BCG 2015 Mfg Exec Survey_key Findings for MEDIA_final

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    Made in America, AgainFourth Annual Survey of U.S.-Based Manufacturing Executives

    December 2015

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    Executive summaryKey takeaways from BCGs fourth annual survey of U.S.-based manufacturing executives

    17% of respondents report actively reshoring production today

    2.5x the number that were actively reshoring in 2012

    More companies are moving from consideration to action

    31% of executives would put new capacity to serve the U.S.

    market in the U.S. versus 20% who would choose China

    Significant reversal from two years ago, when China was

    favored by 30% to 26%

    Companies that are reshoring most often cite core cost

    factorsshortening supply chains, reducing shipping costs

    as biggest reasons

    Access to a skilled workforce is also a key reason; 2.7x as

    many respondents cite increased skilled labor as a driver for

    moving production tothe U.S. compared with those who cite it

    as a reason for offshoring fromthe U.S.

    56% believe that decreasing costs in automation have

    improved their product competitiveness

    71% believe that advanced manufacturing technologies will

    improve the economics of localized production

    Executives who anticipate net job gains within the next five

    years outweigh those predicting declines by a 2-to-1 margin

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    Interest in reshoring production to theU.S. remains strong, and the percentageof companies actively moving operationsback to the U.S. continues to increase

    The U.S. has surpassed China and isoutpacing Mexico as the most likelydestination for new manufacturingcapacity to serve the U.S. market

    Key drivers of expanding manufacturingcapacity in the U.S. include costs, accessto a skilled workforce, and increased localcontrol to drive quality and innovation

    Investment in automation and otheradvanced manufacturing is seen as anopportunity to further drive efficiency andU.S. competitiveness

    Prospects for job creation remain strong

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    Survey methodology

    Since2012, The Boston Consulting Group (BCG) has conducted an annual online survey of senior-

    level, U.S.-based manufacturing executives. This years survey, conducted in September, elicited 263responses. The responses were limited to one per company.

    Virtually all of the respondents work for companies that manufacture in the U.S. and overseas andmake products for both U.S. and non-U.S. consumption. Respondents are decision makers incompanies with more than $1 billion in annual revenues, across a wide range of industries, including:

    Electronic and other electrical equipment andcomponents, except computer

    Transportation equipment

    Industry and commercial machinery

    Fabricated metal products, except machinery

    and transport

    Chemicals

    Rubber and plastics products

    Primary metal industries

    Food products

    Computer equipment

    Petroleum refining and related industries Apparel and other finished products made from

    fabrics and similar material

    Lumber and wood products, except furniture

    Printed products

    Stone, clay, glass, and concrete products

    Furniture and fixtures

    Paper and allied products

    Textile mill products

    Leather and leather products

    Tobacco products

    F M di U O l D N t R d M Th T Slid Ch t With t P i i

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    Interest in reshoring production to the U.S. from Chinaremains strong, with a move from consideration to action

    Sources: BCG Manufacturing Survey, February 2012, August 2013, August 2014, and September 2015Note: Numbers in the bar charts have been rounded; percentage changes outside the bar charts are based on the actual numbers before rounding. Question asked: Given the fact that Chinaswage costs are expected to grow, do you expect your company will move manufacturing to the United States? Question asked only of companies that currently manufacture in China. N = 132.

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    13173

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    17 15

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    17 15

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    20152013

    54

    Yes, we will move production to the U.S. inthe next two years

    Yes, we are actively considering doing this,although we have not made a final decision

    Yes, we will consider doing this inthe near future

    53

    Yes, we are already actively doing this

    Respondents (%)

    37

    2012

    1

    F M di U O l D N t R d M Th T Slid Ch t With t P i i

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    The trend of year-over-year increases in companies activelyreshoring has continued

    17

    13

    7

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    Respondents (%)

    2013

    +31%

    2012 2015

    Yes, we are already actively doing this

    +88%

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    Sources: BCG Manufacturing Survey, February 2012, August 2013, August 2014, and September 2015Note: Numbers in the bar charts have been rounded; percentage changes outside the bar charts are based on the actual numbers before rounding. Question asked: Given the fact that Chinaswage costs are expected to grow, do you expect your company will move manufacturing to the United States? Question asked only of companies that currently manufacture in China. N = 132.

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    The U.S. has surpassed China and is outpacing Mexico asthe most likely destination for new manufacturing capacity

    Sources: BCG Manufacturing Survey, February 2012, August 2013, August 2014, and September 2015Note:Numbers atop the bar charts have been rounded; percentage changes outside the bar charts are based on the actual numbers before rounding. Question asked: In the next five years,how will the supply chain change for the products you intend to sell inside the U.S.? Allother destination countries accounted for 18% of responses in 2013, 26% of responses in 2014, and20% of responses in 2015.

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    26

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    +5

    ChinaUnited States

    20152013

    2626

    2931

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    +3+5

    MexicoUnited States

    Most l ikely dest inat ion for n ew manu facturing capacity to serve the U.S. market

    Respondents (%)

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    Companies that have reshored cite increased regional-ization, strong workforce and environment, and local control

    76

    70

    64

    57

    66

    63

    55

    52

    14

    18

    22

    23

    16

    19

    25

    30

    10

    13

    15

    20

    18

    18

    20

    18

    0 20 40 60 80 100

    Shorten our supply chain

    Accelerate innovation andproduct development

    Becloser to customers

    Reduce shipping costs

    Respondents (%)

    Improve quality and yield

    Provide local control overmanufacturing processes

    Make it easier to do business

    Access theskilled workforceand talent

    Primary reasons formoving to U.S.

    Source: BCG Manufacturing Survey, September 2015Note: Question asked: Why did your company move production to the U.S. from another country? Please select how much you agree or d isagree with each of the following reasons for change.

    3

    Strongly or somewhat disagreeStrongly or somewhat agree Neutral

    Strong workforce andbusiness environment

    Control over process,quality, and innovation

    Benefits of increasedregionalization

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    Manufacturers are 2.7x more likely to move production tothe U.S. than from the U.S. to access skilled labor

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    Source: BCG Manufacturing Survey, September 2015Note: Chart counts respondents who marked Strongly or somewhat agree. Numbers atop the bar charts have been rounded; percentage changes outside the bar charts are based on theactual numbers before rounding.1Question asked: Why did your company move production to another country from the U.S.? Please select how much you agree or d isagree with each of the following reasons for change.2Question asked: Why did your company move production to the U.S. from another country? Please select how much you agree or d isagree with each of the following reasons for change.

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    40

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    80

    Production moved from the U.S.1

    2.7x

    Production moved to the U.S.2

    Respondents (%) citing access to the skilled workforce and talent as a strong factor for moving production

    Responses are consistent with the 2014 survey, in which 74% of respondents reportedmoving production to the U.S. to access skilled labor

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    Executives plan to invest in automation or other advancedmanufacturing to enhance product competitiveness

    56

    71

    75

    31

    23

    16

    13

    6

    10

    0 20 40 60 80 100

    Respondents (%)

    Strongly or somewhat disagreeNeutralStrongly or somewhat agree

    Decreasing automationcost improved my productcompetitiveness againstproducts sourced fromlow-cost countries

    Manufacturing executivesbelieve automation andadvanced manufacturing willpromote the following:

    Reduce costs and increase

    their competitiveness

    Allow them to benefit from

    being closer to suppliers and

    customers

    Increase demand for highly

    skilled workers

    Source: BCG Manufacturing Survey, September 2015Note: Task stated: Please select how much you agree or disagree with each of the following reasons for change.N = 252.

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    Advanced manufacturingwill improve theeconomics of localizedproduction

    The U.S. is stronglypositioned to benefit frommanufacturers that seek toincrease regionalization,especially as automation

    costs decline

    We will invest inadditional automation or

    advanced manufacturingtechnologies in the nextfive years

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    Twice as many executives expect trends to drive net growthin U.S. manufacturing jobs within five years

    Source: BCG Manufacturing Survey, September 2015Note: Question asked: Based on current trends, what do you expect to happen to the number of manufacturing jobs in your company over the next five years?1Includes responses of less than +/-1% per year.

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    8%

    19%

    23%

    26%

    6%

    3%

    16%

    30

    20

    10

    0

    Respondents (%)

    Increase

    by >20%

    Increase by

    10%-20%

    Increase

    by 5%-9%

    FlatDecrease

    by 5%-9%

    Decrease

    by 10%-20%

    Decrease

    by >20%

    Job loss

    50% of respondents

    anticipate net job creation25% of respondents

    anticipate net job losses

    1

    Job creat ion

    Anticipated job creationoutweighs loss by a 2-to-1

    margin

    Anticipated job creation is still strong but slightly lower than last years 3:1 ratio of net

    job creation to net job loss, due in part to global macro uncertainty (e.g., fx, growth)

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    This research is part of BCGs ongoing series on the

    shifting dynamics of global manufacturing

    Authors of this researchHarold L. SirkinSenior Partner and coauthor ofThe U.S.

    Manufacturing Renaissance: How Shifting Global

    Economics Are Creating an American Comeback

    (Knowledge@Wharton, November 2012)

    BCG Chicago

    Michael ZinserSenior Partner, coleader of the global Manufacturing

    practice, and coauthor ofThe U.S. Manufacturing

    Renaissance: How Shifting Global Economics Are

    Creating an American Comeback

    BCG Chicago

    Justin RosePartner, leader of Industrial Goods Operations team in

    the Americas, and coauthor ofThe U.S.

    Manufacturing Renaissance: How Shifting GlobalEconomics Are Creating an American Comeback

    BCG Chicago

    Selected publications and

    research in the seriesDespite a Strong Dollar, the U.S. Retains a Big ManufacturingCost Advantage over Europe, Japan, and Other DevelopedCountries(press release)

    An analysis by The Boston Consulting Group, July 2015

    How a Takeoff in Advanced Robotics Will Power the NextProductivity Surge(press release)

    An analysisby The Boston Consulting Group, February 2015

    The Shifting Economics of Global Manufacturing: How CostCompetitiveness Is Changing WorldwideA report by The Boston Consulting Group, August 2014

    The U.S. Skills Gap: Could It Threaten a ManufacturingRenaissance?

    A report by The Boston Consulting Group, August 2013

    Behind the American Export Surge: The U.S. as One of theDeveloped Worlds Lowest-Cost Manufacturers

    A report by The Boston Consulting Group, August 2013

    U.S. Manufacturing Nears the Tipping Point: WhichIndustries, Why, and How Much?

    A report by The Boston Consulting Group, March 2012

    Made in America, Again: Why Manufacturing Will Return tothe U.S.

    A report by The Boston Consulting Group, August 2011

    Note: Most publications are available on BCGs thought leadership portal, www.bcgperspectives.com, or at www.bcg.com.

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    Dave FondillerDirector, Public Relations and Communications

    [email protected]

    +1 212 446 3257

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    +1 212 446 4667

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