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Copyright 2005 Northrop Grumman Corporation
Assessing Process Maturity to Make Lean Six Sigma More Effective
Hung Le, Ph.D.Master Black [email protected]
Northrop Grumman Corporation
2nd Annual WCBF Lean Six Sigma SummitNovember 16-18, 2005Dallas, Texas
Copyright 2005 Northrop Grumman Corporation 2
Overview
Lean Six Sigma is very effective for process improvement when you have “matured” processes
Lean Six Sigma tools are not as effective at addressing systemic problems resulting from an undisciplined process
Understanding process maturity will allow for more proactive management of critical processes
Significant gains can be achieved by taking ill-defined processes to a more defined level of process maturity
Copyright 2005 Northrop Grumman Corporation 3
Discussion Topics
Introduction & Motivation Capability Maturity Model
Integrated (CMMI) Using Lean Six Sigma to
Improve Engineering Process Maturity (i.e. CMMI Levels 4 & 5)
Adopting CMMI Capability Maturity Model to Improve the Effectiveness of Lean Six Sigma Deployment
Summary & Concluding Remarks
Copyright 2005 Northrop Grumman Corporation 4
Process Variables orProcess Variables orInternal Knobs (Xs)Internal Knobs (Xs)
InputInputVariablesVariables
(Xs)(Xs)
OutputsOutputs (Ys) (Ys)
MeasurementsStart Here
Y = f ( Xi )
Lean Six Sigma Approach To Process Improvement
Lean Six Sigma focuses on the measurement Y and its relationships with the process inputs Xs to drive real improvement
Copyright 2005 Northrop Grumman Corporation 5
Variations Resulting from Lack of Process Discipline
Effect(Ys)
Effect(Ys)
Measurement
Methods
People
Machinery
Materials
Mother Nature
All the Causes of Variation (Xs) Get Listed on the
Cause & Effect Diagram
Wide VariationsInstability andNon-Predictability
•Internal conflicts•Lack of skills / resources•Ad hoc training
•Processes are improvised•No process discipline
•Tools & technology are not standardized•Equipment is acquired on an ad hoc basis
•Demand shifts•Market turbulence
•Measurement is faulty and/or incomplete•Measurement inconsistency
•Lack of skills•Ad hoc training
No vital few sources of variations can be isolated. Wide variations exist due to an un-disciplined process
Effect(Ys)
Copyright 2005 Northrop Grumman Corporation 6
Three Aspects of a Disciplined Process
Process
Definition
Activities
Document Specifying the Process
People with the Knowledge to Drive
Their Behavior
Achieved Business Results
Without a disciplined process, work tends to fixate on finding and fixing defects at the risk of ignoring important customer’s concerns
Copyright 2005 Northrop Grumman Corporation 7
What is the Capability Maturity Model Integrated (CMMI)?
The CMMI is a collection of industry best-practices for engineering and management
Developed under the sponsorship of DoD Consistent with DoD and commercial standards Addresses both software and systems engineering
Project Management Project Planning Project Monitoring
and Control Supplier
Agreement Management
Integrated Project Management)
Risk Management Quantitative
Project Management
Engineering Requirements
Development Requirements
Management Technical Solution Product
Integration Verification Validation
Support Configuration
Management Process and
Product Quality Assurance
Measurement and Analysis
Organizational Environment for Integration
Decision Analysis and Resolution
Causal Analysis and Resolution
Process Management Organizational
Process Focus Organizational
Process Definition Organizational
Training Organizational
Process Performance
Organizational Innovation and Deployment
Copyright 2005 Northrop Grumman Corporation 8
How was the CMMI Created?
DoD sponsored effort 50+ defense and commercial companies contributed for
over 2 years CMMI 1.0 released in 2000, version 1.1 in March 2002
ADP, Inc.AT& T Labs
BAEBoeing
CSCEER Systems
Ericsson CanadaErnst and Young
FAAGeneral DynamicsHarris Corporation
HoneywellKPMGLitton
Lockheed MartinMotorola
National Security AgencyNorthrop Grumman
Pacific BellQ- Labs
RaytheonRockwell Collins
Software Engineering InstituteSverdrup Corporation
Thomson CSFU.S. ArmyU.S. Navy
U.S. Air Force
Copyright 2005 Northrop Grumman Corporation 9
CMMI Capability Maturity Model
Minimal or no processes in place
Disciplined project management
Standard organizational processes tailored by projects
Selected organizational and projectprocesses managed quantitatively
Processes continuously improvedusing quantitative measures
Level 4QuantitativelyManaged
Level 1Initial
Level 2Managed
Level 5Optimizing
Level 3Defined
More Maturity Implies Greater
Capability in Meeting Quality,
Cost, and Schedule
High MaturityRequires
QuantitativeMethods
Process unpredictable, poorly controlled and reactive
Process characterized for projects and is often reactive
Process characterized for the organization and is proactive
Process measured and controlled
Focus on process improvement
Copyright 2005 Northrop Grumman Corporation 10
How is Organizational Maturity Determined?
The scope of the organizational unit is identified
Department, site, division, company, etc. A formal appraisal is conducted
Appraisers evaluate the organizational infrastructure and projects against all practices and process areas in the CMMI
SCAMPI (Standard CMMI Appraisal for Process Improvement) is the standard appraisal used for benchmarking
Northrop Grumman has conducted more SCAMPI appraisals than any other organization in the world
Must be led by a qualified Lead Appraiser
Copyright 2005 Northrop Grumman Corporation 11
10:1 Defect
Reduction
10:1 Defect
Reduction
Less Defects
Delivered
Less Defects
Delivered
50%Productivity
Increase
More Accurate Estimates
More Accurate Estimates
ReworkDrops From54% to 4%
Industry Industry Results Results Show Show
OverwhelOverwhelming ming
BenefitsBenefits
Industry Industry Results Results Show Show
OverwhelOverwhelming ming
BenefitsBenefits
A Direct Correlation Between Process Maturity and Performance
Copyright 2005 Northrop Grumman Corporation 12
Level 5Improving Capability
Level 5Improving Capability
Problems
Root Causes
Improved Processes
Improved Capability
Level 5Improving Capability
Level 5Improving Capability
Problems
Root Causes
Improved Processes
Improved Capability
Objectives
Data
Baselines
Models
Level 4Establishing Capability
Level 4Establishing Capability
Objectives
Data
Baselines
Models
Level 4Establishing Capability
Level 4Establishing Capability
Define
Measure
Analyze
Improve
Control Define
Measure
Analyze
Improve
Control
How Has Lean Six Sigma Aligned with CMMI?
Copyright 2005 Northrop Grumman Corporation 13
Level 41) Understand project’s process capabilities
based on process performance baselines
2) Control process variation (remove “assignable causes”)
3) Predict results using process performance models
4) Manage to achieve goals
Level 51) Base improvement goals on
future business needs
2) Eliminate problem and defect causes (“common causes”)
3) Select, predict, and measure improvements to change the process performance baselines
- Shift the mean; tighten the variance
4) Manage change
Side effects ofregister usage
Can’t keep track
Poordocumentation
Registerallocation
defect
Incorrect processorregister usage
Lack ofprocessorknowledge
Can’t isolate
Pass 1architecture
Process knowledge
UCL 1
LCL 1
UCL 2
LCL 21 2 3 4 5 6 7 7C 8B 8B 8C 8D 8F 20 21 22 23
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16Actual
Expected
95% limits
UCL
_X
Process variation Process performance
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Projects Audited in First Quarter
Nu
mb
er o
f N
on
com
pli
ance
s
Improve & ControlStabilize Predict
Lean Six Sigma Provides the Tools
Level 41) Understand project’s process capabilities
based on process performance baselines
2) Control process variation (remove “assignable causes”)
3) Predict results using process performance models
4) Manage to achieve goals
Level 51) Base improvement goals on
future business needs
2) Eliminate problem and defect causes (“common causes”)
3) Select, predict, and measure improvements to change the process performance baselines
- Shift the mean; tighten the variance
4) Manage change
Copyright 2005 Northrop Grumman Corporation 14
Initi
al (
1)
Man
age
d (2
)
Def
ine
d (3
)
Qua
ntita
tivel
y M
anag
ed
(4)
CliffChasm
Lean Six Sigma bridges the chasm
Lean Six Sigma keeps it going
Opt
imiz
ed (
5)
Statistical ManagementManage VariationIs it a good process to follow?
Deterministic ManagementManage ConformanceAre you following the process?
Adopt the CMMI Framework for Organizational Process Improvement
How Can We Leverage CMMI to Make Lean Six Sigma More Effective?
Copyright 2005 Northrop Grumman Corporation 04/11/23 16:27
Identify Critical
Process Areas and Align with
Strategic / Tactical Goals
Identify Critical
Process Areas and Align with
Strategic / Tactical Goals
Track & Monitor Progress Against Improvement PlanTrack & Monitor Progress Against Improvement Plan
• Scope of improvement effort is determined
• An unfiltered list of critical process areas is compiled
• Alignment with strategic / tactical goals
• A prioritized list of process areas is established based on assessed gaps
• Prioritization is based on impact vs. process maturity
• Establish goals
• Develop improvement strategy & timeline
CMMI Adoption - Conceptual Framework
Conduct Informal
Assessment & Recommend Strategy and
Timeline
Conduct Informal
Assessment & Recommend Strategy and
Timeline
Develop Improvement Plans Based
On Organizational
Goals
Develop Improvement Plans Based
On Organizational
Goals
Execute Improvement
Plans to Achieve Maturity
Goals
Execute Improvement
Plans to Achieve Maturity
Goals
Conduct Formal
Review To Verify Goals
Conduct Formal
Review To Verify Goals
Develop Org. Plan & Establish Org. InfrastructureDevelop Org. Plan & Establish Org. Infrastructure
• Establish organizational goals
• Develop improvement plans for the critical process areas
• Depending on current level of maturity, use appropriate tools to address process performance gaps
- Address process gaps to achieve level 3
- Use Lean Six Sigma to achieve Levels 4 & 5
• Formal assessment is conducted to verify goals have been achieved
• Address any gaps resulting from assessment
Copyright 2005 Northrop Grumman Corporation 04/11/23 16:27
Performance gap analysis can be summarized by mapping attributes of performance / process maturity versus the criticality of the attribute as shown in the example below:
Watch
De-Emphasize
Focus Improvement Focus Improvement EffortsEfforts
Protect/Optimize
LowLow HighHigh
Pro
cess
Mat
uri
ty /
Per
form
ance
1
2
34
5
6
78
9
1012
13
14
15
Hig
hH
igh
Low
Low
11
Criticality to Operations/Function
In this example, the focus should be on 2 and 9 for process improvement
CMMI Adoption - Conceptual Framework (cont.)
Based on established maturity goals, optimize 3 & 11, and sustain 1, 4, 5 & 14
Using Lean Six Sigma or DFSS
• Conformance• Process Definition / Design• Best Practices
Copyright 2005 Northrop Grumman Corporation 17
Policies, Processes,Templates & Tools
Best-Practice Libraries
Process Group
Audits & AppraisalsMeasurement RepositoriesPredictive Modeling
Process ImprovementTraining Program
Communications
0
5
10
15
20
25
1 11 21 31 41 51 61 71
UCL
_X
De
fec
ts p
er
co
mp
on
en
t
Component #
0
5
10
15
20
25
1 11 21 31 41 51 61 71
UCL
_X
De
fec
ts p
er
co
mp
on
en
t
Component #
Developing and maintaining mature processes requires significant time and investment in infrastructure
Developing and maintaining mature processes requires significant time and investment in infrastructure
Organizational Infrastructure Required for CMMI Level 3
Copyright 2005 Northrop Grumman Corporation 18
Lessons Learned from CMMI
Treat the Process Improvement initiative like a project Assign a project leader, staff, budget Demand plans, schedule, measurable progress, periodic status meetings
Get experienced, outside experts to coach the effort Lead initial gap appraisal Help develop strategy, plan, budget, schedule,
and measurable milestones Provide advice along the way
Set goals (Level X in YYYY) after the initial appraisal Compare the gap to the budget available Communicate the goals to everyone involved
Walk the talk – make change a priority Communicate the need for change Expect resistance -- change is hard Demand project managers take responsibility for making the needed changes
Communicate and share policies, processes, template, tools, experience, experts
Copyright 2005 Northrop Grumman Corporation 19
Summary & Concluding Remarks
Too much emphasis on being reactive to “pain” areas, not enough on process management (proactive vs. reactive, pain vs. opportunities)
Heavy focus is needed on data collection & analysis, and process analysis to break down and solve problems
Not enough emphasis on adoption of best practices with “mini” DFSS to address process gaps quickly
Understanding process maturity can assist an organization in making effective improvement in critical process areas