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February 8, Tokyo & February 13, 2018 Osaka Japan Lumber Importers’ Association (JLIA) Executive Director K. Okada YEAR 2018 CANADIAN LUMBER SCHOOL SYMPOSIUM “Wood Products Import and Future Outlook in Japan”

“Wood Products Import and Future Outlook in Japan” · 2019-05-01 · RUSSIA 136 NEW ZEALAND 377 Imported Logs’ share comparison Yr.2006 vs 2017 Share in Japan Yr.2006 vs 2016

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Page 1: “Wood Products Import and Future Outlook in Japan” · 2019-05-01 · RUSSIA 136 NEW ZEALAND 377 Imported Logs’ share comparison Yr.2006 vs 2017 Share in Japan Yr.2006 vs 2016

February 8, Tokyo &

February 13, 2018 Osaka

Japan Lumber Importers’ Association (JLIA)

Executive Director K. Okada

YEAR 2018

CANADIAN LUMBER SCHOOL SYMPOSIUM

“Wood Products Import

and Future Outlook in Japan”

Page 2: “Wood Products Import and Future Outlook in Japan” · 2019-05-01 · RUSSIA 136 NEW ZEALAND 377 Imported Logs’ share comparison Yr.2006 vs 2017 Share in Japan Yr.2006 vs 2016

JAPAN’s Logs Supply by Country 1960~

1JLIA

Highest H/S 1,9 Mil (1973)

Timber Import Liberalization (1963)

Housing Bubble (Late 80’s)

JPN’s H/S

Page 3: “Wood Products Import and Future Outlook in Japan” · 2019-05-01 · RUSSIA 136 NEW ZEALAND 377 Imported Logs’ share comparison Yr.2006 vs 2017 Share in Japan Yr.2006 vs 2016

JAPAN’s LBR & PLY Imports by Country ~ 1960

2JLIA

Highest H/S 1,9 Mil (1973)JPN’s H/S

Housing Bubble (Late 80’s)

Page 4: “Wood Products Import and Future Outlook in Japan” · 2019-05-01 · RUSSIA 136 NEW ZEALAND 377 Imported Logs’ share comparison Yr.2006 vs 2017 Share in Japan Yr.2006 vs 2016

0

20

40

60

80

0

2,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

27

(15)

(日本の木材供給量及び木材自給率の推移)(10,000 M3) (%)

100

Imported Logs

Lowest Rate (2002)

19%

Current

Rate 35%

(1986)

35%Domestic Logs

Imported Wood

Products/Chips/Fuel

1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2016

(To

tal T

imb

er S

up

ply

Vo

lum

e )

( Tim

be

r Se

lf-su

fficie

nc

y R

ate

)

14,000

MAFF’s Annual Target by 2025 is Domestic

Logs/40 Mil.M3 & Total Timber Supply/79Mil.M3,

hitting around 50% Self-sufficiency rate.

Do you believe or not ?

Total Timber Supply & Self-sufficiency Rate 1955~

JLIA 3

Source: / MAFF, Forestry Agency of Japan

Page 5: “Wood Products Import and Future Outlook in Japan” · 2019-05-01 · RUSSIA 136 NEW ZEALAND 377 Imported Logs’ share comparison Yr.2006 vs 2017 Share in Japan Yr.2006 vs 2016

木材用途別利用量の「目標値」と総需要の見通し

JLIA 4

Page 6: “Wood Products Import and Future Outlook in Japan” · 2019-05-01 · RUSSIA 136 NEW ZEALAND 377 Imported Logs’ share comparison Yr.2006 vs 2017 Share in Japan Yr.2006 vs 2016

H/S 965M

SOUTHSEA 147

N.AMERICA 2,605

RUSSIA 136

NEW ZEALAND 377

Imported Logs’ share comparison Yr.2006 vs 2017

Share in Japan Yr.2006 vs 2016 (( (1,000m3)

SOUTHSEA

N.AMERICA

RUSSIA

NEW ZEALAND

SOUTHSEA

N.AMERICA

RUSSIA

NEW ZEALAND

Year 2006 H/S 1290MSOUTHSEA 1,372

N.AMERICA 3,240RUSSIA 4,942NEW ZEALAND 848

Total Logs Import

=10,402,000M3

Total Logs Import

=3,265,000M3

Year 2006

Year 2017

Russia

N. America

5JLIA

Year 2017

N. America

Page 7: “Wood Products Import and Future Outlook in Japan” · 2019-05-01 · RUSSIA 136 NEW ZEALAND 377 Imported Logs’ share comparison Yr.2006 vs 2017 Share in Japan Yr.2006 vs 2016

Imported Lumber & Glu-lam’ share comparison Yr.2006 vs 2017

(1,000m3)

Total LBR Import

=9,258,000M3

Total LBR Import

=7,334,000M3

Year 2006

Year 2017

H/S 1.290M

SOUTHSEA 516N.AMERICA 3,427RUSSIA 987CHILE+N.Z. 477EUROPE 3,045GLU-LAM 806

SOUTHSEA

N.AMERICA

RUSSIA

CHILE+N.Z.

EUROPE

GLU-LAM

SOUTHSEA

N.AMERICA

RUSSIA

CHILE+N.Z.

EUROPE

GLU-LAM

Year 2017

N. America

Europe

6JLIA

SOUTHSEA 470

N.AMERICA 2,199

RUSSIA 616

CHILE+N.Z. 355

EUROPE 2,826

GLU-LAM 868

Europe

N. America

H/S 965M

Page 8: “Wood Products Import and Future Outlook in Japan” · 2019-05-01 · RUSSIA 136 NEW ZEALAND 377 Imported Logs’ share comparison Yr.2006 vs 2017 Share in Japan Yr.2006 vs 2016

Total Plywood & Board’s share comparison Yr.2006 vs 2017

(1,000m3)

Total Supply Vol.

=10,756,000M3

Total Supply Vol.

=8,746,000M3

Year 2006

Year 2017

H/S 1.290M

Imported Plywood 4,881Domestic Plywood 3,262Imported Board 932Domestic Board 1,681

Imported Plywood

Domestic Plywood

Imported Board

Domestic Board

Imported Plywood

Domestic Plywood

Imported Board

Domestic Board

Imported

Plywood

Domestic

Plywood

7JLIA

Year 2017

Domestic

Plywood

Imported

Plywood

Imported Plywood 2,904

Domestic Plywood 3,211

Imported Board 1,118

Domestic Board 1,513

H/S 965M

Page 9: “Wood Products Import and Future Outlook in Japan” · 2019-05-01 · RUSSIA 136 NEW ZEALAND 377 Imported Logs’ share comparison Yr.2006 vs 2017 Share in Japan Yr.2006 vs 2016

SPF (Canada)

HEM (Canada)

DF (USA)

DF (Canada)

JLIA 9

DF (USA)

DF (Canada)

Hem (Canada)

S.P.F. (Canada)

HEM (Canada)

DF (Canada)

DF (U.S.A.)

Others (Canada)

2000~2017(e) 2000~2017(e)

(?) (?)

Comparison : Imports of SOFTWOOD LUMBER vs G-LAM

Source: / The Trade Statistics, Ministry of Finance

13%

(2017)

8

Page 10: “Wood Products Import and Future Outlook in Japan” · 2019-05-01 · RUSSIA 136 NEW ZEALAND 377 Imported Logs’ share comparison Yr.2006 vs 2017 Share in Japan Yr.2006 vs 2016

SPF (Canada)

HEM (Canada)

DF (USA)

DF (Canada)

North American “LOGS” & “LUMBER” Imports

JLIA 9

< LOGS > < LUMBER >

DF (USA)

DF (Canada)

Hem (Canada)

S.P.F. (Canada)

HEM (Canada)

DF (Canada)

DF (U.S.A.)

Others (Canada)

2000~2017(e) 2000~2017(e)

Source: / The Trade Statistics, Ministry of Finance

(?) (?)

Page 11: “Wood Products Import and Future Outlook in Japan” · 2019-05-01 · RUSSIA 136 NEW ZEALAND 377 Imported Logs’ share comparison Yr.2006 vs 2017 Share in Japan Yr.2006 vs 2016

Thank you for your attention