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APLUS Energy Investment Technology Consultancy
PRE-EVALUATION STUDY FOR EUAS HEPP PRIVATIZATIONS
January 2016
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
CONTENT
1) APLUS COMPANY PROFILE
2) APLUS SELECTED REFERENCES
3) PRELIMINARY ANALYSIS FOR PRIVATIZATION
4) EUAS HEPP PORTFOLIOS
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
APLUS COMPANY PROFILE
APLUS Energy is a consultancy firm
that offers the following services:
Mathematical Modelling and Decision
Support Systems
Market Research and Reporting
Engineering and Technology
Information and Communication
Technology
APLUS Energy offers the following features together:
Local Expertise & Wide Local Area
Network in Energy Sector
International Working Ethics and
Standards
Objectivity and Independence
Scientific Methods
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
APLUS COMPANY PROFILE
SOFTWARE DEPARTMENT
CONSULTANCY DEPARTMENT
Development of software solutions based on business processes and mathematical models that are designed by Consultancy Department
Integration and development services for RIX l ETRM and AVIEW software products
Management of test and quality process for developed softwareproducts
Providing maintenance and support services after installation of software products
Technical & financial feasibility studies to local and international investors who are active or willing to be active in electricity generation, distribution and trade
Short, mid, and long-term,electricity price, electricity demand,installed capacity, generation and available capacity forecast reports
Dispatch optimizations for thermaland hydroelectric power plants
Business process designs
Trainings for energy market and APLUS software products
Development and improvement of models by using quantitative analysis methods and transferring these models to software products
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
APLUS CONSULTANCY SERVICES
CONSULTANCY
Energy Investment Consultancy
QuantitativeAnalysis
Consultancy
Management Consultancy
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
MANAGEMENT CONSULTING
Management Consulting
Market Research
• Clients: Energy companies, commercialbanks, international financial institutions
• Electricity Market
• Coal Market
• Natural Gas Market
• Potential IT investments in the energy market
• Customer segmentation
• Smart Grid Applications for Distribution Networks (SCADA, DMS, OMS, EAM, GIS, Master Plan)
Tariff & Regulation Business AnalysisBusiness Strategy
• Clients: Distribution and retail companies in electricity and natural gas markets
• Investigation of different tariff methodologies
• Determination of efficiency parameters
• Estimating the revenueand personel costs of the distribution and retail companies
• Clients: Energy companiesand potential investors
• Determination of trade strategies for energycompanies and design of organizational structure
• Determination of market –entry strategies to energysector for investors
• Management of tenderprocess for electricity and natural gas distribution company’s IT investments
• Clients: Energy companies, commercialbanks, international financial institutions
• Business workflow analysis
• Preparation of business analysis in software projects, functional design, test and trainingdocuments
• Performing user tests for developed software products
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
ENERGY INVESTMENT CONSULTING
Energy Investment Consulting
Fundamental Market Analysis
• Clients: Energy companies, commercialbanks, international financial institutions
• Medium and long term hourly electricity price forecast by using AVIEW l MarketSim model which also generates natural gas price, electricity demand, electricity generation and installed capacity projections
• Short, medium and longterm energy market projection reports
Dispatch Optimization Simulations
Financial AnalysisEconomic and
Technical Analysis
• Clients: Energy companies, commercialbanks, international financial institutions
• Generation projections forpower plants by usingAVIEW l Thermosim andAVIEW l Hydrosimsoftwares, taking into account the technical characteristics of thermal and hydropower plants, bilateral contracts, day-ahead electricity price forecasts and the balancing and ancillaryservices markets
• Clients: Energy companies, commercialbanks, international financial institutions
• Recommendations for the most suitable technology(turbine, cooling type etc.)according to thecharacteristics of theinvestigated power plant
• Estimation of the power plant’s cash flow according to chosen technology
• Clients: Energy companies, commercialbanks, international financial institutions
• Calculation of the cash-flow for the power plant investment along with payback time, both project and equity internal rate of return (IRR) and net present value (NPV.)
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS CONSULTING
Quantitative Analysis Consulting
Day-Ahead Price Modelling
• Clients: Energy companies & commercial banks, international financial institutions
• Short, medium and longterm hourly price forecastmodeling for the day-ahead market
• Setting up different price forecast models by using fundamental and statistical approaches, monitoring forecast performances and updating the models, if necessary
Electricity DemandForecast Modeling
Portfolio Optimization Models
Dispatch Optimization Models
• Clients: Electricitydistribution and retail companies, energy companies, commercial banks, international financial institutions
• Distributed energy, loss & theft and lighting metersdemand forecast fordistribution companies
• Demand forecast forregional and non-regionalcustomers of supplycompanies
• Short, medium and longterm electricity demandforecast model for Turkey
• Clients: Energy companies, commercialbanks, international financial institutions
• Development of short, medium and long termdispatch optimizationmodels for thermal andhydropower plants
• Updating the algorithmsaccording to market conditions and changes in regulations
• Clients: Power plants, retail and wholesale companies
• Setting up portfolio optimization models, taking into account the day-ahead electricity price forecast, OTC products and prices and portfolio demand forecasts
• Application of thedeveloped models to RIX l ETRM and carriying out pre-user tests
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
APLUS COMPANY PROFILE – Solutions
AVIEW l THERMOSIM
AVIEW l HYDROSIMRIX l ESTIM
RIX l OPTIM
RIX l TRADE
RIX l onTRACK
RIX l PERFORMANCE
AVIEW l HOURLY
AVIEW l PLANNER
AVIEW l PRICE
AVIEW l EMDB
AVIEW l MARKETSIM
PRODUCTIONWHOLESALE
ENERGY TRADE
RETAIL
ENERGY TRADEMARKET ANALYSIS
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
APLUS COMPANY PROFILE – Solution Partners
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
REFERENCES
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
CONTENT
1) APLUS COMPANY PROFILE
2) APLUS SELECTED REFERENCES
3) PRELIMINARY ANALYSIS FOR PRIVATIZATION
4) EUAS HEPP PORTFOLIOS
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
SELECTED REFERENCES - 1/3
Republic of Turkey Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources – Electricity Price Forecast andFinancial Feasibility Consulting to Ministry of Energy for the Sinop Nuclear Power Plant project during thecontract negotiations with Mitsubishi & GDF & Itochu consortium (Completed in 2013)
EMRA (Market Regulator) – Developing and Implementation of the Day-ahead Market Electricity PriceForecasting and Market Monitoring Tool (Completed in 2015)
Tractabel Engineering – Electricity Market Modeling for Georgia and Technical & Economical FeasibilityConsulting for Thermal Power Plant Investment (Completed in 2015)
Finansbank – Mardin Taha Power Plant Market Consulting within the scope of Financing Project(Completed in 2015)
Garanti – Zorlu Energy Geothermal Power Plant Market Consulting within the scope of Financing Project(Completed in 2015)
Yapı Kredi – Economical Feasibility Consulting for Akenerji’s Power Plant Portfolio within the scope ofrefinancing (Completed in 2015)
Confidential – Technical & Economical Consulting for EÜAŞ Second Group HEPP Privatizations in 2016 forthe Portfolio Groups 5, 7 and 8 (Ongoing)
ACWA Power – Technical & Economical Consulting for EÜAŞ First Group HEPP Privatizations in 2015 forthe Portfolio Groups 1, 4 and 5 (Completed in 2015)
EnergoPro – Technical, Economical, and Financial Feasibility Consulting for Karakurt Dam and HEPP withinthe scope of refinancing (Completed in 2015)
Boyabat Electricity Generation A.S. - Hydrology and Economical Assessment Consulting for BoyabatDam belongs to Boyabat Electricity Generation (Completed in 2015)
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
SELECTED REFERENCES - 2/3
ESB Consulting & Siyah Kalem – Technical,Economical, and Financial Feasibility Consulting for a plannedthermal power plant project in Turkey (Completed in 2015)
HANWHA – Long-term Electricity Price Forecast Project within the scope of Solar Power Plant InvestmentProject (Completed in 2015)
First Solar – Long-term Electricity Price and Solar Power Plant Generation Forecast within the scope ofSolar Power Plant Investment in Turkey (Completed in 2014)
Gama Energy – Economical Feasibility Consulting for İçanadolu Natural Gas Thermal Power Plant withinthe scope of financing project (Completed in 2014)
Limak Energy – Technology Selection and Economical Analysis Consulting for Hamitabat Natural GasPower Plant (Completed in 2013)
Ronesans Energy – Long-term Electricity Price Forecasting Study and Thermal Power Plant MarketOptimization Tool for 540 MW CCGT Investment (Completed in 2013)
Deloitte – Thermal Power Plant Market Optimization Study for 7200 MW Lignite Fired Thermal Power PlantInvestment (Completed in 2013)
EPH – Long-Term Price Forecast Study and SWOT Analysis of the Turkish Power & Gas Market for the CzechCompany EPH (Completed in 2013)
Zorlu Energy – Buyer side advisory, Market Due Diligence and Long-Term Price Forecasting Study for thepotential Osmangazi DSO acquisition (Completed in 2013)
Erdem Holding – Long-term Price Forecast Study and Thermal Power Plant Market Optimization Tool for570 MW CCGT Investment (Completed in 2013)
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
SELECTED REFERENCES - 3/3
Garanti Bankası – Long-term Price Forecast Study for the Financing of the Privatization of 600 MWSeyitomer Lignite Fired Thermal Power Plant (Completed in 2013)
Konya Seker – Long-term Price Forecast Study for the Privatization of 457 MW Kangal Lignite FiredThermal Power Plant (Completed in 2013)
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
OTHER REFERENCES - 1/2
CLK Distribution & Retail Companies – Configuration and Implementation of Energy Trade and RiskManagement Software (Ongoing)
Gama Energy - Configuration and Implementation of Thermal Plant Dispatch Optimization and EnergyTrade and Risk Management Softwares (Ongoing)
Meram EPSAS and Wholesale – Configuration and Implementation of Energy Trade and RiskManagement Software (Ongoing)
Cengiz Energy – Configuration and Implementation of Energy Trade and Risk Management Software(Ongoing)
Alen Alarko Energy – Configuration and Implementation of Energy Trade and Risk Management Software(Ongoing)
CLK Distribution Companies - Configuration of Short- and Long-term Electricity Demand and PriceForecasting Tool (Completed)
CLK Distribution Companies - Gathering Data for Calculation of Distributed Energy from AutomatedMeter Reading Systems, Energy Analyzers and EDW System (Completed)
Çalık Holding - Yeşilırmak DSO – Short- and Long-term Electricity Demand and Price Forecasting Tool(Completed)
Zorlu Energy – Short- and Long-term Price and Portfolio Demand Forecasting Tool (Completed)
Axpo – Short- and Long-term Electricity Demand and Price Forecasting Services (Completed)
SEE Electricity Trade – Short-term Electricity Demand and Price Forecasting Services (Completed)
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
OTHER REFERENCES - 2/2
Statkraft – Medium-term Electricity Price Forecasting Report Subscription (Completed)
Aydem DSO – Short- and Long-term Electricity Demand and Price Forecasting Tool (Completed)
Gediz DSO – Short- and Long-term Electricity Demand and Price Forecasting Tool (Completed)
Trakya DSO – Short- and Long-term Electricity Demand and Price Forecasting Tool (Completed)
Meram DSO – Short- and Long-term Electricity Demand and Price Forecasting Tool (Completed)
AKSA – Fırat & Çoruh DSO – Short- and Long-term Electricity Demand and Price Forecasting Tool(Completed)
AKEDAS DSO – Short- and Long-term Electricity Demand and Price Forecasting Tool (Completed)
SEDAS DSO – Short- and Long-term Electricity Demand and Price Forecasting Tool (Completed)
Aras DSO – Short- and Long-term Electricity Demand and Price Forecasting Tool (Completed)
Borusan Enbw – Trading Strategies And IT Road Map Determination Consulting (Completed)
KCETAS DSO – Short- and Mid-term Distribution Generation Forecast (Completed)
Meram DSO – Short- and Medium-term Master Plan Study (Completed)
CLK Uludag DSO – Short- and Medium-term Master Plan Study (Completed)
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
CONTENT
1) APLUS COMPANY PROFILE
2) APLUS SELECTED REFERENCES
3) PRELIMINARY ANALYSIS FOR PRIVATIZATION
4) EUAS HEPP PORTFOLIOS
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
3) PRELIMINARY ANALYSIS FOR EUAS HEPP PRIVATIZATION
# Basin Plant NamePlant Type
Installed Capacity
(MW)Age Location
Annual Generation
(MWh)
Years with Available Data
1 Fırat Şanlıurfa Canal 51.8 9 Şanlıurfa113,606
2006-2014
2TortumLake
Tortum Lake 26.2 55 Erzurum106,864
2005-2014
3Büyük
MenderesAdıgüzel Dam 62 19 Denizli 103,926 2005-2014
3 Akçay Kemer Dam 48 57 Aydın 88,610 2005-2014
4a Kızılırmak Kesikköprü Dam 76 48 Ankara 122,525 2005-2014
4a Kızılırmak Derbent Dam 56.4 34 Samsun 170,250 2005-2014
4b Sakarya Yenice Dam 37.89 14 Ankara 97,544 2005-2014
6 Seyhan Seyhan 1 Dam 60 59 Adana 251,848 2005-2014
6 Seyhan Seyhan 2 Canal 7.5 23 Adana 7,522 2005-2014
6 Seyhan Yüreğir Canal 6 43 Adana 9,828 2005-2014
APLUS Enerji works on an "exclusivity" basis and we have already signed exclusivity agreement for theEUAS Portfolio Groups 5, 7 and 8.
We are still offering services for EUAS Portfolio Groups 1, 2, 3, 4 and 6, for which you can find theinformation provided in the table below.
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
3) PRELIMINARY ANALYSIS FOR EUAS HEPP PRIVATIZATION
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
CONTENT
4.1) PORTFOLIO #1
4.2) PORTFOLIO #2
4.3) PORTFOLIO #3
4.4) PORTFOLIO #4a
4.5) PORTFOLIO #4b
4.6) PORTFOLIO #5
1) APLUS COMPANY PROFILE
2) APLUS SELECTED REFERENCES
3) PRELIMINARY ANALYSIS FOR PRIVATIZATION
4) EUAS HEPP PORTFOLIOS
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
4.1) PORTFOLIO # 1
Plant Name: ŞANLIURFA (2006) – Fırat Basin
Average Annual Generation (2006 – 2014): 113,606.3 MWh
Average Inflow Rate: 635.24 m3/s (Fırat Basin)
Installed Capacity: 51.8 MW (2 x 25.9 MW)
Turbine Type: Horizontal Francis
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Annual Capacity Factor Development (2006-2014)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Monthly Average Capacity Factor Development (2006-2014)
* Monthly average capacity factor development is calculated with generationand installed capacity data for the years between 2006 and 2014.
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
4.1) PORTFOLIO # 1
Definition Comments
Power Plant Name • Şanlıurfa HEPP
Turbine Origin • Vatech (Austria)
Irrigation• 153,472 ha in operation• 2,653 ha in construction phase
Drinking Water • Drinking Water of the Province of Şanlıurfa
Impacts of Future Dams and HEPPs • No Impact
Average Capacity Factor (2006-2014) • 25.6 %
Fixed OPEX (per MW) • 32,255.61 USD
Variable OPEX (per MWh) • 0.6725 USD
Number of Personnel • 21
CAPEX (Rehabilitation) • Minimum
Energy Loss (2014) • Negligible
Others• Due to the flood in 2006, there is a possibility of corrosion
problem in Şanlıurfa HEPP. Water was discharged in two years.• Operates mainly during the irrigation season.
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
CONTENT
4.1) PORTFOLIO #1
4.2) PORTFOLIO #2
4.3) PORTFOLIO #3
4.4) PORTFOLIO #4a
4.5) PORTFOLIO #4b
4.6) PORTFOLIO #5
1) APLUS COMPANY PROFILE
2) APLUS SELECTED REFERENCES
3) PRELIMINARY ANALYSIS FOR PRIVATIZATION
4) EUAS HEPP PORTFOLIOS
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
4.2) PORTFOLIO # 2
Plant Name: TORTUM (1960) – Tortum Lake Basin
Average Annual Generation (1980 – 2014): 109,686.6 MWh
Average Annual Generation (2005 – 2014): 106,863.6 MWh
Average Inflow Rate: 9.83 m3/s
Installed Capacity: 26.2 MW (2 x 5.6 MW + 2 x 7.5 MW)
Turbine Type: Vertical Francis
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
Annual Capacity Factor Development (1980-2014)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Monthly Average Capacity Factor Development (1980-2014)
* Monthly average capacity factor development is calculated with generationand installed capacity data for the years between 1980 and 2014.
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
4.2) PORTFOLIO # 2
Definition Comments
Power Plant Name • Tortum HEPP
Turbine Origin • B. Mainer-Ganz (Hungary)
Irrigation • -
Drinking Water • -
Impacts of Future Dams and HEPPs • No Impact
Average Capacity Factor (2000-2014) • 46.4 %
Fixed OPEX (per MW) • 41,379.22 USD
Variable OPEX (per MWh) • 0.6725 USD
CAPEX (Rehabilitation) • €3.5 millions
Energy Loss (2014) • 1.8 %
Others
• Constrcuted for energy generation.• There is a waterfall around Tortum HEPP and thus the power
plant is required to supply water to this waterfall. The amountof water determined by Erzurum Administrative Court is 3 m3/s.
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
CONTENT
4.1) PORTFOLIO #1
4.2) PORTFOLIO #2
4.3) PORTFOLIO #3
4.4) PORTFOLIO #4a
4.5) PORTFOLIO #4b
4.6) PORTFOLIO #5
1) APLUS COMPANY PROFILE
2) APLUS SELECTED REFERENCES
3) PRELIMINARY ANALYSIS FOR PRIVATIZATION
4) EUAS HEPP PORTFOLIOS
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
4.3) PORTFOLIO # 3
There are two HEPPs in Portfolio 3 which are called ‘ Adıgüzel’ and ‘Kemer’. Adıgüzel
is located on Büyük Menderes basin while Kemer is on Akçay River.
Location of HEPPs in Portfolio #3
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
4.3) PORTFOLIO # 3
Plant Name: ADIGÜZEL (1996) – Büyük Menderes Basin
Average Annual Generation (1996 – 2014): 102,320.7 KWh
Average Annual Generation (2005 – 2014): 103,926.2 KWh
Average Inflow: 20.26 m3/s
Active Volume: 811.00 hm3
Installed Capacity: 62 MW (2 x 31 MW)
Turbine Type: Vertical Francis
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Annual Capacity Factor Development (1996-2014)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Monthly Average Capacity Factor Development (1996 – 2014)
* Monthly average capacity factor development is calculated with generationand installed capacity data for the years between 1996 and 2014.
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
4.3) PORTFOLIO # 3
Definition Comments
Power Plant Name • Adıgüzel HEPP
Turbine Origin • Dongfang (China)
Irrigation
• 68,850 ha in operation (upstream)• 522 ha in construction phase (upstream)• 7,685 ha in planning phase (upstream)• 70,840 ha in operation (downstream)
Drinking Water • -
Impacts of Future Dams and HEPPs• Bahadır Dam (6,430 ha agricultural irrigation) in construction
phase• Zep Dam (4 hm3/year of drinking water) in planning phase
Average Capacity Factor (2000-2014) • 20.3 %
Fixed OPEX (per MW) • 28,925.57 USD
Variable OPEX (per MWh) • 0.6725 USD
Personnel (Current) • 70 (including 20 security)
CAPEX (Rehabilitation) • €3.1 millions
Energy Loss (2014) • 1.6 %
Others• Constructed for energy generation, irrigation and flood
prevention.• A new building is being constructed in the switchyard.
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
4.3) PORTFOLIO # 3
Plant Name: KEMER (1958) – Akçay Basin
Average Annual Generation (1980 – 2014): 98,214.6 MWh
Average Annual Generation (2005 – 2014): 88,610.2 MWh
Average Inflow: 23.15 m3/s
Active Volume: 305.67 hm3
Installed Capacity: 48 MW (3 x 16 MW)
Turbine Type: Vertical
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
Annual Capacity Factor Development (1980-2014)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Monthly Average Capacity Factor Development (1980-2014)
* Monthly average capacity factor development is calculated with generationand installed capacity data for the years between 1980 and 2014.
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
4.3) PORTFOLIO # 3
Definition Comments
Power Plant Name • KEMER HEPP
Turbine Origin • SFAC (France)
Irrigation
• 7,225 ha in operation (upstream)• 3,304 ha in construction phase (upstream)• 52,034 ha in operation (downstream)• 18,542 ha in construction phase (downstream)• 9,349 ha in planning phase (downstream)
Drinking Water • -
Impacts of Future Dams and HEPPs • Akçay 1 Dam and HEPP (15 MW) in project phase
Average Capacity Factor (2000-2014) • 21.8 %
Fixed OPEX (per MW) • 30,603.01 USD
Variable OPEX (per MWh) • 0.6725 USD
CAPEX (Rehabilitation) • €2.4 millions
Energy Loss • 1.4 %
Others• Constructed for energy generation, irrigation and flood
prevention.
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
CONTENT
4.1) PORTFOLIO #1
4.2) PORTFOLIO #2
4.3) PORTFOLIO #3
4.4) PORTFOLIO #4a
4.5) PORTFOLIO #4b
4.6) PORTFOLIO #5
1) APLUS COMPANY PROFILE
2) APLUS SELECTED REFERENCES
3) PRELIMINARY ANALYSIS FOR PRIVATIZATION
4) EUAS HEPP PORTFOLIOS
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
4.4) PORTFOLIO # 4a – Kızılırmak Basin
There are two HEPPs in Portfolio 4a which are called ‘ Kesikköprü’ and
‘Derbent’. Kesikköprü and Derbent HEPPs are located on Kızılırmak River.
Location of HEPPs in Portfolio #4a
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
4.4) PORTFOLIO # 4a
Plant Name: KESİKKÖPRÜ (1967) – Kızılırmak Basin
Average Annual Generation (2000 – 2014): 119,175.4 MWh
Average Annual Generation (2005 – 2014): 122,524.5 MWh
Average Inflow Rate: 81.18 m3/s (Kızılırmak Basin)
Active Volume: 61.20 hm3
Installed Capacity: 76 MW (2 x 38 MW)
Turbine Type: Vertical Francis
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Annual Capacity Factor Development (2000-2014)
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Monthly Average Capacity Factor Development (2000-2014)
* Monthly average capacity factor development is calculated with generationand installed capacity data for the years between 2000 and 2014.
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
4.4) PORTFOLIO # 4a
Definition Comments
Power Plant Name • Kesikköprü HEPP
Turbine Origin • Tosi-Ansaldo (Italy)
Irrigation
• 5,500 ha in operation (upstream)• 155,217 ha in planning phase (upstream)• 40,810 ha in operation (upstream of Yamula HEPP)• 33,234 ha in construction phase (upstream of Yamula HEPP)• 40,691 ha in planning phase (upstream of Yamula HEPP)
Drinking Water • 167 hm3/year (Drinking Water of the Province of Ankara)
Impacts of Future Dams and HEPPs • No Impact
Average Capacity Factor (2000-2014) • 17.9 %
Fixed OPEX (per MW) • 26,761.97 USD
Variable OPEX (per MWh) • 0.6725 USD
CAPEX (Rehabilitation) • Minimum
Energy Loss • Negligible
Others• Constructed for the purposes of energy generation and
irrigation.
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
4.4) PORTFOLIO # 4a
Plant Name: DERBENT (1991) – Kızılırmak Basin
Average Annual Generation (1992 – 2014): 217,550.4 MWh
Average Annual Generation (2005 – 2014): 170,249.6 MWh
Active Volume: 45.70 hm3
Installed Capacity: 56.4 MW (2 x 25.2 MW + 1 x 6 MW)
Turbine Type: Vertical Kaplan
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Annual Capacity Factor Development (1992-2014)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Monthly Average Capacity Factor Development (1992-2014)
* Monthly average capacity factor development is calculated with generationand installed capacity data for the years between 1992 and 2014.
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
4.4) PORTFOLIO # 4a
Definition Comments
Power Plant Name • Derbent HEPP
Turbine Origin • Toshiba (Japan)
Irrigation• 47,750 ha in operation(after generation)• 94,000 ha in construction phase
Drinking Water • -
Impacts of Future Dams and HEPPs • No Impact
Average Capacity Factor (2000-2014) • 36.2 %
Fixed OPEX (per MW) • 29,963.68 USD
Variable OPEX (per MWh) • 0.6725 USD
CAPEX (Rehabilitation) • Governor
Energy Loss • 1.4 %
Others
• Constructed for energy generation, irrigation and flood prevention.• Landslide danger from the mountain at the left abutment of Derbent
Dam body. The civil works, in order to alleviate the problem, was initiated two months ago.
• The Primary Frequency Response tests were insufficient to meet therequirements.
• The downstream reservoir limit of Derbent HEPP is 400 m3/s. WhenAltınkaya HEPP operates in full capacity, this limit is insufficient. TheGeneral Directorate of State Hydraulic Works already started toincrease the downstream reservoir limit to 600 m3/s.
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
CONTENT
4.1) PORTFOLIO #1
4.2) PORTFOLIO #2
4.3) PORTFOLIO #3
4.4) PORTFOLIO #4a
4.5) PORTFOLIO #4b
4.6) PORTFOLIO #5
1) APLUS COMPANY PROFILE
2) APLUS SELECTED REFERENCES
3) PRELIMINARY ANALYSIS FOR PRIVATIZATION
4) EUAS HEPP PORTFOLIOS
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
4.5) PORTFOLIO # 4b – Sakarya Basin
There is only one plant in Portfolio 4b which is called Yenice HEPP.
Location of HEPPs in Portfolio #4b
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
4.5) PORTFOLIO # 4b
Plant Name: YENİCE (2001) – Sakarya Basin
Average Annual Generation (2002 – 2014): 102,676.4 MWh
Average Annual Generation (2005 – 2014): 97,544.1 MWh
Average Inflow Rate: 75.47 m3/s (Sakarya Basin)
Active Volume: 4.35 hm3
Installed Capacity: 37.89 MW (3 x 12.63 MW)
Turbine Type: Vertical Kaplan
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Annual Capacity Factor Development(2002-2014)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Monthly Average Capacity Factor Development(2002 – 2014)
* Monthly average capacity factor development is calculated with generationand installed capacity data for the years between 2002 and 2014.
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
4.5) PORTFOLIO # 4b
Definition Comments
Power Plant Name • Yenice HEPP
Turbine Origin • Romenergo UCM Reşita (Romania)
Irrigation• 94,322 ha in operation (upstream)• 12,178 ha during constructrion (upstream)• 64,000 ha in planning phase (upstream)
Drinking Water• 347 hm3/year in operation (upstream)• 25 hm3/year in construction phase (upsteam)
Impacts of Future Dams and HEPPs • No Impact
Average Capacity Factor (2001-2014) • 29.4 %
Fixed OPEX (per MW) • 32.748,06 USD
Variable OPEX (per MWh) • 0.6725 USD
CAPEX (rehabilitation) • Minimum
Energy Loss (2014) • 2.6 %
Others• Constructed for energy generation.• Small reservoir volume.• A vibration problem was detected in the turbines in 2006.
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
CONTENT
4.1) PORTFOLIO #1
4.2) PORTFOLIO #2
4.3) PORTFOLIO #3
4.4) PORTFOLIO #4a
4.5) PORTFOLIO #4b
4.6) PORTFOLIO #6
1) APLUS COMPANY PROFILE
2) APLUS SELECTED REFERENCES
3) PRELIMINARY ANALYSIS FOR PRIVATIZATION
4) EUAS HEPP PORTFOLIOS
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
4.6) PORTFOLIO # 6 – Seyhan Basin
There are three HEPPs in Portfolio 6 which are called ‘ Seyhan 1’, ‘Seyhan 2’ and
‘Yüreğir’ HEPPs.
Location of HEPPs in Portfolio #6
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
4.6) PORTFOLIO # 6
Plant Name: SEYHAN 1 (1956) – Seyhan Basin
Average Annual Generation (1980 – 2014): 319,007.3 MWh
Average Annual Generation (2005 – 2014): 251,848.1 MWh
Average Inflow Rate: 124.62 m3/s (Seyhan Basin)
Active Volume: 656.14 hm3
Installed Capacity: 60 MW (3 x 20 MW)
Turbine Type: Vertical
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
Annual Capacity Factor Development (1980-2014)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Monthly Average Capacity Factor Development (1980 – 2014)
* Monthly average capacity factor development is calculated with generationand installed capacity data for the years between 1980 and 2014.
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
4.6) PORTFOLIO # 6
Definition Comments
Power Plant Name • Seyhan 1 HEPP
Turbine Origin • J.M. Voith (Germany)
Irrigation • 175,000 ha of irrigation (the Province of Adana).
Drinking Water • -
Impacts of Future Dams and HEPPs
• Feke II Dam and HEPP (70 MW) in operation• Menge Dam and HEPP (89.42 MW) in operation• Köprü Dam and HEPP (155.16 MW) in operation• Kavşak Bendi Dam and HEPP (191.28 MW) in operation• Yedigöze Sanibey Dam and HEPP (310.66 MW) in operation
Average Capacity Factor (2000-2014) • 52.0 %
Fixed OPEX (per MW) • 29,440.67 USD
Variable OPEX (per MWh) • 0.6725 USD
Personnel (Current) • 110 (including Seyhan 2 and Yüreğir)
CAPEX (rehabilitation) • Governor, Voltage Regulator, Excitation System
Energy Loss (2014) • 1.5 %
Others
• Constructed for energy generation, irrigation and flood prevention.• The irrigation amount is expected to increase to 75 % of the total
inflow coming to Seyhan 1 Dam after the plans of İmamoğluIrrigation and Drinking Water of Yumurtalık&Ceyhan are fullyoperational. İmamoğlu Irrigation project is currently underconstruction.
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
4.6) PORTFOLIO # 6
Plant Name: SEYHAN 2 (1992) – Seyhan Basin
Average Annual Generation (1992 – 2014): 10,135.8 MWh
Average Annual Generation (2005 – 2014): 7,522.9 MWh
Installed Capacity: 7.5 MW (3 x 2.5 MW)
Turbine Type: Horizontal Kaplan
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Monthly Average Capacity Factor Development(1992 – 2014)
* Monthly average capacity factor development is calculated with generationand installed capacity data for the years between 1992 and 2014.
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Annual Capacity Factor Development (1992-2014)
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
4.6) PORTFOLIO # 6
Definition Comments
Power Plant Name • Seyhan - 2
Turbine Origin • Cegelec Dumont Neyrpic (France)
Irrigation • -
Drinking Water • -
Impacts of Future Dams and HEPPs • No Impact
Average Capacity Factor (2000-2014) • 13.4 %
Fixed OPEX (per MW) • 51.362,78 USD
Variable OPEX (per MWh) • 0.6725 USD
Personnel (Current) • 110 (including Seyhan 1 and Yüreğir)
CAPEX (rehabilitation) • Minimum
Energy Loss (2014) • 2.2 %
Others
• Constructed for energy generation• The plant is operated when there is no irrigation (in the winter
season).• Seyhan 2 may become «non-operational» when the plans for
İmamoğlu Irrigation and Drinking Water of Yumurtalık&Ceyhan arefully operational.
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
4.6) PORTFOLIO # 6
Plant Name: YÜREĞİR (1972) – Seyhan Basin
Average Annual Generation (1980 – 2014): 9,479.4 MWh
Average Annual Generation (2005 – 2014): 9,827.7 MWh
Installed Capacity: 6 MW (1 x 6 MW)
Turbine Type: Vertical Kaplan
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
Annual Capacity Factor Development (1980-2014)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Monthly Average Capacity Factor Development (1980 – 2014)
* Monthly average capacity factor development is calculated with generationand installed capacity data for the years between 1980 and 2014.
APLUS ENERGY INVESTMENT TECHNOLOGY CONSULTANCY
4.6) PORTFOLIO # 6
Definition Comments
Power Plant Name • Yüreğir HEPP
Turbine Origin • Maier (Germany)
Irrigation• 121,690 ha in operation• 38,015 ha in construction phase
Drinking Water • 305.87 hm3/year in planning phase (Aşağı Körkün)
Impacts of Future Dams and HEPPs • No Impact
Average Capacity Factor (2000-2014) • 18.2 %
Fixed OPEX (per MW) • 58,292.91 USD
Variable OPEX (per MWh) • 0.6725 USD
Personnel (Current) • 110 (including Seyhan 1 and Seyhan 2)
CAPEX (rehabilitation) • Minimum
Energy Loss • 1.8 %
Others
• Constructed for energy generation and irrigation.• The plant is operated during the irrigation season (summer months).• According to the management of the power plant, all
electromechanic equipment is required to be replaced.
CONTACTSüleyman Seba Caddesi, BJK Plaza A-Blok Kat 1
Beşiktaş/İstanbulTel: +90 212 276 55 22 Fax: +90 212 236 79 40