Upload
others
View
11
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
ANNUAL RESULTS FY201813 September 2018
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018
Certain statements contained in this presentation, other than the statements of historical fact, contain forward‐looking statements regarding Implats’ operations, economic performance or financial condition, including, without limitation, those concerning the economic outlook for the platinum industry, expectations regarding metal prices, production, cash costs and other operating results, growth prospects and the outlook of Implats’ operations, including the completion and commencement of commercial operations of certain of Implats’ exploration and production projects, its liquidity and capital resources and expenditure and the outcome and consequences of any pending litigation, regulatory approvals and/or legislative frameworks currently in the process of amendment, or any enforcement proceedings. Although Implats believes that the expectations reflected in such forward‐looking statements are reasonable, no assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to be correct. Accordingly, results may differ materially from those set out in the forward‐looking statements as a result of, among other factors, changes in economic and market conditions, success of business and operating initiatives, changes in the regulatory environment and other government actions, fluctuations in metal prices, levels of global demand and exchange rates and business and operational risk management. For a discussion on such factors, refer to the risk management section of the company’s Integrated Annual Report. Implats is not obliged to update publicly or release any revisions to these forward‐looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the dates of the Annual Report or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.
Disclaimer: This entire presentation and all subsequent written or oral forward‐looking statements attributable to Implats or any person acting on its behalf are qualified by caution. Recipients hereof are advised the presentation is prepared for general information purposes and not intended to constitute a recommendation to buy‐ or offer to sell shares or securities in Implats or any other entity. Sections of this presentation are not defined and assured under IFRS, but included to assist in demonstrating Implats’ underlying financial performance. Implats recommend you address any doubts in this regard with an authorised independent financial advisor, stockbroker, tax advisor, accountant or suitably qualified professional.
FORWARD LOOKING AND CAUTIONARY STATEMENT
2
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018
BUSINESS OUTLOOK
AGENDA
GROUPOVERVIEW
OPERATIONAL REVIEW
FINANCIAL REVIEW
Nico Muller Mark MunroeGerhard Potgieter
Meroonisha Kerber
MARKET REVIEW
Sifiso Sibiya Nico Muller
3
OVERVIEWNico Muller, CEO
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018
• 9 Shaft 2.51 million
• 6 Shaft 2.05 million• 11 Shaft 1.95 million• 1 Shaft 1.25 million
• Mimosa 1.12 million
GROUP ‐ SAFETY OVERVIEW
4
7
119
7
6.105.27
6.495.92
5.55
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
02468
10121416
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
FATALITIES & LOST‐TIME INJURY FREQUENCY RATE
LTIFR
• Rtb Services 12.34 million
• Refineries 11.33 million• Zimplats 8.78 million• Minpro 3.33 million
• 4 Shaft 2.56 million• 14 Shaft 2.63 million
Fall of ground
Equipment
CAUSES
4
3
Impala Rustenburg
MarulaLOCATION
1
6
Fatality Free Shifts
7 x FATALITIES
• 7 months fatality free, new Implats record
• 11 out of 17 millionaire sites
5
• The entire Impala Rustenburg operation has achieved 4.26 million fatality free shifts
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018
GROUP ‐ SUSTAINABILITY OVERVIEW
Improvinghealth
Socialinvestment
Environmentalcustody
29%increase in social investment spend• Kanana Multipurpose
Centre & Library• Luka Makgotla offices• Road infrastructure• Schools• Water reticulation
3
3 366
16%
$6.0m
schools officially opened in Rustenburg
in FY2018
homes built in local communities since 2009
increase in local procurement from
suppliers in mine lease areas in SA (R2.9bn)
invested in socio‐economic development at Zimplats• Kadoma Hospital• Turf Police Station• Commercial livestock
project
of Zimplats’ total annual procurement spend from
local suppliers
69%
ZEROLevel 4‐5 environmental incidents since 2014
6%
4%
13%
11%
improvement in water utilisation year‐on‐year (2.12Kl/tonne milled)
lower direct SO2emissions year‐on‐year
decrease in Level 3 environmental incidents
year‐on‐year
less energy used in FY2018
51%decline in employee
deaths from AIDS‐related causes since 2014
530
43%
15%
$2.5m
TB incident rate per 100 000, significantly lower than national average of 1 000
reduction in new pulmonary TB cases recorded over 5 years
improvement in ART uptake year‐on‐year
invested in refurbishment of Kadoma Hospital in
Zimbabwe
45%Of water used was
recycled
6
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018
Description 2018 2017 Var (%) Remarks
Tonnes Milled Mt 19.36 18.33 6 • Significant improvement despite 9 additional milling shifts in previous period
Concentrate production
Mine‐to‐market productionImpalaZimplatsTwo RiversMimosaMarula
Third‐party purchased
Pt koz
Pt kozPt kozPt kozPt kozPt kozPt koz
Pt koz
1 574
1 31666927416312585
259
1 557
1 30465128118212268
253
1
13
(2)(11)
325
2
• Increased production from build‐up shafts, offset by closure of old shafts at Impala• FY2018 calendar change – milling shifts reduce by 9 days• Lower grade due to split reef at Two Rivers • Steady production• Excellent improvement following FY2017 restructuring & improved stability
• Benefitted from a once off toll refining contract
Refined production Pt koz 1 468 1 530 (4) • 77 000 pt oz stock build‐up due to smelter repairs and fire at No 5 furnace
Unit cost (milled)
Unit cost (refined stock adjusted)
Unit cost (refined)
R/t
R/oz
R/oz
1 035
22 931
24 660
1 076
22 838
22 657
4
‐
(9)
• Operating costs well contained ‐ separation costs has been excluded from cash costs
• Stock‐adjusted unit costs (refined) well below inflation
• Unit cost (refined) impacted by temporary stock build‐up
Capital expenditureImpalaZimplatsMarula
RbnRmRmRm
4 6062 7671 738101
3 4302 472863113
(34)(12)
(101)11
• Furnace rebuild and increase in capitalized development• New Mupani mine development, restore Bihma mine to full production, fleet• Tailings dam extension delayed
Waterberg project Rm 425 ‐ ‐ • Purchase of 15% stake in the project
GROUP ‐ OPERATIONAL OVERVIEW
7
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018
GROUP – MOVEMENT IN PLATINUM IN CONCENTRATE CONTRIBUTION
1 557
1 574
18
17
6 3 7
19
1 530
1 540
1 550
1 560
1 570
1 580
1 590
1 600
1 610
FY2017 Impala Marula 3rd party receipts Mimosa Zimplats TwoRivers FY2018
Pt koz in
con
centrate
669xx6693%
8525%
2592%
1253%
274‐2%
163‐11%
Koz Pt in concentrate
8
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018
Description 2018 2017 Var (%)
Platinum ounces produced (refined) koz 1 468 1 530 (4)
Platinum ounces sold koz 1 355 1 469 (8)
Revenue per platinum ounce sold R/oz 25 935 24 670 5
Revenue Rbn 35.85 36.84 (3)
Cost of sales Rbn 34.28 37.37 8
Gross profit Rm 1.58 (0.53) 398
Impairment Rm 13 629 10 229 ‐
Loss for the year Rbn 10 793 8 098 (33)
HEPS cps (171) (137) (25)
GROUP ‐ BUSINESS OVERVIEW
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
TwoRivers inconce
Zimplatsin matte
Mimosain conc
Marulain conc
Impalarefined
Impala +IRS
refined
GroupRefined
Cash costs Stay in business capitalReplacement capital Expansion capital2018 R/Pt oz sold
(R/Pto
z)
REVENUE AND COST OF PRODUCTION
9
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018
MINERAL RESOURCES AND MINERAL RESERVES
• Attributable Group Mineral Resource estimatereduced by 57.8 million platinum ounces
− Zimplats release of land ‐44.5 Moz pt− Imbasa & Nkosi prospecting rights ‐8.6 Moz pt− Impala prospecting rights ‐ 5.2 Moz pt
• Attributable Group Mineral Reserve estimatereduced by 1.2 million platinum ounces
− Impala strategic review ‐4.4 Moz pt− Two Rivers (Kalkfontein RE portion) +0.9 Moz pt− Zimplats steeps +2.5 Moz pt
10
37%
37%
9%
9%6%2%
ATTRIBUTABLE MINERAL RESOURCES OF
134 MOZ PT
Zimplats Impala Two RiversAfplats Marula Mimosa
47%
36%
8%5%4%
ATTRIBUTABLE MINERAL RESERVES OF 21.2 MOZ PT
Zimplats Impala Two RiversMarula Mimosa
191.
6
133.
8
0
40
80
120
160
200
2017
Zim
plat
s
Afpl
ats
/Im
bsa
/In
kosi
Impa
la
Mim
osa
Mar
ula
Two
Riv
ers
2018
Moz
Pt
ATTRIBUTABLE MINERAL RESOURCES (Variance Moz Pt)
‐8.6 ‐5.2 ‐0.1 ‐0.040.8
‐44.6
22.4
21.2
0
5
10
15
20
25
2017
Impa
la
Mim
osa
Mar
ula
Two
Riv
ers
Zim
plat
s
2018
Moz
Pt
ATTRIBUTABLE MINERAL RESERVES (Variance Moz Pt)
‐4.4 ‐0.1 ‐0.1
2.50.9
For details please see Implats Mineral Resource and Mineral Reserve statement 2018
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018
Priority Areas
Turnaround Impala
Rustenburg
Decisive MarulaStrategy
Increase Organisational Effectiveness
Develop Strategic Agility
Maintain Social
Licence to Operate
• FY2018• Year‐on year circa R1 billion saving• Reduced 2 200 employees• Closed 4#
• FY2019• Strategic review concluded• 300 of 1 500 earmarked positions reduced (as at end August 2018)
• Reduced community disruptions
• 25% year on year increase in Pt ounces
• Cash flow before capital and finance activities improved from negative R839 million in the previous year to R77 million positive in FY2018
• Well positioned to benefit from higher future palladium and rhodium prices
• Improved safety performance – significant reduction in fatalities in FY2018 H2
• Active stakeholder engagement⁃ Impala restructuring⁃ Zimplats – sustain licence to operate⁃ Stable community relations
•No level 4 or 5 environmental incidents
• TB/HIV rates well below national average
• Impala Rustenburg strategic review –will reduce exposure to high cost deep level conventional mining
• Waterberg – increased bias towards low cost mechanised palladium rich assets
• Exciting new Zimbabwe strategy
• Group headroom of R6.2bn (cash R3.7bn & undrawn facilities of R2.5bn)
• Secured R2.0bn facility to affect forward pipeline sales• R820 million dividend from Zimplats• Ongoing review of optimal capital structure
STRATEGIC FOCUS AREAS
Capital Allocation and Cash
Management
11
• Key executive appointments ‐Meroonisha Kerber, CFO and Mark Munroe, CE: Impala Rustenburg
• Remuneration policy updated – STI and LTI structures aligned to shareholder expectations
• Performance Management Framework rolled out to all management employees
11
OPERATIONAL REVIEWMark Munroe, CE: Rustenburg operations
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018
IMPALA
636 651 669627 655 581
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Pt oz(000)
PRODUCTION
Pt in concentrate Pt refined
22 139 23 543 27 183
22 114 23 856 24 005
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
R/oz
COSTS
Cost/Pt oz refined Stock‐adjusted
‐2 049‐3 379
‐4 033
FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Rm
CASH MOVEMENT
Description FY2018 FY2017Var(%) Remarks
Tonnes milled Mt 10.95 10.12 8%• Higher production from 1, 11, 12, 14 & 16 #• Lower volumes at 9 & 10 shafts• Closure of 4, 7 and 7A shafts
PGE head grade g/t 4.09 4.06 1% • Increase in stoping to development ratio
Platinum in concentrateRefined platinum
kozkoz
669581
651655
3%(11%)
• Higher volume & grade, lower surface sources• 77 koz stock build‐up
Cost per platinum ounceStock adjusted
R/ozR/oz
27 18324 005
23 54323 856
(15%)(1%)
• Lower refined production volumes• Supported by higher production
Capital expenditure Rbn 2.77 2.47 (12%)• Increased capitalised development and
expenditure at 16 and 20 Shafts• Number 5 furnace rebuild
Cash flow before financing and working capital Rm (4 033) (3 379) (19%)
• Separation cost R525m• Higher finance charge R159m• Capital R295m higher
− Furnace 5 rebuild and transformer fire resulted in stock build up of 77 000 platinum ounces− Strategic review completed
• Section 52 and 189(3) notices issued• Stakeholder engagement initiated• 9 shaft mining fully outsourced (contracted)• As at end August 2018: 300 of the 1 500 positions reduced through natural attrition
13
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018
IMPALA SHAFTS ‐MOVEMENT IN PLATINUM CONTRIBUTION
Long‐term future shafts 14
Prod
uctio
n im
provem
ent
Shafts closed
Clean‐up
, surface so
urces
& re
coverie
s
646 658
49
21
10 7
6 5 2 2 3
3 11
13
13
47
580
600
620
640
660
680
700
720
740
760
FY2017 14 16 12 1 20 11 6 EF 9 10 7A 7 4 Other FY2018
Pt oz(00
0)
Ramp –u
p after fire
Build
up Shaft
Shaft in
harvest m
ode
Safety
incide
nts
Build
up Shaft
10828.5
1230.5
‐‐
‐‐
7028.6
2826.6
1922.4
3422.0
10826.4
6929.9
7828.6
5128.8
7429.9
Koz ptR’000/pt oz
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018
KEY PROJECTS
16 Shaft 20 Shaft
Description FY2018 FY2017 FY2018 FY2017
Project completion % 90% 85% 98% 95%
Estimated completion date date Nov 21 May 22 Jun 19 Jun 22
Estimate at completion Rm 7 939 7 939 7 930 8 434
Expenditure to date Rm 7 159 6 795 7 804 7 496
Design capacity (at steady state) koz per annum 180 185 130 130
Estimated steady‐state achievement date Jun 22 Jun 22 Jul 21 Jul 21
Platinum production koz 74 53 69 63
Available face m 2 542 1 512 1 316 1 297
Stoping teams teams 75 53 57 51
Panel Ratio panels/team 1.20 1.35 1.18 1.00
Productivity ca/team/month 297 292 291 297
Total cost (excl Project capital) R/Pt oz 29 885 33 009 29 900 28 474
• Revised completion date due to exclusion of D ore pass (21‐24 levels)
• C ore pass rehabilitation in progress• Key focus is on opening mineable face and productivity build‐up• Critical capital development ends exceeded targets for the year
• Key focus is on opening mineable face and productivity build‐up• Poor geology hampers production build‐up• Level 16 and 17 capital development deferred ‐ reduces capex in FY19 and FY20 by R445m
15
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018
Unprofitable operation
11operational
shafts ramping up to 750koz Pt
All‐in cost R29 006
R2 767m
~40 100
Current StateFY20181
Profitable operation
6operational
shafts producing
~520koz Pt
All‐in cost <R24 500
R1 400m
~27 000
Employees
Capital/an
num
(Real FY2
018)
Cost/Pt o
unce
(FY2
018 term
s)Shafts and
ou
tput/ann
umDELIVERING A PROFITABLE FUTURE STATE AT IMPALA RUSTENBURG
STATUTORY REQUIREMENTS
• Bi‐monthly on‐mine Future Forum meetings held. (Economic status of the operation discussed)
• Section 189(3) issued – reduction of 1 500 over‐complement employees
• Section 52 notice (1, 9, 12, 14) issued
PROGRESS AND NEXT STEPS
• Restructuring project charter, plan & resources
• Technical and commercial scoping and terms
• Engagement with interested parties
• Job loss mitigation framework
• Section 52 process and stakeholder engagements
STAKEHOLDER ENGAGEMENTS
• DMR engagement commenced in 2017, continued leading up to and post announcement, very constructive.
• Union: Frequent and constructive engagements
• Communities: Information sharing with the Kgosi and leadership of the Royal Bafokeng Nation
• Met with all major SA shareholders
BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT
• Outsourcing of 1 Shaft well advanced. Expressions of interest invited and received, a short list of four potential vendors identified, technical scoping and commercial terms being developed
• Scoping and approach to develop commercial options has been initiated for four shafts under the Section 52 process
$
Future stateFY2021
16
OPERATIONAL REVIEWGerhard Potgieter, COO
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018
MARULA
7868
85
0
50
100
FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Pt ozin conc
(000
)
PRODUCTION
0
24 13129 278
24 877
FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
R/oz
COSTS
‐456
‐839
77
FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Rm
CASH MOVEMENT
Description FY2018 FY2017 Var(%) Remarks
Tonnes milled kt 1 838 1 495 23% • Very few disruptions
PGE head grade g/t 4.33 4.26 2% • Increase in stoping/development ratio
Platinum ounces in concentrate koz 85 68 25% • Fewer disruptions and increased productivity
Cost per platinum ounce in concentrate R/oz 24 877 29 278 15% • Costs contained/ increased volumes
Capital expenditure Rm 101 113 11% • Reduced fleet replacement costs
Cash flow before financing and working capital Rm 77 (839) 109% • Higher production and metal prices
• Operational continuity maintained with only minor community related impact
• Chrome plant restarted in January 2018
• Record production year
• Encouraging unit cost trend
• Benefiting from higher rhodium prices
• R182 million contribution to Group gross profit, including IRS
18
18
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018
TWO RIVERS
186 182163
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Pt ozin con
c(000
)
PRODUCTION
11 775 12 92514 517
FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
R/oz
COSTS
635563
529
FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Rm
CASH MOVEMENT
Description FY2018 FY2017 Var(%) Remarks
Tonnes milled Mt 3.46 3.50 (1) • Additional toll treated tonnage in FY2017
PGE head grade g/t 3.63 3.90 (7) • Dilution from split reef
Platinum ounces in concentrate 000 oz 163 182 (11) • Lower grade from split reef
• Lower recovery due to lower grades
Cost per platinum ounce in concentrate R/oz 14 517 12 925 (12) • Lower ounces increased unit costs
Capital expenditure Rm 454 293 (55) • Deepening of Main Decline
Cash flow before financing and working capital Rm 529* 563 (6) • Cash flow impacted by lower production
• Mining production levels maintained
• Split reef mining impacting on mill grade and concentrate production
• Mitigation strategies, including a possible concentrator expansion, will only be effective in the longer‐term
• Remaining extent of Kalkfontein now included in Mining Right
*excludes the shares issued for the acquisition of the Kalkfontein RE‐ block of R675 million
19
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018
ZIMPLATS
290 281 271
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
FY2016 FY2017 FY2018Pt ozin matte incl.
concen
trate sold (0
00)
PRODUCTION
1 130 1 249 1 313
FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
US$/oz
COSTS
12
78
43
FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
US$m
CASH MOVEMENT
Description FY2018 FY2017 Var(%) Remarks
Tonnes milled Mt 6.6 6.7 (2) • Production levels maintained• 9 more days in previous period
PGE head grade g/t 3.48 3.49 0 • Maintained
Platinum ounces in matte 000 oz 271 281 (4) • 9 more days in previous period• Small lock up in the smelter
Cost per platinum ounce US$/oz 1 313 1 249 (5) • Lower ounces• Increased labour rates
Capital expenditure US$m 135 63 (114) • Expenditure on Mupani and Bimhadevelopment
Cash flow before financing and working capital US$m 43 78 (45) • Significant increase in capex
• Planned furnace maintenance completed in October 2017
• Bimha reached full production in April 2018
• Mupani decline ahead of schedule
• Business remains cash generative
• Ground north of Portal 10 returned to Zimbabwean government and SML migrated to ML
• Corporate tax rate increased from 15.45% to 25.75%, but APT falls away
20
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018
KEY PROJECTS
Mupani
Description FY2018 FY2017
Project completion % 16% 4%
Estimated completion date date Jun 24 Jun 24
Estimate at completion $m 264 264
Expenditure to date $m (14%) 37 (4%) 11
Design capacity (at steady state) koz per annum 90 90
Estimated steady‐state achievement date Jul 30 Jul 30
Platinum production koz ‐ ‐
Available face m ‐ ‐
Stoping teams teams ‐ ‐
Panel Ratio panels/team ‐ ‐
Productivity ca/team/month ‐ ‐
Total cost (excl Project capital) R/Pt oz ‐ ‐
• Project progressing on schedule and budget• Decline development ahead of schedule• Intersection of ore contour scheduled for April 2019
21
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018
MIMOSA
120 122 125
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
FY2016 FY2017 FY2018Pt ozin conc
(000
)
PRODUCTION
1 463 1 511 1 521
FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
US$/oz
COSTS
‐15
28 28
FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
US$m
CASH MOVEMENT
Description FY2018 FY2017 Var(%) Remarks
Tonnes milled Mt 2.80 2.73 3 • Excellent operational performance
PGE head grade g/t 3.84 3.83 0 • Maintained
Platinum ounces in concentrate 000 oz 125 122 3 • Best ever performance
Cost per platinum ounce in concentrate US$/oz 1 521 1 511 (1) • Higher volumes and good cost control
Capital expenditure US$m 44 33 (33) • Increased capital development • Conveyor belt extensions
Cash flow before financing and working capital US$m 28 28 2 • Cash flow maintained
• Strong operational performance
• 15% export levy deferred to January 2019 and lowered to 5%
• Ongoing engagement with Government with regard to beneficiation• Construction of a smelter remains unaffordable
• 30ktpm expansion studies progressing, outcome expected in September 2018
22
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018
IRS
• Once off treatment for a toll refining customer
• Refined output constrained by Rustenburg smelter maintenance
• R1 228 million cash generated in the year
• IRS business now included in Impala
669637 630
FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
oz(000)
MINE‐TO‐MARKET RECEIPTS
205 197155
56104
FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
oz(000)
THIRD‐PARTY RECEIPTS
3rd party purchased 3rd party returns
14121175 1228
FY2016 FY2017 FY2018
Rm
CASH MOVEMENT
Description FY2018 FY2017 Var(%) Remarks
Receipts 000 oz 889 890 0 • No change
Mine‐to‐market 000 oz 630 637 (1) • Lower receipts from Two Rivers• Higher receipts from Marula
3rd Party receipts 000 oz 259 253 2 • Higher third party volumes
Refined output 000 oz 887 875 1 • Impacted by furnace 5 rebuild
Refined metal returned 000 oz 140 15 ‐ • Once‐off third party material
Cash flow before financing Rm 1 228 1 175 5 • Higher tax paid of R127m• Lower net finance income of R109m
23
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018
Project Progress Funding
WATERBERG PROJECT PROGRESS
• DFS on track for completion in Q2 FY2019. Progress to date:
• Exploration drilling complete• Resources and Reserves• Bulk services• Mining Right application
• 600ktpm and ~300ktpm options being evaluated
• DFS will quantify the capital commitment required based on the chosen build
The Waterberg project supports our strategy to mine low‐cost, shallow, mechanised ore bodies
• Funding strategy will be defined further once project parameters are agreed as part of the DFS.
• Potential sources of project funding include:
• Group cash resources• Project debt finance• Equity raise• Structured finance options
24
Project background• Implats acquired 15% interest
in the JV for US$30 m • Assuming a positive DFS
outcome, Implats has the following options:
• Increase shareholding to 50% +1, or
• Maintain 15% stake, but maintain first right to concentrate offtake.
FINANCIAL REVIEWMeroonisha Kerber, CFO
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018
INCOME STATEMENT
• Revenue down 3% ‐ impacted by the build‐up in smelter stock of circa 77 000 platinum ounces
• Cost of sales decreased 8% on the back of the inventory build‐up
• Stock adjusted group unit cost up 0.4% to R22 931 per platinum ounce
• Impairment – R13.6 billion for FY2018
• Once‐off deferred tax charge of R1.2 billion on change in Zimplats tax rate (SML 15.45% to ML 25.75%)
R million FY2018 FY2017 Variance (%)
Sales 35 854 36 841 (3)
Cost of sales (34 277) (37 370) 8
Gross profit (loss) 1 577 (529)
Net operating expenses (income) (764) 866
Impairment (13 629) (10 229) (33)
Royalties (350) (561)
Net finance costs (701) (400)
Other net income and forex 442 (331)
Share of associates income 383 496
Loss before tax (13 042) (10 688)
Tax credit 2 249 2 590 (13)
Loss after tax (10 793) (8 098) (33)
Headline earnings (1 228) (983) (25)
GP margin (%) 4.4 (1.4)
Group unit cost (stock adjusted) (R/Ptoz) 22 931 22 838 (0.4)
26
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018
36 84135 854
3 378
2 279
4 670
FY2017 Volume variance Metal prices Exchange rate FY2018
REVENUE
• Revenue down by R987 million:
− Lower sales volumes following the reduction in refined metal due to the build‐up of stocks
− Higher dollar metal prices, US$ basket 12% higher at $2 023 (2017: $1 806)
− Stronger exchange rate, average achieved rate 6.1% stronger at R12.82 (2017: R13.66)
• ZAR basket price achieved of R25 935, up 5% (2017: R24 670)
+R2 391 million
(Rm)
27
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018
COST OF SALES
• Cost of sales decreased by 8% year on year largely due to deferral of costs to inventories following the build up of smelter stocks
• Stock adjusted unit cost remained flat at R22 931 despite inflation of circa 4.2% largely due to impact of cost savings
• Cash costs year on year increase of 2.1%
37 370
37 336 37 33637 818 37 778 37 778 37 535
34 277
34
6 40379
3 258
488 136
Jun‐2017 Separationcosts
Cash cost Share basedpayments
Chromeoperations
Depreciation Metalspurchased
Change instock
Jun‐2018
(Rm)
28
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018
EBITDA AND HEADLINE EARNINGS
• EBITDA improved by 28%
• Stronger ZAR resulted in exchange losses of R662 million (2017: gain of R154 million) which included R102 million relating to the convertible dollar bond
• Separation costs of R525 million in FY2018 compared to R34 million in FY2017
• Lower operating income: Insurance claim on 14 Shaft in FY2017 of R657 million.
• Sundry includes movement on revaluation of derivatives associated with convertible bonds of R881 million and bad debt recovered of R343 million
• Higher deferred tax expense on Zimplats due to change in tax rate from 15.45% to 25.75%
• Headline earnings down by R245 million to a loss of R1.2 billion
Tax effects of reconciling items included in taxation line.
4 311
5 536
379
3 258
421
987 488
816 491 51
FY2017 Revenue Cash cost Metalspurchased
Change instock
FX gains /losses
Separationcosts
Share ofprofits inassociates
Other FY2018
(Rm)
EBITDA
(983)
1 476
(1 228)
2 106
211
1 141
816 1131 298
Jun‐2017 Gross profit Otheroperatinginc/exp
Royalties Exchangegains/loss
Share ofprofit fromassociates
Sundry Taxation Jun‐2018
HEADLINE EARNINGS
(Rm)
29
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018
HEADLINE EARNINGS BY COMPANY
• Impala headline loss of R3 billion
• Zimplats impacted by deferred taxation charge of R1.2 billion on change in tax rate arising conversion from SML to ML
• IRS made a headline profit of R1.2 billion utilising the spare capacity at Impala
(Rm)
‐2958‐3107 ‐3026
‐2825
‐1615
‐1228
(1 228)
181
201
1 210
387
(2 958)(149)
(100)
Impala Zimplats Marula Mimosa Two Rivers IRS Other Jun‐2018
(Rm)
30
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018
CASH FLOW
• Cash from operating activities ‐ R 1 million, after funding increase in inventories of R4.2 billion
• Cash used in investing activities of – R4.6 billion, after funding property plant and equipment of R4.7 billion
• Net decrease in cash and cash equivalents for the year – R4.2 billion
• Impala cash burn of R6.6 billion after funding the inventory increase of R3.1 billion and capital expenditure of R2.8 billion
Rm FY2018 FY2017 Variance
Cash generated from operations 2 364 3 049 ‐685Operating cash flow 5 425 3 771 1 654Working capital‐ Increase in inventories ‐4 247 ‐593 ‐3 654‐ Increase in trade and other payables 1 126 621 505‐ Decrease/(increase) in trade and other receivables 60 ‐750 810Finance cost ‐1 025 ‐716 ‐309Other ‐1 340 ‐1 320 ‐20
Net cash used from operating activities ‐1 1 013 ‐1 014Purchase of property, plant and equipment ‐4 667 ‐3 432 ‐1 235Acquisition of interest in associate ‐Waterberg ‐425 0 ‐425Other 463 768 ‐305
Net cash used in investing activities ‐4 629 ‐2 664 ‐1 965Issue of ordinary shares, net of transaction cost 0 479 ‐479Bonds issued and repaid 423 2 375 ‐1 952Other ‐15 ‐54 39
Net cash from financing activities 408 2 800 0
Net decrease in cash and cash equivalents ‐4 222 1 149 ‐5 371
Opening balance 7 839 6 788 1 051
Exchange rates ‐ cash impact 88 ‐98 186
Closing cash balance 3 705 7 839 ‐4 134
31
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018
NET DEBT
• Net debt increased to R5.33 billion at30 June 2018 (excluding finance leases)
• Group headroom available of R6.2 billion comprising:
− R3.7 billion, cash, including Zimplats cash of R1.6 billion
− Facilities of R4 billion in placeuntil June 2021, R2.5 billion undrawn
• Net debt impacted by circa R4.2 billion due to surplus inventory build up
• Net debt/EBITDA of 0.96 times
• Opportunities to monetise the stock build‐up are being explored
R million June 2018 June 2017 Variance (%)
Gross cash 3 705 7 839 (53)
Convertible bond (5 489) (5 808) 5
Derivative financial instrument 21 (49)
Marula BEE debt (887) (889)
Zimplats debt (1 167) (1 425) 18
Revolving credit facilities (1 510) -
Debt excluding leases (9 032) (8 171) (11)
Net debt excluding leases (5 327) (332)
Gearing ratio 13.4% 0.6%
32
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018
UPDATE ON FUNDING STRATEGY
Group on track to maintain adequate headroom over the implementation period of the strategic review
Continue to explore opportunities to simplify RCF arrangements
Ongoing assessment of optimal capital structure to support operational and future funding requirements
Strategic review Forward sale facility of ~R2 billion approved subsequent to year end
Additional liquidity of up to R2 billion to be realised in FY 2019
Restructuring plan remains fully funded with the current operational and pricing environment
Ongoing funding
33
MARKET REVIEWSifiso Sibiya, Group Executive: Refining and Marketing
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018
1 600
1 700
1 800
1 900
2 000
2 100
21 000
22 000
23 000
24 000
25 000
26 000
Jul‐17 Sep‐17 Nov‐17 Jan‐18 Mar‐18 May‐18
US$/oz
R/oz
Basket price per platinum ounce
ZAR Index US$ Index
METAL PRICE INDEX (FINANCIAL YEAR)
• US$ basket price increased by 12% year‐on‐yearo Platinum ‐ 5% (European diesel and Chinese jewellery demand)o Palladium + 33% (Growing gasoline automotive sales)o Rhodium + 99% (New on‐road compliance tests and focus on NOX)o Nickel + 23% (Global GDP growth and demand for battery metals)
• ZAR:US$ exchange rate improved by 6% year‐on‐yearo Weaker leading up to the ANC conference in December 2017o Stronger after the election of the new ANC leadershipo Weaker recently impacted by Turkey and emerging market currency concerns
• ZAR basket price 6% higher than the previous financial yearo Improved US$ basket offset by strengthening ZAR
35
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018 36
PGM REVENUE BASKETS FY2018
44%
28%
17%
2%9%
51%
24%
8%
2%
15%
TWO RIVERS
R3.8bn
38%
34%
7%
9%11%
47%
31%
4%
8%
10%ZIMPLATS
R7.5bn43%
31%
8%
7%11%
52%
25%
5%
7%
10%IRS
R22.0bn
37%
41%
16%1% 5%
48%
38%
9%
1% 4%MARULA
R2.4bn
36%
30%
5%
15%
14%
45%
26%
3%
13%
14%
MIMOSA
Platinum Palladium Rhodium Nickel Other
R3.9bn
51%
24%
14%4%
8%
59%21%
7%
3%
10%IMPALA
R13.3bn
Description FY2018 FY2017 Var(%)
Platinum $/oz 943 984 (4)
Palladium $/oz 975 723 35
Rhodium $/oz 1 501 788 90
Nickel $/t 11 488 9 992 15
Basket $/Pt oz soldR/Pt oz sold
2 02325 935
1 80624 670
125
Exchangerate R/$ 12.82 13.66 (6)
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018
WORLD LIGHT‐DUTY VEHICLE SALES BY REGION – 2018 FORECAST
2017
(millions)
2018(est.)
(millions)
2018growth
(%)
North America 17.19 17.15 ‐0.2
Western Europe 16.20 16.66 2.8
China 28.60 29.12 1.8
Japan 5.16 5.20 0.6
Rest of the World 28.13 28.91 2.8
Total 95.29 97.03 1.8
• Automotive marketso 2018: Positive first half performance at +3.5% (2017: +2.4%)o Growth primarily driven by the increases in
– US, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, China and Brazil/Argentina– More than offsetting declines in Japan and Canada
o Diesel share continues to fall in Western Europe favouring increased demand for palladium and rhodium i.e. gasolines engines
o 2018 global light‐duty sales forecast is further growth of 1.8%
• Platinum jewellery marketso 2018 Q2 PGI data indicates slowing declines in Chinao This follows a 5% overall year on year decline in 2017 driven by:
– Continued contraction in the Chinese market– Partially offset by growth in India, Japan and US
• Investmento 2018: ETF and paper markets negative for the first half for both platinum
and palladium o Japanese small bars and coins remained nett positive
DEMAND
37
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018
SUPPLY AND DEMAND BALANCES
• 2018 platinum market to move into a surplus (+ 390 koz)o Demand expected to decline by an estimated 5%
Automotive down 4%
Jewellery flat
Industrial up 0.8%
Investment down 120%
Relatively flat primary and secondary supply
• 2018 palladium market to remain in deficit (‐695 koz)o Demand estimated to increase by 4%
Automotive +5%
Industrial ‐3%
Continued preference of gasoline systems over diesel
Relatively flat primary and secondary supply
• 2018 rhodium to remain in a small fundamental surplus
‐800
‐600
‐400
‐200
0
200
400
600
2017 2018
Platinum Palladium
Including Investment / ETF Movements
(oz0
00)
SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCES
38
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018
PGM MARKET OUTLOOK
• The gradual recovery of the global economy, with the anticipated revival in industrial production and consumer demand, is expected to be the biggest driver of PGM demand over the medium‐ to longer‐term, however:
o US‐China trade wars could negatively impact commodity and PGM prices o Platinum still lacking fundamental demand growth/pull
• Rest of the metals all enjoying strong supply/demand fundamentals, driven by:
o Palladium: Automotiveo Rhodium: Automotive and Industrial
39
OUTLOOKNico Muller, CEO
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018
STRATEGIC FOCUS AREAS
41
FINANCE AND CASH MANAGEMENT
• Maintain balance sheet flexibility and liquidityo Monetize excess stocks (inventory build‐up)o Mitigate R4 billion planned restructuring costs
• Develop Waterberg funding strategy
LICENCE TO OPERATE
• Prioritise stakeholder engagements ‐restructuring; wages; communities; electionso Mitigate social impact of restructuringo Successfully conclude FY2019 wage negotiations
o Sustain operational continuity
STRATEGY
• Rebalance portfolio ‐ shallow, low cost, mechanised and palladium richo Advance Waterberg project
o Evaluate new Zimbabwe opportunities• Continue to grow organisational capacity
IMPALA RUSTENBURG
• Maintain improved 2018H2 safety performance
• Implement restructuring outcomes• Develop alternatives to shaft closures• Ramp‐up 16 and 20 shafts
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018
GROUP OUTLOOK
Business area Unit FY2017 actual Guidance (February 2018) FY2018 actual Guidance
FY2019
Refined platinum production:Group Pt oz (refined) 1.530 million 1.5 million 1.468 million 1.50 – 1.60 million
Concentrate platinum production:
Impala Pt oz (in concentrate) 651 200 650 00 – 670 000 668 900 650 000 – 690 000
Zimplats Pt oz (in concentrate) 281 100 255 000 – 265 000 274 100 270 000 – 280 000
Two Rivers Pt oz (in concentrate) 181 900 165 000 – 175 000 162 500 160 000 – 170 000
Mimosa Pt oz (in concentrate) 121 600 115 000 – 120 000 125 000 115 000 – 125 000
Marula Pt oz (in concentrate) 67 900 80 000 – 90 000 85 100 85 000 – 95 000
IRS (third party) Pt oz (in concentrate) 252 900 250 000 – 260 000 258 800 170 000 – 180 000
Group unit cost R/Pt oz 22 873 23 600 – 24 200 23 457 24 400 – 25 300
Group unit cost excluding retrenchments R/Pt oz stock adjusted 22 838 ‐ 22 931 23 900 – 24 800
Group capital expenditure Rbn 3.43 4.6 – 4.8 4.61 4.1 – 4.3
42
ANNUAL RESULTS FY201813 September 2018
ANNUAL RESULTS FY2018
IMPALA OUTLOOK
FY2017 FY2018 est FY2019 est FY2020 est FY2021 est Long‐term est
Number of shafts No 12 11 10 8 6 6
Tonnes milled kt 10.1 10.9 11.3 10.7 8.1 8.0
Ore split (Merensky) % 40 42 43 45 50 >50
Headgrade 6E g/t 4.06 4.09 4.10 4.15 4.25 4.30
Stock adjusted Pt refined 000oz 646 658 680 660 520 520
Unit cost 1 R/Pt oz 25 100 24 015 <23 800 <23 000 <22 000 <22 000
SIB capital 2 R/Pt oz 2 800 2 960 <2 400 <2 400 <2 000 <2 000
Replacement Capital 2 Rm 707 818 550 260 260 120
Restructuring cost 2 Rm ‐ 525 500 1 600 ‐ ‐
All‐in unit cost 2 R/Pt oz 29 000 29 017 <28 000 <28 300 <24 500 <24 500
Employees No 32 235 29 529 2 ≈28 200 3 ≈27 000 4 ≈20 500 ≈20 500
Contractors No 10 018 10 550 2 ≈11 600 3 ≈7 700 4 ≈6 500 ≈6 500
1 Cost in FY2018 real terms excluding restructuring cost 2 Cost in FY2018 real terms3 As at 30 December 2018 4 As at 30 December 2019
44