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2
Eileen DivringiCommunity Development Research Analyst
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Small Legacy Cities, Equity, and a Changing
Economy
3
The views expressed here are those of the presenters and do not necessarily represent the views of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia or the Federal Reserve System.
Legal Notices and Disclaimer
4
• Project Background• Building an Equitable Development
Framework• Case Study: Lancaster• Concluding Thoughts
Overview
6
In Philadelphia’s Shadow
“Rebounding” Cities
Lancaster Bethlehem Wilmington
Report by visiting scholar Alan Mallach in May 2012
Creative Placemaking
Casino & Entertainment
Riverfront Development
Photo credits, from left: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Ellie Devyatkin, Ryan Debold, and Kevin Hunter
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What Is Equity?
EQUITABLE DEVELOPMENT refers to a set of processes and outcomes that advances opportunities, choices, and access for all citizens with particular regard for disadvantaged groups and individuals.
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What Is Equity?Decent, affordable housing
High-quality, culturally appropriate education
Accessible health care, healthy foods, recreational opportunities, and a healthy environment
Diverse and practical transportation options
Safe, living-wage employment
Meaningful opportunities for participation in civic life
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Why Is Equity Important?• Relative income equality has a strong correlation with more sustained
economic growth spells in developing countries (Berg and Ostry 2011)
• Relative income equality — along with low political fragmentation and residential integration — is associated with longer employment growth spells in the 184 largest U.S. metros (Benner and Pastor 2013)
• A review of research suggests that income inequality is associated with diminished human capital development and reduced demand stability and may be less conducive to entrepreneurship (Boushey and Hersh 2012)
• Income inequality may be a driver of unsustainable household debt accumulation and an impediment to economic recovery (Cynamon and Fazzari 2014)
• A recently released report by Standard & Poor’s identifies “extreme income inequality as a drag on long-run economic growth,” prompting it to decrease its 10-year U.S. growth forecast (Maguire 2014)Sources: Andrew G. Berg and Jonathan D. Ostry (2011), “Inequality and Unsustainable Growth: Two Sides of the Same Coin,” IMF Staff Discussion Note;
Chris Benner and Manuel Pastor (2013), “Buddy, Can You Spare Some Time? Social Inclusion and Sustained Prosperity in America’s Metropolitan Regions.” Building Resilient Regions Working Paper; Heather Boushey and Adam S. Hersh (2012), “The American Middle Class, Income Inequality, and the Strength of Our Economy” Center for American Progress. Barry Z. Cynamon and Steven M. Fazzari, (2014), “Inequality, the Great Recession, and Slow Recovery,” Social Science Research Network Working Paper; Joe Maguire (2014), “Economic Research: How Income Inequality Is Dampening U.S. Economic Growth, and Possible Ways to Change the Tide,” Standard & Poor’s Global Credit Portal.
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Relationship to Economic DevelopmentEconomic development is a key vehicle for achieving equitable outcomes in legacy cities.
Economic growth
Opportunities for LMI
households
• Economic growth is critical for creating opportunities and improving quality of life.
• Connecting the benefits of economic growth to underserved communities creates conditions that improve the strength and resilience of local economies.
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Methodology
PHASE I:ASSESS STATE OF EQUITY
PHASE II:BUILD & IMPLEMENT THEORY OF CHANGE
PHASE III:MONITOR & REASSESS
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Phase I: Assess State of Equity
PHASE I:ASSESS STATE OF EQUITY
Define Equity• Stakeholder interviews• Literature and precedent
reviews
Evaluate Current Conditions• Develop equity indicators• Document barriers to LMI
opportunity
Identify Desired Outcomes• Define ideal state of equity
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Phase II: Develop Theory of Change
• Working backward from the desired outcomes identified in Phase I, identify the conditions that would produce these outcomes.
• Create a list of concrete interventions that would create these conditions.
• Prioritize interventions based on local capacity and implement those with the greatest impact potential.
Interventions
Conditions Outcomes
Free mobile health screenings
Ensure access to affordable health care
A healthy, active city
Development
Implementation
Prio
ritizatio
n
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Phase III: Monitor and Reassess
PHASE I:Long term• Repeat process
as societal norms & community dynamics shift
PHASE II:Short term• Refine
strategies as needed
PHASE III:MONITOR & REASSESS
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SECTION TITLE
Case Study: Lancaster
Adapted from “Small Legacy Cities, Equity, and a Changing Economy.” Presented at the Reinventing Older Communities Conference in Philadelphia, PA, on May 12, 2014.
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Context: History
• 1700s–Mid 1800s: Establishment as a center for agricultural commerce• Mid-1800s–Mid-1900s: Growth and peak of the city’s industrial economy• Late 1900s: Decline of manufacturing, dramatic population shifts• 2000–Present: Emergence of a thriving local arts community
Photo credit: Ellie Devyatkin
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Context: Demographics
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008–2012 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates, Table DP05 “ACS Demographic and Housing Estimates,” adapted from Figure 4.05 “Poverty and Ethnicity.” Small Legacy Cities, Equity, and a Changing Economy Studio Work. Self-published, February 2014
1 Dot= 20 People
Hispanic or Latino
White
Black/African AmericanAsian
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Context: Poverty
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008–2012 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates, Table DP03 “Selected Economic Characteristics,” adapted from Figure 4.05 “Poverty and Ethnicity.” Small Legacy Cities, Equity, and a Changing Economy Studio Work. Self-published, February 2014
0% - 15%
<15% - 30%
<15% - 30%
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Analysis of Creative Placemaking
Revitalize Downtown
Institutionalize Arts in
Lancaster’s Identity
Goals
Key Actors• The City of Lancaster• Lancaster County Community
Foundation• Pennsylvania College of Art & Design • Various private developers
Image credit: LancasterARTS Press Kit
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Analysis of Creative PlacemakingSuccesses• Decreased downtown vacancies• Increase in tourism and visitor
spending• Improved image in region• Potential to attract additional
private investment
Challenges• Limited opportunities for
midskill/midwage job creation• Benefits largely disconnected
from communities south of King Street
Photo credit: LancasterARTS Press Kit
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Analysis of Creative Placemaking
Health
car
e an
d so
cial
ass
istan
ce
Educ
atio
nal s
ervice
s
Other
serv
ices
Tran
spor
tatio
n & w
areh
ousin
g
Accom
mod
atio
n & fo
od se
rvices
Prof
essio
nal, sc
ient
ific & te
chni
cal s
ervice
s
Arts, e
nter
tain
men
t & re
crea
tion
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
Net Job Growth by Industry in Lancaster Zip Codes,
2000-2011
Source: U.S. Census Bureau County Business Patterns ZIP Code Business Patterns 2000 and 2011. This chart only includes industries that added 500+ jobs over this time period.
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Phase I: State of Equity
Growing housing cost burden driven by inadequate income levels
Deep disparities in educational and human capital development opportunities
Increasing occupational bifurcation that leaves only low-wage employment accessible to underserved residents
Summary
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Phase I: State of Equity
Less than High School
High School or Equivalent
Some College Bachelor’s Degree or Higher
32%
39%
20%
10%
High-growth ** industries accessible at this level:
Educational attainment of adults 25+ in high-poverty* tracts:
Accommodations & Food Service
Other Services
Transportation & Warehousing
Educational Services
Health Care & Social Assistance
* “high poverty”: tracts where >25% of the population 18–64 is classified as living in poverty; ** “high growth”: industries in which net job growth >1,000 between 2000 and 2011Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008—2012 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates, Table S1501 “Educational Attainment”; County Business Patterns ZIP Code Business Patterns 2000 & 2011
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Phase I: State of Equity
57%
of renter households are cost burdened.
33%
of owner-occupied households are cost burdened.
Median gross rent per month: $733Percent of Lancaster County Median: 85%
Median home value: $102,600Percent of Lancaster County Median: 54%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008—2012 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates, Table DP04 “Selected Housing Characteristics”
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Phase II: Theory of ChangeSelected Interventions Recommended by Students Interventions
Conditions Outcomes
• Living Wage Ordinance Ensure Job Quality In
Growing Sectors Economic Security & Opportunity
• Integrated Job Training & Placement
• Local Contracting
Connect LMI Residents to High-Quality Jobs
• TA for Cooperative/ESOP Conversions
Expand Wealth-Building Opportunities
Alleviate Housing Cost Burden
Ensure All Residents Benefit From Economic
Growth
• Shared-Equity Mortgage Program
• Renter Tax Credit
• Community Benefits Standards
• State-level Performance Requirements
Stable & Supportive Quality of LifeProgressive & Inclusive Community Leadership
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Phase II: Theory of ChangeStrategies for Implementation Identified by Students
Policy
• Living Wage Ordinance• Set living wage floor* for jobs created
through public subsidy• Local Contracting
• Select local vendor if bid is within X% of the lowest overall bid
Program
• Shared-Equity Mortgages• Set aside from existing homeownership
funds, administered in partnership with experienced CDFI
Leadership• Integrated Job Placement/Training
• Convene service providers & workforce development entities
* The living wage estimate for a single adult in Lancaster County is $8.11/hr. according to the Living Wage Calculator, available at http://livingwage.mit.edu/places/4207141216
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Success FactorsPublic Leadership• Institutionalizes equity as an economic development
priority
Capacity for Collaboration• Enables communities to develop multifaceted
responses to equity challenges
Empowered Civic Organizations• Provides representation for underserved communities
in public decision making
Diversified Strategies• Creates potential for a continuum of economic
opportunities
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Ongoing ChallengesLimited Public Resources• How can small, financially challenged municipalities
sustain community and economic development efforts?
Local Capacity Constraints• How can cities repair the local economic infrastructure
that enables LMI communities to tap into economic growth?
Scale• How can communities address political and economic
issues that transcend municipal boundaries?
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Key Takeaways
Equity has to be an integrated and intentional part of economic development.
Big economic development projects do not necessarily translate into big benefits for LMI communities.
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William Generett Jr., J.D. President and CEOUrban Innovation21
Urban Innovation21:Equitable Community
TransformationConnecting residents from our region’s poorest communities to our region’s economic prosperity.
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Allegheny County Department of Economic Development Carlow UniversityCommunity College of Allegheny CountyDuquesne UniversityHeinz EndowmentsHill House Economic Development CorporationIdea FoundryInnovation WorksPA Department of Community and Economic Development PNC BankPoint Park UniversityReed Smith Richard King Mellon FoundationUPMC Health PlanUrban Redevelopment Authority of Pittsburgh
Urban Innovation21: Public and Private Partners
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• Urban Innovation21 is a Pittsburgh-based public-private partnership that is working to make sure all communities are connected to our region’s economic transformation.
• As low and moderate income communities transform, we help residents from those communities create and connect successful entrepreneurial enterprise to that transformation.
Urban Innovation21: Background Information
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Aerial View Oakland, Hill District and Downtown showing little economic activity in the Hill District - 2007
Community Transformation
Through Cluster-Based Entrepreneurship
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Community Transformation
Through Cluster-Based Entrepreneurship
• Jobs are created• Existing commercial properties are filled, adding vitality to the
area• New construction is built, adding to the vitality of the area• A positive economic ecosystem is built • Wealth is created for business owners• Residents of the community have a better quality of life• Crime is significantly reduced • Neighborhood commercial corridors are cleaned up • Youth and others see positive role models and the culture of
community changes
From “The Geography of Innovation: The Federal Government and the Growth of Regional Innovation Clusters.” Jonathan Sallet, Ed Paisley, and Justin Masterman September 2009
If a “cluster” of high growth entrepreneurs move to, start and/or grow successful businesses in a community the following will happen:
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Goal Theory Model
Pittsburgh Central Keystone Innovation Zone (PCKIZ) Incentives since 2007:
KIZ Tax Credit Program
•$4M in direct cash assistance
PCKIZ Grant Program
•$412,000 in early stage grant funding to 22 PCKIZ companies
Internship Program
•188 PCKIZ internships at total cost of $334,000•396 total paid internships (60% women, 40% underrepresented minorities
Community Based Economic
Development
•Raised over $4M in direct funding for Hill District Based Economic Development organizations
PCKIZ Consortium
•Community partnerships to provide leadership & help coordinate economic development activities
Incentives to Connect Underserved Community to Region’s Prosperity
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Significant transformation that has occurred in the Greater Hill District since 2007 :• 20 high growth companies have started up, relocated and are growing
in the community• Neighborhood image has changed for the better (i.e. business
development and economic development can successfully occur)• StartUptown (region’s first co-working space in an underserved
community) opened, spurring additional investment in Uptown• Catalytic housing development throughout the Hill District and Uptown• Duquesne University Pharmacy • YMCA• Grocery store• Energy Innovation Center• Hundreds of millions of dollars of economic development slated to
occur in the next 10 years
Community Transformation
Through Cluster-Based Entrepreneurship
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Community Transformation
Through Cluster-Based Entrepreneurship
• Grants
• Direct technical assistance
• Connection to high quality technical assistance
• Connection with low-cost loans, no-cost loans and non-predatory loans
• Connection with business opportunities that can lead to contracts
Urban Innovation21 provides the following services to designated community-based entrepreneurs:
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CULTIVATE a pipeline of businesses via competitions and
workshops
FUND winning businesses and
businesses showing promise from
workshops
SUPPORT businesses with wrap around
services to minimize start up operating
expense
INCENTIVIZE complimentary
businesses to locate in Community
MONITOR and hold businesses
accountable for metrics and pro
forma commitments
MARKET AND ADVOCATE for
local businesses
Community-Based Entrepreneurs Create Successful EnterpriseOur logic model for disciplined business creation:
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Barbara Strothers, Owner of Grace Security, LLC
Photo Credit: Michael Henninger/Post-Gazette
Grace Security, LLC: Example of a Successful Entrepreneur
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Grace Security, LLC: Example of a Successful Entrepreneur
• Business started by security guard and Hill District resident.
• Thought she could never make more than $10 per hour.
• Grossed $150,000 in first year of business.
• Business has received contracts from local anchors including the neighborhood’s largest social service organization and the new grocery store.
Grace Security, LLC Highlights:
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Reed Smith Partnership: Example of Successful Wrap-Around ServicesUrban Innovation21 has entered into a partnership with the law firm Reed Smith.
• Reed Smith is one of the country’s largest and most prestigious law firms.
• If an entrepreneur meets the following criteria, the entrepreneur will become a client of Reed Smith and Reed Smith will do all of their legal work free of charge: o Entrepreneur is from a low income community,o Entrepreneur can’t afford to pay legal fees, o Business is located in underserved community or
benefits people in underserved community.
• To date Reed Smith had provided approximately $200,000 in pro bono legal services to 20 businesses owned by residents from underserved communities.
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• Urban Innovation21 works with hundreds of community based entrepreneurs each year.
• Through its community based grant competitions Urban Innovation21 screens and provides approximately 30 of the most promising community based businesses with wrap around services.
• Successful Entrepreneurs are connected with contracts
with small and large anchors.
Community Transformation GoalGoal: Create a cluster of successful businesses owned by residents of underserved communities that are connected and profiting from our region’s prosperity.
Thank You
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Eileen Divringi, Community Development Research Analyst, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Email: [email protected] Website: https://www.philadelphiafed.org/community-development/
William Generett, President and CEO, Urban Innovation21
Email: [email protected]: http://www.urbaninnovation21.org/