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Analysis of Clutch Performance in Men’s Professional Tennis Kevin Haugh

Analysis of Clutch Performance in Men’s Professional Tennis · 2016. 6. 9. · Methods 1. Assign every point a value of importance 2. Evaluate players based their performance on

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Page 1: Analysis of Clutch Performance in Men’s Professional Tennis · 2016. 6. 9. · Methods 1. Assign every point a value of importance 2. Evaluate players based their performance on

Analysis of Clutch Performance in Men’s Professional Tennis Kevin Haugh

Page 2: Analysis of Clutch Performance in Men’s Professional Tennis · 2016. 6. 9. · Methods 1. Assign every point a value of importance 2. Evaluate players based their performance on

Clutch Performance: a player’s ability to win the important points

Page 3: Analysis of Clutch Performance in Men’s Professional Tennis · 2016. 6. 9. · Methods 1. Assign every point a value of importance 2. Evaluate players based their performance on

Methods 1.  Assign every point a value of importance 2.  Evaluate players based their performance on important

points

Page 4: Analysis of Clutch Performance in Men’s Professional Tennis · 2016. 6. 9. · Methods 1. Assign every point a value of importance 2. Evaluate players based their performance on

Point Importance

Point importance =

P(Player wins match | Player wins point) – P(Player wins match)

Page 5: Analysis of Clutch Performance in Men’s Professional Tennis · 2016. 6. 9. · Methods 1. Assign every point a value of importance 2. Evaluate players based their performance on

Serve Importance

Most important

Least important

Page 6: Analysis of Clutch Performance in Men’s Professional Tennis · 2016. 6. 9. · Methods 1. Assign every point a value of importance 2. Evaluate players based their performance on

Player Evaluations

Page 7: Analysis of Clutch Performance in Men’s Professional Tennis · 2016. 6. 9. · Methods 1. Assign every point a value of importance 2. Evaluate players based their performance on

Comparison to Importance Plus-Minus

Page 8: Analysis of Clutch Performance in Men’s Professional Tennis · 2016. 6. 9. · Methods 1. Assign every point a value of importance 2. Evaluate players based their performance on

Overall Serve/Return Clutchness

Page 9: Analysis of Clutch Performance in Men’s Professional Tennis · 2016. 6. 9. · Methods 1. Assign every point a value of importance 2. Evaluate players based their performance on

Limitations/Extensions

•  Favors players in close matches

•  Include how a player wins the

point • Doesn’t take round into account

Page 10: Analysis of Clutch Performance in Men’s Professional Tennis · 2016. 6. 9. · Methods 1. Assign every point a value of importance 2. Evaluate players based their performance on

Sources http://www.atpworldtour.com/en/news/us-open-2015-final-how-the-match-was-won-djokovic-federer http://i.usatoday.net/sports/_photos/2011/06/10/wimbledon-marathon-match-a-year-later-VG5SQ29-x-large.jpg http://on-the-t.com/2015/12/27/Quantifying-Clutch-Performance http://tennis.topbuzz.com/tennis-pics/d/5074-2/Roger+Federer+hoists+his+2008+US+Open+trophy.jpg