Upload
jordan-kidder
View
214
Download
1
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Banking Industry Outlook
• Improving credit environment
• Deceleration on cost-cutting – Focus on growth
• Lower loan-loss provision
• Increasing adaptation to regulations
Q1 2011
Q2 2011
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
Q4 2012
Q1 2013
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
3.50%
4.00%
4.50%
Net Interest Margin
Wells Fargo U.S. BancorpCitigroup JPMorganBank of America
Improving Margins (BofA)
“Bank of America Corp. posted its strongest annual profit since 2007, driven by lower expenses and growth in key businesses such as consumer lending and wealth management.”BofA earns $3.44 billion in Q4 2013
BofA Highlights
• 10% Increase in trading revenue Q4 ’13 – only major U.S. Investment bank to report an increase
• Total revenue Increase to 21.7 Billion vs. 18.9 Billion YoY
• Interest income rose 4% % noninterest income rose 28% in 4Q2013 - net interest margin increased from 2.35% to 2.56% (as compared to 4Q2012)
• Basel III Tier 1 Capital Ratio of 9%; higher than JPM, WFC, C
BofA Undervalued?
Industry BAC C GS JPM WFC MS UBS HSBC DB CS
Trailing P/E (ttm, intraday): 0 18.12 11.04 10.65 12.66 11.7 21.29 217.91 12.16N/A 16.58
PEG Ratio (5 yr expected): 1.31 0.6 0.5 1.97 1.58 1.21 0.48N/A 0.95 1.4 1.27
Return on Assets (ttm): 0.5% 0.7%N/A 0.8% 1.5%N/A 0.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.4%
Return on Equity (ttm): 4.9% 7.0% 10.4% 8.6% 13.5% 5.4% 1.1% 9.9% -0.9% 7.5%
Profit Margin (ttm): 13.4% 20.2% 23.5% 18.6% 26.9% 9.3% 1.1% 26.0% -1.7% 12.0%
Operating Margin (ttm): 29.0% 20.2% 28.9% 37.1% 27.6% 43.1% 26.6% 7.0% 39.9% 19.4% 20.0%
Executive Team
• CEO/President Brian T. Moynihan• CFO Bruce R. Thompson• Co-COO David C. Darnell• Co-COO Thomas K. Montag• Head of Compliance Gary G. Lynch
Business Segmentation
• Consumer and Business Banking• Consumer Real Estate Services• Global Wealth and Investment Management• Global Banking• Global Markets• All Other
Consumer and Business Banking (CBB)
Opportunities/Highlights• Low-interest environment• Increase of 6% in credit card
spending• Return on average allocated capital
increased to 26% Q4 ‘13 from 24% Q4 ‘12• 3.9M+ credit cards issued in 2013• Average deposit balances increased
9%
Risks• Potential litigation expense
• Weakness in consumer spending
Consumer Real Estate Services (CRES)
Opportunities/Highlights• Rises in value of real estate• Decreases in credit losses and
noninterest expense• Growth in home loans as
housing market improves
Risk Risks• Facing FHFA lawsuits• Continued losses from legacy
portfolios • Rising rates
Global Wealth and Investment Management
Opportunities/Highlights• Record earnings of $3B in GWIM -
major income source diversifier• Pretax margin increased from
21.1% to 26.6%• Asset management fees grew
15%• 18th consecutive quarter for
positive fund flows (up 81% from a year ago)
Risks• Increases in expenses (largely
due to higher volumes)• Increase in credit losses within
home loan portfolios
Global Banking
Opportunities/Highlights• BAML maintained #2 position in
global investment banking fees (up 9%)• Average loan & lease balances
increased 16%• Average deposits grew 7%• Optimistic growth in M&A &
leveraged loan markets
Risks• Regulatory risk
Global Markets
Opportunities/Highlights• Sales & Trading revenues rose
19% (the only major US investment bank to report an increase)• FI trading revenues increased
16%
Risks• Continued increases in
provisions for credit losses• Potential for further RMBS
litigation (increased noninterest expense from $2.6B to $3.3B)