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7/28/2019 astudyoncommodityfuturesasaninvestment-130329125828-phpapp01
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Research Objectives
To examine the various risk factors in using commodityfuture.
To study the influence of futures trading, on price and
price variation
To evaluate the effectiveness of the various measures ofcommodity futures as investment avenues in India
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Literature Review
Indian commodity exchange and progress
Rules governing commodity derivatives
exchanges
Use of commodity derivatives for-
HedgingSpeculation
Arbitrage.
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Research Methodology
Data collection
Primary dataquestionnaire
Secondary data - books, internet, newspaper articles
Convenient Sampling Sample size - 30
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Analysis & Interpretation
13%
44%
43%
Age of Respondents
1824 years
2530 years
31 & Above
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Analysis & Interpretation
23%
20%
30%
27%
1,00,0002,00,000
2,00,0003,00,000
3,00,0005,00,000
5,00,000 & above
Annual income level
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Analysis & Interpretation
100%
0%
Yes
No
Do you trade in commodity futures ?
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Analysis & Interpretation
80%
20%
Regular Trader
Potential Customer
what is the frequency of trading?
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Analysis & Interpretation
25%
33%
25%
17%
Trade on an organized exchange
Standardized contract terms
follows of daily settlement
location of settlement
Reasons behind regular trading:
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Analysis & Interpretation
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
Yes
No
Is futures trading influence the price and price variation ?
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Analysis & Interpretation
If influences then on which factors
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Seasonal price variation Inter & intra seasonal
price variation
Short term oscillation Average received by
producer and paid byconsumer
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Analysis & Interpretation
If dose not influence commodity futures then what influence among
following?
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
By hedging By speculation By arbitrage
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Analysis & Interpretation
Satisfaction about future trading in commodity exchange
5
8
5 5 5
2
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Transparenttrading
Fair pricediscovery
Automatedtrading system
Uniqueidentification
number
To providenationwidereach and
consistentoffering
To bringtogether theentities that
the market cantrust
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Analysis & Interpretation
Satisfaction on current regulatory mechanism of commodity futures
in India -
17%
30%
13%
20%
20%
a
b
c
d
e
a. Limit on net open position as on the close
of the trading hours.
b. Limit on price fluctuation to allow cooling
of market in the event of abrupt upswing or
downswing prices.
c. Special margin deposit to be collected on
outstanding purchase or sales when price
fluctuate.
d. Minimum\maximum prices-these are
prescribed to prevent futures prices from
falling below as rising above not warranted
prospective supply or demand.
e. Skipping trading in certain derivatives of
the contract, closing the market for aspecial period and even closing out the
contract.
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Conclusion
The risk can be eliminated by
Speculation
Hedging
Arbitrage
Seasonal price fluctuation
The beta calculation
The weighting scheme
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Suggestion & Recommendations
A negotiable document
An agency is to be set up
A Clearing House
Commodities trading must be settled in
determined form
Widespread market awareness
Healthy competition
The market should be made broader
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Thank You..