Avon Maitland District School Board Enrolment Projections ......1,666 1,593 1571.5-154 -8.8% 1.23 1.28 1.43484225 0.13 10.9% 2007/08 431 398 365 529 510 523. Avon Maitland District

AvonMaitlandDistrictSchoolBoard

EnrolmentProjections-ElementaryPanel

PA01:StratfordArea(SNSS/SCSS)

Historical Historical Historical Historical Historical Historical Current

GRADES 2001/ 2002/ 2003/ 2004/ 2005/ 2006/ 2007/ Absolute Percentage Absolute

(Headcount) 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Change Change Change

JK 273 317 250 248 335 262 274 -12 -4.2% 33

SK 362 333 359 311 288 374 289 12 3.3% -72

1 415 386 349 384 320 299 386.5 -116 -28.0% -3

2 391 392 364 337 374 319 299 -72 -18.4% 14

3 343 389 370 365 329 378 310 35 10.2% -58

4 358 343 386 374 367 327 377 -31 -8.5% -10

5 386 356 343 383 363 367 326.5 -19 -4.8% 16

6 434 381 360 336 392 370 364.5 -65 -14.9% -65

7 417 443 414 395 364 411 386 -7 -1.6% -58

8 394 411 456 415 387 365 412 -30 -7.5% 53

SpecialEducation 56 61 63 57 39 37 37.5

Alternative/Other 51 43 46 40 37 33 36

TotalEnrolment 3,878 3,853 3,757 3,642 3,593 3,540 3497.5 -338 -8.7% -220

RatioofSenior(6-8)toJunior(JK-1) 1.19 1.19 1.28 1.22 1.21 1.22 1.22497366 0.04 3.3% -0.02

2001/02 2004/05 2007/08

1,050 1,036 958 942 943 935 949

1,245 1,234 1,230 1,146 1,143 1,145 1,163

Historical Historical Historical Historical Historical Historical Historical Historical Current Year1 Year2 Year3

GRADES 2007/ 2008/ 2009/ 2010/ 2011/ 2012/ 2013/ 2014/ 2015/ 2016/ 2017/ 2018/

(Headcount) 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

JK 274 290 259 280 294 306 285 308 267 293 288 282

SK 289 318 319 287 302 301 327 304 333 288 313 304

1 387 306 308 324 296 312 312 335 310 334 287 313

2 299 379 304 325 333 290 317 319 333 329 333 286

3 310 302 380 313 320 334 293 323 320 349 325 329

4 377 315 307 381 317 325 341 296 324 321 348 324

5 327 383 315 313 383 323 320 342 299 344 320 347

6 365 325 383 327 305 383 329 322 346 315 342 318

7 386 402 339 410 353 334 408 354 344 364 334 362

8 412 399 405 370 417 352 341 419 364 346 371 340

SpecialEducation 38 21 21 23 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Alternative/Other 36 29 32 32 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

TotalExistingCommunityPupils 3,498 3,469 3,372 3,386 3,320 3,260 3,273 3,322 3,240 3,283 3,260 3,206

PupilsExpectedFromNewHousing/Growth 18 36

TotalPupils(Existing+New) 3,498 3,469 3,372 3,386 3,320 3,260 3,273 3,322 3,240 3,283 3,278 3,241

YeartoYearEnrolmentPercentageChange -0.8% -2.8% 0.4% -2.0% -1.8% 0.4% 1.5% -2.5% 1.3% -0.2% -1.1%

ProjectedNewDwellingUnits 141 281 422

AverageElementaryYieldForNewUnits 0.06 0.08

RatioofSenior(6-8)toJunior(JK-1) 1.22 1.23 1.27 1.24 1.21 1.16 1.17 1.16 1.16 1.12



TotalProjectedEnrolmentBySchool PA01:StratfordArea(SNSS/SCSS)

tions On-The- Historical Historical Historical Historical Historical Historical Historical Historical Current

Ground 2007/ 2008/ 2009/ 2010/ 2011/ 2012/ 2013/ 2014/ 2015/

Capacity 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

AnneHathawayPublicSchool 542.0 468 444 411 412 374 364 392 385 390

AvonPublicSchool 377.0 276 256 264 253 272 287 287 310 304

BedfordPublicSchool 449.0 384 403 453 464 495 462 387 414 425

DownieCentralPublicSchool 268.0 287 290 290 282 270 275 272 280 271

HamletPublicSchool 305.0 251 248 233 244 218 224 217 206 194

NorthEasthopePublicSchool 268.0 160 158 141 146 159 153 160 152 151

RomeoPublicSchool 233.0 164 143 135 131 134 143 160 158 145

ShakespearePublicSchool 282.0 200 218 221 207 197 202 197 186 186

SprucedalePublicSchool 236.0 228 231 221 221 214 213 204 213 213

StratfordCentralPublicSchool 322.0 285 295 282 275 277 278 299 309 302

StratfordNorthwesternPublicSchool 161.0 255 234 200 234 207 155 184 206 167

CentralPerthElementarySchool 371.0 285 290 273 259 247 238 237 233 217

MilvertonPublicSchool 386.0 259 259 248 258 256 266 277 270 275

4,315.0 3,498 3,469 3,372 3,386 3,320 3,260 3,273 3,322 3,240

AMDSBENROLMENTPROJECTIONS-2016/17UPDATE

HISTORICALENROLMENT EnrolmentChange EnrolmentC

TOTALPUPILS(Existing+New)

2001/02-2006/07 2006/07-2011/12

HISTORICAL

SchoolName

Percentage Absolute Percentage

Change Change Change

12.4% -1 -0.3%

-19.3% -14 -4.6%

-1.0% 38 12.8%

4.4% -4 -1.2%

-15.2% 29 9.1%

-3.1% 4 1.3%

4.4% -39 -10.2%

-17.5% 10 3.3%

-14.0% 11 3.1%

14.4% -71 -17.0%

-6.2% -37 -1.1%

-1.6% -0.08 -7.0%

Year4 Year5 Year6 Year7 Year8 Year9 Year10 Year11 Year12 Year13 Year14 Year15

2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031

265 266 287 283 280 278 276 275 275 275 275 275

298 279 280 302 299 295 293 291 290 290 290 290

305 298 279 281 302 299 295 293 291 290 290 290

311 303 296 277 280 301 297 293 291 289 289 289

283 307 299 293 274 276 297 293 290 288 286 285

328 283 307 299 292 273 275 296 293 289 287 285

323 327 281 305 297 291 272 274 295 291 288 286

346 321 325 280 304 295 289 271 272 294 290 287

333 366 337 344 296 321 312 307 286 287 310 306

369 340 373 344 351 301 327 318 313 291 293 316

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

3,160 3,090 3,064 3,008 2,975 2,930 2,934 2,913 2,897 2,885 2,898 2,909

53 71 89 135 169 203 236 270 294 318 342 366

3,214 3,161 3,154 3,144 3,144 3,132 3,170 3,183 3,191 3,204 3,241 3,276

-0.9% -1.6% -0.2% -0.3% 0.0% -0.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 1.2% 1.1%

562 703 838 974 1,109 1,245 1,381 1,475 1,569 1,664 1,758 1,853

0.10 0.10 0.11 0.14 0.15 0.16 0.17 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.20

Year1 Year2 Year3 Year4 Year5 Year6 Year7 Year8 Year9 Year10 Year11 Year12 Year13 Year14 Year15

2016/ 2017/ 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031

390 386 396 403 396 392 386 394 391 395 387 390 384 383 382

323 312 311 310 304 302 307 308 315 321 328 334 344 350 356

440 461 461 454 463 471 473 484 485 479 490 495 495 496 498

261 254 246 240 238 236 235 239 239 247 256 259 260 264 269

184 184 179 166 160 154 153 160 158 156 159 158 161 160 160

158 162 160 156 148 145 142 136 138 138 139 139 142 142 143

144 140 128 126 121 114 113 114 116 121 120 118 117 116 116

184 184 180 180 177 177 178 178 176 177 174 180 179 178 177

203 201 182 185 184 185 187 187 187 183 184 189 196 203 206

311 286 285 287 296 301 299 276 268 286 283 274 273 285 286

156 171 182 184 181 186 193 188 184 190 195 195 196 203 207

233 230 224 221 208 200 193 197 196 195 192 194 196 196 203

296 306 306 302 285 292 285 281 278 280 274 267 261 264 272

3,283 3,278 3,241 3,214 3,161 3,154 3,144 3,144 3,132 3,170 3,183 3,191 3,204 3,241 3,276

EnrolmentChangeentChange

2011/12-2016/172006/07-2011/12

PROJECTED



PA02:CentralHuronArea(CHSS)

Historical Historical Historical Historical

GRADES 2001/ 2002/ 2003/ 2004/

(Headcount) 2002 2003 2004 2005

JK 121 172 135 146

SK 174 149 195 142

1 183 176 156 200

2 164 183 175 164

3 186 166 177 167

4 188 174 160 178

5 163 189 172 164

6 180 161 179 174

7 196 176 160 181

8 177 195 178 164

SpecialEducation 14 19 23 25

Alternative/Other 4 2 0 0

TotalEnrolment 1,747 1,760 1,708 1,703

RatioofSenior(6-8)toJunior(JK-1) 1.16 1.07 1.06 1.06

2001/02 2004/05

477 496 486 487

552 532 517 519


GRADES 2007/ 2008/ 2009/ 2010/

(Headcount) 2008 2009 2010 2011

JK 113 129 119 121

SK 129 116 129 129

1 123 127 119 127

2 165 126 122 116

3 150 158 124 120

4 193 147 147 121

5 165 193 144 145

6 173 163 189 143

7 177 179 156 189


HISTORICALENROLMENT

HISTORI

8 174 171 172 157



TotalExistingCommunityPupils 1,572 1,518 1,430 1,376

PupilsExpectedFromNewHousing/Growth

TotalPupils(Existing+New) 1,572 1,518 1,430 1,376

YeartoYearEnrolmentPercentageChange -3.4% -5.8% -3.7%

ProjectedNewDwellingUnits

AverageElementaryYieldForNewUnits




TotalProjectedEnrolmentBySchool PA02:CentralHuronArea(CHSS)

On-The- Historical

Ground 2007/

Capacity 2008

HuronCentennialPublicSchool 424.0 447

SeaforthPublicSchool 400.0 355

Blyth(Closed) 187

ClintonPublicSchool 331.0 257

HullettCentralPublicSchool 259.0 165

Holmesville(Closed) 161

SchoolName

1,414.0 1,572TOTALPUPILS(Existing+New)

Historical Historical Current

2005/ 2006/ 2007/ Absolute Percentage

2006 2007 2008 Change Change

127 120 113 -1 -0.4%

155 119 129 -55 -31.4%

149 159 122.5 -25 -13.4%

191 147 164.5 -17 -10.1%

153 192 150 6 3.2%

172 160 193 -28 -14.9%

175 174 164.5 11 6.4%

170 169 172.5 -11 -5.8%

180 170 176.5 -26 -13.0%

180 171 174 -6 -3.4%

16 14 12

0 0 0

1,666 1,593 1571.5 -154 -8.8%

1.23 1.28 1.43484225 0.13 10.9%

2007/08

431 398 365

529 510 523

Historical Historical Historical Historical Current Year1 Year2

2011/ 2012/ 2013/ 2014/ 2015/ 2016/ 2017/

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

132 116 122 115 105 112 111

124 130 123 128 120 113 115

127 127 130 123 127 124 114

123 126 128 134 120 127 124

116 122 123 128 132 119 125

119 116 119 122 129 133 118

119 117 112 117 117 138 131

148 108 117 116 118 118 138

141 143 106 119 117 122 117

T EnrolmentChange

2001/02-2006/07

TORICAL

180 130 143 110 116 118 121

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

1,329 1,234 1,223 1,212 1,201 1,224 1,214

6

1,329 1,234 1,223 1,212 1,201 1,224 1,221

-3.4% -7.1% -0.9% -0.9% -0.9% 1.9% -0.3%

37 75

0.09

1.22 1.02 0.98 0.94 1.00 1.03

Historical Historical Historical Historical Historical Historical Historical

2008/ 2009/ 2010/ 2011/ 2012/ 2013/ 2014/

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

422 404 377 360 341 366 357

357 333 318 338 314 297 300

187 168 157 154

252 237 239 208 211 276 275

159 155 157 161 265 284 280

141 133 129 108 103

1,518 1,430 1,376 1,329 1,234 1,223 1,212

Absolute Percentage Absolute Percentage

Change Change Change Change

12 10.0% -20 -15.2%

5 4.2% -11 -8.9%

-32 -19.9% -3 -2.4%

-24 -16.3% 4 3.3%

-76 -39.4% 3 2.6%

-41 -25.4% 14 11.8%

-55 -31.4% 19 16.0%

-21 -12.4% -30 -20.3%

-29 -17.1% -19 -13.5%

9 5.3% -62 -34.4%

-264 -16.6% -105 -7.9%

-0.06 -4.6% -0.20 -16.2%

Year3 Year4 Year5 Year6 Year7 Year8 Year9

2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

118 115 105 116 115 115 114

114 122 119 108 120 119 118

116 115 123 120 109 121 120

114 116 115 123 120 109 121

122 112 114 113 121 118 107

124 121 111 114 112 120 117

117 122 119 109 112 110 118

131 117 122 119 109 112 110

136 129 116 121 118 108 111

EnrolmentChangeEnrolmentChange

2011/12-2016/172006/07-2011/12

PROJECTED

116 135 128 115 121 117 108

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

1,208 1,204 1,173 1,159 1,157 1,149 1,146

13 19 26 33 45 52 59

1,221 1,224 1,199 1,191 1,202 1,201 1,204

0.0% 0.3% -2.1% -0.6% 0.9% -0.1% 0.3%

112 149 189 228 268 308 347

0.12 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.17 0.17 0.17

Current Year1 Year2 Year3 Year4 Year5 Year6

2015/ 2016/ 2017/ 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

327 337 335 332 339 334 330

295 306 310 310 308 302 295

297 296 294 306 302 287 285

282 285 281 272 275 275 281

1,201 1,224 1,221 1,221 1,224 1,199 1,191

Year10 Year11 Year12 Year13 Year14 Year15

2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/

2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031

114 113 113 113 113 113

118 117 117 117 117 117

120 119 119 118 118 118

120 120 119 119 118 118

119 118 117 117 116 116

106 119 118 117 116 116

116 105 117 116 115 114

118 116 104 117 116 115

108 117 115 103 116 115

111 107 117 115 103 115

0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0

1,150 1,151 1,156 1,151 1,149 1,159

65 70 76 81 86 91

1,215 1,221 1,232 1,232 1,235 1,251

0.9% 0.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.3% 1.2%

378 408 439 470 500 531

0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17


2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/

2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

343 349 348 353 356 357 364

297 296 297 297 297 293 292

281 274 270 271 274 272 265

282 282 289 295 293 308 311

1,202 1,201 1,204 1,215 1,221 1,232 1,232

Year14 Year15

2029/ 2030/

2030 2031

366 366

296 300

263 262

310 323

1,235 1,251



PA03:SouthPerthArea(DVCI)


GRADES 2001/ 2002/ 2003/ 2004/

(Headcount) 2002 2003 2004 2005

JK 58 66 75 76

SK 83 72 72 78

1 88 88 70 74

2 100 89 84 66

3 93 98 90 86

4 89 92 101 80

5 100 90 96 99

6 103 103 93 94

7 101 100 103 89

8 92 99 103 101



TotalEnrolment 915 905 898 854


2001/02 2004/05

229 225 216 227

295 302 298 284


GRADES 2007/ 2008/ 2009/ 2010/

(Headcount) 2008 2009 2010 2011

JK 79 62 80 73

SK 72 81 70 87

1 66 73 77 69

2 78 61 73 79

3 84 80 63 73

4 72 84 79 67

5 70 72 83 78

6 90 65 76 85

7 85 89 63 77


HISTORICALENROLMENT

HISTORI

8 94 83 87 64



TotalExistingCommunityPupils 788 750 751 752


TotalPupils(Existing+New) 788 750 751 752

YeartoYearEnrolmentPercentageChange -4.7% 0.1% 0.1%






TotalProjectedEnrolmentBySchool PA03:SouthPerthArea(DVCI)

On-The- Historical

Ground 2007/

Capacity 2008

ArthurMeighen(Closed) 260

SouthPerthPublicSchool 337.0 246

St.MarysCentral(Closed) 282

LittleFallsPublicSchool 498.0

St.Mary'sDCVI-Elementary 138.0

SchoolName

950.0 788TOTALPUPILS(Existing+New)




55 67 79 9 15.5%

80 61 72 -22 -26.5%

88 78 66 -11 -11.9%

72 80 78 -20 -19.6%

69 75 83.5 -19 -19.9%

89 69 71.5 -20 -22.5%

79 88 70 -12 -11.6%

97 81 89.5 -22 -21.0%

91 93 84.5 -8 -7.5%

84 88 94 -4 -4.3%

12 6 0

0 0 0

813 785 787.5 -130 -14.2%

1.22 1.27 1.23787529 -0.01 -1.0%

2007/08

222 206 217

272 262 268


2011/ 2012/ 2013/ 2014/ 2015/ 2016/ 2017/

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

70 85 63 71 72 69 64

77 71 86 64 71 72 69

87 78 75 86 66 69 71

70 86 80 77 86 64 68

85 67 86 77 82 86 63

74 85 71 88 71 83 84

66 75 91 72 93 72 83

80 68 83 91 73 92 72

83 85 72 89 88 79 96

T EnrolmentChange

2001/02-2006/07

TORICAL

77 83 83 71 88 90 78

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

769 783 790 786 790 776 748

5

769 783 790 786 790 776 754

2.3% 1.8% 0.9% -0.5% 0.5% -1.8% -2.9%

47 93

0.06

1.03 1.01 1.06 1.14 1.19 1.24


2008/ 2009/ 2010/ 2011/ 2012/ 2013/ 2014/

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

250 260

232 209 189 177 174 163 158

268 282

475 480 486 507 503

88 112 123 120 125

750 751 752 769 783 790 786



3 4.5% -1 -1.4%

16 26.2% -5 -6.5%

10 12.3% -18 -20.7%

-10 -12.5% -6 -8.6%

11 14.1% 1 1.2%

5 7.2% 9 12.2%

-22 -25.0% 6 9.1%

-1 -1.2% 12 15.0%

-10 -10.8% -4 -4.8%

-11 -12.5% 13 16.9%

-16 -2.0% 7 0.9%

-0.25 -19.6% 0.22 21.2%


2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

61 70 72 65 66 66 67

64 61 70 72 65 66 66

68 63 60 69 71 65 65

70 67 62 59 68 70 63

67 69 66 62 59 67 69

62 66 68 65 60 58 66

84 62 66 68 65 60 58

83 85 62 66 68 65 60

75 86 88 65 68 71 68


2011/12-2016/172006/07-2011/12

PROJECTED

94 74 85 86 64 67 69

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

729 703 699 677 654 655 651

11 16 21 27 45 59 73

739 719 721 703 699 713 724

-1.9% -2.8% 0.2% -2.4% -0.6% 2.1% 1.5%

140 186 233 279 326 372 419

0.08 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.14 0.16 0.17


2015/ 2016/ 2017/ 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

159 166 158 150 156 154 149

498 481 455 450 433 427 434

133 129 141 140 130 139 121

790 776 754 739 719 721 703


2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/

2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031

67 68 68 69 70 70

67 67 68 68 69 70

65 66 66 67 68 68

64 64 65 65 66 66

63 63 64 64 65 65

68 62 62 62 63 63

66 68 61 62 62 63

58 66 68 62 62 62

63 60 69 71 64 65

66 62 59 67 69 63

0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0

646 645 649 657 657 656

87 101 115 129 143 157

733 746 764 786 800 813

1.2% 1.8% 2.5% 2.9% 1.8% 1.6%

465 512 558 605 651 698

0.19 0.20 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.23


2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/

2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

141 139 139 140 138 138 141

444 449 461 474 490 506 516

114 125 124 119 119 120 130

699 713 724 733 746 764 786

Year14 Year15

2029/ 2030/

2030 2031

134 134

529 543

137 136

800 813



PA04:WestPerthArea(MDHS)


GRADES 2001/ 2002/ 2003/ 2004/

(Headcount) 2002 2003 2004 2005

JK 62 62 70 68

SK 86 74 81 81

1 82 89 71 78

2 84 84 86 71

3 93 82 86 83

4 102 87 76 81

5 95 98 89 79

6 106 93 96 91

7 104 107 91 90

8 102 106 109 95





2001/02 2004/05

229 224 222 226

311 305 296 276


GRADES 2007/ 2008/ 2009/ 2010/

(Headcount) 2008 2009 2010 2011

JK 62 76 58 80

SK 80 66 86 71

1 83 77 68 90

2 69 81 75 70

3 86 68 84 77

4 81 91 70 87

5 67 82 92 71

6 77 60 81 95

7 78 79 60 89


HISTORICALENROLMENT

HISTORI

8 76 78 81 64






YeartoYearEnrolmentPercentageChange -0.3% 0.0% 3.0%






TotalProjectedEnrolmentBySchool PA04:WestPerthArea(MDHS)

On-The- Historical

Ground 2007/

Capacity 2008

Mitchell(Closed) 273

UpperThamesPublicSchool 735.0 501

MitchellDHS-Elementary 161.0

SchoolName





69 75 62 14 22.0%

76 84 80 -2 -2.3%

83 73 82.5 -9 -11.0%

77 83 69 -1 -1.2%

72 79 86 -15 -15.6%

79 68 80.5 -34 -33.3%

81 79 67 -16 -16.9%

75 82 77 -24 -22.6%

88 77 78 -27 -25.6%

94 85 76 -17 -16.7%

18 12 9.5

9 9 6.5

819 804 773.5 -145 -15.2%

1.13 1.05 1.03125 -0.31 -22.5%

2007/08

228 232 224

256 244 231


2011/ 2012/ 2013/ 2014/ 2015/ 2016/ 2017/

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

80 67 71 66 60 73 58

81 88 66 72 70 62 77

67 79 84 66 72 70 61

87 73 78 81 65 73 69

71 89 66 80 79 68 72

80 72 86 65 77 79 67

87 80 66 89 63 83 78

74 89 79 65 85 63 82

92 74 89 77 64 82 62

T EnrolmentChange

2001/02-2006/07

TORICAL

83 88 73 87 73 68 80

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

802 799 758 748 708 721 707

3

802 799 758 748 708 721 710

1.0% -0.4% -5.1% -1.3% -5.3% 1.8% -1.5%

25 50

0.07

1.09 1.07 1.09 1.12 1.10 1.04


2008/ 2009/ 2010/ 2011/ 2012/ 2013/ 2014/

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

277 294

494 477 794 802 799 596 584

162 164

771 771 794 802 799 758 748



5 6.7% -7 -8.8%

-3 -3.0% -19 -23.5%

-6 -8.2% 3 4.5%

5 5.5% -14 -16.1%

-8 -9.6% -3 -4.2%

12 17.6% -1 -1.3%

9 10.8% -4 -4.6%

-8 -9.8% -11 -14.9%

15 19.5% -10 -10.9%

-2 -1.8% -15 -18.1%

-2 -0.2% -81 -10.1%

0.04 3.8% -0.05 -4.9%


2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

70 63 72 73 72 71 71

60 72 65 74 75 74 74

76 59 71 64 73 75 74

60 75 58 70 63 72 73

68 60 74 58 70 63 72

71 67 59 73 57 68 61

66 70 66 58 72 56 68

77 65 69 66 57 71 55

81 76 64 68 64 56 70


2011/12-2016/172006/07-2011/12

PROJECTED

61 79 74 63 67 63 55

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

690 686 674 667 671 670 673

7 10 13 17 29 37 46

697 696 687 684 700 708 719

-1.9% 0.0% -1.4% -0.4% 2.3% 1.1% 1.6%

75 100 130 160 190 220 250

0.09 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.15 0.17 0.18


2015/ 2016/ 2017/ 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

571 571 567 554 540 546 550

137 150 143 142 157 141 134

708 721 710 697 696 687 684


2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/

2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031

71 71 72 73 74 74

73 73 74 74 75 76

73 73 73 73 74 74

73 72 71 71 72 73

73 72 71 71 71 71

70 71 70 70 69 69

61 69 71 70 69 69

67 60 69 70 69 68

54 66 59 67 68 68

69 53 64 58 66 67

0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0

683 680 694 697 707 709

54 64 70 77 83 90

737 744 764 773 790 799

2.6% 0.9% 2.7% 1.2% 2.1% 1.1%

280 310 340 370 400 430

0.19 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21


2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/

2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

563 581 584 604 613 627 633

137 127 134 134 131 137 141

700 708 719 737 744 764 773

Year14 Year15

2029/ 2030/

2030 2031

639 646

151 153

790 799



PA05:NorthWestHuronArea(GDCI)


GRADES 2001/ 2002/ 2003/ 2004/

(Headcount) 2002 2003 2004 2005

JK 93 82 76 79

SK 87 106 91 81

1 112 103 111 103

2 88 114 101 104

3 114 90 106 99

4 108 117 92 101

5 120 108 113 86

6 120 120 108 123

7 119 117 120 104

8 97 119 115 124



TotalEnrolment 1,097 1,112 1,069 1,032


2001/02 2004/05

291 290 277 263

335 355 342 350


GRADES 2007/ 2008/ 2009/ 2010/

(Headcount) 2008 2009 2010 2011

JK 64 69 77 76

SK 91 72 75 83

1 75 95 71 83

2 97 76 99 74

3 85 99 80 95

4 101 87 105 80

5 99 96 88 99

6 95 95 91 84

7 97 92 108 92


HISTORICALENROLMENT

HISTORI

8 93 102 99 109












TotalProjectedEnrolmentBySchool PA05:NorthWestHuronArea(GDC

On-The- Historical

Ground 2007/

Capacity 2008

BrooksidePublicSchool 305.0 214

ColborneCentral(Closed) 181

GoderichPublicSchool 554.0

GDCI-Elementary 138.0

Robertson(Closed) 252

Victoria(Closed) 267

SchoolName





80 86 64 -8 -8.1%

90 77 91 -10 -11.6%

93 95 75 -17 -15.2%

96 86 97 -3 -2.8%

104 100 84.5 -15 -12.7%

95 97 100.5 -11 -9.8%

102 97 99 -23 -19.2%

89 100 94.5 -20 -16.7%

119 94 97 -25 -21.1%

104 123 92.5 26 26.9%

13 7 8

10 9 10.5

992 967 913 -130 -11.8%

1.19 1.23 1.23747277 0.08 7.0%

2007/08

262 257 230

311 316 284


2011/ 2012/ 2013/ 2014/ 2015/ 2016/ 2017/

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

83 80 75 69 82 63 98

76 82 79 74 68 89 64

86 74 87 74 80 70 90

82 84 80 85 83 87 71

71 76 86 77 87 84 86

88 76 83 87 75 89 84

90 85 78 79 92 80 89

99 89 89 82 81 95 80

84 101 89 89 84 92 98

T EnrolmentChange

2001/02-2006/07

TORICAL

93 90 109 94 91 87 93

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

852 836 855 810 823 836 852

3

852 836 855 810 823 836 855

-2.6% -1.9% 2.2% -5.3% 1.6% 1.6% 2.2%

31 62

0.04

1.13 1.18 1.19 1.22 1.11 1.23

nArea(GDCI)


2008/ 2009/ 2010/ 2011/ 2012/ 2013/ 2014/

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

221 212 204 201 183 204 185

182 177 181 153 129

380 373 389 403 489 479

124 117 109 121 162 146

259

240

902 893 875 852 836 855 810



-3 -2.9% -20 -24.1%

-1 -0.7% 13 17.1%

-9 -9.0% -16 -18.6%

-4 -4.1% 5 6.1%

-29 -28.6% 13 18.3%

-9 -9.3% 1 1.1%

-7 -7.2% -10 -11.1%

-1 -0.5% -4 -4.0%

-10 -10.2% 8 9.5%

-30 -24.1% -6 -6.5%

-115 -11.9% -16 -1.9%

-0.10 -8.4% 0.11 9.6%


2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

110 90 98 74 74 75 76

99 112 91 99 74 75 76

64 100 112 92 100 75 76

90 65 101 113 92 101 75

70 89 64 99 112 91 99

86 70 89 64 99 111 91

84 85 69 88 63 99 111

89 84 86 70 89 64 99

83 92 87 88 72 92 65


2011/12-2016/172006/07-2011/12

PROJECTED

99 84 94 89 90 74 93

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

874 871 891 876 866 855 860

5 8 10 13 20 25 29

879 878 901 889 885 880 890

2.9% -0.1% 2.6% -1.3% -0.4% -0.7% 1.2%

93 124 157 190 223 257 290

0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.09 0.10 0.10


2015/ 2016/ 2017/ 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

190 192 194 205 209 218 216

503 512 512 530 527 531 526

130 132 149 144 142 151 146

823 836 855 879 878 901 889


2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/

2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031

77 77 78 79 80 80

77 77 78 79 80 80

76 77 78 79 79 80

76 77 78 78 79 80

74 75 76 77 78 78

99 74 75 76 76 77

90 99 74 75 75 76

111 91 99 74 75 76

101 114 93 102 77 77

66 103 115 95 103 78

0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0

848 864 844 813 802 784

34 38 40 42 44 46

882 902 884 855 846 830

-0.9% 2.3% -2.0% -3.4% -1.0% -1.9%

315 341 367 392 418 444

0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.10


2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/

2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

220 217 223 219 219 209 195

531 525 542 534 519 516 507

134 137 125 129 164 159 152

885 880 890 882 902 884 855

Year14 Year15

2029/ 2030/

2030 2031

189 181

513 519

145 130

846 830



PA06:NorthPerthArea(LDSS)


GRADES 2001/ 2002/ 2003/ 2004/

(Headcount) 2002 2003 2004 2005

JK 137 130 158 121

SK 168 168 171 185

1 204 187 183 176

2 172 186 176 185

3 188 171 182 174

4 220 192 170 178

5 219 222 196 172

6 191 208 219 194

7 176 176 185 201

8 168 168 171 184



TotalEnrolment 1,878 1,877 1,874 1,826


2001/02 2004/05

508 484 512 481

535 552 574 578


GRADES 2007/ 2008/ 2009/ 2010/

(Headcount) 2008 2009 2010 2011

JK 145 118 127 130

SK 190 170 144 149

1 159 194 175 143

2 168 154 192 167

3 172 161 151 189

4 168 171 165 151

5 185 167 166 167

6 176 188 163 170

7 163 148 174 146


HISTORICALENROLMENT

HISTORI

8 165 167 151 177












TotalProjectedEnrolmentBySchool PA06:NorthPerthArea(LDSS)

On-The- Historical

Ground 2007/

Capacity 2008

ElmaTownshipPublicSchool 478.0 507

ListowelCentralPublicSchool(Closedeffective2016/17) 370

ListowelEastdalePublicSchool 285.0 226

WallacePublicSchool(Closedeffective2016/17) 248

MorningtonCentralPublicSchool 199.0 162

NorthPerthWestfieldElementarySchool(Openeffective2016/17) 629.0

NorthWoodsElementarySchool 259.0 212

SchoolName





126 159 145 23 16.5%

149 151 190 -17 -10.1%

189 159 158.5 -45 -21.9%

175 174 167.5 2 1.2%

180 162 171.5 -27 -14.1%

173 188 168 -32 -14.4%

186 173 184.5 -46 -21.0%

170 185 175.5 -7 -3.4%

176 160 162.5 -17 -9.4%

206 181 165 13 7.8%

32 25 15.5

19 17 20

1,777 1,731 1722.5 -147 -7.8%

1.19 1.12 1.0213198 0.07 6.3%

2007/08

463 469 493

551 525 503


2011/ 2012/ 2013/ 2014/ 2015/ 2016/ 2017/

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

136 139 167 148 132 138 145

161 161 152 182 152 156 149

154 178 164 152 165 156 155

153 151 178 161 138 158 153

164 168 151 180 151 142 156

184 170 157 146 160 156 138

154 182 175 161 132 162 155

161 165 198 174 147 135 161

153 136 125 156 130 131 121

T EnrolmentChange

2001/02-2006/07

TORICAL

149 147 136 125 152 142 130

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

1,569 1,597 1,603 1,585 1,459 1,476 1,463

10

1,569 1,597 1,603 1,585 1,459 1,476 1,473

-3.1% 1.8% 0.4% -1.1% -7.9% 1.2% -0.2%

66 132

0.08

1.03 0.94 0.95 0.94 0.96 0.91


2008/ 2009/ 2010/ 2011/ 2012/ 2013/ 2014/

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

478 452 450 426 431 438 441

365 362 355 364 376 376 386

233 226 231 229 239 253 249

241 232 238 231 213 191 175

156 169 182 175 153 141 148

198 196 163 144 185 204 186

1,671 1,637 1,618 1,569 1,597 1,603 1,585



-23 -14.5% 2 1.4%

11 7.0% -5 -3.1%

-5 -3.1% 2 1.3%

-21 -12.1% 5 3.3%

3 1.5% -22 -13.4%

-4 -2.1% -28 -15.2%

-19 -11.0% 8 5.2%

-24 -12.7% -26 -16.1%

-7 -4.1% -22 -14.4%

-32 -17.5% -7 -4.7%

-162 -9.4% -93 -5.9%

-0.09 -8.3% -0.12 -11.7%


2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

123 140 122 149 149 150 150

162 131 149 135 158 158 159

147 162 130 148 135 157 157

152 144 159 128 146 133 154

151 150 142 158 126 144 132

152 148 146 138 153 123 140

137 151 146 145 137 151 121

154 136 150 146 144 136 150

137 137 121 130 129 126 119


2011/12-2016/172006/07-2011/12

PROJECTED

120 137 136 121 129 128 125

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

1,436 1,435 1,403 1,398 1,406 1,406 1,406

20 30 40 50 76 92 109

1,456 1,466 1,443 1,448 1,481 1,498 1,515

-1.1% 0.7% -1.5% 0.4% 2.3% 1.1% 1.1%

198 264 330 396 462 529 595

0.10 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.16 0.17 0.18


2015/ 2016/ 2017/ 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

385 345 329 310 315 301 305

394

252 286 291 293 303 293 300

151

116 131 134 142 142 143 149

546 545 549 546 541 532

161 168 174 161 160 165 162

1,459 1,476 1,473 1,456 1,466 1,443 1,448


2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/

2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031

150 150 150 150 150 150

159 159 159 159 159 159

157 157 157 157 157 157

154 155 154 155 154 154

152 152 153 153 153 153

128 148 148 149 149 149

139 127 147 147 147 147

121 138 126 146 146 147

131 106 123 109 128 128

118 130 106 122 109 127

0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0

1,408 1,422 1,422 1,446 1,451 1,470

126 142 153 163 174 184

1,534 1,564 1,575 1,609 1,625 1,655

1.3% 2.0% 0.7% 2.2% 1.0% 1.8%

660 725 790 854 919 984

0.19 0.20 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19


2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/

2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

315 314 325 326 333 332 345

311 320 326 334 347 353 368

149 150 153 149 151 141 140

544 550 548 557 561 571 574

162 164 164 168 172 177 181

1,481 1,498 1,515 1,534 1,564 1,575 1,609

Year14 Year15

2029/ 2030/

2030 2031

351 358

374 380

140 135

578 599

182 183

1,625 1,655



PA07:SouthHuronArea(SHDHS)


GRADES 2001/ 2002/ 2003/ 2004/

(Headcount) 2002 2003 2004 2005

JK 98 95 96 77

SK 121 107 107 101

1 158 127 122 116

2 154 157 117 112

3 122 146 151 114

4 137 119 134 147

5 134 139 113 133

6 145 137 144 112

7 138 147 138 145

8 134 139 143 141



TotalEnrolment 1,366 1,341 1,292 1,230


2001/02 2004/05

376 328 325 293

417 423 425 398


GRADES 2007/ 2008/ 2009/ 2010/

(Headcount) 2008 2009 2010 2011

JK 82 83 82 80

SK 79 84 90 84

1 79 73 81 85

2 75 76 74 80

3 98 78 75 68

4 111 98 72 78

5 104 105 97 70

6 105 103 104 99

7 144 103 104 114


HISTORICALENROLMENT

HISTORI

8 129 146 104 101



TotalExistingCommunityPupils 1,033 978 907 877


TotalPupils(Existing+New) 1,033 978 907 877







TotalProjectedEnrolmentBySchool PA07:SouthHuronArea(SHDHS)

On-The- Historical

Ground 2007/

Capacity 2008

ExeterElementarySchool 456.0 353

BluewaterCoastElementarySchool 317.0 166

StephenCentralPublicSchool 259.0 210

UsborneCentral(Closed) 137

Zurich(Closed) 167

SouthHuronElementarySchool 184.0

SchoolName





82 75 82 -24 -24.0%

79 81 79 -40 -33.2%

104 76 78.5 -82 -52.1%

115 99 75 -55 -35.8%

109 112 97.5 -10 -7.8%

110 106 111 -31 -22.6%

151 107 103.5 -27 -20.2%

133 144 105 -1 -0.7%

111 132 143.5 -6 -4.3%

146 104 128.5 -30 -22.3%

30 11 19.5

10 21 10

1,178 1,066 1032.5 -300 -21.9%

1.48 1.65 1.57740586 0.54 48.7%

2007/08

264 231 239

390 380 377


2011/ 2012/ 2013/ 2014/ 2015/ 2016/ 2017/

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

86 92 84 67 74 64 82

81 88 90 91 65 75 65

89 84 86 85 85 66 72

91 93 80 85 90 85 65

80 85 96 75 83 88 84

69 73 80 95 79 81 86

78 68 72 83 99 77 80

68 73 67 75 80 94 76

99 66 75 70 77 79 94

T EnrolmentChange

2001/02-2006/07

TORICAL

110 92 66 80 77 75 80

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

851 814 796 806 809 784 784

4

851 814 796 806 809 784 788

-2.9% -4.3% -2.2% 1.3% 0.4% -3.1% 0.5%

30 61

0.07

1.08 0.88 0.80 0.93 1.04 1.21


2008/ 2009/ 2010/ 2011/ 2012/ 2013/ 2014/

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

339 322 320 343 320 340 324

162 157 159 149 147 132 144

187 162 164 151 189 183 188

129 124 109 99

161 142 124 109

158 141 150

978 907 877 851 814 796 806



12 15.4% -22 -25.6%

1 0.6% -6 -7.4%

14 17.9% -23 -25.8%

-8 -7.6% -6 -6.6%

-32 -28.6% 8 10.0%

-37 -34.9% 12 17.4%

-29 -26.8% -1 -1.3%

-76 -52.8% 26 38.2%

-33 -25.0% -20 -20.2%

6 5.7% -35 -31.8%

-215 -20.2% -67 -7.9%

-0.57 -34.4% 0.13 11.8%


2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

79 78 81 72 72 71 71

82 79 79 82 73 72 72

63 79 77 76 79 70 69

72 62 78 76 75 79 69

65 71 61 77 75 74 78

82 63 69 60 75 73 72

85 81 62 68 60 74 72

79 84 80 61 67 59 73

76 79 84 80 61 67 59


2011/12-2016/172006/07-2011/12

PROJECTED

95 76 80 85 81 62 68

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

777 753 750 737 717 701 703

9 13 17 22 27 33 39

785 766 767 759 745 734 742

-0.4% -2.5% 0.2% -1.1% -1.8% -1.5% 1.1%

91 122 154 186 218 250 283

0.09 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.14


2015/ 2016/ 2017/ 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

326 310 305 304 298 298 294

136 123 119 120 115 105 107

193 197 190 189 196 199 190

154 154 174 172 157 165 167

809 784 788 785 766 767 759


2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/

2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031

70 70 70 70 70 70

71 71 71 71 71 71

69 69 68 68 68 68

69 68 68 68 68 68

69 68 68 67 67 67

75 67 66 66 65 65

72 75 66 66 65 65

71 71 74 65 65 64

73 71 71 74 65 65

59 74 72 71 74 66

0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0

699 703 694 686 679 669

45 49 54 59 64 68

743 753 748 745 742 737

0.2% 1.3% -0.6% -0.4% -0.3% -0.7%

308 333 358 383 408 433

0.14 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.16


2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/

2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

294 292 300 294 291 290 286

111 114 118 116 116 118 121

195 195 193 197 196 192 187

145 132 130 137 150 148 151

745 734 742 743 753 748 745

Year14 Year15

2029/ 2030/

2030 2031

287 288

122 124

187 187

146 137

742 737



PA08:NorthEastHuronArea(FEMSS)


GRADES 2001/ 2002/ 2003/ 2004/

(Headcount) 2002 2003 2004 2005

JK 83 85 92 86

SK 96 102 104 108

1 140 109 109 118

2 131 129 105 105

3 125 122 132 113

4 121 126 117 132

5 147 124 127 111

6 157 143 123 122

7 135 152 148 128

8 150 135 146 143



TotalEnrolment 1,324 1,265 1,236 1,202


2001/02 2004/05

318 296 305 311

442 429 416 393


GRADES 2007/ 2008/ 2009/ 2010/

(Headcount) 2008 2009 2010 2011

JK 99 87 111 105

SK 101 107 93 115

1 101 100 109 89

2 105 99 101 107

3 105 105 103 101

4 105 104 101 98

5 104 104 108 100

6 109 103 106 105

7 123 110 103 101


HISTORICALENROLMENT

HISTORI

8 107 120 111 106






YeartoYearEnrolmentPercentageChange -1.9% 0.7% -1.9%






TotalProjectedEnrolmentBySchool PA08:NorthEastHuronArea(FEMS

On-The- Historical

Ground 2007/

Capacity 2008

Brussels(Closed) - 217

EastWawanosh(Closed) - 169

HowickCentralPublicSchool 420.0 318

TurnberryCentral(Closed) - 138

Wingham(Closed) - 243

FEMadill-ElementarySchool 161.0

MaitlandRiverElementarySchool 534.0

SchoolName





82 97 99 15 17.6%

102 97 101 1 1.0%

113 110 100.5 -30 -21.5%

109 108 104.5 -24 -17.9%

104 107 104.5 -18 -14.5%

108 107 105 -15 -12.0%

124 109 104 -38 -25.6%

107 127 108.5 -31 -19.4%

123 112 122.5 -24 -17.4%

123 125 107 -25 -16.4%

28 22 15.5

13 15 12.5

1,134 1,133 1084 -191 -14.4%

1.19 1.20 1.12666667 -0.19 -13.9%

2007/08

297 304 300

352 363 338


2011/ 2012/ 2013/ 2014/ 2015/ 2016/ 2017/

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

92 87 101 86 94 68 102

102 88 87 108 88 101 70

115 97 83 91 111 88 101

80 102 97 83 89 114 87

111 77 106 95 89 90 114

99 97 77 112 100 86 90

99 85 94 77 112 103 85

108 93 90 94 80 111 103

99 111 102 108 108 98 118

T EnrolmentChange

2001/02-2006/07

TORICAL

102 109 116 101 110 114 98

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

1,007 948 953 955 981 973 968

5

1,007 948 953 955 981 973 973

-4.1% -5.9% 0.5% 0.2% 2.7% -0.8% 0.0%

25 50

0.09

1.00 1.15 1.14 1.06 1.02 1.26

Area(FEMSS)


2008/ 2009/ 2010/ 2011/ 2012/ 2013/ 2014/

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

214 216 200 182

167 152 144 132

306 299 293 313 319 331 344

120 141 133 141

256 263 281 239

161 154 146

468 468 465

1,063 1,071 1,050 1,007 948 953 955



-5 -5.2% -24 -26.1%

5 5.2% -1 -1.0%

6 5.0% -27 -23.5%

-28 -25.6% 34 42.5%

5 4.2% -21 -18.9%

-8 -7.0% -13 -13.1%

-10 -9.2% 4 4.0%

-19 -14.6% 3 2.8%

-13 -11.2% -1 -1.0%

-23 -18.4% 12 11.8%

-126 -11.1% -34 -3.4%

-0.20 -16.4% 0.26 25.7%


2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

105 104 95 89 88 88 87

105 108 107 97 92 91 90

69 104 107 106 97 91 90

100 69 103 106 105 96 90

87 100 69 103 106 105 96

114 87 100 69 103 106 105

89 113 87 99 68 102 105

86 90 114 87 99 69 103

118 93 96 124 97 109 79


2011/12-2016/172006/07-2011/12

PROJECTED

118 118 93 96 124 97 109

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

990 985 970 978 981 954 955

10 14 19 25 36 43 51

1,000 1,000 990 1,002 1,017 997 1,006

2.8% 0.0% -1.0% 1.3% 1.5% -1.9% 0.8%

76 101 128 155 182 209 236

0.13 0.14 0.15 0.16 0.20 0.21 0.22


2015/ 2016/ 2017/ 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

341 343 347 359 351 352 346

156 149 146 159 138 128 151

484 481 479 482 511 509 505

981 973 973 1,000 1,000 990 1,002


2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/

2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031

87 87 87 87 87 87

89 89 89 89 89 89

90 89 89 89 89 89

89 89 88 88 88 88

90 89 89 88 88 88

96 90 89 89 88 88

104 95 90 89 88 88

106 105 96 90 89 88

111 114 112 104 99 98

79 111 114 112 104 99

0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0

942 958 941 923 907 900

58 64 69 74 79 85

1,000 1,022 1,011 997 987 985

-0.6% 2.2% -1.1% -1.3% -1.0% -0.2%

257 277 298 319 340 361

0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23


2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/

2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

352 336 339 335 344 338 326

152 149 138 140 155 162 157

513 512 528 525 523 511 514

1,017 997 1,006 1,000 1,022 1,011 997

Year14 Year15

2029/ 2030/

2030 2031

325 318

146 148

516 519

987 985



TotalElementaryPanel


GRADES 2001/ 2002/ 2003/ 2004/

2002 2003 2004 2005

JK 923 1,007 951 899

SK 1,175 1,108 1,179 1,085

1 1,380 1,264 1,169 1,246

2 1,282 1,333 1,205 1,142

3 1,262 1,263 1,292 1,199

4 1,321 1,249 1,235 1,270

5 1,362 1,324 1,247 1,226

6 1,435 1,344 1,320 1,243

7 1,384 1,416 1,357 1,332

8 1,312 1,370 1,420 1,366



TotalEnrolment 13,152 13,030 12,721 12,336


2001/02 2004/05

3,478 3,378 3,299 3,229

4,131 4,130 4,096 3,941


GRADES 2007/ 2008/ 2009/ 2010/

(Headcount) 2008 2009 2010 2011

JK 917 914 913 946

SK 1,028 1,014 1,006 1,005

1 1,070 1,045 1,008 1,009

2 1,055 1,052 1,040 1,018

3 1,088 1,051 1,060 1,036

4 1,207 1,097 1,046 1,063

5 1,119 1,202 1,093 1,043

6 1,187 1,102 1,193 1,108

7 1,251 1,202 1,107 1,219

HISTORICALEN


HISTORICALENROLMENT

8 1,249 1,266 1,210 1,148













955 940 917 17 1.8%

1,017 1,042 1028 -133 -11.3%

1,137 1,047 1070 -334 -24.2%

1,207 1,094 1054.5 -188 -14.7%

1,118 1,202 1087.5 -61 -4.8%

1,192 1,121 1206.5 -200 -15.1%

1,260 1,193 1119 -169 -12.4%

1,232 1,256 1187 -179 -12.4%

1,250 1,247 1250.5 -137 -9.9%

1,322 1,240 1249 -72 -5.5%

187 134 117.5

97 104 95.5

11,972 11,618 11382 -1,533 -11.7%

1.22 1.24 1.22271973 0.05 4.1%

2007/08

3,108 3,028 3,015

3,803 3,743 3,687


2011/ 2012/ 2013/ 2014/ 2015/ 2016/ 2017/

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

973 972 968 930 886 880 948

1,004 1,009 1,010 1,023 967 956 921

1,021 1,029 1,021 1,012 1,016 977 951

1,019 1,005 1,038 1,025 1,004 1,037 969

1,018 1,018 1,007 1,035 1,023 1,026 1,025

1,030 1,014 1,014 1,011 1,015 1,028 1,015

1,076 1,015 1,008 1,020 1,007 1,059 1,021

1,043 1,068 1,052 1,019 1,010 1,023 1,055

1,104 1,049 1,066 1,062 1,012 1,047 1,039

ALENROLMENT

T EnrolmentChange

2001/02-2006/07

1,211 1,090 1,067 1,087 1,071 1,040 1,051

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

10,499 10,272 10,251 10,224 10,011 10,073 9,996

55

10,499 10,272 10,251 10,224 10,011 10,073 10,050

-2.1% -2.2% -0.2% -0.3% -2.1% 0.6% -0.2%

402 804

0.14

1.12 1.07 1.06 1.07 1.08 1.11



34 3.6% -93 -9.6%

-38 -3.6% -48 -4.8%

-26 -2.4% -44 -4.3%

-75 -6.9% 18 1.8%

-184 -15.3% 8 0.8%

-91 -8.1% -2 -0.2%

-117 -9.8% -17 -1.6%

-213 -17.0% -20 -1.9%

-143 -11.5% -57 -5.2%

-29 -2.3% -171 -14.1%

-1,119 -9.6% -426 -4.1%

-0.12 -9.4% -0.01 -1.3%


2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

948 925 911 926 920 916 913

991 983 959 948 960 954 949

917 988 979 954 947 956 950

944 909 979 971 947 940 948

958 934 898 969 961 937 929

1,015 949 924 889 957 951 927

1,009 1,008 942 917 883 949 944

1,017 1,006 1,005 939 914 879 945

1,067 1,026 1,022 1,013 953 924 891

PROJECTEDENROLMENT

EnrolmentChange

2011/12-2016/17

EnrolmentChange

2006/07-2011/12

1,043 1,071 1,030 1,028 1,018 958 928

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

9,909 9,798 9,649 9,555 9,460 9,364 9,324

109 164 219 276 413 511 608

10,018 9,962 9,868 9,831 9,873 9,874 9,932

-0.3% -0.6% -0.9% -0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.6%

1,205 1,607 2,022 2,433 2,843 3,253 3,664

0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.17 0.18 0.19


2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/

2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031

911 912 914 916 918 921

946 945 945 947 949 952

945 942 941 941 943 946

942 938 934 933 933 936

938 932 927 924 923 923

918 928 922 917 914 913

920 911 921 915 910 907

941 917 908 918 912 907

954 955 926 916 927 921

895 958 960 931 921 931

0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0

9,310 9,337 9,298 9,258 9,252 9,257

706 799 871 943 1,016 1,088

10,016 10,136 10,169 10,201 10,267 10,345

0.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8%

4,043 4,381 4,719 5,056 5,394 5,732

0.19 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20


EnrolmentProjections-SecondaryPanel

RAS01:SouthHuron,PartBluewater


GRADES 2001/ 2002/ 2003/ 2004/

2002 2003 2004 2005

Grade9 172 181 167 192

Grade10 219 164 177 165

Grade11 166 209 158 175

Grade12 200 151 177 125

OAC 73 95 39 77




2001/02 2004/05


GRADES 2007/ 2008/ 2009/ 2010/

2008 2009 2010 2011

Grade9 163 178 185 136

Grade10 191 162 173 185

Grade11 187 197 169 166

Grade12 265 246 240 243

0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0






AverageSecondaryYieldForNewUnits



HISTORI

HISTORICALENROLMENT


TotalProjectedEnrolmentBySchool RAS01:SouthHuron,PartBluew

1 7 64

On-The- Historical

Ground 2007/

Capacity 2008

SouthHuronDistrictHighSchool 870.0 806

870.0 806

SchoolName



2005/ 2006/ 2007/ Absolute Percentage Absolute

2006 2007 2008 Change Change Change

183 182 163 163 11 6.1% -37

188 184 191 191 -35 -15.8% -45

162 188 187 187 22 13.3% -1

150 147 265 265 -53 -26.4% 77

53 51 0 -22 -30.3%

19 22 0

29 36 0

784 810 806 -37 -4.3% -115

2007/08

Historical Historical Historical Historical Current Year1 Year2 Year3

2011/ 2012/ 2013/ 2014/ 2015/ 2016/ 2017/ 2018/

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

145 138 112 92 86 95 98 100

139 145 138 115 93 87 94 97

187 142 152 144 124 103 92 99

224 232 197 183 162 143 121 106

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

695 657 599 534 465 428 405 402

2 4

695 657 599 534 465 428 407 405

-4.8% -5.5% -8.8% -10.9% -12.9% -8.0% -5.0% -0.3%

30 61 91

0.063 0.063

2001/02-2006/07

EnrolmentChange EnrolmentC

2006/07-2011/12

TORICAL

NT

n,PartBluewater

Historical Historical Historical Historical Historical Historical Historical Current

2008/ 2009/ 2010/ 2011/ 2012/ 2013/ 2014/ 2015/

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

783 767 730 695 657 599 534 465

783 767 730 695 657 599 534 465



-20.3% -50 -34.5%

-24.5% -52 -37.4%

-0.3% -84 -44.9%

52.3% -81 -36.2%

-14.2% -267 -38.4%

Year4 Year5 Year6 Year7 Year8 Year9 Year10 Year11

2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

119 96 100 106 101 77 85 74

99 117 95 99 105 100 76 84

102 104 124 100 104 110 105 81

114 118 120 143 115 120 127 121

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

434 435 438 447 425 407 394 360

6 8 10 12 14 16 18 19

440 443 448 459 438 423 411 379

8.5% 0.7% 1.2% 2.4% -4.5% -3.5% -2.8% -7.8%

122 154 186 218 250 283 308 333

0.063 0.064 0.063 0.063 0.063 0.062 0.062 0.063

entChange EnrolmentChange

2006/07-2011/12

PROJECTED

2011/12-2016/17


2016/ 2017/ 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

428 407 405 440 443 448 459 438

428 407 405 440 443 448 459 438

Year12 Year13 Year14 Year15

2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/

2028 2029 2030 2031

92 90 89 93

73 91 89 88

89 77 96 94

93 102 89 110

0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0

347 360 364 386

21 23 25 26

368 383 388 412

-3.0% 4.2% 1.3% 6.2%

358 383 408 433

0.064 0.064 0.064 0.065


2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/

2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031

423 411 379 368 383 388 412

423 411 379 368 383 388 412



RAS02:Stratford,St.Mary's,PerthEast,PerthSouth,PerthWest


GRADES 2001/ 2002/ 2003/ 2004/

2002 2003 2004 2005

Grade9 673 590 608 630

Grade10 668 645 588 607

Grade11 590 609 609 565

Grade12 597 512 556 520

OAC 294 225 136 204



TotalEnrolment 2,912 2,774 2,674 2,726

2001/02 2004/05


GRADES 2007/ 2008/ 2009/ 2010/

2008 2009 2010 2011

Grade9 575 642 599 618

Grade10 602 591 641 604

Grade11 621 609 598 639

Grade12 823 829 802 926

0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0




YeartoYearEnrolmentPercentageChange 1.9% -1.2% 5.6%





HISTORI

HISTORICALENROLMENT


TotalProjectedEnrolmentBySchool RAS02:Stratford,St.Mary's,Per

1 7 64

On-The- Historical

Ground 2007/

Capacity 2008

MitchellDistrictHighSchool 495.0 425

St.MarysDistrictCollegiateandVocationalInstitute 651.0 547

StratfordCentralSecondarySchool 777.0 686

StratfordNorthwesternSecondarySchool 1,281.0 963

3,141.0 2,621

SchoolName





615 585 575 575 -88 -13.1% -74

648 611 602 602 -57 -8.5% 22

587 619 621 621 29 4.9% -19

448 489 823 823 -108 -18.0% 416

229 190 0 -104 -35.3%

94 82 0

112 131 0

2,733 2,706 2621 -206 -7.1% -58

2007/08


2011/ 2012/ 2013/ 2014/ 2015/ 2016/ 2017/ 2018/

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

511 596 523 503 566 529 520 527

632 520 592 534 514 592 534 523

600 627 551 624 560 543 593 540

905 860 878 805 799 751 706 773

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

2,648 2,603 2,544 2,466 2,439 2,415 2,352 2,364

15 31

2,648 2,603 2,544 2,466 2,439 2,415 2,368 2,394

-5.0% -1.7% -2.3% -3.1% -1.1% -1.0% -2.0% 1.1%

212 424 636

0.072 0.072

2001/02-2006/07


2006/07-2011/12

TORICAL

NT

t.Mary's,PerthEast,PerthSouth,PerthWest


2008/ 2009/ 2010/ 2011/ 2012/ 2013/ 2014/ 2015/

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

419 422 427 384 374 338 323 314

565 548 571 512 470 464 446 434

722 729 790 807 812 805 793 789

965 941 999 945 947 937 904 902

2,671 2,640 2,787 2,648 2,603 2,544 2,466 2,439



-12.6% 18 3.5%

3.5% -40 -6.3%

-3.0% -57 -9.5%

85.0% -154 -17.0%

-2.1% -233 -8.8%


2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

500 519 502 525 472 481 428 461

532 504 523 506 529 476 485 431

529 538 510 530 512 536 482 491

707 690 703 669 691 668 702 630

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

2,268 2,251 2,238 2,229 2,205 2,161 2,097 2,014

46 61 77 93 108 124 139 154

2,314 2,313 2,315 2,322 2,313 2,285 2,236 2,168

-3.4% -0.1% 0.1% 0.3% -0.4% -1.2% -2.1% -3.1%

848 1,065 1,277 1,489 1,701 1,913 2,126 2,296

0.072 0.072 0.073 0.073 0.073 0.073 0.073 0.072


2006/07-2011/12

PROJECTED

2011/12-2016/17


2016/ 2017/ 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

292 291 308 283 295 298 282 292

448 454 434 473 458 451 472 432

803 810 845 801 811 777 782 792

877 812 808 757 749 790 785 797

2,420 2,368 2,394 2,314 2,313 2,315 2,322 2,313


2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/

2028 2029 2030 2031

433 435 418 431

465 437 438 421

437 470 443 444

642 572 614 579

0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0

1,977 1,914 1,913 1,876

168 182 196 210

2,145 2,096 2,109 2,086

-1.1% -2.3% 0.6% -1.1%

2,467 2,638 2,809 2,980

0.073 0.074 0.074 0.075


2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/

2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031

280 264 271 262 264 270 268

433 420 391 394 389 389 394

795 779 760 752 728 741 733

777 774 746 737 715 709 691

2,285 2,236 2,168 2,145 2,096 2,109 2,086



RAS03:A-C-W,Morris-Turnberry,Howick,Goderich,CentralandNorthHu


GRADES 2001/ 2002/ 2003/ 2004/

2002 2003 2004 2005

Grade9 518 451 485 472

Grade10 530 481 436 486

Grade11 482 487 447 420

Grade12 498 427 413 382

OAC 228 199 152 168



TotalEnrolment 2,368 2,184 2,135 2,132

2001/02 2004/05


GRADES 2007/ 2008/ 2009/ 2010/

2008 2009 2010 2011

Grade9 485 434 465 433

Grade10 470 484 427 481

Grade11 470 487 483 421

Grade12 677 674 668 787

0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0




YeartoYearEnrolmentPercentageChange -1.1% -1.7% 3.9%





HISTORI

HISTORICALENROLMENT


TotalProjectedEnrolmentBySchool RAS03:A-C-W,Morris-Turnberry

1 7 64

On-The- Historical

Ground 2007/

Capacity 2008

CentralHuronSecondarySchool 879.0 587

F.E.MadillSecondarySchool 1,020.0 921

GoderichDistrictCollegiateInstitute 663.0 594

2,625.0 2,102

SchoolName


ndNorthHuron,EastHuron,PartBluewater




465 451 485 485 -67 -12.9% -46

469 466 470 470 -65 -12.2% -27

472 444 470 470 -39 -8.0% 33

371 419 677 677 -79 -15.9% 269

170 128 0 -100 -43.8%

73 64 0

124 125 0

2,144 2,095 2102 -273 -11.5% -87

2007/08


2011/ 2012/ 2013/ 2014/ 2015/ 2016/ 2017/ 2018/

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

405 421 359 382 332 312 328 315

439 401 413 366 378 335 311 327

476 435 423 443 383 407 339 314

688 698 658 614 616 554 559 476

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

2,008 1,955 1,853 1,805 1,709 1,608 1,537 1,432

8 16

2,008 1,955 1,853 1,805 1,709 1,608 1,545 1,448

-5.4% -2.6% -5.2% -2.6% -5.3% -5.9% -3.9% -6.2%

94 187 281

0.086 0.086

2001/02-2006/07


2006/07-2011/12

TORICAL

NT

rris-Turnberry,Howick,Goderich,CentralandNorthHuron,EastHuron,PartBluewater


2008/ 2009/ 2010/ 2011/ 2012/ 2013/ 2014/ 2015/

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

616 614 646 600 610 568 565 530

900 875 900 843 773 759 728 698

563 554 576 565 572 526 512 481

2,079 2,043 2,122 2,008 1,955 1,853 1,805 1,709



-10.1% -93 -23.0%

-5.7% -104 -23.7%

7.3% -69 -14.5%

64.3% -134 -19.5%

-4.2% -400 -19.9%


2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

339 339 316 302 341 289 315 255

313 338 338 314 301 339 288 313

330 317 342 341 318 304 343 291

441 463 444 480 478 444 426 481

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

1,423 1,458 1,439 1,438 1,437 1,377 1,371 1,341

24 32 41 49 57 65 73 81

1,448 1,490 1,480 1,486 1,494 1,442 1,445 1,422

0.0% 2.9% -0.7% 0.5% 0.5% -3.5% 0.2% -1.6%

374 474 573 673 773 873 950 1,027

0.086 0.086 0.086 0.085 0.085 0.084 0.084 0.085


2006/07-2011/12

PROJECTED

2011/12-2016/17


2016/ 2017/ 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

490 463 441 445 464 477 472 484

671 659 611 609 636 600 605 613

447 423 396 394 390 403 409 398

1,608 1,545 1,448 1,448 1,490 1,480 1,486 1,494


2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/

2028 2029 2030 2031

327 352 326 315

254 326 350 325

317 257 330 354

406 445 358 464

0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0

1,305 1,380 1,364 1,458

88 96 103 110

1,393 1,476 1,467 1,568

-2.0% 5.9% -0.6% 6.9%

1,104 1,181 1,258 1,335

0.086 0.087 0.087 0.088


2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/

2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031

469 450 449 439 438 447 441

575 596 596 570 610 601 655

398 399 377 385 428 419 472

1,442 1,445 1,422 1,393 1,476 1,467 1,568



RAS04:PerthNorth


GRADES 2001/ 2002/ 2003/ 2004/

2002 2003 2004 2005

Grade9 237 216 243 216

Grade10 236 224 204 240

Grade11 235 225 203 200

Grade12 289 250 208 182

OAC 22 24 40 65



TotalEnrolment 1,063 999 986 975

2001/02 2004/05


GRADES 2007/ 2008/ 2009/ 2010/

2008 2009 2010 2011

Grade9 236 215 230 208

Grade10 294 238 213 241

Grade11 267 301 245 220

Grade12 317 339 381 375

0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0









HISTORI

HISTORICALENROLMENT


TotalProjectedEnrolmentBySchool RAS04:PerthNorth

1 7 64

On-The- Historical

Ground 2007/

Capacity 2008

ListowelDistrictSecondarySchool 1,200.0 1,114

1,200.0 1,114

SchoolName





245 271 236 236 35 14.6% -42

215 247 294 294 12 4.9% -37

230 199 267 267 -36 -15.1% 39

175 211 317 317 -77 -26.8% 117

67 63 0 41 191.5%

22 30 0

37 53 0

991 1,074 1114 12 1.1% -69

2007/08


2011/ 2012/ 2013/ 2014/ 2015/ 2016/ 2017/ 2018/

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

229 205 200 178 183 217 190 183

210 238 201 213 177 193 221 194

238 202 234 204 217 186 196 224

328 331 285 309 287 291 255 268

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

1,005 976 920 904 864 887 862 870

5 10

1,005 976 920 904 864 887 867 880

-3.7% -2.9% -5.7% -1.7% -4.4% 2.7% -2.3% 1.5%

66 132 198

0.078 0.078

2001/02-2006/07


2006/07-2011/12

TORICAL

NT


2008/ 2009/ 2010/ 2011/ 2012/ 2013/ 2014/ 2015/

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

1,093 1,069 1,044 1,005 976 920 904 864

1,093 1,069 1,044 1,005 976 920 904 864



-15.5% -12 -5.2%

-15.0% -17 -8.1%

19.6% -52 -21.8%

55.1% -37 -11.3%

-6.5% -118 -11.7%


2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/ 2025/ 2026/

2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

169 193 190 171 182 180 175 167

187 172 197 194 174 185 183 179

197 190 175 199 196 176 188 186

307 269 260 239 273 269 242 257

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

860 824 821 803 825 811 788 789

16 21 26 31 37 42 47 52

875 845 847 834 862 853 835 841

-0.5% -3.5% 0.3% -1.5% 3.3% -1.1% -2.0% 0.7%

264 330 396 462 529 595 660 725

0.079 0.079 0.079 0.079 0.079 0.079 0.079 0.079


2006/07-2011/12

PROJECTED

2011/12-2016/17


2016/ 2017/ 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

887 867 880 875 845 847 834 862

887 867 880 875 845 847 834 862


2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/

2028 2029 2030 2031

183 150 171 152

170 187 153 174

181 173 190 155

255 248 236 260

0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0

789 758 750 741

57 62 66 71

846 819 816 812

0.6% -3.2% -0.4% -0.5%

790 854 919 984

0.078 0.078 0.078 0.077


2024/ 2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/

2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031

853 835 841 846 819 816 812

853 835 841 846 819 816 812



TotalSecondaryPanel


GRADES 2001/ 2002/ 2003/ 2004/

(AverageDailyEnrolment) 2002 2003 2004 2005

Grade9 1,598 1,438 1,503 1,509

Grade10 1,652 1,514 1,405 1,496

Grade11 1,472 1,530 1,415 1,360

Grade12 1,583 1,340 1,354 1,208

OAC 616 543 367 515



TotalEnrolment 7,188 6,778 6,561 6,620

2001/02 2004/05


GRADES 2007/ 2008/ 2009/ 2010/

2008 2009 2010 2011

Grade9 1,459 1,469 1,479 1,395

Grade10 1,557 1,475 1,454 1,511

Grade11 1,545 1,594 1,495 1,446

Grade12 2,082 2,088 2,091 2,331

0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0




YeartoYearEnrolmentPercentageChange -0.3% -1.6% 2.5%




HISTORICALEN

HISTORICALENROLMENT

0

Historical Historical Current 0

2005/ 2006/ 2007/ Absolute Percentage Percentage


1,508 1,488 1,459 1,459 -110 -6.9% 0

1,520 1,507 1,557 1,557 -145 -8.7% 0

1,451 1,449 1,545 1,545 -23 -1.6% 0

1,144 1,267 2,082 2,082 -317 -20.0% 0

519 432 0 -184 -29.9% 0

208 198 0 104 109.5% 1

302 345 0 172 98.8% 1

6,652 6,685 6643 -503 -7.0% 0

2007/08


2011/ 2012/ 2013/ 2014/ 2015/ 2016/ 2017/

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

1,290 1,360 1,194 1,155 1,167 1,153 1,136

1,420 1,304 1,344 1,228 1,162 1,207 1,160

1,501 1,406 1,360 1,415 1,284 1,239 1,219

2,145 2,121 2,018 1,911 1,864 1,739 1,641

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

6,356 6,191 5,916 5,709 5,477 5,338 5,156

30

6,356 6,191 5,916 5,709 5,477 5,338 5,186

-4.9% -2.6% -4.4% -3.5% -4.1% -2.5% -2.8%

402 804

0.075

ALENROLMENT

T EnrolmentChange

2001/02-2006/07



-198 -13.3% -137 -10.6%

-87 -5.8% -213 -15.0%

53 3.6% -262 -17.5%

878 69.4% -406 -18.9%

-329 -4.9% -1,018 -16.0%


2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/ 2024/

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

1,125 1,127 1,146 1,107 1,103 1,096 1,027

1,141 1,131 1,132 1,152 1,112 1,108 1,101

1,178 1,158 1,149 1,150 1,170 1,130 1,127

1,623 1,569 1,540 1,526 1,531 1,557 1,501

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

5,067 4,985 4,968 4,936 4,917 4,891 4,756

61 91 122 154 185 215 246

5,128 5,077 5,090 5,090 5,101 5,107 5,002

-1.1% -1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% -2.0%

1,205 1,607 2,022 2,433 2,843 3,253 3,664

0.076 0.076 0.076 0.076 0.076 0.076 0.076

PROJECTEDENROLMENT

EnrolmentChange

2011/12-2016/17

EnrolmentChange

2006/07-2011/12


2025/ 2026/ 2027/ 2028/ 2029/ 2030/

2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031

1,002 958 1,036 1,027 1,004 991

1,032 1,007 963 1,041 1,031 1,009

1,118 1,049 1,023 978 1,058 1,047

1,497 1,490 1,396 1,367 1,298 1,414

0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0

4,650 4,503 4,418 4,412 4,390 4,461

278 307 334 362 390 418

4,927 4,810 4,752 4,774 4,780 4,878

-1.5% -2.4% -1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 2.1%

4,043 4,381 4,719 5,056 5,394 5,732

0.076 0.076 0.076 0.077 0.077 0.077

Documents

Avon Maitland District School Board Enrolment Projections ......1,666 1,593 1571.5-154 -8.8% 1.23 1.28 1.43484225 0.13 10.9% 2007/08 431 398 365 529 510 523. Avon Maitland District