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Astrophysics National Aeronautics and Space Administration
ExoPAG #14 San Diego, CA June 11, 2016
Martin Still ExoPAG Executive Secretary
Astrophysics Division Science Mission Directorate
1
NASA Headquarters
Updates
Content
1. ExoPAG Status
2. Current Mission’s Status
3. Future Mission’s Status
4. Decadal Studies Status
5. Research and Analysis Status
6. Budget Status 2
ExoPAG Status
3
Exoplanet Program Analysis Group
4
• The ExoPAG is an open, interdisciplinary
forum that:
– provides a conduit for community input into NASA’s Exoplanet Exploration Program (ExEP)
– conducts analyses in support of ExEP science objectives and their prioritization
• The ExoPAG Chair has a seat on the NASA Advisory Council Astrophysics Subcommittee
The ExoPAG Executive Committee (EC)
• Helps the ExoPAG Chair: – capture and organizing community input – keep the community apprised of ongoing activities and opportunities
within the exoplanet program – oversee ExoPAG analyses – prepare ExoPAG findings and inputs to the Astrophysics Subcommittee
• Is selected to reflect the broad range of scientific disciplines and interests represented in exoplanet exploration
• New members were selected by the Astrophysics Division Director in March 2016
5
ExoPAG Executive Committee
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Name Home Year Alan Boss (chair) Carnegie Institution 2/3 Rus Belikov ARC 3/3 Maggie Turnbull Global Science Institute 3/3 Lucianne Walkowicz Adler Planetarium 3/3 Daniel Apai Arizona 2/3 David Ciardi NExScI 2/3 Shawn Domagal-Goldman GSFC 2/3 Tiffany Glassman Northrop Grumman 1/3 Dimitri Mawet Caltech/JPL 1/3 Tyler Robinson UC Santa Cruz 1/3
Peter Plavchan Missouri State - Nick Cowan Amherst College - Amy Lo Northrop Grumman - Gene Serabyn JPL -
Terms of service complete:
Science Analysis Group Status
7
Year SAG Title Lead
2010 1 Potential for Exoplanet Science Measurements from Solar System Probes Bennett, Coulter
2012 2 Debris Disks & Exozodiacal Dust Roberge
2013 5 Exoplanet Flagship Requirements and Characteristics Noecker, Greene
2015 8 Requirements and Limits of Future Precision Radial Velocity Measurements Latham, Plavchan
2015 9 Exoplanet Probe to Medium Scale Direct-Imaging Mission Requirements and Characteristics
Soummer
2015 10 Characterizing the Atmospheres of Transiting Planets with JWST and Beyond Cowan
-- 11 Preparing for the WFIRST Microlensing Survey Yee
-- 12 Scientific potential and feasibility of high-precision astrometry for exoplanet detection and characterization
Bendek
-- 13 Exoplanet Occurrence Rates and Distributions Belikov
-- 14 Characterization of Stars Targeted for NASA Exoplanet Missions Stassun
-- 15 Exploring Other Worlds: Observational Constraints and Science Questions for Direct Imaging Exoplanet Missions
Apai
--
16 Spectral biosignature identification and characterization Domagal-Goldman
Current Mission’s Status
8
NASA Astrophysics Senior Review 2016
• The Senior Review, held every two years, assists NASA in maximizing the scientific productivity from its operating missions within a constrained budget
• NASA uses the findings from the Senior Review to define an implementation strategy and give programmatic direction to the missions and projects concerned through the next four fiscal years
• NASA uses the findings from the Senior Review to: – Prioritize continued funding of the operating missions and projects; – Define an implementation approach to achieve astrophysics strategic objectives; – Provide programmatic and budgetary direction to missions and projects for Fiscal
Year (FY) 2017 and FY18; and – Issue initial funding guidelines for FY19 and FY20 (to be revisited in the 2018
Senior Review)
9
XMM-Newton (ESA) 12/10/1999
Formulation Implementation Primary Ops Extended Ops
Swift 11/20/2004
Fermi 6/11/2008
Euclid (ESA) 2020
Hubble 4/24/1990
Kepler 3/7/2009
Chandra 7/23/1999
Spitzer 8/25/2003
NuSTAR 6/13/2012
Webb 2018
NICER (on ISS) 2017
TESS 2017
LISA Pathfinder (ESA) 12/3/2015
SOFIA Full Ops 5/2014
CREAM (on ISS) 2017
WFIRST Mid 2020s
10
NASA Astrophysics Senior Review 2016
11
Chandra X-ray Observatory Panel
Hubble Space Telescope Panel
Main Panel:
Fermi Kepler/K2 NuSTAR Spitzer Swift
XMM-Newton
Budgets already recognized in the notional run-out of the President’s FY 2016 budget request. Mature and stable missions with no operational changes
Main panel
2016 Astrophysics Senior Review Main Panel Findings – Overall
• “The SR2016 panel finds no scientific reason to discontinue or significantly reduce any of the six missions under this review.”
• “We strongly encourage NASA to find a way to continue all of these missions at their full funding level.”
• “The scientific value of the complete Astrophysics Senior Review 2016 portfolio is greater than the sum of its parts.”
http://science.nasa.gov/astrophysics/2016-senior-review-operating-missions
Mission Panel Rating Panel Ranking
Swift E 1
Kepler/K2 E 2
NuSTAR E/VG 3
XMM-Newton E/VG 4
Fermi E/VG 5
Spitzer E/VG 6
12
Future Mission’s Status
13
Medium Explorer (MIDEX) Mission PI: G. Ricker (MIT) Mission: All-Sky photometric exoplanet mapping mission Science goal: Search for transiting exoplanets around the nearby, bright stars Instruments: Four wide field of view (24x24 degrees) CCD cameras with overlapping field of view, operating in the Vis-IR spectrum (0.6-1 µm) Operations: NLT June 2018 launch with a 3-year prime mission including 2 years of spacecraft operations and an additional 1 year ground-based observations and analysis. High-Earth elliptical orbit (17 x 58.7 Earth radii)
CURRENT STATUS: • CDR completed Dec 7, 2015;
Mission in fabrication and assembly phase P
• Most spacecraft bus components have been delivered and s/c is being assembled P
• Flight instrument build underway; first flight CCDs have been produced P
• Flight camera optics in assembly P
TESS Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite
http://tess.gsfc.nasa.gov
UPCOMING EVENTS: • Spring-Fall 2016 – TESS bus integration and
instrument integration ongoing • Winter-Spring 2017 – TESS Observatory
integration and test • Spring 2017 – System Integration Review
(SIR) and KDP-D • Fall 2017 – TESS delivery to KSC launch site. • Dec 2017 – Launch readiness date from
Canaveral FL
14
Webb James Webb Space Telescope
15
2015-2016 Accomplishments • Telescope mirrors installed P • Science instruments integrated with
Telescope P • MIRI cryocooler completed P • Spacecraft bus powered on for first time P • Completed 2nd test of Pathfinder Telescope
and ground support equipment at JSC in support of 2017 test of flight hardware P
2016 Plans • Complete ambient testing of combined
Telescope and instruments • Complete spacecraft bus • Complete sunshield membrane fabrication • Cryovacuum testing of combined Telescope
and instruments at JSC • Integrate Sunshield and Spacecraft
http://www.jwst.nasa.gov
Large Infrared Space Observatory Top priority of 2000 Decadal Survey Science themes: First Light; Assembly of Galaxies; Birth of Stars and Planetary Systems; Planetary Systems and the Origins of Life Mission: 6.5m deployable, segmented telescope at L2, passively cooled to <50K behind a large, deployable sunshield Instruments: Near IR Camera, Near IR Spectrograph, Mid IR Instrument, Near IR Imager and Slitless Spectrograph Operations: 2018 launch for a 5-year prime mission Partners: ESA, CSA
Webb Top Level Schedule
16
WFIRST Wide-Field Infrared Survey Telescope
17
Wide-Field Infrared Survey Telescope Top priority of 2010 Decadal Survey Science themes: Dark Energy, Exoplanets, Large Area Near Infrared Surveys Mission: 2.4m widefield telescope at L2; using existing hardware, images 0.28deg2 at 0.8-2µm Instruments (design reference mission): Wide Field Instrument (camera plus IFU), Coronagraph Instrument (imaging/IFS) Phase: Currently in Formulation (Phase A)
http://wfirst.gsfc.nasa.gov
CURRENT STATUS: • Completed Mission Concept Review (MCR) held in
December 2015 • Formulation Science Investigation Teams selected in
December 2015; first meeting held February 2016 • Ball and Lockheed Martin selected in February 2016
to support wide-field Instrument Concept Studies • Passed Key Decision Point A (KDP-A) in Feb 2016
– Official start of formulation phase – Established management agreement for total
mission cost to govern formulation trades – Next major milestone is acquisition strategy
meeting (ASM) in July 2016 • On track for TRL-6 of new technologies in 2017 • Working toward System Requirements Review (SRR)
in June 2017 and KDP-B in October 2017
Dark Energy Exoplanets
Microlensing Coronagraph
Astrophysics
M63
HST WFIRST
Decadal Concept Studies
18
1990
LRD: 2020s
1999
2003
LRD: 2018
19 19
Preparing for the 2020 Astrophysics Decadal Survey
20
• NASA has begun to study large mission concepts as input to the 2020 Decadal Survey
– A well informed Decadal Survey makes better recommendations
• NASA has appointed Science and Technology Development Teams and initiated four large mission concept studies
• Science and Technology Definition Teams have a significant role and responsibility
– Develop science case – Flow science case into mission parameters – Contribute to technology gap list – Direct trades of science vs cost/capability
• NASA is also planning to issue a call for medium-size mission concept studies (Astrophysics Probes)
http://science.nasa.gov/astrophysics/2020-decadal-survey-planning
Preparing for the 2020 Astrophysics Decadal Survey
21
Community STDT Chairs
Center Study Scientist
Study Lead
Center
HQ Program Scientist
Far IR Surveyor asd.gsfc.nasa.gov/firs
Asantha Cooray Margaret Meixner David Leisawitz GSFC Kartik Sheth
Habitable Exoplanet
Imaging Mission www.jpl.nasa.gov/habex
Scott Gaudi Sara Seager
Bertrand Mennesson JPL Martin Still
Large UV/Optical/IR Surveyor
asd.gsfc.nasa.gov/luvoir
Debra Fischer Bradley Peterson Aki Roberge GSFC Mario Perez
X-ray Surveyor wwwastro.msfc.nasa.gov/xrs
Feryal Ozel Alexey Vikhlinin Jessica Gaskin MSFC Dan Evans
NASA has assembled Science and Technology Definition Teams (STDTs) for each of the four large mission candidates to enable Mission Concept Studies as input to the 2020 Decadal Survey
Spitzer
Kepler
JWST
TESS
Gaia
PLATO
CHEOPS
NASA Missions
ESA/European Missions
Hubble1
Large Binocular Telescope Interferometer NN-‐EXPLORE
WFIRST-AFTA
W. M. Keck Observatory
Potential 2020 Decadal Flagship
Mission
STDT Schedule (under review and subject to change)
23
M1 Comments on Study Requirements and Deliverables Apr 29 2016 – Accept the study requirements/deliverables and submit plan--- or – Provide rationale for modifying requirements/deliverables
O1 Optional: Initial Technology Gap Assessment Jun 30 2016 – To impact PCOS/COR/ExEP 2016 technology cycle
M2 Detailed Study Plan Aug 26 2016 – Document starting point CML – Deliver detailed study plan for achieving Decadal CML – Deliver resource required to meet the deliverables for the study duration – Deliver schedule to deliver milestones
M3 Complete Concept Maturity Level 2 Audit Feb 2017 – Identify, quantify and prioritize technology gaps for 2017 technology cycle
O2 Optional: Update Technology Gap Assessments Jun 2017 M4 Interim Report Dec 2017
– Substantiate achieving Concept Maturity Level 3 – Deliver initial technology roadmaps; estimate technology development cost/schedule, – CML 4 tailored approach (optional)
M5 Update Technology Gap Assessments Jun 2018 – In support of 2018 technology cycle
M6 Complete Decadal Concept Maturity Level 4 Audit and Freeze Point Design Aug 2018 – Support independent cost estimation/validation process
M7 Final Report Jan 2019 – Finalize technology roadmaps, tech plan and cost estimates for technology maturity
M8 Submit to Decadal Mar 2019
Research & Analysis Status
24
Recent Proposal Selections
25
Proposal Due Date Notify Date Days past received
Number received
Number selected % selected
APRA (Basic Research) Mar 20, 2015 Aug 12, 2015 145 149 40 27%
SAT (Technology) Mar 20, 2015 Aug 12, 2015 145 27 11 41%
Hubble GO – Cycle 23 Apr 10, 2015 Jun 24, 2015 75 1114 261 23%
EPDS (Doppler Spectr) Apr 24, 2015 Jul 2, 2015 69 6 2 33%
ADAP (Data Analysis) May 15, 2015 Sep 29, 2015 137 250 51 20%
Exoplanet Research (XRP) May 22, 2015 Oct 15, 2015 146 43 7 16%
Kepler K2 GO – Cycle 3 Jul 1, 2015 Oct 14, 2015 105 72 32 44%
SOFIA GI – Cycle 4 Jul 10, 2015 Oct 22, 2015 104 155 82 53%
Spitzer GO – Cycle 12 Sep 11, 2015 Oct 26, 2015 45 104 31 30%
SOFIA 3rd Gen Instrument Oct 7, 2015 Dec 10, 2015 64 3 2 67%
WFIRST Sci. Inv. Teams Oct 15, 2015 Dec 18, 2015 64 38 12 32%
Roman Tech Fellows Nov 6, 2015 Feb 5, 2016 91 5 3 60%
NESSF-16 Feb 8, 2016
Kepler K2 GO – Cycle 4 Mar 4, 2016
NASA Keck Mar 17, 2016
APRA (Basic Research) Mar 18, 2016
SAT (Technology) Mar 18, 2016
Exoplanet Research at WYNN Mar 31, 2016
Hubble GO – Cycle 24 Apr 8, 2016
ADAP (Data Analysis) May 13, 2015
Exoplanet Research (XRAP) May 23, 2015
Spitzer GO – Cycle 13 Jun 8, 2016
R&A Selection Rate: 23% GO Selection Rate: 28%
100% of 2015-16 selections announced within 150 days
Proposal Opportunities Expected 2016-17
26
Jul 1, 2016 SOFIA GO Cycle 5 www.sofia.usra.edu Jul 8, 2016 Astrophysics Theory ROSES-16 D.4 Sep 2016 NASA Keck nexsci.caltech.edu Sep 2016 Exoplanets at WYNN nexsci.caltech.edu Sep 23, 2016 Kepler K2 GO Cycle 5 (Step 1) ROSES-16 D.7 Fall 2016 Explorers MIDEX & MO AO NSPIRES Nov 18, 2016 Habitable Worlds (Step 1) ROSES-16 E.4 Mar 17, 2017 Astrophysics R&A ROSES-16 D.3 Mar 17, 2017 Strategic Astrophysics Technology ROSES-16 D.8 Mar 2017 NASA Keck nexsci.caltech.edu Mar 2017 Exoplanets at WYNN nexsci.caltech.edu Mar 2017 Exoplanet Research (Step 1) ROSES-17 Apr 2017 Hubble Cycle 24 www.stsci.edu May 2017 Astrophysics Data Analysis ROSES-17 Jun 2017 Spitzer GO Cycle 14 ssc.spitzer.caltech.edu Late 2017 Webb GO Cycle 1 TBD
Budget Status
27
NASA Astrophysics Budget
28
FY16 Appropriation
29
* Excludes “SMD STEM Activities” in all years.
• Provides $90M for WFIRST and directs NASA to start Formulation. • Provides full funding ($85M) for SOFIA operations and places SOFIA into the 2018
Astrophysics Senior Review. • Provides full funding ($98M) for continued Hubble operations. • Provides $37M for SMD STEM education activities. • Requires reduction of $36M in rest of Astrophysics portfolio.
Outyears are notional planning from FY16 President’s budget request
($M) 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Astrophysics* $678 $685 $731 $707 $750 $986 $1118 JWST $658 $645 $620 $569 $535 $305 $198 Total $1336 $1330 $1351 $1273 $1285 $1291 $1316
($M) FY16 Request FY16 Approps Delta JWST $620 $620 --
WFIRST $14 $90 +$76
SOFIA $85 $85 --
Hubble $97 $98 +$1
Rest of Astrophysics* $493 $457 -$36 (-7%)
Total $1309 $1351 +$42 * Excludes “SMD STEM Activities.”
Addressing the $36M reduction across the rest of Astrophysics
30
Project $ FY16 Impact Explorers Futures
$11M Two month delay in development of future Explorer missions
TESS $11M Use of reserves not needed by the TESS project in FY16, with payback to the TESS project in FY17 and FY18 (rephasing of reserves)
ASTRO-H $7M Use of reserves held by the ASTRO-H project in case of problems in I&T or a launch delay; not needed by ASTRO-H project because ASTRO-H launched on time
R&A $3M One year reduction; fewer selections spread over FY16-FY17
Spitzer $3M Additional support from SMD makes up for reduction
Astrophysics National Aeronautics and Space Administration
BACKUP
31
Astrophysics Division - SMD
32 + Member of the Resources Management Division * Detailee, IPA, or contractor ^ James Webb is part of the JWST Program Office.
Astrophysics Division, NASA Science Mission Directorate
Cross Cutting Technology Lead: Billy Lightsey*
Education POC: Hashima Hasan (Lead Comm Team) Public Affairs POC: Kartik Sheth
Information Manager: Lisa Wainio*
Resource Management Omana Cawthon+ Clemencia Gallegos-Kelly+
Lead Secretary: Kelly Johnson Secretary: Leslie Allen Program Support Specialist: Jackie Mackall
Astrophysics Research Program Manager: Linda Sparke Program Support: Pam Terrell*
Astrophysics Data Analysis: Doug Hudgins Astrophysics Theory: Keith MacGregor* Exoplanet Research: Martin Still*
APRA lead: Michael Garcia* Cosmic Ray, Fund Physics: Thomas Hams*, Vernon Jones,
Keith MacGregor*, Rita Sambruna Gamma Ray/X-ray: Dan Evans, Michael Garcia*, Stefan
Immler*, Lou Kaluzienski, Rita Sambruna, Wilt Sanders
Optical/Ultraviolet: Michael Garcia*, Hashima Hasan, Mario Perez*, Martin Still*
IR/Submillimeter/Radio: Dominic Benford*, Doug Hudgins, Kartik Sheth, Erin Smith*
Lab Astro: Doug Hudgins Theory & Comp Astro Net: Keith MacGregor*
Roman Tech Fellows: Billy Lightsey* Data Archives: Hashima Hasan
Astrophys Sounding Rockets: Wilt Sanders Balloons Program: Vernon Jones(PS), Mark Sistilli (PE)
Programs / Missions & Projects Program Scientist Program Executive
Exoplanet Exploration (EXEP) Program Doug Hudgins John Gagosian Keck Hashima Hasan Mario Perez* Kepler/K2 Mario Perez* K. Chamberlin*/Jeff Hayes LBTI Doug Hudgins Mario Perez* NN-EXPLORE Doug Hudgins John Gagosian
WFIRST Dominic Benford* John Gagosian Cosmic Origins (COR) Program Mario Perez* Shahid Habib*
Herschel Dominic Benford* Jeff Hayes Hubble Michael Garcia* Jeff Hayes James Webb^ Hashima Hasan Ray Taylor^ SOFIA Hashima Hasan Shahid Habib* Spitzer Erin Smith* Jeff Hayes
Physics of the Cosmos (PCOS) Program Rita Sambruna Shahid Habib* Athena Michael Garcia* Jeanne Davis
Chandra Stefan Immler* Jeff Hayes Euclid Linda Sparke Keith Chamberlin* Fermi Stefan Immler* Jeff Hayes Planck Rita Sambruna Jeff Hayes ST-7/LPF Rita Sambruna Keith Chamberlin* XMM-Newton Stefan Immler* Jeff Hayes
Astrophysics Explorers (APEX) Program Wilt Sanders Jeanne Davis Hitomi Lou Kaluzienski Jeanne Davis NICER Rita Sambruna Jeanne Davis NuSTAR Lou Kaluzienski Jeff Hayes Suzaku Stefan Immler* Jeff Hayes Swift Martin Still* Jeff Hayes TESS Doug Hudgins Mark Sistilli
Director Paul Hertz
Deputy Director Andrea Razzaghi
April 18, 2016