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Grassland patches surrounded by less grassland contain more monarch buerflies compared to patches surrounded by more grassland. However, egg + larva abundance was most related to the density of milkweeds. MONARCH BUTTERFLY LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY: Effects of landscape and local patch characteriscs on monarch abundance Anna Skye Harnsberger¹, Karen Oberhauser¹, Wayne Thogmarn², Chris Trosen³, Claudio Graon¹ ¹University of Wisconsin-Madison, ²United States Geological Service, ³United States Fish & Wildlife Service PROBLEM • Loss of milkweed from the landscape. • ~1.8bil stems needed to sustain the eastern migratory monarch populaon. HOWEVER • Need to know how to opmize habitat restoraons for monarchs. • Does surrounding landscape influence abundance of monarchs at a site? • How densely should stems be planted? • How big should planngs be? • Are many nectar species are needed? PREDICTION • Patches with less surrounding grassland will have higher monarch abundances. • Small patches with higher milkweed density and more nectar plant species will contain more monarchs. APPROACH • Surveyed 60 WI sites 3x each; 2018-19. • Measured monarch abundance, patch size, milkweed density, nectar plants, landscape-level grassland. • Mulple regressions including yr, region. Figure 1 | Map of survey sites in Wisconsin. Results Table 1 | Results from mulple regression models showing significance of each factor to each monarch life stage response metric. Symbols represent posive (+), negave (-), p≤0.001 (***), p≤0.005 (**), p≤0.05 (*), & p≤0.1( ) associaons, and higher numbers (). Figure 2 | Component-residual plots of factors with significant associaons to monarch abundance. Conclusions • If the goal of restoraon is to see adult monarchs, it should be placed within a site with less surrounding grassland on a 10km scale, rather than more. More nectar species are beer than fewer. High milkweed density is important. • If the goal of restoraon is monarch recruitment, it is most important to plant a high density of milkweed stems. • Abundance within a patch is not well predicted by the size of the patch; thus, milkweed planngs of any size could be beneficial to the monarch populaon. Next Steps • Create mixed-effect models, treang site survey me (early, mid, late summer) as a random effect. • Model selecon. Adult monarchs (average) component + residual Landscape grassland (proporon grassland within 10km, excluding grassland within 1km, standardized) Adult monarchs (average) component + residual Adult monarchs (average) component + residual Eggs + larvae per m² (average) component + residual Milkweed density (stems per m², standardized) Milkweed density (stems per m², standardized) Nectar plants (count, standardized) A B C D A B C D [email protected] @LEPIDOPTERIST @GRATTONLAB

Anna Skye Harnsberger - monarchconservation.org€¦ · 25-11-2019  · • If the goal of restoration is monarch recruitment, it is most important to plant a high density of milkweed

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Page 1: Anna Skye Harnsberger - monarchconservation.org€¦ · 25-11-2019  · • If the goal of restoration is monarch recruitment, it is most important to plant a high density of milkweed

Grassland patches surrounded by less grassland contain more monarch butterflies compared to patches surrounded by more grassland.

However, egg + larva abundance was most related to the density of milkweeds.

MONARCH BUTTERFLY LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY:Effects of landscape and local patch characteristics on monarch abundanceAnna Skye Harnsberger¹, Karen Oberhauser¹, Wayne Thogmartin², Chris Trosen³, Claudio Gratton¹¹University of Wisconsin-Madison, ²United States Geological Service, ³United States Fish & Wildlife Service

PROBLEM• Loss of milkweed from the landscape.• ~1.8bil stems needed to sustain the

eastern migratory monarch population.

HOWEVER• Need to know how to optimize habitat

restorations for monarchs.• Does surrounding landscape influence

abundance of monarchs at a site?• How densely should stems be planted?• How big should plantings be?• Are many nectar species are needed?

PREDICTION• Patches with less surrounding grassland

will have higher monarch abundances.• Small patches with higher milkweed

density and more nectar plant species will contain more monarchs.

APPROACH• Surveyed 60 WI sites 3x each; 2018-19.• Measured monarch abundance, patch

size, milkweed density, nectar plants, landscape-level grassland.

• Multiple regressions including yr, region.

Figure 1 | Map of survey sites in Wisconsin.

ResultsTable 1 | Results from multiple regression models showing significance of each factor to each monarch life stage response metric. Symbols represent positive (+), negative (-), p≤0.001 (***), p≤0.005 (**), p≤0.05 (*), & p≤0.1(†) associations, and higher numbers (↑).

Figure 2 | Component-residual plots of factors with significant associations to monarch abundance.

Conclusions• If the goal of restoration is to see adult

monarchs, it should be placed within a site with less surrounding grassland on a 10km scale, rather than more. More nectar species are better than fewer. High milkweed density is important.

• If the goal of restoration is monarch recruitment, it is most important to plant a high density of milkweed stems.

• Abundance within a patch is not well predicted by the size of the patch; thus, milkweed plantings of any size could be beneficial to the monarch population.

Next Steps• Create mixed-effect models, treating site

survey time (early, mid, late summer) as a random effect.

• Model selection.

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[email protected]

@LEPIDOPTERIST@GRATTONLAB