Babyfood Market Analysis_V3

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    PuJunJuly 8, 2007

    Babyfood Market Analysis

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    Pu Jun | YGPBabyfood Market Analysis.- PPT

    2007 Capgemini - All rights reserved 1

    Contents

    Babyfood Market Overview

    Market Size and Trends

    Manufacturer Analysis

    Consumer Analysis

    Analysis across Supply Chain

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    Pu Jun | YGPBabyfood Market Analysis.- PPT

    2007 Capgemini - All rights reserved 2

    Executive Summary

    The potential Babyfood market space in China is very large

    There are about 70 million of 0-3 year-old babies in China

    The statistics of newborns in China is about 17.5 million per year, representing 13% of the world

    newborns

    High-End Babyfood market is the focus of competition

    Multinational companies have advantages in market share

    Multinational Babyfood take up more than 50% of the whole market share especially in the high-

    end market

    After the Inferior Milk Powder Incident, market is becoming more regulated

    Babyfood companies are seeking cooperation for better marketing performance

    Parents are willing to pay more money on the babyfood

    Parents are more concerned about the quality and nutrition combination

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    Pu Jun | YGPBabyfood Market Analysis.- PPT

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    Manufacturers have categorized their products into different age group

    0-6 Months 6-12 Months 1-3 Years

    ProductCategory

    Milk Powder Milk Powder

    Baby Cereal

    Vegetable Powder Vegetable Puree

    Baby Cereal

    Meat Puree

    Baby has different nutritionrequirement in different age

    group

    Manufacturers have

    designed different products

    according to the various

    market demand

    Mothers milk and babymilk powder are main

    nutrition resources for

    infants at 0-6 months

    With the increasing of the

    age, milk powder is not

    sufficient enough to meet

    babies nutritionrequirements

    supplementary baby food

    is mainly designed for

    baby above 6 months

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    Pu Jun | YGPBabyfood Market Analysis.- PPT

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    The potential Babyfood market space in China is very large

    Birthrate

    Market

    Demand

    There are about 70 million of 0-3year-old babies in China among

    which 10.7 million are urban

    ones.

    With the steady development of

    economy and population, China

    has become the second largest

    Babyfood consumption country

    next to USA and will be number

    one by 2010.

    The statistics of newborns in

    China is about 17.5 million per

    year, representing 13% of the

    world newborns

    The annual demand of baby milkpowder is about 300 thousand

    tons but the producing capacity

    is only about 100 thousand tons

    in China per year. The potential

    market space is thus quite large.

    Econom ic grow th and populat ion increase is the main reason for market demand expansion

    87%

    13%

    Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China

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    Pu Jun | YGPBabyfood Market Analysis.- PPT

    2007 Capgemini - All rights reserved 5

    With the rising of the domestic living

    standard, the demand for high-quality

    babyfood is expanding rapidly

    Parents are not very knowledgeable, but

    they tend to believe the recommendation

    of experts

    China is one of the largest babyfood

    consumption countries. The annual

    market growth rate is about 20%. Last

    year the total sale figures of baby milk

    powder is about 5 billion RMB

    High-End Babyfood market is the focus of competition

    Economic & Social Background Industry Background

    The profit margin of high-end market can

    reach 20-30%

    Developing of the high-end market can

    help promote the upgrading of the

    products, improve the industrial structure

    and segment the market to meet thecustomers needs

    Can help enterprises optimize the layout

    of the brand and bolster the corporateimage

    The potential High-end market attracts a large number of enterprises

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    Pu Jun | YGPBabyfood Market Analysis.- PPT

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    -64.50%

    -19.50%

    2.30%

    23%

    46.10%

    2.40%

    -80.00%

    -60.00%

    -40.00%

    -20.00%

    0.00%

    20.00%

    40.00%

    60.00%

    80.00%

    100 Total(RMB)

    Growth Rate of Sale Volumn Growth Rate of Sale Figures

    The demand of

    High-End marketis quite large

    High-End products is the main growth point in the future market

    Market TrendThe Market Growth of Different Grades Products

    in Price Level in China

    Consumers have higher demand

    on products quality

    High-end products have the

    highest level of technology, the

    most advanced formula, and the

    most balanced nutrition

    combination, represented thedeveloping trends of the market

    Quality

    Nutrition

    Taste

    Package

    Formula

    Source: ACNielsen Market Analysis Statistics

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    Pu Jun | YGPBabyfood Market Analysis.- PPT

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    Contents

    Babyfood Market Overview

    Market Size and Trends

    Manufacturer Analysis

    Key Players of the Market

    Market Share

    Competition and Cooperation

    Consumer Analysis

    Analysis across Supply Chain

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    Economically advanced regions are main markets

    Shanghai

    Hohhot

    Tsingtao

    Shuangcheng

    Guangzhou

    Harbin

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    8.35%

    6.22%

    5.53%

    14.55%

    Abbott10.85%

    1.75%

    2.16%

    2.46%

    2.88%

    3.93%

    MeadJohnson15.95%

    Dumex13.05%

    Wyeth12.32%

    MeadJohnson Dumex WyethAbbott Synutra YiliNestle Sanlu YashiliBeingmate Scient MorinagaOthers

    Multinational companies have advantages in market share

    2006 Babyfood Market Share Multinational Babyfood take up more

    than 50% of the whole market shareespecially in the high-end market

    High quality products

    High level services, including presale and

    after-sale services

    High brand influence

    Domestic brands have theiradvantages in cost control and prices

    Play a more important role in the low-end

    market

    Raw material supply is a merit for domestic

    babyfood companies

    Can reuse the current dairy distribution

    network

    Source: 2006 Dairy Market Analysis Report

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    Pu Jun | YGPBabyfood Market Analysis.- PPT

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    After the Inferior Milk Powder Incident, market is becoming more regulated

    After the Inferior Milk Powder Incident, Government strengthened the supervision

    and control of the market and enacted a series of laws to prevent a similar incident

    from happening again

    Supervision in the entire production process from raw material to finished products

    Market is becoming more and more regulated

    Enterprises relying on low-price penetration and unreal propaganda are gradually disappearing

    Enterprises are improving quality through the introduction of new technology

    The self-discipline of companies and transparency of the market has greatly improved

    China's Babyfood industry has entered a new competition stage

    After the market reshuffle, there is a gap in the

    rural market

    Due to the strengthening of market regulation, some

    inferior-product producers have been eliminated

    Due to the low consumption standard in rural areas, it

    is more suitable for the development of domesticbrands

    Under the supervis ion of th e government, market compet i t ion wil l becom e more and mo re regulated

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    Babyfood companies are seeking cooperation for better marketing performance

    Cooperation between enterprises can help further optimize the Allocation of

    Resources and make up for their deficiencies

    Cooperation between domestic enterprises and multinational enterprises can bring domestic raw

    material and channel advantages into full play.

    Meanwhile, domestic enterprises can use foreign companies technology and service edge

    Sanlu has cooperated with New Zealand

    dairy company Fonterra and set up a large

    modern dairy plant in Tangshan

    Mengniu has collaborated with Denmark

    famous dairy company ArlaFoods for further

    development

    Taiwan dairy company UNI-PRESIDENT has

    subscribed 15% stake of Wandashan and

    total subscription amount is 300 million RMB

    Cooperat ion between enterpr ises is a good way for market entrance

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    Contents

    Babyfood Market Overview

    Market Size and Trends

    Manufacturer Analysis

    Consumer Analysis

    Consumer Attitude

    Analysis Across Supply Chain

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    Parents are willing to pay more money on the Babyfood

    37.10%

    43.30%

    19.60%

    100-300 300-500 500+ (RMB)

    With the Development of economy

    and citizen income, parents are

    prone to spend more money on thebobyfood

    Source: www.kanbaby.cn

    Monthly Average Household Spending onBabyfood (RMB)

    5.20%

    68.50%

    26.30%

    100-300 300-500 500+ (RMB)

    Parents pay more attention

    on the nutrition, quality and

    added value of the products

    Due to the one-childpolicy, parents are

    willing to pay more

    attention on the

    only child

    Economic g rowth St imula tes the r is ing of co nsumpt ion level

    Economically Advanced Regions

    Less Developed Regions

    Economically Advanced Regions

    Less Developed Regions

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    5.40%

    5.50%

    12.00%

    25.60%

    42.40%

    76.80%

    33.60%

    Good Package

    Long Guarantee Period

    Imported Products

    Reasonable Price

    Brand Reputation

    Baby's Acceptance

    Nutrition

    Parents are more concerned about the quality and nutrition combination

    Questionnaire of 3005 parents on ranking of buying criteria

    Source: www.kanbaby.cn

    Products with the

    function of immune-enhancing and

    mental-developing

    are more popular

    What parents conc ern most ly is the qual i ty and nutr i t ion o f the products

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    Pu Jun | YGPBabyfood Market Analysis.- PPT

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    Parents prefer foreign brands for better quality and services

    Source: www.kanbaby.cn

    MeadJohnson

    Nestle

    Wyeth

    Dumex

    YiliWondersun

    Abbott

    Morinaga

    Synutra

    Friso

    Meiji

    Ranking 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

    Weichuan

    8 9 1110 12

    The most often consumed baby milk powder brands for infants

    MeadJohnson, Nestle,

    Wyeth and Dumex are

    the Top 4 brands

    which customers are

    willing to choose

    Better quality and taste is the main reason for consumers choice of foreign brands

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    Consumers attitudes are quite emotional

    To lay a solid foundation for children is soimportant. I am more concern about the quality ofthe products

    Taking good care of baby is the responsibility of

    parents. So I will buy top-quality milk powder

    I can not let my child lose at the scratch line. Theexpensive products may have better effect

    Source: Questionnaire of consumer psychology

    From Consumers view, quality and brand influence is more important than price

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    Contents

    Babyfood Market Overview

    Analysis Across Supply Chain

    Raw Material

    Products Distribution

    Retail

    Service

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    Executive Summary

    Domestic brands have raw material advantages.

    They have their own cattle farms and processing plants

    Many dairy companies can use the existing resources and devices for further babyfood producing

    without huge amount of investments

    Lack of adequate production bases is the key issue to multinational Babyfood

    Companies

    Customer requirements oriented products development is a key success factor

    Foreign BabyFood brands have successfully made use of medical channels tomarket and sell their products in China

    Baby food companies are intensifying their advertising efforts in China to capture

    the market

    Internet channel will become another important way for product sale

    Communication is more important than promotion in the Babyfood market

    Improving the satisfaction degree of customers will add value to the brand

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    Value Chain Analysis

    The Source ofthe Raw Material

    PackageMaterials

    Technology

    Product Category

    Product

    Positioning

    DistributionChannel

    Hospital Channel

    Internet Channel

    Propaganda

    ConsumptionGuide

    Product Display

    Promotion

    Training ofSalesperson

    Presale Services

    After-sale Services

    Raw Material Retail ServiceProducts Distribution

    ELEMENT

    ACTORS

    Cattle Farm

    Raw MaterialSupplier

    Production Bases

    Product Designer

    NutritionDelegate

    Advertiser

    Distributor Prolocutor

    Salesperson

    Trade Assistant

    MarketingDepartment

    NutritionConsultant

    Quality Consultant

    Doctor

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    Domestic brands have raw material advantages

    Many domestic companies have dairy related products. They can use the current

    resources to produce babyfood without investing a lot.

    Many domestic companies have their own cattle farms and processing plants

    Many dairy companies can use the existing resources and devices for further babyfood producing

    without huge amount of investments

    Due to the drought in the milk powder raw material main exporter Australia , the purchase price

    soared upward.

    Yili has established 4 milk powder production

    bases in Hohhot Inner Mongolia, DurbatHeilongjiang, Shihezi Xinjiang and Wuhan

    Hubei. Yili has become the largest milk

    powder producer in China.

    The 4 bases of Yili has covered four strategic

    region including northern, northeastern,

    northwestern and central china

    Raw Material

    How to bring raw material

    advantages into full play is a

    key success factor

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    In the milk powder producing area, Nestle only

    has one production base located in

    Shuangcheng Heilongjiang in China

    Nestle had attempted to merge Yunnan Diequan

    Dairy Company but ended in failure

    Lack of adequate production bases is the key issue tomultinational Babyfood companies

    High cost of raw materials has become the Achilles heel of multinational babyfood

    companies

    Dont have adequate milk powder production bases

    Cost is highly affected by the international price of raw material

    They are seeking cooperation with domestic companies or though merger and acquisition

    Dumex has one production base in Shanghai

    and plans to construct the second base in

    Nanhui district to expand production

    capacity

    Raw Material

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    Customer requirements oriented products development isa key success factor

    Products

    4C4P

    Product-Oriented Customer-Oriented

    The traditional 1P+3P market

    theory in the babyfood field has

    become outdated

    Product

    Price

    Place

    Promotion

    1C+3C market theory is more

    suitable in the current

    competitive market

    Customer

    Cost

    Convenience

    Communication

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    Better Babyfood positioning will lead to market successProducts

    Successful Babyfood products stand for

    meeting the requirements of consumers.

    While designing new products, the followingfactors must be considered

    What the customers want

    The products category depending on different

    customer needs

    Using of new technology to produce high quality

    products

    Carefully design the package to cater for popular

    demand

    Different products positioning to different region

    Dumex Dupro and MeadJohnson Enfapro

    are mainly designed for Hign-End market

    with better nutrition combination and higher

    price

    Positioning: High-End market

    Baby

    Food

    Quality

    Nutrition

    Package Region

    Positioning

    Technology

    Foreign brands are mainly po sit ioned at the high-end market

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    Foreign BabyFood brands have successfully made use ofmedical channels to market and sell their products in China

    Distribution

    Multinational babyfood companies have successful experiences in establishing

    medicals channel to promote the sale of their products

    MeadJohnson and Wyeth have a pharmaceutical background. They use medical channels to

    promote the sales

    A doctors recommendation is an important reference frame for parents brand selection

    Doctors recommendations, medical lectures and one-to-one customer profiling are key success

    factors for multinational babyfood companies, especially in the high-end market

    World-class babyfood leader Heinz has established its

    Heinz Food Experts Panel which consists of experts inthe fields of food, nutrition and medicine

    Nestle is the first company to establish the medical

    channel in China.

    Nestle has a large group of nutrition delegates to maintain its

    medical channel in a smooth and steady developing condition

    The use of medical channel is a compet i t ive advantage for mult inat ional brand.

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    Baby food companies are intensifying their advertisingefforts in China to capture the market

    Distribution

    2005VS2006 1-8 China Top 5 City of BabyfoodAdvertisement Investment (Million RMB)

    121.2

    187.5

    63.6

    136.8

    62.5

    122.2

    64.2

    121.4

    67

    99.9

    020406080

    100120140160180200

    Guangzhou Changsha Chengdu Shanghai Chongqing

    2005 1-8 2006 1-8

    Morethan50%

    25.40%

    46.90%

    47.70%

    55.80%

    226.40%

    302.70%

    0.00% 50.00% 100.00% 150.00% 200.00% 250.00% 300.00% 350.00%

    Scient

    Others

    Dumex

    Yashili

    Wyeth

    Abbott

    rate of increment

    2005 vs 2006 1-8 China Babyfood AdvertisementInvestment Increment Rate

    Advertisement Investment

    The strong growth momentum of theChinababy food market drives the increment of

    advertisement investments

    Baby food advertisement investments are

    mainly in the densely populated cities

    Guangzhou

    Shanghai

    Market Opportunity

    2007 is called the Year of the Golden Pig

    which is considered a prosperous year for

    having children Big advertising efforts this year are expected

    to attract more (new) customers

    The potential market is very big and offers lots

    of opportunities for baby food companies

    Source: CRT 2005 Market Analysis Statistics

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    Internet channels will become another important way forproduct sales in China

    Distribution

    2006 Internet transaction figures of China are 26.65 billionRMB, representing 0.85% of the consumer goods salesfigures. In the year 2002, it only took up 0.04%

    The phenomenon reflects the high speed development ofInternet transaction

    Women of reproductive age are mainly at the age range from

    25-35. They are mostly born in the 1980s, raised during therise of Internet

    They are well educated and eager to accept new things.

    Their salaries are mainly distributed between 1500-3500 RMB

    The transaction figures of Taobao in the 1st

    quarter 2007 hasexceeded 7 billion RMB and the total number of registeredmembers has reached 35.1million RMB

    From Dec 2006 to Jan 2007, the total sales figures of milkpowder on Taobao was nearly 300,000 RMB

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    How to make good use of internet channel is theproblem domestic companies face

    Distribution

    Strengths

    Adequate distribution entities

    Better logistics system

    Threats

    Share of the baby food market

    and the impact of the brand are

    the advantages of multinational

    companies

    Difficulty in coherent price control

    Opportunit ies

    The Internet marketing of

    multinational companies in China

    is not mature enough

    Weaknesses

    Lack of experience in website operation

    Lack of scientific Investment income

    analysis system

    Not enough brand charisma

    Internet Sales Channel

    B2C, C2C Channel

    Taobao

    Ebay

    B2B Channel

    Alibaba

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    What the parents want from the products is the sense of satisfaction

    The quality of the products

    The nutrition combination of the products including two main functions, immune-enhancing and

    mental-development

    Baby food is a high-risk food and once the consumers are satisfied with the product,

    they will show high level loyalty

    In the sales process, expressing the key features and added value of the products according to the

    customers requirements is rather important.

    It will arouse the consumers purchasing desire

    Communication is more important than promotion in theBabyfood market

    Retail

    Price reduction may boost the sales volume but

    does not help to increase the value of the brand

    Price reducing may give the consumers feeling of

    lower quality

    Price reducing will cause the decrement of profit

    margin.

    How to express the key features of the products to the customers is a key succ ess factor

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    Value=Customers Sense of Satisfaction/PriceService

    Improving the satisfaction degree of customers will add value to the brand and

    decrease the impact of high price

    Better service including presales and after-sales services

    Customer guidance helping to learn baby-nurturing knowledge

    Regular social useful activities to add value to the brand

    Establish comprehensive presale and after-sale service mechanism to improve the

    satisfaction degree of customers

    Set up specialized service hotline and service department

    Provide experts lecture and free child rearing consulting services

    Regular Journal of Nutrition and some baby nurturing guide

    Dumex Gold Club and MeadJohnson A+ Club

    provide many Human-based services such as

    product consulting, baby nurturing and nutrition

    consulting services

    Improving customers satisfaction degree will add brand value

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