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BBK3363 | International Management Prepared by Dr Khairul Anuar L 1 – Assessing the Environment 1

BBK3363 | International Management - · PDF file · 2014-09-08Understand the global business environment and how it affects the strategic ... Typical Political Risks Political Risk

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Page 1: BBK3363 | International Management - · PDF file · 2014-09-08Understand the global business environment and how it affects the strategic ... Typical Political Risks Political Risk

BBK3363 | International Management Prepared by Dr Khairul Anuar

L 1 – Assessing the Environment

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Page 2: BBK3363 | International Management - · PDF file · 2014-09-08Understand the global business environment and how it affects the strategic ... Typical Political Risks Political Risk

1. Learning Objectives

1. Understand the global business environment and how it affects the strategic and operational decisions which managers must make.

2. Critically assess the developments, advantages, and disadvantages of globalization.

3. Discuss the complexities of the international manager’s job.

4. Develop an appreciation for the ways in which political, economic, legal, and technological factors and changes impact the opportunities that companies face.

5. Review the role of technology in international business.

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2. The Globalization of Risk

• Top two risks:

– Severe income disparity

– Chronic fiscal imbalances

• Other issues: natural disasters such as 2011 earthquake in Japan, flood in Thailand, political uncertainty in China and Middle East

• Globalization has compounded the types and level of business risks

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3. Typical Challenges that Managers Face in the 21st Century

• Political and cultural differences

• Global competition

• Terrorism

• Technology

• Finding ways to balance their social responsibilities, their images, and their competitive strategies

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4. What is International Management?

• The process of developing strategies, designing and

operating systems, and working with people around the

world to ensure sustained competitive advantage

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5. What is Globalization?

• Global competition characterized by networks of

international linkages that bind countries, institutions,

and people in an interdependent global economy

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6. Five Key Global Trends

• Changing balance of growth towards emerging markets

• Need for increased productivity and consumption in developed countries

• Increasing global interconnectivity

• Increasing gap between supply and demand of natural resources

• Challenge for governments to develop policies for economic growth and financial stability

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Discussion

Assess the developments, advantages, and

disadvantages of globalization.

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7. Challenges to Globalism

• Backlash against capitalism and rekindling of nationalism

• Increased protectionism of high-demand resources

• Need to develop top managers with international understanding and

experience

• Increasing pressure and publicity for companies to consider the social

responsibility of their actions

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8. Effects of Globalization on Corporations

• Global companies are becoming less tied to specific locations

• Companies that desire to remain competitive will have to develop a cadre of experienced international managers

• Small companies are also affected by and in turn affect globalism

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9. Effects of Globalization on Corporations

• Much of today’s world trade takes place within these three regional free-trade blocs:

– Western Europe, Asia, and the Americas

• Much of today’s world trade is grouped around three dominant currencies:

– euro, yen, and the dollar

• These trade blocs are continually expanding their borders to include neighboring countries

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10. The European Union “EU”

• A unified market over 500 million people living in 27 nations

• Stability of the euro is in question and the ability of the “EU” to deal

with the debt crisis of some members

• EU poses two challenges for global managers:

“Fortress” Europe

Dealing with multiple cultures within this unified market

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11. Asia

• China

• India

• ASEAN

• South Asia Association of Regional Cooperation (SAARC)

• Japan

• Asian Tigers:

• Hong Kong

• Singapore

• South Korea

• Taiwan

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12. The Americas

North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA)

Brazil

MERCOSUR*

Central America Free Trade Agreement (CAFTA)

** Southern Common Market) is an economic and political

agreement among Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay, Uruguay, and Venezuela;

with Bolivia

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13. Other Regions in the World

• The Russian Federation

• Middle East

• The African Union—AU

• South Africa

• Less developed countries—LDCs

• Low Gross National Product (GNP)

• Low Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

• Large, relatively unskilled workforce

• High international debt

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14. Globalization of Information Technology

• The speed and accuracy of information transmission are changing the nature of international manager’s jobs

• Cultural barriers are being lowered gradually

• Technology gets dispersed around the world by MNEs

• Explosive growth of information technology is both a cause and effect of globalism

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15. Globalization of Human Capital

• Increasing trend in the offshoring of manufacturing jobs and outsourcing of white-collar jobs

• The Indian ITES sector has 700,000 jobs worldwide and comprises 35% of BPO market

• For global firms, winning the war for talent is a pressing issue

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16. The Global Manager’s Role

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17. The Political and Economic Environment

• Sustainability—economic, political, social, and environmental—has become a significant worldwide issue

• Ethnicity—a driving force behind political instability around the world

• Religion—religious disputes lie at the heart of regional instabilities, for example, former Yugoslavia, Northern Island, the Middle East…

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18. Political Risk

• Sustainability—economic, political, social, and environmental—has become a significant worldwide issue

• Ethnicity—a driving force behind political instability around the world

• Religion—religious disputes lie at the heart of regional instabilities, for example, former Yugoslavia, Northern Island, the Middle East…

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Examples:

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Any governmental action or politically motivated event that could adversely affect the long-term profitability or value of a firm

Argentina announced plans to nationalize Repsol YPF, the Spanish

oil co., taking 51%.

In Russia, the Kremlin exploited the financial crisis to take control

of energy companies.

19. Political Risk

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Typical Political Risks Political Risk Assessment

• Expropriation and confiscation

• Nationalization

• Terrorism

• Discriminatory treatment

• Barriers to repatriation of funds

• Interference in managerial decision

making

• Dishonesty by government officials

• Helps companies manage exposure to risk

and minimize financial loss

• Two forms:

• Consultation with experts

• Development of internal staff capabilities –

increasingly common

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20. Political Risk

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Avoidance and Adaptation • Dependency and Hedging

• Equity sharing

• Participating management

• Localization of the operation

• Development assistance

• Input control

• Market control

• Position control

• Staged contribution

• Political risk insurance (OPIC and FCIA)

• Local debt financing

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20. Managing Political Risk

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21. Economic Risk

• Closely related to political risk

• Determined by a country’s ability or intention to meet its financial obligations

• Historically, most industrialized nations have posed little risk of economic instability, however the level of economic risk in the EU is of great concern

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22. Categories of Economic Risk

1. Loss of profitability due to abrupt changes in monetary and fiscal

policies

2. Loss of profitability due to changes in foreign investment policies

3. Risk of currency exchange rate

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23. The Legal Environment

• Consists of the local laws and legal systems of those countries in which

an international company operates, and of international law, which

governs relationships between sovereign countries

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24. Other Regulatory Issues

• Protectionist policies, such as tariffs or quotas

• The attractiveness of the tax system

• The level of government involvement in the economic and regulatory environment

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25. Other Regulatory Issues

• The appropriability of technology

• The International Convention for the Protection of Industrial Property

(the Paris Union)

• Inappropriate use of technology by JVs, franchisees, licensees, and

employees

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26. The Impact of the Information Technology

• Making Geographic barriers less relevant

• Both cause and effect of globalization

• Lowering cultural barriers

• Encouraging convergence of consumers’ tastes and preferences

• However, China still monitors and limits electronic information

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