Australian crop reportdata.daff.gov.au/data/warehouse/aucrpd9abcc003/aucrpd9...Australian crop report June 2013 ABARES 2 Overview Conditions for planting winter crops are generally

Australian crop report Prepared by the Australian Bureau of Agricultural

and Resource Economics and Sciences

June 2013

No. 166

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Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Australia Licence is a standard form licence agreement that allows you to copy, distribute, transmit and adapt this publication provided you attribute the work. A summary of the licence terms is available from creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/au/deed.en. The full licence terms are available from creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/au/legalcode. This publication (and any material sourced from it) should be attributed as ABARES 2013, Australian crop report, Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences, Canberra, June, CC BY 3.0. Cataloguing data ABARES 2013, Australian crop report, Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences, Canberra, June. ISSN 1447-8358 ISBN 978-1-74323-137-1 ABARES project 42072

Internet Australian crop report is available at daff.gov.au/abares/publications. Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES) Postal address GPO Box 1563 Canberra ACT 2601 Switchboard +61 2 6272 2010 Facsimile +61 2 6272 2001 Email [email protected] Web daff.gov.au/abares Inquiries about the licence and any use of this document should be sent to [email protected]. The Australian Government acting through the Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry represented by the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences, has exercised due care and skill in preparing and compiling the information and data in this publication. Notwithstanding, the Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry, ABARES, its employees and advisers disclaim all liability, including liability for negligence, for any loss, damage, injury, expense or cost incurred by any person as a result of accessing, using or relying upon any of the information or data in this publication to the maximum extent permitted by law.

The next issue of Australian crop report is scheduled to be released on 10 September 2013. In the next issue: 2013–14 winter crop area and production forecasts updated 2013–14 summer crop area forecasts Acknowledgements This report was prepared by Benjamin Agbenyegah, Amelia Brown, Beth Deards, Dean Mansfield, Matthew Miller, David Mobsby and Neil Thompson.

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Australian crop report June 2013 ABARES

iii

Contents

Overview ............................................................................................................................................................ 2

Climatic and agronomic conditions ......................................................................................................... 3

Winter crop production ............................................................................................................................... 8

Summer crop production ......................................................................................................................... 10

Crop conditions and production forecasts, by state ...................................................................... 11

New South Wales ............................................................................................................................ 11

Queensland ....................................................................................................................................... 12

Victoria ............................................................................................................................................... 13

South Australia ................................................................................................................................ 14

Western Australia ........................................................................................................................... 15

Tables

Table 1 Rainfall in major cropping districts......................................................................................... 7

Table 2 Winter crop area, Australia ........................................................................................................ 9

Table 3 Winter crop production, Australia........................................................................................... 9

Table 4 Summer crop plantings and production, Australia ........................................................ 10

Table 5 Winter crop forecasts, 2013–14, New South Wales....................................................... 12

Table 6 Summer crop estimates, 2012–13, New South Wales .................................................. 12

Table 7 Winter crop forecasts, 2013–14, Queensland .................................................................. 13

Table 8 Summer crop estimates, 2012–13, Queensland .............................................................. 13

Table 9 Winter crop forecasts, 2013–14, Victoria .......................................................................... 14

Table 10 Winter crop forecasts, 2013–14, South Australia ........................................................ 15

Table 11 Winter crop forecasts, 2013–14, Western Australia................................................... 16

Table 12 Australian crop production................................................................................................... 17

Table 13 State production, major crops ............................................................................................. 18

Table 14 State production, other crops .............................................................................................. 19

Table 15 Australian supply and disposal of wheat, oilseeds and pulses ............................... 20

Table 16 Australian supply and disposal of coarse grains .......................................................... 21

Table 17 Grains and oilseeds prices ..................................................................................................... 22


iv

Maps

Map 1 Australian wheat growing regions ............................................................................................. 1

Map 2 Australian rainfall districts ........................................................................................................... 1

Map 3 Australian rainfall percentiles, 1 March to 31 May (autumn) 2013 ............................. 3

Map 4 Rainfall outlook, June to August (winter) 2013 .................................................................... 4

Map 5 Upper layer soil moisture, May 2013 ........................................................................................ 5

Map 6 Lower layer soil moisture, May 2013 ....................................................................................... 5

Map 7 Probability of exceeding long-term simulated median shire wheat yield .................. 6


1

Map 1 Australian wheat growing regions

Source: ABARES

Map 2 Australian rainfall districts

Note: Displayed for major cropping districts only. See Table 1 for district names and observed district rainfall.

Source: Bureau of Meteorology


2

Overview Conditions for planting winter crops are generally favourable across most regions of the cropping zone. In the eastern states (including South Australia), recent rainfall has generally improved conditions for planting after cropping regions generally experienced very dry conditions during autumn. In Western Australia, autumn rainfall has generally been average to above average.

The three-month rainfall outlook from the Bureau of Meteorology (June to August) suggests an above average chance of exceeding median rainfall in most cropping regions in eastern Australian and an average chance of doing so in the cropping regions in Western Australia.

The total area planted to winter crops in Australia is forecast to decline by 1 per cent in 2013–14 to around 22.4 million hectares. The area planted to wheat and barley is forecast to rise by 3 per cent and 2 per cent to 13.7 million hectares and to 3.8 million hectares, respectively. In contrast, the area planted to canola is forecast to fall by 17 per cent to 2.5 million hectares, largely the result of low levels of soil moisture and insufficient rainfall during its prime planting window. Canola is less tolerant of dry growing conditions than cereal crops and is regarded as a higher risk crop with soil moisture presently at low levels. The recent rainfall in the eastern states, while timely for the planting of wheat and barley, came too late for planting canola, which has an earlier planting window.

Total winter crop production in 2013–14 is forecast to rise by 10 per cent to 40 million tonnes, reflecting a forecast increase in yields in many regions, particularly in Western Australia. It has been assumed the favourable outlook for seasonal conditions will result in above average yields in major cropping regions across Australia. For the major winter crops, wheat production is forecast to increase by 15 per cent to 25.4 million tonnes, barley production is forecast to increase by 10 per cent to 7.4 million tonnes and canola production is forecast to fall by 17 per cent to 3.2 million tonnes.

Favourable rainfall during the growing season will be critical to achieving the forecast increase in winter crop production. With soil moisture presently at low levels, yields will likely be lower than currently assumed if crops do not receive favourable rainfall while growing and developing.

Harvesting of the 2012–13 summer crops is now largely complete and total summer crop production (excluding cotton lint) is estimated to have fallen by around 9 per cent in 2012–13 to 5 million tonnes. This estimated fall largely reflects an estimated 23 per cent fall in grain sorghum production to around 1.7 million tonnes and a 17 per cent fall in cottonseed production to 1.4 million tonnes. In contrast, rice production is estimated to have increased by 26 per cent to around 1.2 million tonnes. Australian production of cotton lint is estimated to have fallen by 17 per cent to 992 000 tonnes.

The total area planted to summer crops decreased by 15 per cent in 2012–13 to around 1.3 million hectares, due largely to less favourable sowing conditions than in 2011–12.


3

Climatic and agronomic conditions Rainfall was mostly average across most winter cropping areas in New South Wales, Queensland, South Australia and Western Australia during autumn 2013 (Map 3). However, many of these regions had very dry conditions for part of autumn with favourable rainfall falling in late May and early June. Much of Victoria received well below average rainfall during autumn, leading to soil moisture deficiencies in a number of regions.

March 2013 rainfall was at least average over most of Australia’s winter cropping regions. Parts of western Victoria and eastern South Australia were the only exceptions, where rainfall was below average. Much of Australia’s winter cropping zone received well below average rainfall during April 2013, resulting in deficiencies in upper layer soil moisture, particularly across eastern Australia. May 2013 rainfall was generally average for cropping regions across Australia.

Widespread rainfall, in excess of 25 millimetres, was received in the first week of June 2013 over parts of South Australia, central and southern New South Wales and western Victoria. These falls have increased soil moisture following dry conditions during April, and are likely to allow further plantings and help germinate and establish winter crops.

Map 3 Australian rainfall percentiles, 1 March to 31 May (autumn) 2013

Note: Rainfall percentiles displayed for wheat–sheep zone only.


The Bureau of Meteorology seasonal rainfall outlook for June to August (winter) 2013 favours wetter than average conditions across the eastern Australian cropping regions and average conditions for Western Australia (Map 4).

The temperature outlook for June to August (winter) 2013 indicates that warmer daytime and night time temperatures are likely across Western Australia’s grains belt, while in eastern Australia, cooler daytime and warmer night time temperatures are favoured.


4

Map 4 Rainfall outlook, June to August (winter) 2013

Note: Outlook displayed for wheat–sheep zone only.


Maps 5 and 6 show the relative levels of modelled upper layer (~0.2 metres) soil moisture and lower layer (~0.2 to ~1.5 metres) soil moisture at the end of May 2013 for the wheat–sheep zone across Australia. The soil moisture estimates are relative to the long-term record.

Moisture estimates from the long-term record are ranked in percentiles. The darkest green areas (90th to 100th percentile) indicate where the estimated soil moisture level for May 2013 falls into the 10 wettest months, relative to estimated soil moisture levels for that month averaged over a 100-year period. The darkest brown (0 to 10th percentile) indicates where the estimated soil moisture levels for May 2013 fell into the 10 driest months, relative to estimated soil moisture levels for that month averaged over 100 years. These data are from a collaborative project between the Bureau of Meteorology, the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) and ABARES to develop estimates of soil moisture and other components of water balance at high resolution across Australia.

Upper layer soil moisture responds quickly to seasonal conditions and will often show a pattern that reflects the rainfall and temperature events of the same month. Lower layer soil moisture is a larger, deeper store that is slower to respond and tends to reflect the accumulated effects of events that have occurred over longer periods of time.

Relative upper layer soil moisture at the end of May 2013 (Map 5) was predominantly above average in the northern part of the cropping zone in Queensland, South Australian and Western Australian cropping regions, reflecting recent rainfall in these areas. Despite close to average rainfall during May 2013 across many cropping regions in New South Wales and Victoria, the monthly relative upper layer soil moisture analysis indicates well below average moisture levels for many areas for this time of year, reflecting the lack of rainfall during April and early May 2013. ABARES notes that the most recent weekly relative upper layer soil moisture analysis released by CSIRO does indicate close to average soil moisture levels across most cropping regions in New South Wales and Victoria, reflecting the rainfall that occurred in May.


5

Map 5 Upper layer soil moisture, May 2013

Note: Relative upper layer soil moisture displayed for wheat–sheep zone only.

Source: ABARES; Bureau of Meteorology (Australian Water Availability Project); CSIRO

Relative soil moisture in the lower layer at the end of May 2013 (Map 6) was largely above average across the cropping zone in Queensland and northern New South Wales. Above average relative lower layer soil moisture will provide a deep store for crops in these areas, meaning producers will be less reliant on in-crop rainfall. Lower layer soil moisture deficiencies remain in cropping regions in southern New South Wales, Victoria, South Australia and parts of Western Australia. Producers in these areas will generally be more reliant on in-crop rainfall to support crop production during 2013.

Map 6 Lower layer soil moisture, May 2013

Note: Relative lower layer soil moisture displayed for wheat–sheep zone only.

Source: ABARES; Bureau of Meteorology (Australian Water Availability Project); CSIRO


6

The University of Queensland’s Queensland Alliance for Agriculture and Food Innovation’s shire-scale wheat forecasting system produces yield predictions for wheat. This forecasting system combines starting soil moisture conditions with the seasonal outlook, including the most recent trend in the Southern Oscillation Index.

At the beginning of June 2012 the probability of exceeding average wheat yields (Map 7) is generally average or above average in most cropping regions across Australia. Parts of north-west New South Wales, north-central Victoria and south-west Queensland are showing reduced chances of exceeding median yield (between 10 and 40 per cent).

Map 7 Probability of exceeding long-term simulated median shire wheat yield

Source: Queensland Alliance for Agriculture and Food Innovation


7

Table 1 Rainfall in major cropping districts

District number

Mar

median

Mar

2013

Mar

2013

Apr

median

Apr

2013

Apr

2013

May

median

May

2013

May

2013 mm mm rank mm mm rank mm mm rank

New South Wales N W Plains (W) 52 35 80 83 25 4 16 27 33 58 N W Plains (E) 53 43 98 86 28 7 16 32 29 46 N W Slopes (N) 54 53 95 77 30 19 31 37 22 30 N W Slopes (S) 55 45 81 77 33 4 10 34 19 30 N Tablelands (N) 56 72 70 48 39 32 38 39 27 34 C W Plains (S) 50 26 58 77 23 3 8 29 25 42 C W Plains (N) 51 27 62 80 17 1 8 28 17 35 C W Slopes (N) 64 40 94 84 32 1 3 34 25 42 C W Slopes (S) 65 37 75 81 33 5 9 38 24 30 C Tablelands (N) 62 46 79 73 37 10 14 37 24 35 C Tablelands (S) 63 54 84 68 50 27 23 43 30 32 Riverina (W) 75 19 21 55 18 4 12 25 22 45 Riverina (E) 74 25 30 58 27 6 11 30 39 61 S W Slopes (N) 73 37 41 58 35 9 10 43 34 39 S W Slopes (S) 72 55 59 55 63 24 12 78 81 51 Victoria N Mallee 76 14 6 35 14 12 44 25 25 52 S Mallee 77 14 5 25 17 9 28 31 24 37 N Wimmera 78 16 5 17 21 9 22 39 31 42 S Wimmera 79 21 10 23 30 17 25 51 36 31 Lower North 80 18 16 43 24 3 7 36 26 40 Upper North 81 24 25 50 30 6 9 49 31 33 Lower North East 82 52 84 73 55 25 15 85 81 46 North Central 88 39 38 49 55 15 6 68 42 25 Western Plains 89 31 17 26 40 14 12 54 47 39 West Coast 90 38 25 28 54 28 15 73 77 55 Queensland Central Highlands 35 49 65 64 25 36 64 22 35 66 Maranoa 43 45 72 72 21 9 24 25 39 65 W Darling Downs 42 50 94 82 24 11 25 29 27 45 E Darling Downs 41 54 95 78 24 28 52 30 24 39 Moreton S Coast 40 98 112 55 57 69 61 51 43 40 South Australia Upper South East 25B 14 7 24 29 17 33 45 47 53 Murray Mallee 25A 10 6 30 15 21 60 30 26 45 Murray River 24 10 4 24 15 23 66 26 34 66 East Central 23 19 12 34 37 41 51 62 58 43 Yorke Peninsula 22A 13 11 45 24 31 60 43 43 50 Lower North 21 14 7 35 22 27 57 36 54 73 Upper North 19 10 10 52 13 15 58 25 26 54 Western Agricultural 18 9 20 66 17 26 75 25 26 53 Western Australia North Coast 8 10 34 85 15 6 25 46 60 66 Central Coast 9 11 53 95 35 13 21 101 104 52 Northern Central 10 13 40 85 16 9 28 39 38 47 South Central 10A 15 56 91 23 10 24 49 54 58 South East 12 19 58 86 16 12 37 21 30 69

Note: Percentile ranks are interpreted as the ranking between zero and 100 of current rainfall compared with historical rainfall. Zero is the

lowest rainfall, 100 is the highest rainfall. Australian rainfall districts are shown in Map 2.

Source: Bureau of Meteorology monthly district rainfall reports


8

Winter crop production Conditions for sowing winter crops are generally favourable across most regions of the cropping zone. In the eastern states (including South Australia), recent rainfall has generally improved conditions for sowing after cropping regions generally experienced very dry conditions during autumn. In Western Australia, autumn rainfall has generally been average to above average.

The three-month rainfall outlook from the Bureau of Meteorology (June to August) suggests an above average chance of exceeding median rainfall in most cropping regions in south-eastern Australian and an average chance of doing so in the cropping regions in Western Australia

The total area planted to winter crops in Australia is forecast to decline by 1 per cent in 2013–14 to around 22.4 million hectares. The area planted to wheat and barley is forecast to rise by 3 per cent and 2 per cent to 13.7 million hectares and to 3.8 million hectares, respectively. In contrast, the area planted to canola is forecast to fall by 17 per cent to 2.5 million hectares largely as a result of low levels of soil moisture and insufficient rainfall during its planting window. Canola is less tolerant of dry growing conditions than cereal crops and is considered a higher risk crop with soil moisture presently at low levels. The recent rainfall in the eastern states, while timely for planting wheat and barley, came too late for planting canola, which has an earlier planting window.

Total winter crop production in 2013–14 is forecast to rise by 10 per cent to 40 million tonnes, reflecting a forecast increase in yields in many regions, particularly in Western Australia. It has been assumed the favourable outlook for seasonal conditions will result in above average yields in major cropping regions across Australia. For the major winter crops, wheat production is forecast to increase by 15 per cent to 25.4 million tonnes, barley production is forecast to increase by 10 per cent to 7.4 million tonnes and canola production is forecast to fall by 17 per cent to 3.2 million tonnes.

Favourable rainfall during the growing season will be critical to achieving the forecast increase in winter crop production. With soil moisture presently at low levels, yields will likely be lower than currently assumed if crops do not receive favourable rainfall while growing and developing.


9

Table 2 Winter crop area, Australia

New South Wales

Victoria Queensland South Australia

Western Australia

Australia

’000 ha ’000 ha ’000 ha ’000 ha ’000 ha ’000 ha 2003–04 6 104 3 141 1 034 3 966 7 683 21 953 2004–05 6 440 3 195 861 3 965 7 933 22 417 2005–06 5 595 2 972 969 3 869 7 408 20 837 2006–07 5 673 3 085 810 4 141 6 478 20 215 2007–08 6 314 3 378 876 4 131 7 266 21 988 2008–09 6 296 3 494 1 212 3 979 7 900 22 909 2009–10 6 108 3 491 1 176 3 783 8 272 22 853 2010–1 6 159 3 460 1 220 3 821 7 716 22 401 2011–12 5 968 3 408 1 208 3 840 8 251 22 693 2012–13 s 6 196 3 490 1 256 3 922 7 611 22 497 2013–14 f 6 009 3 363 1 279 3 904 7 799 22 372 % change 2012–13 to 2013–14 –3 –4 2 0 2 –1

f ABARES forecast. s ABARES estimate.

Note: Includes barley, canola, chickpeas, faba beans, field peas, lentils, linseed, lupins, oats, safflower, triticale and wheat.

Table 3 Winter crop production, Australia

New South Wales

Victoria Queensland South Australia

Western Australia

Australia

kt kt kt kt kt kt 2003–04 10 797 6 965 1 451 7 360 16 677 43 324 2004–05 10 715 4 219 1 392 5 298 12 979 34 681 2005–06 11 984 6 271 1 435 7 518 13 946 41 236 2006–07 3 796 1 751 925 2 793 8 279 17 588 2007–08 4 001 4 695 1 195 4 706 10 762 25 423 2008–09 9 441 3 890 2 327 4 864 13 786 34 386 2009–10 7 789 5 893 1 618 7 036 12 944 35 352 2010–11 14 786 7 629 1 822 9 317 8 045 41 681 2011–12 11 955 7 348 2 330 7 368 16 599 45 666 2012–13 s 10 939 5 601 2 221 6 569 10 877 36 281 2013–14 f 10 892 5 991 2 287 7 076 13 648 39 959 % change 2012–13 to 2013–14 0 7 3 8 25 10

f ABARES forecast. s ABARES estimate.

Note: Includes barley, canola, chickpeas, faba beans, field peas, lentils, linseed, lupins, oats, safflower, triticale and wheat.


10

Summer crop production Harvesting of the 2012–13 summer crops is now largely complete and total summer crop production (excluding cotton lint) is estimated to have fallen by around 9 per cent in 2012–13 to 5 million tonnes. This estimated fall largely reflects significant falls in grain sorghum and cottonseed production. The total area planted to summer crops is estimated to have decreased by 15 per cent to around 1.3 million hectares, due largely to less favourable sowing conditions than in 2011–12.

Grain sorghum production is estimated to have fallen by 23 per cent in 2012–13 to around 1.7 million tonnes. The estimated fall in production reflects a 14 per cent fall in the area planted to grain sorghum and an estimated 10 per cent fall in the average yield.

Australian production of cottonseed and of cotton lint are both estimated to have fallen by 17 per cent to 1.4 million tonnes and 992 000 tonnes, respectively. The estimated declines were driven by a 26 per cent fall in the total area planted to cotton. However, the average yield is estimated to have increased by 12 per cent, which reflects a larger share of the total crop being irrigated cotton, which has a higher yield.

In contrast to grain sorghum and cotton, rice production is estimated to have increased by 26 per cent to around 1.2 million tonnes. The estimated increase reflects a 12 per cent rise in the area planted to rice and an estimated increase in average yield.

Table 4 Summer crop plantings and production, Australia

New South Wales Queensland Australia ’000 ha kt ’000 ha kt ’000 ha kt

2002–03 518 1 578 541 1 231 1 074 2 835 2003–04 457 1 779 765 1 867 1 231 3 664 2004–05 521 2 020 812 1 842 1 343 3 878 2005–06 776 2 791 645 1 516 1 433 4 351 2006–07 338 1 037 545 1 099 918 2 166 2007–08 398 1 668 791 2 877 1 199 4 567 2008–09 402 1 430 746 2 350 1 156 3 794 2009–10 381 1 405 513 1 342 903 2 764 2010–11 713 2 514 790 1 901 1 514 4 446 2011–12 769 3 078 792 2 379 1 578 5 508 2012–13 s 622 2 889 703 2 069 1 337 4 994 % change 2011–12 to 2012–13 –19 –6 –11 –13 –15 –9

s ABARES estimates.

Note: State production includes grain sorghum, rice, cottonseed, maize and sunflower. Total for Australia also includes small areas and

volume in other states. Total for Australia includes grain sorghum, rice, cottonseed, maize, sunflower, peanuts, mung beans and navy beans.

Summer crop production figures include northern wet season rice and northern dry season cotton and rice.


11

Crop conditions and production forecasts, by state

New South Wales

Most winter crop regions in New South Wales experienced below average to very much below average rainfall during summer and most of autumn. The dry conditions reduced soil moisture levels and delayed sowing, particularly in the central and north-west regions. Widespread rainfall in late May and the first weekend in June was timely and favourable for sowing winter crops. This rainfall will also help establish earlier sown crops. Rainfall received in the north-west, where it was needed most, was disappointing. Without favourable rainfall during the remainder of the planting window, planting intentions in this region are unlikely to be realised.

The Bureau of Meteorology’s seasonal rainfall outlook for June to August 2013 indicates a 60 per cent to 70 per cent chance of exceeding average rainfall across most winter cropping regions in New South Wales. Without this level of rainfall, yields will be lower than presently assumed.

The total area planted to winter crops in New South Wales is forecast to fall by 3 per cent in 2013–14 to around 6 million hectares. Despite the forecast fall in area, total winter crop production is forecast to remain largely unchanged at 10.9 million tonnes, assuming favourable seasonal conditions lead to an increase in yields.

The area planted to wheat is forecast to increase by around 4 per cent in 2013–14 to 3.9 million hectares. The late break in the season meant the optimal planting window for pulse and oilseed crops had closed, resulting in a switch to cereal crops. Total wheat production is forecast to increase by 7 per cent to around 7.6 million tonnes, which reflects the forecast increase in planted area and a forecast increase in yields.

The area planted to barley is forecast to increase by 6 per cent in 2013–14 to 700 000 hectares. The late break in the season is expected to result in some area being planted to barley that was initially intended to be planted to canola. Barley production is forecast to increase by 7 per cent to just over 1.3 million tonnes, largely resulting from the forecast increase in planted area.

The area planted to canola is forecast to decrease by 34 per cent in 2013–14 to 650 000 hectares. The combined effects of insufficient rainfall during the planting window for canola, and depleted levels of lower layer soil moisture, have prompted growers to switch some area intended for canola to cereal crops. Canola production is forecast to decrease by 38 per cent to 910 000 tonnes.

Total summer crop production in New South Wales is estimated to have decreased by 6 per cent in 2012–13 to around 2.9 million tonnes, reflecting an estimated fall in production of grain sorghum and cottonseed. The area planted to summer crops fell by 19 per cent to 622 000 hectares.

Grain sorghum production is estimated to have decreased by 44 per cent in 2012–13 to around 458 000 tonnes, reflecting a 35 per cent fall in planted area. Earlier planted crops suffered from hot and dry conditions. However, growing conditions improved and were generally favourable, for later sown crops, with yields estimated to have been average. The area planted to grain sorghum was around 143 000 hectares.

Production of cottonseed and cotton lint is estimated to have fallen by 11 per cent in 2012–13 to around 927 000 tonnes and 655 000 tonnes, respectively. The total area planted to cotton fell


12

by 21 per cent to 284 000 hectares. However, the average yield is estimated to have risen by 12 per cent, reflecting an increase in the share of irrigated cotton in the total crop.

Rice production is estimated to have increased by 26 per cent in 2012–13 to around 1.2 million tonnes, the highest since 2001–02. The forecast increase reflects a 13 per cent rise in the area planted to rice and higher yields, which resulted from favourable growing conditions and plentiful supplies of irrigation water.

Table 5 Winter crop forecasts, 2013–14, New South Wales

Area Yield Production Area change from 2012–13

Production change from 2012–13

’000 ha t/ha kt % % Wheat 3 900 1.95 7 605 4 7 Barley 700 1.90 1 330 6 7 Canola 650 1.40 910 –34 –38

Note: Yields are based on areas planted.

Table 6 Summer crop estimates, 2012–13, New South Wales



’000 ha t/ha kt % % Grain sorghum 143 3.20 458 –35 –44 Cotton lint 284 2.31 655 –21 –11 Cottonseed 284 3.27 927 –21 –11 Rice 115 10.02 1 152 13 26 Sunflower 10 1.24 12 –50 –50


Queensland

Average to above average autumn rainfall has been timely, providing a positive outlook for the 2013–14 winter cropping season. Seasonal conditions in south-west Queensland were very dry until the end of May, which slowed sowing and led to moisture stress in early sown crops. However, widespread rainfall in late May has been beneficial and sowing intentions are expected to be fully realised.

The Bureau of Meteorology’s seasonal rainfall outlook for June to August 2013 indicates a 60 per cent to 65 per cent chance of exceeding average rainfall across the winter cropping regions in Queensland. Without this level of rainfall, yields will be lower than presently forecast.

The total area planted to winter crops in Queensland is forecast to increase by around 2 per cent in 2013–14 to around 1.3 million hectares. Assuming favourable seasonal conditions lead to favourable yields, total winter crop production is forecast to increase by 3 per cent to 2.3 million tonnes.

The area planted to wheat is forecast to increase by 2 per cent in 2013–14 to around 970 000 hectares. Wheat production is forecast to increase by 3 per cent to almost 1.8 million tonnes, largely reflecting the forecast increase in planted area.

The area planted to barley is forecast to increase by 6 per cent in 2013–14 to 90 000 hectares in response to high feed grain prices and a promising start to the season. Assuming favourable seasonal conditions, barley production is forecast to increase by 7 per cent to around 167 000 tonnes, largely resulting from the forecast increase in planted area.

The area planted to chickpeas is forecast to decline by 4 per cent in 2013–14 to 200 000 hectares, down from the record achieved in 2012–13. Excellent financial returns over the


13

previous two seasons and favourable prices have made chickpeas attractive to producers. In 2013–14 total chickpea production is forecast to be around 310 000 tonnes.

Total summer crop production in Queensland is estimated to have fallen by 13 per cent in 2012–13 to around 2.1 million tonnes, reflecting estimated falls in production of grain sorghum and cottonseed. The area planted to summer crops fell by 11 per cent to 700 000 hectares.

Grain sorghum production is estimated to have decreased by 11 per cent in 2012–13 to 1.3 million tonnes, reflecting a decline in the area planted and yields. Very hot and dry conditions were experienced up until late January, reducing yield prospects for early sown crops. However, later sown crops enjoyed more favourable growing conditions and have yielded closer to average. The area planted to grain sorghum in 2012–13 was around 420 000 hectares.

Cotton production is estimated to have declined by 27 per cent in 2012–13 to 476 000 tonnes of cottonseed and 337 000 tonnes of cotton lint, driven by a 34 per cent decline in the planted area. However, the average yield is estimated to have increased by 11 per cent, reflecting an increase in the share of irrigated cotton in the total crop.

Table 7 Winter crop forecasts, 2013–14, Queensland

Area Yield Production Area change from

2012–13

Production change

from 2012–13 ’000 ha t/ha kt % %

Wheat 970 1.85 1 795 2 3 Barley 90 1.86 167 6 7 Chickpeas 200 1.55 310 –4 0


Table 8 Summer crop estimates, 2012–13, Queensland



’000 ha t/ha kt % % Grain sorghum 420 3.00 1 260 –4 –11 Cotton lint 159 2.12 337 –34 –27 Cottonseed 159 3.00 476 –34 –27 Sunflower 17 1.20 20 –15 –7


Victoria

In Victoria, below average rainfall across the major cropping regions in summer and early to mid autumn has generally reduced soil moisture levels to well below average. These low levels of soil moisture and the relatively dry start to the winter crop planting window led many producers to increase the area sown to cereals at the expense of canola.

Producers responded to favourable rainfall in late May and early June to finish winter crop planting in most regions. However, areas of the Western District could still plant some wheat, barley and canola well into winter.

Recent rainfall and the outlook for above average rainfall over winter have improved winter crop prospects for 2013–14. The Bureau of Meteorology’s three-month rainfall outlook (June to August) suggests a 60 per cent to 65 per cent chance of exceeding median rainfall in the Mallee, northern Wimmera and North Central regions and a 50 per cent to 55 per cent chance of exceeding median rainfall in the southern Wimmera and Western Districts.


14

The area planted to winter crops in Victoria is forecast to fall by 4 per cent in 2013–14 to 3.4 million hectares. Assuming favourable seasonal conditions lead to an increase in yields, winter crop production is forecast to increase by 7 per cent to around 6 million tonnes.

The area planted to wheat is forecast to rise by 3 per cent in 2013–14 to around 1.6 million hectares, largely driven by the switch of some land from canola to cereals production. Wheat production is forecast to increase by 14 per cent to around 3.1 million tonnes, driven by the increase in planted area and a forecast increase in yields.

The area planted to barley is forecast to increase by 2 per cent in 2013–14 to around 885 000 hectares. Like wheat, the forecast increase in area planted to barley reflects the switch of some land from canola to cereals production. Barley production is forecast to rise by 12 per cent in 2013–14 to around 1.8 million tonnes, largely reflecting a forecast increase in yields.

The area planted to canola is forecast to fall by 33 per cent in 2013–14 to around 390 000 hectares. While canola prices have been favourable in recent months, insufficient rainfall over summer and autumn and low levels of soil moisture have driven an expected fall in the area planted to canola. Canola production is forecast to decline by 31 per cent in 2013–14 to around 538 000 tonnes, largely reflecting the forecast fall in planted area.

Table 9 Winter crop forecasts, 2013–14, Victoria


2012–13

Production change

from 2012–13 ’000 ha t/ha kt % %

Wheat 1 630 1.87 3 050 3 14 Barley 885 1.98 1 750 2 12 Canola 390 1.38 538 –33 –31


South Australia

Rainfall during March increased the levels of upper layer soil moisture in most major cropping regions in South Australia. However, soil moisture deficiencies remained in parts of the Southeast and Mallee following below average rainfall in these regions. In contrast, the Eyre Peninsula experienced a particularly good start to the season with rainfall during March and April generally average to above average.

The planting of winter crops is now largely complete, except for in the Southeast and Mallee where drier conditions caused planting delays. However, the planting window in the Southeast is slightly later than other parts of South Australia and rainfall during late May and early June was favourable for planting winter crops.

Lower layer soil moisture levels are generally low across the major cropping regions of South Australia and rainfall during the growing season will be critical to crop development. The three month rainfall outlook from the Bureau of Meteorology (June to August) suggests a 55 per cent to 65 per cent chance of exceeding median rainfall in most winter cropping regions of South Australia.

The total area planted to winter crops in South Australia is forecast to remain largely unchanged in 2013–14 at around 3.9 million hectares. Assuming favourable seasonal conditions lead to above average yields, total winter crop production is forecast to rise by 8 per cent to 7.1 million tonnes.

The area planted to wheat is forecast to increase by 3 per cent in 2013–14 to 2.2 million hectares. Some of the forecast increase in the area planted to wheat is expected to come from a fall in the area planted to canola. Wheat production is forecast to rise by 12 per cent to around 4.1 million tonnes, reflecting the increase in planted area and a forecast increase in yields.


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The area planted to barley is forecast to remain largely unchanged in 2013–14 at around 960 000 hectares. Barley production is forecast to increase by 7 per cent to around 2 million tonnes, driven by a forecast increase in yields.

The area planted to canola is forecast to fall by 18 per cent in 2013–14 to 238 000 hectares, following a record area planted to canola last season. The fall in canola area is largely driven by insufficient rainfall over summer and autumn and low levels of soil moisture. Canola production is forecast to decline by 17 per cent to 336 000 tonnes.

Table 10 Winter crop forecasts, 2013–14, South Australia


2012–13

Production change

from 2012–13 ’000 ha t/ha kt % %

Wheat 2 224 1.85 4 111 3 12 Barley 960 2.04 1 954 0 7 Canola 238 1.41 336 –18 –17


Western Australia

Autumn rainfall was mixed across the West Australian cropping zone. Rainfall observed in March and May was generally average to very much above average. However, below average rainfall fell in most regions during April.

Although mixed, the seasonal conditions over autumn maintained favourable levels of soil moisture over April and May.

The Bureau of Meteorology estimates a 45 per cent to 55 per cent chance of exceeding median rainfall from June to August 2013 in Western Australia. Given the generally sandy soils across the West Australian cropping zone, sufficient and timely rainfall during the growing season will be critical to crop development.

Total winter crop area is forecast to increase by 2 per cent in 2013–14 to 7.8 million hectares. The forecast increase reflects producers increasing area in response to favourable returns and the good season opening. Assuming favourable seasonal conditions lead to an increase in yields, total winter crop production is forecast to increase by 25 per cent to 13.6 million tonnes following the very dry season in 2012–13.

The area planted to wheat is forecast to increase by 3 per cent in 2013–14 to 4.9 million hectares, largely reflecting a response by producers to favourable wheat prices. Wheat production is forecast to increase by 29 per cent 8.8 million tonnes, driven by a forecast increase in yields and in planted area.

The area planted to barley is forecast to increase marginally in 2013–14 to 1.1 million hectares. Barley production is forecast to increase by 12 per cent to around 2.2 million tonnes, reflecting a forecast increase in yields from the below average yields in 2012–13.

The area planted to canola is forecast to increase by 6 per cent in 2013–14 to a record 1.2 million hectares. This increase reflects favourable returns to planting canola and a favourable opening to the season. Canola production is forecast to increase by 16 per cent to 1.4 million tonnes, which if realised would be a Western Australian record.

The area planted to lupins is forecast to decline by 10 per cent in 2013–14 to 274 000 hectares, which largely reflects producers’ preference for canola over lupins because of the high returns to canola. However, favourable seasonal conditions are assumed to lead to an increase in the average yield and lupin production is forecast to more than double in 2013–14 to 635 000 tonnes.


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Table 11 Winter crop forecasts, 2013–14, Western Australia



’000 ha t/ha kt % % Wheat 4 945 1.78 8 807 3 29 Barley 1 110 1.97 2 190 1 12 Canola 1 176 1.23 1 446 6 16 Lupins 274 2.32 635 –10 115


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Table 12 Australian crop production

Area planted Yield Production average a 2011–12 2012–13 s 2013–14 f average a 2011–12 2012–13 s 2013–14 f average a 2011–12 2012–13 s 2013–14 f

’000 ha ’000 ha ’000 ha ’000 ha t/ha t/ha t/ha t/ha kt kt kt kt Winter crops Wheat 13 612 13 902 13 243 13 677 1.80 2.15 1.67 1.86 24 530 29 905 22 079 25 399 Barley 4 103 3 718 3 680 3 752 1.92 2.21 1.84 1.98 7 767 8 221 6 761 7 417 Canola 2 179 2 461 2 970 2 454 1.21 1.39 1.31 1.32 2 687 3 427 3 898 3 230 Chickpeas 488 456 564 488 1.19 1.48 1.27 1.40 566 673 713 683 Faba beans 154 151 203 178 1.68 1.77 1.86 1.89 264 268 377 337 Field peas 286 249 281 261 1.16 1.38 1.14 1.39 330 342 320 363 Lentils 155 173 164 166 1.29 1.67 1.12 1.31 212 288 184 219 Lupins 633 689 450 417 1.19 1.42 1.02 1.92 756 982 459 801 Oats b 789 731 668 747 1.47 1.73 1.57 1.49 1 152 1 262 1 048 1 116 Triticale 253 145 258 216 1.64 1.97 1.66 1.76 395 285 429 380 Summer crops Grain sorghum 700 659 565 627 3.40 3.40 3.05 3.36 2 433 2 239 1 721 2 108 Cottonseed c 325 600 442 445 2.69 2.82 3.17 3.16 833 1 694 1 403 1 407 Cotton lint c 325 600 442 445 1.90 2.00 2.24 2.24 589 1 198 992 995 Rice (paddy) 41 103 116 110 9.09 8.91 10.01 9.06 383 919 1 160 997 Corn (maize) 65 70 81 67 5.86 6.47 6.13 6.12 380 451 496 410 Sunflower 41 40 28 37 1.29 1.17 1.19 1.21 52 47 34 45

a Five-year average to 2012–13 for winter crops and to 2011–12 for summer crops. b Area harvested for grain. c Cotton area is estimated harvested area. f ABARES forecast. s ABARES estimate.

Note: The crop year refers to crops planted during the 12 months to 31 March. Slight discrepancies may appear between tables as a result of including of the Australian Capital Territory and Northern Territory in the

Australian totals. Rice, cottonseed and cotton lint include northern dry and wet season crops

Sources: ABARES, Australian Bureau of Statistics; Pulse Australia

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Table 13 State production, major crops

New South Wales Victoria Queensland South Australia Western Australia Tasmania area prod. area prod. area prod. area prod. area prod. area prod.

’000 ha kt ’000 ha kt ’000 ha kt ’000 ha kt ’000 ha kt ’000 ha kt Winter crops Wheat 2013–14 f 3 900 7 605 1 630 3 050 970 1 795 2 224 4 111 4 945 8 807 8 32 2012–13 s 3 750 7 105 1 590 2 671 950 1 748 2 160 3 672 4 785 6 850 8 33 2011–12 3 868 8 473 1 669 3 943 953 1 886 2 249 4 525 5 156 11 045 7 32 Five-year average to 2012–13 3 948 7 676 1 677 3 156 958 1 704 2 195 4 105 4 826 7 858 8 32 Barley 2013–14 f 700 1 330 885 1 750 90 167 960 1 954 1 110 2 190 7 25 2012–13 s 660 1 247 865 1 557 85 157 960 1 824 1 102 1 950 8 25 2011–12 673 1 425 831 2 005 80 191 881 1 816 1 246 2 761 6 23 Five-year average to 2012–13 828 1 510 922 1 767 84 156 975 1 941 1 286 2 364 9 29 Canola 2013–14 f 650 910 390 538 0 0 238 336 1 176 1 446 0 0 2012–13 s 990 1 465 580 777 0 0 290 406 1 110 1 250 0 0 2011–12 729 1 092 477 689 1 1 283 413 969 1 232 1 1 Five-year average to 2012–13 559 774 379 501 2 1 231 328 1 007 1 081 1 1 Lupins 2013–14 f 57 66 28 28 0 0 58 72 274 635 0 0 2012–13 s 58 63 29 26 0 0 61 74 303 295 0 0 2011–12 79 84 46 42 1 1 63 73 501 782 0 0 Five-year average to 2012–13 82 104 38 37 0 0 59 73 454 541 0 0 Oats a Five-year average to 2012–13 276 302 154 234 12 10 80 110 264 489 4 7 Summer crops Grain sorghum 2012–13 s 143 458 1 2 420 1 260 0 0 1 1 0 0 2011–12 221 814 1 3 436 1 416 0 0 1 2 0 0 2010–11 197 748 1 2 435 1 183 0 0 1 1 0 0 Five-year average to 2011–12 217 866 1 1 481 1 563 0 0 1 1 0 0 Cottonseed b 2012–13 s 284 927 0 0 159 476 0 0 0 0 0 0 2011–12 358 1 041 0 0 241 650 0 0 1 2 0 0 2010–11 348 805 0 0 242 464 0 0 0 0 0 0 Five-year average to 2011–12 192 518 0 0 133 314 0 0 0 0 0 0

a Area harvested for grain; current season estimates, by state, are no longer produced because of difficulties in obtaining consistent data at the state level. b Cottonseed area is estimated harvested area. Includes northern

dry season crop. f ABARES forecast. s ABARES estimate.

Note: Zero area or production estimates may appear as a result of rounding to the nearest whole number, if production or area estimates are less than 500 tonnes or 500 hectares.

Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics

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Table 14 State production, other crops

New South Wales Victoria Queensland South Australia Western Australia Other a area prod. area prod. area prod. area prod. area prod. area prod.

’000 ha kt ’000 ha kt ’000 ha kt ’000 ha kt ’000 ha kt ’000 ha kt Winter crops Chickpeas 2013–14 f 215 284 48 54 200 310 20 24 6 11 0 0 2012–13 s 280 327 49 52 208 309 20 22 6 4 0 0 2011–12 244 361 48 72 149 221 11 14 5 6 0 0 Five-year average to 2012–13 276 318 43 43 153 188 11 13 5 4 0 0 Faba beans 2013–14 f 29 72 66 121 0 0 80 134 4 10 0 0 2012–13 s 54 123 67 126 0 0 78 122 4 6 0 0 2011–12 43 67 49 99 2 3 55 95 3 4 0 0 Five-year average to 2012–13 41 71 47 78 1 1 62 109 3 4 0 0 Field peas 2013–14 f 50 70 51 70 0 0 114 154 46 69 0 0 2012–13 s 53 66 52 65 0 0 114 130 62 59 0 0 2011–12 41 62 38 60 0 0 110 150 60 71 0 0 Five-year average to 2012–13 39 41 58 66 0 0 117 155 73 69 0 0 Lentils 2013–14 f 1 1 79 93 0 0 87 125 0 0 0 0 2012–13 s 1 1 77 80 0 0 87 103 0 0 0 0 2011–12 1 1 77 125 0 0 95 162 0 0 0 0 Five-year average to 2012–13 0 0 78 87 0 0 77 124 0 0 0 0 Summer crops Corn (maize) 2012–13 s 30 261 2 15 48 216 0 0 1 4 0 0 2011–12 21 207 4 21 43 217 1 2 0 2 0 0 2010–11 23 171 2 12 37 171 0 1 0 2 0 0 Five-year average to 2011–12 20 168 2 10 42 197 0 1 1 3 0 0 Sunflower 2012–13 s 10 12 1 1 17 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 2011–12 20 25 0 0 20 22 0 0 0 0 0 0 2010–11 26 32 1 1 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 Five-year average to 2011–12 25 33 0 0 15 19 0 0 0 0 0 0 Rice b 2012–13 s 115 1 152 0 4 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 2011–12 102 912 1 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2010–11 75 716 0 2 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 Five-year average to 2011–12 41 380 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0

a Refers to Northern Territory for rice. For all other crops, refers to Tasmania. b Paddy. Includes northern dry season and wet season crops. f ABARES forecast. s ABARES estimates.

Note: Zero area or production estimates may appear as a result of rounding to the nearest whole number, if production or area estimates are less than 500 tonnes or 500 hectares.

Sources: Australian Bureau of Statistics; Pulse Australia


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Table 15 Australian supply and disposal of wheat, oilseeds and pulses

2008–09 2009–10 2010–11 2011–12 2012–13 s 2013–14 f kt kt kt kt kt kt

Wheat Production 21 420 21 834 27 410 29 905 22 079 25 399 Apparent domestic use 7 306 4 999 5 663 6 330 5 734 5 837 – seed 694 675 698 666 684 678 – other a 6 612 4 324 4 965 5 664 5 050 5 160 Exports b 14 707 14 791 18 584 24 656 20 100 19 600 Imports b 12 15 12 10 12 10 Canola Production 1 844 1 907 2 359 3 427 3 898 3 230 Apparent domestic use a 778 721 810 871 650 861 Exports 1 067 1 187 1 549 2 557 3 250 2 370 Pulses Production – lupins 708 823 808 982 459 801 – field peas 238 356 395 342 320 363 – chickpeas 443 487 513 673 713 683 Apparent domestic use a – lupins 164 816 518 607 409 551 – field peas 102 194 92 127 120 138 – chickpeas 40 54 22 1 1 1 Exports – lupins 304 353 186 565 50 250 – field peas 137 162 302 215 202 225 – chickpeas 506 492 461 598 714 652

a In principal, calculated as a residual: production plus imports less exports less any observed or assumed change in stocks less seed use.

b Includes grain and grain equivalent of wheat flour. f ABARES forecast. s ABARES estimate.

Note: Production, use, trade and stock data are on a marketing year basis: October–September for wheat; November–October for canola, peas

and lupins. Production may not equal the sum of apparent domestic use and exports in any one year because of reductions or increases in

stocks. The export data refer to marketing year export periods, so are not comparable with financial year export figures published elsewhere.

Sources: ABARES; Australian Bureau of Statistics; Pulse Australia


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Table 16 Australian supply and disposal of coarse grains

2008–09 2009–10 2010–11 2011–12 2012–13 s 2013–14 f kt kt kt kt kt kt

Barley Production 7 997 7 865 7 995 8 221 6 761 7 417 Apparent domestic use 4 105 3 231 2 632 2 075 2 404 2 562 – seed 199 166 167 167 169 172 – other a 3 906 3 065 2 464 1 908 2 235 2 390 Export 3 891 4 634 5 363 6 146 4 357 4 855 – feed barley 2 254 2 668 3 601 3 758 2 435 2 858 – malting barley 980 1 248 1 062 1 619 1 214 1 275 – malt (grain equivalent) 657 719 700 769 708 722 Oats Production 1 160 1 162 1 128 1 262 1 048 1 116 Apparent domestic use 999 954 1 009 1 088 944 1 006 – seed 41 40 35 33 32 32 – other a 958 914 974 1 055 912 974 Export 161 208 118 174 105 110 Triticale Production 363 545 355 285 429 380 Apparent domestic use 363 545 355 285 429 380 – seed 13 9 7 13 11 11 – other a 350 536 348 272 418 370 Grain sorghum Production 2 692 1 508 1 935 2 239 1 721 2 108 Apparent domestic use 1 694 1 167 984 1 060 955 1 150 – seed 2 3 3 3 3 3 – other a 1 691 1 164 981 1 057 951 1 147 Export b 957 998 341 950 1 179 766 Corn (maize) Production 376 328 357 451 496 410 Apparent domestic use 363 321 312 314 398 336 – seed 1 1 1 1 1 1 – other a 362 320 311 313 397 335 Export b 67 13 9 46 106 100 Total coarse grains Production 12 587 11 407 11 769 12 457 10 455 11 431 Apparent domestic use 7 524 6 217 5 291 4 821 5 129 5 435 – seed 256 219 214 217 216 220 – other a 7 268 5 999 5 078 4 604 4 913 5 215 Export 5 077 5 853 5 831 7 317 5 746 5 831

a In principle, calculated as a residual: production plus imports less exports less any observed or assumed change in stocks less seed use. For

grain sorghum and corn (maize), previous year’s production is used as harvest occurs at the end of the marketing year. b Presentation of

export volumes for grain sorghum and corn (maize) in this table was changed in December 2011. Export volumes are now shown in the year

of actual export, which is typically one year after production. f ABARES forecast. s ABARES estimate.

Note: Production, use and export data are on a marketing year basis: marketing years are November–October for barley, oats and triticale;

March–February for grain sorghum and corn (maize). The sum of domestic use and exports may differ from production as a result of changes

in grain stock levels.

Sources: ABARES; Australian Bureau of Statistics; Pulse Australia


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Table 17 Grains and oilseeds prices

2011 Jul–Sep

2011 Oct–Dec

2012 Jan–Mar

2012 Apr–Jun

2012 Jul–Sep

2012 Oct–Dec

2013 Jan–Mar

A$/t A$/t A$/t A$/t A$/t A$/t A$/t Wheat Domestic: feed del. Sydney 243 219 212 228 299 306 314 International: US no.2 hard red winter, fob Gulf a 309 292 282 281 353 357 321 Barley Domestic: 2 row feed, del. Sydney 228 205 195 202 262 305 301 Export: feed b 267 274 242 251 258 275 294 Export: malting b 301 323 255 275 262 301 319 International: feed, fob Rouen a 267 254 260 270 292 304 288 Grain sorghum Domestic: feed del. Sydney 252 221 203 197 254 289 289 Export b 279 290 264 248 249 286 268 Oats Domestic: feed, del. Sydney 202 190 196 204 222 234 232 Export b 305 332 292 264 307 294 348 International: CME oats nearby contract 230 218 207 221 295 361 363 Corn (maize) Domestic: feed, del. Sydney 319 306 296 292 301 330 341 International: US no.2 yellow corn, fob Gulf a 289 267 266 270 320 309 295 Oilseeds Domestic: canola, del. Melbourne 540 514 492 536 557 566 550 Domestic: sunflowers, del. Melbourne 550 520 520 520 520 520 520 International: soybeans, US cif Rotterdam a 529 484 493 569 651 585 570 Pulses Domestic: lupins, del. Kwinana 244 200 194 247 305 336 328 Domestic: chickpeas, del. Melbourne 453 514 491 613 640 514 518 Domestic: field peas, del. Melbourne 284 280 298 345 369 343 370 Export: chickpeas b 523 596 569 634 710 624 600 Export: field peas b 347 390 367 409 418 411 425

a Average of daily offer prices made in US$, converted to A$ using quarterly average of daily exchange rates. b Export unit values reflect the average price received for grain exported over the quarter, not current market prices. These prices are the average unit value (free on board) of Australian exports recorded by the Australian Bureau of Statistics. A long lag time can exist between when exporters negotiate prices and when the product is exported. Note: Prices used in these calculations exclude GST.

Documents

Australian crop reportdata.daff.gov.au/data/warehouse/aucrpd9abcc003/aucrpd9...Australian crop report June 2013 ABARES 2 Overview Conditions for planting winter crops are generally