Upload
others
View
5
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
3 July 2018
Balance of national demand and activity of
international investors as a prerequisite for
the development of regional exchanges
Equity investing to/from local markets
2
USA
39%
61%
Source: IMF for portfolio investments inflow and outflow as of June 2017
UK
51%
49%
Germany Japan
48%
52% 51%
49%
Russia Brazil Turkey Mexico
96%
4% 10%
90% 99%
1%
88%
12%
Investments of residents abroad
Investments from non-residents
Free float of emerging and core markets
3Source: Bloomberg, Moscow Exchange. As of 1H2018
32%
33%
35%
35%
39%
50%
56%
78%
86%
95%
95%
Russia
Mexico
USA
Brazil
UK
Turkey
Japan
Germany
Malaysia
Indonesia
China
Core marketsEmerging markets
Key differences between core and emerging markets
4
Local retail participation on financial market
Developed infrastructure: CSD and CCP
Convertible currency and lack of capital control
Emerging markets: early stage
Core markets
International investors participation
Depositary receipts (DRs) programs
Financial literacy level
Source: Moscow Exchange
Local institutional investors participation
Key focus areas to develop local financial market
5
1
Developing local financial infrastructure2
Motivating increase of local demand
Openness to international investors
3
Global banks provide DMA services on MOEX securities market
6
RUB is fully convertible
Euroclear and Clearstream provide settlement services for Russian bonds and equities
Openness to international investors
International clearing membership
2015
Direct market access (DMA)
2013
Euroclear and Clearstreamaccess
2013-2014
Convertible currency and lack of capital control
2006
Launched on FX market, planned on other markets
1
Source: Moscow Exchange
International investors share is increasing
7
International investors share in trading is increasing
Equity market Derivatives market
40%
20152013
44%
48%
2017 20172013
47%
19%
2015
40%
Share of international investors in OFZ holdings
21.5%
2015 20172011
18.7%
20162013 2014
23.9%
2012
32.5%
26.9%
19.9%
3.7%
Share of foreign nominee accounts
1
Source: Moscow Exchange
Foreign funds holdings of Russian equity
8
North AmericaUSD bn
1Q2018
43.7+21%
2017
38.1
2016
28.7
2015
24.5
54%52%
49%
55%
UKUSD bn
22%23%
21%
22%
+19%
2017
15.8
2016
12.4
2015
10.5
1Q2018
17.7
Europe without UKUSD bn
+6%
2017
14.9
2016
11.9
2015
13.7
1Q2018
16.3
20%21%22%
27%
WorldUSD bn
1Q2018
79.7+17%
2017
70.6
2016
54.8
2015
50.2
Source: ThomsonONE – as of period end, including DRs on Russian shares
- share in total holdingsХХ% - CAGR
1
9
National Clearing Centre (NCC) acts as CCP on all MOEX markets
Launch of the CSD removed the key barrier for trading in Russian local shares for foreign investors
Equities in T+2 settlement cycle meeting international standards
Developing local financial infrastructure
Unified Collateral Pool
Settlement with partial pre-funding (T+)
2013
Central Counterparty (CCP)
2012
Central Securities Depository (CSD)
2012
Advanced technology 110 million orders processed daily 140 thousand transactions per second
2
Source: Moscow Exchange
Netting of settlements, single account for all markets Cross-margining across markets
High and increasing market share versus OTC trading
10
2
Equities Market
FX Market
4М 2018
84%
2016
79%
2012
54%+30 p.p.
4М 2018
55%
2016
53%
2012
26%+29 p.p.
Source: Moscow Exchange
MoneyMarket
4М 20182016
79%
2012
X%
86%
+7 p.p.
Robust post-trade infrastructure
11
2
National Settlement Depository (NSD) assets on deposit
5M2018
43.2
2017
39.4
2016
36.4
2015
31.7
2014
24.9
2013
21.8
2012
12.3
at the end of period
RUB trln
Source: Moscow Exchange
High share of algorithmic trading
12
15%
63%
20%
40%
40%
42%
45%
48%
60%UK
USA
India
Japan
Russia
South Korea
Germany
South Africa
Brazil
ЗаключениеРоль на МБОб HFT
Source: Bloomberg, exchanges web-sitesData for Russia as of 2018YTD, for India as of 2016, for South Africa as of 2014, for Brazil as of 2013
Share of algotraders in equities
2
Core marketsEmerging markets
Liquidity is moving from DRs on LSE to local shares on MOEX
13Source: Moscow Exchange
42%
2014
55%
45%
June2013
49%
51%
2018YTD
61%
39%
2016
58%
MOEXLSE
MOEX vs LSE share
453502
2017
2 667
2016
1 985
2015
1 638
1 085
2014
1 1441 199
DR cancellations
DR issuance
Number of operations with DRs in National Settlement Depository
2
Regulatory incentives
to attract retail
investors
Motivating increase of local demand
14
17 new types of bonds since 2012 (23 types in total)
«Best Private investor» and «Invest Trial» competitions
MOEX Investor School
Regional seminars on financial literacy
FinFair in Moscow
3
Source: Moscow Exchange
Individual investment accounts (IIA)
Tax breaks on capital gains on securities held for >3 years
Tax breaks on coupon for corporate bonds
Brokerage accounts can be opened remotely
Moscow Exchange
retail initiatives
Retail clients: a growing segment of the Russian financial market
15
Number of retail clients accounts
accounts, mln
Newly opened retail clients
accounts, thousands
Source: Moscow Exchange
2013
1,0
1,3
2015 2017
1,9
+46%
+24%
5М2018
2,3
+137%
+81%
5М2018
131
2017
252
2015
106
2013
59
3
Increasing share of securities market instruments in savings of Russian individuals
16
Share of securities market instruments in total savings of Russian individuals
%
4M2018
16%
2015
15%
2012
8%
3
Source: Moscow Exchange
5М 2018
356
185
171
2017
302
141
161
2016
195
67
128
2015
89
22
67
IIA as the first broker account
Clients who had broker account before IIA
Number of IIA accounts
Increasing share of securities in non-state pension funds savings
17
+117%
2017 end
2.5
13%
72%
15%
2014 end
1.1
7%
47%
46%
Equities
Bonds
Deposits and other assets
RUB trln
Investment portfolio of pension savings of NPFs
Source: CBR, Investfunds.ru
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
4Q 1QApr-May
2Q1Q4Q3Q2Q1Q4Q3Q2Q1Q 3Q
Inflow/outflow
Accumulated inflow/outflow
2015+3.1
2016+13.8
2017+72.9
Money inflows to Russian mutual funds
RUB bln
2015 2016 2017 2018
5М 2018+66.1
3
Lower interest rates stimulate retailization
18
2014
6.3%6.9%
8.4%
10.2%
8.1%
4M2018201720162015
Deposit interest rates, %
9.1%
10.6%
12.6%
9.3%
7.5%
4M20182014 20162015 2017
AVG CBR key rates, %
Source: Moscow Exchange, Bank of Russia, Bloomberg
3
Access to retail investors: attracting new clients and new products offering through the development of Ecosystem
19
MOEX
Marketplace
Opening client accounts
Access to systems of brokers –
partners
Client’s profile
Analytics and portfolio
management
User-friendly interface and settlement
Concluding and execution of transactions
Broker selection and instrument description modules are implemented
9 large brokers are partners
botsbanks and brokers systems and other
Data Marts
ECOSYSTEM
To be implemented in 2018+
Risk management
Exchange products
Administration of pension accounts
Transaction registrator
Bank depositsInsurance policies
Banking, open API
Identification system for individuals
- may be implemented on MOEX Group basis
3
Disclaimer
20
NOT FOR RELEASE OR DISTRIBUTION OR PUBLICATION IN WHOLE OR IN PART IN OR INTO THE UNITED STATES, AUSTRALIA, CANADA OR JAPAN.
•This presentation has been prepared and issued by Public Joint Stock Company "Moscow Exchange MICEX-RTS" (the “Company”). Unless otherwise stated, the Company is the source for all data and assumptions contained in this document. Such data and assumptions are provided as at the date of this document and is subject to change without notice. Certain industry, market and competitive position data contained in this document come from official or third party sources believed to be reliable but the Company does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. The Company does not intend to have any duty or obligation to update or to keep current any information contained in this presentation.
•Neither the presentation nor any copy of it may be taken or transmitted into the United States of America, its territories or possessions, or distributed, directly or indirectly, in the United States of America, its territories or possessions as defined in Regulation S under the US Securities Act 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act), except to “qualified institutional buyers” as defined in Rule 144A under the Securities Act. Any failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of United States securities laws. The presentation is not an offer or sale of securities in the United States. Moscow Exchange Group has not registered and does not intend to register any securities in the United States or to conduct a public offering of any securities in the United States.
•This presentation does not constitute an advertisement or a public offer of securities in any jurisdiction. It is not intended to be publicly distributed in any jurisdiction. This document is only being made available to interested parties on the basis that: (A) if they are UK persons, they are persons falling within Articles 19 or 49 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005; or (B) they are outside the United Kingdom and are eligible under local law to receive this document. Recipients of this document in jurisdictions outside the UK should inform themselves about and observe any applicable legal requirements.
This presentation is not a prospectus for purposes of Directive 2003/71/EC (and amendments thereto, including Directive 2010/73/EU, to the extent implemented in any relevant Member State and any relevant implementing measure in the relevant Member State) (the “Prospectus Directive”). In any EEA Member State that has implemented the Prospectus Directive, this presentation is only addressed to and is only directed at qualified investors in that Member State within the meaning of the Prospectus Directive.
This presentation is not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity that is a citizen or resident or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation or which would require any registration or licensing within such jurisdiction.
•This document does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer or invitation for the sale or subscription of, or a solicitation of any offer to buy or subscribe for, any securities, nor shall it or any part of it or the fact of its distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any offer, contract, commitment or investment decision, nor does it constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of the Company.
•The information in this document has not been independently verified. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy or completeness of the information, assumptions or opinions contained herein. None of the Company, or any of its subsidiaries or affiliates or any of such person's directors, officers or employees, advisers or other representatives, accepts any liability whatsoever (whether in negligence or otherwise) arising, directly or indirectly, from the use of this document or otherwise arising in connection therewith.
•This presentation includes forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical fact included in this presentation, including, without limitation, those regarding MOEX financial position, business strategy, management plans and objectives for future operations are forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, which may cause our actual results, performance, achievements or industry results to be materially different from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding our present and future business strategies and the environment in which we expect to operate in the future. Important factors that could cause our actual results, performance, achievements or industry results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, among other factors:
–perception of market services offered by the Company and its subsidiaries;
–volatility (a) of the Russian economy and the securities market and (b) sectors with a high level of competition that the Company and its subsidiaries operate;
–changes in (a) domestic and international legislation and tax regulation and (b) state policies related to financial markets and securities markets;
–competition increase from new players on the Russian market;
–the ability to keep pace with rapid changes in science and technology environment, including the ability to use advanced features that are popular with the Company's and its subsidiaries' customers;
–the ability to maintain continuity of the process of introduction of new competitive products and services, while keeping the competitiveness;
–the ability to attract new customers on the domestic market and in foreign jurisdictions;
–the ability to increase the offer of products in foreign jurisdictions.
•Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this presentation and we expressly disclaim any obligation or undertaking to release any update of, or revisions to, any forward-looking statements in this presentation as a result of any change in our expectations or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which these forward-looking statements are based. Past performance should not be taken as an indication or guarantee of future results, and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made regarding such future performance.