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  • 7/27/2019 Apresentacao HSBC Latin American Investment Summit Ingles

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    April,2013

    PETROBRAS

    AT A GLANCE

    HSBC Latin American

    Investment Summit

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    DISCLAIMER

    The presentation may contain forward-looking statements We undertake no obligation to publicly update or

    FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

    the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E

    of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, thatare not based on historical facts and are not assurances offuture results. Such forward-looking statements merelyreflect the Companys current views and estimates of

    revise any forward-looking statements, whether asa result of new information or future events or forany other reason. Figures for 2013 on areestimates or targets.

    u ure econom c c rcums ances, n us ry con ons,company performance and financial results. Such termsas "anticipate", "believe", "expect", "forecast", "intend","plan", "project", "seek", "should", along with similar or

    analogous expressions, are used to identify such forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned that these

    All forward-looking statements are expresslyqualified in their entirety by this cautionarystatement, and you should not place reliance onany forward-looking statement contained in thispresentation.

    statements are only projections and may differ materiallyfrom actual future results or events. Readers are referredto the documents filed by the Company with the SEC,specifically the Companys most recent Annual Report onForm 20-F, which identify important risk factors that couldcause actual results to differ from those contained in the

    NON-SEC COMPLIANT OIL AND GAS RESERVES:

    CAUTIONARY STATEMENT FOR US INVESTORS

    We present certain data in this presentation, such

    forward-looking statements, including, among otherthings, risks relating to general economic and businessconditions, including crude oil and other commodityprices, refining margins and prevailing exchange rates,uncertainties inherent in making estimates of our oil and

    as reserves includin recentl discovered oil and as

    ,

    to present in documents filed with the UnitedStates Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)under new Subpart 1200 to Regulation S-K becausesuch terms do not qualify as proved, probable orpossible reserves under Rule 4-10(a) of Regulation

    reserves, international and Brazilian political, economicand social developments, receipt of governmental

    approvals and licenses and our ability to obtain financing.

    - .

    2

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    Petrobras TodayFully integrated across the hydrocarbon chain

    Ex lorationand

    2.4 mm boed production

    Production

    12 refineries (Brazil)

    2.0 mm bpd refining capacity

    ownstream

    7,641 service stations

    38,1% of market share

    Distribution

    9,190 km of gas pipelines in

    Brazil

    Gasan Power

    24 countries

    0.7 Bn boe of 1P (SPE)

    International

    3 Biodiesel Plants

    Ethanol: opening new markets

    Biofuels

    96% of Brazilian production

    34% of global DW and UDW

    production

    Oil products sales in Brazil:

    2,285 Kbpd

    Oil products output in Brazil:

    1,997 Kbpd

    20% share of service stations.

    3 LNG Regasification

    terminals by 2013 with 41

    MMm/d capacity

    7,028 MW of generation

    243 th. boed production

    231 th. bpd refining capacity

    Largest domestic producer of

    biodiesel

    3rd producer of ethanol in

    Brazil

    2012ProvenReserves(SPECriteria) BrazilAdjustedEBITDAperSegment(US$bn)(1)

    3.03,2

    Onshore8%

    Shallow Water(0-300m)

    8%

    . on oe

    43.4 42,211

    4.10.9

    1.4

    3.62,0

    1.1

    1.3

    .1.6

    1.1

    2.1

    Deep Water(300-1,500m)

    48%

    Ultra-Deep Water

    19.330.6

    6.9

    15,0> , m

    36%

    (1)ExcludesCorporateandElimination (2)Adjustedaccordingtoaverageexchangerate (3)IFRSUSD 3

    2009 2010 2011(3) (3)(2) 2012

    E&P RTM G&P Distribution International

    (3)

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    OwnershipBroad distribution: government, Brazilian and foreign shareholders

    19%

    ForeignShareholders

    Non-Voting

    35%

    16%

    Brazilian

    Government

    Non-Voting

    Voting

    47%

    12%

    6%

    12%

    18%

    Brazilian Non-GovtShareholders

    Non-Voting

    Voting

    Brazilian government, by law, must maintain control. Does so with 61% of voting shares.

    *Includes:FederalGovernment,BNDES,BNDESPAR,Sov.WealthFund

    , , .

    2000: ADRs listing on NYSE (PBR and PBR/A)

    4

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    Relative PositionRanked among the leading integrated energy companies

    16.8

    3.23.3

    4.2

    25.2

    13.3 12.3

    11.3 10.8 8.66.8

    5.2

    2.6 2.6 2.31.7 1.6

    0.6

    Exxon BP Shell BR Chevron Total Conoco ENI StatoilGas Oil

    MarketCa US$bn March29th,20132012Refinin Ca acit mmboe d

    Exxon BP Shell Chevron BR Total ENI Conoco BG

    Gs Oil

    3.7

    5.5 404

    1.92.12.3

    2.22.9

    0.90.3

    231 209

    73

    114 112134

    7782

    Note: Peer companies selected above have a majorit y of capital traded in the public market.

    Source: Evaluate Energy (barrels per calendar day, considering company % shareholding and includ ing JVs) and Bloomberg

    5Note: Peer companies selected above have a majority of capital traded in the publ ic market.

    Exxon Shell BP BR Conoco Total Chevron ENI Statoil EXXON CHEVRON SHELL BP TOTAL BR ENI STATOIL CONOCO

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    Competitive AdvantagesUniquely positioned to integrate upstream and downstream operations

    Abundantreserves300km

    awayfromthemarket

    13

    Leaderindeepwaterproduction,withaccesstoabundantoilreserves

    Dominantpositioningrowingmarket,farfromotherrefiningcenters

    Fullydevelopedinfrastructureforprocessingandtransfporting

    as

    Exploration & Production Downstream Gas & Power/ Biofuels/Petrochemicals

    Newexploratoryfrontier,adjacent

    to

    existing

    operations

    Balanceandintegrationbetweenproduction,refininganddemand

    IntegrationaccrossfullenergyandhydrocarbonchaininBrazil

    6

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    2013-17 Business and Management Plan Fundamentals

    PRIORITY

    PERFORMANCE

    DISCIPLINE

    Priority for

    FinanciabilityAssumptions

    focused on

    reaching

    physical andfinancial tar ets

    Guarantee theexpansion ofthe business

    with solid

    oil andnatural gas

    exploration &production

    maintenance

    No new equity issuance

    of each project

    financialindicators

    projects inBrazil

    International Prices (OilProducts)

    Divestments in Brazil and,,

    7

    2013 2017

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    2013-2017 BMP InvestmentsApproved by Petrobras Board of Directors in 03/15/13

    2013-2017 PeriodUS$ 236.7 Billion Financiability Assumptions

    Investment Grade Rating maintenance:

    Leverage lower than 35%28%27.4% Net Debt/EBITDA lower than 2.5x

    No new equity issuance

    E&P62.3%

    (US$ 147.5 bi)

    (US$ 64.8 bi)

    4.2%

    (US$ 9.9 bi)

    Products)

    Divestments in Brazil and, mainly, abroad1.1%(US$ 2.9 bi)

    .(US$ 5.1 bi)

    1.0%(US$ 2.3 bi)

    1.4%(US$ 3.2 bi)

    0.4%(US$ 1.0 bi)

    8* Pbio = Petrobras Biofuel ETM = Engineering, Technology and Materials Other Areas = Financial, Strategy and Corporate

    International ETM* Other Areas*Pbio*E&P DistribuitionDownstream G&E

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    2013-2017 BMP InvestmentsImplementation x Evaluation

    +=Total

    All E&P projects in Brazil and projects of theremaining segments in phase IV

    Projects for the remaining segments,excluding E&P, currently in phase I, II and III.

    . ..770 projects 177 projects947 projects

    1.0%

    (US$ 0.3 Billion)6.1%

    .

    (US$ 147.5 Billion) 27.4%

    (US$ 64.8 Billion)

    .

    (US$ 147.5 Billion) 20.9%

    (US$ 43.2 Billion)

    2.9%US$ 5.9 Billion

    13.5%

    (US$ 4.0 Billion)

    6.4%

    (US$ 1.9 Billion)

    .

    2.2%

    (US$ 5.1 Billion)

    4.2%

    (US$ 9.9 Billion)0.5%

    (US$ 1.1 Billion)

    1.5%

    (US$ 3.2 Billion)

    1.0%

    (US$ 2.3 Billion)

    1.4%

    (US$ 3.2 Billion)

    .

    (US$ 2.9 Billion)

    0.4%

    (US$ 1.0 Billion)

    1.1%

    (US$ 2.3 Billion)

    1.4%(US$ 2.9 Billion)

    0.5%

    (US$ 1.0 Bililon)

    73.0%(US$ 21.6 Billion)

    9Phase I: Opportunity Identification; Phase II: Conceptual Project; Phase III: Basic Project ; Phase IV: Execution

    * Pbio = Petrobras Biofuel ETM = Engineering, Technology and Materials Other Areas = Financial, Strategy and Corporate

    International ETM* Other Areas*Pbio*E&P DistribuitionDownstream G&E

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    2013-2017 Business and Management Plan :Project Portfolio Management

    INVESTMENTS UNDER IMPLEMENTATION

    US$ 147.5 Billion US$ 43.2 Billion US$ 5.9 Billion US$ 3.2 Billion US$ 2.9 Billion US$ 1.1 Billion

    Implementation ofProjects under

    Evaluations contingent

    E&P Downstream Gas & Energy International Distribution Biofuels

    US$ on:

    Results of Technical-

    Economical Feasibility

    . i

    Availability of Resources

    (financiability);

    US$29.6 bi*

    resources.-

    E&PUS$ 21.6 BillionDownstream

    US$ 4.0 BillionGas & Energy

    US$ 1.9 BillionInternational

    US$ 0.3 BillionDistribution

    US$ 1.8 BillionBiofuels

    10

    * US$ 207.1 Billion include ETM (US$ 2,3 bi) and Other Areas (US$ 1,0 bi) investments

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    Programs to Support the 2013-2017 BMP

    2013-2017 BMP

    US$ 236.7 Billion

    PRC-PooProgram to

    Program toIncrease

    Operational

    PROCOP

    Operating Costs

    Reduce Well Costs

    UO-BCUO-RIO

    Program

    INFRALOG Logistic Infrastructure Optimization ProgramPRODESIN Divestment Program

    Petrobras Local Content Management Take advantage of the industrys capacity to maximize gains to Petrobras

    11

    PROCOP: Focus on OPEX, operating costs of the Company activities Manageable Operating Costs.

    PRC-Poo: Focus on CAPEX dedicated to Wells construction Investments in Drilling and Completion.

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    PROCOP: Optimization of the Operational Activities IncreasingProductivity and Reducing Unit Costs

    Benefits will come gradually and will lead to a total economy of R 32 Billion by 2016.

    Initiatives Example

    Annual Reduction Targets

    chemicals and fuels; Productive drilling rig days;

    Maritime and air transportation; Onshore well

    interventions;

    4 79

    12owns ream: onsump on o c em ca s an

    catalyzers; Residual production; Scheduled

    Stoppages routine; excessive lay day at ports; Fleet

    use; Delivery Schedule;osts

    ranspe ro: Intervention in vessels, terminals, oiland gas pipelines, and tanks;

    Gas & Energy: NG consumption to produceammonia; Operating cost for the gas pipelineM

    anageable

    R$Billion

    network;

    Engineering, Technology and Materials:Supply and inventories of materials; IT costs per

    12

    Corporate e Services: Expenditures with

    buildings, trips and transportation; HSEmanagement.

    * Expenditures for industrial, administrative and support installations

    Annual Reduction provided by PROCOP

    Evolution of Manageable Costs

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    PRC-Poo: Program to Reduce Well CostsWell Construction is a Relevant Portion in Investments

    Other Areas 89.2

    236.7

    147.5

    24.3

    Infra-structure and Support16.3

    Exploration

    Development Well Investments

    total US$ 75 billion

    E&P 147.5

    106.9 Production Development

    2013-2017 BMPInvestments

    Brazil E&PInvestments

    Petrobras currently has 69 floating drilling rigs for well construction and maintenance in Brazil

    Well construction represents:

    32% of Petrobras investments in 2013-2017 BMP

    13

    51% of Brazil E&P Investments

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    Exploration & Production

    2013-2017 PeriodUS$ 147.5 Billion

    16%(24.3)

    73%

    (106.9)

    (16.3)

    Infrastructure and Support

    Exploration

    Production Development

    1414

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    E&P Investments

    2013-2017 Period

    ro uc on eve opmen

    US$ 106.9 BillionUS$ 24.3 Billion

    25%(26.2)

    6%(1.4)

    (46.4)

    32%(34.3)

    70%(17.1)

    (5.8)

    Post-Salt

    Pre-Salt

    Transfer of Ri hts

    15

    Aside from Exploration and Production Development, E&P infrastructure investments total US$ 16.3 Billion.

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    Exploratory Success and Increase in ReservesMore than 3 Discoveries per month between January/2012 and February/2013

    53 discoveries in the last 14 months (Jan/12 Feb/13), from which 25 were offshore (15 in Pre-salt)

    Brazil Discoveries: 53

    Offshore: 25

    Onshore: 28

    Exploratory Success Ratio: 64% Reserves: 15.7 Billion boe

    RRR: 103% for the 21st consecutive year

    R/P: 19.3 years

    Pre-Salt

    16 RRI: Reserves Replacement Ratio R/P: Reserve / Production

    Discoveries: 15, of which 8 pioneers

    Exploratory Success Ratio: 82%

    Reserves: 300 km in the SE region, 55% of GDP16

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    Reserves and Recoverable VolumesRapid growth in reserves from discoveries in deep waters

    Deep/UltraDeepWaterPhaseOnshorePhase ShallowWaterPhase

    Proved Reserves SPEcriteria

    25000

    30000

    15.73biboePreSalt:Sapinho

    20000

    Roncador

    ParkofWhales,Mexilho

    PreSalt:Lula&Cernambi

    Million

    Boe

    10000Garoupa

    Marlim

    Guaricema

    0

    5000 Carmpolis

    1953

    1954

    1955

    1956

    1957

    1958

    1959

    1960

    1961

    1962

    1963

    1964

    1965

    1966

    1967

    1968

    1969

    1970

    1971

    1972

    1973

    1974

    1975

    1976

    1977

    1978

    1979

    1980

    1981

    1982

    1983

    1984

    1985

    1986

    1987

    1988

    1989

    1990

    1991

    1992

    1993

    1994

    1995

    1996

    1997

    1998

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    2011

    2012

    Onshore 0300m 300

    1500m >

    1500m

    *Lula/Cernambi,Iara,SapinhoandWhalesPark,rangingfrom6.7to7.9Billionboe

    Presalts Recovery

    Volume* Transfer of Rights

    17

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    Production Curve in Brazil Oil and LNG

    Post-Salt, Pre-Salt and Transfer of Rights

    2014

    Roncador IV(P-62)

    Sapinho Norte

    2016

    Lula Alto

    Lula Central

    Lula Sul

    2012

    Baleia Azul(Cid. Anchieta)

    2013

    Sapinho Pilot(Cid. So Paulo)

    Bana

    2015

    Iracema Norte(Cid. Itagua)

    2017

    Lula Ext. Sul(P-68)

    Lula Oeste

    2020

    Espadarte III

    Florim

    2019

    Jpiter

    Bonito

    Franco Leste

    2018NE de Tupi(P-72)

    Iara NW(P-71)

    bpd

    . a e a

    Iracema Sul

    (Cid.Mangaratiba)

    (P-66)

    Franco 1(P-74)

    Carioca

    Lula Norte

    .

    Lula NE Pilot

    (Cid. Paraty)Papa-Terra(P-63)

    Roncador III

    -

    Franco Sul

    (P-76)Tartaruga Verdee Mestia

    Iara Horst 4,200

    Deep WatersSergipe

    Sul Pq. Baleias

    Maromba

    Espadarte I

    19%

    6%

    Thousands -

    Franco SW(P-75)

    (P-55)

    Norte Pq.Baleias (P-58)

    Papa-Terra(P-61)

    (P-70)

    Parque dosDoces

    Franco NW(P-77)

    Carcar

    Entorno de Iara(P-73)

    5% 7%

    30% 35%

    31%1%

    7%

    2,022

    2,500 ,

    2,0221,980

    ( 2%)

    95% 93% 69%58%

    44%4-6% p.y. Growth

    2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

    Post-salt Pre-salt (Concession) Transfer of Rights New Discoveries*

    (*) Includes new opportunities in blocks where discoveries have already been found 18

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    NEWPRODUCTIONUNITS 20132014Newplatformsbuiltdomesticallyandabroadwillcontributetoproduction

    Project Capacity 1st Oil HullTop Side /Integration

    oca on en

    BidRound

    Commit. Target

    Sapinho Pilot120 kbpd 01/05/2013

    Cosco Shipyard Schahin/Modec2 30% 65%

    .

    Bana and PiracabaFPSO Cid. Itaja 80 kbpd 02/16/2013

    JurongCingapura

    Odebrecht and TeekayCingapura 5 60% 81%

    Lula NE PilotFPSO Cid. Parat

    120 kbpd 05/28/2013Keppel Shipyard

    Cin a uraQGOG/SBM

    Brasfels2 30% 65%

    Papa-TerraP-63

    140 kbpd 07/15/2013Cosco Shipyard

    ChinaQuip

    Rio Grande0 0% 65%

    Roncador Module IIIP-55

    180 kbpd 09/30/2013 EASBrasil

    QuipRio Grande

    0 0% 65%

    Parque das BaleiasP-58

    180 kbpd 11/30/2013Queirz Galvo

    Rio GrandeQueirz Galvo

    Rio Grande0 0% 63%

    Papa-TerraP-61

    TLWP loadout to P-63

    12/31/2013FloatecBrasfels

    FloatecBrasfels

    0 0% 65%

    Roncador Module IVP-62

    180 kbpd Mar/2014 Camargo Corra/IESAEAS

    Camargo Corra/IESAEAS

    0 0% 63%

    Sapinho NorteFPSO Cid. Ilhabela

    150 kbpd Sep/2014QGOG/SBM

    ChinaQGOG/SBMSBM/BRASA

    2 30% 65%

    Lula - Iracema SulFPSO Cid. Mangaratiba

    150 kbpd Nov/2014Cosco Shipyard

    ChinaNot define 2 30% 65%

    *Note:FPSOCid.XX=Leased/PXX=Owned 19

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    OPERATIONALEFFICIENCYPROEF ProgramtorecoverandmaintainoperationalefficiencyinCamposBasin

    ImproveOperationalUnit

    EfficiencyLevels

    Improveproduction

    systemsintegrityPROEF

    UO-BC

    Increasethereliabilitytodeliver

    roduction tar ets of BP 201216

    UO-RIOReachSustainableLevelsof

    OperationalEfficiency

    ReduceRiskofLossof

    OperationalEfficiency

    Operational Efficiency - E&P Operational Efficiency - UO-BC Operational Efficiency - Without UO-BC Operational Efficiency - UO-RIO

    E&P Recent Operational Efficiency (%)

    PROEF Targets

    9294

    95

    94 939696

    93

    93 94 94 94

    90

    95

    100

    90 8785

    88

    80

    76

    81

    88 90

    75

    80

    85

    71 72

    65

    70

    2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

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    E&P Distribution of RevenuesStable concession terms have led to higher income per barrel

    Breakdown

    of

    realization

    rice

    er

    boe

    roduced

    in

    Brazil

    % shareof realization price120

    US$/boe realization price US$/boe realization price

    25%31% 33% 31%

    80%

    100%

    79

    100

    13%

    23%21% 21% 21%

    60%

    $20 $20

    $22

    $31 $30

    62

    60

    80

    17%

    22%18% 16% 17%

    17%

    20%

    $11 $12$14 $16

    $7$11

    $16$15

    $12

    $15

    20

    40

    0%

    2009 2010 2011 2012$9

    $10 $13 14

    0

    2009 2010 2011 2012

    22

    Lifting Cost Exploratory costs + DD&A + Others Income Tax Production Tax Net Income

    *Othersincludetaxexpenses,R&D,SG&A

    Brent

    22

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    E&PPROFITABILITYProductionofoil,notgas,generateshighrealizationprice

    30

    35

    15

    20

    25

    5

    10

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    Peers Petrobras

    *

    ProductioninBrazilhighlyconcentratedinoil:86%oiland14%gas

    Stableregulatoryenvironmentallowsforcapturingthebenefitsoftheincreaseinoilprices

    Peers:BP,CVX,XOM,RDS,TOT *Petrobras PreliminarySource:EvaluateEnergy

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    PROFITABILITY

    New E&P projects will continue to generate attractive returns

    35.00%

    40.00%

    45.00%

    KeyAssumptions:

    25.00%

    30.00%

    . ,

    Productionof500MMbarrels

    Rampup inlinewithindustry

    Historic decline rate

    10.00%

    15.00%

    20.00%

    Oilvalue=95%Brent

    Doesnotincludeexplorationand

    acquisitioncosts

    .00%

    5.00%

    60 70 80 90 100 110

    ex ected scenario

    US$/bbl

    Case3 US$12/boeCapex/US$5/boeOpexwithoutSpecialInterest(suchasTransferofRights)

    Case2 US$15/boeCapex/US$7/boeOpex

    The graph illustrates the costbenefit ratio of a standard production development in Brazil, using

    assumptions based on previous experiences

    24

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    Pre-Salt Production is a RealityProduction reached 300 thousand barrels of oil per day in Feb/20/2013

    - Oil Production reached 300 kbpd (of which 249 kbpd

    is Petrobras stake), 43% in Santos Basin and 57% inCampos Basin;

    High Resolution Seismic: higher exploratory

    success

    This level was reached with only 17 producing wells, 6

    in Santos Basin and 11 in Campos Basin; Level reached only 7 years after discovery:

    Geological and numerical modelling: better

    production behaviour forecast

    ampos as n: years

    US Gulf of Mexico: 17 years

    North Sea: 9 years

    Production of 1 million b d o erated b Petrobras will

    e uct on o we construct on t me rom

    days in 2006 to 70 day in 2012: lower costs

    Selection of new materials: lower costs

    be reached by 2017 and the 2.1 million bpd thresholdwill be reached by 2020.

    Petrobras Pre-salt productions share: from 5% in

    Qualification of new systems for production

    gathering: higher competitiveness

    . . . .

    Separation of CO2 from natural gas in deepwaters and reinjection: lower emissions and

    increase in recovery factor

    25

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    Drilling Rigs AvailabilityNecessity met with imported and domestic units

    Rigs

    00m)

    8 9 6 82

    Drilling Rigs: Imported vs. Domestic

    42 42 42 42 42

    umberof

    Drillin

    aterDepth>2.

    26

    40 41 42 4234

    2519

    8 17

    23 31

    (

    5 7 811 9

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

    Imported Rigs Brazilian Rigs (Existing) Brazilian Rigs (New)

    28 new domestic drilling rigs from 2016 on: Local Content between 55% and 65%

    Midtermneedsfordrillingrigsarenowlargelysatisfied. Futureintermediatedemandwillbelimitedtospecificsituationsandneeds.

    Startingin2016,Brazilianbuiltrigsexpectedtobeginreplacinginternationallybuiltfleetastheircontractsexpire(andsubjecttototalfleetneeds).

    Ifforanyreasonthedomesticrigsarenotcompletedasscheduled,Petrobrashasthepossibilty

    ofrenewingsomeorallofexpiringleases.26

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    Downstream Investments

    Projects Under Implementation

    2013-2017 HIGHLIGHTSUS$ 43.2 billion

    21%(9.2)

    Implementation Portfolio: RNEST (Pernambuco)and COMPERJ 1st Phase (Rio de Janeiro)

    11%

    (4.9)

    45%

    (19.4)

    6% 6%

    9%

    (3.7)

    Refining capacity expansion in design phase:

    Premium I (Maranho), Premium II (Cear) and

    COMPERJ 2nd Phase (Rio de Janeiro)

    6%

    (2,8)

    (2.4)

    1%

    (0.4)

    1%

    (0.3)

    Projects Under Evaluation

    (2.8)

    Diesel and Gasoline Quality Portfolio: REPLAN,

    RPBC, REGAP, REFAP and RLAM

    US$ 21.6 billion

    16%

    2%

    (0.5)

    Fleet expansion: PROMEF 45Oil and Oil Products transportation vessels

    64%(13.8)

    (3.5)

    3%7%

    8%

    (1.7)

    CorporateEthanol LogisticsFleet Expansion PetrochemicalLogistics for OilQuality and ConversionOperational ImprovementRefining Capacity Expansion

    (0.5)(1.5)

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    Downstream2012-2016 Investments

    Refinin Ca acit Ex ansion

    n

    Petrochemical

    Logistics for Oil

    Quality and Conversion

    Operational Improvement

    Biofuels

    Projects Under Evaluation

    US$

    billi

    201620152012 20142013

    High utilization factor on the current assets, combining

    2012-2016 INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS ProjectsUnderEvaluation

    Implementation of projects depends mainly on:

    End of the first investment cycle in Quality

    .

    international standards;

    b. Regulatory requirements;

    28

    RNEST and 1st Phase of COMPERJ coming online

    New refineries under evaluation (Phase I)

    .

    d. Competition for financial capacity;

    I t ti d B l

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    Integration and BalanceConstruction of new refineries intended to meet Brazilian demand

    Thousbpd

    INTEGRATION BETWEEN OIL PRODUCTION, REFINING CAPACITY AND DOMESTIC MARKET

    PREMIUM I(2nd phase)300,000 bpd

    Oct/2020

    COMPERJ(2nd phase)

    3,3803,472

    4,200

    PREMIUM II300,000 bpd

    Dec/2017

    ,

    Jan/20182,788

    1,641

    2,320

    2,004

    2,500

    1,393

    1,7982,147

    1,8141,980

    1,944

    2,255 Abreu e LimaRefinery

    (RNE)230kbpd

    1) Nov/2014

    2,320

    PREMIUM I(1st phase)300,000 bpd

    Oct/2017181

    1,036

    ,

    ... ... ... ...

    COMPERJ(1st phase)165,000 bpd

    Apr/2015

    1980 2000 2010 2012 2016 2020*OilandNGLProduction Brazil Totalcrudeoilprocessed Brazil OilProductsMarket(2scenarios)

    ProjectsUnderImplementation ProjectsUnderEvaluation

    29*2020TotalCrudeOilProcessedmayvarydependingonProjectsUnderEvaluation 29

    P it S ki ith I t ti l P i

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    Parity: Seeking convergence with International Prices9 months: +21.9% in Diesel and +14.9% in Gasoline

    .In the last 9 months: 4 Diesel price readjustments, totaling +21.9%, and 2 Gasoline readjustments (+14.9%).

    Average Brazil Price* x Average USGC Price**

    Imp

    800

    900

    220

    240

    260 2009 2010 2011 2012 20132008

    rtedVolumes(R

    $/bbl)

    500

    600

    140

    160

    180

    200

    Losses

    Gains (Thousandbb

    Prices

    200

    300

    400

    60

    80

    100

    120

    n/13

    n/12

    n/10

    n/09

    n/11

    l

    /d)

    ar/13

    0

    100

    0

    20

    v/08

    30(*) considers Diesel, Gasoline, LPG, Jet Fuel and Fuel Oil. (**) USGC price with domestic market prices.

    JJJJ J

    Gasoline Imports

    Diesel Imports

    ARP USGC (w/ volumes sold in Brazil)

    ARP Brazil

    MN

    EBITDA

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    EBITDAGrowing and stable cash flow generation

    Ad ustedEBITDABreakdown erSe ment US bn ****

    3.0 19.220.1

    4.2

    1.7

    3.62.0

    1.1

    1.3

    1.31.6

    1.1

    2.2

    3.2

    15.5

    **

    30.5

    43.4 42.0

    11

    . .

    19.3

    6.9 2009 2010 2011 2012

    2009 2010 2011 2012

    15.6

    31

    (*)US

    GAAP

    (**)

    IFRS

    (***)

    Adjusted

    according

    average

    exchange

    rate.

    Excludes

    Corporate

    and

    Elimination.

    E&P RTM G&P Distribution International

    Theimagepartwith relationship ID rId7wasnotfound in thefile.

    T d B l

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    Trade BalanceRapid demand growth in the last 4 years has led to a shift in the trade balance

    2009(thous.bpd)

    2012(thous.bpd)

    4,400

    4,700

    5,000

    +24%

    +24%DieselSales

    433548

    779

    227

    705

    5492,3002,600

    2,900

    3,200

    3,500

    3,800

    ,

    Tho

    usand

    184152

    2,000

    1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    2,800

    364 346

    18

    Exports Imports

    397

    81

    75

    Exports Imports Balance

    156

    1,600

    1,900

    2,200

    2,500

    Thousandm

    +3%

    249

    Balance231

    1,000

    1,300

    1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    Oil OilProducts

    32

    Theimagepartwith relationship ID rId7wasnotfound in thefile.Gasoline and Diesel International Prices

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    Gasoline and Diesel International PricesTaxes account for significant share of pump price in Brazil

    Gasoline Retail Prices2012 Average

    Diesel Retail Prices2012 Average

    Brazil

    DisttributionMarginTaxationRefineryGatePrice Anhydrous Alcohol

    Therefinerygatepriceforgasolineiscurrently37%oftheretailpricewhilefordieselitis61%

    33

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    Gas & Energy Investments

    Projects Under ImplementationProjects Under Implementation + Under EvaluationUS$ 5.9 billion

    32%(1.9)

    6%8%0.8

    20%(2.0)

    US$ 9.9 billlion

    43%

    19%(1.1)

    .

    25%(2.5)

    .

    Projects Under Evaluation

    US$ 4.0 billion

    46%(4.6)

    12%(0.5)

    3%(0.1)

    Conversion of Natural Gas into fertilizers and other gas chemical products:

    UFN III at Trs La oas Mato Grosso do Sul

    2013-2017 HIGHLIGHTS

    34%(1.4)

    51%(2.0)

    Natural gas processing and transportation: NGPU Cabinas (Rio de Janeiro)

    Electric energy generation: Thermal Power Plant Baixada Fluminense (Rio de

    34Gas-chemical plants

    LNG

    Network

    Electric Energy LNG Regasification: Bahia Terminal (Bahia)

    Units in Design Phase: UFN IV (Esprito Santo) and UFN V (Minas Gerais)

    Natural Gas Supply And Demand

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    Natural Gas Supply And Demand(Million m/d)

    35

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    FinancialConsiderations

    Financial Planning Assumptions

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    Financial Planning AssumptionsFinancing analysis only incorporates projects under implementation

    Main assumptions for cash flow generation and investment levels

    No equity issuance Investment grade maintenance

    2013-17 BMP is based on constant currencies from 2013.

    Brent prices (US$/bbl) US$ 107 in 2013, declining to US$ 100 in the long term

    Average exchange rate (R$/US$) R$ 2.00 in 2013, strengthening to R$ 1.85 in the long term

    Leverage Limit: < 35% Maximum leverage in 2013 and 2014 (34%), declining after 2015

    Net debt / EBITDA Limit : < 2.5x Limit will be surpassed in 2013 and will fall below 2.0x after 2015

    Oil product prices in Brazil Convergence to international prices

    Divestments US$ 9.9 billion

    Returns on new E&P projectsPre-salt projects breakeven between US$ 40-45/barrelBig post-salt projects have returns similar to pre-salts

    37

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    Operating Cash Flow and Funding Needs

    Additional financing needs will be funded exclusively throughnew debt. No equity issuance is envisaged.

    246.9

    10.79.9

    39.8

    246.9

    Free cash flow, before dividends, after 2015.

    Annual borrowin needs 2013-2017Billion

    61.3

    Gross US$ 12.3 billion Net US$ 4.3 billionUS

    165.0

    207.1

    Net borrowing needs 50% below previous Plan due to:

    2017 production, versus 2012, leading to higher

    Divestments and restructurings

    Cash utilization

    -

    operating cash flows

    Declining downstream investments

    Long-term Brent prices (US$ 100 vs US$ 90 in the

    Fontes Usos

    38

    Operating cash flow (after dividends)

    Investments

    Amortization

    previous Plan) and long-term F/X rate (R$ 1.85 vs R$1.73)

    L

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    Leverage

    Leverage Net Debt/EBITDA

    BMP Target (< 35%)

    BMP Target (< 2,5x)

    20172016201520142013 20172016201520142013

    Declining leverage, within the Companys self-imposed limits Net Debt/EBITDA surpasses limit at some points in time, during the Plan period

    39

    Capex and Cash Flow

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    pFree cash flow turns positive with completion of downstream projects

    50000

    US$MM

    45,078 43,164

    Capex vs. Operating Cash Flow

    42,949Approx.

    2000030000

    40000

    27,888

    on

    0

    OCF2012 Capex2010 Capex2011 Capex2012 Capex2017

    E&P Downstream Gas&Energy Others

    2013 2017BusinessandManagementPlanAssumptions: Capex Downstreamprojectsnotcurrentlyunderimplementationonlyproceed

    supportedbycashflowsandbalancesheetstrength

    OperatingCashFlow: Oilproductionincreasesby 750TBPD,generatingadditional

    operatingcashflow. Importparitywouldeliminatedownstreamlosses

    Capital Structure

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    Capital Structure

    1

    24% 24%28% 28% 30%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    4

    5

    1.66 1.61

    2.46 2.42

    2.77

    -10%

    0%

    10%

    1

    2

    2

    R$ Billion 12/31/12 12/31/11

    -20%0

    4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12

    Lower operating cash flow and higher capexresulted in net debt increase.

    Short-term Debt 15.3 19.0

    Long-term Debt 181.0 136.6

    Total Debt 196.3 155.6

    increased net debt.

    - as an as qu va en s . .

    = Net Debt 147.8 103.0

    US$ Billion

    1) Net Debt / (Net Debt + Shareholders Equity)2) Refers to the adjusted EBITDA which excludes equity income and impairment.3) Includes tradable securities maturing in more than 90 days4) Period-end commercial selling rate for U.S. dollar

    . .

    41

    Petrobras Ratings

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    Consolidated investment grade position

    A- / A3

    BB+ / Ba1

    BBB- / Baa3

    BBB / Baa2

    BBB+ / Baa1

    Investment grade

    B+/ B1

    BB- / Ba3

    BB / Ba2

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    oo ys tc

    42

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    Information:

    Investor Relations

    +55 21 3224-1510

    [email protected]

    .

    www.petrobras.com.br/ir

    43