Quantity Applied (kg/hectare

    Average(Standard Deviation)

    Region FP NM SampleSize (FP-NM) P-Value

    Bohol 16.70(19.71) 16.99(21.74) 48 -0.29 0.918

    Bukidnon 6.54(10.15) 20.08(66.64) 16 -13.54*** 0.000

    Pangasinan 3.82(15.08) 17.75(7.19) 22 -13.93*** 0.001

    Tarlac 2.06(12.07) 18.90(46.90) 51 -16.84*** 0.000

    WeightedAverage 7.99(16.65) 18.18(6.42) 137 -10.19*** 0.000FP and NM show the average values with the standard deviation in the parentheses. *** p< 0.01 ** p< 0.05

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    Frequency of Fertilizer Applications

    Average(Standard Deviation)

    Region FP NM SampleSize (FP-NM) P-Value

    Bohol 2.06(0.41) 2.21(0.67) 48 -0.15 0.164

    Bukidnon 2.00(0.89) 2.50(0.63) 16 -0.50** 0.041

    Pangasinan 1.78(0.52) 2.35(0.49) 23 -0.57*** 0.000

    Tarlac 2.29(0.61) 2.51(0.51) 51 -0.22 0.062

    WeightedAverage 2.09(0.50) 2.38(0.67) 138 -0.29*** 0.000FP and NM show the average values with the standard deviation in the parentheses. *** p< 0.01 ** p< 0.05

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    Timing of the1st Application

    Region FP Early Late SampleSize (FP-NMEarly) (FP-NMLate)

    Bohol 10.85(6.39) 0.00(0.00) 13.83(0.81) 48 10.85*** -2.98 ***

    Bukidnon 16.25(9.03) 5.25(6.15) 14.88(1.02) 16 11.00*** 1.37

    Pangasinan 5.30(7.96) 4.70(5.99) 14.26(1.95) 23 0.60 -8.96***

    Tarlac 12.02(3.15) 0.00(0.00) 13.06(1.71) 51 12.02*** -1.03**

    WeightedAverage

    10.99(6.92) 1.39(3.86) 13.74(1.54) 138 9.60*** -2.75***

    NM Range

    FP and NM show the average values with the standard deviation in the parentheses. *** p< 0.01 ** p< 0.05

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    Whose Practice is Close to NM Recommendation?- Coefficient of Correlation bet. Grouping & Factors

    Nitrogen (N) Quantity Applied (kg/hectare)

    Region SampleSize

    PlotSize

    CornRotation Age Gender

    SchoolingYears

    IrrigationCost

    Bohol 48 -0.387*** -0.021 0.147 0.130 -0.062 0.386***

    Bukidnon 16 0.190 -0.289 0.011 -0.372 0.236 0.400

    Pangasinan 22 -0.181 -0.224 -0.284 n/a -0.111 -0.003

    Tarlac 51 0.080 -0.157 0.072 0.030 -0.215 0.148

    WeightedAverage137 -0.012 -0.223*** 0.015 -0.015 -0.126 0.125

    n/a cannot be computed because at least one of the variables is constant*** p < 0.01, ** p

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    Whose Practice is Close to NM Recommendation?- Coefficient of Correlation bet. Grouping & Factors

    Phosphorus Pentoxide(P2O5) Quantity Applied (kg/hectare)

    n/a cannot be computed because at least one of the variables is constant*** p < 0.01, ** p

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    Whose Practice is Close to NM Recommendation?- Coefficient of Correlation bet. Grouping & Factors

    Potassium Oxide (K2O) Quantity Applied (kg/hectare)

    n/a cannot be computed because at least one of the variables is constant*** p < 0.01, ** p

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    Whose Practice is Close to NM Recommendation?- Coefficient of Correlation bet. Grouping & Factors

    Timing of the 1st Application

    n/a cannot be computed because at least one of the variables is constant*** p < 0.01, ** p

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    3

    Would NM Practice lead to Better Productivity?- Coefficient of Correlation bet. Grouping & Factors

    Nitrogen (N) Quantity Applied (kg/hectare)

    n/a cannot be computed because at least one of the variables is constant*** p < 0.01, ** p

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    3

    Would NM Practice lead to Better Productivity?- Coefficient of Correlation bet. Grouping & Factors

    Phosphorus pentoxide(P2O5) Quantity Applied (kg/hectare)

    n/a cannot be computed because at least one of the variables is constant*** p < 0.01, ** p

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    Would NM Practice lead to Better Productivity?- Coefficient of Correlation bet. Grouping & Factors

    Potassium oxide (K2O)Nitrogen Quantity Applied (kg/hectare)

    n/a cannot be computed because at least one of the variables is constant*** p < 0.01, ** p

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    Would NM Practice lead to Better Productivity?- Coefficient of Correlation bet. Grouping & Factors

    Timing Of the 1st Fertilizer Application

    n/a cannot be computed because at least one of the variables is constant*** p < 0.01, ** p

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    Regression Model, Profitability

    VariablesStandardizedCoefficients

    P-Value

    FP-NM Proximity: N Quantity 0.178* 0.07FP-NM Proximity: P2O5 Quantity 0.029 0.893FP-NM Proximity: K2O Quantity -0.083 0.695FP-NM Proximity: Timing of

    the 1st Application 0.227** 0.031Parcel Size 0.051 0.628Corn Rotation 0.079 0.479Age (Household Head) 0.146 0.162Gender Dummy (Household Head) 0.007 0.944Years of Schooling (Household Head) 0.037 0.73

    Bukidnon Dummy 0.054 0.648Pangasinan Dummy -0.311** 0.018Tarlac Dummy -0.163 0.244Observations 121R2 0.179Adjusted R2 0.071F-Statistic (P-Value) 1.656 (0.076)

    **: p < 0.05, *: p < 0.10

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    Regression Model, Yield

    VariablesStandardizedCoefficients

    P-Value

    FP-NM Proximity: N Quantity 0.005 .964FP-NM Proximity: P2O5 Quantity -.066 .767FP-NM Proximity: K2O Quantity 0.265 .217FP-NM Proximity: Timing of

    the 1st Application 0.043 .921Parcel Size -.052 .684Corn Rotation 0.243*** .256Age (Household Head) -.095 .629Gender Dummy (Household Head) -.126 .033Years of Schooling (Household Head) 0.004 .367

    Bukidnon Dummy 0.098 .185Pangasinan Dummy -0.106 .970Tarlac Dummy 0.220 .413Observations 125R2 0.158Adjusted R2 0.047F-Statistic (P-Value) 1.418 (0.157)

    **: p < 0.05, : p < 0.15

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    Quantity of nitrogen applied per area, is correlatedpositively with farm profitability and negatively withoverall fertilizer cost per area.

    Timing of the first application, the FP-NM proximity isagain positively and highly significantly correlatedwith farm profitability on aggregate, and particularlyin Pangasinan.

    NM-generated nitrogen quantity and timing of the firstapplication would be beneficial for improving farmprofitability

    Concluding Remarks

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    Thank you for your attention