NÄÙ„É EÄÒ ‡´É‡¦ÉZÉ ®ÚÉVªÉÉÄÆ ÕEÄÒ NÄÙ„É EÄÒ ‡´É‡¦ÉZÉ ®ÚÉVªÉÉÄÆ ÕEÄÒ NÄÙ„É EÄÒ ‡´É‡¦ÉZÉ ®ÚÉVªÉÉÄÆ ÕEÄÒ NÄÙ„É EÄÒ ‡´É‡¦ÉZÉ ®ÚÉVªÉÉÄÆ ÕEÄÒ

‡±ÉB EÞÒ‡¹É ¨ÉÉÈºÉ¨É ‡±ÉB EÞÒ‡¹É ¨ÉÉÈºÉ¨É ‡±ÉB EÞÒ‡¹É ¨ÉÉÈºÉ¨É ‡±ÉB EÞÒ‡¹É ¨ÉÉÈºÉ¨É ºÉ±ÉÉ½Þ ÞºÉ±ÉÉ½Þ ÞºÉ±ÉÉ½Þ ÞºÉ±ÉÉ½Þ Þ Thursday, 8th September, 2005 (For the period 8

th to 12

th September, 2005)

Satellite images as on 8th

September 2005

Limited Area Model

24 Hour Forecast Rainfall (mm)

upto 12 UTC of 9th

September(17:30IST)

Report on Monsoon 2005

The southwest monsoon has been vigorous in coastal Andhra Pradesh

and active in Kerala. It was subdued over Assam & Meghalaya, west

Uttar Pradesh, Harayana, Punjab, Rajasthan and Saurashtra & Kutch.

Salient Synoptic situation

Yesterday’s low pressure area over west central Bay of Bengal off Coastal Andhra Pradesh persists. Associated cyclonic circulation extends upto mid-tropospheric levels tilting southwestwards with height. It is likely to move in a northwesterly direction.

Under the influence of this system, fairly wide spread rain with heavy falls likely over Andhra Pradesh and Orissa during next 2-3 days.

The cyclonic circulation over central Pakistan and adjoining northwest Rajasthan persists extending upto 1.5 km a.s.l.

The upper air cyclonic circulation over east central Arabian Sea has become less marked.

Rainfall Situation during last 24 hrs During last 24 hours, fairly widespread rains with isolated heavy falls

occurred over coastal area of Andhra Pradesh, Orissa, Karnataka,

Konkan & Goa and Lakshadweep. Scattered moderate rains have also

occurred over interior Andhra Pradesh, Madhya Maharashtra and

Gujarat Region. Chief amounts of the rainfall (in cms.) are: Bapatla-9,

Karipur-8, Amini Divi, Kozhikode, Gannavaram-7 each, Satara-6,

Gopalpur and Tuni-5 each.

Salient Agrometeorological Advisories

• Postpone application of fertilizer and plant protection measures in Konkan,

Madhya Maharashtra and Marathwada as there is chance of moderate to rather

heavy rain at many places in these regions.

• If sali rice in Assam is affected by rice Hispa, timely plant protection measure

should be taken up with Monocrotophos 40EC @ 1.5ml / litre of water or

Chloropyriphos 20EC @ 2ml per litre of water or Endosulphan 35EC @ 2ml per

litre of water on non-rainy days.

• As dry spells continue during last four weeks in most of the districts of Punjab and as light to moderate rain / thundershowers is likely to occur at a few places , irrigate

the field to bring the soil to its field capacity

Issued by

EÞÒ‡¹É ¨ÉÉÈºÉ¨É ‡´ÉYÉÉXÉ ‡´É¦ÉÉMÉ EÞÒ‡¹É ¨ÉÉÈºÉ¨É ‡´ÉYÉÉXÉ ‡´É¦ÉÉMÉ EÞÒ‡¹É ¨ÉÉÈºÉ¨É ‡´ÉYÉÉXÉ ‡´É¦ÉÉMÉ EÞÒ‡¹É ¨ÉÉÈºÉ¨É ‡´ÉYÉÉXÉ ‡´É¦ÉÉMÉ

Agricultural Meteorological Division

India Meteorological Department, Shivajinagar, Pune

Agricultural Advisory Services of India Meteorological Department

Recommendations of the Royal

Commission on Agriculture Present status of Agromet Advisory

Service of IMD On the recommendations of the Royal Commission

on Agriculture, the Division of Agricultural

Meteorology started functioning in Pune since 1932

under the umbrella of India Meteorological

Department. Operational agrometeorology is now-a-

days fully functional in this Division with the aim to

advise the agricultural community and agricultural

planner to fully exploit climatic resources in their

agricultural operations and planning also to minimise

damages due to hazardous weather elements.

With a view to render agromet services to the

farming community of the country, issuance of

Farmers’ Weather Bulletin (FWB) on a regional basis

started from 1945. In addition to this, Agricultural

Advisory Services (AAS) bulletins are issued to the

users community based on past, actual and expected

weather including the state and stage of the crops..

At present Agromet Advisory Services are being

provided to the farming community of the country at

State level through 21 AAS Centres of IMD located

at different State capitals on weekly/biweekly basis.

These advisories in the form of bulletins are

prepared jointly by the meteorologist of AAS centre

and agricultural specialist of respective state

Department of Agriculture and are tailored to the

requirements of farmers in the state. These bilingual

(in local/regional language and also in English)

bulletins are disseminated on a real time basis

through All India Radio, Doordarshan, Newspapers

and website of the IMD.

Future Plan for improvement of Agromet Advisory Service

Efforts are being made by the division to prepare more accurate crop and area specific Agromet advisory at district

levels. In order to achieve this goal it is proposed to increase dedicated observational systems, processing of large

volume of data for preparation of agromet products at district level and dissemination of the advisories to the end

users of the country. Keeping it in view, it is proposed to install automatic weather stations initially at 127 agro-

climatic zones of the country and centralized data receiving centre at Agrimet Division, IMD, Pune. Efforts will

also be made subsequently to increase the network of the automatic weather stations in districts level (total 586).

AWS is proposed to be installed for recording different meteorological and agroclimatological parameters ( air

temperature, humidity, rainfall, bright sunshine hours and other radiation parameters, leaf temperature, leaf wetness

etc.) for preparation of Agromet products to be utilized in the preparation of statewise Agromet Advisory bulletins

For various states.

All the data/information to be collected from different sources will be processed and analysed in the National

Centre for Agromet Advisory Services, Agrimet Division, Pune for preparation of agromet products to be utilized in

the preparation of Agromet Advisory. The large volume of data to be obtained from the network of automatic

weather stations will be processed, analysed instantaneously by high speed computers and different softwares for

generating various forecasting modules and agrometeorological products for use in Agromet Advisory Services.

It is proposed to connect all the AAS units of IMD along with the State Agriculture Departments/ state Agricultural

Universities/Institute, which will be the active partner of this collaborative work, for ready access of to information

on state and stage of the crops and dissemination of advisories to the end users.

All India Weather Report for the week ending 7/9/05

Withdrawal of Southwest Monsoon

Southwest monsoon has withdrawn from parts of West Rajasthan on 2nd. Withdrawal line passes through Sri Ganganagar,

Bikaner and Barmer.

Meteorological Analysis

Last week’s upper air cyclonic circulation over westcentral Bay of Bengal off Coastal Andhra Pradesh extending upto 4.5 km

a.s.l. tilting southwards with height persisted upto 2nd. It moved westwards across Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, North

Interior Karnataka and Konkan & Goa during 3rd to 6

th. It was seen over Konkan & Goa and adjoining eastcentral Arabian Sea

extending between 2.1 km and 5.8 km a.s.l. on 7th. A north-south trough extending in the lower tropospheric levels was seen from

Uttar Pradesh to the above system on 2nd & 3

rd and from southeast Rajasthan on 4

th & 5

th.

A fresh upper cyclonic circulation extending upto 3.1 km a.s.l. formed over southwest Bay of Bengal in the evening of the 5th.

Under its influence , a low pressure area formed over Central parts of south Bay of Bengal on 6th. It moved northwestwards and

lay over westcentral Bay of Bengal off coastal Andhra Pradesh on 7th morning and became well marked in the evening.

A fresh upper air cyclonic circulation extending upto 2.1 km a.s.l. was seen over northwest Madhya Pradesh and adjoining

southwest Uttar Pradesh on 6th. It became less marked on 7

th. Another upper air cyclonic circulation formed over central Pakistan

and adjoining west Rajasthan extending upto 1.5 km a.s.l. on 7th.

Rainfall

Southwest Monsoon was active to vigorous over Kerala and Rayalaseema on many days of the week and over Karnataka,

Telangana, Tamil Nadu & Pondicherry, Konkan & Goa, Madhya Maharashtra , Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Bihar,

Jharkhand and East Uttar Pradesh on one to two days of the week.

Moderate rainfall occurred at many places with isolated heavy falls over south peninsula on many days of the week. Rainfall

activity increased with light to moderate scattered rainfall over central India and adjoining Gangetic plains during 3rd to 7

th. Light

to moderate rainfall also occurred over western Himalayan region and northeastern States. Rainfall activity remained subdued

over plains of northwest India with mainly dry weather over Punjab & West Rajasthan.

Temperature

Maximum Temperatures were above normal by 4 to 6ºC over central India and northwest India during the 1st half of the week.

They decreased over central India during 2nd half but continued to remain above normal over northwest India especially over

Rajasthan where the departures were of the order of 6 to 8ºC.

Cumulative Seasonal Rainfall (1st June to 7

th September, 2005)

Rainfall was excess/normal in 27 and deficient/scanty in 9 out of 36 meteorological sub-divisions. (Actual: 707.0 mm, Normal :

765.3 mm and Departure: -8%).

Outlook For The Week Ending On September 14, 2005

1. Fairly widespread rainfall with isolated heavy falls likely over south peninsula, Orissa, Gujarat and Maharashtra & Goa.

2. Moderate scattered rainfall likely over central India and northwest India.

3. Increase in rainfall activity is likely over Gangetic West Bengal, Jharkhand and Bihar during 2nd half of the week.

4. Generally subdued rainfall activity likely over northeast India.

Rainfall Distribution for the week ending as on 7th September 2005

7777 ‡ºÉIÉƤɮ‡ºÉIÉƤɮ‡ºÉIÉƤɮ‡ºÉIÉƤɮ , 2005 EÒÉÄ ºÉ¨ÉÉ{IÉ ºÉ{IÉÉ½Þ EÄÒ ‡±ÉB ´É¹ÉÉÇ , 2005 EÒÉÄ ºÉ¨ÉÉ{IÉ ºÉ{IÉÉ½Þ EÄÒ ‡±ÉB ´É¹ÉÉÇ , 2005 EÒÉÄ ºÉ¨ÉÉ{IÉ ºÉ{IÉÉ½Þ EÄÒ ‡±ÉB ´É¹ÉÉÇ , 2005 EÒÉÄ ºÉ¨ÉÉ{IÉ ºÉ{IÉÉ½Þ EÄÒ ‡±ÉB ´É¹ÉÉÇ ‡´ÉIÉ®ÚHɇ´ÉIÉ®ÚHɇ´ÉIÉ®ÚHɇ´ÉIÉ®ÚHÉ

During the week ending on 7th September 2005, rainfall was excess/normal in 15, and deficient/scanty/no rain in 21 meteorological subdivisions. During the period from 1st June to 7th September 2005, out of 36 meteorological sub-divisions, rainfall was excess/normal in 27, deficient/scanty in 9 meteorological subdivisions.

Comparison of rainfall distribution during past 2 weeks

MÉIÉ 2 ºÉ{IMÉIÉ 2 ºÉ{IMÉIÉ 2 ºÉ{IMÉIÉ 2 ºÉ{IÉɽÞÉÅ EÄÒ NÙÉÈ®ÚÉXÉ EÄÒ ÉɽÞÉÅ EÄÒ NÙÉÈ®ÚÉXÉ EÄÒ ÉɽÞÉÅ EÄÒ NÙÉÈ®ÚÉXÉ EÄÒ ÉɽÞÉÅ EÄÒ NÙÉÈ®ÚÉXÉ EÄÒ ´É¹ÉÉÇ ‡´ÉIÉ®ÚHÉ EÒÒ IÉÖ±ÉXÉɴɹÉÉÇ ‡´ÉIÉ®ÚHÉ EÒÒ IÉÖ±ÉXÉɴɹÉÉÇ ‡´ÉIÉ®ÚHÉ EÒÒ IÉÖ±ÉXÉɴɹÉÉÇ ‡´ÉIÉ®ÚHÉ EÒÒ IÉÖ±ÉXÉÉ

During the period 1 June to 31st August 2005

During the period 1 June to 7th September 2005

Country as a whole rainfall Distribution

Country as a whole rainfall Distribution

Normal for 1st June to 31

st August = 718.6 mm Normal for 1

st June to 7

th September = 763.6 mm

Actual rainfall = 676.3 mm Actual rainfall = 712.9 mm

% Dep. From normal = -6 % Dep. From normal = -7 %

Zone wise rainfall Distribution Zone wise rainfall Distribution

Actual Normal % Dep. Actual Normal % Dep.

North-West 416.0 497.7 -16 North-West 427.3 543.2 - 21

Central 829.3 806.8 3 Central 871.4 848.2 3

South Peninsula 583.9 562.6 4 South Peninsula 663.7 595.0 12

North-east India 968.7 1150.6 -16 North-east India 990.2 1217.8 -19

Sub-Division wise rainfall Distribution

Sub-Division wise rainfall Distribution

Excess = 6 (17 %) Excess = 5 ( 14 %)

Normal = 25 (69 %) Normal = 22 ( 61%)

Deficient = 5 (14 %) Deficient = 9 ( 25 %)

Scanty = 0 Scanty = 0

Comparison of cumulative rainfall distribution (in % dep.) in different Met. Sub-divisions during past 5 weeks

MÉIÉ 5 ºÉ{IÉɽÞÉÅ EÄÒ NÙÉÈ®ÚÉXÉ ‡´É‡¦ÉZÉ ¨ÉÉÈºÉ¨É ={ɨÉÆB÷±ÉÉÅ ¨ÉÅ MÉIÉ 5 ºÉ{IÉɽÞÉÅ EÄÒ NÙÉÈ®ÚÉXÉ ‡´É‡¦ÉZÉ ¨ÉÉÈºÉ¨É ={ɨÉÆB÷±ÉÉÅ ¨ÉÅ MÉIÉ 5 ºÉ{IÉɽÞÉÅ EÄÒ NÙÉÈ®ÚÉXÉ ‡´É‡¦ÉZÉ ¨ÉÉÈºÉ¨É ={ɨÉÆB÷±ÉÉÅ ¨ÉÅ MÉIÉ 5 ºÉ{IÉɽÞÉÅ EÄÒ NÙÉÈ®ÚÉXÉ ‡´É‡¦ÉZÉ ¨ÉÉÈºÉ¨É ={ɨÉÆB÷±ÉÉÅ ¨ÉÅ ººººÉÆSɪÉÒ ´É¹ÉÉÇ ‡´ÉIÉ®ÚHÉ (‡´ÉSɱÉXÉ |ɇIÉ„ÉIÉ ¨ÉÅ) EÒÒ IÉÖ±ÉXÉÉÉÆSɪÉÒ ´É¹ÉÉÇ ‡´ÉIÉ®ÚHÉ (‡´ÉSɱÉXÉ |ɇIÉ„ÉIÉ ¨ÉÅ) EÒÒ IÉÖ±ÉXÉÉÉÆSɪÉÒ ´É¹ÉÉÇ ‡´ÉIÉ®ÚHÉ (‡´ÉSɱÉXÉ |ɇIÉ„ÉIÉ ¨ÉÅ) EÒÒ IÉÖ±ÉXÉÉÉÆSɪÉÒ ´É¹ÉÉÇ ‡´ÉIÉ®ÚHÉ (‡´ÉSɱÉXÉ |ɇIÉ„ÉIÉ ¨ÉÅ) EÒÒ IÉÖ±ÉXÉÉ

Cumulative Rainfall (% Dep.) For the period Sr.

No. Sub-division

10th

August

17th August

24th August

31st August

7th September

1 A & N Islands -66 85 -60 -65 -70

2 Arunachal Pradesh 63 -38 64 31 1

3 Assam and Meghalaya 14 -16 17 -7 -57

4 NNMT 12 -28 41 -26 8

5 SH West Bengal & Sikkim 20 16 33 -20 -39

6 Gangetic West Bengal -38 -36 -10 -55 -71

7 Orissa -46 -65 -6 -70 -61

8 Jharkhand -63 -61 5 -92 -47

9 Bihar 36 -6 37 50 -11

10 East Uttar Pradesh -35 -56 58 -61 -46

11 West Uttar Pradesh -73 -77 -40 -99 -70

12 Uttaranchal -29 -41 -31 -47 7

13 Haryana,chandigarh and Delhi -11 -87 -77 -95 -99

14 Punjab 23 -63 -69 -87 -94

15 Himachal Pradesh -37 -36 -60 -66 -75

16 J & K -50 -37 -75 -68 -94

17 West Rajasthan -87 -97 -88 -100 -100

18 East Rajasthan -77 -81 -79 -99 -94

19 West M. P. -78 -80 -75 -94 -69

20 East M. P. -22 -55 63 -98 -60

21 Gujarat region -11 -82 -78 -80 -84

22 Saurashtra and Kutch -74 -97 -87 -86 -96

23 Konkan and Goa 3 -30 -9 -71 -21

24 Madhya Maharashtra 26 -35 -3 -26 111

25 Marathwada -36 -32 -66 -76 -8

26 Vidarbha 21 -51 -26 -97 -56

27 Chattisgarh 1 -42 -14 -89 -37

28 Coastal A. P. -28 -55 -42 -25 24

29 Telangana 0 -6 -46 -83 33

30 Rayalseema -35 20 26 147 277

31 TamilNadu and Pondicherry -95 -71 -36 117 216

32 Coastal Karnataka -3 -26 -56 -70 3

33 N. I. Karnataka -12 -8 -35 24 149

34 S. I. Karnataka 0 19 -30 153 228

35 Kerala -56 -38 -90 -34 215

36 Lakshadweep -46 -78 -88 20 515

Districts in different states which have been deficient /scanty or no rain for 2 weeks

‡´É‡¦ÉZÉ ®ÚÉVªÉÉÅ ¨ÉÅ ‡VɱÉÄ VɽÞÉÆ 2 ‡´É‡¦ÉZÉ ®ÚÉVªÉÉÅ ¨ÉÅ ‡VɱÉÄ VɽÞÉÆ 2 ‡´É‡¦ÉZÉ ®ÚÉVªÉÉÅ ¨ÉÅ ‡VɱÉÄ VɽÞÉÆ 2 ‡´É‡¦ÉZÉ ®ÚÉVªÉÉÅ ¨ÉÅ ‡VɱÉÄ VɽÞÉÆ 2 ºÉ{IÉÉ½Þ EÄÒ ‡±ÉB ºÉɨÉÉXªÉ ºÉÄ EÒ¨É ºÉ{IÉÉ½Þ EÄÒ ‡±ÉB ºÉɨÉÉXªÉ ºÉÄ EÒ¨É ºÉ{IÉÉ½Þ EÄÒ ‡±ÉB ºÉɨÉÉXªÉ ºÉÄ EÒ¨É ºÉ{IÉÉ½Þ EÄÒ ‡±ÉB ºÉɨÉÉXªÉ ºÉÄ EÒ¨É

/ºÉɨÉÉXªÉ ºÉÄ ¤É½ÖÞIÉ EÒ¨É ªÉÉ ´É¹ÉÉÇ XɽÞÓ/ºÉɨÉÉXªÉ ºÉÄ ¤É½ÖÞIÉ EÒ¨É ªÉÉ ´É¹ÉÉÇ XɽÞÓ/ºÉɨÉÉXªÉ ºÉÄ ¤É½ÖÞIÉ EÒ¨É ªÉÉ ´É¹ÉÉÇ XɽÞÓ/ºÉɨÉÉXªÉ ºÉÄ ¤É½ÖÞIÉ EÒ¨É ªÉÉ ´É¹ÉÉÇ XɽÞÓ Sr. No. State No. of districts

1 Andhra Pradesh 4

2 Assam 6

3 Delhi 1

4 Gujarat 25

5 Haryana 17

6 Himachal Pradesh 8

7 Maharashtra 17

8 Orissa 25

9 Punjab 11

10 Rajasthan 32

11 Sikkim 1

12 Uttaranchal 3

13 Uttar Pradesh 40

14 West Bengal 12

Legends

(20% or more excess rainfall)

(-19 to +19% normal rainfall)

(-20 to -59% deficient rainfall)

(-60 to -99 % scanty rainfall)

(-100% no rainfall)

(Data not available)

Forecast valid for next 72 hours for the country as a whole

Outlook for subsequent 48 hours for the country based on NCMRWF and other numerical weather products

North Isolated rain/thundershowers likely in the

region.

East

Rain/thundershowers likely at many

places over Orissa; at a few places over

Gangetic West Bengal and Chhattisgarh

and isolated in the rest region.

i. Rainfall activity is likely to continue over

Peninsular India with reduced intensity.

ii. Increase in rainfall over central India.

South Rain/thundershowers likely at many

places over the region outside Tamil

Nadu where it may be at a few places.

West

Rain/thundershowers likely at many

places over Maharashtra and Goa and at a

few places over rest region outside West

Rajasthan where it may be Isolated.

Increase in rainfall over Maharashtra after

9th.

Warning

Isolated heavy rainfall is likely over Coastal Orissa,

Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Coastal

Karnataka and Konkan & Goa.�