b

The Future of Transportation

Melanie Zauscher

SIO 209

MZ-2

Future of Transportation Technologies

Maglev Bus Rapid Transport

Zero-Fare Transport Hasselt, Belgium Paris Bicycle Program

Shipping

MZ-3

Introduction In developing countries,

demand for private vehicles is outpacing the supply of infrastructure

Global transport energy use is forecast to increase 2% per year

Goods transport uses 35% of all transport energy

Ribeiro, Kahn (2007) Transport and its Infrastructure. In Climate Change 2007: Mitigation, Contribution of Working Group III to the Fourth Assessment Report

for IPCC. Cambridge University Press

MZ-4

Introduction

Ribeiro, Kahn (2007) Transport and its Infrastructure. In Climate Change 2007: Mitigation, Contribution of Working Group III to the Fourth Assessment Report

for IPCC. Cambridge University Press

MZ-5

Maglev Trains Powered by electromagnetic force

not compatible with traditional train infrastructure

low energy consumption and maintenance

Potentially faster than traditional trains fastest recorded speed is 361 mph

Higher cost per mile, but can climb up 10% gradient making it economically feasible sometimes

James, Alan (2006) The Engineer. 293, 16

Yan, Luguang (2004) IEEE Trans on Applied Superconductivity. Vol. 14, No. 2

MZ-6

Maglev Trains Only current high-speed commercial Maglev is in

Shanghai, China operational since 2003 18.6 miles to airport at 150 mph in 7.2 minutes

Work is underway to extend line 812 miles from Shanghai to Beijing only a 3-hour trip (half the distance between LA & SF)!

James, Alan (2006) “Magnetic Attraction”. The Engineer. 293, 16

Yan, Luguang (2004) IEEE Trans on Applied Superconductivity. Vol. 14, No. 2

MZ-7

Bus Rapid Transit High-capacity buses running on dedicated lanes

convenient off-board payment collection buses are easy and quick to board service is frequent and reliable

BRT should be implemented in conjunction with other planning measures

Patankar, Vaishali (2007), J. Urban Plng. and Devel., Volume 133, Issue 2

MZ-8

Bus Rapid Transit Lower capital and operating costs

Cost per mile comparison from LA: subway $258M light rail $44M BRT $24M

San Diego is preparing for BRT Escondido to Downtown via I-15 Fully completed in 2012, but in phases beginning 2008

Patankar, Vaishali (2007), J. Urban Plng. and Devel., Volume 133, Issue 2

http://www.sandag.cog.ca.us/index.asp?projectid=34&fuseaction=projects.detail

MZ-9

Zero-Fare Transport Funded by other means than a transport fare

taxes or corporate sponsorships Ferries, buses, shuttles, bike programs Provider has incentives to:

reduce air pollution and congestion service their customers, employees, or students save $$ by not building or having to maintain bridges,

parking, and streets Examples

National parks, ski resorts, college campuses, downtown areas, and whole towns!

Olson, Dave (2007) The Tyee. “No Hassle Transit? Try Hasselt” 10/7/07

MZ-10

Hasselt, Belgium

MZ-11

Hasselt, Belgium Between 1987-1999, population rose 3%, but

number of cars 25% 70,000 residents and 300,000 commuters Improved bus system along with pedestrian and

bicycle infrastructure first Zero-fare started in 1997 Can borrow a bicycle, tandem, scooter,

wheelchair, stroller for free Saved millions of Euros on transportation

infrastructure costs

Olson, Dave (2007) The Tyee. “No Hassle Transit? Try Hasselt” 10/7/07

MZ-12

Paris Bicycle Program

MZ-13

Paris Bicycle Program Paris got the bikes in exchange for exclusive

rights to 1000+ billboards in the city For a weekly or yearly fee, users can ride bikes

for free up to 30 minutes Over 10,000 bikes in over 750 locations! In 2 months 3.7 million rides! Goal was to reduce air pollution and traffic Successful because this is one of several

modes of transit available in Paris

http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=14429468

MZ-14

Shipping ~90% of global merchandise

is transported by sea Because of the bottom line,

shipping companies are more conscious of energy efficiency

As economic growth and integration continues, shipping will continue to increase

Last unregulated source of air pollution

Ribeiro, Kahn (2007) Transport and its Infrastructure. In Climate Change 2007: Mitigation, Contribution of Working Group III to the Fourth Assessment Report

for IPCC. Cambridge University Press

MZ-15

Shipping

Eyring, V. (2004). Emissions from international shipping: 2 Impact of future technologies on scenarios until 2050. Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol 110

MZ-16

Port of LA Largest port in the country Have a 5 year plan to reduce 45% of air pollution

Replace or retrofit 16,000 trucks Alternative Maritime Power Program

plug-in to grid instead of running on diesel power when docked

available since 2004 and growing ships must be retrofitted to AMP specifications

Have a RPF out for zero emissions container mover systems

maglev blimp

http://www.portoflosangeles.org

MZ-17

So, what will be the future of transportation?

Why do we prefer to buy something from across the world?

MZ-18

Bonus: real or science fiction?

M200G volantor by Moller International

2 passenger Flies 10 feet off the

ground, avoiding FAA regulation

Up to 50 mph $90,000 to $125,000

Flying car

http://www.moller.com/files/M200_Production_starts.pdf

MZ-19

Bonus: real or science fiction?

Aerocraft Not a blimp

not filled with gas lighter than air

Built for luxury

Flying cruise ship

http://www.popsci.com/popsci/whatsnew/18ac893302839010vgnvcm1000004eecbccdrcrd.html?s_prop18=whatsnew