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BASIC FIGURES OF TURKISH STEEL INDUSTRY AND RECENT CHANGES DUE TO SEMI-FINISHED PRODUCTS
INTERNATIONAL MARKETS
2 nd IRAN STEEL EXPORT
PERSPECTIVES CONFERENCE
METE ŞAHIN
SEMI –FINISHED AND LONG PRODUCTS SALES MANAGER
COLAKOGLU METALURJI AS
4 SEPTEMBER 2015 - ISTANBUL
•
Mete Şahin
Mete Şahin
Mete Şahin
More than 55 country...
5
Development of Turkish Economy, Construction, Manufacturing and Steel Industries (%)
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015-Q1GDP 8,4 6,9 4,7 0,7 -4,7 9 8,8 2,2 4,0 2,9 2,3
Construction 21,5 19,4 5,7 -8,1 -16,3 17,1 11,5 0,6 7,2 2,2 -3,5Manufacturing 8,2 8,4 5,6 -0,1 -7 13,3 10 1,9 3,8 3,7 0,8Steel Industry 2,4 11,8 9,9 4,1 -5,6 15,2 17 5,2 -3,4 -1,8 -8,8
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015-Q1
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
GDP Construction Manufacturing Steel Industry
6
Crude Steel Production of Turkey (Mt) & yoy Growth (%)
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2014-H1
2015-H1
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
-10.0
-5.0
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
16.5
18.3
20.5
21.0
23.4 25
.8
26.8
25.3
29.1
34.1
35.9
34.7
34.0
14.2
13.3
9.911.1
11.9
2.4
11.8
9.9
4.1
-5.6
15.2
17.0
5.2
-3.4
-1.8
-5.9
Production Change (%)
7
Slab Capacity and Production (mt) & Capacity Utilisation (%)
* Annualized
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015*0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
98
79
37 39
55
6256
5255
45
Capacity
Production
CU %
8
Billet Capacity and Production (mt) & Capacity Utilisation (%)
* Annualized
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015*0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
8183
8178
63 62
6871
66
6057
CapacityProductionCU %
9
Turkey’s Finished Steel Production (Mt)
Finished steel includes long and flat products, excludes tube & pipes.
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2014-5m
2015-5m
-10.0
-5.0
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
19.6
23.4
26.1 26.725.1
26.3
31.934.3
36.4 36.1
14.8 15.219.2
11.6
2.4
-5.8
4.6
21.5
7.3 6.2
-0.9
2.6
Production Growth %
10
Turkey’s Finished Steel Production (Mt)
Finished steel includes long and flat products, excludes tube & pipes.
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2014-5m
2015-5m
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
3.8 4.1 4.3 4.5 4.46.6
9.1 9.0 9.9 10.4
4.0 4.2
15.819.2
21.8 22.1 20.7 19.722.9
25.2 26.5 25.7
10.9 11.0
Long
Flat
11
Turkey’s Finished Steel Consumption(Mt)
* estimate
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2014-5m
2015-5m
-20.0
-10.0
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
18.421.2
23.821.5
18.0
23.6
26.928.5
31.3 30.7
12.213.915.1
12.0
-9.7
-15.9
30.8
14.2
5.6
10.0
-1.9
14.0
Consumption Growth %
12
Turkey’s Finished Steel Consumption(Mt)
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2014-5m 2015-5m0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
9.1 10.512.1
10.3 9.711.7
13.7 14.816.7 16.1
6.5 7.1
9.4
10.7
11.7
11.2
8.3
11.9
13.213.6
14.6 14.6
5.66.7
Flat
Long
13
Turkey’s Finished Steel Trade (Mt)
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2014-6m 2015-6m0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
13.7 13.5
7.16.4
8.68.2
4.0
4.9
Export
Import
14
Turkey’s Finished Steel Trade (Mt)
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2014-6m 2015-6m0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
7.79.6 10.9
12.9 11.89.2 10.5 11.7 11.3 11.0
5.8 5.2
1.2
1.41.2
1.41.7
1.52.3
1.9 2.4 2.5
1.3 1.1
FlatLong
EXPORT
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2014-6m
2015-6m
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
0.4 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.1 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.3 1.5 1.4 0.7 0.8
3.92.9
4.1 4.65.7
6.88.0
8.6 8.0
5.66.8 6.4 6.4
7.1 6.7
3.3 4.1
FlatLong
IMPORT
15
Turkey’s Semi Finished Steel Trade (Mt)
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2014-6m
2015-6m
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
3.0
1.6
0.60.4
0.2
3.4
5.4
4.8
2.3
3.6
ExportImport
16
Turkey’s Semi Finished Steel Trade (Mt)
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2014-H1 2015-H10.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
2.21.6 1.6
2.4 2.2
3.5
2.43.0
1.6
0.6 0.4 0.2
SlabBillet
EXPORT
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2014-H1 2015-H10.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
1.01.5
2.53.0 3.4
2.4 2.0 2.43.1 3.0
1.62.2
1.0
1.3
0.90.8 0.2
0.10.2
1.0
2.31.8
0.7
1.4
SlabBillet
IMPORT
17
Turkey’s HRC Import by Regions (million tons)
2011 2012 2013 2014 2014-5m 2015-5m0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
1.41.7
1.91.7
0.7 0.6
1.6 1.3
1.5
1.3
0.6 0.7
0.00.0
0.1
0.2
0.00.4
Others China
CIS EU
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2014-6m 2015-6m0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
509464 438
600
999
315
927
18
Steel Import from China (‘000 ton)
% 67
% 194
19
Steel Import from China (‘000 ton)
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2014-6m 2015-6m0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
279
135 110198
343
118
52675
82 131
198
199
87
115
48
84 64
89
173
44
107
101
149 110
114
141
66
69
Others
Long
Semis
Tube & Pipes
Flat
