Upload
others
View
2
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Autonomous Driving Anders EuGensson Volvo Cars
1
Global Trends
• Urbanisation
• Growing mega cities
• Air quality major health
problem
• Traffic accident global health
issue
• Time for commuting
• Desire for time efficiency
• Desire for constant
connectivity
3
Why AD? –
customer perspective
• What is it that modern people
are lacking?
• Time
• Constant connectivity
What if we can create a car that
drives itself and enables you to
make the time in the car
useful?
Societal challenges
Traffic challenges
Lost time
AD will be important for
a sustainable mobility
Shaping The Future Mobility
5
Outlook of AD development
2020 20XX
Highway commute
Low speed environments
Urban streets
Less complicated
Median separated
No pedestrians, bikes
No intersections
Low speed (<25mph)
Parking
Pod vehicles
Shuttles
Enclosed environments
Full complexity
Mix of road users
Intersections
<50mph
Autonomous Drive During next 10 years we will have a scattered implementation of Autonomous Drive
DRIVER RESPONSIBLE DRIVER NOT RESPONSIBLE
No need for back-up systems, rely on driver if
difficult
2015 2020 -> 2015-2020
No driver to hand over control to in a critical
situation: need of back-up systems
Driver support Steps towards full AD Highly AV
Extended support offers without back-up systems
Driver monitoring
Pilots to pioneer Autonomous Drive in restricted use
C26
Our Road to Fully Autonomous Cars
?
Full AD Driver free to do what he/she
wants i.e. Volvo responsible
Semi AD Driver to supervise,monitor and intervene whenever
needed i.e. driver responsible
Pilot Assist
ACC
Drive Me
Concept
2006 2014 2017 2020
Leve
l of d
rive
r su
pp
ort
Auto
pilot
Ti
m
e
• The worlds first large scale project for self-driving cars
• Project started in 2014
• Self-driving cars on public roads in 2017
• 100 customer cars
• 30 miles highway/ max speed 50 mph
• Automatic parking in 2015
• Project cost: 70 million GBP.
• SAE level 4/ NHTSA level 3
DriveMe – For Sustainable Mobility
• How to improving traffic
efficiency, traffic environment
and road safety
• Infrastructure aspects
• Suitable traffic situations
• Customer expectations on
autonomous vehicles
• How surrounding road users
interact with a self-driving car
• Legal aspects
The Drive Me project will give us knowledge about
New Ground Breaking Technology
• Camera
• Radar
• Laser
• Map data
• Cloud connection
• Traffic Control Centre
Issuer: Shilan Demir; Security Class: Proprietary
Autonomous Cars
12
“Speeding officer? You’ll
have to ask the self-
driving car.”
AD Cars will:
• Be legal
• Be cautious
• Be polite
How should we tell
dad we’re taking
away the keys to
the self-driving
car?
Will offer individual mobility
for more people:
• Blind people
• Disabled
Technology may be used
also for heavy vehicles and
public transportation:
• Truck platooning
• Intermodal transports with
a combination of
individual mobility and
public transportation.
Autonomous Cars:
Will We Own Cars in the Future?
13
• Order the car you need when
you need it from a car pool
• Performance and equipment
to be paid for when used.
• The car will come to you.
• You drive it to where you
want to go and it will take
itself to where it needs to be.
• Manufacturers will create a
life-long relationship with the
customers.
14
Future of Autonomous Vehicles
15
• 10 years from today: • A few cars with autonomous driving systems to be offered to regular
customers
• Limited use. Only certain stretches of highway.
• A few locations globally.
• Autonom parking offered on a few places.
• Assistance systems on all new vehicles.
• 15 years from today: • Most car models offer the basic levels of autonomy.
• Many locations will be able to offer the ability to go autonomous.
• Autonomous driving also in city centres.
• Autonomous self-rearranging and parking available to a high degree.
The majority of all cars have autonomous assistance systems.
• 20 years from today: • The first fully autonomous vehicles on the market.
• Almost all newly produced vehicles have autonomous systems built
in.
• All parking is done away from city centres.
• Most people do not own a carl. Car pooles and leasing dominates.
• 50% of the vehicle fleet with some level of autonomous function.
Effect on the Insurance Industry
16
• With the help from autonomous assistance systems and
autonomous vehicles, most of the crashes, including all
minor crashes will disappear.
• The remaining part of the crashes will be from interaction
with older, non autonomous vehicles and some cases of total
collaps of the autonomous systems.
• 10 years from today:
• A reduction by 25% of the collision claims.
• 15 years from today:
• 50% reduction in collision claims.
• 20 years from today:
• 80% reduction in collision claims.
The Car – The Living Room of the Future?
• How do the
citizens of the
future want to be
mobile?
• What will be the
needs for mobility?
MB CES 2014
GM prediction of the car of the
future from the 60s
‘The winning automakers of the future will be
those that most fully embrace effortlessness
in transportation.’ Chris Paukert
Volvo Concept
C26
10/31/2016 18 ISSUER: ERIK COELINGH; 96020; SECURITY CLASS: CONFIDENTIAL
“Volvo will
assume
liability for its
autonomous
technology,
when used
properly.”
• Be safe, very cautious, polite and keeping the speed limits.
• Improve traffic flow:
• No crashes, no disturbancies
• Will cooperate with other cars.
• Set speed to optimize traffic flow
• Offer improvements to urban planning
• Autonomous parking
• Self-ranging cars
• Open up for improved car sharing
• Cars on demand coming to you
• Create new business models
• May have consequences for the insurance industry
• Merge public transportation and individual mobility
•Save people’s time and uncomplicating their lives!
Autonomous Cars Will:
In the Future!!
20
Thank you! Any questions?