Tun t 25/01/2016-29/01/2016

TNG HP TH TRNG CHNG KHON TRONG TUN

Ch tiu n v VNI Index HNX Index

Ch s u tun im 522.24 73.85

Ch s cui tun im 545.25 76.87

Tng/ gim cui tun im 23.01 3.02

T l tng/gim % 4.4% 4.1%

Tng KLGD tun CP 667 223

T l tng gim % 9.7% 3.6%

Tng GTGD tun T ng 9,856 2,119

T l tng gim % -17.0% -21.5%

BIN NG TH TRNG

Tun ny, th trng chung tng im vi thanh khon gim. Trong tun, cc nhm c phiu tr tr li xu hng tng vi s tng im phc hi ca c phiu GAS v PVD. Nhm c phiu Mid-Caps v Penny lc bn gim, bn ca khi ngoi tip tc duy tr.

GIAO DCH CA NH U T NC NGOI

THNG K GIAO DCH CA NH U T NC NGOI TRONG TUN

Trong tun ny, khi ngoi tip tc bn rng trn ton th trng vi tng gi tr l 529.33 t ng. Nh u t nc ngoi bn mnh phin th 2 ngy 25/01 vi gi tr hn 127 t ng v phin th 6 ngy 29/01 vi gi tr hn 125 t ng. Trn HSX, cc m c NTNN mua mnh l BHS, HPG, GAS, DPM, BVH trong khi bn VIC, REE, BID, CSM, DRC. Trn sn HNX, cc m c NTNN mua mnh l VND, SDH, SCR, PDP, HLD v bn cc m PVS, DBC, VDL, PGS, TIG.

TIN TC NI BT TRONG TUN

TIN TRONG NC

- Vietstock: Vic ci cch c th i vo thc cht hn v nhng c hi t cc hip nh thng mi s th gip GDP Vit Nam t mc 6,82% trong nm 2016. l nhn nh c ThS. Nguyn Anh Dng Ph Trng ban Kinh t v m, Vin Nghin cu qun l Kinh t trung ng (Ciem) a ra trong Hi tho Bo co Kinh t v m qu{ IV v nm 2015. y l mc cao hn so vi ch tiu m Quc hi ra l 6,7%. Tng trng kinh t phc hi r nt khi tng

-144.93

-42.63

-105.52

-120.59 -106

18.03 7.67

-13.72 -2.26

-19.38

-160

-140

-120

-100

-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

Th 2 Th 3 Th 4 Th 5 Th 6

HSX HNX

dn qua cc qu{ v cao hn so vi cng kz 2014, mc d cn thp hn giai on 1990 2010. Tuy nhin, tng trng kinh t cha lm tng p lc lm pht khi kinh t cha thc s thot khi s suy gim v ng lc tng trng cha . - Cafef: Thc hin Quyt nh s 72/2010/Q-TTg ca Th tng Chnh ph, B Cng Thng ban hnh Quyt nh s 206/Q-BCT ph duyt Chng trnh xc tin thng mi quc gia nm 2016 gm 177 n ca 67 n v ch tr vi tng kinh ph l 90 t ng. Theo thng k s b, Chng trnh xc tin thng mi quc gia nm 2015 h tr 8.850 lt doanh nghip, 14.499 gian hng ti cc hi ch, trin lm trong v ngoi nc, thu ht trn 3 triu lt khch tham quan, mua sm v k kt c nhiu hp ng kinh t c tng tr gi trn 858 triu la v khong 637,8 t ng. - NDH: Theo s liu mi nht ca Tng cc Hi quan, xut khu hng ha nm 2015 t c mt im vt tri v cng l kz vng trong nm 2016. - Nm 2015: S liu mi nht ca Tng cc Thng k. D bo 2016 trn c s tc tng 10% so vi 2015. Trc ht, cn c quy m kim ngch xut khu hng ha nm 2015 th kz vng nm 2016 s t mc cao nht t trc ti nay. im vt tri th hai, nm 2015 so vi nm 2014, kim ngch xut khu hng ha tng 7,9%. ng lu { , tc tng ny t c trong iu kin gi c xut khu tip tc gim so vi nm trc (ch s chung gim 3,79%, trong mt s mt hng cn gim nhiu hn, nh: Du th gim 47,8%, xng du gim 44,1%, cao su gim 19,7%, thy sn gim 16%, st thp gim 13,5%, go gim 8,2%, sn gim 5,2%, c ph gim 5,3%...).

TIN QUC T

M

- Reuters: Chng khon M tng im vo ngy th Nm, khi leo dc ca gi du v nhy vt ca c phiu Facebook ln t p lc n t nhm c phiu cng ngh sinh hc v mi lo lng v tc tng trng ca nn kinh t. Kt thc phin giao dch ngy th Nm, ch s Dow Jones tin 125.18 im (tng ng 0.79%) ln 16,069.64 im, ch s S&P 500 tng 10.41 im (tng ng 0.55%) ln 1,893.36 im v ch s Nasdaq Composite cng 38.51 im (tng ng 0.86%) ln 4,506.68 im.

- Marketwatch: Hp ng vng gim 1% vo ngy th Nm khi th trng chng khon hi phc tr li nh tng gi ca du, qua nng ln gi vng. Bn cnh , cc nh u t kim loi qu nhanh chng cht li khi vng leo dc ln mc cao nht trong 12 tun trong ngy th T. Kt thc phin giao dch ngy th Nm, hp ng vng giao thng 4 trn sn Comex rt 20 xu cn 1,116.10 USD/oz.

- Reuters: Cng trong ngy th T, hp ng du th ngt nh (WTI) khp phin trn mc 33 USD/thng, nh du chui tng gi 3 phin lin tip. Du WTI tng 92 xu (tng ng 2.85%) ln 33.22 USD/thng, sau khi tng ln mc cao nht trong phin ti 34.50 USD/thng. c bit, 34.50 USD/thng l mc cao nht k t ngy 06/01/2016. Du Brent tin 2.4% ln 33.89 USD/thng. C 2 hp ng u nh du chui tng gi 3 phin lin tip.

EU

- Bloomberg: Mt quan chc -rp X-t cho bit: Trn thc t, li ngh khng n t -rp X-t, m l do Riyadh v ng minh Vng vnh Ba T chun b hp tc vi cc nh sn xut khc nhm n nh th trng du quc t". B trng Nga cn cho bit cn phi bn lun v tnh trng ca th trng du v OPEC ang c gng t chc cuc hp vi cc nh sn xut khc vo thng ti. Qua , lm dy ln d bo v vic OPEC v cc nh sn xut ngoi OPEC s hp tc ct gim sn lng v kch gi du tng 3 phin lin tip. - CNBC: Ngy 28/1, B Pht trin Kinh t Nga cam kt s chi 750 t ruble (tng ng 9,8 t USD) i ph vi cuc khng hong ti chnh ca nc ny sau khi gi du m lao dc v ng ruble mt gi nh hng nng n n tng trng kinh t ca Nga. Theo B trng Pht trin Kinh t Nga Alexei Ulyukayev, quyt nh trn l mt trong s cc bin php chng khng hong, trong 310 t ruble l ngn sch tn ng cp cho cc a phng trong nm 2016. - Vietstock: Kinh t c d kin t mc tng trng 1,7% trong nm 2016. Theo bo co trn, hin iu kin cho tng trng kinh t tng i tt, ngn sch nh nc nm 2015 cp lin bang, cc bang, a phng v qu bo him x hi c cn bng trong nm th 4 lin tip v cng nh nm 2015, ngn sch lin bang s khng c n mi trong nm 2016. Trong khi , ch s n quc gia ca c ln u tin k t sau cuc khng hong ti chnh nm 2008 t di ngng 70% GDP. Trong khi , dng ngi t nn rt ln vo c c tc ng khng nhiu ti th trng vic lm v Chnh ph c c tnh t l tht nghip nc ny mc 6,4% trong nm nay. Bo co cng nu r c s ch trng u t trong cc lnh vc k thut s, cc ngnh kinh t mnh trong tng lai cho nghin cu, pht trin v gio dc.

CHU

- CNBC: Vo gia phin giao dch ngy th T, th trng chng khon Trung Quc tip tc trt dc vi ch s Shanghai Composite li su 2.54%, sau khi lao dc 6.4% xung mc thp nht k t thng 12/2014 trong ngy th Ba. Tng t, ch s Shenzeng Composite cng chm nghm 3.88%.Theo CNBC, hin Shanghai Composite bc hi hn 20% so vi mc cao nht gn y l 3,651.76 im xc lp ti ngy 22/12/2015, chnh thc quay tr li th trng con gu. ng thi, ch s ny cng st hn 47% so vi mc cao nht trong 52 tun ti 5,166.35 im thit lp trong thng 06/2015.

- Bloomberg: ng JPY gim gi mnh so vi ng USD v cc i th ch cht trong phin giao dch y bin ng ti chu vo ngy th Su sau ng thi bt ng ca Ngn hng Trung ng Nht Bn (BoJ). BoJ bt ng tuyn b p dng mc li sut m 0.1% khi cuc hp 2 ngy kt thc vo ngy th Su v cho bit c th tip tc h li sut xung mc thp hn nu cn thit. Bn cnh , BoJ cho bit chng trnh mua tri phiu Chnh ph hoc cc qu ETF ca ngn hng ny s khng thay i.

- Marketwatch: Sau hai ngy lm vic cng thng, H vin Malaysia ti 27/1 b phiu thng qua Hip nh i tc xuyn Thi Bnh Dng (TPP) vi 127 phiu thun v 84 phiu chng, hng ti vic k kt v ph chun hip nh gm 12 nc tham gia ny. H vin ng h quyt nh ca Chnh ph Malaysia tr thnh mt bn tham gia TPP sau khi cc cuc m phm kt thc ngy 5/10/2015 ti Atlanta, M. Pht biu ti phin kt thc cuc hp Quc hi, B trng Thng mi v Cng nghip Malaysia Mustapa Mohamed cho bit Malaysia cng tham gia vo vic chun b cc d tho ca TPP, trong c Chng 6, 21 v 24 lin quan n hp tc v xy dng nng lc v pht trin cc doanh nghip va v nh cng nh cc chng quan trng khc khng c trong bt kz hip nh thng mi khc.

NHN NH TH TRNG

CHART

VNI INDEX HNX INDEX

Th trng chung tun qua hnh thnh xu hng tng gi trong ngn hn vi thanh khon gim. Trn sn HSX, nhm c phiu tr tr nn phn ha, GAS, BVH v PVD gi xu hng tng, MSN v VNM gi tham chiu trong khi VIC v FPT xut hin tn hiu bn. Nhm chng khon (HCM, SSI, BVS, SHS, VND) v nhm ngn hng (VCB, CTG, BID, EIB, MBB) tr li xu hng sideway. Nhm c phiu bt ng sn (DXG, KDH, NLG, NTL) tr nn phn ha v giao ng vi xu hng tch ly. Nhm c phiu u c (FLC, OGC, VHG, HAI) tip tc b bn tuy nhin lc bn gim so vi tun trc. Trn sn HNX, nhm c phiu du kh (PVC, PVS, PXS, PVT) quay li phc hi sau qu trnh gim im mnh. Trn phng din k thut, th tun ca Vnindex, ng ca tun l 1 cy nn xanh th hin lc cu hi phc nhng thanh khon vn cn yu, cc ch bo v xung lng th trng MACD, RSI vn nm trong vng qu bn c xu hng hng ln, ngng h tr kh vng ti SMA(200) vng 522 trn th tun, y cng l mc h tr cng t thng 8/2015. C th sang tun Vnindex tip tc nhp hi phc v mt k thut test li vng 560.

Phng u t Ti chnh - PVIF

Thng tin trong bo co c ly t ngun m PVIF cho l tin cy v c xem xt cn trng. Tuy nhin, PVIF

khng chu trch nhim i vi tnh chnh xc ca cc thng tin ny.Bo co ny th hin quan im ca ngi vit

ti thi im lp bo co, c th thay i m khng cn bo trc. Bo co ch c tnh tham kho m khng c hm

khuyn ngi c mua, bn hay nm gi bt c chng khon no. PVIF khng chu trch nhim i vi bt c khon

l no pht sinh do vic ngi c hnh ng theo cc thng tin trong bo co gy ra.