astudyoncommodityfuturesasaninvestment-130329125828-phpapp01

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  • 7/28/2019 astudyoncommodityfuturesasaninvestment-130329125828-phpapp01

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    Research Objectives

    To examine the various risk factors in using commodityfuture.

    To study the influence of futures trading, on price and

    price variation

    To evaluate the effectiveness of the various measures ofcommodity futures as investment avenues in India

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    Literature Review

    Indian commodity exchange and progress

    Rules governing commodity derivatives

    exchanges

    Use of commodity derivatives for-

    HedgingSpeculation

    Arbitrage.

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    Research Methodology

    Data collection

    Primary dataquestionnaire

    Secondary data - books, internet, newspaper articles

    Convenient Sampling Sample size - 30

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    Analysis & Interpretation

    13%

    44%

    43%

    Age of Respondents

    1824 years

    2530 years

    31 & Above

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    Analysis & Interpretation

    23%

    20%

    30%

    27%

    1,00,0002,00,000

    2,00,0003,00,000

    3,00,0005,00,000

    5,00,000 & above

    Annual income level

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    Analysis & Interpretation

    100%

    0%

    Yes

    No

    Do you trade in commodity futures ?

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    Analysis & Interpretation

    80%

    20%

    Regular Trader

    Potential Customer

    what is the frequency of trading?

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    Analysis & Interpretation

    25%

    33%

    25%

    17%

    Trade on an organized exchange

    Standardized contract terms

    follows of daily settlement

    location of settlement

    Reasons behind regular trading:

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    Analysis & Interpretation

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    16

    18

    Yes

    No

    Is futures trading influence the price and price variation ?

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    Analysis & Interpretation

    If influences then on which factors

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    Seasonal price variation Inter & intra seasonal

    price variation

    Short term oscillation Average received by

    producer and paid byconsumer

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    Analysis & Interpretation

    If dose not influence commodity futures then what influence among

    following?

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    By hedging By speculation By arbitrage

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    Analysis & Interpretation

    Satisfaction about future trading in commodity exchange

    5

    8

    5 5 5

    2

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    Transparenttrading

    Fair pricediscovery

    Automatedtrading system

    Uniqueidentification

    number

    To providenationwidereach and

    consistentoffering

    To bringtogether theentities that

    the market cantrust

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    Analysis & Interpretation

    Satisfaction on current regulatory mechanism of commodity futures

    in India -

    17%

    30%

    13%

    20%

    20%

    a

    b

    c

    d

    e

    a. Limit on net open position as on the close

    of the trading hours.

    b. Limit on price fluctuation to allow cooling

    of market in the event of abrupt upswing or

    downswing prices.

    c. Special margin deposit to be collected on

    outstanding purchase or sales when price

    fluctuate.

    d. Minimum\maximum prices-these are

    prescribed to prevent futures prices from

    falling below as rising above not warranted

    prospective supply or demand.

    e. Skipping trading in certain derivatives of

    the contract, closing the market for aspecial period and even closing out the

    contract.

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    Conclusion

    The risk can be eliminated by

    Speculation

    Hedging

    Arbitrage

    Seasonal price fluctuation

    The beta calculation

    The weighting scheme

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    Suggestion & Recommendations

    A negotiable document

    An agency is to be set up

    A Clearing House

    Commodities trading must be settled in

    determined form

    Widespread market awareness

    Healthy competition

    The market should be made broader

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    Thank You..