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Page 1: BBB,BB@@BB@@BB@...(& e c g1 cg1(g &1 wg9 cg& e&f w& &c wac c5 1e wawwa c(g5 ew (& e x 5wx g5ae w = 5gw wg1 6 waw gw 9([1& e e wa j!c1 (&gww c&&5 5 g1w1ee w& n [05wc1 c(& 1gwg&1 &f

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16 JULY 1959 ,X,‘._A —*—-..._..

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I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC I7 , '~

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Soviet source suggests possible device a 1; $4‘ y

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7'~>)’H —-viii, Gromyko may propose for getting West- ,3" /' .-

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[11 '3 “o-\

ern agreement to an all-German com- .

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L- ,- _;' ' "

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mittee. (D ,5 - J A

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11. ASIA-AFRICA -e

I 2 in

-2 ‘

3 _- W} _ j A V

Iraqi political groups may see Qasim's remarks on 14 July as signal to start new maneuvering. @ Ethiopia planning strong protest to UK over press attacks from British Soma- liland. ©

III. THE WEST West Germany soliciting support for French position in UN debate on Al- geria, possibly in return for French 1,

*_

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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE autumn 16 July 1959 A

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=:s¢ DAILY BRIEF

I THE COMMUNIST BLOC - W_atchpCommittee conclusion--Berlin: No significant

indications bearing on the possibility" of hostilities

_USSR— Geneva. @rom ko may seek to obtain Western _

Gerfy

whole German problem A TASS correspondent in Geneva ' ‘

whose previous tips on the Soviet position have been rehab u h an " uto ous' all-Ge c -

.

\

ls c a nom ' rman om ’

/O mittee should report to a "four-power senior body" by a ’

certain date but that this time limit would not apply to West- . ern rights in Berlin. He suggested that the foreign ministers

uld in ri le ti d of t thr co agree '

p ncip on a ‘me perio wo or ee years and thatthe precise date could be established at a

V summit meeting. \

it ‘acknowledged that the al1- German committee proposal was intended to

> make Western recognition of the East German‘ regime "more palatablelfi

\ \

(Page 1)

% II ASIA-AFRICA

, \ Watch Committee conclusion-;-Middle East. Situations

susceptible ot'_direct exploitation by Sino-Soviet bloc action which would jeopardize US interests exist, particularly in Iraq and Iran.

The initiation of significant hostilities is unlikely in the immediate future.

,l1=E.'5:;’.?;

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pproved for Release 2020/02/21 C03190725

_ Y

. Iraq. Qas1m's announcement that the period during which politicfipartiesy should refrain from activity will end before 6 January 1960, and that following this an elected "national council" will be created, appears intended to remove the force of Communist criticism and pressure for open political action now. The announcement is lik_ely to be regarded by the various ,l./ t

political elements as an invitation to : strengthen their organ- ””’

izations and mass following, as well as to try to obtain control Of key government departments. This may lead to intensified

-,/1, V .

factionalism rather than to the political truce which Qasim seems to hope for.\ \(Page 3)

Ethiopia- UK: Elle Ethiopian Government plans a strong Kingdom over press attacks on Haile

Selassie, apparently originating from British Somaliland. This i may lead to a new deterioration in Ethiopian-British relations,

coming just after the Emperor's acceptance of a 400,000,000 V

ruble credit ($100,000,000 at the official rate) from Moscorwy The reaction in Addis Ababa to the Soviet credit is genera y one of elation because of the anticipated Soviet help for eas- ing Ethiopia's economic difficulties. However, some to offi- 7 .

%<:>

cials reportedly fear the Emperor has gone too <Page 4)

// K ewe; J" a1

W West Germany -_- France: [Eonn is seeking to gain support .,;_g

for France in the UN debate on YAlgeria this fall. Following up a personal letter from Chancellor Adenauer to Greek Prime Minister Karamanlis, the West German ambassador in Athens urged the Greek Government to demonstrate NATO unity by sup- porting the French position. The Greeks are unlikely to agree,

U in view of their policy on Cyprus and their Middle East interests, Qt‘ but the German action is evidence of willingness to make an ef-

fort on behalf of France. This may indicate that Bonn has shelved its long-standing policy of staying out of colonial controversies and has begun a more active role in support of France, in return

1,-sigg for French diplomatic support for the West German position on reunification] ‘(Page 5) r

44/4//1/41:

16 July 59 DAILY BRIEF 11

5’

:1/% _

4 -

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I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC

Soviet Qommittee

gareign Minister Gromyko may seek to obtain Western agree- ment to an all- German committee by offering to make this organ subordinate to a four-power commission.

\

X

such an "autonomous" aIl- German committee should report—to a tiffietm-power senior body" by a certain date. He insisted, how- ever, mat the USSR would not press for a terminal date on West- ern rights in West Berlin.

\

H a four-power commission to work out the terms of a German

peace treaty could be part of a compromise settlement on Berli1l._']'

[Séviet spokesmen are seeking to create the impression that the time limit on any interim agreement is harmless by suggest- ing that it would apply only to the all- German committee and not to the duration of Allied rights in Berlin.

\ \

\Western rights would be maintained during renewed negotiations in the event the all- German committee failed to reach agreement. Deputy Foreign Minister Zorin has given similar assurances to the West German ambassador}

Qromyko, however, made it clear in his public statement of 28 June that a "definite time limit will be established for the tem- porary status of West Berlin and for the work of the all- German committee." He said the temporary status agreement would be "designed. for" a year and a half," and specified that the "all- German committee would have to complete its work by the end of that periodjj

@1§ USSR probably would insist that the four-power commis- sion should be confined to negotiating a German peace treaty, with reunification left to the Germans. Moscow rejected a West German]

-SEGR-E-'J"—

16 July 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 1

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_-.w-

Lproposal last September for a four-power commission with ad- visers from both German states to discuss the "German question proposing instead that the four powers work toward the conclu- sion of a treaty and leave the reunification problem to an all- German committe@ s-

\

\suggested that the foreign minis- ters could agree in principle on a time period of two or three years and that the precise date could be established at a summit meeting. He agreed that an all- German committee would imply substantial Western recognition of East Germany, and added that "it would seem to be one way of making recognition more palat- able "

-SEGR-E-KP

16 July 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 2

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H3

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' ii“ " 11. ASIA-AFRICA

The Iraqi Situation

Iraqi Prime Minister Qasim's declaration on 14 July that the "transitional period" of the revolution will draw to an end before 6 January 1960 probably is a‘ move to mitigate the force of Communist criticism and pressure for immediate political activity. Qasim has opposed activity by political parties dur- ing this period, despite Communist and extreme leftist demands that political life be restored. Qasim also 3.HI10l.ll1C6d that a "na- tional council" will be elected before the next anniversary of the revolution.

Iraqi political factions are likely to view Qasim's declara- tion as an invitation to begin strengthening their organizations and mass following, ;as well as to seek control of government departments that could be used to further their objectives. Al- though the National Democratic party recently has been stepping up its efforts to gain support outside the cities, the Communists appear to have better organizationat the grass-roots level‘. This may lead to an increase of factionalism and friction rather than the stability and political truce which Qasim probably hoped for.

Qasim's reorganized and expanded cabinet, which appears to reflect a shift toward the left, may be intended to satisfy the Communists in order to balance recent moves favoring the army and nationalists. At least three of the four new members are ex- treme leftists--Faysal Samir, Guidance; Awni Yusuf, Works and Housing; and Nadia Dulaymi, Municipalities. Dr. Dulaymi, Iraqi's first woman cabinet minister, has a long record of association with Communist-front groups; she is reputedly a member of the Iraqi party's central committee.

In early July all three signed. the Communist-sponsored charter issued by the Communist-dominated "United. Front" de- manding participation of political parties in the government, arming of the Communist-dominated Popular Resistance Force, and a pur e of "corru t" elements from the army and govern- me»

16 July 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 3

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Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03190725 Vt -sseRs—r— V

Ethiopian Relations With London Maygpeteriorate

be an egoression of this new policy;

igidis Ababa will shortly protest to the United Kingdom over press attacks in the British Somaliland Protectorate on Ethiopia's Emperor Haile Selassie and demand that they be stopped, according to the American adviser of the Ethiopian Foreign Ministry. This action may lead to a new deteriora- tion in Ethiopian-British relations, which only recently were reported to be "back to normal." Addis Ababa had reacted sharply to L6ndon's policy statement of 9 February on British Somaliland, which Ethiopia claimed was support for a greater Somalia state affiliated with the British Commonwealth at the expense of Somali-inhabited Ethiopian territog;

Q§_ddi.S Abba's proposed protest comes at a time when Ethiopian ties with the West may be subject to new strains over the Emperor's acceptance on 11 July of a $100,000,000 credit from Moscow. The Emperor reportedly expects "large numbers of Soviet technicians" to enter Ethiopia in connection with the aid program. This prob- ably accounts for the feeling among some top officials that he has gone too far, although the government‘. officials generally are elated over the prospect that Soviet aid may ease Ethiopia's eco- nomic difficulties?

Qddis Ababa, perhaps encouraged by what it considers strong support from Moscow, now may be preparing to assume a more aggressive attitude toward the West." A remark by the American adviser that the Ethiopian Government "c ontemplates strong ac- tion" unless "full satisfaction" is forthcoming from London may

-S-E€RE1T—

16 July 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 4

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Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03190725 —€-9N-F-I-BEN-‘FHrl:

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I II. THE WEST

West Germany Lees?‘ Supporfior Wench HIJIN Debate on__ Algeria P P A

(éonn is attempting to gain support for France during the UN debate on Algeria this fall, possibly in return for continued French support for the West German position on reunification. Following up a personal letter from Chancellor Adenauer to Greek Prime Minister Karamanlis, the West German ambas- sador in Athens has urged the Greek Government to demonstrate the unity of NATO by taking a firm stand behind France. Bonn's action reflects the high level of personal agreement and mutual support that has gradually developed between Adenauer and French President de Gaulle since the latter's return to powegif

Cfloreign Minister Averofi told US officials that Greece has sought to be as helpful as possible to France in -regard to Algeria by not recognizing the Algerian rebel government, but that Greece has traditionally opposed colonialism and has good relations with Arab countries which it is anxious to maintain. He expressed annoyance with the timing of the request, pointing out that it followed too soon after a sizable German loan to Greece?

-€@N'F‘I'D'E'N‘H7\'l:

16 July 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 5

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Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03190725 V V THE PRESIDENT The Vice President

Executive Offices of the White House Special Assistant for National Security Affairs Scientific Adviser to the President Director of the Budget Office of Defense and Civilian Mobilization Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy Executive Secretary, National Security Council

The Treasury Department The Secretary of the Treasury

The Department of State The Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary for Political Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary for Administration The Counselor Director, International Cooperation Administration The Director of Intelligence and Research

The Department of Defense The Secretary of Defense The Deputy Secretary of Defense Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs The Secretary of the Army The Secretary of the Navy The Secretary of the Air Force The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff Commandant, United States Marine Corps The Director, The Joint Staff Chief of Staff, United States Army Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy Chief of Staff, United States Air Force Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of the Army Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of the Navy Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force Supreme Allied Commander, Europe Commander in Chief, Pacific

The Department of the Interior The Secretary of the Interior

Federal Bureau of Investigation The Director

- Atomic Energy Commission The Chairman

National Security Agency The Director

National Indications Center The Director

United States Information Agency The Director

-66-NF!-BE-N-‘PbA-I.-

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