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ANALYST BRIEFING 2Q11 Performance Results 11 August 2011

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Page 1: ANALYST BRIEFING 2Q11 Performance Results › media › kcfinder › docs › itm... · 2Q11 Performance Results 11 August 2011. ... information. Any forward looking informa tion

ANALYST BRIEFING2Q11 Performance Results

11 August 2011

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DISCLAIMER

The views expressed here contain information derived from publicly available sources that have not been independently verified. No representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the

information. Any forward looking information in this presentation has been prepared on the basis of a number of assumptions which may prove to be incorrect. This presentation should not be relied upon as a recommendation or

forecast by PT. Indo Tambangraya Megah Tbk. Nothing in this release should be construed as either an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell shares in any jurisdiction

2

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1. Introduction

2. Financial Review

3. Operational Review

4. Commercial Review

Agenda

3

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Agenda

4

1. Introduction

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Highlights of 2Q11 & 1H11 – the figures

5

2Q11

502

38%

151

110

$97.4

Q-Q

+7%

+5%

+29%

+16%

+12%

Unit: USD Million

Coal sales

5.22 MtDown 0.3 Mt

-5% Q-Q

1H11

970

35%

268

205

$92.2

y-y%

+19%

+1%

+34%

+53%

+28%

Coal sales

10.71 MtDown 0.6 Mt

-6 % y-y

Total Revenue

Gross Profit Margin

EBIT

Net income

ASP (USD/ton)

1H10

815

34%

200

134

$72.0

1Q11

468

33%

117

95

$87.3

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Agenda

6

2. Financial Review

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Sales Revenue

7

2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11

2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11

Units: Million TonSALES VOLUME

Units: USD/Ton

AVERAGE SELLING PRICE

Units: USD Million

REVENUE* GROWTH

IndomincoTrubaindo

JorongKitadin

* Net coal revenue2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q112Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11

412394

447

5.3 5.05.8 5.5

-2% YoY-5% QoQ

+25% YoY+12% QoQ

78.2 78.3 77.687.3

+23% YoY+6% QoQ

479

5.2

97.4

2Q11

508

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Average Gross Margin

* COGS included royalty

8

ITM Consolidated Indominco Trubaindo Kitadin Jorong

2Q10

412

36%

353

28%

114

32%49

27%0

41%

Units: USD millions

1Q1110% 19%

Total Revenue

GPM* (%)

2Q11

468

33%22%

37%

13%2Q10 1Q11 2Q11 2Q10 1Q11 2Q11 2Q10 1Q11 2Q11 2Q10 1Q11 2Q11

364

164

44

18%

19

501

38%

28%

396

37%

180

36

18% 19%23%

23

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EBITDA

9

Units: USD million CONSOLIDATED

MINE BY MINE

*COGS = Prod cost + Transport cost + Inv. movement

Revenue1Q112Q10 2Q11

131.8

COGS SellingRoyalty Admin

119.1

87.7

25.512.0

(9.8)

Indominco Trubaindo2Q10

Kitadin Jorong1Q11 2Q11

71.6

47.0

10.61.9

Units: USD million

2Q10 1Q11 2Q11 2Q10 1Q11 2Q11 2Q10 1Q11 2Q11

164.9(4.1)+33.7 +25%QoQ

102.2

51.5

8.6 4.4

+6.8 (0.6) (2.7)

Royalty increased with revenuesHigher ASP

by 12%

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Net Income

10

1Q11 2Q11OthersEBIT IncomeTax

DerivativeTransactions

FOREXNet Fin.Charges

2Q10

CONSOLIDATED

MINE BY MINE

Units: USD million

67.0

110.1

52.2

7.6

17.0

(8.1)

Indominco Trubaindo JorongKitadin

55.2

33.0

5.4

2Q10 1Q11 2Q11 2Q10 1Q11 2Q11 2Q10 1Q11 2Q11 2Q10 1Q11 2Q11

Units: USD million

(0.4)

+33.4

(14.2)+1.4

(4.7)

+16%QoQ

95.2

+0.8

Higher ASP by 12% Derivative

loss

67.6

33.8

4.0 3.2

(1.8)

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Balance Sheet

11

Net Gearing (%)

Net D/E (times)

(30%)

(0.34)(0.36)

(34%)

(Units: USD million)

CASH POSITION

2007 2008

258222

(Units: USD million)

DEBT POSITION

2007 2008

92

11

55

2009

429

(0.47)

(44%)

2009

2Q11

394

0

2Q11

(0.44)

(44%)

295

2010

0

2010

(0.41)

(41%)

2007 2008 2009 2Q112010

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2011 Capital Expenditure Plan: USD 126 m

12

Units: USD million

Trubaindo infrastructure

Indominco East block washing plant

Indominco port improvement

Td.Mayang equipment

Bharinto development

2.8

Realized up to June’11

2011 major Capex plan

57.2

7.1

7.2

10.5

33.4Maintenance and

improvement initiatives

0.0

4.4

2.2

10.6

3.0

8.9

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Agenda

13

2. Operational Review

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ITM Operations in 2011

East Kalimantan

Bunyut Port

Balikpapan

Palangkaraya

Banjarmasin

Central Kalimantan

South Kalimantan

KITADIN EMBALUT1.0 Mt

INDOMINCO 15.0 Mt

TRUBAINDO 7.3 Mt

JORONG 1.0 Mt

ITM OPERATIONS & PROJECTS

Captive coal-fired power

Samarinda

Jorong Port

Bontang Coal Terminal

OperationProject

Indominco

Trubaindo

Bharinto

Embalut

Td. Mayang

Jorong

14

Total coal output:1H11: 11.0 MtFY11: 25.0 Mt target

- 1H11 output: 6.6Mt- FY11 target: 15.0Mt

- 1H11 output: 3.1Mt- FY11 target: 7.3Mt

- First production output by 4Q 2011- FY11 target: 0.2Mt

- 1H11 output: 0.6Mt- FY11 target: 1.0Mt

- Works as mining contractor at IMM area- Production from own mine will commence

by 2H 2011- FY11 target: 0.5Mt

- 1H11 output: 0.7Mt- FY11 target: 1.0Mt

BHARINTO 0.2 Mt

KITADIN TD.MAYANG

0.5 Mt

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15

New integrated ITM operations groups

Mahakam River

South Block 1(Dayak Besar)

North Block

Kedangpahu River

ROM stockpile

Bunyut Port

Product coal conveyor, stacking, stockpile

South Block 2(Biangan)

PT. BHARINTO

PT. TRUBAINDOEAST

BLOCK

Santan River Port stock yard

Bontang City

Asphalt haul road

Inland conveyor

4km

Operations

Stockpile

PortsHauling

Crusher

Post Panamax

95,000DWT

WEST BLOCK

TANDUNG MAYANG

Mine stockyard

ROM stockpile

Bontang Coal

Terminal

ITM operations in Kalimantan

Balikpapan

Palangkaraya

Banjarmasin

Kitadin Embalut

Indominco

Trubaindo

Samarinda

Jorong Port

Bontang Coal Terminal

Bharinto

Kitadin Td.Mayang

Bunyut Port

1

2

3

Going forward, ITM will rationalize and consolidate its Kalimantan operations into three operational groups

Each group will synergize for integrated infrastructure and logistics system

Objective will be increased efficiency, optimization and productivity

The Trubaindo-Bharinto operations consists of the Bunyut barge port, Trubaindo North Block, TrubaindoSouth Block and Bharinto

Operations group target output (medium term): 10-15 Mtpa

The Bharinto project represents a low risk and low cost ‘brownfield’ expansion of its operations group

The Indominco-Tandung Mayangoperations consists of the Bontang Coal Terminal, Indominco W. Block, Indominco E. Block and Kitadin TandungMayang

Operations group target output (medium term): 15-17 Mtpa

The Tandung Mayang project also represents a low risk expansion of the Bontang Operations group

21

Jorong

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4.3

Indominco Mandiri

EAST BLOCK

Santan River Port stock yard

Bontang City

Asphalt haul road 2.5Km

35Km

Sea conveyor

Mine stockyard

Inland conveyor 4km

0 106 82 km4

WEST BLOCK

Operations

Stockpile

Ports

Hauling

Crusher

ROM stockpile

INDOMINCO-BONTANG SCHEMATIC

16

Post Panamax

95,000DWT

INDOMINCO PRODUCTION ANALYSIS

MAJOR QUARTERLY UPDATES

1H11 production was lower than target due to continuing rainfalls in the mine area during 2Q11

Additional mining equipment from PAMA and TDM contractor starting in June 2011 onwards

Overall strip ratio in 2011 will be lower than 2010

Feasibility study on East Block Washing Plant is underway

Expansion of stock area at the port and installation of 6 tunnels conveyer almost completed

3.13.7 3.6 3.5 3.6

1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q

20102011

SR 15.014.9

14.914.7

West Block

1.82.82.12.5 2.5 2.3

1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q

East Block

1.30.92.2

1.1 1.0 1.3

1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q

SR 14.6 14.7 14.6 14.7

9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0

Volume

13.5

FY10 Output: 14.3 Mt; FY11 Target: 15.0 Mt

15.8

Volume 10.1

3.4

11.8

1.8 1.6

12.5 10.9

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Trubaindo and Bharinto

Mahakam River

Operation

Stockpile

Hauling

Barge Port

Crusher

South Block 1(Dayak Besar)

North Block

40kmMine to port

KedangpahuRiver

ROM stockpile

BunyutPort

0 10 2515 205 km

Product coal conveyor, stacking,

stockpile

TRUBAINDO-BHARINTO SCHEMATIC

EAST KALIMANTAN

Bharinto 60km south west of

TrubaindoNorth Block

South Block 2(Biangan)

PT. BHARINTO

PT. TRUBAINDO

17

TRUBAINDO PRODUCTION ANALYSIS

MAJOR QUARTERLY UPDATES

Trubaindo: 1H11 production was inline with our production planOne new mining contractor already worked at mine site and additional capacity from PAMA already arrived

Bharinto: Crushing plant construction already completed and already test runPAMA will be working as mining contractor starting in 4Q11Land clearing for mining area is under progressFY11 production output of 0.2 Mt by 4Q11 is still on track

1.51.62.1

1.1 1.3 1.5

1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q

SR : 11.0

11.411.4

10.5

FY10 Output: 5.5 Mt; FY11 Target: 7.3 Mt

20102011

10.0

Volume : 1.7

11.9

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18

Bharinto and Td.Mayang (overview)

Bharinto Tandung Mayang

First output 0.2mt (4Q 2011) 0.5mt (3Q 2011)

Target annual output 2 - 4 Mt 2 - 3 Mt

Coal quality (adb) 6,800 kcal/kgSulfur 0.8%

6,800 kcal/kgSulfur 1.5%

Reserves 45.5 Mt 9.7 Mt

Strip ratio (avg.) 7.8 bcm/t 15.0 bcm/t

Logistics to ship Truck – Bunyut barge loader Truck – BoCT ship loader

Capital expenditure US$ 44 m(US$ 39 M spent-to-date)

US$ 30 m(US$ 26 M spent-to-date)

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19

Bharinto Schematic

Construction commenced Q309

2004

2006 2009 2010 2011

Acquired concession

Feasibility study First output: 0.2 Mtpa

2007 2008

2005

Bharinto project timeline

HIGH WALL BENCHES

A B

Cross section schematic

Approx depth

90  metres

ILLUSTRATIVE ONLY

Aerial view schematic

SECTION LINE

A

B

BUNYUT PORT

TRUBAINDO NORTH BLOCK

15 KM.

MAHAKAM RIVER

BHARINTO

TRUBAINDO SOUTH BLOCK

Total 84 km

CR4

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20

Tandung Mayang Schematic

2003

2004 2011

2015/16

Operation ceased

Tandung Mayang unit worked as contractor on adjacent IMM concession

2005 2006 2007

2008

Feasibility study

2009 2010

Closure process

Tandung Mayang project timeline

Aerial view schematic

BONTANG COAL

TERMINAL

BONTANG

CITY

INDOMINCO

WEST

BLOCK EAST

BLOCK

TANDUNG MAYANGSECTION LINE

MINED OUT AREA

A B10 km

CR1 CR2CR3

Operation to restart in 3Q11

A B

OB

Cross section schematic

Mined out (Indominco) TM extension

ILLUSTRATIVE ONLY

HIGH WALL 

BENCHES

Approx depth

160  metres

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21

Indicative ROM output targets

Bharinto

Tandung Mayang

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

6.7 6.9 8.1 8.2 8.2

16.0 7.2SR (bcm/t)

SR (bcm/t)

INDICATIVE ONLY

0.2 0.7

2.03.0

4.0 4.0

[16.0]* 16.0

0.5

2.9 2.5 2.0

0.4 0

In million tonnes (Mt)

8.1

* Actual strip ratio will be higher (approx 28x) but will include advanced overburden removal which will be amortized over the life of the mine

na na

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Kitadin Embalut and Tandung Mayang

Balikpapan

MahakamRiver Samarinda

to Muara Berau

Bontang city

EMBALUT

Embalut Port

to Muara Jawa

ROM stockpile

Operations

Stockpile

Ports

Hauling

Crusher

0 106 82 km4

5km Mine to port

TD. MAYANG

EAST KALIMANTAN

IMM EB

KITADIN SCHEMATIC

IMM WB

Bontang Port

22

KITADIN EMBALUT PRODUCTION ANALYSIS

MAJOR QUARTERLY UPDATES

Kitadin Embalut: 1H11 production achieved as plannedExpect lower production during 2H11 due to difficult mining conditions (hard-band materials)

Kitadin Tandung Mayang: Currently works as mining contractor at Indominco areaAlready started the pre-stripping activity in1Q111st coal output will start in 3Q11Expected total production in 2011 will be 0.5 Mt

0.30.40.2

0.3 0.3 0.3

1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q

SR : 10.410.6 10.7 10.8

FY10 Output: 1.2 Mt ; FY11 Output Target: 1.0 Mt

20102011

8.9

Volume : 0.3

8.7

KITADIN TD.MAYANG PRODUCTION ANALYSIS

0.1

1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q

FY11 Output Target: 0.5 Mt

Volume : 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

20102011

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Jorong

Coal terminal

Jorong

Pelaihari

Pacific Ocean

Haul road

Operations

Stockpile

Hauling

Barge Port

0 10 2515 205 km

20km

JORONG SCHEMATIC

23

JORONG PRODUCTION ANALYSIS

MAJOR QUARTERLY UPDATES

1H11 production achieved higher than plan due to better performance in mud management

Adjusted strip ratio in this year to match with remaining reserves and to keep up with the current mining sequence

0.30.4 0.30.1

0.4

1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q

SR : 6.9

6.9

6.9

6.9

0.0

FY10 Output: 0.9 Mt ; FY11 Output Target: 1.0 Mt

8.6

Volume :201020110.4

8.6

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Agenda

24

3. Commercial Review

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Main Driver for 2011 Coal Market

25

Weather Chinese Demand World Growth

Sources: Country Forecast July 2011 from The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2011

• World growth forecast 3.1%, Asian growth forecast 6.9%

• Uncertainty impacting forecasts due to European and USA debt concerns, Middle East/N. Africa unrest , exchange rate trends and inflation

• But oil, food and raw material cost will have a gradual impact

• Indonesia wet season was normal, but some operations more affected than others. Dry season seems normal to good.

• Chinese winter was normal but now that water shortages are eased, hydro is up and summer so far mixed

• Australian storms/floods damage recovering

• Downgrade import forecast

• Demand is stronger than expectations in total but unevenly distributed

• Grid transmission/generation infrastructure capped effective demand in 1H

• Production increased beyond demand increase, but again levels vary by region

• Imports weak in 1Q, strong in 2Q but likely below expectations in 3Q/4Q

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Thermal Coal Benchmark Prices

Coal price benchmarksIndonesia rate of price decrease recently due coincidence of Chinese purchase slows down and Indonesia production increases

Benchmark pricing held up by steady growth but more to currency and financial movements impacting paper prices

European pricing further underpinned by higher cost of competing fuels, eg. gas and declining carbon credit price

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

150

Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11

US$

/ to

nne

FOB Richards Bay 6000 kcal/kg, NAR

FOB Newcastle 6300 kcal/kg, GAR

FOB Kalimantan 5900 kcal/kg, GAR

FOB Kalimantan 5000 kcal/kg, GAR

Newcastle price stable RB and domestic prices softening

26

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Thermal coal market analysis – 2Q 2011 update

27

USAThermal supply

increase for export fromAtlantic ports. Pacific

deliveries continue

INDIARecovery and growth

Continue, but questionsFor post monsoon

EAST ASIAJapan coming back to normal;

Korea and Taiwan strong recovery

SOUTH AFRICAContinuing problems in rail eases short term. Longer term issuesre national policy

appearing

AUSTRALIAFlood impacts largely

Overcome while rail andSome mine bottlenecks

continue to be limits

COLOMBIAPrices capped by tonnage

returning to Atlantic

RUSSIARising production and

Rail availability supportsLimited export increase

CHINAImport slower than expectation,

LCV/off-spec coal

= Demand/Supply

= Demand

REST OF ASIAContinued growth

INDONESIA2Q saw commencement of

Normal dry season increases

ATLANTICIncreased demand due toHigher gas prices, nuclear concerns and low carbon

credit price

= Supply

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ITM Average Selling Prices

28

USD per tonne

Quarterly BJI

Quarterly ASP

BJI* Aug 04, 2011$120.55

ASP 1Q11 $87.3/tASP 2Q11 $97.4/t

ASP vs. spot BJI trend shows a mix of pricing (LT/MT/ST)

Despite increases in product margins, the increase in lower CV tonnages hampers ASP increases

Still, higher CV coal has increased relative to index, JPU or spot price

30507090

110130150170190

Jun-08 Dec-08 Jun-09 Dec-09 Jun-10 Dec-10 Jun-11

Monthly BJI Monthly ASP

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3%

97%

Indicative 2011 Coal Sales

29

Coal sales contract and pricing status CommentCoal sales contract and pricing status

Sales target remains at 25 Mt, assuming dry season continues

Almost fully sold and more so than at same time in recent years

Remaining unsold is exposed to market fluctuations, but limited volume

Contract Status Price Status

Contracted Fixed

Uncontracted

Unpriced

Index

TARGET SALES 2011: C. 25 Mt

82%

14%4%

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Coal Sales by Geographic Destination

JAPAN (21%)

INDIA (10%)

INDONESIA (6%)

PHILIPPINES (6%)

HONG KONG (3%)

TAIWAN (8%)

S.KOREA (3%)

THAILAND (8%)

2011 trend expectation

2011

*Includes small, non-regular purchasers

Coal sales 1H11 (total 10.7 Mt)

OTHERS* (0%)

ITALY (9%) 2011

CHINA (21%)

2011 2011 2011

2011

20112011

2011

30

2.3

3.5

4.5

1.5

2.3

-

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

5.0

6M10 9M10 FY10 3M11 6M11

0.8 1.2

1.8

0.3 0.4 -

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

5.0

6M10 9M10 FY10 3M11 6M11

2011

0.6 1.0 1.2

0.1 0.4

-

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

6M10 9M10 FY10 3M11 6M11

2.7

3.6

5.1

1.2

2.3

-

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

5.0

6M10 9M10 FY10 3M11 6M11

0.9 1.2

1.8

0.5 1.0

-

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

6M10 9M10 FY10 3M11 6M11

1.1

1.8

2.4

0.3

0.9

-

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

6M10 9M10 FY10 3M11 6M11

0.8 0.9 1.1

0.3 0.6

-

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

6M10 9M10 FY10 3M11 6M11

0.3 0.4 0.5 0.1

0.7

-

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

6M10 9M10 FY10 3M11 6M11

0.7

1.1

1.5

0.5 0.8

-

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

6M10 9M10 FY10 3M11 6M11

0.4 0.7 0.9

0.6 1.0

-

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

6M10 9M10 FY10 3M11 6M11

0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0

-

0.1

0.1

0.2

0.2

0.3

6M10 9M10 FY10 3M11 6M11

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