ANALYTICAL SCIENCES GROUP UPDATE

FY2013

Randall Morin2013 Northern FIA Regional Management Team Meeting

Portland, ME

Northern Research StationForest Inventory and Analysis

TOPICS

State reporting Regional analyses National-scale

projects P2+ NWOS FIA Symposium

Continue to produce ~5 comprehensive reports and 24 annual reports each year. The format and content has been static for a while – change is coming: Good: FSRET asking for standardized FIA

reporting; national annual template finished

Better: Other possibilities – sub-regional or regional annual reports

Best: Web-based interactive graphics; no written report; still generate tables via EVALIDator, etc.

STATE REPORTING

NEW TEMPLATE OLD TEMPLATE

STATE REPORTING – INTERACTIVE GRAPHICS

REGIONAL ANALYSIS - INVASIVES

REGIONAL ANALYSIS – PEST IMPACTSHemlock woolly adelgid

~8-30 km year

Ongoing studies: GM, BBD, EAB, and others

Water Stress Projections for the Northeastern and Midwestern United States in 2060: Consequences for Human and Fish Communities

REGIONAL ANALYSIS – NORTHERN FOREST FUTURES

WaSSI values > 1 indicate demand exceeds supplies

Native fish species

diversity

Changes in forest habitat classes under alternative climate and land-use change scenarios in the Northeast and Midwest, USA

REGIONAL ANALYSIS – NORTHERN FOREST FUTURES

2010 forest land area by and change by habitat class and 50-yr projections by future scenarios

RMAPForest Ownership (Nelson et al. 2010): http://www.nrs.fs.fed.us/pubs/36054Historical forest density change (Liknes et al. 2013): http://www.nrs.fs.fed.us/pubs/43744Per-state tree species distribution maps (Riemann et al. In Review) 

RDSForest Ownership (Nelson et al. 2010): http://www.fs.usda.gov/rds/archive/Product/RDS-2010-0002/Historical woodland density (Liknes et al. 2013): http://www.fs.usda.gov/rds/archive/Product/RDS-2013-0006/Tree Species Basal Area (Wilson et al. 2013): http://www.fs.usda.gov/rds/archive/Product/RDS-2013-0013/Forest Carbon Stocks (Wilson et al. 2013): http://www.fs.usda.gov/rds/archive/Product/RDS-2013-0004/GLRI forest disturbance (Perry et al. In Progress)Western Great Lakes stand age (Nelson et al. In Progress)

REGIONAL/NATIONAL ANALYSIS – RDS & RMAP

RMAP – STATE SPECIES DISTRIBUTIONS

RMAP – STATE SPECIES DISTRIBUTIONS

NATIONAL PROJECTS – FIA MAP ATLASSAMPLE FEATURE – ECONOMIC BENEFITS PROVIDED BY FORESTS

Employment as a fraction as state economy Mills in the Southeast

Work continues with new collaboration tools facilitating progress (SharePoint)

WO publications shop in the loop to lay groundwork for printing process

Publication release date:IUFRO meeting; Salt Lake City; October 2014

ESRI and new AGOL guidelines will facilitate data distribution

NATIONAL PROJECTS – FIA MAP ATLAS

Team composed of USFS, Industry, University.

Two years of data collection complete, ~500 felled trees.

Substantial legacy data has been obtained from other studies, industry work, etc.

In process of moving lab work out of universities to SRS lab in Athens – reduce cost.

Continual FIA funding is challenging; seeking other funding sources.

NATIONAL PROJECTS – FIA BIOMASS STUDY

2013 intensity at 12.5% of P2 sample (2X P3)

3rd year of data (2013) collection is underway – will be available in FIADB within 6 months of last production plot date.

Crowns – Dieback and Uncompacted Crown Ratio

Veg – Cover by height layer for various growth forms (e.g., tree, shrub, forb, graminoid)

Regen – Browse, Site Limitations, Seedling by height class, Seedling source (~ PRS protocols)

Invasives – Cover by species DWM – Reduced to 2 transects per subplot

P2+ FOREST HEALTH INDICATORS

2011-2013 Completed Contacted 27,000 private landowners

Preliminary cooperation rate: 47% First time remeasuring same sample points

Unprecedented potential for trend analyses Estimation approach has been updated

Methods published in Journal of Forestry New automated table generation

NATIONAL WOODLAND OWNERS SURVEY

2011-2013 In Process Complete data processing (December) Distribute preliminary tables (January) Goal of 105 publications submitted in

FY2014 100 articles in landowner magazines,

newsletters, and other “gray’ literature Minimum of five peer-reviewed publications

including overview journal article and documentation GTR

Incorporate data into NIMS Vermont intensification Initiate planning for next iteration (2015?) New hire using outside funding

NATIONAL WOODLAND OWNERS SURVEY

NRS-hosted December 4–6, 2012 in Baltimore, MD

12 plenary presentations, 128 general presentations, 22 posters

Proceedings published– 75 papers Participants from US, Canada, Mexico,

Peru, Philippines, Colombia 4 papers published in recent issue

MCFNS (Liknes, Morin, Canham guest eds.)

2012 FIA SYMPOSIUM

QUESTIONS ??