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Analytical Techniques of Network Public Opinion under Big Data Environment Fengxia Cong 1,a , Yongchang Ren 2,b 1 College of Foreign Languages, Bohai University, Jinzhou, 121013, China 2 College of Information Science and Technology, Bohai University, Jinzhou, 121013, China a [email protected], b [email protected] Keywords: big data; network public opinion; analytical techniques; mathematical model Abstract: Through the analysis of public opinion, grasp the dynamics of public opinion in a timely manner, explore the law of public opinion generation and change, provide decision-makers with targeted and predictive public opinion information, improve the efficiency of decision-making, enlighten decision-making thinking. In the big data environment, it is a hot and difficult problem to analyze the massive network data and establish the public opinion monitoring and guidance mechanism, and to provide decision support for managers. Based on the comprehensive reference to domestic and foreign research results, this paper systematically summarizes and summarizes the network public opinion analysis techniques in the big data environment, including butterfly effect, K-means clustering algorithm, MapReduce programming model, BDI-Agent model and stakeholder theory. Provides a new perspective and solution for public opinion management. 1. Introduction Public opinion analysis is based on the needs of specific problems, the public opinion for this problem of deep-seated thinking processing and analysis of the process, to obtain relevant conclusions. In the era of big data, where social ideas are becoming more diverse and varied and the ecology of public opinion is profoundly changing, scientific analysis of public opinion is the basic work to respond to social concerns, channel social emotions and carry out public opinion guidance. The purpose of scientific analysis of public opinion is to restore social opinions, build consensus for society, and bring together forces for reform. The rapid spread of the Internet, as well as the widespread use of new Internet-based communication products, make everyone may become a communicatorEach communicator, combined with the corresponding communication product, can become a medium. In the face of the voice on the Internet, we must study the relationship between online public opinion and real public opinion. In the big data environment, it is a hot and difficult problem to analyze the massive network data and establish the public opinion monitoring and guidance mechanism, and to provide decision support for managers. In foreign countries, the research on big data is mainly based on Web data mining technology and statistical analysis methods, data collection methods for overall collection, analysis methods are also carried out from the whole, the application of big data to the network public opinion analysis of the technology and the system is relatively sound, the application results are better. In China, many achievements introduce big data into the analysis of network public opinion, from the hidden public opinion of network log data mining, social network analysis network subject analysis relationship, related field data public opinion analysis, as well as the investigation of public opinion analysis based on network public opinion and other dimensions to carry out analysis. Based on the comprehensive reference to domestic and foreign research results, this paper systematically summarizes and summarizes the network public opinion analysis technology in the big data environment, and obtains more effective cognition, which provides a new perspective and solution for public opinion management. 2019 3rd International Conference on Artificial intelligence, Systems, and Computing Technology (AISCT 2019) Copyright © (2019) Francis Academic Press, UK DOI: 10.25236/aisct.2019.080 415

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Page 1: Analytical Techniques of Network Public Opinion under Big ... · network public opinion analysis techniques in the big data environment, including butterfly effect, K-means clustering

Analytical Techniques of Network Public Opinion under Big Data Environment

Fengxia Cong1,a, Yongchang Ren2,b 1College of Foreign Languages, Bohai University, Jinzhou, 121013, China

2College of Information Science and Technology, Bohai University, Jinzhou, 121013, China [email protected], [email protected]

Keywords: big data; network public opinion; analytical techniques; mathematical model

Abstract: Through the analysis of public opinion, grasp the dynamics of public opinion in a timely manner, explore the law of public opinion generation and change, provide decision-makers with targeted and predictive public opinion information, improve the efficiency of decision-making, enlighten decision-making thinking. In the big data environment, it is a hot and difficult problem to analyze the massive network data and establish the public opinion monitoring and guidance mechanism, and to provide decision support for managers. Based on the comprehensive reference to domestic and foreign research results, this paper systematically summarizes and summarizes the network public opinion analysis techniques in the big data environment, including butterfly effect, K-means clustering algorithm, MapReduce programming model, BDI-Agent model and stakeholder theory. Provides a new perspective and solution for public opinion management.

1. Introduction Public opinion analysis is based on the needs of specific problems, the public opinion for this

problem of deep-seated thinking processing and analysis of the process, to obtain relevant conclusions. In the era of big data, where social ideas are becoming more diverse and varied and the ecology of public opinion is profoundly changing, scientific analysis of public opinion is the basic work to respond to social concerns, channel social emotions and carry out public opinion guidance. The purpose of scientific analysis of public opinion is to restore social opinions, build consensus for society, and bring together forces for reform. The rapid spread of the Internet, as well as the widespread use of new Internet-based communication products, make everyone may become a communicator:Each communicator, combined with the corresponding communication product, can become a medium. In the face of the voice on the Internet, we must study the relationship between online public opinion and real public opinion.

In the big data environment, it is a hot and difficult problem to analyze the massive network data and establish the public opinion monitoring and guidance mechanism, and to provide decision support for managers. In foreign countries, the research on big data is mainly based on Web data mining technology and statistical analysis methods, data collection methods for overall collection, analysis methods are also carried out from the whole, the application of big data to the network public opinion analysis of the technology and the system is relatively sound, the application results are better. In China, many achievements introduce big data into the analysis of network public opinion, from the hidden public opinion of network log data mining, social network analysis network subject analysis relationship, related field data public opinion analysis, as well as the investigation of public opinion analysis based on network public opinion and other dimensions to carry out analysis. Based on the comprehensive reference to domestic and foreign research results, this paper systematically summarizes and summarizes the network public opinion analysis technology in the big data environment, and obtains more effective cognition, which provides a new perspective and solution for public opinion management.

2019 3rd International Conference on Artificial intelligence, Systems, and Computing Technology (AISCT 2019)

Copyright © (2019) Francis Academic Press, UK DOI: 10.25236/aisct.2019.080415

Page 2: Analytical Techniques of Network Public Opinion under Big ... · network public opinion analysis techniques in the big data environment, including butterfly effect, K-means clustering

2. Butterfly Effect The butterfly effect is the long-term and huge chain reaction of small changes under the initial

conditions in a power system. The “butterfly effect” is derived from the theory put forward by Edward N.Lorenz, an American meteorologist, that “a butterfly in Brazil flaps its wings and will set off a tornado in the United States”. Chaos believes that the “butterfly effect” refers to the small changes under the initial conditions, which can drive the long-term chain reaction of the whole system. The “butterfly effect” shows that the result of the development of things, the initial condition has a very sensitive dependence, the initial condition of the very small deviation, will cause a great difference in the results. The “butterfly effect” has been widely used in communication science to explain the great influence of network communication.

The emergency situation is spread by the public opinion of the new media network, and causes the “butterfly effect”, which conforms to the law of the evolution of the network public opinion communication. Along with the occasionality, there is also a general periodicity. The variables and interrelations of each stage of the cycle have different characteristics. Raymond Vernon, a Harvard professor, first proposed the product life cycle theory, arguing that it had four stages of formation, growth, maturation and decline. Greiner proposes a five-stage model for organizational growth and development: entrepreneurship, aggregation, normalization, maturation, redevelopment or decline. In the theory of crisis life cycle, Fink Steven Fink, a management scholar, holds that there will be five stages from the emergence of crisis factors to the end of processing: gestation period, explosive period, diffuser, processing period, treatment result and sequelae period. Drawing on the above cycle theory, the new media network public opinion “butterfly effect” includes three stages: gestation period, outbreak period and resolution period, as shown in Fig.1.

3. K-means Clustering Algorithm K-means cluster analysis has been effectively applied in e-commerce, graphic analysis,

biological science and enterprise economy, including body size classification, library theme mining, university student consumption data, cigarette retail store inventory analysis and so on. At the same time, the algorithm is also suitable for the acquisition and analysis of public opinion hotspots in network public opinion, because network public opinion is scattered in each web page of the Internet, and every message or comment for a certain network public opinion event is the category of public opinion hot spot analysis. Therefore, using the k-means clustering algorithm helps to divide the same viewpoints and different viewpoints of netizens into different classes. This is a key step in the processing of public opinion data. The accuracy of the algorithm is related to the accuracy of data processing.

The hot spot extraction of network public opinion is mainly to divide the obtained public opinion

Emer

genc

ies

Fig.1. Butterfly effect of network public opinion

New

med

ia p

ublis

hing

pla

tform

Dec

odin

g

Achieving wishes Satisfying demand

Active processing Effective control

Feedback

Gather

Coordination

Interaction

Dissolution period Eruption period Incubation period

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data into different topic clusters through hot spot extraction algorithm, and update the topic cluster when needed, so that managers can quickly find useful information, monitor and understand the public opinion on the Internet. The simple flow of the K-means clustering algorithm is shown in Fig. 2.

4. MapReduce Programming Model MapReduce is a programming model for parallel operations of large-scale datasets. It is

convenient for programmers to run programs on distributed systems without distributed parallel programming. The current software implementation specifies a map function that maps a set of key-value pairs into a new set of key-value pairs, specifying a concurrent reduce function to ensure that each of the mapped key-value pairs share the same key. group. The running model of MapReduce is shown in Fig. 3.

MapReduce is a computational model, framework and platform for big data parallel processing,

which implies the following three meanings: (1) MapReduce is a high performance parallel computing platform based on cluster. Allows the

use of ordinary commercial servers on the market to form a distributed and parallel computing cluster of dozens, hundreds to thousands of nodes.

(2) MapReduce is a parallel computing and running software framework, which can automatically complete the parallel processing of computing tasks, automatically divide computing data and computing tasks, automatically assign and execute tasks on cluster nodes, and collect calculation results to store data in distribution. , data communication and fault tolerance processing Parallel computing, the complex details of many of the underlying systems involved, is handled by

Fig. 3. Operation model of MapReduce

Original data Reduce task Map task Output file

Segments 0 Map

Segments 1 Map

Segments 2 Map

Output file 0 Reduce

Output file 1 Reduce

Yes

Start

Input n data objects and k clusters

End

Fig.2. Simple flow of K-means clustering algorithms

Initialize k clustering centers

Divide all data objects into the nearest classes

No Convergence?

Output clustering results

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the system, reducing the burden on software developers. (3) MapReduce is a parallel programming model and method. By means of the design idea of

functional programming language lisp, it provides a simple parallel programming method. It uses two functions of map and reduce to realize basic parallel computing tasks. , provided pumping The operation and parallel programming interface make the programming and calculation processing of large-scale data simple and convenient.

5. BDI-Agent Model The philosophical view of the subject's belief-desire-intention (BDI) concept is derived from

Bratman. Belief, Agent has a collection of environmental information, other agent information, and own information. Belief is different from knowledge, knowledge is the belief of truth; Desire, the state that Agent wishes to achieve or the state that it wishes to maintain is called an implementation desire and a maintenance desire. There may be opportunities to achieve, or may never be achieved; Intention, the desire to promise. The most obvious property is that it will lead to behavior. The main role: intention-driven means of reasoning, intention to constrain the future deliberate process (or choice of objectives), the intention to continuously control the behavior of the subject, the intention to influence the beliefs on which the actual reasoning is based.

BDI model theory is a ternary cognitive structure established in the process of formal description of rational Agent in Cohen and Levesque, etc., which describes the thinking state of Agent in belief, desire and intention respectively, which can adapt to the changeable and complex environment of Agent in the process of solving, and realize rational reasoning. Based on the BDI model, the multi-Agent interaction model of all kinds of subjects in the process of the evolution of network public opinion can be established, and the transformation process of the mental state of netizens can be modeled and simulated, so as to reveal the internal motivation of the evolution of network public opinion and effectively improve the effect of emergency response. BDI model provides an efficient workflow transformation cognitive model for the conversational behavior of key roles in the virtual crowd. The network sentiment BDI-Agent conceptual model consists of two parts, namely, a multi-Agent system for different subject perception and an inference system for implementing Agent decision, as shown in Fig. 4.

6. Stakeholder Theory The core idea of stakeholder theory is that in order to obtain longer-term competitiveness,

enterprises should consider the requirements of multi-stakeholder. With the maturity of stakeholder theory, the application field has gone beyond the scope of enterprise management, and is widely used in the analysis and evaluation of all kinds of organizations or systems. Emergency network public opinion stakeholders are defined as any individual or group that can affect the formation,

Fig. 4. BDI-Agent conceptual model of network public opinion

Perception layer Physical layer

Multi-agent system

Rule 1 Perception DC DC

DC

DC DC

Rule 2 Rule 3

Induction

Action

Low-level reasoning

Inference system

Environment

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development and evolution of emergency network public opinion, or is affected by the development and evolution of emergency network public opinion. Through the analysis of the life cycle process of public opinion in emergency network, it is found that the stakeholders mainly include the trigger, manufacturer and responder of public opinion.

(1) The trigger of public opinion. The individual or organization that triggers the formation of an emergency network, that is, the issuer of the emergency information. It is precisely because the information publishers publish the emergency information of local and small-scale dissemination to the Internet platform, which attracts the attention of netizens, and thus forms an emergency network sensation.

(2) The maker of public opinion. Individuals and organizations that express opinions on emergencies or take real actions include the following four categories: First, ordinary netizens, the main force of public opinion of the emergency network, often out of human nature, morality and law and other aspects of the resonance, actively involved in the network communication, through attention, forwarding comments and practical behavior to express attitude. Second, opinion leaders promote the spread of emergencies on the Internet. The comments of opinion leaders have led to the extremes and even antagonism of netizens' views. Therefore, opinion leaders have an important influence on the development of network public opinion. Many emergencies are due to the intervention of opinion leaders, which has evolved into network public opinion. Third, online media, portals, forum communities, and social networking sites, etc., act as a carrier of communication and are the basis for the formation and development of emergency network public opinion. Fourth, the traditional media, with rational and objective characteristics, and with a strong official color, the follow-up reports on emergencies, focus and comment analysis, triggering offline public concern, the formation of online network linkage, pushing up the popularity of the network public opinion.

(3) The responder of public opinion. The organization that intervenes in public opinion mainly refers to relevant government departments. The government department is the main body for handling the public grievances of emergencies, and has the status, ability and means to influence the public opinion of the network. By promptly intervening in emergencies, and releasing authoritative information in a timely manner, gradually calming down online grievances. The wave of influence as a public manager.

Acknowledgement This work is supported by 2018 annual natural science foundation in Liaoning province

(20180550541): Research on Analysis Technology and System for Internet Public Opinion of Emergency in Big Data Environment.

References [1] N. X. Zhang, "Application of Big Data in Network Public Opinion Information Work of Public Emergency," Journal of Modern Information, vol. 35, no. 6, pp. 38-42, 2015. [2] P. Wu, B. B. Jin, S. H. Qiang, "A BDI-Agent Based Model for Public Opinion Crisis Response," New Technology of Library and Information Service, vol. 37, no. Z1, pp. 32-41, 2016. [3] S. M. Wang, X. S. Wu, "Network Public Opinion Hotspot Based on MapReduce under the Environment of Big Data," Computer Engineering & Software, vol. 36, no. 7, pp. 108-113, 2015. [4] C. X. Zheng, "Establishment of Evaluation Index System of Emergency Network Public Opinion Based on Stakeholder Theory," Fujian Computer, vol. 31, no. 10, pp. 81-83, 2015. [5] J. G. Xu, Q. J. Han, Q. Li, "K-means Clustering Algorithm and Its Application in Network Public Opinion," Software Guide, vol. 17, no. 11, pp. 65-67, 2018. [6] Y. F. Mao, "Research on the 'Butterfly Effect' Mechanism of Network Public Opinion of Emergency Events in Colleges and Universities from the Perspective of New Media," Jiangsu Higher Education, vol. 33, no. 12, pp. 82-85, 2017.

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